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Non-agricultural data is coming. Will it affect the market trendBecause there will be non-agricultural data next week, Quaid thinks that the market will not be in a hurry to perform at the beginning of the week. And Friday is the US Independence Day, and the market will be closed in advance; maybe only Wednesday and Thursday are really needed. This week, gold closed below 3300, and the daily line was also broken, and gold officially entered a bearish trend. First look at the monthly line chart Because next Monday is the last day of June, the monthly line will start to close, so you can still pay attention to the support of the monthly line. The MA5 moving average below the monthly line is currently around 3170. Moreover, with the support of non-agricultural data next week, the possibility of touching around 3170 is not ruled out. Secondly, from the weekly line chart The weekly line is basically the same as the monthly line. The MA20 moving average below is also around 3170. So next week, I think we should focus on around 3170. The monthly line and the weekly line resonate, so the probability of touching this position is very high. Finally, let's look at the daily chart. The daily chart shows a downward trend and the short-term support has been broken. The current support is around 3250. I think there is a high probability of a small sideways consolidation at the beginning of the week. If the market conditions are eager to change, it may rebound slightly and then continue to decline. If it falls below 3250, it will continue to fall towards 3200. If this level is broken, it may hit the low point of 3170-3175.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexMasters2000
"Stealing Gold Profits: XAU/USD Long Setup (Risk-Reward Heist)"🔥 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Breakout Robbery Plan (Long Setup) 🔥 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting a heist on XAU/USD (GOLD). Follow this master plan for a bullish escape near the high-risk ATR zone. Beware—overbought signals, consolidation traps, and bearish robbers lurk! Take profits fast and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🏆💸 📈 ENTRY: THE HEIST BEGINS! Wait for Resistance Breakout (3400.00) → Then strike! Buy Stop Orders: Place above Moving Average. Buy Limit Orders: Use 15M/30M pullbacks (swing lows/highs). Pro Tip: Set a chart ALERT to catch the breakout live! 🛑 STOP LOSS: DON’T GET CAUGHT! For Buy Stop Orders: Never set SL before breakout! Thief’s SL Spot: Recent swing low (4H timeframe). Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and order count. Rebel Traders: Place SL wherever—but you’ve been warned! 🔥 🏴‍☠️ TARGET: 3480.00 Scalpers: Long-only! Use trailing SL to lock profits. Swing Traders: Join the robbery crew for bigger gains. 📊 MARKET CONTEXT: XAU/USD is neutral but primed for bullish moves 🐂. Watch: Fundamentals (COT Reports, GeoPolitics, News). Intermarket Trends & Sentiment. Positioning & Future Targets (Check our bio0 for analysis linkss!). ⚠️ TRADING ALERTS: News Releases = High Volatility! Avoid new trades during major news. Use Trailing SL to protect open positions. 💥 SUPPORT THE HEIST! Hit the Boost Button 💖→ Strengthen our robbery team! Profit daily with the Thief Trading Style. 🏆💪🚀 Stay tuned for the next heist—more loot awaits! 🤑🐱‍👤🎉
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by Thief_Trader
Gold’s Big Heist—Will You Join the Loot or Get Robbed?🔥 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Breakout Robbery Plan (Swing & Scalp Strategy) 🔥 🌟 Greetings, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🌟 Ready to loot the gold market? 🏆💰 Based on Thief Trading Style analysis (technical + fundamental), here’s how we execute the heist on XAU/USD—escape with profits before the bears trap us! 📈 ENTRY: The Heist Begins! "Break the Wall!" Wait for RESISTANCE (3370.00) to crack, then strike! 2 Ways to Rob: ✅ Buy Stop above Moving Average (breakout confirmation) ✅ Buy Limit near pullback zones (15m/30m recent swing lows) Pro Tip: Set a chart alert 🚨—don’t miss the breakout! 🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Loot! "Yo, listen! If you’re buying after breakout, DO NOT set SL until price confirms! Thief’s SL Rule: Place at recent swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk & lot size. Rebels, beware! 🔥 Your risk, your rules… but don’t cry if the market robs you back! 🎯 TARGET: Escape Like a Pro Main Take Profit: 3480.00 (or exit early if the market turns shady!) Scalpers: Only LONG plays! Use trailing SL to lock profits. Swing Traders: Ride the trend & split the loot wisely! 💰 ⚠️ WARNING: News = Market Chaos! Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Trailing stops = your best friend to protect profits. 💎 WHY THIS HEIST? XAU/USD Trend: Neutral (but bullish potential! 🐂) Key Drivers: Geopolitics, COT data, macro trends—do your homework! 🌍📰 🚀 BOOST THE HEIST! Like this plan? Smash the Boost Button! 🔥 Helps us steal more profits & share next robbery targets! Stay tuned—more heists coming soon! 🎯🤝 🎉 Happy Trading, Thieves! May the market favor your loot! �💸
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
Next Week Aims for 3300 Break💎 Last week, gold opened gap-up on Monday 🔼 but then trended lower 🔽. However, the 3290-3300 support zone remained robust from Mon-Thu ⚡. It plunged to ~3255 on Fri before rebounding 🌱. Next week's open may surge to 3290-3300 🔥! 🚀 Sell@3260 - 3270 🚀 TP 3280 - 3290 -3300 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
XAUUSD: We must adapt to the market conditions! Bears in ChargeGold prices dropped as Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, causing a significant decline. We anticipate this trend to persist, as recent price data, including volume and price momentum, indicates a strong seller’s control in the current market conditions. We have two targets for you to set your own based on your analysis, along with a stop-loss based on your strategy. We appreciate your unwavering support throughout the years. Please like and comment. Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
26
Analysis of Gold's Opening Market Strategy on MondayOn last Friday, both the data and news fronts were bearish, leading to a step-by-step decline in gold prices. The bears completely dominated the market, and the feeble rebound made it difficult for long-position holders to exit. Gold trended lower in a volatile and slow decline, rebounding only to a high of 3,321 before plummeting all the way, consecutively breaking through the 3,300 psychological barrier, the 3,280 support level, and the daily trend line. For the trend at next week's opening, the first target is to observe whether the 3,270 support level stabilizes and triggers a rebound. This level is not only a technical support but also a position where long positions can be considered for deployment. Market laws show that a rebound often follows a unilateral downtrend, and this area may trigger a price recovery. If the key support is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue, with the next focus on the 3,250-3,245 support zone. In terms of operations, it is recommended to maintain a bearish strategy of "selling on rallies," with key attention paid to the resistance area of 3,313-3,321. Short positions should be deployed by relying on this level. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: sell@3300-3295 TP:3250-3260
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by MyronWilson
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3300 and a gap below at 3271. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3300 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3300 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3324 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3354 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3383 BEARISH TARGETS 3271 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3239 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3239 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3213 3179 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
19
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3301 and a gap below at 3242. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3301 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3301 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3370 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3429 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 BEARISH TARGETS 3242 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3242 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3089 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 3001 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Following up on our previous Goldturn channel post – the recent price action has played out exactly as anticipated. We saw a clean rejection at the channel top around 3433, with price failing to lock above and confirming that resistance is still very much in control at the range ceiling. This rejection was perfect and it led to a decisive move back down into the 3272 Goldturn support. This level is now acting as a critical pivot. From here, we’re watching closely for one of two outcomes: 1. Bounce Scenario: If price holds and we see a supportive reaction from 3272, particularly with no EMA5 cross and lock confirmation, we will look for long opportunities to slowly ascend the channel again. Expect a grind with testing of in-between levels as structure develops. 2. Breakdown Scenario: If 3272 fails to hold, we expect the next key test to occur at the channel’s midline – a level that has acted as support. A further breakdown would likely target 3106, our next Goldturn support zone, for potential reversal setups. This price action continues to validate the effectiveness of the Goldturn channel structure keeping us grounded and responsive rather than reactive. We remain focused on level to level trading, guided by the channel and supported by EMA5 confirmations for directional analysis. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3433 Support: 3272 (current test), 3106 (if breakdown continues) Stay patient and let price confirm. The best trades continue to come from structure respecting reactions, not from chasing. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Follow up on our Weekly Goldturn channel outlook. Last week’s action delivered the rejection at the channel top, right in line with expectations. Importantly, we did not get an EMA5 lock confirmation, reinforcing the rejection. We still have the previous weekly candle body close above 3387, leaving the gap at 3482 active and exposed overhead. The early rejection saw a swift retrace into the 3281 Goldturn axis support, where price is currently attempting to stabilise. This is a pivotal level. From here, we are watching two potential paths unfold: 1. Bounce Scenario: If 3281 holds and buyers step in, we’ll look for a gradual climb within the channel, testing key in between levels. EMA5 cross and lock confirmation will be key for directional bias. A reclaim and continuation higher keeps the 3482 gap firmly in play as a target. 2. Breakdown Scenario: If 3281 gives way, we have a body close gap to the channel mid-line, which becomes the next key level for potential support and Goldturn reaction. A move into this area could offer another structured long opportunity, aligned with the overall bullish framework. Despite the rejection at the highs, the broader channel structure remains intact, and the longer term outlook still favours a measured move up level by level, using Goldturn levels and EMA5 as our compass. Key Focus: Support: 3281 → Channel Half-line (if broken) Resistance: 3387 → 3482 (gap target) We remain patient and continue reacting to clean structure backed opportunities. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
Gold Bull Markets: Long-Term Overview & Current Market UpdateGold Bull Markets: Long-Term Overview & Current Market Update (2024–2025) ________________________________________ 🏆 Historic Gold Bull Markets: Timeline & Stats 1️⃣ 1968–1980 “Super Bull” • Start/End: 1968 ($35) → 1980 ($850) • Total Gain: ~2,330% • Key Drivers: o End of the gold standard (Bretton Woods collapse) o Double-digit inflation, oil shocks o Political/economic turmoil (Vietnam, stagflation) • Correction: o Nearly –45% drop (1974–1976) • Recovery: o Took years; massive rebounds afterward 2️⃣ 1999–2012 Bull Market • Start/End: 1999 ($252) → 2012 ($1,920) • Total Gain: ~650% • Key Drivers: o Commodities supercycle o Emerging market demand o US dollar weakness, financial crisis fears • Correction: o ~–30% during 2008 crisis, but fast recovery • Recovery: o Rebounded quickly after 2008, then peaked in 2011–12 3️⃣ 2016/2018–2027 (Current Cycle) • Start/End: 2016/2018 ($1,050–$1,200) → ongoing ($3,500+) • Key Drivers: o Record central bank buying o Persistent inflation & low real rates o Geopolitical instability (Russia/Ukraine, China/US, etc.) • Correction: o Only –20% drawdown in 2022; quick recovery o Broke 13-year technical “cup-and-handle” base in 2024 ________________________________________ 📊 Current Bull Market Stats (2025) – At a Glance Metric 1968–80 Super Bull 1999–2012 Bull 2018–2025 Current Bull 🚀 Total Gain ~2,330% ~650% ~200% so far ⏲️ Duration 12 years 13 years 7–9 years so far 💔 Max Drawdown –45% (1974–76) –30% (2008) –20% (2022) 🏦 Central Bank Role Moderate Emerging Dominant 📉 Correction Recovery Years 4 years Months 🏛️ Technical Pattern Secular breakout Multiple peaks 13-yr base breakout ________________________________________ 📈 Top 10 Stats of the Current Gold Bull Market (2025): 1. Gold Price: o ~$3,338–$3,364/oz; ATH > $3,500 in April 2025 2. Year-to-Date Gain: o +29% YTD (2025); +30% in 2024 3. Central Bank Demand: o 1,000 tonnes bought for 4th straight year; reserves near records 4. Inflation Hedge: o Strong negative correlation with real yields; safe-haven demand up 5. Gold vs S&P 500: o Gold +27% YTD; S&P 500 up only ~2% 6. Jewelry Demand: o Down –9% in 2024, projected –16% in 2025 (high prices suppress demand) 7. Gold-Silver Ratio: o Now ~94 (down from 105); silver catching up 8. Record Closes: o Over 40 daily record closes in 2025; price consolidating near highs 9. Technical Breakout: o 13-year “cup-and-handle” breakout (March 2024) 10. 2025 Forecasts: • Range: $3,600–$4,000 by Q2 2026; some see $4,500+ if risks persist ________________________________________ 🔄 How This Bull Market Stands Out • Dominance of Central Banks: Central banks are setting the pace—record demand, making gold a reserve anchor again. • Faster Recovery: Corrections are less severe, recoveries are quick (months, not years). • Synchronized Rally with Equities: Rare for gold and stocks to hit highs together—shows systemic confidence in gold. • Technical Breakout: 13-year base break signals powerful, long-term momentum. • Future Outlook: Targets as high as $7,500/oz (650% from cycle lows) possible by 2026/27, if historical analogs play out. ________________________________________ ⭐️ Recommended Strategy (2025 and Beyond) • BUY/HOLD/ACCUMULATE on Dips: Favor physical gold, gold ETFs (GLD), and miners (GDX). • Physical Over Paper: Preference for allocated, physical bullion amid rising counterparty risks. • Diversify with Miners/Silver: Gold-silver ratio suggests silver may offer leverage; quality miners benefit in the latter stage of bull runs. • Long-Term Perspective: Anticipate volatility, but higher highs are likely if macro themes persist. ________________________________________ 🧭 Summary Table: Historic vs Current Bull Markets Feature 1968–80 1999–2012 2016/18–2027 Total Gain 2,330% 650% 200%+ (so far) Duration 12 yrs 13 yrs 7–9 yrs (so far) Correction –45% –30% –20% Main Buyer Retail Funds Central Banks Pattern Parabolic Cyclical Cup & Handle Key Risks Inflation USD/credit Inflation, war, geopolitics ________________________________________ Key Takeaways • Gold’s current bull market is distinguished by relentless central bank demand, robust technical momentum, and swift recoveries from corrections. • The macro backdrop—persistent inflation, global uncertainty, and sovereign de-dollarization—supports an extended cycle. • Expectations for $4,000+ gold in the next 12–24 months are widely held, with even higher targets in a true global crisis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
37
H4 Outlook | XAUUSD Monday • June 30 • 2025Hey fam, Fresh week on gold — clean structure, clean levels, clean execution ahead. Forget the noise. We trade price, we trust precision. 🔍 Market Flow & Bias Gold remains bearish on the H4 timeframe. Lower highs, lower lows, clean rejection from supply, and all EMAs (21/50/200) aligned down. RSI hovers near 30, showing heavy momentum — not exhaustion yet. Price is coiled, not crushed. If structure holds, we follow the short flow into deeper zones. 📌 Bias: Bearish below 3325. Pullbacks into supply = opportunity. — 🧱 Zones of Interest (Clean & Confluent) 🔺 Zone 1 – 3380–3405 | Extreme Supply Top OB zone with resting liquidity above. If price sweeps this level and fails, expect a sharp reversal. Only valid with reaction (CHoCH or bearish engulfing). 🔺 Zone 2 – 3325–3350 | Main Supply Strong H4 breaker block. Origin of the last major selloff. Already defended once — if it holds again, look for sniper shorts from within. 🔺 Zone 3 – 3285–3305 | Frontline Supply First inducement zone. Clean micro-OB that could give early fade trades. If bulls break through, Zone 2 becomes magnet. ⚖️ Zone 4 – 3260–3240 | Flip Shelf Range base. If price holds, bulls might step in short-term. But a clean break below shifts momentum fully toward lower demand. 🟢 Zone 5 – 3215–3195 | Main Demand Unmitigated OB with imbalance. If gold drops here with momentum and forms rejection wicks or CHoCH on LTF → long opportunity for bounce. 🟢 Zone 6 – 3150–3120 | Extreme Demand Macro swing demand. Deepest discount level on the chart. Valid only if market flushes — this is the “last stand” for buyers. — 🎯 Key Levels Zone Cheat-Sheet Above • 3380–3405 → Extreme Supply (trap zone) • 3325–3350 → Main Supply block • 3285–3305 → Micro OB inducement Below • 3260–3240 → Flip shelf (structural pivot) • 3215–3195 → Main buy zone • 3150–3120 → Deep macro demand — ⚔️ Execution Plan We sell from reaction zones, not assumptions. We buy from confluence, not hope. Every zone above comes with condition: no confirmation, no entry. — 📣 Found this useful? Drop a ⚔️ in the comments, tag your bias, 🚀and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level execution. This isn’t guessing. This is structure. This is clarity.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
EUR/USD – Smart Money Trap at 1.18? Massive Rejection Ahead 1. Technical Context The pair has been moving inside a well-defined bullish channel since May, forming higher highs and higher lows. Price is currently hovering around 1.1718, approaching the upper boundary of the channel and a key weekly supply zone (1.1750–1.1850). ➡️ Potential scenario: A short bullish extension toward 1.1780–1.1820 to trigger stop hunts, followed by a bearish rejection toward 1.1500, and potentially 1.1380. The daily RSI is overbought (>70), suggesting a likely short-term correction. 2. Retail Sentiment 80% of retail traders are short, with an average entry around 1.1318. This signals a liquidity cluster above current highs, increasing the likelihood of a fake bullish breakout followed by a sell-off. ➡️ Contrarian insight: Retail heavily short → market may push higher first to wipe them out before reversing lower. 3. COT Report – USD Index (DXY) Non-commercials (speculators) increased their short exposure on USD (+3,134). Commercials cut their short positions (-1,994), indicating a potential bottoming on the dollar. ➡️ Conclusion: USD strength could return soon → bearish pressure for EUR/USD. 4. COT Report – EUR FX Non-commercials increased longs on EUR (+2,980) and sharply reduced shorts (-6,602) → market is now heavily net long. Commercials remain net short (581,664 vs 417,363 longs). ➡️ Over-leveraged spec longs → vulnerable to downside squeeze if macro sentiment shifts. 5. Seasonality June tends to be mildly bullish for EUR/USD. July historically shows even stronger upward performance over the last 5–10 years. ➡️ Shorts are high risk in the very short term, but a bearish setup is likely in the second half of July, especially if price action confirms. 6. Trading Outlook 📍 Short-Term Bias: Neutral to bullish toward 1.1780–1.1820 📍 Mid-Term Bias: Bearish on rejection from supply area and break of channel 🎯 Key Levels: 1.1780–1.1850: critical decision zone (liquidity + weekly supply) 1.1500: first key support 1.1380: next downside target (demand zone + previous POC) 📌 Final Conclusion The most likely play is a short setup from 1.1780–1.1850 on strong rejection, supported by: Extreme retail positioning (80% short), COT pointing to USD recovery, Extended technical structure, Overbought RSI on the daily chart.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
12
Daily Outlook | XAUUSD June 30, 2025Hey traders, Fresh week, clean structure. Let’s lock in the key levels and let price do the talking. 🌐 Macro Context It’s a heavy week for USD – all major data drops before Friday: Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing + Powell speaks Wednesday: ADP Employment Thursday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM Services Friday: US holiday – markets closed 📌 This means liquidity will build into Thursday, then fade. Expect gold to stay range-bound early in the week, unless momentum shifts hard today. Volatility should peak around NFP. 🧭 Daily Structure & Bias Gold opened weak under 3287, still below 21EMA and 50EMA. The structure shows lower highs, bearish control, and no signs of strength reclaiming ground. RSI is at 42 — momentum down, but not oversold yet. Unless price breaks back above 3340, sellers stay in control. ✅ D1 Bias: Bearish while under 3340 📌 Key D1 Zones to Watch 🔺 D1 Breaker Block – 3340–3355 Former support, now clean resistance. Includes 50EMA and last failed closes. If price rejects again here, bearish continuation likely. A daily close above 3355 flips short bias. 🔺 D1 Supply + FVG – 3385–3405 Unmitigated imbalance from early June. If price pushes through 3355, this is the next upside magnet. Good spot for first reaction. ⚖️ D1 Decision Zone – 3287–3265 Current price zone. Multiple past reactions. A daily close below 3265 confirms breakdown. Holding above = more choppy range. 🟢 D1 Reaction Shelf – 3210–3180 Minor support zone from April candle bodies. Can slow price, but not strong enough for reversal on its own. 🟢 D1 Demand Block – 3155–3120 First major HTF demand. Includes 200EMA, strong structure, and previous breakout base. If price sells into it fast, watch for rejection — but only with confirmation. 🟢 D1 Macro Demand – 3090–3055 Final line of macro defense. Clean imbalance + demand from February. Valid only if sentiment breaks post-NFP. ✅ Final Summary • Below 3265 = structure breaks → opens 3180 • 3155–3120 = real support zone • Below 3120 = macro shift risk • Reclaiming 3340 = short bias invalid • Break above 3385 = continuation possible 📌 Today is all about the close. No confirmation = no trade. Thursday is the real trigger — be positioned, not exposed. — 📣 If this gave you clarity and structure, drop a 🔥, share your bias, and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper plans with zero fluff — only clean, confirmed price action.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
Weekly Outlook | XAUUSD June 30 – July 4, 2025Welcome to a new trading week. Let’s break down the gold chart from a clean, high-timeframe perspective. No setups, no noise – just structure, momentum, and zones that matter. 🌐 Macro Overview This week concentrates all key USD events into one tight window: Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing + Fed Chair Powell speech Wednesday: ADP Employment Thursday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM Services PMI Friday: US holiday – markets closed 📌 This means liquidity and momentum will peak by Thursday, then fade into the weekend. Expect gold to stay in range until macro data breaks direction. 🧠 Weekly Structure & Momentum Gold remains in a bullish macro structure, but price is hesitating below 3300. Last two weekly candles printed long upper wicks with no body follow-through – clear sign of distribution, not continuation. We’re still trading above the 21EMA Weekly, which maintains the uptrend’s integrity. RSI (14): sitting at ~59 → no real momentum breakout, just consolidation. 📌 The chart is not reversing, but it’s also not trending anymore. We’re in a decision zone. 📍 Key Weekly Areas of Interest 3430 – 3500 → W1 Imbalance + March High Sweep This is a wide weekly imbalance left unfilled since March, paired with the prior 2024 swing high. 3500 is also a psychological round number. If price pushes into this area, it becomes a liquidity target, not an entry – unless a clear rejection forms. 3330 – 3230 → Weekly Decision Block This is the current consolidation range. It includes multiple W1 candle bodies, wick highs/lows, and volume cluster. – Weekly close above 3330 = likely bullish continuation toward 3430+ – Weekly close below 3230 = confirms weakness and opens path to the next major support 3080 – 2970 → Weekly Demand + Fib 38% Clean block of accumulation from April–May, aligned with the 38.2% retracement of the 2024 rally. This is where we’d expect institutional buying interest on a deeper pullback. A weekly candle with a long wick into this zone + strong close would reset bullish structure. 2850 – 2720 → Last Macro Demand Zone This zone includes the 50EMA weekly, a weekly FVG from late 2023, and unmitigated demand before the full 2024 breakout. If price ever gets here, we’re no longer in a healthy uptrend – we’re correcting structurally. But this zone will matter if that happens. 🧭 Summary & Expectations Gold is still inside a large weekly range. Until we break above 3330 or below 3230, it’s just consolidation on the HTF. Thursday’s data will decide the candle. Don’t predict direction — let the W1 close speak. 📌 Final Notes: Above 3330 = room toward 3430–3500 Below 3230 = risk opens toward 3080–2970 Inside = no directional edge — stay reactive, not biased 🔥 If you enjoy this clean breakdown: hit that 🚀, follow & drop your thoughts below! Stay sharp traders — we execute with precision. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan for Monday Gold went strongly rejected from a key daily support on Friday. Your confirmation signal for a pullback trade from that will be a bullish breakout and an hourly candle close above 3283 intraday resistance. After that the price will likely reach 3292 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
8
Gold Extends Decline Amid Easing Safe-Haven DemandGold continues its downward trajectory as safe-haven sentiment weakens. Geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel appear to be easing following a ceasefire agreement, reducing the perceived need for defensive assets such as gold. At the same time, the market is reassessing its expectations regarding U.S. monetary policy. With the Federal Reserve unlikely to cut interest rates in the near term—and concerns about inflation resurfacing due to potential tax policy changes under former President Donald Trump—gold is facing a dual source of short-term pressure. Investor sentiment is currently shifting toward riskier assets, as capital flows increasingly favor equities over gold. This risk-on environment has further eroded demand for traditional safe havens. From a technical perspective, gold failed to break above the $3,350 level, signaling waning bullish momentum. This may indicate the onset of a short-term corrective phase. On the political front, recent remarks by Donald Trump—including the possibility of a long-term diplomatic solution with Iran and discussions around replacing Fed Chair Jerome Powell—have introduced additional volatility into global financial markets. Furthermore, according to market data I have reviewed, gold sales in the second quarter have shown signs of slowing. Buyers are becoming more cautious amid elevated price levels, while many investors are choosing to take profits, contributing to an increasingly two-sided market dynamic. Despite this, I maintain a positive medium- to long-term outlook for gold. The U.S. dollar is currently at its weakest point in three and a half years, offering significant support. Notably, central banks managing over $5 trillion in assets are planning to increase their gold reserves within the next one to two years—a strong structural driver for gold’s long-term growth. In summary, I believe gold is currently experiencing short-term corrective pressure due to a combination of geopolitical developments, interest rate expectations, and shifting investor sentiment. However, its long-term outlook remains solid, supported by a weaker dollar, global macroeconomic risks, and continued central bank accumulation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucasGlobal
Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025FX_IDC:XAUUSD 📰 The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. 📈 Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future. **Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** 🕊️ ceasefire negotiations. Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty 🌫️ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter 😬, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout". Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 💥 Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow. Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. 🚀 Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. 🙏 The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" 🎉 He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.🤝 Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory – a common move to satisfy their citizens. 🏅 Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close – but it's a welcome outcome! 🙏 **Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** 💹🏛️ The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. ⬇️ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market. The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. 🎤👨‍⚖️ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. 🤷 However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! 😮 ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 India / Pakistan Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week. Outlook 🔮: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions. Gaza Conflict Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked. Outlook 🔮: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access. Russia / Ukraine Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages. Outlook 🔮: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains. U.S. – China Trade War A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors. Outlook 🔮: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI. 🌐 Global Trade War Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented. Outlook 🔮: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism. Trump vs. Powell Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him “stubborn” and demanded immediate easing. Outlook 🔮: The Fed’s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow. 📈 U.S. Inflation Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth. Outlook 🔮: A rate cut later in 2025 is possible—if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive. ## Technical View 📐📈 **Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400. **ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:** * **Market Structure:** The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside. * **Order Blocks:** Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range. * **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range. * **Liquidity Pools:** Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone. * **Session Analysis:** The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines. * **Smart Money Concepts:** Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase. **Gann Analysis:** * **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:** The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25²) and support at $3,249 (57²). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July. * **Gann Levels:** * Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59²) * Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025 **Fibonacci Analysis:** * **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):** * 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance) * 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone) * 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level) * 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance) * 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest) * **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):** * 127.2%: $3,245 * 161.8%: $3,195 * 261.8%: $3,095 * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025. **Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:** * **Key Institutional Levels:** * Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional) * Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster) * Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone) * Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area) * **Volume Profile Analysis:** * High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area) * Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone) * Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330 **Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:** Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250. **Cycle Timing Analysis:** * **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):** Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle. * **Medium-Term Cycles:** The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation. * **Seasonal Patterns:** July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally"). **Trading Strategy & Levels:** * **Bearish Scenario (Primary):** * Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone. * Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150. * Stop Loss: Above $3,380. * **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):** * Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation. * Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400. * Stop Loss: Below $3,230. **Key Events to Watch:** * **US PCE Data:** Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release. * **Fed Communications:** Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold. * **Geopolitical Developments:** Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand. **Conclusion:** The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement. **Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** 🗓️🌍 🗓️ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT) * ** Sunday , June 29, 2025** * 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5 * ** Monday , June 30, 2025** * 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5 * ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025** * 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9% * 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4 * 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M * ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025** * 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K * 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M * ** Thursday , July 3, 2025** * Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) 🇺🇸⏰ * 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4% * 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K * 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K * 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2% * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7 * ** Friday , July 4, 2025** * All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day 🎆 **Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** 🔮💰 Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.🔽 However, fresh news can always flip the script! 🔄 As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. 🤞 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
Gold Prices Retreat, Short-term Bearish Trend PrevailsOn Friday, gold prices rebounded to $3,328 at the start of Asian trading but were resisted, followed by a sustained decline. Influenced by the U.S. May PCE price index data during the U.S. session, prices hit a low of $3,255 and closed at around $3,274, forming a large bearish candlestick with a long lower shadow on the daily chart. Influencing Factors: Optimistic expectations on trade agreements boosted market risk appetite, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal. Technical Analysis: - Daily chart: Gold has broken below the 5-day moving average, with short-term moving averages in a bearish arrangement. - 4-hour chart: The Bollinger Bands have widened, and prices are trending lower along the lower band. The key resistance level at $3,310 is critical—failure to reclaim this level may intensify short-term selling pressure. Outlook for Next Week: Events such as the global central bank governors' meeting, non-farm payroll data release, and discussions on Powell's potential resignation will disrupt the market. Gold is expected to fluctuate sharply around $3,270, with caution advised for a secondary bottoming. Comprehensive Judgment: The bearish probability is high: - Upper Resistance: Focus on the $3,310–$3,300 range, a key bull-bear dividing line. A breakthrough here could reverse the trend. - Lower Support: Watch the $3,250 level—breaking below it may open further downside. Indicator Signals: - MACD: Bearish crossover below the zero line with expanding green bars, indicating accelerating downward momentum. - RSI: At 39 in the oversold zone, showing potential for a short-term bottom, but bearish momentum remains dominant. XAUUSD sell@3290~3280 sl:3310 tp：3260~3250 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02