XAGUSD (Silver) Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn a recent video, I discussed a trade idea ahead of the ongoing XAGUSD (Silver) bull rally. Since then, we’ve witnessed a notable bearish movement. I’m closely monitoring the current price level for another potential buying opportunity, contingent upon price action confirming my analysis from the video. The market is currently exhibiting sideways movement, and if we patiently await increased volatility both above and below the range, we may be well-positioned to capitalize on a bullish trend. Specifically, I’m eyeing a break, re-test, and failure of the range on the 15-minute chart, provided we observe higher highs or lows forming.
The video delves into critical elements such as trend analysis, price action insights, market structure, and a potential trade setup. As always, exercise prudent risk management when trading, and remember that this information serves an educational purpose and is not financial advice. 🚀📊
Xagusdsignals
Silver- Rise towards 30usd In my earlier analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD , I emphasized that bulls ought to monitor the price action closely, as Silver's correction might have concluded and previous resistance could now serve as support.
As anticipated, following a double Pin Bar formation in that area, Silver's price began to ascend, currently trading at 27.60, around an interim resistance level.
Given the bullish trend and the broader market structure, I anticipate a breakthrough above this level, leading to a continuation towards the $30 mark.
However, if the price falls below yesterday's low, it would temporarily halt this bullish scenario.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Pullback From Key Level 🥈
Silver is testing a key daily horizontal support at the moment.
I see a strong bullish reaction to that on an hourly time frame:
I see a confirmed breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern
and a double bottom formation.
I expect a pullback at least to 26.64
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XAGUSD New Bull Cycle but pull-back possible. Buy it.Silver (XAGUSD) easily broke through the 25.000 Target we set 2 months ago (February 15, see chart below) and invalidated the Triangle pattern as it is entering into a new long-term Bull Cycle:
This was achieved as it broke above the 2-year Resistance Zone 1 and the Triangle transitioned into a Channel Up. Last week it hit Resistance Zone 2 and technically we should be expecting a medium-term pull-back as this is close to the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. Note that Resistance Zone 2 was formed after the August 2020 High.
We are looking for a buy within 26.500 - 26.000 to target the top of the Channel at 32.000. A Resistance Zone 2 break-out practically confirms the new Bull Cycle. We have to point out also the the 1W RSI broke last week above the 70.00 overbought barrier and is at the highest level since September 2020.
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Unstoppable Rally & Next Target 🪙
Silver keeps rallying and breaking the historical resistances.
The next goal for the buyers can be the structure that is based
on the highs of 2020 and 2021.
The area that unites these highs also has a psychological level within - 30.0.
The underlined blue will most likely reached soon.
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SILVER (XAGUSD): The Next Key Resistances 🪙
Silver is unstoppable.
Following Gold strongly bullish sentiment, XAGUSD keeps breaking
key resistances, one after another.
In comparison to Gold, Silver still has multiple historic resistances
to pay close attention to.
Resistance 1: 26.8 - 26.95 area
Resistance 2: 27.9 - 28.72 area
Resistance 3: 29.8 - 30.1 area
Look for pullback/breakout trades from these key structures.
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SILVER View following by gold! Shorts gonna playin" sooner!Spot silver
XAGUSD1! rose 0.7% to $25.15 per ounce, platinum
PL1! was up 0.2% at $909.76 and palladium
XPDUSD1! climbed 0.9% to $1,023.95.
Gold prices rose to a record high on Monday, as a softer U.S. inflation reading cemented bets that the Federal Reserve would deliver its first interest rate cut of the year in June.
Spot gold
GOLDwas up 1.2% at $2,258.53 per ounce, as of 0815 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,262.19 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures GOLD gained 1.8% to $2,279.50.
"The absence of any upside surprises in the core PCE price index release may have provided further go-ahead for gold prices to push into new record territory," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong, referring to the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index report.
The core reading now at its lowest level in almost two years potentially offers some validation for the Fed to kick-start its rate-cutting process sooner rather than later, Jun Rong said.
The latest U.S. inflation data is "along the lines of what we would like to see," Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday. U.S. prices moderated in February, with the PCE price index rising 0.3%, data showed.
Traders are currently pricing in a 69% probability that the Fed would begin cutting rates in June, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Gold logged its biggest monthly rise in more than three years in March after a blistering rally fuelled by rate-cut bets, strong safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
"Today's price action is happening in a very low liquidity environment – most European and many APAC markets are still closed for Easter Monday. So, it would not be surprising to see these moves reverse when participation rebuilds later in the week," said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Outlook Explained 🪙
Silver nicely respected a recently broken key horizontal resistance.
After its retest, the market started to consolidate on a 4H time frame
and formed a horizontal range.
Its resistance was broken yesterday, signifying the strength of the buyers.
The market may keep growing next week, at least to 25.5 level.
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XAGUSD Rejection at the top of the 1 year pattern. Huge SELL.Silver (XAGUSD) reached the 25.000 Target that we set more than a month ago (February 15, see chart below) easily surpassing the 0.786 Fibonacci level and getting heavily rejected exactly at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 1 year Triangle pattern:
On July 20 2023, a rejection slightly lower started wave (e-f) towards the bottom of the High Volatility Zone and touched the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). This trend-line has made contact with all corrective waves of the long-term Triangle pattern.
As a result, taking also into account the 1D RSI which has hit the exact 70.00 overbought barrier like on July 19 2023, we are now bearish and targeting 22.500 (expected contact with the 1W MA100).
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XAGUSD Time to turn bearish.Silver (XAGUSD) almost reached the 25.000 Target that we set almost a month ago (February 15, see chart below) but as it seems to fail to touch the 0.786 Fibonacci level, it is time to take the profit earlier and turn bearish:
At least this is what took place on July 20 2023, a rejection that started wave (e-f) back inside the High Volatility Zone that touched the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). This line has basically made contact with all corrective waves since the long-term Triangle pattern started on May 05 2023.
As a result, taking also into account the 1D RSI which has almost hit the 70.00 overbought barrier like on July 19 2023, we are now bearish and targeting 22.500 (expected contact with the 1W MA100).
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