Silver- Strongly bearish under 24.80Yesterday I said that Silver is more bearish than Gold, and indeed, although it has risen, it could reach the last top
As you all may have seen, we have a clear H&S pattern with the neck-line at 24.80, which is broken at this moment.
Although this means upward momentum, the price is stalling above this neckline and looks more like distribution at this point and could be a false break.
Silver back under 24.80 (the neckline) is strongly bearish and confirms the false break.
In this case, I expect acceleration to the downside and Silver to drop to at least 23 zone (around 1800 pips)
My scenario is valid as long as the price stays under 25.60 on the daily close bases
Xagusdforecast
Silver is heading lowerHi there,
Silver is preparing for the next move lower, we are just making a correction in smaller timeframes for the next target between 19 to 17 usd, watch price action at smaller timeframes and short at the breakdown of the bearish triangle formation. Dxy is also heading higher and preparing a breakout, which gives us confirmation of the down move on silver.
Good luck
Silver can drop to 19Unlike Gold, Silver is weaker and the price couldn't correct the drop, instead consolidated in a tight range.
At this moment the price is exactly in a strong support zone and considering the incapacity of correcting, I expect a break and a hard fall for XagUsd
My target is 19 and only Silver back above 23 would negate this bearish scenario
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Silver Analysis, Bears in controlHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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XAGUSD is bearish on the long-term outlook. The sellers were in charge of the Silver market since June and the bears’ momentum has been increasing. The price has been decreasing accordingly.
The market has pushed above the 23 levels and holding near the support zone, and all the former support levels of 25 and 24 has turned into resistance levels.
Using the Elliot wave theory we can see that the market is having a corrective wave right now which could push it near the 24$ zone where a battle will happen between the Bears and Bulls, and if the Bears wins then the price will be going down near the 22$ level as confirmed by the Elliot theory.
Different Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The Market is holding at 23.709 near the support zone from 23.649 to 23.437, The bears are trying to drop the market as much as they can so we could be seeing a breakout happening at that level that would lead the market near the 22$ level.
Scenario 2 :
The Bulls are trying to gain control back over the market as we saw from the last movement on August 23, where the market price jumped from 22.897 and hit 23.938, but they will have to show a lot of power to break the resistance zone at 24.004 to 24.147, But if they were able to break that resistance then we will be seeing the market price going back up near the 25$ level.
Technical indicators show:
1) The market is below the 10 20 50 100 200 MA and EMA (Bearish sign)
2) The MACD is below the 0 line showing that the market is Bearish, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line that explains the latest push that happened.
3) ADC is at 48.73 showing that the market is trending, With a negative crossover between DI+ (15.51) and DI- (29.99)
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 23.649 1) 24.004
2) 23.437 2) 24.147
3) 23.294 3) 24.359
Fundamental point of view :
Silver prices rallied and remained buoyed, closing with a doji day at the highs of the trading session. This came despite a selloff in gold prices. Durable goods orders declined less than expected and new orders ex-transportation were unchanged. The dollar eased slightly, which helped silver prices gain a toe hold.
Silver of course has a certain amount of an industrial component built into it, and it is worth noting that industrial numbers have fallen quite a bit over the last several weeks. That being said, if we see the US dollar sell-off drastically, it is likely that the silver market may catch a bit of a bid, at least temporarily based upon that alone. According to fxempire.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts and news for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading
Silver Price Movement Breakdown Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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The XAGUSD price has broken out and dropped from 25.96 to 22.08 in the last couple of days near a 14% drop in price, the Market was trending in a downward channel but it has been broken on Aug 9 where the price dropped from 24.31 and created a long shadow Bearish candle and hit the 22.10 range. The XAG/USD has a critical support around $23.20. A break lower would expose the $23.00 area that if broken, should trigger a bearish acceleration.
The market price was able to stabilize a bit after that drop and it's trending 23.55 right now.
We can notice a couple of scenarios for the market price movement for the next few days.
Scenario 1:
The Market price is trending at 23.45, near the first support level at 23.27 the Bulls will try to gain control back but most likely they will fail and the price will drop even more and its gonna be headed near the major support area at 22.84, where the real battle between the Bulls and Bears will be. If the Bears were able to keep control then a further drop in price will happen.
Scenario 2 :
The market price is trending at 23.45 if the Bulls were able to get some support behind them then we could be seeing the price going up and hitting the first resistance line at 23.70, Then The Bulls will test the bears strengths at that level, if they fail and the bears took control then we will see what's happening in Scenario 1 come to life, If the bulls were able to break that resistance level then we could be seeing a small bounce back up near the 24.13 level.
Technical analysis showing :
1) The Market price is below the 5 10 20 50 100 200 MA and EMA, Strong sell signal
2) The MACD below the zero line showing that the market is in a Bearish state, with a negative crossover between the MACD line and Signal line.
3) The ADX at 37.25 showing that the market is currently trending, with a negative crossover between DI+ (10.59) and DI- (41.77).
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 23.275 1) 23.705
2) 23.025 2) 23.885
3) 22.845 3) 24.135
Fundamental point of view :
Silver is marginally lower on Tuesday, as it remains far from the $22.10 bottom of the crash it suffered on Monday. During the American session, XAG/USD bottomed at $23.22. The metal again was able to find support around the $23.20 area and bounced to the upside.
The upside in silver remains limited despite gold rising almost $10 in a few minutes. Silver is following gold with the recovery but at a slower speed. Both metals managed to recovery despite higher US yields but were supported by an improvement in risk sentiment.
Volatility eased during the last hours but is set to remain at extreme levels on the coming session, even as metal stabilize. On Wednesday, inflation data from the US is due, and it will be watched closely as it could affect expectations about Fed’s monetary policy.
After the sharp decline on Monday, the outlook is still bearish for silver. In the very short term, a break above $23.45 (downtrend line) should alleviate the bearish pressure, and would clear the way for a test of the daily high at $23.68. According to fxstreet
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
Silver could dive againUnlike Gold, Silver corrected the steep Monday's drop in the same day, and confirmed old support as resistance.
In the past days the price consolidated in a range and a new drop is probable at this point.
I will look to sell rallies and only a close above resistance would change my bearish opinion
Silver- New leg down soon?After proving 28 zone as a strong resistance, Silver has started to roll back just to find 25.50 zone as support.
One month of consolidation followed and at this point, XagUsd looks ready to break down.
23.80 support could be bears target and Silver back above 27 would negate this scenario
Silver- back to 23.80 support?Silver is trading in a range for 2 weeks now with a clear ceiling at 26.50.
Bulls are unable to take control and drive the price above this level and XagUsd keeps rolling down to support
A breakdown seems imminent for Silver and short-sellers can have a target under 24.
Sell rallies above 26 can be a good strategy and only a clear close above 26.50 would negate this scenario
Silver remains on course for successThe silver price (XAG/USD) has been in an upward trend since the end of November, with rising highs and lows.
Silver is currently performing much better than gold, which is why we clearly prefer this asset.
As long as the support at USD 26.70 and USD 25.90 is not sustainably undercut, we expect a further upward movement to the make of USD 29.30. The next high will be on February 24.
The next high is expected on 24 February (+/-).
(Our turning dates have an average tolerance of 3 days. In 80% of the cases it is 2 days).
Note:
Within our G.I. Swing trading strategy uses three special analysis methods. In this article, only partial aspects were published and does not represent a complete trading system, investment advice or purchase recommendation.
Silver- 26 is strong resistance nowAfter dropping around 18% from last week s top, Silver found support on Monday at 24.30 and started to rise.
The rise is clearly corrective in nature and it looks like a flag.
I expect gains to be very well capped around 26 resistance and we can expect a new wave of sales from here.
A good target for sellers can be 24.50