Could the Silver Price Hit $100 per Ounce?The silver market has long attracted investors due to its potential for significant returns. Recently, Keith Neumeyer, CEO of First Majestic Silver, has been vocal about his belief that silver could reach $100 per ounce or even higher. This article explores the factors that could drive such a dramatic increase and examines the realism of this prediction.
Historical Context and Recent Performance
Silver has experienced notable gains since 2020, hitting a nearly 12-year high of $32.33 per ounce in May 2024. Neumeyer's prediction of silver reaching $100 per ounce has been discussed in various interviews, including those with Palisade Radio, Wall Street Silver(, and Kitco.
Factors Supporting Neumeyer’s Prediction
1. Market Cycles and Historical Trends : Neumeyer draws parallels between the current market and the early 2000s, suggesting a similar rebound in commodity prices.
2. Supply-Demand Imbalance : There is a significant deficit in the silver market due to increasing industrial demand from technologies such as electric vehicles and renewable energy sources.
3. Industrial Demand : Silver's applications in renewable energy and electronics are growing, with reports from (metalsfocus.com) highlighting a substantial expected deficit in 2024.
4. Potential Catalysts : Major investments, like those from high-profile investors such as Elon Musk, could drive silver prices up dramatically.
Challenges and Consideratio ns
1. Geopolitical and Economic Stability : Factors like the US dollar's strength, Federal Reserve policies, and global tensions will impact silver prices.
2. Market Manipulation : Concerns about manipulation in the silver market could suppress potential price increases.
3. Historical Price Movements : Historical peaks just under $50 per ounce indicate that a significant shift in investor behavior is needed to reach $100.
Expert Opinions and Outlook
Opinions vary among industry experts. While Peter Krauth of Silver Stock Investor shares Neumeyer’s optimism, suggesting silver could eventually reach $300, others like David Morgan and Gareth Soloway see more conservative targets around $50 per ounce in the near term.
Conclusion
While $100 per ounce for silver is possible, it requires a mix of favorable conditions, including a substantial supply deficit and rising industrial demand. Neumeyer presents compelling arguments for a bullish outlook, but investors should consider a broad range of data and expert insights before making investment decisions.
Xagusdlong
XAGUSDSilver price is poised for a bullish move on the 4H timeframe, following the Elliott Wave 1-2-3-4-5 pattern. After completing the 4th wave with a 50% retracement, it’s now positioned within a bullish flag pattern. The setup suggests an impending bullish impulse move, confirming the continuation of the uptrend.
Unveiling the Reasons Behind Last Month's Silver Price Surge Silver, the lustrous metal often overshadowed by its golden counterpart, experienced a remarkable price surge last month. While gold continues to hold a certain allure, it's silver that's been making headlines. Let's delve deeper into the factors that propelled silver to the forefront of the precious metals market.
A Tale of Two Forces: Supply and Demand
The price of any commodity is a delicate balance between supply and demand. In the case of silver, both sides of the equation have played a role in the recent price hike.
On the Demand Side: A Silver Lining
• Industrial Applications Take Center Stage: Silver's industrial applications have been steadily growing, particularly in the green energy sector. Solar panels are a prime example, as silver is a crucial component in their conductive layers. As the world transitions towards renewable energy sources, the demand for silver is expected to rise proportionally.
• A Reliable Ally in Electronics: Beyond solar, silver is a vital element in a vast array of electronic devices. From smartphones and laptops to medical equipment, its conductive properties make it irreplaceable. The ever-increasing reliance on technology further fuels the demand for silver.
• Investment Haven: Investors often turn to precious metals like silver as a hedge against inflation. When traditional currencies lose purchasing power, silver's perceived value can rise, attracting investors seeking a safe haven for their assets.
Supply Under Pressure:
• Mining Challenges: Silver is often mined as a byproduct of other metals, primarily lead and zinc. Fluctuations in the production of these base metals can indirectly impact silver supply. Additionally, stricter environmental regulations can make silver mining more complex and expensive.
• Geopolitical Uncertainty: Global political instability can disrupt supply chains, impacting the flow of silver from major mining regions. This uncertainty adds another layer of complexity to the silver market.
The Perfect Storm: When Demand Outpaces Supply
The confluence of these factors – rising demand from various sectors and potential constraints on supply – has created a situation where demand is outpacing supply. This imbalance is a key driver behind the recent surge in silver prices.
China's Silver Appetite: A Force to Be Reckoned With
China deserves a special mention in the silver story. The world's second-largest economy is a major consumer of silver, with its demand playing a significant role in influencing global prices. China's booming industrial sector and growing investment in renewable energy further amplify its impact on the silver market.
Looking Ahead: A Silver Future?
The future of silver prices remains uncertain. Several factors, including global economic conditions, technological advancements, and geopolitical developments, will influence its trajectory. However, the current trends suggest that silver's industrial importance and potential as an inflation hedge will continue to drive demand.
Beyond the Bling: Silver's True Value
While silver's shiny exterior has always held aesthetic appeal, its true value lies in its versatility. From adorning our bodies to powering our technological advancements, silver is an essential element in the modern world. The recent price surge highlights the growing recognition of this multifaceted metal. Whether silver maintains its upward climb or experiences a correction, its role in the global market is undeniable. So, the next time you see a piece of silver jewelry, remember – it's not just about aesthetics; it's a testament to the vital role this metal plays in our world.
XAGUSD tm:1hHello traders.
I hope you doing well.
These areas are based on my personal strategy and I will share it with you.
Open a sell position on the supply area or open a buy position on the demand area.
Your entry point, stop loss, and target point are based on money management and the amount of money in your trading account.
But I promise you that by trading in the areas of my trading strategy, you will definitely make a profit, because these areas, although they seem simple, are my experience of 8 years of learning and trading.
I hope you will achieve maximum continuous profit with me by using supply and demand areas.
Good luck traders.
Mohammad Goodarzi
SILVER: Small Corrections And Then Shoots Up! TVC:SILVER
Expecting small correction to our identified area, and a strong bounce from our region is expected. The trend is still extremely bullish however, as we said price is making a correction once it completed and at the rejection we can enter.
**If you like the idea then please like,comment and follow us**
Team Setupsfx_
XAGUSD (Silver) Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaSilver (XAGUSD) has exhibited a robust bullish trend on the daily timeframe. We’re currently seeking a buy opportunity aligning with the trend continuation, assuming price action plays out as per the analysis presented in the video. The video covers essential aspects such as trend analysis, price action, market structure, and a potential trade idea. Remember to manage risk diligently when trading, and note that this information is purely educational and not financial advice. 📈👍
XAGUSD (Silver) Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn a recent video, I discussed a trade idea ahead of the ongoing XAGUSD (Silver) bull rally. Since then, we’ve witnessed a notable bearish movement. I’m closely monitoring the current price level for another potential buying opportunity, contingent upon price action confirming my analysis from the video. The market is currently exhibiting sideways movement, and if we patiently await increased volatility both above and below the range, we may be well-positioned to capitalize on a bullish trend. Specifically, I’m eyeing a break, re-test, and failure of the range on the 15-minute chart, provided we observe higher highs or lows forming.
The video delves into critical elements such as trend analysis, price action insights, market structure, and a potential trade setup. As always, exercise prudent risk management when trading, and remember that this information serves an educational purpose and is not financial advice. 🚀📊
Silver Futures Under Pressure Yet Targets Remain Intact Today'sToday's silver futures are experiencing some pressure, reflecting a challenging day for the precious metal.
Yesterday, there were outflows in the portfolio on June 25 from strikes of 32.5/35. Outflows of funds from the portfolio are partial and did not lead to the liquidation of the portfolio, which indicates the management of the portfolio in a negative scenario, however, they do not cancel the most bullish idea in the medium and long term.
Despite this, the previously set targets based on the significant positions held by informed market participants mostly unchanged. in addition, it is not the first time that extremely aggressive portfolios appear, aiming at the area of 45-50 dollars.
It's a reminder that in the commodities market, short-term fluctuations are often just noise against the backdrop of longer-term trends and targets.
SILVER XAGUSD Bullish Robbery PlanMy Dear Silver Robbers / Traders,
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Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic resistance level, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next target.
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Up to 207% gains in SilverSilver has given a strong impulsive break out from the long term trendline resistance after long accumulation phase.
Big volume candles since July 2023 confirm healthy accumulation by strong hands.
Currently price is in Primary Wave 3 which can end somewhere near 66 level. A potential gain of 135% by end of this year.
Wave 5 target is around 87-88 levels which can be achieved by the end of 2026. Around 207% gains from CMP within 3 years.
Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
Peace!!
SILVER Seeks Support at $22.00 Amidst Rate Cut ExpectationsOn Monday, silver experienced a sharp downturn, revisiting the $22.00 mark, reflecting a more than 2.5% decrease from its previous close. Market participants swiftly adjusted their expectations of early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), leading to a substantial sell-off in the white metal.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the current price is positioned in a crucial support area around $22.00. This zone is fortified by a dynamic trendline, historically supportive of price rebounds. Additionally, the 78.6% Fibonacci level acts as a potential discount area, offering a foundation for the price to find support. The Stochastic indicator remains in oversold conditions, signaling the potential for a rebound. Anticipating a recovery, our outlook targets a return to $24.50 and $26.00 in extension.
Economic Landscape:
Turning to economic news, the CME Fedwatch tool suggests that investors are now eyeing a potential interest rate cut in May. This shift in sentiment is attributed to persistent price pressures driven by robust household spending and favorable labor market conditions. The upcoming focus of the week will be on the release of United States Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data scheduled for Thursday. A positive GDP reading would reinforce the narrative of 'higher interest rates,' aligning with the Fed's cautious approach towards premature rate cuts.
Outlook:
As silver grapples with the $22.00 support, the interplay of technical factors and market sentiment becomes crucial. The dynamic trendline and Fibonacci support offer a potential springboard for a price rebound. However, the economic landscape, particularly the GDP data release, will significantly influence the metal's trajectory. Traders are advised to closely monitor developments to navigate potential price fluctuations in the coming days.
Conclusion:
The silver market finds itself at a critical juncture, seeking support at $22.00 amid shifting expectations of Fed rate cuts. Technical indicators suggest the potential for a rebound, yet the economic data release later in the week will undoubtedly play a pivotal role in determining silver's path. Traders should exercise caution, staying adaptable to evolving market dynamics as they unfold throughout the week.
Our preference
Long positions Above Support Area $20 with targets at 24.50 & 26 in extension.
SILVER View following by gold! Shorts gonna playin" sooner!Spot silver
XAGUSD1! rose 0.7% to $25.15 per ounce, platinum
PL1! was up 0.2% at $909.76 and palladium
XPDUSD1! climbed 0.9% to $1,023.95.
Gold prices rose to a record high on Monday, as a softer U.S. inflation reading cemented bets that the Federal Reserve would deliver its first interest rate cut of the year in June.
Spot gold
GOLDwas up 1.2% at $2,258.53 per ounce, as of 0815 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,262.19 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures GOLD gained 1.8% to $2,279.50.
"The absence of any upside surprises in the core PCE price index release may have provided further go-ahead for gold prices to push into new record territory," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong, referring to the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index report.
The core reading now at its lowest level in almost two years potentially offers some validation for the Fed to kick-start its rate-cutting process sooner rather than later, Jun Rong said.
The latest U.S. inflation data is "along the lines of what we would like to see," Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday. U.S. prices moderated in February, with the PCE price index rising 0.3%, data showed.
Traders are currently pricing in a 69% probability that the Fed would begin cutting rates in June, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Gold logged its biggest monthly rise in more than three years in March after a blistering rally fuelled by rate-cut bets, strong safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
"Today's price action is happening in a very low liquidity environment – most European and many APAC markets are still closed for Easter Monday. So, it would not be surprising to see these moves reverse when participation rebuilds later in the week," said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.
XAGUSD pullback entry opportunity.From my analysis(excluding fundamentals, as they can change over time) I have found quite a good place to enter long positions if Silver has a pullback. We may expect a pullback because Silver is at a price which had a history of being rejected. So maybe this will be a great trading opportunity, I have mapped out a possible entry with an RR of 4. But remember that it is a must to check the fundamentals, as they can influence the price.
XAGUSD
XAGUSD appears to be exhibiting a bullish trend on the daily timeframe, supported by an ascending channel and ABC pattern. The recent falling wedge breakout followed by a successful retest suggests further upside potential. It's prudent to await confirmation through bullish price action before considering entry into the market.
Silver: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Silver
Pattern – Breakout test.
Support – 21.90, 22.84
Resistance – 23,45 23.19
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Silver on the daily chart.
Looking at Silver, we see that price continues to pull back after breaking out of a triangle-based squeeze pattern. This is fine after a breakout but we want to see 22.84 hold as support for buyers. If it does, we will look for a move to retest resistance, set up a range break, and possibly confirm a new up trend.
If sellers break 22.84 support, this could be a worry, and if other factors weigh in, like metals sector selling and or a firmer USD, this could lead to deeper tests to the downside.
Do you think buyers can hold and set up a new push higher?
Good trading.