Gold CFDs at Critical Juncture: $2,800–$2,900 Range Dictates Xauusd "Gold" is bullish in long term but in short tem it will be more downward and short positions are strong we have to trade accordingly. As it has break the trend line and make some candles in downward so we have to take proper entry for short time.
Wait for a confirmed breakout/breakdown before committing to larger positions. Scalping is viable if price oscillates within the $2,800–$2,900 range.
Xauusd(w)
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT) Technical Analysis
1. 1H Chart (Higher Timeframe Trend)
• Downtrend Reversal: Price was in a strong downtrend but is now bouncing off a key support near 2827-2830.
• MACD: Histogram is reducing bearish momentum, suggesting a possible trend reversal.
• RSI (14): Rising from oversold conditions (~54.89), indicating bullish momentum building up.
2. 15-Min Chart (Intraday Confirmation)
• Reversal Pattern: A sharp recovery from lows around 2849, forming higher lows.
• MACD: Bullish crossover with histogram turning positive, confirming bullish momentum.
• RSI (12): Nearing overbought levels (~68.23), but still has room for continuation.
3. 3-Min Chart (Entry Timing)
• Pullback to Support: Price is consolidating after a strong breakout above 2862.
• MACD: Still showing bullish structure but a minor pullback is visible.
• RSI (10): Neutral at 50.89, meaning price is neither overbought nor oversold, ideal for a continuation entry.
Fundamental Analysis
• Gold Demand: Potentially rising due to economic uncertainty, with investors looking for safe-haven assets.
• USD Weakness: If upcoming economic data (e.g., inflation, job reports) indicate a slowing U.S. economy, gold could gain strength.
• Market Sentiment: If risk-off sentiment continues, gold could push higher.
Trade Execution
Position: Long XAU/USD
• Entry: 2865 (After minor pullback confirmation)
• Stop Loss: 2855 (Below recent pullback low)
• Take Profit: 2890 (Near previous resistance level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2.5:1
Rationale
• The uptrend reversal is forming on the 1H and 15M charts.
• Momentum indicators (MACD & RSI) support a bullish move.
• Strong demand and potential USD weakness could fuel further upside.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAUUSD on Drop As Market is on bearish cycle after break of 2880 structural support & gives closing of weekly below the previous week candle.
What scanario we have?
▪️ if H4 candle remains below the structure support at 2880 then Market will reamin on selling side towards 2850 and 2842 in extension.
▪️on the other hand, at moment all concerns about closing of H4 candles at 2880.if 2880 suffer and invalidated and closes above 2881-83 this chart will be invalid and wait the correction to buy.
GOLD - Bearish Continuation Toward 2,840OANDA:XAUUSD is currently testing a key resistance zone within a well-defined descending channel, suggesting the potential for a bearish continuation. If price action confirms rejection at this level, we could see a move lower toward 2,840, which aligns with the channel’s midline. However, a breakout above this resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a shift in momentum.
This setup reflects the potential for a continuation of the prevailing downtrend. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! 📉🔥
BEARS ARE TRAPPED - $2990's SOONAs illustrated, Im visualizing a strong beginning to a historical bullish MARCH.
On average in 15, 10, and 5 years, MARCH has been mostly bullish.
To anticipate a bullish march, FEB must make sense and leave a few clues that could indicate a healthy setup for a potential buy opportunity.
In this case, FEB made a natural correction toward the end of the month which makes total sense and it is completely appropriate and necessary to setup March for what COULD be next:
A STRONG BULLISH MARCH that could potentially take the yellow metal to see $3,000 USD/Oz for its first time in history.
The setup looks beautiful; with a bullish engulfing candle closing above previous candles, and such bounce having taken place below a major daily support and very near FEB's breaker block that served as a major support - trampoline level for the month (of February) to expand so strongly.
Market has grabbed liquidity at a discount price level, below the 50% retracement of the expansive move of FEB; yet another positive sign of a potential continuation to the upside since: THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND .
I could be off in my timing by 1 week; maybe 2 AT MOST..
But there will be a continuation simply because the demand for gold just keeps rising with all the BS going on around the world + USA's insane tariffs THAT COME INTO EFFECT IN MARCH ... JOIN THE DOTS @!#$% ...
--
GOOD LUCK!
Bearish drop for the Gold?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,882.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,924.57
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,830.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to tap into the lower red box region, give the long trade up into the red box resistance which was active and then give us the opportunity to short the market sticking to our bias and our bias target levels. Although we missed the precise entry by 30pips from the highs, we managed to get in and complete not only the bias target levels, KOG’s bias of the day target levels, Excalibur target algo levels and LiTE EA targets hitting 100% on those for the week.
A fantastic week on markets on just on Gold but on the other pairs we trade and analyse as well. Well done to our traders and team.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
After the move we witnessed last week we would expect there to be some retracement on the horizon, however, it all depends on this lower level of 2850-47 holding price up in the early sessions. If we do see a clean set up here an opportunity to take that potential long into the level above 2865-70 should be available. It these level above that are concerning, they need to break above for us to confirm this as a short term low, however, unless broken 2875-80 and above that 2895-2900 should be decent target levels for the longs and also pivotal points to watch for reversal to continue the move downside.
On the flip, we do have a level below sitting at 2805-10, which is also a bearish below level. If we continue this move downside from the opening, we’ll look to continue with the move downside on the daily red boxes and then look for an opportunity to take a swing long from lower down.
Key levels this week:
Resistance – 2890 / 2904
Support – 2850 / 2830 / 2810
Potential range – 2810 – 2880
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2847 with targets above 2865, 2871, 2876, 2880 and above that 2904
Bearish below 2847 with targets below 2840, 2835, 2830 and below that 2810
RED BOXES:
Break above 2860 for 2865, 2872, 2874, 2885 and 2900 in extension of the move
Break below 2847 for 2840, 2836, 2831, 2823 and 2810 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
BTCUSD Bullish Breakout: Targeting 88,000 and BeyondBTCUSD Bullish Target Analysis
BTCUSD has successfully broken out of the **descending channel**, indicating a potential trend reversal to the upside. The price is currently retesting the 85,272 support zone, which aligns with a rounding bottom pattern—typically a bullish continuation signal.
If this support holds and buyers step in, BTCUSD could see upward momentum toward its next key resistance level. The first bullish target is 88,000, which aligns with the previous price structure. A strong breakout above 88,000 could push BTCUSD toward 89,500–90,000, where sellers may re-enter the market.
To confirm further bullish momentum, BTCUSD needs to maintain support above 85,000 and show increasing volume on the breakout. If it fails to hold this level, a potential retest of lower zones may occur before another push higher.
TARGETS 88,000 - 89,500 - 90,000
STOP LOSS 83,000
Gold: short term correctionThe uncertainty is the one which brought almost all asset classes to the down side during the previous week. The price of gold was also the one that was hit by geopolitical uncertainty, trade tariffs and expectations on interest rate levels. The price of gold entered into a short term correction, when only on Friday’s trading session gold was down by 1%, ending the week at the level of $2.858. The lowest weekly level was at $2.835.
The RSI moved from strongly overbought territory, down to the level of 49. The market is still on hold when it comes to the move toward the oversold market side. At the same time, there has been no change with moving average lines. Both MA50 and MA200 are moving as two parallel lines with an uptrend, in which sense; there is no indication of a potential change in the trend.
For some time now, the price of gold has been moving within the uncharted territory. Charts are pointing that the first support line is at the level $2.790. Whether the price of gold will make a correction up to this level, could not be noted with a higher probability. For the moment, the $2.830 level was the one which implied a stronger pull-back to the higher ground, which occurred on Friday. In the future period, it would be clearer whether this level represents a new support line. At this moment there is no historical data, which could support this assumption. Some reversals toward the upside are quite possible during the week ahead, considering that the markets need some time to digest current information related to geopolitics, trade tariffs and interest rate levels.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold operation strategy, strong short-selling continues to push Gold bearish trend, have you seen the power of trend in the past two days? Are you waiting for a rebound or are you buying the bottom? We have been emphasizing that the weaker the bearish trend of gold, the stronger the trend of gold. If it rebounds too much, the trend may end and turn to shock again. The hourly moving average of gold continues to cross the bearish arrangement downward and diverge. Gold continues to hit a recent low. The bearish trend of gold is obvious. Any rebound is an opportunity for shorting. If the gold bulls do not make a strong counterattack, it is an opportunity for shorting. On the contrary, if the rebound is too large, it means that the gold bulls have begun to counterattack. At that time, be careful not to go short all at once. Gold rebounds to 2870-2880 and can still be shorted.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases.
The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts.
Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again.
There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week.
In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning.
Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday.
The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut.
📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD
Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2735
Gold may continue to fall inside downward wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. A short while ago, the price dropped to the support line, breaking through the resistance level that aligned with the resistance area. Following this, it rebounded and quickly climbed to the 2935 level, even entering the seller’s zone before pulling back to the support line. After that, the price made another push toward the seller’s zone but remained range-bound near the 2935 resistance level. Eventually, it reversed and began to decline, first breaking below 2935 and soon after breaching the support line as well. Gold then continued its downward movement within a falling wedge pattern. Inside this formation, the price touched the support line before rebounding to the resistance line, where it hovered for a while before eventually dropping back to the wedge’s support line, breaking the current resistance level along the way. At the moment, XAU is still moving lower, but I anticipate a temporary rise toward the resistance area before the decline resumes. Given this scenario, I have set my TP at 2830, which aligns with the wedge’s support line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Analysis of gold trend next week:
Gold is in a bearish trend. Have you seen the power of the trend in the past two days? Are you waiting for a rebound or are you buying the bottom? We have been emphasizing in the past two days that gold is currently in a short trend. The weaker the trend of gold, the stronger the short trend of gold. If it rebounds too much, the short trend may end and become volatile again. In the trading strategy analysis of the TradingView community that we gave before, we have been saying that rebounds are opportunities for shorting. Our team gave a trading signal to sell at 2863-2865 today, and then closed the position at 2833-2835, successfully making a profit of 300PIPS. Then, when the gold price began to stabilize and rebound, our team gave a trading signal to buy at 2838-2840, and then closed the order at 2851-2853, and successfully made a profit of 150PIPS again.
Technical analysis, the daily line closed with a real big Yin on Thursday, and the previous low of 2863 has been broken, so there is still room for further adjustment below. In the short term, the lower side can be seen around 2835-2813, and the upper limit is 2790, the previous top and bottom conversion position, which is also the support level of the 10-week moving average of the weekly line. The previous weekly line has been strong and unilaterally attacking, and the first test of the 10-week moving average will have relatively large support, and at least there will be a second pull-up momentum; if some daily reversal K appears at that time, our team will choose to try to buy the bottom. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross the short position and diverge downward. Gold continues to hit new lows recently. The short trend of gold is obvious. Any rebound is an opportunity for shorting. Gold can continue to short when it rebounds to 2852/2860.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2872 and a gap below at 2846. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2872 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2901
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2921
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2921 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2950
BEARISH TARGETS
2846
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2846 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2820
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2820 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2796
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2796 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2778 - 2753
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2889 and a gap below at 2853. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2889
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2889 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2914
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2914 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2947
BEARISH TARGETS
2853
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2853 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2813
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2813 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2771
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2771 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2744 - 2712
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking and playing out perfectly, as analysed.
After completing our Bullish targets we stated that the channel top will act as resistance confirmed with ema5 rejection. A break of the channel top with ema5 would confirm a continuation and failure would confirm rejection. This allowed us to identify true breakouts against fake outs.
We also stated that we need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range, should we continue to track further up. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom. The safest way to track this movement is by buying dips.
- Once again this played out perfectly as we got the rejection on the channel top followed with the channel half line test, which gave the perfect bounce like we stated. We will now either look for a continuation from this bounce or a cross and lock below the half line for a break into the lower channel floor.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
On our last update after completing 2856 target, we were left with body close above 2856 leaving a gap to 2976. We stated that will need ema5 lock to further confirm this and ema5 was still yet to lock but we still got a nice push up over 700 pips.
- This is still yet to lock with ema5 and this weeks weekly candle is crucial to either see a push up form here for the lock or a rejection here with ema5 for another push down and possibly use the channel top for an ascending movement up slowly over a longer term into our long trend gaps. Once again we prove the safest way to chase this Bull in this range is from dips.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish After the Market Opening
Friday's turmoil in the White House pumped Gold prices
during the New York session.
Analyzing the intraday price action, I see 2 confirmed bullish signals:
the price broke both the resistance line of a falling channel
and a neckline of a cup & handle pattern on an hourly.
Odds are high, that the price will grow more and reach at least 2864 level
after the opening.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️