As I always emphasized, when you find the trend - stay :)When you find the trend, follow it and stay on it as long as it is valid. I uses STFLAT and oh boy, happy I did.
Xauusd(w)
Gold (XAU/USD) Market OutlookGold (XAU/USD) Market Outlook
#### **Current Overview**
- **Current Price:** $3,092
- **Key Support Zone:** $3,087 - $3,083
- **Major Resistance Zone:** $3,095 - $3,100
- **Trend Direction:** Uptrend remains intact with price staying above key moving averages.
---
### **📊 Bullish Outlook**
- If the price **pushes past the $3,100 resistance**, we could see further gains targeting **$3,110 - $3,120**.
- The **upward trendline and moving average support** indicate that buyers are still dominating the market.
- A confirmed breakout above resistance could trigger additional buying momentum.
---
### **📉 Bearish Outlook**
- If the price **fails to clear $3,100**, a retracement towards **$3,087 - $3,083** support may occur.
- A **drop below this level** could extend losses toward **$3,076 and potentially $3,065**.
- Increased selling pressure at resistance might lead to a short-term decline.
---
### **Final Thoughts**
- **Above $3,095:** Expect bullish continuation and new highs.
- **Below $3,087:** A pullback could develop before the next move.
Traders should monitor price behavior around these key areas to confirm the next direction. 🚀📉
Gold: supported by uncertaintyThe price of gold reached the new all time highest level on Friday, at the level of $3.084. As uncertainty regarding trade tariffs and other geopolitical risks strongly holds on financial markets, the investors continue to invest into a safe-haven asset. But it also means that as long as this uncertainty is high, the price of gold might reach even higher levels in the future period. During the previous week the PCE data for March were posted as well as increased inflation expectations of US consumers, through Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The US equities sharply dropped on the news, while the price of gold continued its strong uptrend.
The RSI tried to start a path toward the downside, however, the indicator turned for one more time toward a clear overbought market side, by reaching the level of 73 on Friday. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without any indication that the cross might come anytime soon.
The long term trend line, started from highs in April and October 2024 is on the test now. The price of gold perfectly collides with the historical highs, and now is at the level which will either be broken, or the price of gold will continue to follow this long term trend line. In case that the price continues with the higher grounds, then it will enter into uncharted territory. If the price reverts, then the first short term stop might be around $3.010. The week ahead will show which direction the price of gold has chosen.
GOLD XAUUSD ShortI m short. Gold can go even to 3100.No matter I sell more
Wall Street goes full bull with tariffs and payrolls looming
Gold surges toward $3,100 amid unrelenting rally
Smart money knows one thing very clearly: a large part of the bad news is already baked into the prices, and there is limited room for further downside. Especially considering the parabolic moves we’ve seen
Never the less we are in overbought zone,A correction coming.That will be good chance to buy Gold again
NEXT HIGH is 3100 It's coming !! XAUUSD GOLD next move We have seen the gold rally from 2978 to 3058 , toped the level of 3058 which is the last all time high in last week , last fri day in US session we have seen some profit booking and also it retested the last swing low of asia of this week .
I'm predicting now that XAUUSD GOLD will make a new ALL TIME HIGH again in upcoming day's .
XAUUSD has broken through the key level of 3110As gold enters a tariff-sensitive week, market risk aversion has intensified. Heightened probabilities of escalating US sanctions against Russia and Iran have reignited uncertainty, driving demand for gold as the world's largest safe-haven asset. Its record-breaking rally reflects the prevailing market sentiment.
Gold is in a sustained uptrend, with bulls steadily advancing and higher lows forming alongside successive new highs. Current market conditions suggest there remains upside potential for gold prices.
For short-term gold trading today, the recommended strategy is to buy on dips as the primary approach and sell on rallies as a secondary tactic. Focus on the key short-term resistance levels at 3115-3120, and monitor the key short-term support levels at 3070-3075.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3085-3090
sl 3070
tp 3100
Preserve capital, manage risk, generate returns, achieve sustainable long-term profitability, and continuously learn and develop through trading. Access the link below the article to obtain precise signals.
Gold price today continues to be forecast to increaseBrian greets everyone, let's discuss the gold price forecast for next week from 03/31/2025 - 04/04/2025.
Global Situation:
Last week, the market witnessed intense volatility in gold prices as it continuously broke previous highs to establish new records. The precious metal closed the final trading session at a new all-time high of $3,085 per ounce, approximately $60 higher than the previous week's closing.
In the Wall Street survey, 20 analysts participated, with 85% forecasting continued upward movement in gold prices, only 5% predicting a decline, and the remaining 10% expecting sideways movement.
Similarly, in the Main Street online survey, 202 investors responded, with 64% anticipating further price increases, just 19% expecting prices to cool down, and the remainder predicting sideways movement.
Analysis:
Gold prices are rising, with early April expected to see a breakthrough to NEW all-time highs.
Forecast:
Strong buying demand persists from central banks, Chinese consumers, and North American investors - particularly from the US, where potential remains untapped.
Additionally, concerns about tariffs and inflation will drive investors toward gold as a safe haven. Gold prices could potentially reach $3,200 or $3,300 if tariff measures are implemented.
Technical Analysis:
Based on gold's resistance and support zones on the H4 timeframe, Brian identifies these key areas:
Resistance: $3100, $3132, $3150
Support: $3070, $3050
IMPORTANT NOTES:
Note: Brian emphasizes proper capital management for traders:
Use appropriate lot sizes based on your capital
Take profits at 4-6% of account balance
Set stop losses at 2-3% of account balance
The winner is the one who stays in the market the longest.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 28.03.2025Gold is up 320 PIPS today alone! So what's next?
Option 1: Gold pushes higher towards ATH of $3,100!
Option 2: Gold faces LQ issues and starts to dump!
Which scenario do you find more likely?
Gold- Target and new ATH reached. Now what?In my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold would likely reach a new all-time high (ATH), but for that to happen, it was crucial for bulls to hold strong at the 3025-3030 support zone.
Indeed, Gold made a new ATH, reaching my target zone of 3080 overnight. I closed my buy trade with a profit of 550 pips.
Now, the key question is: What’s next?
In my opinion, there’s a strong possibility that Gold will continue its upward movement and test the 3100 level. However, at the current price of 3075, entering a buy trade is not justified from a risk perspective.
For now, I’m staying out of the market. If a retracement occurs, I’ll be watching the 3050 zone closely—most importantly, I’ll assess how the market reacts at that level before making any decisions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Today's strategyOver the past period of time, the price of gold has continued to rise and repeatedly reached new highs. This one-sided upward trend has accumulated a large number of profitable positions. As more and more investors choose to lock in their profits, the momentum driving the rise of the gold price will gradually be weakened, and the downward pressure will keep increasing.
The gold price is currently at a high level. This crazy bullish trend is simply unsustainable. It has now deviated seriously from the normal track. Such a situation is obviously unreasonable, and it is inevitable that the price will return to a reasonable range.
After conducting an in-depth analysis of various data in the current gold market, encompassing price trends, trading volumes, and market sentiment, as well as a comprehensive evaluation of the ever-evolving market situation, I am firmly and resolutely committed to implementing a short-selling strategy.
xauusd
sell@3095-3100
tp:3070-3075
SL:3109
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Gold fluctuates and pulls back, will it break 3100 again?The bullish trend of gold continues, but be alert to adjustments before 3086 stabilizes. Today it opened high at 3090 and approached 3100. Pay attention to whether 3086 can be broken. If not, it may pull back.On the whole, gold is in a continuous upward trend, with bulls climbing steadily, lows constantly moving up, and highs constantly refreshing. At present, the price of gold still has room to rise. Short-term operations are mainly based on pullbacks and long positions. For the support below, pay attention to the area around 3075. Above, continue to test the 3090-3100 area or higher. Don't chase long positions for the time being. If you want to go long, wait patiently for a pullback, otherwise the adjustment at a high level may also be large
Operation suggestion
Gold falls back to 3070-75, long position, stop loss at 3065, target 3095-3100, short position at 3100 for the first time, stop loss at 3105, target 3085-80
Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Strategy Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Strategy
**📈 Bullish Strategy (Long Trade)**
**Entry:**
- Look for a **bounce** from the **$3,071 - $3,072 support zone** or **$3,063 S2 support level**.
- Confirmation signals:
- A **bullish candlestick pattern** (e.g., engulfing or pin bar) near support.
- Price holds above **7 EMA ($3,071)** and **21 EMA ($3,063)**.
**Stop-Loss (SL):**
- Below the **S2 support zone at $3,060** (to avoid fake breakouts).
**Take-Profit (TP) Levels:**
1. **First Target:** $3,080 (recent high)
2. **Second Target:** $3,090
3. **Extended Target:** $3,100+ if momentum continues
**Risk-Reward Ratio:**
- Aim for a **1:2 or 1:3** ratio, risking 10-15 points for 20-30 points profit.
---
**📉 Bearish Strategy (Short Trade)**
**Entry:**
- If gold **breaks below $3,063 (S2)** with strong bearish momentum and volume.
- Confirmation signals:
- A **break and retest** of $3,063 as new resistance.
- Price trading below **50 EMA ($3,052)**.
**Stop-Loss (SL):**
- Above the $3,072 level (previous support turned resistance).
**Take-Profit (TP) Levels:**
1. **First Target:** $3,052 (50 EMA)
2. **Second Target:** $3,040
3. **Extended Target:** $3,020 (key psychological level)
**Risk-Reward Ratio:**
- Ensure at least a **1:2 ratio**, risking 10-15 points for 20-30 points profit.
Additional Trading Tips
- **Wait for confirmation**: Don't enter trades too early—wait for candlestick confirmation at key levels.
- **Watch volume:** Higher volume increases trade reliability.
- **Monitor news & fundamentals:** Major US economic data and Fed speeches can impact gold prices.
- **Adjust SL & TP dynamically**: Use trailing stops if the trade moves in your favor.
Gold price next week will continue to conquer the new peak?Brian Hello Everyone, Let's Comment on Gold Price Next Week From 31/03/2025 - April 5, 2025
World situation:
Gold prices continue to reach new highs as investors flock to this safe-haven asset, amid growing concerns about the global trade war triggered by US tariff policies. Currently closing at $3,085, up 0.94%, the yellow metal remains the optimal choice in the face of mounting worries about tariffs, trade tensions, and geopolitical instability.
US trade policy, fiscal policy, geopolitical factors, and growth slowdown will support gold prices. Forecasts suggest that $3,100 per ounce will be the next important milestone for gold prices.
Identify:
The upward trend will continue into next week, with support levels indicated on the chart providing backing for gold. Pay attention to the new all-time high, from which the upward momentum will continue to be triggered.
Technically:
Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed.
NOTE:
Note: Brian wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold continues to hit new highs! Trend analysisGold hit a new record high again, rising from 2858 to 3086. After four rounds of surges, gold is now close to the 3100 mark. The overall bull market is still there, and the general trend is still bullish. For gold's upper pressure, pay attention to the breakthrough of 3085-90 US dollars, which is the upper track position of the weekly Bollinger band. For upward breakthrough, pay attention to the integer position of 3100 US dollars, which is also the upper track position of the daily Bollinger band.
Strategy: Gold 3070 long, stop loss 3060, target 3100
XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Plan + Daily Sniper Setup (W1 → M15)🟨 WEEKLY (W1)
✅ Bullish structure (HHs & HLs)
🔓 Broke ATH → price discovery mode
🎯 Targets: 3,120 / 3,180 / 3,250
🟩 Key demand: 2,985–2,950
📅 DAILY (D1)
🔼 Breakout above 3,049 confirmed
🕳️ FVG forming between 3,049–3,083
📈 No bearish signs while above 3,049
💡 EMA structure supports momentum
🕓 H4
✅ Clean breakout from consolidation
🟩 Demand zones:
3,049 (Flip zone)
3,000.65 (HTF OB)
📈 Trend in expansion phase
🕐 H1
📦 Broke range between 3,000–3,049
🔲 OB + liquidity grab confirmed support
🎯 Targeting 3,100 / 3,120
🕧 M30 & M15 (Precision Zones)
🔹 Entry 1: 3,083–3,085 (FVG + OB zone)
🔹 Entry 2: 3,073–3,076 (Unmitigated demand)
✅ Validate entries via M1/M5 CHoCH + bullish PA
🔫 DAILY SNIPER PLAN
✅ Buy Setup (High Probability)
Entry: 3,083–3,085 or 3,073–3,076
Trigger: M1–M5 CHoCH or bullish engulfing
SL: Below 3,070
TP1: 3,100
TP2: 3,120
TP3: 3,150
🔥 HTF trend + fresh liquidity = high-RR long opportunity.
🟥 Sell Setup (Countertrend Idea)
Entry: 3,118–3,121 (liquidity hunt zone)
Trigger: Bearish M5/M15 CHoCH + LQ sweep
SL: Above 3,125
TP1: 3,100
TP2: 3,085
TP3: 3,050
⚠️ Use only if price shows exhaustion + structure break.
✅ Recap:
Focus remains on buy-the-dip as long as price holds above 3,049.
Bearish setups = scalp/reversal only if smart money shifts short-term flow.
How to interpret the rise or fall of gold at the opening?From the 4-hour chart of gold, since the low point of 3012 stabilized, it has been rising strongly all the way. 3086 briefly suppressed a negative line. As long as it maintains a strong unilateral trend, this negative line is likely to be a single negative line. Then we must hold the MA5-day support of 3070. If it cannot be held, the MA10-day position below 3054, which is also the intraday low, will support it. From the hourly chart, it closed strongly at a high level overnight, and continued to rely on the MA10-day moving average to rise. It is in a forced short and slow rise, and fell back to the low point of 3066. You can go long near this position on Monday. But if it is particularly strong, don't give it a chance. However, before the key resistance of 3087 is broken, it is not recommended to be too aggressive. Aggressive people can stop loss again. If the market breaks through 3087 on Monday, look at about 10 US dollars, and then you can continue to go short, unless the market closes and stabilizes at 3100. Pay attention to the support around 3066. Gold may have a double top in 30 minutes. Don't chase more for the time being. If you want to go long, wait patiently for a decline, otherwise the adjustment range at high level may be large. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold next Monday is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3097-3100 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3057-3060. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation.
When gold falls back to around 3066-3070, buy two-tenths of the position in batches, stop loss at 3045, target around 3080-3090, and look at 3100 if it breaks;
XAUUSD H1 Trading Plan (Intraday Precision)Bias: 📈 Bullish
Current Price: ~$3,096
Context: Clean breakout from H1 range → intraday expansion phase in play.
📊 1. Structure & Market Phases
Price consolidated in a tight range (highlighted in blue) for ~1 week, between ~3,000 and ~3,049.
Recent breakout above range → confirming bullish continuation.
Minor HLs forming → micro structure remains clean.
🧠 2. Smart Money Concepts
🔲 Old OB / Demand Zone: Gray zone = area of prior breakout (ideal re-entry on pullbacks).
🧊 Range high (~3,049.57) = now acting as support (flip zone).
🧠 FVG might exist in the 3,060–3,080 range on lower TFs → potential internal mitigation.
📌 3. Key H1 Levels
🔝 Upside:
🔸 3,120.14 – Major upside target (aligned with HTF)
🔸 Next target levels depend on PA around psychological levels (e.g., 3,100, 3,150)
🟦 Support Zones:
✅ 3,049.57 – Previous range high
✅ 3,000.66 – Base of accumulation block
✅ 2,983–2,975 – Internal mitigation zones
✅ 2,899.69 – Major invalidation point (HTF OB)
📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H1 Execution Focus)
✅ Scenario A: Breakout Continuation
Price stays above 3,049–3,060 → bullish continuation likely.
🎯 Target: 3,100 / 3,120 intraday
Look for bullish BOS or FVG entries on pullbacks (M15/M5 timing ideal)
🔁 Scenario B: Pullback into Demand
Retracement back to 3,049 / 3,030 / 3,000 zone
🔁 Entry on bullish reaction from prior range top
Great RR setups for continuation longs
🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Likely)
Break below 2,975 could lead to:
🔻 Deeper move into OB around 2,960 / 2,899
Would shift intraday bias from bullish to neutral
🧭 Summary
1H is in a breakout phase – ideal moment to hunt continuation trades.
Pullbacks into previous range top or base are high-probability re-entry zones.
Bias remains strongly bullish unless structure below 2,975 is broken.
XAUUSD Weekly Trading Plan (W1 Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Momentum)
Structure: Higher Highs / Higher Lows (Weekly)
Current Price: ~$3,084
Market Phase: Price Discovery / Momentum Phase
🔍 1. Weekly Market Structure
Clear bullish structure with strong continuation.
Recent Higher Low (HL): ~1985–2000 zone.
Current Weekly Candle: Strong bullish with little to no upper wick → sign of aggressive buying.
🧠 2. Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
✅ Liquidity Grab: Buy-side liquidity above 2080–2150 has been swept → cleared space for new highs.
📏 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Estimated FVG between 3000 – 3080, possible retest area.
🧱 Valid Bullish OBs: Below, around 1985–2000 (HL origin).
⛔ No resistance above – price is now in price discovery mode.
📊 3. EMA Alignment (Estimated)
EMA 5/21/50/200 are all bullishly stacked.
Price is significantly extended above EMA 21 → potential for short-term pullback.
Trend remains intact and strong.
🧱 4. Key Zones (Weekly)
Support Zones:
3000 – 2960 → recent impulse base.
2900 – 2880 → minor structure zone.
2080 – 2100 → breakout + consolidation area.
No historical resistance above current levels. Watch for round number reactions (e.g. 3100, 3150, 3200).
🔢 5. Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low: ~1985 → High: ~3084)
0.382: ~2660
0.5: ~2535
0.618: ~2410
→ These levels are relevant only if price enters deeper retracement later.
📅 6. Weekly Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation (Main Bias)
Hold above 3000 → target extensions toward:
🎯 3120 / 3180 / 3250+
Strong momentum candle suggests interest remains to the upside.
⚠️ Pullback Scenario
Rejection from 3085 area → potential drop toward:
3000 (minor FVG fill)
2960–2900 (stronger structure + potential re-entry area)
Bullish bias remains intact unless we break below 2900 weekly close.
🧭 Summary
XAUUSD is in price discovery after sweeping key liquidity.
Momentum is strong, but price is overextended → short-term pullbacks are healthy.
All signs point toward higher targets unless major structure breaks.
Gold | Oil | Dollar | Silver | Natural Gas Price ForecastMultiple Time Frame Analysis
Support and Resistance Key Levels Analysis
Gold | Oil | Dollar | Silver | Natural Gas Price Forecast
XAUUSD:Tomorrow, focus on going long on pullbacksLast Friday, influenced by both the evening market sentiment and capital flows, gold had a relatively high probability of rising overall. However, after the release of the PCE inflation data, the market reaction was poor as the data was bearish.
Gold failed to directly break through the previous high and reach a new peak. It was evident that the gold price did not hold firm above 3086, dropping rapidly after touching that level twice. Thus, one should not blindly chase long positions. If the gold price breaks below 3060, a genuine adjustment may ensue.
Overall, for tomorrow's short-term trading of gold, the trading approach should mainly involve going long on pullbacks and be supplemented by selling short on rebounds. In the short term, closely monitor the resistance level at the 3095-3100 range on the upside, and the support level at the 3070-3065 range on the downside.
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XAUUSD - Uptrend is strong, pullback for buysThe gold market is displaying remarkable strength, with the XAU/USD pair recently breaking above the $3,085 level to establish new historical highs. The upward trajectory has been supported by a robust ascending trendline dating back to late February, indicating persistent bullish momentum. While the immediate trend remains decidedly positive, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term correction may be forthcoming, which would likely present advantageous buying opportunities for traders. The highlighted support zone around $3,030-$3,040 could serve as an ideal entry point for those looking to establish long positions, with the expectation that after this healthy pullback, gold will resume its upward march toward the projected target of $3,100 and potentially beyond.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Analysis: Bullish Pennant Breakout to Target1. Overview of the Chart
This 4-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a bullish pennant pattern, which is a strong continuation formation, indicating that the price is likely to continue its upward trajectory. The price action has followed a clear trend structure, and we can identify key support and resistance levels, breakout points, and potential profit targets.
This analysis provides a comprehensive breakdown of the chart setup, including:
The technical pattern formation
Key support and resistance zones
Trade setup with an ideal entry, stop loss, and profit target
Risk management considerations
Market conditions and external factors to monitor
2. Breakdown of the Chart Pattern: Bullish Pennant Formation
Understanding the Bullish Pennant Pattern
A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that occurs after a strong upward movement (known as the "flagpole"). The market then consolidates within a small triangular shape, forming the pennant. This consolidation is seen as a temporary pause before the next bullish move.
Key Characteristics of the Pennant in this Chart
Flagpole Formation:
The steep rally before the pennant formed represents a strong bullish impulse, driven by increased buying pressure.
This rapid price increase set the foundation for the pennant pattern.
Consolidation (Pennant Formation):
Price action moved within converging trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangular pattern.
The market temporarily paused, as some traders took profits while others awaited further momentum.
This type of consolidation is common before the price resumes its trend.
Breakout from the Pennant:
The bullish breakout above the upper trendline of the pennant confirms the continuation of the uptrend.
A strong breakout suggests renewed buying interest, likely pushing prices toward the next resistance level.
3. Key Technical Levels on the Chart
A. Resistance Level (Potential Selling Zone)
A critical resistance zone is marked between $3,100 - $3,125, where selling pressure could emerge.
If the price faces rejection in this zone, a temporary retracement could occur before another push higher.
A breakout above this resistance level would further strengthen the bullish case, possibly pushing gold toward the $3,175 - $3,200 range.
B. Support Level (Demand Zone)
The support zone is around $3,025 - $3,017, which is the last significant swing low.
This level represents a strong buying area where traders may look for re-entry on a pullback.
A break below this support could invalidate the bullish setup, signaling a shift in market sentiment.
C. Trendline Support (Dynamic Support)
The dashed black trendline represents an uptrend support.
If price retraces toward this level and holds, it may offer another buying opportunity before resuming its uptrend.
A break below this trendline would be a warning signal, suggesting a weakening of bullish momentum.
4. Trade Setup and Execution Strategy
A. Entry Strategy
The ideal entry point was upon the confirmed breakout above the pennant, around $3,075 - $3,085.
Aggressive traders may have entered at the breakout itself.
Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to retest the breakout zone before entering, ensuring confirmation.
B. Stop Loss Placement (Risk Management)
A stop loss is placed below the support zone at $3,017 to minimize downside risk.
This placement protects against false breakouts or unexpected market reversals.
Keeping a tight stop loss allows for a higher risk-to-reward ratio while maintaining a disciplined approach.
C. Profit Target Projection (Expected Price Movement)
The target price is determined using the measured move approach, where the height of the flagpole is added to the breakout point.
The expected profit target is in the range of $3,175 - $3,200, offering a potential upside of 4.29% from the breakout level.
If price maintains its bullish momentum, further gains could be expected beyond the target zone.
5. Risk Management & Considerations
A. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
This trade setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
With an entry near $3,085, a stop loss at $3,017, and a target around $3,175, the trade offers a reward-to-risk ratio of approximately 3:1.
This ensures that even if the trade does not succeed, the risk is controlled while allowing significant upside potential.
B. Factors That Could Invalidate the Setup
Failure to sustain the breakout: If price falls back below the pennant, the setup may be invalid.
Break below the support zone ($3,017): This would signal a possible trend reversal.
Weak volume on breakout: A lack of volume could indicate a false breakout, leading to price retracement.
C. Alternative Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1: Retest & Continuation:
If price pulls back to retest the breakout zone ($3,075 - $3,085) and holds, traders can look for another buying opportunity.
Scenario 2: False Breakout & Reversal:
If price falls below the support level ($3,017), traders should exit long positions and re-evaluate market conditions.
6. Market Conditions & External Factors to Monitor
A. Gold’s Correlation with USD & Interest Rates
Stronger USD → Downward Pressure on Gold
Weaker USD → Bullish Gold Trend
Interest rate decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve play a significant role in gold prices.
B. Economic Events & News Impact
Inflation Reports: Higher inflation often supports gold prices.
Geopolitical Tensions: Political instability can lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Stock Market Movements: A weaker stock market can drive capital into gold.
7. Conclusion: Bullish Outlook with Cautious Optimism
Key Takeaways:
✔ Bullish pennant breakout confirmed – strong continuation signal.
✔ Price is above key support & trendline – maintaining bullish structure.
✔ Clear trade plan with entry, stop loss, and target levels.
Trading Plan Summary:
Entry Stop Loss Target Risk-Reward Ratio
$3,075 - $3,085 $3,017 $3,175 - $3,200 3:1
📌 Final Recommendation:
Maintain a bullish bias as long as price holds above the support zone ($3,017).
Watch for volume confirmation to ensure the breakout is valid.
Adjust stop loss or secure profits if price reaches key resistance levels ($3,100 - $3,125).
If you need further clarification or alternative trade scenarios, let me know! 🚀
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
