Xagusdsignals
XAGUSD Pull-back are a buy to $29.00 - 30.00What was set in motion last October when the price rebounded on the 1W MA100, is taking place now, as Silver (XAGUSD) broke above its 1W MA50.
On the shorter time-frame of 1D (current chart), the price appears to be replicating the December 2020 aggressive rise, which initially reached almost the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (28.000) and after a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back, tested the 30.000 Resistance.
This time, the rally broke above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 16 2021. Our long-term strategy is to buy every pull-back up to the 1D MA50 and look to book profits within the 29.000 - 30.000 Zone.
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XAG NEAR FUTURE PREDICTIONS (1HCHART)Technical Analysis Summary
XAG/USD
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 2 Downtrend in red color (Internal and long term)
We have 1 Uptrend in green color (Internal Uptrend)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
The Yellow SUPPORT and RESISTANCE Levels are levels already tested and are not an entry level I added it only for explanation purposes to show my strategy.
Sorry I did not post lately since I had covid
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Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
XAG Buy/Sell + Exit TradesThe ENTRY/TP zones are your entries as well as your exits.
Everything above the current candlestick is resistance, you would treat every zone above as a sell/potential buy break.
Everything below the current candlestick is support, which you would then treat every zone below as a buy/potential sell break if it hits the pip rule.
More info on the strategy and how to play it:
How To Play The Chart Entries/Exits:
Buy at green support entry, if it breaks by -35 pips (count it out) then enter a sell and ride to TP1, 2 and 3. Trail stop at each TP which means place your stop loss in profit but with enough room to be able to continue the sell if it continues. Same thing at resistance, sell but if broken by 35 pips then enter the buy and ride to TP1. Each TP is a support or resistance zone , so you could then even take a sell after TP1 for the buys have been hit and if it breaks out then just repeat.
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XAGUSD Strong rally towards the end of the yearAs the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been supporting Silver since late October, it is a good time for me to update my outlook on the metal. So far my September 30 trading plan remains valid:
As you see we caught the market bottom on that exact date and the price has been rising ever since, creating an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in the process, which is a technical bullish formation.
Last time we saw the 1D MA50 turning into a Support after a break-out following a rebound on the 21.650 Support, was in January 2021. As you see that was also after a new High and what followed was a rally that gave a new Higher High. With the 1D CCI being also on a symmetrical Support level (-100.00), I am expecting a similar rally this time also, which can last as long as until the end of the year. The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level has always served as a strong Resistance and that is an ideal target for swing buyers.
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XAGUSD hit the 1W MA100. Best long-term buy for $40.Silver (XAGUSD) is posting a bullish reaction (rebound) after marginally breaking below the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) last week. During the metal's previous multi-year Bull Cycle and more specifically its parabolic rise (2003 - 2011), all three times that the price hit the 1W MA100 (excluding of course the outside catalys of the 2008 subrime mortgage crisis that caused a sharp market crash), it rebounded and rose to at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. The LMACD sequences of today and those preceeding the 1W MA100 hits of the past, are also fairly similar.
If last week was the bottom then, the 2.0 Fibonacci extension is currently a little over $40. We consider this the most optimal long-term buy opportunity.
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XAGUSD hit the 1 year Rectangle Support. Buy signal long-term.Silver hit yesterday the 21.664 Support level of the 1 year Rectangle pattern it has been trading in since August 2020. Even though the price marginally broke it, if the 1W (weekly) candle closes above the Support, then the long-term Rectangle pattern remains valid.
The 1D MACD shows we may be in a similar situation as with the November 30 2020 bottom. If so, then we can expect a rebound back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). A weekly close above the 1D MA50 would be a new signal for a bullish extension and I will resume buying targeting just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 27.800.
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Silver Analysis, Bears in controlHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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XAGUSD is bearish on the long-term outlook. The sellers were in charge of the Silver market since June and the bears’ momentum has been increasing. The price has been decreasing accordingly.
The market has pushed above the 23 levels and holding near the support zone, and all the former support levels of 25 and 24 has turned into resistance levels.
Using the Elliot wave theory we can see that the market is having a corrective wave right now which could push it near the 24$ zone where a battle will happen between the Bears and Bulls, and if the Bears wins then the price will be going down near the 22$ level as confirmed by the Elliot theory.
Different Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The Market is holding at 23.709 near the support zone from 23.649 to 23.437, The bears are trying to drop the market as much as they can so we could be seeing a breakout happening at that level that would lead the market near the 22$ level.
Scenario 2 :
The Bulls are trying to gain control back over the market as we saw from the last movement on August 23, where the market price jumped from 22.897 and hit 23.938, but they will have to show a lot of power to break the resistance zone at 24.004 to 24.147, But if they were able to break that resistance then we will be seeing the market price going back up near the 25$ level.
Technical indicators show:
1) The market is below the 10 20 50 100 200 MA and EMA (Bearish sign)
2) The MACD is below the 0 line showing that the market is Bearish, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line that explains the latest push that happened.
3) ADC is at 48.73 showing that the market is trending, With a negative crossover between DI+ (15.51) and DI- (29.99)
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 23.649 1) 24.004
2) 23.437 2) 24.147
3) 23.294 3) 24.359
Fundamental point of view :
Silver prices rallied and remained buoyed, closing with a doji day at the highs of the trading session. This came despite a selloff in gold prices. Durable goods orders declined less than expected and new orders ex-transportation were unchanged. The dollar eased slightly, which helped silver prices gain a toe hold.
Silver of course has a certain amount of an industrial component built into it, and it is worth noting that industrial numbers have fallen quite a bit over the last several weeks. That being said, if we see the US dollar sell-off drastically, it is likely that the silver market may catch a bit of a bid, at least temporarily based upon that alone. According to fxempire.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts and news for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading
XAGUSD Multi-decade Cup & Handle?Silver pulled back on Friday and today along with most major commodities due to the USD showing strength on the incredible Nonfarm Payrolls numbers. All this short-term price action though can be viewed as nothing but noise on one pattern that has been developing since 1980 and may be close to completion.
I am using the very rare in financial analysis yearly time-frame where each candle represents 1 year. As you see since 1980, XAG has been forming a giant Cup & Handle (C&H) pattern. This formation tends to break aggressively to the upside once completed.
Two elements play a key role here:
* The 31.000 level and
* The 1Y MA50 (blue trend-line).
As you see during the formation of this pattern, Silver may have made its All Time High (and Double Top assuming 1980 was very close) at $50 but it is the $31 level that plays a critical part on a yearly basis as Silver has never closed a year above it even though it broke it four times.
At the same time during the formation of the C&H, the price never closed below the 1Y MA50 (blue trend-line) and only had marginal wick breaks (6 times), which makes this the strongest Support. What makes the case of this pattern even stronger is that last year also almost bounced off the 1Y MA50.
Investors should therefore keep an eye on the 31.000 level. If we manage to close this year (or any as a matter of fact) above it, then it will be a major first bullish sign that the Cup and Handle is close to being completed and that new ATH will follow.
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XAGUSD approaching the 9 month SupportSilver has been printing Lower Lows since the May 18 High and is now close to the 23.750 Support, which has been holding since December 15, 2020.
If the 1D MA50 Death Cross is avoided (may have a March 2020 effect if it doesn't), then we can expect the Support to hold and rebound back to the Lower Highs trend-line. In that case, the target is 26.700 (just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level).
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Silver Has Broken Below the Flag
Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
Hi Traders, XAGUSD on D chart has formed a Bullish Falg and has broken below the Flag by a large red candle. I am expecting to go lower to 24.11
⬇️Sell now or Sell at 25.84
⭕️SL @ 26.81
✅TP1 @ 24.11
✅TP2 @ 22.6
We will have more FREE forecasts in TradingView soon
❤️ Your Support is really appreciated!❤️
Have a Profitable Day
Silver- back to 23.80 support?Silver is trading in a range for 2 weeks now with a clear ceiling at 26.50.
Bulls are unable to take control and drive the price above this level and XagUsd keeps rolling down to support
A breakdown seems imminent for Silver and short-sellers can have a target under 24.
Sell rallies above 26 can be a good strategy and only a clear close above 26.50 would negate this scenario
SILVER (XAGUSD) Buy signal towards the August HighPattern: Ascending Triangle on 1W.
Signal: Buy as the price rebounded right before testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) with the RSI trading sideways supporting trading within the Triangle.
Target: 27.700 short-term (the 1.382 Fib extension) and 29.700 (August High).
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XAGUSD Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price rebounded at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel and a Bullish Cross is emerging on the 1D MACD.
Target: 29.600 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
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SILVER Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price is testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) which is providing Support since December 15, 2020.
Target: 29.900 (August's Resistance) and if you are seeking more risk, then 31.500 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
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