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we are ready are you?At the time of writing this article/idea our full net short position in gold and silver is well justified from the measurement of risk and reward,last friday session was exciting enough to let our boredom breaks as precious metals sector was almost dead for past couple of days but as expected volatility wasn't big as many investors wanted it to be but really the dam has been cracked and we are seeing several signs pointing out for upcoming breakdown,, so let's quickly jump right to our gold The yellow metal declined not sharply as we expected but it did closed the week below our rising support line,thing to note is volume was quite significant at least better than tuesday and wednesday when the breakdown happened which is one confirmation of our bearish view,that means our previous thoughts on yellow metal is still up-to date- GOLD Target-In the case of gold we can’t figure out the self similar pattern, we think that current declining in gold will be similar to the previous short term-declines,based on the apex reversal technique gold is likely to bottom next week below 1280,this is our short term target area,however we have other targets too not based on apex reversal or rising support line but on the nov 2017 low,based on that gold is likely to go down to 1240–1250 target zone,both target areas are valid even more as they are supported by fib retracement levels and on the rally of entire nov2016-jan2018 rally overall multiple signals are pointing out to much lower prices in gold , silver and mining stocks as we are seeing that movement has been started to build but it’s just a beginning big decline is just around the corner,it seems very likely that next 5–8 trading days will be highly volatile Based on the comparison to the previous declines,the two mentioned targets could be seen under the date of 15th april we are ready for the silver slide are you?-we saw the visible breakdown below our rising support line on friday and then white metal slides more to its previous lows,we encountered the same situation back in late dec 2017 where we witnessed a small breakdown below the support line but that precedes a big daily decline to the previous lows,overall we support our previous thoughts on white metal-,similar pattern in white metal is ongoing for now,triangle apex showing generating more sell signal for white metal so we could seen a decline very shortly in silver prices,so now let’s figure out how much silver can slide in near term? Based on our analysis silver is likely to slide to 15.200–15.700 before this month ends,that could be a very volatile movement There are some more valid reasons which are giving us this target area and that’s the comparison of previous decline,if the same pattern will be continue we can expect the movement of decline to be same to the size of decline by which the whole pattern has been startedhttps://www.tradingview.com/x/QDALHLaW/ Gold stocks reached new 2018 low-many investors thought that friday was not the exciting session as they were expected and we agree but are they missing something? for sure on friday session breakdown below the 2018 low has been confirmed,we already saw one more close below our previous so in total we have seen second close this time,to confirm the breakdown we prefer atleast 3-4 breakdown below the significant level as this was the weekly close it is something valuable,so the implication is clearly bearish In our previous article we mentioned that gold miners could still move higher but the likelihood of under performing during upswing is somewhat greater,hence the HUI index managed to move up to 174 and then decline again,thing to note is during the upswing HUI index unable to close above 2017 low,this point is validating our bearish view even more our positions-gold entry-1330 ,stop loss-1386 1st t.p-1280 our position-silver entry-16.700 stop loss-17.440 T.p-14.630
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by NeerajPandey
2
enjoy the rideIn short our full net short position in gold,silver and mining stocks is well justified from the measurement of risk and reward at the time of writing this article/idea Are you ready for the exciting ride which is about to happen? If not then be prepare because at the end of this ride it will present us the ultimate long opportunity but before that happens we will have many opportunity to gain some short term profits and guess what we are exactly doing that with our current net short position but it looks like it's just a start due to very low volume in gold and mining stocks last several days were so boring but yesterday and today's session took it to the extreme and that's what we were expecting that's why we didn't post our article from 2 days because literally nothing has happened,we already emphasize several times that low volume in gold often precedes big decline in precious metals and that's what we are seeing right now and the implication of yesterday's extremely low volume giving a very serious bearish sign In a below chart you could clearly see that gold stocks break to new 2018 low,from daily perspective it might be not seem important but it is as it was the lowest daily close since late nov 2016 In our previous article/idea we mentioned that gold miners could still move higher but the likelihood of under performing during upswing is somewhat greater,hence the HUI index managed to move up to 174 and then decline again,thing to note is during the upswing HUI index unable to close above 2017 low,this point is validating our bearish view even more but there are other things too which is confirming our bias even more one of it is volume,check the charts below during yesterday downswing volume has been increased significantly and that's a clear sign of upcoming bearish move,In the next several days we could see slide in silver prices let's get right to silver,similar pattern in white metal is ongoing for now,triangle apex showing generating more sell signal for white metal so we could seen a decline very shortly in silver prices,so now let's figure out how much silver can slide in near term? Based on our analysis silver is likely to slide to 15.200-15.700 before this month ends,that could be a very volatile movement There are some more valid reasons which are giving us this target area and that's the comparison of previous decline,if the same pattern will be continue we can expect the movement of decline to be same to the size of decline by which the whole pattern has been started GOLD Target-In the case of gold we can't figure out the self similar pattern,so we think that current declining in gold will be similar to the previous short term-declines,based on the apex reversal technique gold is likely to bottom next week below 1280,this is our short term target area,however we have other targets too not based on apex reversal or rising support line bused on the nov 2017 low,based on that gold is likely to go down to 1240-1250 target zone,both target areas are valid even more as they are supported by fib retracement levels and on the rally of entire nov2016-jan2018 rally overall multiple signals are pointing out to much lower prices in gold,silver and mining stocks as we are seeing that movement has been started to build but it's just a beginning big decline is just around the corner,it seems very likely that next 5-8 trading days will be highly volatile and note our words-we will see new 2018 lows shortly our positions-gold entry-1230 ,stop loss-1386 1st t.p-1280 our position-silver entry-16.700 stop loss-17.440 T.p-14.630 IF the target areas were reached next week as desribed we can close all the existing position or even reverse our position if market situation will allow us, we will update you anyways many regards-neeraj pandey
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by NeerajPandey
4
GOLD IS DEAD?In short our full net short position in gold and silver is well justified from the measurement of risk and reward at the time writing this article/idea As we are seeing from the past couple of days mining stocks,gold and silver have been moving sideways and volatility have been decreased in a significant manner,many inexperienced traders gets confused at this point as they thought no significant price move is going to happen and there is no point to watch this market but reality is exactly opposite low volatility in gold often precedes huge moves in prices and we are attaching the chart below so you see it clearly,what we saw in this market (having experience of more than 6 years) that in most cases implication of low volatility meant that a huge bearish move is about to take place,we are attaching two charts below so you could be able to see that why recent low volatility should be seen as upcoming bearish movement,to watch this we have to see gold stocks to gold ratio and the gold stock to the general stock ratio,https://www.tradingview.com/x/IE2AUB3u/ if you look at both ratios you could clearly see that entire sideways movement in p.m sector is verifying the breakdown in both ratios,on a short term basis you could see the prices not moving if you will try to look at long term picture then you should be ready to see significant decline in prices ok let's quickly jumped into silver,we already have wrote in our previous articles that silver still can made a short term small upswing before it plunges back,we still support our previous idea that either silver can decline immediately or it could move little higher before quick decline continues,we can compare the analogy of late nov 2017 to current situation GOLD-our previous comment on this metal is still up-to date i would like to add few things today and that is comparison of current situation to 1st nov 2017 when gold made its final top and quickly plunges back and made its breakdown below 50 day moving average.well that session was quite interesting,those who followed our instruction made huge profit at that particular session,as we already know volatility has been decreased and gold almost did nothing yesterday,if we compare the situation to gold previous breakdown below 50day moving average the implication seems quite bearish, Adding things up-As we already wrote many times that an small upswing in white and yellow metal is still probable and in white metal that's what we are seeing right now gold miners under performance makes this point even more valid,overall it seems that the big decline is just around the corner we will update you anyway!!!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by NeerajPandey
1
Tight your seat belts In short our full net short position in gold and silver is justified from the measurement of reward and risk measurement at the time of writing this article/idea in our yesterday analysis we have cover all the precious in our idea and we told that silver daily rally was a fake one and soon it's going to plunge right away and we didn't have to wait for long to see the results,in today's article/idea we will focus more on silver But first we need to look at gold and what future holds for it,we also told you that most bearish sign is not only coming from gold,it is coming from other precious metals sector silver is confirming it more as it is outperforming gold after every decline Gold target reached-In our past idea we emphasize that gold can make significant upswing before the decline continues and our target price was 1340,we marked this level with yellow dot,why 1340? That's where the rising resistance line is our past analysis is remains up to date,gold has already fell and our net short position proved to be profitable immediately,personally we think that gold can take a big decline today close to the report of news but we are not 100 percent sure(no one can),in past there were many scenarios when precious metals soared higher close to the big announcement or news report but it felt quickly after that,so this could be the way how the big decline will start this time, But the question is will gold decline immediately or will it soar first before it fell? it's rather unclear,we could also see a rally in gold upto 1345 above the previous march high and as we saw importat bearish signs already it can decline right away overall if you will try to look at the big picture these is no doubt that gold is about to a big decline but it's probable that before it happens it can rally to our mentioned number but it will be more good for us in our group to add more in our net short position if it soar as it will give more profit from the measurement of risk and reward crystal clear sign in silver-We have written that rally in silver is like the same when it rallies on nov 2017.17 nov,that specific rally caused big decline in silver and the same happened this time,we are not trying to mix these two analogy also,there are many factors which are contributing to our bias,The analogy was accurate by the way!!! will our past analogy drive the price of silver more further?-yes very probable if gold will take a plunge today then silver will follow big decline overall we believe that both precious metals will take big plunge even if they make any small upswing in short term ,so you should be tight your seat belts to see all this while we will give you our daily analysis!!! These are long term signals as we daily update our students we can close our position in the middle and taking all the profit from the table if market is pointing out reversal Gold 1st target-1218 stop-1380 silver 1st target-14.53 stop-17.200
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by NeerajPandey
1
Silver is approaching strong support, watch for a bounceXAGUSD is approaching strong support at 16.35 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap support) and a strong bounce could occur at this level to push price all the way up to our major resistance level at 16.78 once again. It’s important to note that we can see a short term descending resistance line which needs to be broken to open a bigger move up. Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing strong support above 4.5% where a corresponding bounce could occur. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by Tickmill
2
patience pays off[ ]At the time of writing this article/idea our full short position is now justified in both of the precious metals gold and silver from the risk and reward measurement Not too long ago on friday we closed our net short position in both metals in our group,since then we have seen huge rally in gold and silver as expected before,we already mentioned our short term target area in yesterday post and it was expected to reach at the end of week but yesterday rally was so significant that both metals hit there target areas,before going into chart we want to emphasize you that don't try to look charts as a trading system,it's rather a tool which helps you to find good entry,stop loss and take profits that's it,there are many long term fundamental factors which helps us to add long or short position in our portfolio,ok now let's dive into charts In yesterday post we mentioned that gold could move 1340 zone before it plunges again why 1340? that's where the rising resistance line is,we argued that once it hits that zone that wlll be a strong bears signal and we will be ready to net short our position but before it plunges more in a dramatic way you can see a small upswing again in both of the metals,most important to note is yes gold market is giving strong bearish signals but more strong confirmation is coming out from other precious metals sector silver sector-until now we didn't mentioned silver sector in our idea but from now you will see silver,mining stocks as well as usd index analogy in our articles,on dec 15,2017 we have seen a similar daily rally that we saw yesterday,shortly after the rally silver plunges,bearish implication were huge,so are we going to see the same decline in silver this time? we already did but lot more to come!! not only because we are comparing this present scenario with past but because silver outperformed gold multiple times before declining,we already mentioned in our articles(not here sorry) that once silver will reach to our target area our bearish outlook will be more confirmed ok let's move into us dollar index,keep in mind thay usd index is above its very important support level so long term outlook is very bullish but before the end of week we can expect some volatilty as mario draghi speech and emloyment numbers are about to come so the question is will gold and silver will rally up again,they can but less probable as they have reached our areas of interest so outlook is very bearish now,but anyways we will update with our post if any major changes will happen in metal sector, gold-1st target-1230 stop loss-1379,entry price-1325 silver-1st target-14.730 stop loss- 17.300 entry- 16.500 if you are interested in intraday signals p.m me we will provide you it free stay tuned
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by NeerajPandey
6
XAGUSD reversing nicely, watch for a further drop!XAGUSD is reversing nicely below major resistance at 16.80 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal resistance area, Fibonacci extension) and a strong drop could occur from here pushing price down to 16.58 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support). Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing strong resistance at 92% where a corresponding reaction could occur. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by Tickmill
XAGUSD testing resistance, potential for a drop!XAGUSD is testing its resistance at 16.949 (100% Fibonacci extension , 50% Fibonacci retracement , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing high resistance) and could potentially fall to support area between 16.161 (L T 61.8% Fibonacci extension , 100% Fibonacci extension , swing low support) and 16.025 (61.8% Fibonacci extension , 78.6% Fibonacci retracement ). We have also identified a 2nd resistance at 17.101 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 76.4% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback resistance). RSI (55, 5, 3) shows a descending resistance that price is approaching which could lead to a corresponding fall in price.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1
XAGUSD bounced off its support, potential to rise further XAGUSD has bounced nicely off its support at 16.161 (100% Fibonacci extension, swing low support) where there may be potential for it to rise further to its resistance at 16.976 (100% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance). We have also found a 2nd support at 16.038 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement). Stochastic (89, 5, 3) shows a corresponding bounce off its support at 2.71% where it has potential to rise to its resistance at 97.14%
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Silver approaching major support, potential bounce!XAGUSD is approaching major support at 16.15 (Fibonacci extension, fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) and a stronb bounce could occur at this level to push price up to 16.90 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance). We also notice that stochastic is bouncing really nicely with price at the 4.5% support level and we're fast approaching that level once again, which could lead to a corresponding bounce.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Silver testing major support, potential for a bounce!XAGUSD is testing major support at 16.36 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support) and a potential bounce could occur at this level to push price up to 16.71 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance, Fibonacci extension). Stochastic (34,5,3) is also seeing major support above 4.3% where a corresponding bounce could occur to push price up. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by Tickmill
Silver starting to break out nicely,watch for strong bullishnessSilver (XAGUSD) has broken out of our long term descending resistance-turned-support line signaling that there’s strong potential bullishness. Our 1st major support is at 16.66 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, breakout level) and a strong rise could occur from here to push price all the way up to 16.92 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance). RSI (21) has correspondingly broken out of our long term descending resistance-turned-support line signaling that a potential rise is approaching. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by Tickmill
Silver testing major resistance, potential drop from here!Silver (XAGUSD) is testing major resistance at 16.63 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, descending resistance) and a strong reaction could occur at this level to push price down towards 16.38 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support, Fibonacci extension). We can see our long term descending resistance line add a lot of bearish pressure to our idea. RSI (21) sees a long term corresponding descending resistance line hold price down really well too. Only a break above this descending resistance line would be a precursor to a larger recovery in silver. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by Tickmill
Silver now testing strong support, watch for a potential bounce!Silver is now testing major support at 16.63 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap support) and a strong bounce could occur at this level to push price up towards 16.96 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance). Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major support at 7% where a corresponding bounce could occur. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by Tickmill
Silver is testing major resistance,watch for potential reversalSilver has been rising strong and is now testing major 50% resistance at 16.91 (Fibonacci retracement, Elliott wave structure, horizontal swing high resistance) and a strong reaction could occur at this level to push price all the way down to 16.48 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support). Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance at 95% where a corresponding reaction could occur. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by Tickmill
2
Silver right on major resistance, watch for a potential reversal Silver is now testing major resistance at 16.56 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance, Elliott wave corrective structure) and a strong reaction could occur at this level to push price all the way down to 16.19 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support). Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance at 95% where a corresponding reaction could occur. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by Tickmill
1
Silver testing major resistance, watch for bullish move Buy above 17.31. Stop loss at 17.16. Take profit at 17.48. Reason for the trading strategy (technically): Price is now testing major resistance at 17.31 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) and we require price to close nicely above this level before triggering a bullish move that should push price up to at least 17.48 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance). RSI (34) sees an ascending support line hold up our bullish move really well.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by MEX_Exchange