Can Silver Maintain Momentum Above 28.70?In my previous OANDA:XAGUSD analysis, I mentioned that the price appeared to be forming a head-and-shoulders pattern, with confirmation if the price broke below the 30 level.
Indeed, just before Christmas, the price dropped below this critical milestone and reached a low near the 28.70 zone.
However, instead of continuing toward the technical 28 support level, the price found new support at 28.70, forming a double bottom at this level.
Similar to Gold, Silver began the year on a positive note, reversing upward and retesting the broken neckline level at 29.80 for the second time.
Currently, the price is trading below this level.
A decisive break above 30 could trigger bullish momentum, leading to a potential rally toward the 32 resistance zone.
For now, I'm bullish on Silver as long as the 28.70 support zone holds.
Xagusdanalysis
Watch out for 30.280 zone on XAG. A daily rejection of that zone 30.280 would give me a great confluence that Silver is going to be a bearish week.
Last week was a bullish week but the highlighted zone is within an Imbalance on H4 chart.
I'll be looking to target previous week low 28.759 though keeping in mind this daily level 29.806 for possible pullback.
Just keeping it simple no complications.
I'll be dropping more of my insights so stay tuned. 🫴
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Resistance Trendline Breakout: The price has broken above a key descending trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift in momentum toward the upside.
Forecast:
Buy Opportunity: The breakout suggests bullish momentum, with further upward movement likely as long as the price holds above the broken trendline.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After breakout confirmation or a retest of the trendline as new support.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the broken trendline or recent swing low to limit downside risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on the next resistance levels or Fibonacci projections for potential targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Bias: The breakout above trendline resistance reflects increased buying interest, supporting expectations for further gains.
Silver Short Setup: High-Probability Sell Targeting SSLFollowing the HTF bearish bias, silver is presenting a high-probability short setup. Price has respected both LTF and HTF Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), aligning with the overall downtrend. Additionally, the 30 MA has been decisively broken, adding confluence to the bearish narrative.
Key Points:
- HTF bearish bias confirmed with respect to FVGs on multiple timeframes.
- Price broke below the 30 MA, signaling a shift in momentum.
- High-probability sell setup targeting previous day’s low, where sell-side liquidity resides.
- Equal lows (EQL) observed at the target level, increasing the likelihood of a liquidity sweep.
Trade Idea:
- Entry: Around 29.30 after price confirms rejection from FVGs.
- Target: Sell-side liquidity at 28.78 (previous day’s low).
- Risk: Ensure proper risk management with a stop loss above the FVGs for protection.
- The setup aligns perfectly with ICT principles, leveraging liquidity sweeps and fair value gaps for high-probability entries. As always, DYOR before taking any trades.
DYOR :)
Silver Sell-Off Alert: 10% Drop Dead Ahead● After hitting a high of $34.87, the price entered a notable consolidation phase, eventually created a Head & Shoulders pattern.
● Following the breakdown from this pattern, the price also fell beneath its trendline support, paving the way for a more significant decline.
● Immediate support is anticipated at the $27.8 level.
● If the price drops below this threshold, it could plummet to $26.5, representing a 10% decrease from the current position.
#XAUUSG 1DAYXAGUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Trendline Support Breakdown: The price has moved below a key trendline support, indicating a potential shift in momentum towards the downside.
Forecast:
Sell Opportunity: The breakdown suggests weakening buying pressure, and sellers may take control, leading to further declines.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After confirmation of the breakdown or a retest of the broken trendline acting as resistance.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the broken trendline or recent swing high to minimize risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on upcoming support levels or price zones identified through Fibonacci extensions.
Market Sentiment:
Bearish Bias: Sustained movement below the broken trendline indicates a bearish outlook, with sellers likely dominating the trend.
Silver Rebound Offers Short Trade Potential: Targeting $28In my weekend analysis, I highlighted the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern in Silver's price, with the neckline positioned precisely at the psychologically significant $30 level.
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve’s rate cut triggered a drop below this key level. Currently, OANDA:XAGUSD is experiencing a normal rebound.
This rebound may provide traders with an opportunity to consider short positions if the broken $30 level is retested.
The next significant support level is at $28, which could serve as the target for this potential move.
Trading Silver: Sell Rallies Amid XAG/USD’s Bearish MomentumLast week, OANDA:XAGUSD made several attempts to break through the 32.30 resistance zone but failed to sustain any momentum. Much like the price action in OANDA:XAUUSD , Thursday was marked by a bearish engulfing candle, which was even more significant given the preceding day's Doji formation. Following the formation of this bearish engulfing candle, the price dropped sharply, reaching a local low around the 30.30 level, marking a 2,000-pip drop from the previous high.
The structure forming since mid-September resembles a potential head and shoulders pattern, although it has not been confirmed yet.
If the price breaks below the 30.00 zone, it could put further pressure on the selling side, triggering more downside momentum. In this scenario, the next key support level to watch would be around 27.80, with the measured target for the pattern being approximately 25.00.
At this point, resistance is positioned at 31.50, and any rallies approaching this level should be viewed as potential selling opportunities. Sellers may look to capitalize on these rallies, anticipating a continuation of the downtrend.
Additionally, the bearish outlook is reinforced by a bearish Pin Bar on the weekly chart, which adds further weight to the negative bias. This combination of factors—bearish patterns on both the daily and weekly charts—suggests that the downward pressure could persist, with further downside potential for XAG/USD in the near term.
In summary, traders should remain cautious about buying in the current environment. Instead, the focus should be on selling rallies, especially near key resistance levels, while keeping an eye on the 30.00 support level as a key area for potential breakdown.
XAGUSD.. at support? or breakout??#SILVER.. market is at Edge,
that region was our major region in history from 30.75 to 30.95
and now again market at his major region neck line and if market break that area then you can see a further drop towards our supporting areas.
stay sharp..
good luck
trade wisely
Silver is pressing for an up breakIn my Monday analysis, I noted that Silver was gathering momentum just below the 31.40 resistance level, with a high probability of breaking upward. Such a breakout could pave the way for a significant rise of approximately 2000 pips.
As anticipated, the price broke above 31.40, climbing nearly 1000 pips before beginning a period of correction and consolidation.
My bullish outlook remains firmly intact, and I continue to expect a move toward the 33.50 level.
The strategy of "buying on dips" should remain the focus for traders. Additionally, a decisive break above 32.50 would confirm the next leg of the rally, potentially unlocking another 1000-pip rise toward the target.
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Silver could rise 2k pipsIn my previous analysis of Silver, I highlighted the 31.40 resistance zone, suggesting that the price could reverse from that level and potentially drop below 30.
Initially, the price did retreat after touching the 31.40 zone, but it lacked follow-through to the downside. As of now, Silver has returned to this key resistance area.
Recent price action resembles a "build-up" pattern, with the market steadily pressing against this resistance.
A decisive break above 31.40 would also activate a double-bottom pattern visible on the daily chart. Based on the measured target for this pattern, Silver could gain as much as 2,000 pips in the days ahead.
Silver- Could it drop to 28?In my previous analysis of silver, I mentioned the potential for prices to drop below the significant $30 level. This scenario unfolded as expected, with prices dipping to $29.66 before reversing and once again hovering around the $30 mark. This area continues to act as a pivotal point for market sentiment.
From a technical perspective, the outlook remains bearish as long as the $31.20 resistance level holds. This level serves as a key threshold, and until it is breached, the strategy should focus on selling into rallies.
A decisive break below the $30 level could pave the way for a move toward the next major support around $28. Such a development would align with my broader bearish view when it comes to precious metals
Lackluster Slow-Silver Long . Volumes will pick up.
I think that gold and silver might've found a bottom in their correction.
But really the movement in this buy long in silver is non existent, a similar story with gold. But London and Europe will be opening in the few hours ahead as the Australian session comes to a close, hopefully theres a few silver and gold buyers that can pick up the momentum a bit in this trade.
You would not be alone in thinking that this long trade right now in precious metals could sell-off at anytime and move lower.
Precisely what happened in Bitcoin earlier as it sold. But how quickly all of the Crypto's turned green and it looked like no selling had even occurred. BTCUSD, DOGEUSD and many others looked like they were carrying some overbought weight on their daily's.
Below is the Silver daily chart. Another reason this is so slow in momentum currently is because price on the daily is below all of the key moving averages, 200ema, 50ema and even 21 ema the Silver price is just beneath.
Silver could drop back under 30Unlike Gold, Silver showed far less volatility last week and behaved in a more technical manner.
After peaking on Tuesday, Silver remained range-bound, even as Gold rallied an additional 700 pips. Currently, Silver is testing its support level, but I suspect this support will eventually break.
Similar to my approach with Gold, my strategy for Silver is to sell into rallies. A potential first target for this drop is 29.70.