Silver H4 | Approaching pullback supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 31.34 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 30.35 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 32.50 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
Strifor || GBPUSD-US CPIPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The British currency is also expected to boost amid the publication of US CPI data . This is the most likely scenario and is indicated on the chart as scenario №1 . Login is expected just before the data is published. One can especially consider buy-position through pending orders if the price immediately falls to 1.25396 . Near this level, one can accumulate a buy-position with a target at the level of 1.27000 (scenario №2).
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Strifor || GOLD-US CPIPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: Before the publication of today's data on the US CPI , on gold , we have been following the previous trading idea that we gave at the beginning of the week. The price has already begun to move according to our scenario, but we must not forget about potential volatility amid the publication of today's data from the US.
For this metal, we expect an approach to the historical maximum at the level of 2431.590 , and most likely, in the very near future, we will easily approach this target.
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Strifor || USDCAD-16/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: All of our previous trading ideas against the US dollar are currently fixed at take profit, however, we continue to adhere to the short-term priority of selling the US currency. At the moment, the USDCAD currency pair is one of the most promising for a short trade, since there is the fact of a rollback and, accordingly, a large distance for potential profit.
The best and most likely scenario is to consider selling at the highest current prices (scenario №1). In addition, within the framework of scenario №2 , you can consider entering from the level of 1.36557 . The target of the fall is still the same level of 1.36000.
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Strifor || SILVER-17/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The previous long trade in silver was successfully closed at take profit, but we continue to actively adhere to short-term buy priority. Current prices are perfect for this and one can safely consider purchases with a goal of at least level 31 (scenario №1).
In the event of a sharp change in market sentiment, one can consider entering a long position as part of a re-test of the level 29.77800 (scenario №2).
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SILVER (SILN2024, XAGUSD)... BULLISH BIAS!Bias is Bullish.
The reaction to news and world
events was enough where there
was no need for the +FVG to be
mitigated before the rally.
Lots of momentum in that move.
All HTFs are bullish.
Although we selll above highs as
a general rule
Expectations are for the DOL to
be reached over the next week
or so, as price grinds higher.
For buyers, wait for pullbacks into
+FVGs on LTFs. Buying at the top of
a rally is risky bisky.
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Is gold or silver the trade to make this week? This week's trade could be a decision between gold and silver.
The former might be swayed by the seven fed officials that are planned to speak this week, while the latter could be influenced by the #SilverSqueeze movement that is tangentially related to the meme stock frenzy that reignited last week.
Gold Technical
Gold (XAU/USD) prices rose at the end of the week but did not quite test the all-time high around $2,431.
Gold is trading well above the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), with the 100 and 200 SMAs maintaining bullish slopes much below it. Renewed buying pressure beyond $2,413 might push prices above the $2,420 mark.
Silver Technical
Silver (XAG/USD) is nearing the multi-year high at $31.40. A significant break at the end of the week saw Friday's sharp rise validate the break above the multi-year trendline. The challenge for the coming week is whether silver can maintain this bullish momentum despite entering overbought territory. The frenzy we saw in meme stocks might be dampening down too, with 2 days of declines following the surge. But it might be premature to count anything out yet.
The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the range of 70.00, possibly suggesting bullish momentum. The next resistance level is $31.50 from May 2011. In this fundamentally detached market, the next support could lie all the way back at where the metal was trading before the surge.
SILVER Massive Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER keeps growing
And it made a massive
Bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level
Of 30.00$ and the
Breakout is confirmed
So we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
Buy!
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SILVER - The Perfect Impulsive WaveSilver is showing us a perfect impulsive wave in accordance to Elliott Wave Theory.
The basic principle of an impulse wave is as follows:
Impulse waves = 5 waves
Wave 1 - is made up of 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 2 - Is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction)
Wave 3 - is another impulse wave made up of 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 4 - is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction)
Wave 5 - Can be either an impulse or a correction - But its made up of 5 waves
We are looking for wave 4 now, which is a correction. Anticipating price to come down to the buy zone. The closer we get to the invalidation level, the better as we don't expect price to break below it.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for wave 4 correction to form. This wave can be traded. Look for reversal signs on lower timeframe
- Once we're in buy zone, watch for bullish price action and reversal patterns
- Once entered, stops go below invalidation level
- Targets: 32, 34.5, taper
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
XAGUSD. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024We continue the experiment with a wider range of zones. Let's see if we can guess the places to search for deals for the week ahead.
During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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Strifor || USDJPY-17/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The Japanese yen , like the franc in the past, perfectly worked out all our previous trading ideas. Sell-priority for the American currency remains, and at the same time, for the USDJPY currency pair we also expect a fall to the level of 153.222 . Here we consider two scenarios.
Scenario №1 involves shorting from the resistance of the downward channel, that is, selling at current prices. Scenario №2 is a preliminary growth before a fall to level 157 , where there is a liquidated zone and perhaps the market will want to test this area before the fall.
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Strifor || USDCHF-17/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Following our recent trading ideas, the US currency has strengthened slightly. This should not be confusing as the bearish potential for the US dollar remains.
Also for the franc . Not long ago we held shorts to the level of 0.90108 . This time we also consider this level as a target and most likely the instrument will begin to fall as much as possible from current prices (scenario №1) . Less likely scenario №2 involves a fall from the level of 0.91424 , this deal will be more conservative.
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Strifor || AUDUSD-16/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: AUDUSD is also on the buy list. This currency pair is also one of the most promising for short-term buyers. Most likely, growth will begin as much as possible at current prices (scenario №1).
Here we have a good local upward trend, towards which we are considering trades. One can also consider going long from the level of 0.66460 , or rather near this level (scenario №2).
We fix the growth target at the round level of 0.67500 .
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Strifor || NZDUSD-16/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Buy-priority is also relevant for the New Zealand dollar . Most likely in the very near future we will once again go for maximum updates. The growth target is considered at the level of 0.61670.
The most likely scenario, as we have outlined, is an increase from current prices (scenario №1). One can also consider growth from support 0.60713 (scenario №2).
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Strifor || SILVER-14/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Against the backdrop of the upcoming news week, metals in particular are best viewed from a medium-term perspective. Here, for silver , the most likely scenario seems to be the formation of accumulation and then growth towards a local maximum of 30 exactly ( scenario №1). We also designate Scenario №2, and it is mainly necessary as a plan B in case of increased volatility, which is likely to happen.
The best thing, in our opinion, would be to find a long entry point using a breakout strategy at the level of 28.69664.
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Bitcoin Holds Support After US CPI PrintThe US dollar is showing a notable downturn after today's CPI figures were released at 3.4%, down from the previous 3.5%. This reinforces market sentiment that the Fed is unlikely to hike rates, especially after comments made by Powell yesterday. This scenario supports a risk-on environment, especially considering the bearish Elliott Wave structure in the US yields, suggesting further declines. This backdrop implies that other assets could rally. For instance, Bitcoin has seen a significant bounce, finding support at crucial trend lines, and can be poised for higher levels if HS neckline near 66k is broken . Similarly, Nvidia and silver also show potential for gains in the coming weeks.
However, building intraday trades at this juncture can be challenging due to potential setbacks before the market continues in the direction of dollar weakness.
If you found this analysis helpful, please leave a comment below, like this video, and consider sharing for more updates in the future.
Grega
Strifor || GOLD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: As a result of last week, gold showed local growth and closed above the level of 2343.869 . This trend is likely to favor buyers, especially in the short term, as we expect the publication of US inflation data on Wednesday, which is likely to particularly affect short-term trends. You need to take this into account and be careful.
Such a metal closed above 2343.869 , then this level can be counted as support and further growth to the historical maximum of 2431 can be expected from this area and above (scenario №1). Scenario №2 also involves entering from the indicated support, but through a false breakout. The target in both cases is the same.
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Strifor || GBPUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: According to the British pound , buyers continue to fight for the support area at the 1.25000 level, which is the key area at the moment. For the coming week, the buy-priority will remain relevant, but you need to be careful, especially in the middle of the week, when US inflation data will be published.
The likely best option for entering a long position is a trade on a breakdown of the level of 1.25396. This level is a local resistance, and if it is overcome, buyers can count on growth at least to the level of 1.26300 (scenario №1) . An alternative option is scenario №2 , where exactly the same breakout transaction is expected after testing the area of 1.24500 .
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Silver H4 | Resistance overhead?Silver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 28.68 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 29.15 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 27.63 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.