Get started

Xagusdshort

XAGUSD Double Top Pattern – Bearish Reversal Targeting $22 Zone" 🔎 Key Zones and Annotations Explained 🟥 Resistance Level (Supply Zone): Marked in red, this level represents a historical supply area where sellers consistently outweigh buyers. Multiple rejections from this zone confirm its strength. 🔄 RS Interchange (Support-Turned-Resistance): This area around 26.00 – 27.50 has previously acted as support and could now act as resistance if price attempts to retrace upward after breaking down. 📉 Bearish Projection Path: A potential price trajectory is illustrated with a zigzagging downward pattern, reflecting corrective moves and retests. If the neckline is breached convincingly, this projection suggests continued bearish follow-through toward the 22.00 region. 🎯 Trade Setup and Risk Plan Entry Trigger: Short position considered after confirmation of neckline break (~29.50), ideally on a weekly candle close below this level or a successful bearish retest of broken support. Stop Loss Placement: Above the resistance highs at 35.57, which would invalidate the double top and signal possible trend continuation. Profit Target: Based on the measured move of the double top (height from resistance to neckline), we target the 22.42 – 22.46 region. This aligns with previous support and a psychological round level, making it a strong candidate for price reaction. ⚠️ Risk Management Considerations Always use defined position sizing and risk-reward ratios. A minimum of 1:2 RR is recommended. Confirm breakdowns with volume spikes, momentum divergence, or break of trendlines for added confluence. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data (like inflation rates, Fed interest rate decisions, and USD index strength) which can heavily impact the value of precious metals like Silver. 📘 Educational Insight: Why Double Tops Work The double top is a psychological failure pattern. The first top attracts buyers expecting a breakout, but when price returns to that level and fails again, it often triggers mass liquidation and new short entries, especially when the neckline support fails. This builds downward momentum, making it a favorite pattern among swing and position traders. 🏁 Conclusion This weekly chart of XAGUSD paints a clear picture: Silver may have topped out in the short-to-mid term. If the double top confirms and neckline breaks, expect a sizable correction back into the lower $20s. The risk is clearly defined, and the reward potential is high. Patience and confirmation are key. 💬 What Do You Think? Do you agree with this bearish outlook on Silver? Are you waiting for confirmation before entering? Drop your thoughts or analysis below! 📌 T ags/Hashtags #XAGUSD #Silver #DoubleTop #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPatterns #SwingTrading #Commodities #PriceAction #Forex #BearishSetup #Metals #TradingView #GoldAndSilver #ShortTradeSetup
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by ScalpTraderPro
#XAGUSD 1HXAGUSD (1H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is approaching a key resistance zone on the 1-hour timeframe. Previous reactions at this level suggest that sellers have been active, making it an important area to monitor for potential price rejection. Forecast: A sell opportunity may be considered if the price gets rejected from the resistance area with bearish confirmation signals. A failure to break above the resistance could lead to downward movement. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Consider selling near the resistance zone after clear confirmation of rejection. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Positioned above the resistance area to protect against unexpected breakouts. - Take Profit: Aim for nearby support levels or previous lows. Market Sentiment: As long as the price respects the resistance level and bearish confirmations appear, selling pressure could increase. A clear breakout above resistance would invalidate the current bearish setup.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
XAGUSD Weekly Analysis – Double Top Formation & Breakdown🧱 Chart Pattern Identified: Double Top Formation The chart displays a classic Double Top pattern, a bearish reversal structure typically found at the end of an uptrend. This pattern forms when price reaches a resistance level twice, fails to break above it both times, and eventually breaks the neckline/support level, confirming a shift in market sentiment. 🔍 Key Components of the Chart: 1. Resistance Level (Tops) – ~$34.25 The market formed two significant peaks around the same level — labeled Top 1 and Top 2. This level has proven strong resistance, as price was rejected both times after testing this zone. This zone is marked with a light orange rectangle and a horizontal blue line labeled "Resistance Level". 2. Support Level (Neckline) – ~$28.80 This level served as the neckline of the Double Top. After the second top, the price sharply declined and is currently approaching this key support zone, highlighted again in light orange. A clean break and close below this zone on the weekly timeframe will be a strong confirmation of the bearish reversal. 3. Trendline Break – Bearish Shift in Momentum A rising black dashed trendline supported the prior uptrend. Price action has now broken below this trendline with strong bearish momentum, indicating that buyers have lost control. This trendline break adds confluence to the bearish setup, supporting the validity of the pattern. 4. Bearish Projection Target – ~$22.47 The target is projected using the height of the Double Top pattern. Measured from the resistance level ($34.25) to the support ($28.80), the vertical distance is ~5.45 USD. Subtracting this from the neckline gives us a projected target: 28.80 - 5.45 = ~23.35 (rounded down to ~22.47 for technical cluster support). This target area is marked with a blue arrow and labeled "Target" near the horizontal support at $22.47. 5. Stop Loss – ~$34.25 The logical invalidation point is placed just above the resistance zone and the second top. A move above this level would invalidate the double top pattern, signaling that bulls have regained control. 📈 Price Action and Candlestick Behavior The strong bearish weekly candle that broke below the trendline shows a decisive shift in sentiment. The candle's large body and long range confirm institutional selling interest. Volume (if shown) would likely support the move, but even price structure alone is highly telling here. 🎯 Trading Strategy & Setup Component Details Entry On a confirmed break and retest of $28.80 support (neckline) Stop Loss Above $34.25 (Top 2) Target $22.47 Risk/Reward ~1:2 or better Timeframe Weekly (Swing Trade) Bias Bearish 🧠 Concluding Notes This chart provides a high-probability bearish setup rooted in classical charting principles. The Double Top is one of the most reliable reversal patterns, especially when: Formed after a prolonged uptrend (as seen here), Confirmed with a trendline break, Followed by strong bearish momentum toward the neckline. Traders should monitor the support zone around $28.80 closely for a potential breakdown. If confirmed, the target near $22.47 becomes a realistic medium-term objective.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver Breakdown: Rising Wedge Bearish Move Towards Target1. Chart Overview This 4-hour (H4) chart of Silver (XAG/USD) shows a clear Rising Wedge Pattern, a bearish technical formation. The price action recently broke below the lower support trendline, confirming a downside move. Several key levels, indicators, and trading strategies can be derived from this setup. 2. Identified Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal) A Rising Wedge is a pattern that forms when price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines, with the support line rising at a steeper angle than the resistance line. This pattern is considered bearish because it signals weakening buying pressure and an impending breakdown. Uptrend Formation: The price had been moving within a wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows. Volume Considerations: A wedge breakout is often accompanied by increasing volume, further confirming the trend shift. Breakout Confirmation: The price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating that sellers are taking control. 3. Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy Resistance Level (Rejection Zone) – $34.00 - $34.50 The upper boundary of the rising wedge acted as strong resistance. Multiple price rejections confirm sellers' dominance in this area. Any future retest of this level may provide a new opportunity for short entries. Support Level (Broken & Retested) – $32.50 - $32.80 This zone previously acted as strong support, preventing price from falling lower. Now that price has broken this support level, it could act as resistance if a retest occurs. A confirmed rejection here will further validate the bearish outlook. Stop Loss Placement – $34.16 A logical stop-loss placement is slightly above the previous swing high and resistance area. If price moves above this level, it would indicate that the breakdown has failed, invalidating the bearish setup. Bearish Target – $30.76 (Measured Move Projection) This level is derived from the height of the rising wedge pattern projected downward. The area around $30.76 aligns with a previous support zone, making it a reasonable target for the current breakdown. 4. Price Action & Future Expectations Current Market Sentiment: Bearish The break below the wedge confirms a bearish sentiment. A slight retracement to the previous support (now resistance) around $32.80 - $33.00 is possible before further downside. If selling pressure remains strong, Silver is likely to reach the $30.76 target in the coming sessions. Alternative Scenario: Bullish Recovery If the price moves back above $34.16, the bearish outlook is invalidated. A sustained move above this level could indicate a false breakdown and may push Silver toward new highs. 5. Trading Plan Based on This Setup 🔹 Entry Strategy: Look for a retest of the broken support zone ($32.80 - $33.00) to enter short positions. A rejection from this level with bearish confirmation (e.g., a bearish engulfing candle) strengthens the trade setup. 🔹 Stop Loss: Placed above the wedge resistance at $34.16 to protect against false breakouts. 🔹 Take Profit Targets: First Target: $31.50 (intermediate support level) Final Target: $30.76 (measured move projection of the wedge) 6. Conclusion This Rising Wedge Breakdown on Silver’s H4 chart presents a strong bearish trading opportunity with a well-defined risk-reward ratio. The break below key support signals continued downside, with $30.76 as the next major target. However, traders should monitor any retest of the broken support zone to confirm further selling momentum before entering new positions.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupMarket Overview & Context Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows over the past few weeks. However, recent price action suggests a potential shift in momentum as a bearish Rising Wedge pattern emerges. This technical pattern often signals a possible trend reversal or correction. This analysis focuses on a 4-hour (H4) chart, which provides a medium-term perspective for traders. The market has recently encountered a strong resistance zone, and multiple price rejections indicate a potential downward move. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when the price moves higher within two converging trendlines. This structure suggests that while buyers are still in control, their momentum is weakening. Key Characteristics of the Rising Wedge in This Chart: Uptrend with Weakening Momentum: The price has been rising, but the higher highs are becoming less aggressive. The slope of the highs is flatter compared to the lows, which indicates declining bullish strength. Converging Trendlines: The price is getting squeezed between support and resistance. This tightening range typically precedes a breakout, with a higher probability of a bearish breakdown. Bearish Implications: A breakdown below the wedge’s lower trendline confirms bearish sentiment. The price could drop sharply toward the next major support level if sellers gain control. Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy 1️⃣ Resistance Zone (Supply Area) – $34.50 to $34.60 The price has repeatedly tested but failed to break above this zone. This confirms that sellers are active in this area, leading to multiple rejections. A strong supply zone, making it an ideal stop-loss placement for short trades. 2️⃣ Support Level (Demand Area) – $30.50 to $30.60 This level has acted as major support in previous price action. If the breakdown occurs, this is the primary downside target for sellers. 3️⃣ Stop Loss – $34.61 Positioned just above resistance to minimize risk exposure. Ensures that if price moves against the trade, losses are contained. Trading Plan & Execution 📉 Short (Sell) Setup – Bearish Breakdown Expected ✅ Entry: A confirmed breakout below the rising wedge’s support trendline (~$33.50 - $33.80). ✅ Stop Loss: Placed slightly above $34.61, ensuring risk control. ✅ Target: $30.56, aligning with previous support zones and technical projections. Risk-Reward Analysis Entry at breakdown (~$33.50) Stop loss (~$34.61) – Risk: ~1.1 points Target (~$30.56) – Reward: ~2.9 points Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:3, making this a highly favorable short setup. Confirmation Signals to Watch Before Entering a Trade 📉 Break and Retest of Support as Resistance If price breaks below wedge support and retests it as new resistance, it strengthens the bearish case. 📉 Volume Spike on Breakdown A sharp increase in volume when breaking support confirms strong selling pressure. 📉 RSI Divergence (Bearish Signal) If the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows lower highs while the price makes higher highs, it suggests momentum weakness and a pending breakdown. Potential Trading Scenarios 📌 Bearish Scenario (High Probability) – Breakdown Confirmation If the price breaks below the wedge’s lower trendline and closes below $33.50, it will likely accelerate downward toward $30.56. Traders should enter short positions and hold for the target while managing risk with stop-loss levels. 📌 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability) – Invalidating the Pattern If the price breaks above $34.60 and holds, the rising wedge pattern is invalidated. This would signal continued bullish strength, and traders should avoid short positions. Conclusion & Final Thoughts ✅ The Rising Wedge Pattern suggests a potential bearish reversal in Silver (XAG/USD). ✅ If the price breaks the lower trendline, a drop toward $30.56 is highly probable. ✅ Traders should wait for confirmation signals before entering a trade. ✅ Risk management is crucial, with a stop-loss above $34.61 to minimize exposure. 🔹 This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity, making it ideal for traders seeking short positions in Silver.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAG/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown To Bearish Trade Setup1. Overview of the Chart This chart represents Silver (XAG/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe from the OANDA exchange. The price action has formed a Rising Wedge pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal formation. This suggests that a potential breakdown could lead to a significant decline in price. 2. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation A Rising Wedge consists of a narrowing price range with higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the support line (bottom trendline) is steeper than the resistance line (top trendline). This signals weakening bullish momentum, as buyers are struggling to push the price higher, and sellers are stepping in. Rising Wedges typically break downward due to the loss of buying strength. 3. Key Technical Levels and Market Structure A. Resistance Level (Highlighted in Beige Box - $34.50 to $34.80) This zone has acted as a supply area, where price struggles to break higher. The price touched this level multiple times, failing to hold above it, which increases the probability of a reversal. B. Support Level (Highlighted in Blue Box - Around $33.50) This is a critical short-term support where buyers previously stepped in. A break below this zone would indicate a confirmation of the wedge breakdown and further downside potential. C. Stop Loss Level (Marked at $34.80) Placed above the resistance zone, ensuring protection if price invalidates the pattern and moves higher instead. This aligns with a logical risk-management strategy to minimize losses if the setup fails. D. Bearish Breakdown Projection & Target (Marked at $30.46) The projected target aligns with previous structure support, meaning price may find buyers around this level. This level is determined by measuring the height of the wedge and projecting it downward from the breakout point. 4. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 📌 Short (Sell) Trade Setup: Entry: Enter a short position once price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with strong bearish momentum (e.g., a big red candle closing below support). A possible retest of the broken support could provide a second entry opportunity. Stop Loss: Set at $34.80, above resistance, to ensure the trade is protected against invalidation. Take Profit (Target): First target: $32.50 (psychological level and minor support). Final target: $30.46 (major support and full pattern breakdown projection). 5. Market Psychology & Confirmation Signals Why This Setup is Bearish? Price action shows higher highs but with decreasing strength, signaling bull exhaustion. The Rising Wedge is a well-known bearish structure, and its breakdown typically leads to a strong sell-off. Volume confirmation: If the breakdown happens with high volume, it strengthens the bearish case. What to Watch For? A decisive bearish candle closing below the wedge support confirms the short setup. If price retests the broken trendline and fails to reclaim it, it provides a second opportunity for entry. Avoid entering if price consolidates near resistance instead of breaking down. 6. Conclusion: Bearish Bias & Trading Edge The Rising Wedge formation suggests that Silver is losing bullish momentum and could break down. Key levels and structure provide a well-defined trade setup, ensuring a good risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakdown before entering a short position. 📉 Bearish Outlook – Price likely to drop toward $30.46 target ⚠️ Risk Management is crucial – Stop Loss at $34.80 🎯 Breakdown confirmation needed before entering short positions Would you like me to refine any part or add more insights? 😊
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
5
(XAG/USD) weekly Forcast – Double Top Breakdown & Bearish SetupThis detailed technical analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe highlights a potential bearish reversal forming through a Double Top pattern. This setup suggests that Silver could be gearing up for a major decline, provided key confirmation levels are met. Let’s break it down thoroughly. 📌 1. Understanding the Chart Pattern – Double Top Formation A Double Top is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend, signaling that buyers are losing strength and sellers are taking control. 🔹 Key Phases of the Double Top: 1️⃣ First Top (Top 1) Silver initially rallied to a major resistance zone ($34.5 - $35). The price failed to break higher, leading to a correction. This rejection signals heavy selling pressure at this level. 2️⃣ Pullback to the Neckline ($28.5 - $29) After the first peak, the price retraced to a critical support area known as the neckline. This level acts as a decision point—either price bounces or breaks lower. 3️⃣ Second Top (Top 2) – Bull Trap? Silver made another attempt to break through $34.5 - $35, but once again, sellers defended this level. The failure to set a new higher high confirms weakness, forming the second peak. This second rejection adds credibility to the Double Top pattern, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move. 4️⃣ The Crucial Neckline Test The neckline around $28.5 - $29 is the most critical level to watch. A clean daily close below this level would confirm the breakdown and trigger a strong bearish trend. 📍 2. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure 🔴 Resistance Level ($34.5 - $35) – Strong Selling Zone This area has repeatedly rejected price advances, indicating high supply. A breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 🔵 Support & Neckline ($28.5 - $29) – The Make-or-Break Zone A break below this level would complete the Double Top pattern and confirm the bearish trend. If buyers defend this area, Silver could see short-term consolidation before another breakout attempt. 🎯 Target Price ($22 - $23) – Where Silver Could Be Headed The measured move (distance from top to neckline) suggests a potential drop to $22 - $23. This aligns with historical support zones, making it a reasonable target. 🚨 Stop Loss Area ($35.2 - $35.5) – Risk Management If Silver invalidates the pattern and closes above $35.2 - $35.5, the bearish setup is no longer valid. Traders should cut losses early if price regains bullish momentum. 📊 3. Trading Setup & Execution Plan 🔻 Bearish Trading Plan (Short Entry): ✅ Entry Point: Enter a short position after a confirmed neckline break below $28.5 - $29. Wait for a break-and-retest of this level to confirm the bearish move. ✅ Stop Loss: Place stop loss above $35.2 - $35.5, just beyond the resistance level. This protects against false breakouts and sudden bullish reversals. ✅ Take Profit Targets: Primary target: $24.5 - $25 (first support zone). Final target: $22 - $23 (measured move completion). 📉 4. Market Sentiment & Technical Outlook 📌 Why This Setup is Important: The Double Top pattern is a well-established bearish signal. Price failed to create a new high, showing that buying momentum is fading. The neckline breakdown will confirm that sellers are in control, pushing price lower. 📌 What Could Invalidate This Setup? If Silver breaks and closes above $35.5, it would signal that bulls have regained strength. A strong rally above this level could send Silver towards $37 - $38 instead. 🔎 Final Thoughts – Will Silver Collapse or Hold? The chart suggests a bearish bias, but confirmation is key! A breakdown below $28.5 - $29 would activate the Double Top pattern, leading to a potential drop. If Silver bounces off the neckline, then we might see consolidation or a reversal instead. 🚀 What’s your view? Will Silver break down or bounce back? Share your thoughts below! 🚀
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Setup!A rising wedge is a pattern that typically forms when the price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the upward momentum starts weakening. The narrowing structure of the wedge indicates that buyers are losing strength, and a breakout to the downside is likely. Key Characteristics of the Rising Wedge: ✔ Higher highs & higher lows – but with reduced momentum ✔ Trendline support (lower boundary) & resistance (upper boundary) ✔ Volume decline – suggests a potential reversal Expected Scenario: If the price breaks below the lower trendline, it signals bearish pressure, and Silver could see a strong decline. 2. Key Levels & Trading Setup 📌 Resistance Level ($34.50 - $34.80) The upper boundary of the wedge is acting as strong resistance. Historically, this zone has rejected price action multiple times, indicating sellers are defending this area. 📌 Support Level ($30.20 - $30.50) A major demand zone where buyers previously stepped in. If the wedge breaks down, this is the most likely target for the decline. 📌 Stop Loss ($34.81) Placed just above the recent high and resistance zone to limit risk in case of an unexpected upside breakout. 📌 Target ($30.20) Measured move from the wedge breakdown projects a sharp decline toward the next strong support at $30.20. 3. Trade Execution Strategy 🔴 Bearish Breakdown Scenario If the price breaks below the lower trendline (around $33.00), we expect a strong move downward. 📉 Short Entry: Below $33.00 (after confirmation) 🎯 Target: $30.20 ❌ Stop Loss: $34.81 (above resistance) Confirmation Needed: ✅ Strong bearish candle close below support ✅ Increased volume during breakdown ✅ Retest of broken support turning into resistance 🟢 Bullish Alternative (Invalidation) If price breaks and holds above $34.81, the bearish setup will be invalidated, and a breakout towards $36.00 - $37.00 could be expected. 4. Additional Considerations 📌 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on macroeconomic news, Fed decisions, and USD strength, as these impact Silver prices. 📌 Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging and use a proper risk-reward ratio (1:3 or higher). 📌 Market Sentiment: Watch volume trends and confirm breakout or fakeout before entering trades. Conclusion This chart presents a high-probability short trade setup based on the rising wedge breakdown. If the breakdown occurs, Silver could drop toward the $30.20 support zone. However, traders should wait for confirmation before entering to avoid fakeouts. Would you like me to refine this further for a TradingView post? 🚀
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
9
Silver (XAG/USD) Double Top Reversal – Bearish Trading SetupThe provided 1-hour chart for Silver (XAG/USD) presents a well-structured bearish trade setup, highlighting key price action patterns, technical indicators, and confluence factors that suggest a potential downside move. Let's analyze the chart step by step to understand the logic behind this bearish trade setup. 1. Market Structure & Trend Overview Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a short-term uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline. However, the trend now shows signs of exhaustion, with a clear shift in market behavior. The price action reveals the formation of a double top at a strong resistance level, coupled with a Change of Character (CHOCH), which signals a possible reversal. A break below the trendline suggests that the bullish momentum is losing strength, and sellers are beginning to dominate the market. The combination of these elements makes this setup a high-probability short trade opportunity. 2. Key Technical Levels & Zones A. Resistance Zone ($33.96 - $34.20) – The Selling Pressure Area The chart marks a clear resistance zone, where price has struggled to break higher. Two price rejections from this level indicate that sellers are actively defending this region. This zone serves as an ideal stop-loss area for short trades, as a breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. B. Double Top Formation – Reversal Pattern The price tested the resistance zone twice and failed to establish new highs, forming a double top structure. A double top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The second top (Top 2) aligns with a downward trendline, further confirming that sellers are stepping in at lower levels. C. Support Level ($32.60 - $32.80) – Initial Reaction Zone This area has previously acted as a demand zone where buyers stepped in. If the price breaks below this support, it would confirm further downside movement towards the final target. D. Trendline Breakdown – Loss of Bullish Momentum The dotted trendline represents the previous bullish trend, supporting price action for several days. A break below this trendline suggests a structural shift in market dynamics, meaning buyers are losing control. The failure to reclaim the trendline increases the probability of a deeper move downward. E. Target Level ($32.11 - $32.20) – The Bearish Objective The projected target is based on the double top’s measured move, which suggests a price drop to at least $32.11. This level also coincides with previous historical price action, making it a strong confluence zone for profit-taking. 3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 📌 Entry Point: Aggressive Entry: Short position around $33.40 - $33.50, near the second top where price rejected the trendline. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the support level at $32.80 before entering short. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: The stop-loss should be placed above the resistance zone at $33.96. This level ensures that the trade is invalidated if the price breaks out higher. 📌 Take-Profit Target: Primary Target: $32.60, which is the first support level where price may temporarily react. Final Target: $32.11, aligning with the double top breakdown target and historical support. 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: A minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio, meaning for every 1% risked, there is a potential 2%+ gain. This makes the trade favorable in terms of risk management. 4. Confluence Factors Supporting the Bearish Outlook ✅ Double Top Formation – A classic bearish reversal pattern. ✅ Lower Highs Formation – Indicates increasing selling pressure. ✅ Trendline Breakdown – A significant loss of bullish momentum. ✅ Resistance Zone Rejection – Strong seller presence. ✅ CHOCH (Change of Character) – Confirms a shift in market sentiment. 5. Risk Management & Alternative Scenario 📌 What If Price Moves Against the Trade? If the price breaks above $33.96, the bearish outlook becomes invalid, and a potential bullish continuation could follow. In this case: Stop-loss is triggered, and the setup is considered invalid. Traders should then wait for a new setup before re-entering the market. 📌 Market Conditions to Monitor: Volatility: Ensure there is enough momentum in the market before entering. Volume Confirmation: A break below support should have strong volume. News Events: Watch out for fundamental catalysts, such as US Dollar strength, economic data, and geopolitical events, which could influence Silver’s price movement. 6. Final Thoughts & Summary This chart setup provides a clear bearish trade opportunity based on technical analysis. The combination of double top formation, resistance rejection, trendline breakdown, and lower highs strongly supports the idea of further downside movement. 💡 Key Takeaways: Bearish bias is valid as long as price stays below $33.96. Target is set at $32.11, with an intermediate support at $32.60. Risk-to-reward is favorable, making it an ideal short trade setup. If the market follows this expected scenario, this trade has the potential to yield significant profit while maintaining disciplined risk management. However, always stay alert to market conditions and adjust strategies accordingly.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📊 Overview of the Chart This 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) provides a classic example of a Rising Wedge Breakdown, a bearish reversal pattern. The price initially followed a strong uptrend, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, but failed to sustain momentum at the key resistance zone (~$34.00 - $34.50). This led to a breakout to the downside, which has now confirmed a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. This analysis will break down each key level, the technical indicators supporting this trade setup, and how traders can approach it effectively. 🛠️ Breakdown of the Chart Components 1️⃣ Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern Identified) The price action created a Rising Wedge, which is a bearish pattern characterized by an uptrend where the higher highs and higher lows start converging into a narrowing range. This shows that while buyers were pushing prices higher, their strength was gradually fading. The breakdown of this structure signaled a loss of bullish momentum, leading to a shift in trend. 2️⃣ Resistance Level & Sell Zone Identified The resistance level at $34.00 - $34.50 has acted as a supply zone where sellers stepped in, preventing further upside. A bearish rejection at this zone confirms that sellers are still dominant. 3️⃣ Retest of the Broken Support (Key Confirmation) After the breakout from the wedge, the price made a retest of the broken trendline, a classic move before further downside. Retesting this area confirms that it is now acting as resistance rather than support, further strengthening the bearish case. 4️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Structure The dashed trendline was previously supportive, but now that the price has broken below it, it has turned into a resistance level. This shift in market structure is a strong bearish signal. 5️⃣ Key Support Levels & Target Projection The next major support level is at $32.00, a level where price previously found demand. The ultimate target price is around $31.18, which aligns with historical support and Fibonacci retracement levels. 📉 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup? ✅ Entry Point (Short/Sell Setup) A good shorting opportunity arises if the price retests the resistance at $33.50 - $34.00 and shows bearish confirmation (like a rejection candlestick or a bearish engulfing pattern). 📍 Stop Loss (SL) Placement SL should be above $34.20 to avoid getting stopped out by potential fakeouts. 🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels TP1: $32.00 (First support level) TP2: $31.18 (Final bearish target) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Entry at $33.50 - $34.00 with SL at $34.20 and TP at $31.18 provides an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (~1:4). 📌 Market Sentiment & Conclusion 🔴 Bearish signals are dominant, suggesting further downside potential. 📉 A strong bearish move is expected if the price fails to reclaim $34.00. 🎯 Targeting $31.18 in the upcoming sessions. 📢 Final Advice: Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. A successful retest and rejection at $33.50 - $34.00 will be a high-probability short setup. 🚀 🔥 Follow price action and risk management principles for a successful trade! 🔥
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📌 Overview This 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) presents a textbook Rising Wedge pattern, which is known as a bearish reversal signal. The price was in a strong uptrend but started showing signs of buyer exhaustion, leading to a breakdown from the wedge formation. The chart clearly identifies: ✅ A Rising Wedge formation ✅ Resistance Level where price faced multiple rejections ✅ Breakdown Confirmation and shift in trend direction ✅ Projected Target & Stop Loss Zones This setup suggests a strong potential for further downside movement in silver prices. Now, let’s break it down step by step like a professional trader. 🔹 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown 1️⃣ Rising Wedge Pattern – The Bearish Setup The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price action moves higher within two converging trendlines. The slope of the lower trendline is steeper than the upper trendline, meaning that buyers are getting weaker. This pattern suggests that even though the price is rising, bullish momentum is fading. Once the price breaks below the wedge, it confirms a bearish trend. 🔸 Characteristics of this Wedge: 📌 Multiple Higher Highs & Higher Lows – But with decreasing strength 📌 Narrowing Price Action – Indicates weaker buying power 📌 Breakdown Below Support Line – Confirms the bearish move 2️⃣ Resistance Level – Key Price Rejection Zone The price tested the Resistance Level multiple times before breaking down. This area is where sellers overpowered buyers, preventing further upside movement. The resistance zone was a liquidity area, meaning large institutional traders likely placed sell orders here. The price attempted to push higher but failed, showing that demand was exhausted. Once rejection happened, selling pressure increased, and the breakdown followed. 3️⃣ Breakdown Confirmation – Bearish Momentum Kicks In After the wedge broke down, the price started moving in a structured downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the breakdown was valid and that the trend has shifted. 🔹 Signs of Breakdown Strength: ✅ Strong Bearish Candles – Indicating aggressive selling ✅ No Immediate Recovery – Suggests sellers are in control ✅ Lower Highs Forming – Bearish trend structure confirmed 4️⃣ Risk Management – Stop Loss & Target Zones A well-planned trade must include a Stop Loss and a Target to manage risk effectively. 📌 Stop Loss Placement (33.95) Placing a Stop Loss just above the resistance level protects against false breakouts. If the price goes back above 33.95, it would invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Profit Target (31.96) The target is based on the measured move projection, meaning the expected price drop is equal to the height of the wedge at its widest point. If the price reaches 31.96, traders can lock in profits. 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade. 5️⃣ Expected Price Movement – Bearish Outlook From here, we can expect the following price movement: 📉 Scenario 1: Continuation of Downtrend (High Probability) The price will likely form lower highs and lower lows on its way to 31.96. Each small rally should be met with selling pressure. 📈 Scenario 2: False Breakdown (Low Probability but Possible) If the price moves back above 33.95, the wedge breakdown will be invalid. This could lead to a bullish reversal instead. 6️⃣ Final Thoughts – How to Trade This Setup? This Rising Wedge Breakdown provides an excellent short-selling opportunity. Here’s how a professional trader would approach it: ✅ 🔹 Entry Strategy: Short after a retest of the broken wedge support Confirmation of lower highs ensures trend continuation ✅ 🔹 Risk Management: Place Stop Loss above 33.95 Take profits around 31.96 ✅ 🔹 Confirmation Signals to Watch: Lower highs forming after breakdown Increased selling volume on bearish candles Price respecting the downtrend structure 🔔 Conclusion – Bearish Bias Confirmed 🔻 Trend Shift: The breakdown signals a potential trend reversal in silver. 🔻 Bearish Targets: The price is expected to fall toward 31.96 in the coming sessions. 🔻 High-Probability Trade: Strong technical reasons support a bearish outlook. 🚨 Watch for further confirmations and manage risk effectively! 📊💰
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish OutlookChart Overview This is a 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) from OANDA, showing recent price action forming a rising wedge pattern followed by a bearish breakdown. The price initially rallied within the wedge but failed to sustain gains above the key resistance zone, leading to a strong rejection and downward momentum. Key Chart Elements & Analysis 1. Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern) The market was in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows within a rising wedge pattern. A rising wedge is a classic bearish reversal pattern, which indicates weakening buying pressure as price consolidates upward. The price eventually broke below the lower trendline, signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 2. Resistance Zone & Rejection A strong resistance zone was identified around $33.80 - $34.20 USD (highlighted in blue). Price attempted multiple times to break above this level but faced selling pressure, leading to a sharp reversal. The final breakout attempt failed, confirming that sellers are in control. 3. Breakdown & Retest of Support After breaking down from the wedge, the price found temporary support around $33.20 USD, which aligns with a previous consolidation area. A retest of the broken wedge support turned into resistance, further confirming the bearish bias. The rejection from this level strengthened the case for a move lower. 4. Next Support Level & Target Projection The next significant support zone is around $31.95 - $32.00 USD (marked as the "Target" area). This level coincides with previous price action support, making it a high-probability bearish target. The breakdown is expected to follow a measured move projection, bringing price toward this level. Trade Plan & Execution Strategy 📉 Bearish Setup (Short Opportunity) Ideal Entry: A pullback to the previous support (now resistance) at $33.20 - $33.40 USD could offer an entry for shorts. Stop-Loss: Above $33.80 USD, just above the resistance zone. Target Levels: Primary Target: $32.50 USD Final Target: $31.95 - $32.00 USD Confirmation: Look for price rejection or bearish candlestick formations at resistance before entering. ⚠️ Risk Management & Considerations Bullish Scenario: If price reclaims $33.80 USD, the bearish setup could be invalidated, and a move higher toward $34.50 USD is possible. Market Conditions: Keep an eye on macroeconomic factors, news events, and USD strength, as they can influence silver prices. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook with Downside Target 🎯 The rising wedge breakdown signals further downside potential. A support retest rejection confirms selling pressure. $31.95 - $32.00 USD remains the main target, aligning with technical projections. Short positions with proper risk management remain favorable in this setup.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish ContinuationTechnical Analysis & Market Outlook The Silver (XAG/USD) 1-hour chart presents a clear rising wedge formation, a well-recognized bearish reversal pattern. This formation develops when price action creates higher highs and higher lows within a contracting range, signaling a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Currently, Silver has broken below the lower trendline of the wedge, confirming a bearish breakout. This move suggests that the recent uptrend is weakening, and sellers are beginning to take control. A retest of the broken support level as new resistance could provide an ideal entry for a short position. Key Technical Levels & Trading Plan 1️⃣ Resistance & Supply Zone: 34.00 - 34.20 Price has struggled to break above this region multiple times, confirming strong selling pressure. The market rejected this level sharply, leading to the current downside movement. A stop-loss can be placed slightly above this zone to protect against unexpected reversals. 2️⃣ Support Level & Retest Zone: 33.50 Previously, this level acted as a strong support, but the breakdown confirms a shift in market structure. If price retests this level and faces rejection, it could serve as an optimal entry point for short trades. 3️⃣ Short Entry Confirmation Traders should look for price rejection from the 33.50 zone before entering a short position. A bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or a lower high formation) would further validate the entry. 4️⃣ Bearish Target: 31.90 - 32.00 The projected downside move aligns with the measured move of the wedge breakdown and previous support zones. If price maintains bearish momentum, further downside potential exists beyond this target. 5️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: Above 34.20 Setting a stop-loss above the recent resistance ensures protection against invalidation of the bearish setup. This placement accounts for potential price spikes or false breakouts. Trade Execution Strategy: 📌 Entry: Short on a retest of the 33.50 level, ensuring confirmation via price rejection. 📌 Stop-Loss: Above 34.20 to avoid premature stop-outs. 📌 Take-Profit: Targeting the 31.90 - 32.00 zone for an optimal risk-to-reward ratio. Conclusion & Risk Management: The breakdown from the rising wedge signals a shift in market sentiment, favoring a bearish move. Traders should remain patient for a retest of broken support to confirm the validity of the trade. Proper risk management with a well-placed stop-loss and a defined target ensures controlled exposure to market fluctuations. 📊 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉 🔍 Key Watch Areas: Retest of 33.50 for Short Confirmation
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAG/USD "The Silver vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market Robbery Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAG/USD "The Silver vs U.S Dollar" Metals market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" Buy entry above 32.000 Sell Entry below 30.900 However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: -Thief SL placed at 31.300 for Bullish Trade -Thief SL placed at 31.400 for Bearish Trade Using the 3h period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 33.700 (or) Escape Before the Target -Bearish Robbers Primary TP 30.00, Secondary TP 30.900 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook: XAG/USD "The Silver vs U.S Dollar" Metals market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness)., driven by several key factors. # Fundamental Analysis 1. Supply and Demand: Silver supply and demand dynamics can impact XAG/USD prices. 2. Global Economic Conditions: Economic growth, inflation, and interest rates can influence silver demand and prices. 3. Geopolitical Events: Political instability, trade wars, and other geopolitical events can impact silver prices. # Macro Economics 1. Inflation Rates: Changes in inflation can influence the value of silver and the US dollar. 2. Interest Rates: Interest rate decisions by central banks can impact currency values and commodity prices. 3. GDP Growth: Economic growth or contraction can affect demand for silver and other commodities. 4. Unemployment Rates: Changes in unemployment rates can impact consumer spending and silver demand. # Global Market Analysis 1. Currency Markets: Changes in currency values can impact XAG/USD prices. 2. Commodity Markets: Changes in commodity prices can impact silver prices. 3. Stock Markets: Changes in stock market sentiment can impact XAG/USD prices. # COT Data 1. Non-Commercial Traders: An increase in long positions by non-commercial traders can indicate bullish sentiment. 2. Commercial Traders: An increase in short positions by commercial traders can indicate bearish sentiment. 3. Open Interest: Changes in open interest can indicate changes in market sentiment. # Intermarket Analysis 1. Correlation with Other Assets: XAG/USD's correlation with other assets, such as gold, copper, and oil, can impact its price. 2. Commodity Prices: Changes in commodity prices can impact silver prices. # Quantitative Analysis 1. Technical Indicators: Technical indicators, such as moving averages and relative strength index (RSI), can provide insights into XAG/USD's trend. 2. Statistical Models: Statistical models, such as regression analysis, can help identify relationships between XAG/USD and other variables. # Market Sentimental Analysis 1. Bullish Sentiment: Increased bullish sentiment can lead to higher XAG/USD prices. 2. Bearish Sentiment: Increased bearish sentiment can lead to lower XAG/USD prices. # Positioning 1. Long Positions: An increase in long positions can indicate bullish sentiment. 2. Short Positions: An increase in short positions can indicate bearish sentiment. # Next Trend Move 1. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the current resistance level could lead to a bullish trend. 2. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the current support level could lead to a bearish trend. # Overall Summary Outlook 1. Neutral Outlook: The current outlook for XAG/USD is neutral, with both bullish and bearish scenarios possible. 2. Volatility Expected: Volatility is expected to remain high in the short term, with potential price swings in both directions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SAXO:XAGUSD
by Thief_Trader
XAG/USD (Silver) Wedge Pattern (13.03.2025)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 32.45 2nd Support – 32.00 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
XAGUSD - Silver on the rise?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving within its medium-term descending channel. If a valid trendline break or bullish correction is observed, silver can be re-sold and followed to the specified support level. Looking ahead, analysts predict that rising economic uncertainty will drive stronger investment demand in Western markets. In recent weeks, consumer sentiment has dropped to its lowest level in years, while concerns over inflation have intensified. Experts argue that stagflation provides an ideal environment for gold, as the precious metal is widely regarded as a safe-haven asset during economic instability.Additionally, higher inflation leads to lower real yields, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not generate interest. Major investment firms, including WisdomTree and Goldman Sachs, believe that despite the possibility of short-term corrections, gold remains on track to reach $3,000 per ounce this year. In another indication of investor sentiment, analysts at BMO Capital Markets reported that gold and copper were the most discussed commodities at their exclusive mining industry conference. Interestingly, silver ranked as a “distant third” in terms of interest. While downside risks for gold still exist, focusing on the long-term outlook remains crucial. Daniel Ghali, a senior commodities strategist at TD Securities, stated that gold is in a unique position where it can appreciate regardless of the U.S. dollar’s performance. Meanwhile, silver’s physical supply flows and structural deficit could make it a long-term winner in the market. Ghali also noted that even as Washington considers devaluing the U.S. dollar to enhance export competitiveness, the currency’s strength is actually supporting higher gold prices. He remarked, “What’s fascinating about this gold rally is that, contrary to conventional wisdom, I genuinely believe a strong U.S. dollar has contributed to gold’s price increase.” He added, “One of my core beliefs is that market anomalies can teach us invaluable lessons.” According to Ghali, gold’s exceptional performance last year was highly unusual. He explained, “Gold managed to rally even during periods of rising U.S. interest rates and a strong dollar.” He also pointed out that historically, gold has only twice exhibited such strong performance alongside a robust S&P 500 index. The first instance was in 1933, when the U.S. government revalued gold, and the second occurred in 2009, during the most significant round of quantitative easing (QE) policies. He emphasized that gold has never sustained such a strong uptrend without a concurrent bearish market for the U.S. dollar. Ghali concluded, “Clearly, gold’s price strength represents a market anomaly, and I believe this sends a message to those willing to listen.” Regarding silver, Ghali argued that the metal is no longer seen as a lesser counterpart to gold. He said, “Silver has a truly unique narrative. We are now entering the fifth consecutive year of a structural deficit. The imbalance between supply and demand is unprecedented, primarily driven by surging demand, particularly in the global solar energy sector.” He continued, “Silver’s situation is different because we are transitioning from a demand surge to a liquidity crisis. The physical pull of silver from London to the U.S. has been so intense that it has placed enormous strain on the world’s largest bullion storage system, disrupting daily physical market trading.” He added, “We believe this situation could worsen, ultimately requiring higher silver prices to incentivize the return of supply from unconventional sources to London.”
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
XAGUSD Silver Technical Analysis Silver (XAG/USD) has broken a strong support level and is now in a retracement phase, where the previous support is acting as a resistance and supply zone. The market is showing signs of a bearish continuation, targeting the lower support levels. Key Levels & Expectations: Sell Zone (32.350 - 32.400 Area)This zone acted as resistance, causing a strong rejection. A retest of this zone could provide additional shorting opportunities. First Target – 32.12025 (Support Level) Second Target – 31.92638 (Next Major Support) Final Target – 31.70380 (Strong Support Zone) This level could trigger potential buying interest. note: If price closes above the Sell Zone (32.400), it may indicate bullish strength, invalidating the bearish outlook. A break above this zone could lead to further upside movement.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Pipsview_Analysis
2
Scenario on XAGUSD 12.2.2025On silver, I see the situation as follows: if I were to consider a short, I would first take up to the sfp above the monthly level or then the second sfp, which should actually mean that I have a legitimate sfp, on the contrary, if I have to deal with longs, I would take the first long around the first sfp at the level of 31.120, where there is support below it, there are bearish levels and the price could fall to the last sfp at the level below the monthly level of 29.737
PYTH:XAGUSD
by Sony97