SILVER - The ShiningSilver intermediate cycle bottomed with gold on the 30th November.
Silver didn't have that serious decline at the end of the last intermediate cycle
like gold.
Notice that we were in a consolidation box for 4 months and today we broke out.
Is it too late to enter the party?
No. We are still early in this game and I think silver will run to 42 and maybe to 50 in the following 3-4 months.
I've already posted my thoughts regarding the XAUXAG ratio:
If you are looking for targets in silver I suggest to read the idea above .
If you are not in a position yet I would wait for a backtest of the consolidation box at 26.00$. If you already in a position I would increase the position size at 26$.
We have a lot of time in this trade before we have to worry about a top.
TSI is just turning up and RSI just reached the overbought territory.
RSI can stay overbought for a month or more just like last summer.
I will set this idea as a long idea as we broke out of the box but I would wait for a backtest at 26$ before entering.
Xagusdidea
Silver- buy dips for a break of 26As always, Silver is showing a more clear picture than Gold...
On Monday, similar to Gold, we have a false break of support, marked here with a strong reversal Pin Bar on H4. After this fake break, Silver re-entered its familiar range between 24.50 and 26.
Yesterday the intraday spike on Gold also affected Silver and bulls managed to keep 25 important zone intact.
At the time of writing Silver is trading at 25.90, just under important 26 resistance.
I expect a pullback from this resistance and this can be a good opportunity for bulls to buy dips for a break above.
This outlook is valid as long as 25 remains intact
Silver could drop under 24 In my 2 days ago analysis on Silver I said that the rise from 24.50 is clearly corrective in nature and rallies towards 26 should be sold.
At the time of writing, Silver looks like it carved a local top and a lower high and it is resuming its bearish trajectory.
I'm bearish Silver in this context and I expect a new leg down under 24.
Gains should be very well capped by 26 resistance at this point
Silver- 26 is strong resistance nowAfter dropping around 18% from last week s top, Silver found support on Monday at 24.30 and started to rise.
The rise is clearly corrective in nature and it looks like a flag.
I expect gains to be very well capped around 26 resistance and we can expect a new wave of sales from here.
A good target for sellers can be 24.50
Silver- Eyes on 30Just like Gold, Silver also had a good start of the year with price breaking above pennant resistance and confirming its strong bullish trend.
As it was normal, 27.50 offered resistance and I believe this is just a pit stop in this uptrend
Yesterday Silver confirmed 26.80 as new support and I expect an acceleration to the upside once 27.50 is cleared
For this outlook to stay valid the price needs to stay above 26.50 and, as the title says, my medium-term target is 30
Silver- 30usd in January?As I said before, in a bullish scenario, in my opinion, Silver has more to gain than Gold.
And as we can see from the chart, XagUsd has spent the last part of December above important horizontal support from 25 and also above the descending trend line. giving us a clear bullish bias.
Last days of 2020 the price of Siver consolidated and formed a pennant which also gives us reasons to be bullish and hopes for a continuation to the upside.
My strategy is to buy dips around 26 and only a daily close under 25 would change my bullish outlook
Silver- short term outlookAfter reaching a top at 27.40, Silver dropped quickly to 25 zone support. The price acted like a falling ball, with this 25 as a floor and lower and lower rebounds.
On an H1 chart, we can see a small double bottom forming, with the neck-line at 25.50, resistance which coincides with the falling trendline. A break above would expose 26 important resistance in the short term.
I'm bullish as long as the price stays above 25 zone
Silver- 28 next?As usual, Silver is more volatile than Gold, and yesterday's 500 daily range on XauUsd translated in more than 2500 pips volatility for Silver. But, also here, nothing is changed from a medium-term perspective. The drop from 27.40, although very violent, is nothing more than confirmation for 25 as strong support.
At the time of writing Silver is trading stable above 26 resistance and I expect the bull run to continue towards 28.
On the short term, dips should be bought and the bullish scenario remains intact as long as we don't have a daily close under 25
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Silver- Best place to buy itAs I said in my previous analysis, in a bullish scenario ( which I definitely expect ), Silver has more to gain than Gold. ...
Last week Silver was on the run, same as Gold, but, as usual, things are more clear here from the technical point of view.
On Tuesday XagUsd broke above 2 important resistances, the descending trend line resistance and the horizontal and psychological 25 figure. After reaching my short term target at 26, on Friday, we have consolidation and a slightly corrective move. I expect the price to continue up and gains to accelerate after 26 breaks and, more important, I expect Silver to reach 30 in the first trimester of 2021.
25.50 followed by 25 could be a great place for bulls to enter trades and only a break back under 23.50 would delay this scenario.
Silver- my 25 target is in focusAs I said yesterday, I expect 23.50 support to hold and bulls can target 25 for their long trades.
Silver was very well bid yesterday all through the day and every dip was bought.
Now Silver is trading 1% above 24 figure and I expect a new challenge of 25 soon. A break above 24.30 should accelerate gains towards this target
Silver- Bullish also on short term (H1 outlook)A few minutes ago I made an analysis and explained why I'm bullish Silver in the long term.
Looking at H1 chart we can see that XagUsd is also bullish in the short term...
After the drop from 2 weeks ago and the low from Monday, Silver recovered quickly and price and up just under 24.50 zone important resistance.
In this H1 chart, we can clearly see that price is pressing this resistance and it formed an ascending triangle.
A break to the upside should accelerate gains towards 26 resistance.
Interim resistance are 25 and 25.50 and 23.50 is strong support now
Dips towards this support should be bought and also buying the break can be a good strategy
Silver- To resume its aggressive uptrend?As always, when things are not so clear with Gold, I look at Silver, is more technical and often gives me "clues"
As I said in a previous analysis, unlike Gold, Silver didn't made a new local low this week and stopped in strong 22 support.
This week was finished with a bullish engulfing from this support and adding this fact to the bull trend that we are already in, I expect a continuation to the upside.
For a clear confirmation, XagUsd needs to conquer 24.50 resistance and I expect acceleration to the next important resistance at 26.
As long as the price is above 22 buy dips is my strategy
Silver could dropIn yesterday's comment I said that 24.40-24.50 is the line in the sand for Silver and as we can see from the chart, XagUsd stopped its ascent just under this level.
Similar to Gold we can have a correction also here and a drop under 24 should clarify things.
23.50 and 23.00 could be good targets for bears with 1:3 R:R in the case you target the later.
On the other hand, a break above 24.50 would call for a 25 zone test (trend line)
Silver- 24.40- 24.50 zone is the line in the sandSince August top at 30, Silver dropped 8usd (if we consider the low) which is approx 25%.
The drop is clearly corrective in nature and, unlike Gold, Silver didn't make a new low.
Now XagUsd is trading just under an important confluence resistance zone and a break and daily close above would signal the end of this correction
On the short term 23.50-23.60 zone is support now and dips towards this zone should be bought with a target around 24.40 resistance
Silver looks very differentThe price of Silver also dropped at the beginning of the week, but the chart looks very different than Gold's.
First of all, we don't have a new medium-term low for Silver with the price stopping its descent just under 23. Second, from the last low, we have higher hights on our chart and the price looks very well supported by bulls.
A break of this short term consolidation can put the price again above 24 and also could signal that the correction for Silver is done and the precious metal could resume its uptrend.
I'm bullish Silver, more than Gold:)