XAUUSD 14/4/24Really simple setup for gold here, we know we had a great move from last week creating severe new ATHs as well as the week before, i am not expecting this to stop any time soon! on the charts here you can see we have 3 ideas to watch, running higher from where we sit. dropping into and wicking the 4hr low to then go higher again or running lower from the sell off we had late Friday to then create a new swing high that will be targeted again for higher prices! As most of you know war is on the horizon and we know what gold likes to do when things get a bit rough, and that is climb higher then it has before... with the mixture of structure fundamentals and the overall price action i am looking at another ATH for gold this week!
Read PA follow structure and stick to yours rules! have a great trading week!
Xau-usd
XAU/USD 11 April 2024 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's relentless bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook.
Price on all HTF's requires a pullback. Bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted line would indicate pullback initiation but not confirm.
Bearish CHoCH is now confirmed.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent remains the same, which is to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 10 April 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bearish.
Due to the range of internal structure I have mapped sub-internal to gain a micro-view of price action.
Sub-internal structure is denoted in red with current sub-structure being bearish due to bearish iiBOS.
Price has pulled back following bearish iiBOS and reacted at premium EQ of the sub-internal range.
Current intraday expectation would be for price to target weak internal low of the sub-structure.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - 15mGold's price movement is nearing the completion of another bullish leg, in the range of $45-$50. With this achievement, we might be on the cusp of a pullback and correction phase. It's a good time to manage your buy positions strategically and potentially leverage this cycle to secure more profits. Stay alert to the shifts in the market!
Gold can make one more upward move and then start fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago started to trades in a wedge, where it first rebounded from the support line and made impulse up to the resistance line, breaking the 2145 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, the price rebounded from the resistance line and declined to the support level, after which it at once bounced and in a short time rose to the resistance line of wedge. But the price at once rolled down to the support line back and then Gold made an upward impulse from this line to the current support level, which coincided with the support area, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. Soon, Gold broke the 2270 level and some time traded in the support area, after which it a not long time ago rebounded and made impulse one more time. So, in my opinion, Gold can make one more upward move and then start to decline to support area. For this case, I set my target at the 2270 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAU/USD 09 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's relentless bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook.
Price has printed further highs Sunday's analysis dated 7 April 2024 where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low.
Price on all HTF's requires a pullback. Bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted line would indicate pullback initiation but not confirm.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent remains the same, which is to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS since weekly analysis dated 07 April 2024 where price continues to print all time highs.
Price is now trading within a confirmed internal range following bearish CHoCH.
First structural sign, but not confirmation that pullback is about to initiate is a bearish CHoCH, which price has printed.
Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following bullish iBOS, react at either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the internal structure before price targets weak internal high.
Another likely scenario, and due to the fact that all HTF's need to pull back, is price prints a bearish iBOS on M15 which would mean first structural indication (CHoCH) on H4 that pullback is about to initiate.
M15 Chart:
GOLD - Price can fall to support area and then bounce to $2370Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to trades in flat, where it some time traded in support area, after which bounced up to top part of flat.
After this, price bounced down to support area, after which it at once made upward impulse, thereby breaking $2210 level.
Also, XAU exited from flat and continued to move up in rising channel, where soon price reached one more support area.
But Gold at once bounced to support line of channel and then made upward impulse, breaking $2305 level and exiting from channel.
A not long time ago XAU turned around and started to decline, so, I think Gold can decline to support area.
Then price can turn around and start to move up to $2370 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
XAU/USD 08-12 April 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish swing BOS followed by a bullish iBOS and continues to break all time highs.
Most likely scenario would be for price to pull back following swing and internal BOS (Break Of Structure)
First structural indication, but not confirmation that pullback has initiated would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted by a vertical blue dashed line as internal low as CHoCH are priced at the same level.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Expectation is for price to pullback following swing and internal pullback. Internal low and CHoCH are positioned at the same level.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains unchanged since last daily analysis dated 20/03/2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a swing BOS. Swing low confirmed and adjusted with swing high yet to be established.
Most likely scenario will be for price to pull back following swing BOS. First indication, but not confirmation, would be a bearish CHOCH denoted with a vertical dotted line.
As mentioned on 31 March 2024, price could potentially continue to trade bullish to seek further liquidity before pullback, however, it is looking increasingly likely a pullback will be imminent as the CHoCH has been brought considerably closer.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook.
Price has printed further highs since last Friday's analysis dated 5 April 2024 where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new highs and still remains the case.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent approach would be to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
Sell XAUUSD Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD (spot gold) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bullish channel pattern. However, a cautious approach is advised due to gold's safe-haven status.
Why Caution is Advised:
Gold's Safe-Haven Status: Geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, or risk-off sentiment can trigger sudden buying sprees in gold, potentially invalidating the short trade.
Sell Entry: Below the broken support level of the channel, ideally around 2290. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
2265: This represents the previous resistance level within the channel, potentially acting as initial resistance now.
2248: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 2307. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly rallies.
Thank you.
Gold analysis before NFP(4/5/2024)In our last analysis, we had anticipated the gold price to reach the 2300-2350 zone. right now the price has touched 2305$ and ranging.
We believe that the price has the potential to move upward and reach the 2325-2350 zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
XAU/USD 04 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed further highs since yesterday's highs (03-04/2024) where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low.
Further new high has meant location of ChoCH has been brought closer to current price.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new highs and still remains the case.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent approach would be to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS where it continues to print all time highs.
Price is now contained within bullish internal structure after confirmation of bearish ChoCH.
First structural sign, but not confirmation, that pullback has initiated is a bearish CHoCH, which price has printed.
It would be useful to note previous iBOS and bearish CHoCH which eventually lead to a further bullish iBOS as opposed to pullback initiation. This is primarily why the CHoCH should not be used as confirmation, rather weak indication.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met.
Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following bullish iBOS, react at either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the internal structure before price targets weak internal high.
Another likely scenario, and due to the fact that all HTF's need to pull back, is price prints a bearish iBOS on M15 which would mean first structural indication (CHoCH) on H4 that pullback is about to initiate.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - Bullish to $2300 - Gold Daily🚀 The price of gold is surging past the $2000 resistance with decisive strength, reflecting solid buyer conviction. #XAUUSD typically exhibits a two-legged movement pattern. With the major leg on the weekly chart and minor leg on the daily chart now well-established, we're setting our sights on an ambitious $2300 target. 🎯
This bullish momentum is not merely a surge—it's a testament to gold's enduring value in the market. Keep a watchful eye as we navigate towards this significant price level.
XAU/USD 01-05 April 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish swing BOS followed by a bullish iBOS.
Most likely scenario would be for price to pull back following swing and internal BOS (Break Of Structure)
First structural indication, but not confirmation that pullback has initiated would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted by a vertical blue dotted line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH.
Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low.
Expectation is for price to pullback following swing and internal pullback. Internal low and CHoCH are positioned at the same level.
Price could potentially continue bullish to bring the CHoCH closer to current price.
Weekly Chart :
Daily Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains unchanged since last daily analysis dated 20/03/2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a swing BOS. Swing low confirmed and adjusted with swing high yet to be established.
Most likely scenario will be for price to pull back following swing BOS. First indication, but not confirmation, would be a bearish CHOCH denoted with a vertical dotted line.
Price could potentially continue to trade bullish to seek further liquidity before pullback, however, it is looking increasingly likely a pullback will be imminent as the CHoCH has been brought considerably closer.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains unchanged since last analysis dated 29/03/2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and low.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new high.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
XAU/USD 29 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and low.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new high.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS printing all time highs with no structure to the upside. We are now trading within a fractal high and low.
As with all HTF's it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure before taking any action as opposed to picking tops.
Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following iBOS.
Another likely scenario is price to continue bullish and keep printing all time highs!
M15 Chart:
Gold to close above $2200 this week or next? Gold to close above $2200 this week or next?
Examining the daily gold chart, it appears there's a potential bullish flagpole pattern forming, indicating a possible forthcoming breakout. If this pattern unfolds, gold prices could rise. This week, gold attempted to breach $2,200 but faced rejection, dropping to $2,080 before rebounding above $2,190.
However, market sentiment may be turning cautious ahead of significant US economic data releases in the shortened holiday week, including the GDP Growth Rate, Core PCE Price Index, and Personal Spending. Despite this caution, if the GDP Growth Rate falls from 4.9% in the previous quarter to the expected 3.2%, it could reinforce expectations of a June rate cut by the Federal Reserve, as the market anticipates. This could potentially increase demand for gold and boost its price.
If this week's data doesn't serve as a catalyst, attention may shift to next week, with JOLTS Job Openings scheduled for Tuesday and NFP on Friday (US time), potentially providing further market insights.
XAU/USD 27 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway.
H4 chart:
M15 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday (26/03/3034)
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's
Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this.
Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action.
Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure.
Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 26 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's
Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this.
Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action.
Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure.
Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - 1H Market cyclesUnderstanding market cycles is key in financial trading, as showcased by our recent sell call on #XAUUSD.
After a bullish spike and a period of steady growth within an ascending channel, Gold entered a trading range, indicating a pause in buying momentum.
This signaled an opportune moment to execute a sell, anticipating a potential retracement from the range's upper limits.
Stay informed, as comprehension of such cycles can lead to strategic market decisions.
XAUUSD 24/3/24Gold giving us a clear bullish structure but we also reached our ATH and we know price very often reaches for liquid after an ATH is reached, this does not mean we are looking for price to shift bearish but we have to keep this in mind as always, as you can see here on the chart we have liquid lows and 4 ideas of what we think price may deliver!
Please keep in mind the liquid is sitting at our last major structure low and breaking this may very well shift us short term bearish... until we get a move keep all 4 for these ideas in mind, i am expecting a lower move and then a pull back higher into our newly created short term bearish range, we of course will keep in mind all of the highlighted ideas in mind and like always you trade what you see and not what you want to see!
XAU/USD 25-29 March 2024 Weekly OutlookWeekly Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has finally printed a bullish swing BOS.
Most likely scenario would be for price to pull back following swing BOS (Break Of Structure)
First structural indication, but not confirmation that pullback has initiated would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted by a vertical blue dotted line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH.
Internal structure is now confirmed
Expectation is for price to react at Weekly POI's or 50% EQ, which is denoted in blue, before targeting weak internal high.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a swing BOS. Swing low confirmed and adjusted with swing high yet to be established.
Most likely scenario will be for price to pull back following swing BOS. First indication, but not confirmation, would be a bearish CHOCH denoted with a vertical dotted line.
Price could potentially continue to trade bullish to seek further liquidity before pullback, however, it is looking increasingly likely a pullback will be imminent as the CHoCH has been brought considerably closer.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS.
Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high.
Because of the need for HTF's requiring a pullback, another potential scenario would be for price to continue bearish and print a bearish iBOS which would then indicate the Daily pullback has initiated.
H4 Chart:
GoldGold has shown me something surprising whilst overlooking some charts, we appear to have this huge monthly divergence in the asset when alongside the cumulative delta, now I have my doubts as this delta should be using orders for the most efficient results, but it is sure is interesting as its the only divergence I can find looking back, be interesting to here some others views on this.
XAU/USD 21 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed an iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS.
Intraday expectation would be for price to show signs of pullback initiation, which have yet to occur, or, price could react at 50% EQ before continuing bullish to create new highs.
Another potential scenario would be for price to continue bullish from current price, create a new high which would bring the CHoCH closer to very most recent price action allowing Gold to pullback without the need to pullback so deep as current CHoCH location which is denoted in blue dotted line slightly above the internal low, is a significant distance away from current price.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates yesterday.
Price is currently trading within a fractal high and low.
Intraday expectation would be for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted lines.
Alternatively, and much like H4, price could continue bullish to create new highs in order to bring CHOCH closer to the very most recent price action. This would Gold to initiate first structural signs of pullback without the need to significantly pull back.
M15 Chart:
Buy XAUUSD Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair (spot gold) on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the current price of 2161. This offers an entry point close to the breakout level, where buying pressure might be intensifying.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following levels:
2174: This represents the height of the channel, measured from the channel bottom (support line) to the top (resistance line), projected upwards from the breakout point.
2182: This is achieved by adding the height of the channel to the breakout point. These targets act as potential resistance zones that could see buying interest.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 2153. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses.
Thank you