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Gold after U.S. election : Since rising tensions have played a significant role in the recent increase in gold prices, let’s look at each U.S. presidential candidate’s approach to handling these tensions and their future plans. Kamala Harris, representing the Democratic Party, is focused on diplomatic efforts to reduce conflicts in the Middle East. She generally follows the Biden administration's approach, aiming to ease hostilities through aid and international agreements, including a two-state solution for Israel and Palestine. This approach may help stabilize markets by reducing the volatility tied to prolonged conflicts. Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, takes a more aggressive stance. He supports a strong alliance with Israel, endorses military responses to threats from Iran and its regional affiliates, and prioritizes U.S. strength and independence. Trump's “America First” stance could lead to continued or heightened tensions, which historically correlates with higher gold prices due to investor flight to safe-haven assets. In summary: Kamala Harris: Diplomatic de-escalation, which may stabilize gold prices. Donald Trump: Military strength and strong alliances, likely to keep prices high in case of increased tension. These policy differences could significantly impact markets depending on which candidate wins. Please support us by liking and leaving comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by habib75rajabi
GOLD - XAUUSD - INTRADAY IDEAThis XAUUSD - GOLD chart is according to M15. Execute the long once the candle closes above the marked zone we could have longed right away if we were in a running market but the market is closed. Execute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO. 💡KEEP IN MIND💡 I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market. 🚀Follow, I will drop daily 2-5 Intraday Charts🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by abdulmoizboy
Gold's Local Minimum: A Magnet for Price Action?So, the trading week is behind us, and it’s time to kick back a bit, assess the price action, and build a trading plan for the upcoming week, keeping the main drivers in mind. Today, let’s focus on Gold. Looking at the COT reports: there’s a divergence between the positions of the Commercials and the movement of the underlying asset. What does that mean? It suggests that hedgers don’t see the need to increase their hedge positions (in the case of Gold, that means short positions). The interpretation here is that there’s a high probability of a correction in the underlying asset. Retail positions show an average aggregated long position around $2707 (according to open-source data). So, for now, the average positions are in the green, which means the bulls are feeling good, but that’s not all... Remember that level $2707; we’ll come back to it later. The options sentiment is mixed, with some repositioning in portfolios targeting both up and down, but with a slight bias. The specifics of these adjustments tell me that a correction is expected, but overall, the options traders still see the trend moving upward. Now, let’s take a look at the chart and summarize. Remember that level $2707 I mentioned earlier? Let’s find it on the chart. Oops... turns out that’s a local minimum. So, here’s the deal: there’s a level with liquidity (open positions + local minimum), in other words, we have a "magnet" that will definitely attract the prices. Personally, I stick to a trading strategy of not trading against the trend, even if a correction is confirmed by my analysis. But for some, that potential downside might look appealing enough to open a short position. Good Luck and Have a Nice Weekend!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ClashChartsTeam
Consolidation for XAUUSD On monthly chart XAUUSD recent price level rose up about 2 of the markup started in 2018. Volume on Oct 2024 is the highest and similar with Apr 2022. On weekly chart, the last bar appears to be a bearish since it has a long wick and closed near open. 2790 and 2640 are likely the current resistance and support levels. From daily chart The recent bearish engulfing may signify an upthrust formation. The next possible external liquidity maybe near 2628.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by savvyacademy
Gold Out LookPreviously from few weeks we were bullish over gold and still if we follow the major trend from monthly to weekly to Daily we are still bullish over the pair but from last week the pair has shown us a new ATH and done a retracment downwards now its has reached between 23.8 to 38.2 retracment level now as the price action is followed it will follow the bear trend from 4H to 1H to lower time frames and go towards price level of 2716 and then if bears will push it more down and price breaks the support level on 2716 it will be seen in 2698 level of support which is 50% of fibbonaci retracement level and then we can a see a upward rally GEOPOLITICAL Factor As we have seen earlier Iran and Israel Tension was on Peak and Investors tried to Invest in Safe heaven and the safe heaven performed well now the tension is weaken a little so that price is going down if some tension increases we will see a Rise in price AMERICAN Elections American elections are right on the edge and price 5th November is a crucial date and the coming week will be a busy week for safe heaven banks and big player so we will be watching price closely if we observe any bullish price action pattern we will be buying safe heaven otherwise we will enjoy the bearish move fingers crossed next week will be very busy and crucial for the future of Bulls and bears
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wakeel_Saab
XAU/USD Trading Session Outlook: Monday ProjectionsXAU/USD Trading Session Outlook: Monday Projections and Key Levels Analysis Friday’s Closing Analysis (November 1, 2024) • Closing Sentiment: On Friday, November 1, 2024, XAU/USD closed at approximately $2,734.47, below the New York VWAP of $2,745.91, and marginally above critical support at $2,733.04 (London Session Low). • Bearish Pressure: The price action throughout Friday remained bearish, as the market failed to break above significant resistance levels such as the Tokyo VWAP at $2,752.20, indicating sustained selling pressure. • Key Support and Resistance: • Immediate Support Levels: $2,733.04 (London Session Low) and $2,730.66 (Bollinger Band Lower) • Resistance Levels: $2,745.91 (New York VWAP), $2,749.54 (London VWAP), and $2,752.20 (Tokyo VWAP) Monday’s Tokyo Session Projection (November 4, 2024) 1. Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation • Expectation: If the bearish momentum from Friday persists into Monday’s Tokyo session, XAU/USD may experience further downside movement. Continued selling pressure would likely push the price to retest lower support levels. • Key Levels: • Initial Target: $2,733.04 (Friday’s significant support level). A break below this level could drive the price to the next support at $2,730.66 (Bollinger Band Lower). • Extended Downside Target: $2,720.00, a previously significant support area. • Strategy: • Sell Stop Order: Place a Sell Stop at $2,732.50, just below $2,733.04, to capitalize on a potential breakdown. • Stop Loss: $2,740.00, above resistance levels to limit risk. • Take Profit: $2,720.00, capturing the full bearish move. 2. Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal • Expectation: If buyers perceive value at lower levels or if there is a fundamental catalyst, a bullish reversal may occur. However, the price needs to reclaim and hold above key resistance areas to confirm the reversal. • Key Levels: • Immediate Resistance: $2,745.91 (New York VWAP). A sustained move above this level would signal potential bullish momentum. • Confirmation Level: $2,752.20 (Tokyo VWAP). A breakout here would reinforce a bullish case. • Strategy: • Buy Stop Order: Place a Buy Stop at $2,746.00, just above $2,745.91, to catch an upward move. • Stop Loss: $2,738.00, just below support to manage risk. • Take Profit: $2,752.00, targeting the Tokyo VWAP level for a potential retracement. 3. Scenario 3: Consolidation • Expectation: If no clear directional momentum develops, XAU/USD could consolidate between $2,733.04 (support) and $2,745.91 (resistance). An external catalyst, such as economic data or geopolitical news, may be required to initiate a breakout. • Strategy: • Breakout Setup: Position Buy Stop and Sell Stop orders around these key levels to capitalize on a breakout. • Stop Loss: 15-20 pips from the entry to manage risk effectively. • Take Profit: 30-40 pips depending on the direction and strength of the breakout. Overall Sentiment for Monday (November 4, 2024) • Bearish Bias: The overall trend remains bearish if XAU/USD continues to trade below $2,745.91 (New York VWAP) and fails to reclaim $2,749.54 (London VWAP) or $2,752.20 (Tokyo VWAP). The key downside levels to watch are $2,733.04 and $2,730.66, with further declines likely if these support zones break. • Potential Bullish Reversal: A break and hold above $2,745.91 could suggest a shift in sentiment, with $2,752.20 acting as a key confirmation level for a bullish move. • Range Trading: Prepare for possible consolidation if no decisive movement occurs, especially if Monday opens with low volatility. Important Note: Stay vigilant for any economic events or news releases over the weekend that could impact the gold market, and be prepared to adjust your strategy accordingly.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold Analysis==>>Falling(Signs)Today's data release included the Core PCE Price Index , Employment Cost Index (ECI) , and Unemployment Claims . Core PCE, the Fed's key measure of inflation, saw slower-than-expected growth, suggesting some cooling in consumer prices. This could lead to a potential moderation in the Fed's rate policy if inflationary pressures continue to ease. The ECI also grew slower than forecasts, indicating wage growth remains somewhat controlled, which also alleviates inflationary concerns. Meanwhile, the higher-than-expected unemployment claims hint at challenges in the labor market. According to the recent economic data and the possible reduction of inflationary pressures, the desire to reduce the interest rate has increased, and this has caused the price of gold to decrease . Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )is attractive as a safe-haven asset in times of high inflation, and deflation has reduced its demand. Regarding Technical Analysis , Gold started to fall, as I expected in the previous post. According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed main wave 5 , and we should wait for Corrective Waves . One sign of a further decrease in Gold can be the formation of a Bump and Run Reversal Top Pattern , which is currently in the Run phase . I expect Gold to continue its downward trend due to the high momentum of the decline experienced in the previous hours. Drop targets can be the Support zone($2,720-$2,708) in the first step and then the Lower line of the Ascending Channel . 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
7
XAUUSD Near Critical Support: Rebound or Further Decline?The current XAUUSD chart shows gold hovering near the crucial support zone of 2,713-2,725, with the 34 and 89 EMAs serving as primary support levels. If the price holds above this support, gold may rebound towards the nearby resistance level of 2,756.603. The RSI is signaling oversold conditions, suggesting a potential short-term recovery. A cautious strategy would be to observe price action at the support zone and wait for confirmation signals before entering a buy position, capitalizing on the potential upside from this level. However, if the support zone breaks, the downtrend could continue, with the next target at a deeper support level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Zola_Hello
Smart Money Trading concepts 101🔸The Smart Money Trading concept, often used in Forex and stock trading, revolves around the idea of tracking the moves made by major institutional players (like banks, hedge funds, and large financial institutions) rather than retail investors. Smart money strategies aim to identify and follow the price action patterns that large investors create, as these institutions often have access to more market-moving information and capital than individual traders. 🔸A critical part of this approach is understanding market structure, which includes concepts like Higher Highs (HH) and Lower Lows (LL). These patterns help traders determine the current trend direction and potential reversals, which can inform trading decisions. Here's how these concepts fit into the Smart Money Trading framework: 1. Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) in an Uptrend ▪️When the market is in an uptrend, it typically forms a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows: Higher High (HH): Each new peak in the price is higher than the previous peak. Higher Low (HL): Each new low is also higher than the previous low. ▪️This pattern signifies strong buying interest, indicating that smart money may be accumulating positions in anticipation of further price increases. ▪️Traders look for breakouts beyond previous highs, as it often signifies a continuation of the uptrend. ▪️If the price breaks a recent Higher Low, it may indicate potential weakness and a possible trend reversal. 2. Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH) in a Downtrend ▪️In a downtrend, the market structure often forms Lower Lows and Lower Highs: Lower Low (LL): Each new low is lower than the previous low. Lower High (LH): Each high in the price action is also lower than the previous high. ▪️This pattern signals that selling pressure is dominant, suggesting that institutional investors might be offloading positions. ▪️Traders watch for prices to break the most recent Lower High for potential continuation signals in the downtrend. ▪️If the price breaks above the most recent Lower High, it can indicate that the trend may be weakening, signaling a potential reversal or entry opportunity. 3. Using HH and LL to Spot Trend Reversals ▪️Trend Reversal: When a series of HH and HL in an uptrend shifts to LH and LL (or vice versa), it often signals that a reversal is underway. ▪️Smart Money traders use these shifts to spot market traps where retail traders might be misled, allowing them to capitalize on new trend directions as they unfold. 4. Smart Money Concepts in Action: Liquidity and Price Action ▪️Large players need liquidity to execute significant trades without causing excessive slippage (or price movement). This liquidity often exists near recent highs and lows. ▪️By analyzing HH, HL, LH, and LL patterns, smart money traders can identify areas of liquidity where institutions might step in. ▪️For example, a series of HHs might attract retail buyers, providing liquidity for smart money to enter or exit positions. 5. Application in Trading ▪️By following HH and LL patterns, traders can align their positions with smart money rather than getting caught in fakeouts or market traps. ▪️Traders often combine these patterns with other indicators (like volume, order blocks, or support and resistance) to confirm the presence of institutional involvement. 🔸The Smart Money approach relies heavily on understanding and interpreting these HH and LL structures to trade in sync with the institutions, avoiding common pitfalls that trap many retail traders.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
21
What will happen to gold prices if Trump wins re-election?Hello everyone, Today, the global gold price is trading around $2,736 per ounce, down slightly by about 0.22% compared to the previous session. This decline is due to the stability of the U.S. economy, which makes investors feel less compelled to seek safe-haven assets. Rising government bond yields and a stronger U.S. dollar have also reduced gold's appeal. However, this may only be temporary. From my research, I believe Trump will win re-election. He holds a fairly aggressive stance on trade and policy. This approach creates tensions, driving investors to seek safe havens like gold—something that previously pushed gold prices higher during his first term. In summary, while gold prices are currently seeing a slight dip, their future outlook will heavily depend on Trump's policies and the economic shifts during his potential second term. Policy uncertainty could lead to higher demand for gold in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ademha
Gold Price Today: Continues to DecreaseThe global gold price continues its downward trend, with spot gold falling by 11 USD to 2,736.4 USD/ounce. The recovery of the USD has put significant pressure on gold prices, causing the precious metal to decrease by 0.2% on the day. The USD has regained what it lost earlier and increased by 0.4%, making gold less attractive. On the 4-hour chart, we can easily see the downtrend of gold. After encountering strong resistance at 2,786 USD/ounce, gold has the potential to reverse and drop to the support level of 2,754 USD/ounce, which was previously a resistance level. If the downward trend continues, gold prices may fall to the important support level of 2,735 USD/ounce, where it could prevent further declines and create opportunities for a future increase. In the current context, investors are closely monitoring the movements of the USD and other macroeconomic indicators to make informed trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alisa_Rokosz
GOLD prices fall under the weight of yields and exchange ratesWorld gold prices fell in the trading session on Friday (November 1) under pressure from rising US Treasury bond yields and the USD exchange rate. However, the need to hedge risks ahead of the US presidential election next week helps limit the decline in gold prices. At closing, the spot price of gold in the New York market decreased by 7.9 USD/oz compared to the closing level of the previous session, equivalent to a decrease of 0.29%, to 2,736.5 USD/oz - according to data from the exchange. World gold prices decreased by 0.44% this week. On Thursday, spot gold prices set an all-time record at more than 2,790 USD/oz. The main source of downward pressure on gold prices this week is the increasing trend of US Treasury bond yields and the USD exchange rate. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield increased nearly 10 basis points on Friday, reaching 4.382%, the highest in the past 4 months - according to data from CNBC news agency. Yields increased due to falling bond prices as investors strongly sold US Treasury bonds ahead of the US presidential election next Tuesday. The reason leading to investors selling US debt is concerns about the increasing federal budget deficit whether Mr. Donald Trump or Ms. Kamala Harris are elected. The Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the USD against a basket of six other major currencies, increased 0.33%, closing Friday's session at 104.32 points - according to data from MarketWatch. This week, the index increased by 0.06%, bringing the total increase in the past month to 1.75%. The USD is increasing in value because this currency is also promoting its role as a safe investment channel in the context of the approaching US election.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading