Xauusd(w)
Prepare for a sharp dropHello everyone, I am a senior gold analyst (trader) who is always confident and dedicated to fighting for you. As long as the market is not a straight line, I have the confidence to lead you to victory!
From the technical chart, the gold price has risen to the key pressure level of 2928. Yesterday, the gold price began to fall after touching 2928, and the resistance of the pressure level was obvious. Previously, gold was in an upward trend, but when it approached the 2928 pressure level, the K-line showed a long upper shadow line, which implied heavy selling pressure from above. Moreover, if combined with the moving average system, when the price rises to the vicinity of the pressure level, the short-term moving average fails to effectively cross the long-term moving average, forming a long arrangement, but instead shows signs of turning downward, which further indicates that the upward momentum is insufficient. Today, we should take the 2928 pressure level as a reference, decisively arrange short positions, and wait for the arrival of the gold price plunge. Gold 2925-2935 is directly short, and the target is 2918-2908.
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XAU/USD 05 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD 4HR Analysis | What's Next For Gold ? The gold market is currently trading within a long-term ascending bullish channel, respecting dynamic trend lines that act as both support and resistance. This market structure shows a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the overall trend remains bullish.
Key Observations:
Market Structure & Trend Analysis:
- The price has been following a well-defined bullish trend while respecting key trendlines.
- An inner bearish channel has emerged, contributing to short-term pullbacks, but the overall trend remains intact as price continues bouncing off support levels.
- The all-time high (ATH) resistance area has acted as a strong supply zone, where sellers have stepped in multiple times.
Volume & Corrections:
- The chart highlights multiple volume-based corrections, where price pullbacks have occurred with increased selling pressure.
- These corrections align with dynamic support and resistance levels, reinforcing key pivot zones.
- After a significant drop into the key support/value area, buyers stepped in aggressively, leading to the latest bullish rebound.
EMA & Pivot Support Levels:
- The exponential moving average (EMA) trend support has played a crucial role in maintaining the bullish structure, acting as a dynamic area of interest.
- Pivot points are marked, showing where price has reacted at key levels, further validating the importance of these zones.
Quarters & Fibonacci Levels:
- The quarters theory percentages (25%, 50%, 75%, and 100%) are plotted, showing price reactions at these psychological levels.
- The 50% retracement level was a significant bounce area, aligning with previous demand and forming a potential higher low.
- If price sustains above this mid-level, the next targets would be the ATH resistance at 75% and potentially the 100% extension into the target zone above $3,000.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Continuation: If price holds above the key support zone and successfully reclaims the ATH resistance, we could see a breakout targeting new highs around the $3,000+ target zone.
2. Rejection & Consolidation: If price struggles at the ATH resistance, a pullback to retest the 50% retracement level or lower support zones is possible before another leg up.
3. Bearish Breakdown: If price loses its key support levels, a deeper correction could unfold, pushing price back into the lower range of the channel.
Final Outlook:
The market remains structurally bullish, with volume-based corrections providing healthy pullbacks. As long as price respects the key EMA support, Fibonacci levels, and quarters theory zones, the probability of reaching new highs remains strong. However, resistance around the ATH zone must be closely monitored for signs of either a breakout or another rejection.
What is your thoughts ? Let me know in the comments!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VANTAGE:XAUUSD
Gold's Resistance Battle: Breakout or Reversal?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($2,896-$2,878) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing microwave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to go down at least pivot points after breaking the Uptrend line , and in the next stage , the Support zone($2,845-$2,830) can be the next target .
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone($2,896-$2,878), we can expect more pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
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#GOLD PULLBACK COMPLETE AND TO CONTINUE DOWNGold ended the uptrend by breaking the upward trendline and hit our 1st target.
It has now completed a pullback to the BOS area. Depending on how gold reacts to this area, I will be looking for a potential short trade with entry at 2,898 with a target of 2,832.
Always place a stop-loss, especially due to the ongoing economic uncertainty at the moment!
XAUUSD This is a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 2-hour timeframe, showing a bullish market structure with an ascending channel in play.
Key Observations:
1. Uptrend Formation:
The price is moving within a bullish channel marked by two parallel blue trendlines.
Higher highs and higher lows confirm a steady uptrend.
2. Support & Resistance Levels:
The white horizontal support level around 2,905.926 suggests a key demand zone where price may bounce.
The upper resistance zone near 2,961.754 is a key level to watch for potential take-profit or breakout opportunities.
3. Projected Price Action:
The white arrows indicate a possible short-term pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel before a continuation to the upside.
A breakout above 2,961.754 could further strengthen the bullish trend, targeting higher levels.
Conclusion:
The trend is bullish, and traders may look for buying opportunities at pullbacks near the lower trendline or support zones.
A break below the channel would indicate weakness, potentially leading to a bearish reversal.
A strong breakout above 2,961.754 could drive prices toward new highs.
Would you like any refinements or additional insights on this analysis?
Gold H1 | Potential bullish breakoutGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards a potential breakout level and could climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 2,923.75 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 2,897.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 2,954.62 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Gold may rebound, insist on shorting at high levelsBrothers, today the lowest price of gold fell back to around 2901. As I wrote in yesterday's post, the rebound of gold is a little weak. At present, the market has not returned to the upward trend line. Therefore, the continuity of gold's rise may not be strong. The overall market still tends to short gold. We can insist on shorting at high levels. Brothers who followed my trading ideas to short yesterday must have made considerable gains. The downward channel of gold prices since the new high in the 4-hour chart has been broken upward, and the moving average system is running upward, indicating that gold prices may rebound in the short term. In terms of operation, it is necessary to grasp the rhythm of the long and short turns. From a technical perspective, the upper side of gold is still concerned about the 2915-2925 resistance area. In this area, we are still mainly shorting. The lower side pays attention to the 2900-2890 area as support. We can wait for gold to fall back to the 2900-2890 area to go long on gold.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have reported that they are very helpful. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn more about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000:
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025
🔹 Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
Immediate Support:
$2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally.
$2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA.
Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario):
$2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows.
$2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance:
$2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum.
$2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains.
Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario):
$2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel.
$3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target.
🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown:
Bullish Case (Breakout):
Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness.
Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum.
Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension).
Bearish Case (Reversal):
Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment.
Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift.
Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low).
Neutral/Range-Bound:
Range: $2,835–$2,950.
Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950).
🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week:
U.S. Jobs Data (March 7):
Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000.
Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800.
Fed Commentary (March 5):
Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835.
Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+.
Geopolitical Surprises:
Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000.
De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800.
🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor:
RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound.
MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias.
Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume.
📈 Summary:
Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline).
Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological).
Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
Yesterday's short selling made a perfect profitYesterday, the layout of 2907 short selling fell to 2905 as expected, and then the arrangement of 2915 short selling fell to 2904 as expected. In the evening, the layout of 2913 short selling fell again and continued to stop profit at 2903. I made more than 6K profit from this short selling, which is a good trading result.
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Gold futures for April are trending upWorld gold prices continued to rise amid a weakening US dollar. The US Dollar Index – a measure of the greenback’s strength against six major currencies – fell 0.49% to 106.145 points.
Risk aversion remains high in the market due to geopolitical tensions and new tax policies. The US has just imposed tariffs on goods imported from Mexico, Canada and China. In response, these countries have also applied retaliatory measures, affecting about $1,000 billion of global trade.
China is likely to let the yuan depreciate to reduce the impact of tariffs and boost exports. If the yuan continues to weaken, many investors in China may flock to gold as a safe haven.
Asian and European stock markets are trending lower, while US stocks are also forecast to open with slight losses.
SUPPORT : 2900 , 2892
RESIST : 2930 , 2950
GOLD → Breaks 2881. Buyers are ready…OANDA:XAUUSD breaking through the resistance threshold of the downward trend and attempting to seek gains above the critical resistance zone of 2881. A consolidation before the breakout is forming relative to 2894, signaling potential growth on the dollar's correction foundation.
Previously, Trump confirmed the possibility of imposing 25% tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, triggering retaliatory measures and increasing the risk of U.S. recession. Declining PMI and Atlanta Fed's GDP led to a sell-off on Wall Street and increased demand for gold as a protective asset.
Geopolitical tensions persist as Trump suspends military aid to Ukraine, sparking European discontent. Market focus will remain on the release of detailed U.S. monthly employment information - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday. This crucial data will impact both USD and gold metal.
Technically, the price surpassing the 2881 resistance level divides the market into two planes. A consolidation before breakthrough is forming relative to 2895. The resistance breakthrough and price consolidation above 2895 could reinforce growth. The buyers' main focus is maintaining defensive positions above 2885 - 2895.
In the context of increasing economic risks and declining dollar, gold has every opportunity to continue its growth following the local trend change. The targets in this scenario are 2915, 2921, 2929.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GOLD recovers, fueled by trade risks as key support Influenced by US President Trump's imposition of new tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico and the doubling of tariffs on Chinese goods, the situation has raised fears of a global trade war. OANDA:XAUUSD found support after fresh tariff concerns and rebounded to target $2,900 and above it the momentum is waning.
Trump's tariff policy continues to boost inflation expectations while weakening economic growth expectations, and real yields continue to decline.
The upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will have an important impact on the market. If data shows rising inflation, gold prices could fall as the market may reduce expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Recently, the market expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 75 basis points by the end of the year, up from 44 basis points last week.
Trump's tariff action, which could affect nearly $2.2 trillion in annual US two-way trade with China, takes effect at 12:00 Hanoi time on Tuesday. China responded immediately by imposing additional tariffs of 10%-15% on certain US imports effective March 10 and imposing a series of new export restrictions on certain designated US entities, according to Bloomberg.
Meanwhile, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Ottawa will immediately apply a 25% tariff on $20.7 billion worth of US goods.
JPMorgan said it has a structurally long-term bullish view on gold and expects gold prices to reach $3,000 by the fourth quarter of 2025. Trump's tariffs are considered inflationary and have prompted many investors to move money into the safe-haven gold, which has risen more than 10% this year.
However, higher inflation in the United States could force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates for longer, which could reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion. Markets await the ADP jobs report on Wednesday and the US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday for more information on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has achieved the $2,900 target gain readers noticed in previous editions since it reached support at $2,835.
Temporarily, the recovery momentum is weakening but maintaining price activity above the original price level of $2,900 is considered a positive signal for continued upside, and the next target is $2,942 in the short term, more than the all-time high of $2,956.
The interim relative strength index is also showing signs of reacting to the 61 resistance level, a continued break towards the overbought area would be a positive signal for bullish expectations in terms of momentum.
During the day, gold's price recovery prospects and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,868USD
Resistance: 2,942 – 2,956USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
→Take Profit 1 2933
↨
→Take Profit 2 2927
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2884 - 2886⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2880
→Take Profit 1 2892
↨
→Take Profit 2 2898
Gold Price Analysis March 4⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The market is concerned about the risk of a global tariff war that seems inevitable. US President Donald Trump affirmed to impose 25% tariffs on Canada, Mexico and increase tariffs on China to 20%, leading to retaliatory measures from China and Canada, which could escalate into a full-blown trade war.
In addition, Trump suspended military aid to Ukraine, causing tensions with European allies. The market continues to monitor the upcoming US employment data, which could impact the Fed's interest rate policy, affecting the USD and gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Today's price range is focused on 2905 and 2877. The Dow trend will still be prioritized when Gold finds it difficult to close above important resistance zones. The Sell zones of 2905 and 2918 are heavily concentrated by sellers today. The furthest target of the week for gold will be to touch the bottom of last week around 283x. Pay attention to important price levels to have a reasonable BUY and SELL strategy.
Gold price today: Extend the momentum!Gold prices continued their upward momentum today, hovering around the $2,910 level. The last recorded trade for gold stood at $2,928 per ounce, marking a 270-pip increase compared to early yesterday morning.
Accordingly, gold prices are currently experiencing strong impacts from USD fluctuations and US tariff policies. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump continues to raise concerns by threatening to impose tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada. These factors could determine whether gold can reach the $3,000 per ounce mark or not.
Currently, investors are awaiting the US payroll report, expected to be released at the end of this week. The report's results could influence the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve (FED).
On the technical chart, the precious metal has broken out of the descending price channel and made adjustments to create new highs. Bullish factors are driven by the crucial support level at 2885 and the two EMA lines at 34 and 89. All expectations are focused on gold's long-term price appreciation because any signs of US economic slowdown will support calls for Fed rate cuts and provide support for OANDA:XAUUSD .
Gold price today: Strong rebound!Dear traders!
At around 6 AM on March 4, the spot gold price stood at $2,894 per ounce, marking a $36 increase from the previous day's opening price of $2,858 per ounce.
The primary reason for this rise is the increased risk aversion among investors, driving higher demand for safe-haven assets like gold amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Over the weekend, a heated exchange between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky raised concerns that efforts to end the Ukraine-Russia military conflict could reach an impasse.
Additionally, U.S. trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect today, March 4, sparking fears of potential financial market instability. This uncertainty has pushed many investors toward gold as a wealth preservation asset.
Meanwhile, a sudden decline in the U.S. dollar has made gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies. As a result, today's gold price outlook remains positive. Keep an eye on the $2,892 resistance level, as a breakout above this point could signal further upside momentum.
What are your thoughts?
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Analysis:
• H1: Uptrend resuming after a pullback. MACD histogram turning positive, indicating bullish momentum. RSI at 59.21, showing strength but not overbought.
• M15: Price recently broke above resistance and is holding above it. MACD near zero but turning positive, supporting bullish continuation. RSI is neutral at 50.36, leaving room for further upside.
• M3: Strong breakout and consolidation. MACD is positive, and RSI at 52.73 shows bullish strength.
2. Support & Resistance:
• Key support: 2900
• Key resistance: 2945
3. Moving Average Confirmation:
• On all timeframes, the price is holding above the moving average, signaling bullish continuation.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold is benefiting from safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties.
• US Dollar Index (DXY) has been weakening, which supports gold’s upside.
• Upcoming economic data (if dovish) may further push gold higher.
Trade Execution:
• Entry: 2915 (Current price)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2900 (Below key support)
• Take-Profit (TP): 2945 (Key resistance level)
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAUUSD | GOLD Reaches Key Supply Zone – Bearish Reversal Ahead?SMART MONEY CONCEPT
📌 Gold Faces Selling Pressure Near Resistance
🔸 Gold (XAUUSD) is struggling to break above the $2,921 zone, a strong supply area.
🔸 The U.S. Dollar remains strong, driven by hawkish Fed expectations and rising bond yields, limiting gold’s upside.
🔸 With key U.S. jobs data (NFP) & Powell’s speech approaching, gold could see increased volatility.
🏦 Fed Policy & Rate Expectations
🔹 If the Fed maintains a higher-for-longer stance on rates, gold may face further downside.
🔹 However, dovish hints or weaker economic data could fuel a bullish rally.
🌎 Geopolitical Factors
🔸 Ongoing global uncertainties (Middle East tensions, economic slowdowns) continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
🔸 Any escalation in risks could drive buyers back into gold.
🔍 Technical Analysis (15M Timeframe)
🚀 Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Supply Zone: $2,921 - $2,922 (Strong rejection seen)
🔹 First Support: $2,879 (Possible liquidity grab)
🔹 Major Demand Zone: $2,845 - $2,850 (High probability buy zone)
🔄 Bearish Reversal Signals
📌 Change of Character (ChoCh) at the top signals potential trend shift.
📌 Break of structure (BoS) confirms bearish bias.
📌 Price is forming a lower high, indicating a possible downtrend.
📊 Trade Plan
📉 Bearish Bias Below $2,921
✅ Sell if price rejects resistance → Target: $2,879 & $2,845
❌ Invalidated if price breaks & holds above $2,922
📈 Bullish Alternative
🔹 If price holds $2,879, potential bounce back to highs.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
Gold is at a critical level! Will we see a bearish reversal, or will bulls regain control? Drop your predictions below! 📉👇
Do you want to go long or go short? This article is enoughBrothers, gold has touched the 2915-2925 area as expected, and I have also made a wave of short gold in time according to my trading ideas. Gold is currently affected by tariffs, and gold may continue to fall in the evening. As long as the resistance above gold is still near the 2915-2925 area or breaks through this area, we will still focus on shorting gold. When gold falls back and touches 2895-2885 below, gold still has room for a second rebound. Therefore, when gold falls back to this area, we can try to go long gold.
Friends who entered my article, as long as they followed my trading signals, they all made wrong profits. If you want to get detailed trading signals, just move your finger to join my bottom article and make money easily! I really want to help you, but if you are not even willing to extend your hand, how can I help you?