Silver Price Setup = Major Move Ahead?Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis – Breakout Incoming?
Silver (XAG/USD) is currently testing a key resistance zone after a strong upward move, supported by a rising trendline. The price has respected this trendline multiple times, confirming its role as a strong support level. If bulls push beyond the resistance zone, a breakout could trigger further upside momentum.
Key Insights:
🔹 Trendline Support – The ascending trendline has acted as a strong base for price action, providing steady higher lows.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone – Price has faced multiple rejections here in the past, making it a crucial breakout level.
🔹 Potential Breakout Setup – If Silver breaks and holds above resistance, we could see a rally towards $31.50–$32.50+
XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
SILVER Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 30.495
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 30.267
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver Declines as Trump’s Tariff Threats Shake MarketsSilver fell to $30 per ounce on Wednesday, extending losses as the dollar rebounded amid Trump’s escalating tariff threats. Trump announced tariffs on chips, pharmaceuticals, steel, aluminum, and copper to boost domestic production. Traders remained cautious ahead of the February 1 tariff deadline for China, Mexico, and Canada.
Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged this week. In China, overcapacity in the solar panel industry led firms to adopt a government-led self-discipline program, potentially limiting silver demand.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.00 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 31.80 and 32.50 consequently. On the downside 29.85 will be the first support level. 28.80 and 28.50 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Silver- Bulls need 30.50 breakAs I mentioned in my previous posts, I’m bullish on OANDA:XAGUSD and expect a rise to $32.
However, the price action lately has been choppy and constrained in a range between $31 and around $30.
The good thing is that bulls have defended the $30 zone well so far. At the time of writing, silver is trading just under the $30.50 median of the range. A break above this level should help clarify things and open the door to $31, with potential acceleration toward my $32 target.
I’ll remain bullish as long as the price stays above $30 on a daily close basis.
XAG/USD Channel Breakout (28.1.2025)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 29.26
2nd Support – 28.88
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XAGUSD - Silver on the verge of a big week?!Silver is trading in its ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. If the correction continues, we could see a break of the channel bottom. A consolidation above $30.8 would provide a path for silver to rise to the supply zone, where we can sell at a risk-reward ratio.
According to the annual report by StoneX Financial, silver has been highlighted as one of the top-performing metals among both precious and industrial metals in 2025.Benefiting from its dual nature as a monetary and industrial asset, silver is set to gain from rising gold prices and strong industrial demand. In the report, Rhona O’Connell, Head of Market Analysis at StoneX, and Natalie Scott-Gray, Senior Base Metals Analyst, forecasted that silver, alongside copper and tin, will outperform other metals in 2025.
Despite strong performance in 2024, with a 22% growth, silver is expected to continue its upward trajectory in 2025 as the top-performing metal. This projection is based on robust market fundamentals and promising future prospects that have attracted the attention of investors. Part of this growth stems from the long-term outlook for the solar industry, although new U.S. government policies might slow this trend.
Investment in silver is expected to remain strong, potentially even outpacing gold. While gold is predicted to peak this year, silver is anticipated to keep growing, with a price target of $33 by the end of 2025.
Copper and tin have also garnered attention due to their critical roles in the transition to green energy and digitalization. On the other hand, aluminum has been identified as a metal requiring cautious investment.
The report notes that silver has historically been recognized as a precious metal due to its history as a form of currency and its use in jewelry. According to the authors, “Silver’s relationship with gold has always played a key role in its price behavior, but in reality, this relationship is more complex.” They added, “Throughout much of last year, silver behaved like a precious metal during bullish trends and like a base metal during bearish ones. Statistical analysis confirms this. During U.S. economic recessions, silver’s price performance and correlation with gold and copper show that, more often than not, silver traded more in line with copper than gold. In inflationary periods, the opposite was true.”
StoneX attributes this to two primary reasons. They explained, “Firstly, the nature of silver’s supply, which is predominantly derived as a byproduct of base metals or from industrial scrap, prevents it from having a clearly defined equilibrium price in the market. Secondly, a small group of investors sees silver as an accessible way to capitalize on gold’s price volatility.”
They highlighted that “President-elect Trump’s suggestion that Mexico and Canada could face tariffs was enough to unsettle the market, even if these were likely negotiating stances rather than definitive decisions. Mexico accounts for approximately 25% of U.S. silver imports, and Canada accounts for 10%. Just the idea of such tariffs was enough to drive silver prices higher. However, as is often the case with silver, this movement was short-lived. This metal remains one of the most vulnerable to rapid and reactive price swings and should always be approached with caution.”
They concluded, “Silver will continue to respond to any significant activity in the gold market and will also see further transitions this year due to the ongoing fundamental investment deficit growth. While it may face headwinds from European recession and potential oversupply of solar cells, its long-term outlook remains bright, likely continuing to attract investors and speculative funds.”
Meanwhile, Lee Hardman, an analyst at MUFG Bank, noted that the depreciation of the dollar, following Trump’s statement that he would “prefer” not to impose new tariffs on China, might be limited. He argued that Trump is still likely to implement higher tariffs.
Trump has called for lower interest rates and a weaker dollar to support the U.S. economy. However, his policies of higher tariffs, stricter immigration controls, and tax cuts, if enacted, “are likely to bolster U.S. yields and the dollar for a longer period.” In an interview with Fox News, Trump stated that he “prefers” not to impose new tariffs on China, suggesting the possibility of a trade deal.
XAGUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on XAGUSD
The price just got rebounded from a very strong resistance, just to go back and retest the range bottom (support) zone, although the Trend remains bearish and the set Trendline keeps the price on the lower part of the market.
The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken support and used as resistance before I look for a SHORT trade.
A BUY opportunity is at the top above the weekly Low at $30.953.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
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SILVER at Key Resistance: Bearish Bounce ExpectedOANDA:XAGUSD has reached a critical resistance zone, marked by price rejections and strong selling interest. Recently, this area has consistently led to bearish reversals.
If sellers regain control and rejection signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong upper wicks, appear, I anticipate a move toward 30.54973. If the price breaks above this resistance, however, it could invalidate the bearish scenario.
Traders should monitor this level closely and wait for confirmation before entering short positions. If this analysis resonates with you or you have a different perspective, feel free to discuss in the comments!
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?XAG/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.64
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 30.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 30.10
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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SILVER at Key Resistance Zone – Potential Correction Ahead?OANDA:XAGUSD is at a significant resistance zone. This level that has previously served as strong resistance. Price action within this zone suggests the possibility of a reversal if sellers regain control. The market structure points to potential trend exhaustion, with buyers losing momentum as the pair moves closer to this resistance area.
If the price confirms a rejection from this zone, signaled by bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing or long wicks), I anticipate a downward move toward the 30.44094 level. This target is realistic level for a potential correction.
XAGUSD - Silver Awaiting Higher Numbers?!On the 4-hour timeframe, silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving within its ascending channel. If the correction continues, we could see the channel bottom. A consolidation above $31 will provide us with a path for silver to rise to the supply zone, where we can sell with a risk-reward ratio.
South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd JV has announced plans to commence exploration for copper, gold, and silver in Block 22B in Oman. The company has signed a concession agreement for this block, which is believed to hold significant potential for further mineral discoveries.
Despite some challenges, Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, holds a more optimistic view on silver due to its dual role as a monetary and industrial metal. He stated, “In 2024, increased industrial demand contributed to a physical deficit in the silver market. Sectors such as electronics and renewable energy, especially photovoltaic (solar) technologies, played a major role in driving this demand.”
Hansen predicts that steady industrial demand will keep silver in a supply deficit heading into 2025. This deficit could be further exacerbated by rising financial or “paper demand” through financial instruments like exchange-traded funds (ETFs). (“Paper demand” refers to financial transactions without physical backing, such as futures, options, or ETFs, as opposed to physical commodity purchases.)
Hansen also forecasts that silver will continue to outperform gold, expecting the gold-to-silver ratio to decline from the current level of 88 to around 75. His positive outlook on silver aligns with his broader perspective on the commodities market, where he sees greater potential for metals linked to the electrification of the global economy compared to those tied to construction.
He elaborated: “Among industrial metals, we maintain our long-term positive outlook on those that support the energy transition, particularly copper and aluminum. These metals are crucial for investments in power grids and the rapid expansion of renewable energy installations, including electric vehicles, solar panels, and wind turbines. On the other hand, we see limited potential for metals like iron ore and steel, which are heavily reliant on construction sector demand.”
Meanwhile, trade tensions between the United States and China, which escalated early in Trump’s presidency, appear to be easing. Many major companies, including Nike, Amazon, and Apple, stand to suffer significant losses if tariffs are increased. On the other hand, China has indicated that it is prepared to take retaliatory measures against any new tariffs, which could push Trump toward negotiation rather than confrontation.
In response to Trump’s threat of imposing new tariffs on Chinese goods, China’s Ministry of Commerce stated: “China is willing to work with the United States to promote the sustainable and healthy development of economic and trade relations.”
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 30.82
1st Support: 30.17
1st Resistance: 31.40
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XAG/USD Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout Signals More UpsideAs I mentioned in my previous analysis, I am bullish on OANDA:XAGUSD , in addition to Gold.
The price has now clearly broken above the falling wedge’s resistance.
Since Monday, this breakout has proven to be genuine, with dips being consistently bought by traders.
Currently, the price is facing minor resistance just below the 31.00 level.
If this resistance is broken, we could see an acceleration toward my target of 32.00.
As long as the 30.00 level remains intact, Silver maintains its bullish outlook, and buying dips should remain the preferred strategy.
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a wedge trendline resistance, which suggests that upward momentum is weakening. This pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance and starts moving downward.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms rejection at the wedge trendline resistance, signaling the possibility of a move toward lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price shows clear rejection from the trendline resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the wedge or nearby support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The wedge trendline resistance indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to gain control if the price fails to break above the resistance. Waiting for confirmation of rejection ensures alignment with market momentum.
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a wedge trendline resistance, which suggests that upward momentum is weakening. This pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance and starts moving downward.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms rejection at the wedge trendline resistance, signaling the possibility of a move toward lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price shows clear rejection from the trendline resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the wedge or nearby support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The wedge trendline resistance indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to gain control if the price fails to break above the resistance. Waiting for confirmation of rejection ensures alignment with market momentum.
XAGUSD Ideathis pair is on a h4 timeframe resistance zone so we're looking for a short position on a lower timeframe
this is the ascending channel on M15 timeframe which is a valid trendline because o the 3 touches
now we're waiting for a M15 candle to close below the last touch standing on the trendline to enter a sell (short) position
Good luck fam
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XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the MA level Breakout 30.860
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 32.300 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would recommend a bullish outlook for XAG/USD.
REASONS FOR BULLISH OUTLOOK
Increasing Demand: The demand for silver is increasing due to its use in various industries such as electronics, solar panels, and medical devices.
Limited Supply: The supply of silver is limited, which could lead to a shortage and drive up prices.
Inflation Hedge: Silver is often seen as a hedge against inflation, and with the current inflation rate rising, investors may turn to silver as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Buying: Some central banks, such as the People's Bank of China, have been buying silver in recent months, which could support prices.
Technical Analysis: The technical analysis suggests that XAG/USD is forming a bullish trend, with a rising 50-day moving average and a bullish MACD crossover.
UPCOMING NEWS AND EVENTS
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet on March 20, 2023, which could provide insight into future interest rate decisions and impact XAG/USD prices.
US Inflation Data: The US inflation data is scheduled to be released on March 12, 2023, which could impact XAG/USD prices if it shows a significant increase in inflation.
Silver Institute Report: The Silver Institute is scheduled to release its annual report on April 15, 2023, which could provide insight into global silver supply and demand trends...................
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Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Silver H4 | Potential bullish bounceSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 30.17 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 29.60 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 30.96 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
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