Xauusd(w)
XAUUSD H1 [24.02.25]: Technical Overview!📈 BUY_GOLD: 2933/2935
Stoploss: 2930 / Target: 2955
📉 SELL_GOLD: 2957/2959
Stoploss: 2962 / Target: 2947
Analysis: Gold has found support at the 50-4H SMA (2920) multiple times and needs a sustained move above the 21-4H SMA (2935) to extend its rally.
The RSI, near 60, suggests further upside potential.
A decisive break above 2935 could lead to a retest of the 2955 high, with 2970 as the next resistance.
Gold Pauses After Record High – Key Support and Resistance LevelAfter reaching a new all-time high on Thursday, Gold has entered a consolidation phase again, fluctuating within a range of 2,920 to 2,940. This period of consolidation suggests that the market is pausing before deciding on its next move.
The overall trend remains bullish as long as the 2,920 support level holds. A decisive breakout above 2,940 could signal renewed upward momentum, potentially leading to a fresh all-time high.
However, if gold breaks below 2,920, it could trigger a deeper correction, with the next significant support level around the 2,850 zone. In this scenario, sellers may gain temporary control, pushing prices lower before the market finds stability.
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GOLD INTRADAY consolidation supported at 2920The GOLD (XAUUSD) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be an overbought consolidation after reaching the all-time high on 20th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at the 2920 level, the consolidation price range and also the current daily pivot level. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 2920 level could target the upside resistance at 2955 followed by the 2968 and 3000 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 2920 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 2890 support level followed by 2880 and 2663. .
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD The top isn't very far off.Gold (XAUUSD) has been rising non-stop since the November 2024 bottom, which later transitioned into a Channel Up. The market is no stranger at all to such Channel Up patterns, in fact it has been the most dominant rising formation of this Bull Cycle since the September - October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis.
The previous 4 completed Channel Up patterns, rose by a minimum of +18.57% and a maximum of +23.48%, so the average rise since a pull-back low has been more than +20%. Those technical pull-backs hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level in 3 out of 4 occasions.
Base on the above conditions, we believe that Gold will top either by the end of this month (+18.57%) or the next (+23.48%), with the Sell Zone designated within those ranges. Similarly, the Buy Zone can be between the two potential 0.382 Fib levels.
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24/2 Today's Market Analysis and SignalsGold technical analysis.
Daily resistance 3000,
Support below 2892
Four-hour resistance 3000,
Support below 2930
Gold operation suggestions: Gold 4-hour level enters high-level fluctuations, with 2920-2915 area as support below, maintaining high-level strong fluctuations, the daily level upward trend remains unchanged, gold prices will rebound every time they step back on the 10-day moving average, the key support area, bulls will strengthen after touching it. The short-term bullish trend remains unchanged.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2930, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2940-45 line. Focus on the 2930 line support at the four-hour level. If the four-hour closing price falls below 30, it will be bearish. The overall trend continues to rely on this range to maintain high selling and low buying, and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2930near SL:2925
BUY:2892near SL:2888
Use small size, control risk
XAUUSD: 2942-2945 short. Expected to drop $10I mentioned it earlier in the analysis circle. The news is almost calm. There is no dominant content, so we need to combine technical indicators including historical trends to look at the market trend. So as to speculate the market trend. Do a good job in every transaction.
From the 10-minute-30-minute trend chart, the ultra-short-term gold price will fall, and 2942-2945 needs to be focused on. From the 1-hour combined with the 4-hour trend, it is necessary to touch the upper pressure level before retracing to test the support below. The upper pressure level is at 2945-2950
So the stage trading is different, so the profit including the concerned points are different. If you are ultra-short-term trading, then remember to close the order in time at the 4-6P point to lock in the profit. If you are a short-term trader, you need to pay attention to the 8-15p space. If you are medium- and long-term. Then you need to pay attention to the stop profit of 20-50 points or even higher.
Every day, a lot of analysis content including some real-time trading opportunities and opinions will be published in the analysis circle. Friends who like it can remember to keep paying attention.
GOLD short-term analysis, shock range 2915~2950Gold has risen for 8 consecutive weeks. According to the time period calculation, it has reached the key time window. In the general upward trend, 7-9 consecutive rises are regarded as a turning point in the medium and short cycle (changing time window). Therefore, the upward space of this round of bullish trend is gradually compressed. Entering the end, the daily chart price maintains the previous high and adjusts below. The price has formed a wide range of high-level fluctuations for three consecutive trading days.
At present, the MA10/7-day moving average is shrinking, and the RSI indicator is running above the high 70 value. Be careful of the high-rise and fall of the medium. The short-term four-hour chart Bollinger band closes to the upper track 2950 and the lower track 2924. The current price is adjusted at the middle track 2937, and the moving average sticks to the RS1 indicator at the middle axis 50. The trading idea of gold at the beginning of the week is to sell at the rebound high (pay attention to the opportunity of band layout).
Last week, the price of gold hit a record high of $2,955 before falling back, indicating that the selling pressure at high levels has increased, but the overall trend is still bullish. After eight consecutive weeks of rising, the market has a need for technical corrections. The daily line has been sideways, indicating that the long and short forces are evenly matched, the market has entered a high-level consolidation, and the MACD has crossed, and there is a need for a correction!
The answer is to exchange time for space, waiting for further strong breakthroughs, or brewing a wave of downward corrections? This week, continue to pay attention to the breakthrough of the 2916-2955 range, and follow up after the break.
The strength of Monday this week is the key point for the long and short choices of gold. If gold continues to break upward steadily on Monday, then gold is now showing the form of refueling in the air. If it goes down, gold may be the beginning of a change. The key to gold this week is still at 2955.
Key points:
First support: 2915, second support: 2908, third support: 2893
First resistance: 2933, second resistance: 2946, third resistance: 2955
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2913-2916, SL: 2909, TP: 2940-2950;
SELL: 2947-2950, SL: 2959, TP: 2920-2910;
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wanted to see price dip into the lower support and give us the opportunity to long into the higher levels targeting the red box targets and the bias levels given. We manged to get this trade and started the week well! We then suggested traders play caution as the set up just wasn’t presenting itself for the short, instead, we updated our plans and published the long idea again which played out well giving us a decent end to the week. The ranging gave us conflicting signals and choppy price action towards the end of the week, so not 100% to plan, but we played it and adapted.
We managed another stellar performance on Excalibur, 6 targets on Gold and another trunk full on the other pairs we trade and analyse in Camelot. Difficult, but consistent nevertheless.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Ideally we would like to wait for the market to open and break out of the range before picking the direction. We have lower support at 2930 and the extension level 2918-14 which needs to be watched for the break in the early part of the week, while the key level above 2950-55 with extension into the 2960 region should act as a barrier which will need to break.
We’ll start by saying if the price does support that 2930-25 level on the open, then the opportunity to long into the 2943 and above that 2950 levels should be available to those looking to go long. We have marked a RIP point 2960-65 but that will only give us the flip so scalps into the lower support region are potentially all we will get.
Above that we have marked our area of interest, this is ideally where we want to be monitoring the price action and looking for signs of a potential reversal, which, if given should give us a nice swing short into the lower levels which will be published on morning reviews and KOG’s bias of the day.
On the flip, If we glitch and make a move downside on the open, look out for the levels of 2920-16 and below that 2910! These region need to hold us up to go higher in order to clear the liquidity from above before another attempt at lower.
It’s the last week of the month, it’s going to be choppy and ranges will form. Indications of lower pricing are on the horizon, the set up just isn’t clear at the moment so play it level to level, keep an eye on the red boxes, look back at the KOG reports and see for yourself how well they play with price. Take it easy, “if it’s exciting, you’re doing it wrong”. We’ll update as through the week as we usually do with the red box targets, KOG’s bias of the day and the indicator levels.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 2920 with targets above 2945, 2949. 2952 2955 and above that 2970
Bearish below 2920 with targets below 2916, 2910, 2906, and below that 2898
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 2943 for 2947, 2950, 2955, 2962, 2966 and 2977 in extension of the move
Break below 2930 for 2923, 2920, 2910, 2906 and 2899 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Golden Opportunities: Navigating the New Era of InvestmentFolks, we're witnessing something truly remarkable with XAUUSD. Gold's weekly uptrend is not just a blip on the radar; it's a beacon signaling a return to the fundamentals I've been harping on for ages. Recall my earlier insights? I pegged the long-term trend in Gold, and here we are, watching it soar. Trump's chatter about inflation and rates? It's like watching a chess game where each move by the Fed could be influenced by such rhetoric. The market, my friends, seems to be betting on this narrative, pricing in these potential shifts.
Now, let's not forget the basics. Historically, precious metals dance to the tune of real interest rates - those inflation-adjusted numbers. Sure, during times of market panic or geopolitical tension, Gold might get caught in the crossfire as either a collateral darling or a safe haven. But in these calmer waters, it's the real rates that dictate the dance. So, keep your eyes on the prize. Gold isn't just shining; it's setting the stage for what might be a golden era in investment. Watch, learn, and maybe, just maybe, enjoy the ride as we navigate these waters together. Stay vigilant, and may your investments be as golden as your opportunities.
Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
gold on bullish rejection above 2958#XAUUSD has repeatedly faced rejection above the 2949 level, forming a strong bearish zone. Currently, the market awaits a decisive breakout.
A breakout above 2949 could trigger a bullish toward the next decline zone at 2958, where profit-taking may occur. However, a pullback to 2942 is expected before further bullish continuation.
If the price fails to sustain above 2949 and drops below 2935, strong selling pressure could push toward 2916, indicating a deeper bearish trend.
Bitcoin’s Wild Swings & Key Setups in Forex & Gold (#6)Bitcoin has been on a rollercoaster over the past few days, and I’m sure many of you have had your stop losses hit. Let’s break down the reasons behind this volatility and what’s next.
📊 BTC – Expanding Triangle = High Volatility
BTC was set to confirm an uptrend after breaking above $98,500, but then came the Bybit hack.
📌 What Happened?
🔻 On February 21, 2025, hackers stole $1.5 billion from Bybit’s Ethereum cold wallet.
🔻 Attributed to North Korea’s Lazarus Group, this triggered a market-wide sell-off.
🔻 BTC dropped, then settled into an expanding triangle.
📉 What’s important about this pattern?
Support & resistance levels lose significance.
Win rate drops, and volatility increases.
High probability of stop hunts & fakeouts.
🚨 My approach?
No trades inside the triangle.
Long above $97,987 (4H) or after first confirmed higher high & low.
Short below $95K (key support in 4H).
📊 DXY – Still in a Downtrend
DXY continues its price correction, as we anticipated in previous breakdowns.
📌 Bias: Still bearish in the short term unless we reclaim 107.391.
📉 Until then, I remain focused on setups favoring a weaker USD.
🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) – Strong Trend, but Watch for Weakness
Gold remains firmly in an uptrend, but some exhaustion signs are emerging.
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ Long Trigger (4H): Above 2945
❌ Stop Loss: Below 2916.42
📌 Key Reminder:
🔹 A trader’s mindset must be separate from an analyst’s mindset.
🔹 Follow your strategy, take trades, and accept stop losses without emotional bias.
🔹 I’ll be posting an in-depth article on this today.
📈 EUR/USD – Setting Up for a Major Trend Shift?
📌 Daily Timeframe:
EUR/USD has been in a strong downtrend but is now in a correction phase.
A shift in trend is possible if we get a daily close above 1.05217.
📌 4H Trade Setup:
✅ Long Entry: Above 1.05198
❌ Stop Loss: Below 1.04483
Final Thoughts
⚠ BTC is in a highly volatile phase – trade with caution.
⚠ DXY weakness favors long setups in EUR/USD and gold.
⚠ If you’re not using risk management, these setups may not be suitable for you.
⚠ Separate your trader mindset from your analyst mindset
I’m Skeptic —trade smart, stay profitable. See you tomorrow.
XAU/USD 24 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias.
Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025.
Price printed as per analysis and bias dated 20 February 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
You will note my comments in yesterday's analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS.
This scenario seems underway, price has targeted strong internal low, however, price has, thus far, not been able to close below.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 2,954.955, however, my alternative scenario remains live.
Alternative scenario:
As we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
EUR/GBP: Key Support Test Amid Bearish PressureThe analysis of EUR/GBP as of February 24, 2025, presents an interesting technical outlook. The price is testing a key support area around 0.8297 after a modest recovery from the 0.8271 lows. The current setup suggests a potential reaction in this zone, with the possibility of a technical rebound towards higher levels or a more significant bearish breakdown.
From a technical perspective, several key areas stand out: the upper resistance in the 0.8440-0.8460 range represents a critical level for a bullish recovery, while the lower support around 0.8265-0.8240 could act as a catalyst for further downside momentum if broken. Moving average analysis indicates persistent bearish pressure, with both the 50 and 200-period moving averages sloping downward. This reinforces the idea that, despite recent rebounds, the dominant trend remains bearish in the medium term.
From a macroeconomic standpoint, expectations regarding the UK and Eurozone economic outlook are shaping the pair's direction. UK inflation is showing signs of recovery, providing some support for the pound, but uncertainties related to economic growth and Bank of England policies could hinder a sustained strengthening of the British currency. On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing challenges linked to growth stagnation, and the ECB may maintain an accommodative policy to stimulate the economy. These factors create an unstable balance that could lead to heightened volatility in the coming days.
Technical forecasts suggest two possible scenarios: a temporary rebound towards 0.8340-0.8360 before another test of the lows or a direct break below 0.8265, which could open the door for a decline towards 0.8240-0.8220.
World gold price today"Gold's increase over the past two months has exceeded the normal trend, so there may be a correction. However, I think this decline will only be short-lived and insignificant. The reasons why investors buy gold are still there, while North American investors have not increased strongly."
"Gold reached a record high of nearly 2,955 USD/ounce on February 20. However, technically, it is starting to show signs of being susceptible to a downward correction. The increase of more than 13% from the beginning of the year until now may cause investors to falter and slow down their buying momentum."
The world gold market continues to fluctuate strongly due to the impact of President Donald Trump's policies. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show that industry experts are cautious about the yellow metal's short-term prospects. Meanwhile, retail traders are optimistic, with prices forecast to continue rising this week.