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GOLD/EUR

GOLD 4H maintains its positive stabilityHello traders, The price of gold fluctuates near the support of the ascending channel. It receives continuous positive support from the moving average of 50, which supports the chances of continuing the rise within this channel and heading towards achieving our positive goals that started in 1996 and extended to 2010. In general, we will continue to favor the upward trend for today unless the 1983 level is broken and holds a daily close below it. Pivot Price: 1983 Resistance Price: 1996 & 2010 & 2022 Support price: 1964 & 1947 & 1933 The general trend expected for today is bullish timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
GOLD 4H within a positive patternHello traders, The recent gold price trades are confined within a descending secondary channel, which we believe constitutes a bullish continuation flag pattern, as shown in the chart,The price of gold continues to fluctuate around the 1963 level, and faces some negative pressure to move below it now, which requires attention in the upcoming trading, as consolidation below this level will stop the positive scenario and place the price under negative pressure, mainly targeting the 1951 areas. We point out that the price needs to rise above 1963 to reinforce the positive expectations, the next main target of which is 1981. Pivot Price: 1963 Resistance Price: 1981 & 1996 & 2010 Support price: 1951 & 1938 & 1925 The general trend expected for today: bullish timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
GOLD 4H Midday update Hello traders,The price of gold continues to fluctuate around the 1963 level, and faces some negative pressure to move below it now, which requires attention in the upcoming trading, as consolidation below this level will stop the positive scenario and place the price under negative pressure, mainly targeting the 1951 areas. We point out that the price needs to rise above 1963 to reinforce the positive expectations, the next main target of which is 1981. Pivot Price: 1963 Resistance Price: 1981 & 1996 & 2010 Support price: 1951 & 1938 & 1925 The general trend expected for today: bullish timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
GOLD 4H Midday update The gold price is showing positive trading and is trying to confirm crossing the 1977 level, reinforcing expectations of a continuation of the upward trend during the coming sessions, paving the way for heading towards our main awaited target at 1991 Therefore, the bullish trend scenario will remain valid and effective for today, supported by the positive signal provided by the Stochastic indicator, recalling the importance of consolidation above 1977 for the continuation of the expected rise. The general trend expected for today: bullish Pivot Price: 1977 Resistance Price: 1991 & 2009 & 2024 Support price: 1957 & 1943 & 1929 timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
[EN] XAUEUR vs XAUUSD // GaliortiTradingOANDA:XAUEUR has greatly improved its appearance relative to the chart of $OANDA:XAUUSD. See the weekly charts of both: 1 W € 1 W $ We will now comment on the charts OANDA:XAUEUR : OANDA:XAUEUR has reached a market top in the very short term but we think that before the end of the year it will reach new all-time highs with free upside , a fact that will probably take time for the XAUUSD to achieve. For this we base our analysis on: - large volume in euros since mid-August ( volume has tripled ), a fact that has not occurred in dollars. - the best technical aspect. In the first half of March 2022 OANDA:XAUEUR made record highs but the price was rejected with strong volume (the highest in the entire historical series). For such reason, we expect a correction in the coming days as this is the third time it faces that resistance arriving with strong overbought. It does not facilitate the rise: 1. weekly bearish divergence in the RSI. 2. Technical figure of an evening star on the daily chart. 3. Extreme slope of the short term bullish guideline. 1 D We believe that in the coming weeks there will be a correction with a target of 50% of Fibonacci of the entire rise since the beginning of the month (around 1.803-1.813€), a level that will be reinforced by the 200-session average . 4h On 30-minute charts, the price is supported by the 100-session average . Its loss will accelerate the falls towards the floor of the bullish channel with origin at the beginning of the month. Its first downside targe t is 1,850 ( 23.6% Fibonacci correction area). Its loss would generate a second downward targe t at 1,810-1,820 ( 50% Fibonacci correction area). 30 From there, the stock will probably restructure upwards to try to beat its historical highs before the end of the year . Pablo G.
OANDA:XAUEURShort
by GaliortiTrading
GOLD 4H price achieves the extended targetHello everyone, The price of gold rose strongly yesterday to succeed in achieving our expected target of 1985. We notice that the price begins today with more positivity to try to penetrate this level, which leads the price to achieve more expected gains during the coming sessions, paving the way for heading towards the levels of 1991 and then 2009 as stations—next main. Moving average 50 continues to support the proposed bullish wave, taking into account that failure to consolidate above 1977.25 will stop the expected rise and put pressure on the price to turn lower. Pivot Price: 1977 Resistance Price: 1991 & 2009 & 2024 Support price: 1957 & 1943 & 1929 timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
Too steep, too quickly...After literally months of waiting, we finally signaled that gold had reached some attractive price levels on 2nd October 2023. Subsequently, gold bottomed out in the next four days and rose more than $150 from its lows. While these gains are impressive, we are starting to grow very skeptical about how much higher gold can go from the current level. That’s because stocks are beginning to manifest signs of weakness, and in the case of significant selling pressure in the stock market, we think investors will be forced to cover losses elsewhere by liquidating their gold position (especially willing to do so with its recent gains). Hence, we are on high alert and closely monitoring the situation. Technical analysis gauge Daily = Bearish Weekly = Slightly bullish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
4
Gold price reaches the target The price of gold opens today's trading with a strong rise to reach the expected target at 1952, and the way appears open to exceeding this level and achieving additional gains up to 1961 in the near term. Therefore, the upward trend scenario will remain likely for the coming period, supported by the 50 moving average, which continues to carry the price from below, taking into account that failure to breach 1940 will put pressure on the price to bounce downwards and head to test the 1932 areas again. Pivot Price:1940 Resistance Price: 1952 & 1961 & 1972 support price: 1932 & 1923 & 1913 timeframe: 4H
TVC:GOLDLong
by Evar_Mayi
GOLD new week Bullish hello everyone, The gold price is facing noticeable negative pressure to attack the 1913.15 level, which requires attention in the upcoming trading, as continuing the decline and confirming the break of this level will stop the positive scenario suggested in the morning and put the price under negative pressure during the coming sessions, while the price needs to consolidate above 1913.15 to resume the bullish wave that is present. Its next major target is at 1945.20. The general trend expected for today is bullish
TVC:GOLDLong
by ElenaMayi
GOLD 4H try to down GOLD for the next week will trade at the bearish zone reminding you that, consolidation under 1873 is important to achieve the suggested targets as breaching it will push the price to build a bearish wave to reach 1860 , 1850 , and 1838 As for renewing bullish attempts, consolidation above 1873 will support the price to rise up again and recover its positive momentum to retest again to 1886 , 1896 , and 1911 Support line: 1860 , 1850 , 1838 Resistance line: 1886 , 1896 , 1911 The general trend expected for today: Bearish The expected trading range for today is between support 1850 and Resistance 1886
TVC:GOLD
by ElenaMayi
Unclear path for gold Almost two weeks ago, we touted gold’s retest of the support at $1,900 and the potential continuation lower to $1,875. However, soon after that, gold halted its decline slightly below $1,885 and reversed. Subsequently, it went above $1,920. For the most part, this move coincided with the relief in the stock market. Therefore, we remain on high alert and somewhat undecided about the next path for gold. Technicals on the daily time frame turned slightly bullish, with Stochastic and RSI pointing to the upside. But DM+ and DM- still suggest the presence of a downtrend, and MACD hovers in the bearish territory. To bolster a bullish case in the short term/medium term, we would like to see MACD break above the midpoint and RSI with Stochastic continue to develop bullish structures. Besides that, we want to see the stock market stabilizing (as we think the market weakness still threatens the higher price of gold). To summarize this short article, we are neutral in the short-term and medium-term and bullish in the long term. In accordance with that, we continue to wait for a better opportunity to buy gold. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and two simple moving averages that act as alternative resistance levels. In the next few days, we will observe their ability to stop the rising prices. Technical analysis Daily = Neutral/Slightly bullish Weekly = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tradersweekly
Choppiness to translate into weakness?The gold market has been volatile in the past few days, prompting us to maintain a neutral stance in the short term. However, what caught our interest during this time was MACD trying to cross through the midpoint on the daily chart. If successful, this event will likely coincide with more weakness in gold, potentially dragging it toward the area between $1,900 and 1,910 (and eventually, maybe even lower). Besides concerning MACD, indicators like RSI and Stochastic also show bearish signs. As a result, we are growing a bit bearish on gold in the short term (though we remain bullish in the long term). It would not surprise us to see investors take profits from gold if the selloff in stocks continues. We saw this occurrence in 2022 on multiple occasions, and we think it is also a real possibility in the future. Therefore, we continue to wait for a better bargain before adding more gold to our portfolio. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily MACD approaching the midpoint. Technical analysis Daily = Slightly bearish Weekly = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
17
BRICS, gold-backed currency, and challenge to the U.S. dollarEven if you are not a gold bug, you have probably caught the news about central banks being on a gold-buying spree, with 2022 marking the record year for central bank purchases. This trend has not stopped in 2023, and many countries intensified the diversification of their reserves amid economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and high inflation in the United States. For some time now, we have considered this interest among central bankers as a very positive development for gold, making a case for higher prices in the long term. But more recently, we might have found another catalyst for the gold price. According to multiple media news outlets, the BRICS countries plan to introduce a new gold-backed currency in August 2023 at the organization’s summit in Johannesburg, South Africa (though Anil Sooklal, South Africa's ambassador to BRICS, denied these claims just a few days ago). Despite contradictory narratives between media and the BRICS officials, the shift to a gold-backed currency would be a monumental event in the world of finance, given that there has not been any gold-backed currency since U.S. President Richard Nixon suspended the convertibility of the U.S. dollar to gold on 15th August 1971. This move, often referred to as the “Nixon Shock,” effectively marked the end of the Bretton Woods System, under which most of the world's currencies were tied to the dollar, which itself was tied to gold. Since then, the U.S. dollar has lost more than 96% of its purchasing power, and gold has risen from $40 to over $1,900. Should the BRICS countries proceed with the introduction of a new gold-backed currency, it would greatly elevate gold's role in the international monetary system (especially when considering that BRICS recently overtook the G7 in terms of global GDP and another dozen countries asked to join the group). Furthermore, such a move would likely trigger a new wave of currency wars between the West and East, critically challenging the U.S. dollar's dominance as the world's reserve currency. Perhaps the erosion of purchasing power in fiat currencies would not be immediate with the introduction of this new gold-backed currency. Yet, history is laden with instances where the re-emergence of sound money has displaced the use of fiat currencies, particularly those lacking tangible backing. The transition can be a gradual process, slowly but steadily reshaping the landscape of global finance. Therefore, it's imperative now more than ever to stay attuned to the shifts and tremors within the financial world and to brace for an unpredictable future. The historical link between currency wars and actual conflicts is a stark reminder that these economic maneuvers carry weight far beyond monetary value. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the monthly chart of XAUUSD. The dashed white line indicates how much gold has grown in price since “Nixon’s shock.” Technical analysis Daily = Bullish (with signs of weakness) Weekly = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tradersweekly
6
Selling pressure on halt and potential trend reversal In our previous article on gold, we noted that we were still not turning bullish in the short-term as technicals on the daily and weekly time frame pointed to more downside. However, prior to that, we also noted that one development stood out to us, and it was decreasing volume accompanying the falling price. We stated this was a positive development for gold, suggesting that selling pressure has declined. Subsequently, we touted to watch this metric in the next few days. Following lows near $1,893, volume continued to fall, further fortifying our assessment about decreasing selling pressure (now suggesting that the short-term trend might be finally reversing from bearish to bullish). Consequently, we change our short-term stance from bearish to neutral. For us to grow bullish, we would like to see gold break above its 20-day SMA and hold above this level. In case of a drop in the price, we would like to see it hold above $1,910. If the price fails to do so, it will raise our concern over more downside for gold. Technical analysis Daily = Bearish Weekly = Bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tradersweekly
4
Potential Breakout: Higher Highs and Rising Wedge FormationXAUEUR, the gold-to-euro currency pair, has recently shown signs of a potential bullish breakout. After testing a significant support level at 1740, the pair has started to form a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a shift in momentum. Currently, XAUEUR is consolidating within the confines of a rising wedge formation. This technical pattern is characterized by converging trend lines, with the upper trend line sloping at a steeper angle than the lower trend line. Such patterns are often regarded as bullish continuation patterns, suggesting that an upside breakout may be on the horizon. I will closely watch for a potential breakout above the upper trend line of the rising wedge. If the price manages to breach the upper trend line decisively, it could signify a shift in sentiment and the resumption of an upward trend.
OANDA:XAUEURLong
by UnknownUnicorn48526553
Gold's struggle ahead?In the last article, we expressed a bullish bias for gold in the long term. However, we also noted that we could not ignore certain worrying signs that were putting us on a high alert in the short term; in particular, we mentioned 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA closing the gap and low volume accompanying the price higher. Since then, the price of gold has slumped from $2,027 to $1,955, representing approximately a 3.5% decline. At the moment, a significant development we are closely tracking is whether the 20-day SMA drops beneath the 50-day SMA; if yes, then it will bolster the bearish case in the short-term/medium-term. Besides that, we also pay close attention to the support levels at $1,959 and $1,952; if the price breaks below them, it will be bearish for the short term. Contrarily, if the supports halt the selling pressure, it will be positive for gold. As for some other developments on the daily chart, we are watching RSI and MACD, which are both bearish; in fact, MACD broke below the midpoint, which suggests more downside for the short-term. Consequently, we stay on high alert. In regard to the price target on the downside, we abstain from setting one as we deem it difficult to assess. But, in our opinion, the $1,925 or $1,900 (and potentially even $1,875) price tags are not out of reach. Because of that, we think it is still prudent to wait for a better price and stay on the sidelines. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. Yellow arrows indicate gold’s failures to overtake all-time highs. Technical analysis Daily = Bearish Weekly = Neutral/Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tradersweekly
6
Gold reaffirms its position of "safe heaven"In the current financial landscape, gold continues to emerge as a resilient asset, demonstrating impressive growth year to date. With an 11% increase in value thus far, gold's performance surpassed last year's modest 1.3% gain during the same period. This remarkable appreciation can be attributed to a combination of multiple factors, including economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and investor sentiment. As the world grapples with these challenges, gold continues to solidify its position as a safe haven for investors seeking stability and a hedge against financial turbulence. Moreover, the ongoing strength of this precious metal reaffirms its enduring appeal as a strategic investment choice in an unpredictable global economy. While we maintain a bullish stance on gold in the long term, we must also consider the potential impact of stock market fluctuations on gold prices. As seen in previous instances, a weakening stock market can weigh on the price of gold, much like it did last year. With this in mind, we believe it would be prudent for investors to wait for a significant pullback in the price before adding more to their positions. In our previous article, we highlighted the deviation of gold's price from its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which could have foreshadowed a retracement toward this indicator. Since then, the price has remained highly volatile, yet it has failed to retrace toward the 50-day SMA; in fact, the price and 50-day SMA have been gradually closing this gap. Nevertheless, we will continue to closely monitor key metrics, such as the 50-day and 20-day SMAs, along with trading volume, which has been declining since May 4th, 2023, when gold nearly broke above an all-time high. The decreasing volume is not particularly bullish and puts us on high alert. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. The red arrow shows declining volume since 4th May 2023. Technical analysis Daily = Neutral Weekly = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tradersweekly
14