S&P 500: Rejection at Resistance and Potential Downside RisksThe chart shows a clear rejection from a key resistance zone around 6,150 points, highlighted by the red area. After an attempt to break through, the price faced strong bearish pressure, falling back below the 6,100 level. The current retracement has led the price to test the 50-day moving average (yellow), which has so far provided temporary support. However, breaking this structure could increase the risk of a sharper decline toward the intermediate support at 5,924, marked by the dashed yellow line.
Recent macroeconomic releases, such as the decline in retail sales and weakening consumer confidence, are weighing on market sentiment, increasing pressure on stock indices. Additionally, uncertainty related to tariffs proposed by the U.S. administration is adding volatility, with investors showing signs of risk aversion. If the price fails to quickly recover the 6,100-6,150 area, the next bearish target could be the more structured support zone at 5,850-5,800, identified by the lower blue area.
In summary, the technical structure reflects a moment of uncertainty with a clear rejection from the weekly resistance. A recovery above 6,100 could bring buyers back in control, while further weakness would open the door to new declines toward lower support levels.
Xauusd(w)
Analysis of gold trend on 2.26th
Spot gold fell below $2,900 an ounce for the first time since February 18, after U.S. consumer confidence suffered its largest monthly decline in more than three years in February.
Interpretation of the news: With the Federal Reserve remaining cautious and the Trump administration increasing policy uncertainty, the U.S. dollar and gold markets have diverged. At present, the market's focus is still on the Federal Reserve's economic data in the next few months and the Trump administration's policy implementation. The trends of the US dollar and gold may continue to be dominated by these factors. This Friday, the United States will release the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which is the inflation indicator that the Fed pays the most attention to. The market expects the data to fall to the lowest level since June last year. If the data meets expectations, it may further strengthen the Fed's reason for cutting interest rates and continue to support gold prices. However, if the inflation data is strong, the Fed may remain more cautious on the issue of interest rate cuts, which may put some pressure on the short-term trend of gold.
Analysis of gold trend: Gold fell all day on Tuesday, and the US market also ushered in a waterfall dive. It fell from 2944 and reached a low of 2888 as of the time of posting, with an overall decline of 56 points. Although there is a small rebound now, it is still fluctuating below 2900. Now the technical indicators are all in a bearish state and have no reference significance; now it mainly depends on the consolidation of the late trading, using time to exchange for space consolidation.
From the hourly level, the decline of gold prices in the US market directly broke through this week's low of 2921 and 2900. Now the low support is converted to a high suppression reference. Secondly, there is the psychological pressure of the 2900 mark. If the closing price of gold is still below this position today, then Wednesday will still be dominated by rebound shorting. If it effectively stands above 2900, then pay attention to the rebound repair of gold prices in the Asian market on Wednesday;
Specific operation suggestions:
1. If the gold price closes above 2900 on Tuesday, short and sell near 2915 with 2922 as protection in the Asian session on Wednesday, and then observe the break of 2900;
2. If the gold price closes below 2900 on Tuesday, then wait for the gold price to rebound and recover to around 2905 in the Asian market on Wednesday and go short and watch the breakout of the low of 2888;
3. As for the long operation, our team of professional and senior gold trading analysts recommends waiting for the gold price to break below 2888, then going long near 2880 to see a rebound, and focusing on the 2900 target above.
Gold Bullish To ATH Of $2,964?!Bare in mind Gold is not out of its danger zone just yet. While internal structures might have turned bearish, on the bigger TF we are yet to see any huge structure to turn bearish.
Price still remains within a huge range & buyers are still holding above our precious ‘Wave X’ low. We could still see a schematic play out between Wave X & Wave Y. This means another ATH could still be incoming👀
Gold price analysis February 26⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices rose sharply in the middle of the week thanks to weak US economic data, causing the USD and bond yields to weaken. Concerns about tariffs with Canada, Mexico and the risk of a trade war helped gold maintain its upward momentum.
However, gold prices may face difficulties as the USD recovered slightly after the US House of Representatives passed a budget plan, supporting Trump's tax policy. The US-China meeting on tariffs also restrained the increase, but risk aversion still boosted the demand for safe-haven gold. Investors also followed the speech of Fed officials for more signals about the market.
⭐️Technical analysis
Gold prices unexpectedly increased in the Asian session with the force pushing back to the breakout zone of 2930. The price range of gold has been noted on the chart with the small range of 2892-2942 and the large range of 2868-2978. Gold closing below 2912 will signal a Downtrend and head towards the lower band. On the other hand, Gold's upward path faces more resistance around 2921 and 2930.
Intraday Setup, Resistance Holds! Will Gold Drop Further?🔹Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart
▪️ Key Levels:
- Resistance Zone: 2,926.704 USD (Marked in red)
- 1st Target (Support Level): 2,899.780 USD
- 2nd Target (Support Level): 2,880.499 USD
▪️Analysis:
1. Resistance Zone & Potential Rejection:
- The red-shaded area highlights a strong resistance zone around 2,926.704 USD.
- Historically, price has struggled to break above this level, indicating a supply zone where sellers are active.
- The price attempted to break this area but faced rejection, signaling bearish pressure.
2. Projected Price Action:
- The chart suggests that if price retests the resistance zone and fails to break above it, a further downside move is expected.
- A lower high formation within this zone would confirm a continuation of the downtrend.
3. Bearish Targets:
- First target: 2,899.780 USD (Key support level)
- Second target: 2,880.499 USD (Stronger support, potential bounce zone)
4. Volume Analysis:
- The volume bars at the bottom indicate selling momentum is increasing, supporting the bearish outlook.
🔹Conclusion:
- Bearish Bias: If the price fails to break the 2,926.704 resistance, a drop towards 2,899.780 and potentially 2,880.499 is likely.
- Invalidation: A clear breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario, potentially leading to a bullish push towards higher levels.
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XAUUSD:26/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892
Four-hour chart resistance 2950, support below 2892-2888
1-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2905
Gold operation suggestions: The moving average system of each period shows a short arrangement (suppression by the 30-minute and 4-hour moving averages), but the long-term moving averages at the daily level (100/200-day moving averages) are still upward, limiting the deep decline space.
The RSI indicator is close to the oversold area on the 4-hour chart, but has not yet formed a clear bottom divergence, so be alert to the demand for rebound correction.
Today's market is likely to run in the 2800-2936 range. If the gold price rebounds to around 2936 and encounters resistance, you can try to sell. You can buy after stabilizing near 2890, but be careful of the extreme decline after falling below 2888.
Buy: 2930~2936
Sell: 2890near
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XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish.
Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish.
Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish.
USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift.
Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium.
Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish.
╰┈➤COT Data
Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish.
Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable.
Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest.
Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk.
Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution.
Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral.
Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906).
Broker: 60% long—crowded.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880.
Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk.
Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets.
Corporate: Hedging stabilizes.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish.
RSI: 48—neutral.
Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation.
Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot.
Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish.
EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains.
Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven.
Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish.
Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver.
Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955.
Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949.
Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000.
Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE.
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs).
Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish).
Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2911.0 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 2925.4
Recommended Stop Loss - 2903.3
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2949.5 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 2954.4
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2940.5
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD 2H ANALYSIS
🔹 Key Support Zone : Price is consolidating near a strong support area.
🔹 Potential Move: Break above resistance → bullish momentum.
🔹 Watch Out : A sustained drop below support could signal downside continuation.
💡 Strategy :
✅ Entry : Long near support / Short on breakdown.
✅ Stop Loss : Tight below key levels.
✅ Targets : Previous swing highs/lows.
Gold bounces back and recovers after sharp fallIn today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. In the short-term at the top, focus on the first-line resistance of 2930-2940, and in the short-term at the bottom, focus on the first-line support of 2888-2890.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 2928-2930 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 8 points, target near 2910-2900, break to see 2890 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 2890-2892 when gold falls back, stop loss 8 points, target near 2900-2910, break to see 2920 line;
XAUUSD Analysis H2 TimeframeXAUUSD Analysis – Bearish Breakout & Potential Downside Move
Gold (XAUUSD) has broken out of its rising channel, signaling a potential shift in market structure.
After a Break of Structure (BOS), price retested the previous support line, now acting as resistance.
The rejection from this zone confirms bearish momentum, aligning with the breakout retest strategy.
If price fails to reclaim the broken support, we may see further downside towards the highlighted demand zones around $2,870 - $2,850. Traders should watch for rejection or continuation signals before entering new positions.
Bias: Bearish
Key Levels:
📉 Resistance : $2,940 (Breakout Retest Zone)
📉 Targets : $2,870 - $2,850 (Demand Areas)
What’s your take on this setup?
Let me know in the comments!
GOLD - Still Bullish Indeed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈XAUUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge marked in orange.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GOLD is around the the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
If the blue zone is broken downward, a deeper bearish movement towards the $2,775 demand zone would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
gold on double breakout#XAUUSD, today on price we hope to see reverse back above 2938 but firstly price holds multiple entry's for bullish breakout.
Firstly above the rectangle 2918-2920 breakout we hope to see the current candle H1 to breakout there which holds strong buy.
If price decline between 2916 without touching 2918 then the price is possible to fall from there back below 2988.
But below 2908 holds bullish if no current move above 2916 then bullish can start from 2908, TP 2938, SL 2896.
GOLD - Price can make movement up and then fall to $2880Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Not a long time ago, the price started to grow inside rising channel, where it soon reached $2760 level.
Price some time traded inside support area and then broke $2760 level, after which continued to grow next.
Soon, price made a correction to support line of channel and then rose to $2880 level and at once made a small correction.
After this, Gold broke $2880 level and then exited from a channel and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, Gold declined to support level and then in a short time rose to the top part of flat, where it trades near now.
In my mind, Gold can make a move up and then start to decline to $2880 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
The Pygmalion Effect in Trading: Expectations Shape Your Resuls!The Pygmalion Effect is a psychological phenomenon where higher expectations lead to improved performance, while low expectations result in poor outcomes.
This concept, often explored in education and leadership, also plays a crucial role in trading psychology.
Your beliefs about your trading abilities, strategies, and the market can directly influence your results.
But how can you use this to your advantage, and when does it work against you? Let’s explore.
________________________________________
How the Pygmalion Effect Applies to Trading
At its core, the Pygmalion Effect suggests that what you expect tends to become reality—not through magic, but through subconscious behavioral shifts. In trading, this can manifest in several ways:
🔹 Confidence in Your Strategy – If you genuinely believe in your trading system, you're more likely to follow it with discipline, leading to consistent results over time.
🔹 Fear and Self-Doubt – If you constantly doubt your trades, hesitate to enter, or close positions too early out of fear, you reinforce negative expectations, leading to underperformance.
🔹 Risk-Taking Behavior – Overconfidence, another side of the Pygmalion Effect, can lead to excessive risk-taking, believing that every trade will be a winner—just as dangerous as self-doubt.
How to Use the Pygmalion Effect to Your Advantage:
✅ Develop a Strong Trading Plan – Confidence comes from preparation. A well-tested strategy gives you a clear roadmap to follow.
✅ Control Your Self-Talk – The way you talk to yourself matters. Replace " I always lose trades" with "I am improving my risk management and discipline."
✅ Focus on Process Over Outcomes – Instead of worrying about individual wins or losses, focus on executing your plan consistently.
✅ Surround Yourself with Positive Influences – Follow traders and mentors who reinforce disciplined trading habits rather than hype and emotional decision-making.
✅ Use Visualization Techniques – Imagine yourself trading successfully, making rational decisions, and following your plan—this can train your mind to align with positive expectations.
________________________________________
Applying the Pygmalion Effect – A Real Market Example:
Let’s take a real-world example to illustrate this concept:
For several days, I have been warning about a potential major correction in Gold. The reason? Looking at the daily chart, even though Gold has made all-time highs in the last 10 days, these highs are very close together, and each time the price hit a new top, it reversed sharply.
This pattern is a classic sign of a reversal.
Yesterday, Gold closed with a strong bearish engulfing candle, another indication that a correction is underway.
Now, if we look at the hourly chart (left side), we can see an aggressive drop followed by a retest of the 2930 level—a typical move before further decline.
Here’s where the Pygmalion Effect comes into play:
✅ We see the setup clearly.
✅ We trust our analysis.
✅ We execute with confidence.
Following this logic, Gold could continue its correction, breaking below 2900, possibly testing 2880 support or even lower. We put the strategy into action with conviction.
Final Thoughts:
The Pygmalion Effect in trading is powerful—your expectations can make or break your performance. By setting high but realistic expectations, reinforcing confidence, and focusing on disciplined execution, you can shape yourself into a profitable, consistent trader.
Trust what you see, believe in your strategy, and trade with conviction.
👉 What are your expectations for your trading? Let’s discuss! 🚀📊
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD SHORT 4H (Results)Due to inattentive study of the rules of the tradingviews platform, the trading idea was blocked
I apologize to those who used this idea in their trading system due to the blocking, I will be more careful in the future.
Result : XAUUSD SHORT 4H reaches the 2 targets zone for taking profits.
I move my stop into profit and wait for new variables from the market .
GOLD → Volatile. Entering consolidation. What is next?OANDA:XAUUSD after a short-term uptrend, gold is now shifting into a consolidation phase, with speculative traders actively defending key risk zones. In this environment, what can we expect from the precious metal next?
Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies and weak U.S. economic data has driven investors back toward safe-haven assets. However, after reaching a record high of $2,956 on Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. Despite this, weak U.S. consumer confidence data has helped support a partial recovery.
While gold still holds bullish potential, its upside movement is being restrained by a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields. However, trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2,921 – 2,942
Support: 2,905 – 2,888
At this stage, the market is forming a sideways range, leading to two potential scenarios:
A pullback to retest the 2,905 – 2,888 support zone before a potential rebound.
A breakout above resistance, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend.
If buyers can push gold into the 2,921 – 2,929 zone and maintain control above this level, the metal could regain upward momentum.
Stay tuned and seize the best opportunities!
BTCUSDT H8 : SHORT positionHi Guys ,
This my new analysis for BITCOIN , Please check it and do your best.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 26/FEB/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.