Short Silver on COT Force PushThe markets are really all about finding patterns and taking advantage of such forcefully. With Silver, the commercial producers and bullion banks tend to exert the most amount of market influence upon its price. The reason is that Silver is primarily an industrial metal sensitive to economic demands and also due to the fact that unlike gold, it is primarily mined as a by-product through the mining of other metals such as copper, iron, aluminum, etc.
If one can recognize the behavior of Silver once the commercial entities are starting to sell in larger then usual amounts, we can catch the downside action just as it starts to occur. In addition, the price action through the evident "force push" when the price is forced to a quick swing high and abruptly u-turned tends to signal that a price reversal is being confirmed. Today we have witnessed such event take place and we are now getting in position for an estimated $3+ decline in the price of silver in the coming weeks.
XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
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#SILVER.. only one supporting area, hold or not?#SILVER... well guys after a funtastic.ride in gold now silver at his one of the most important supporting area 24.90
That was our supporting area in yesterday as we discussed in our video.
Keep close it because in today if market clear it then another selling ride in table.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Strifor || GOLD-21/03/2024Preferred direction: Neutral
Comment: Gold worked out our long scenarios perfectly once again, and as we noted in previous trading ideas, the level of 2200 was reached as a target. Today, gold will most likely trade around the 2200 level. Further growth is not considered as optimistically as before.
We highlight two scenarios for this instrument, where Scenario №1 assumes a corrective movement towards support 2150 . Before this, most likely there will be an attempt to update the current maximum. Scenario №2 - assumes that buyers will not ease the pressure on sales and the metal will accumulate in a small balance at the level of 2200 for some time. This development of events according to Scenario №2 will most likely lead to another small upward impulse. The approximate target range in this case is the area 2250 - 2300.
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Strifor || GOLD-Fed meetingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: Before the Fed meeting on gold, we activated scenario №1 , which we published at the beginning of the week. Here, the long-trade was executed from the level of 2150 . This support is a limit area for long-player, but no one has canceled its break down, and the likelihood of this saves. Just for this, we have scenario №2 , which assumes making the next buy in the area of level 2120 .
We do not consider the growth target above the level of 2200 . Most likely, the price will stop at this resistance and go back to a correction. It should also be noted that the long-term prospects for metals look quite rosy.
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Strifor || AUDUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: As expected earlier, the US dollar has strengthened against all major competitors, and the AUDUSD currency pair is at the top of this list. The main trigger for the fall was the RBA meeting. However, we previously noted that for this instrument a setup was formed for at least a downward correction. It should be noted that the long-term prospects are not so rosy for buyers, although we expect growth in the medium term. This potential movement is considered towards the level of 0.66000 and no higher.
For this long-deal, we highlight two scenarios , as always, and both are indicated on the chart. Most likely, in the short term, the major currencies will decline, including the AUD .
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Strifor || EURUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The week on the market is expected to be hot, with a number of important news awaiting us, namely the decisions of a number of leading central banks on interest rates . This week we stick more to the buy priority, but most likely this week will be predominantly in favor of the seller. It is expected that growth in the euro can begin in the second half of the week. The dollar is expected to weaken across all major instruments in the medium term.
Two scenarios are indicated in the graph. Scenario №1 is more likely. In both cases, a reversal is expected within the area of 1.08000 - 1.08500 . The common goal is at the level of 1.09500 .
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Strifor || USDCHF-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: SELL
Comment: The Swiss franc also performed well on our previous trading ideas, where the entry strategy was “border to border”. The medium-term prospects here are also not in favor of the US dollar , but in the long term, we consider USDCHF more in favor of the buyer.
At this stage, for a medium-term sell-deal, we highlight two scenarios, where the Scenario №1 is more likely and involves a false breakout of the upper balance line. Scenario №2 also assumes a false breakout of the upper border, but deeper towards the level of 0.90000. For now, we consider the target to be no lower than the lower border of the balance, namely the level of 0.87610.
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14:00 Silver XAGUSD
Silver Is Bouncing From The Support; Bullish Breakout Soon?We talked about silver (XAGUSD) in January, where we mentioned and highlighted strong support at the lower side of a triangle range. On January 26rd we shared a weekly chart of silver, where we warned about limited weakness and sideways contracting triangle range.
As you can see today, silver bounced from the lower triangle line and it’s back to the upper side of a triangle range, which can be signal for a completed A-B-C-D-E bullish triangle pattern, but bullish confirmation and real bullish breakout is only above 26 region.
So far we can see some nice recovery with an important move above 23.50 followed by push out of a base channel and above 24.50 on 4h time frame, which possibly that's wave (3) of 3 within an impulse, meaning more upside can be coming on silver as this one can be preparing on some major breakout of a big triangle, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
SILVER - at his today supporting area? holding ?#SILVER... market just trade above his supporting area guys as we discussed in our video analysis that 24.90 is market full n final supporting area,
if market hold it then again a buying ride expected from here.
so far market didnot closed below that level in hour chart.
keep close it and dont hold your buying positions below that level,
good luck
trade wisely
Strifor || BTCUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: SELL
Comment: Bitcoin , like Gold , remains in the center of attention for all market participants against the backdrop of recording historical highs for these instruments. It should be noted that there is a certain divergence here, since the following principle previously worked: " Metals rise (for example, against the backdrop of tensions in the world), and Bitcoin falls (since it is a high-risk asset and during a period of “tension” in the world, It's not the best investment tool." This also worked in a mirror format, when there is a bull market and demand for metal falls. Therefore, it is very important to do your own analysis and not make decisions entirely based on traditional market “patterns”.
As for the flagship coin, Bitcoin's position is still very strong, and the long-term prospects are quite positive for buyers. Many market participants considered the coin to be overbought, which, in turn, contributed to the renewal of the historical maximum. Today we are considering two main scenarios, which are mainly aimed in favor of the seller, but these are only medium-term prospects (no more). In long-term the coin looks very good. However, within the framework of a long-term re-test of the previous historical maximum (after ~3 years), it is quite normal that the instrument needs to take a “pause” after such rapid growth. And it is assumed that this will not be a long pause.
The scenario №1 assumes the beginning of a downward correction in the very near future. Here, the main “threshold” for a fall is located in the area of 61 000 - 60 000 . The scenario №2 assumes falls after updating the maximum; this maneuver would allow “eliminating unnecessary passengers” in the person of sellers who want to sell with increased leverage at the highs. This will be especially effective if events develop quickly. A corrective downward movement is also expected here towards 61 000 - 60 000.
If we consider longer-term prospects, then we also cannot exclude the possibility of a deeper correction, namely towards 50 000 . However, even in this case, the picture of the “bullish cycle” does not change, and with a high degree of probability, the instrument will resume growth. At a minimum, it will test the area at the 70 000 level.
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silver daily best level to buy/hold 20% gains🔸Hello traders, today let's review day/candle price chart for spot silver.
strong recovery in progress currently, limited downside and bulls maintain strategic advantage.
🔸V-shape recovery in progress, also potential bullish IHS setup (required confirmation).
right now we triggered mild overhead resistance near 25 usd and therefore expecting
short-term pullback before further upside.
🔸Recommended strategy for silver bulls: wait for pullback from overhead resistance and
be ready to reload on buy side near 23.10/23.50, stop loss fixed at 22.50. TP1 25.50
TP2 27.75 +20% gains / buy / hold setup for patient traders only. good luck!
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Strifor || GOLD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: Metals continue to be among the top gainers, with gold trading at all-time highs. Such aggressive growth was caused by market participants who like to “catch the maximum”, i.e. find that very “filigree” point for a downward turn (in this case). Firstly, these are retail traders, but also various funds have begun to gain short-term and medium-term shorts, arguing that gold is heavily overbought. This, in turn, allowed larger participants to buy back these sales, and, as a result, a new historical maximum for the metal was recorded.
Today, gold maintains its bullish potential, although there may be a slight drawdown in the short term. A price rollback towards the levels of 2120 and 2100 is unlikely. It is important to consider two scenarios in terms of long-deals. Both scenarios are presented on the chart, where the scenario №1 assumes a maximum increase from current prices. Here we are clearly tied to the level of 2150 , from which the price has already bounced several times, which tells us that there is a limit buyer. However, no one ruled out breaking this level and trying to extend the fall below. This is where the scenario №2 , designed to create a false downward movement, comes in handy. After the price closes again above the 2150 level, we can expect the same growth as in the scenario №1 . The growth target is currently pegged at the levels of 2200 and 2220 .
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Strifor || EURUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: SELL
Comment: For the euro, we continue to maintain sell-priority, and the trade according to scenario №1 in our previous trading idea is already in the works. At the moment, we expect a fall to 1.08500 , and most likely, sellers will realize this target this week. Sales are also relevant from current levels, and in addition, we do not yet exclude scenario №2 , which is shown on the chart, according to which, before falling to 1.08500 and below, the price will first test the level of 1.10000 .
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Strifor || EURUSD-13/03/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Considering the medium-term outlook for this currency pair, we continue to adhere to the weekly review, and the strength of the seller is still great. However, in the short term, most likely, the euro and the main competitors of the American currency will strengthen. We outlined this scenario for EURUSD at the beginning of the week, according to which there is a possibility of updating local highs, approaching the level of 1.10000 and after which, most likely, there will be a fall towards the level of 1.08500.
Therefore, scenario №1 has a higher priority in the middle of this week.
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Strifor || GBPUSD-13/03/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: According to the results of yesterday's trading, the British pound fixed the target that we gave at the beginning of the week. At the moment, in the medium term, we are also looking down, which we noted in today’s trading ideas for the euro. Just like for the euro, the pound is expected to update its maximum at the level of 1.29000 , and after that, most likely, shorts can be considered. Therefore, scenario №1 is a priority, more conservative and more profitable.
If the price falls and closes at the level of 1.27500 , with a high degree of probability, the currency pair will continue to fall towards the level of 1.26500 .
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Silver, Breakout mode. XAGUSD / 1D
XAGUSD / 1D
Silver has been Trading in a trading range with a bullish long-term trend, the price recently tested a KEY Level which suggests a run higher.
Checkout the chart for the swing targets and what kind of confirmation bulls need to see for the next pull-back if it happens.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo