Gold, adjustment is a buying opportunity
📌 Driving events
At the critical moment of the tariff war, there were signs of easing, but the market did not buy it when it came to the gold market. The US policy changed faster than turning a book, which made the market overwhelmed. Therefore, even if the latest US statement was somewhat easing, gold did not fall as a result. The current market is an extreme casino, which depends entirely on whether the correct trading signals and entry timing are grasped in time.
After the tariff war, major investment banks have recently raised their expectations for gold prices this year. Goldman Sachs' latest forecast is that the gold price may rise to $3,700 this year. In extreme cases, the gold price may hit $4,200. This forecast seems unreliable, but it is actually very mysterious. Goldman Sachs' forecasts cannot be all accurate, nor can they be all inaccurate. What does this extreme situation refer to? Obviously, there are only two points, the first is the economy, and the second is the war. Apart from these two points, there is no more significant news that can push the gold price to $4,200.
So, is it possible for the current fundamentals to have the situation predicted by Goldman Sachs? Obviously, there is. The global trade war initiated by Trump will cause all economic turmoil, and the economy will enter an accelerated recession. In addition, the United States attempts to take down Iran in order to control the Middle East and raise oil prices. If a war breaks out in Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, the lifeline of oil in the entire Middle East, will be blocked, and oil may rise to a rare height. This is the purpose of the United States. Once the above two situations occur at the same time, it is not surprising that the price of gold rises to $4,200. Therefore, instead of predicting how much the price of gold will rise, it is better to pay attention to the real-time dynamics of the United States' tariff war and layout in the Middle East.
With 36 trillion U.S. debts hanging over his head, Trump is like a child who is desperate to lose, betting on the credit of the United States. Of course, the United States has the possibility of winning the bet. The tariff war is naturally impossible for the United States to win, but the United States will not lose. In the layout of the Middle East, the United States still has the probability of winning. Although Iran is the strongest combat force in the Middle East, the United States has been deeply involved in the Middle East for many years and has also won almost all the expected goals, and is experienced. The world is calling Trump a madman, a psychopath, and a fool. In my opinion, Trump is not crazy, but may be a king.
📊Commentary Analysis and 💰Strategy
I have said that any pullback in gold is an opportunity to get on board. Buy more when the pullback is big and buy less when the pullback is small. Although it is at a high level and the risk is extremely high, it is all assumptions. The fact is that gold has always been strong. The only thing to remember is that once you are afraid of heights, don't go short. You can be timid and watch the war, but you can't go against the trend.
After the tariff war eased, gold did not fall. After a slight adjustment yesterday, it did not continue the decline. It is now strong again and stands above 3230. It rose sharply due to the tariff war, but it did not fall sharply due to the easing of tariffs. There must be a reason. In terms of technical trends, gold 3190 area forms a new support platform, and the 4-hour level forms a high-level shock pattern. This high-level shock pattern is still bullish. Once it breaks through, it will start a new wave of upward trend. At present, the trend is good and the bullish trend remains unchanged.
The market fluctuates rapidly. We have already entered long orders near 3210 in the morning. Any intraday retracement support level is a long opportunity. We should grasp it flexibly.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
