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Xauusd(w)

XAUUSD - 1hr | Wyckoff EventSimple Trading: Distribution Phase First, we can see that gold has started to consolidate. Once we see this, we look back at previous candles to identify the patterns in this phase: (1) preliminary resistance (2) the last buy (3) a retest to confirm support (4) confirm resistance without making a higher high. (5) Higher high (typically a FAKEOUT) We are waiting for the price to confirm the last step (6) to complete the pattern. If the price falls to SUPPORT, creating a LOWER LOWER, the Distribution Phase is complete. Expect gold turn to remain bearish. Falling as low as 2815.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by nikdobii
1
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis 1. Daily Chart (Macro View): • Trend: Strong bullish trend, price at 2933.30, nearing overbought RSI (69.87) but not extreme. • MACD: Strong bullish momentum (MACD 54.58 > Signal 56.73), indicating sustained buying pressure. • Resistance Level: Around 2945, with room to test or break. • Support Level: Around 2813.30. 2. 15-Min Chart (Mid-Term View): • Trend: Pullback within the bullish structure. • MACD: Flatlining around 0, signaling consolidation. • RSI: 42.55, suggesting room for upward movement. • Key Zone: Price hovering around 2933, consolidating before potential breakout. 3. 3-Min Chart (Entry Timing): • Trend: Recent short-term pullback. • MACD: Bearish crossover but flattening out. • RSI: 32.63, nearing oversold levels, indicating possible short-term bounce. Fundamental Analysis • Gold Bullish Sentiment Drivers: • Geopolitical Risks & Inflation Concerns continue to drive safe-haven demand. • Dovish Fed Expectations: Market anticipating potential rate cuts later this year, weakening USD and supporting gold prices. Given the strong bullish macro trend and short-term pullback nearing oversold levels on lower timeframes, a long position offers the highest probability setup. • Entry: 2928.00 (slight pullback to minor support & oversold RSI on M3) • Stop Loss (SL): 2918.00 (below recent lows & strong support zone) • Take Profit (TP): 2948.00 (breakout above resistance and continuation of bullish trend) This offers a 2:1 RRR. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Gold to $2820 by Jan 2025?Hello traders, I'm sharing my analysis of the gold chart (XAUUSD) on a monthly logarithmic scale, which helps provide a clearer perspective on the broader trend and avoid confusion. I'm suggesting a long position or investment targeting the $2820 to $2870 range. Here’s why: Cup & Handle Pattern: I’ve identified a cup & handle pattern that points to a target range of $2820 to $2870, indicating a potential upward move. Uptrend Wave Study: Analyzing the current uptrend wave from 2016 to now, we can observe a semi-flag pattern from August 2020 to November 2023. This pattern recently broke out, signaling a continuation of the upward trend towards the $2.8K area. Daily Chart Analysis: On the daily chart, I've analyzed and marked a flag pattern with a cyan rectangle, targeting $2825 by January 2025. To determine this, I measured the time from the 0% to the 61.8% Fibonacci level (143 bars) and applied the same period (143 bars) from the 38.2% to the 100% Fibonacci level, as shown in the chart below. Please check my previous analyses on NVDA and BTC to see how useful the logarithmic scale is when dealing with large numbers and charts that show a steep upward trajectory. As always, I recommend conducting your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Eymen-GUVEN
Gold might descend to a support level, breaching the resistance Hi, traders. I'd like to share with you my thoughts on Gold. On this chart, we can observe that the price has recovered from the mirror line and begun to rise. Shortly later, it approached the support level, broke it, and hovered for a while before returning to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once more and resumed trading inside a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, before retreating to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone before quickly rising over the mirror line and into the seller zone. After this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line and resumed its upward journey. Shortly later, the price approached the resistance level, broke through it, and departed the range. For a while, gold traded above the seller zone, but it subsequently plummeted and is presently hovering at the 2930 resistance level within the sale zone. I anticipate Gold will climb little before continuing to drop, eventually shattering the resistance level. Furthermore, I believe that following the breakout, it will prolong its slide toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost! 🚀 📊 XAU/USD – Key Levels for the Week Ahead 🔍 Gold (XAU/USD) is trading within a well-defined range, testing the seller zone near resistance while eyeing the buyer zone near support. 🔴 Resistance Level: 2,930 - 2,940 (Seller Zone) 🟢 Support Level: 2,865 (Buyer Zone) 📉 Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bearish Rejection from resistance could push price down to the support level (2,865). 2️⃣ Breakout Above 2,940 may signal further upside potential. 3️⃣ Range-Bound Movement between support and resistance until a clear breakout. 📌 Market Outlook: Watching price action near key levels for confirmation before entering trades! 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
GOLD| Approaching Historic Highs Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyThe analysis of XAU/USD highlights a strong bullish trend, closing at approximately $2,939.41 on February 20, 2025, marking a 0.23% increase from the previous day. The recent high of $2,946.83 on February 19 indicates continued positive momentum, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and fears of potential trade wars, all of which have strengthened gold’s status as a safe-haven asset. The current momentum has pushed prices toward historic levels, with the potential to surpass $3,000, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and declining U.S. yields. The chart shows a key resistance zone around $2,960, with a potential retracement towards the $2,880 area, identified as the first major support level. The current price action suggests a possible pullback before another breakout attempt. If the price consolidates above $2,900, it could accelerate towards new highs, while a break below $2,880 may drive the price toward the next support level around $2,840. The overall outlook remains bullish, with investor interest fueled by global uncertainties and the increasing demand for gold as a hedge against economic risks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
GBP/NZD Analysis: Market Uncertainty Amid Key Technical LevelsThe analysis of GBP/NZD shows recent volatility, with a close at 2.20571 on February 19, 2025, slightly down from the previous day, indicating a phase of market indecision. The previous trend saw moderate progression from February 16 to 18, supported by an increase in UK GDP, which temporarily strengthened the Pound. However, the absence of new economic data left the pair exposed to market sentiment, contributing to the decline on February 19. From a technical perspective, the chart highlights a strong resistance area between 2.21770 and 2.22180, a level that has rejected the price multiple times, suggesting that without a decisive breakout above this zone, the bullish trend may weaken. Conversely, a significant support area is located around 2.17616, a level that has already provided a positive reaction, pushing the price back up. The current price action shows a consolidation phase between these two key levels, with a recent structure of higher lows that could indicate an accumulation attempt before a potential bullish breakout. If the price manages to break above the upper resistance decisively, the next target would be around the recent highs in the 2.24000 area. On the other hand, a break below the 2.17616 support could trigger a decline towards the next key level at 2.15000, where an interesting liquidity zone is present. The combination of the recent positive GDP data and a more cautious market sentiment leaves the pair in a state of uncertainty, with a key reaction expected in the coming days depending on the holding or breaking of the main technical levels.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
USD/JPY: Bearish Momentum and Key Support TestThe USD/JPY analysis as of February 18, 2025, shows a clear bearish structure, with the price breaking below key support levels, particularly around 152.70, which aligns with the 200-day moving average. The February 17 close at 151.456 confirms the downward trend after the recent high of 154.79 on February 12, highlighting the weakness of the US dollar against the strengthening Japanese yen. The yen’s appreciation was driven by Japan’s unexpectedly strong GDP data, which showed an annualized growth of 2.8%, far exceeding expectations and fueling speculation of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan. In contrast, the US dollar has been under pressure due to weak retail sales data and a general lack of bullish catalysts. The chart setup highlights a key demand zone between 150.50 and 151.00, where the price is showing an initial reaction, suggesting a possible technical rebound. However, the overall structure remains weak, and unless the price can stabilize above 152.50-153.00, the risk of further downside remains high. The next significant resistance lies between 154.50 and 156.00, an area with concentrated sell orders and a potential reversal point in case of recovery. Conversely, a break below 150.50 would open the way toward 148.00 and even lower levels, with a critical support zone around 146.00. The short-term trading range could remain between 151.00 and 155.00, with strong dependence on upcoming macroeconomic developments, particularly statements from the Bank of Japan and economic updates from the United States.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
GBP/JPY: Uncertainty and Bearish PressuresGBP/JPY has shown a volatile trend in recent sessions, with a combination of ups and downs highlighting a phase of uncertainty. The last closing on February 15, 2025, at 191.618 marks the beginning of a bearish trend after the doji on February 14. This movement reflects a complex dynamic, where macroeconomic and technical factors play a decisive role in price direction. The recent rebound was supported by positive UK GDP data, which helped the pound recover from bearish pressures over the past months. Notably, on February 12, a reversal of the bearish trend occurred, with GBP/JPY starting to regain ground due to an improvement in market sentiment. Additionally, the strengthening of US inflation negatively impacted the Japanese yen, pushing GBP/JPY up by 1.22% around February 12, driven by a weaker yen following the increased strength of the US dollar. However, despite these positive elements, the Bank of England’s monetary policy has introduced uncertainty, with a dovish stance fueling pressure on the pound. The interest rate cut has raised concerns about further depreciation, negatively affecting GBP/JPY. Added to this is the earlier decline in early February, triggered by disappointing UK economic data and expectations of further BoE interventions, which contributed to a widespread bearish sentiment. From a technical perspective, the price is currently in a consolidation phase between 187.610 and 193.120, with a structure suggesting a possible expansion of volatility in the coming weeks. The key resistance at 193.120 represents a critical obstacle for a potential continuation of the bullish trend, while support at 187.610 remains the main level to watch in case of renewed bearish pressure. A breakout above the 193.50 threshold could confirm further pound strengthening, while a break below 188.00 could reopen scenarios of weakness. With a combination of technical and macroeconomic factors in play, GBP/JPY’s trend remains subject to upcoming BoE decisions and the evolution of global economic conditions, making it crucial to monitor upcoming economic releases to determine the market’s direction.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
3
XAU/USD Gold Buys from 2,900 back upGold has been in a strong bullish uptrend for the past few weeks, so I’m not surprised that price has once again reached all-time highs. As anticipated, price mitigated the demand zone and continued pushing upward. For this week, I expect price to accumulate and retrace back down to my 11-hour demand zone, where I anticipate signs of weakening before a new bullish move to the upside. Since this demand zone was responsible for the recent break of structure, it has become my point of interest (POI). Confluences for Gold Buys: ✅ Price remains in a strong bullish trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. ✅ The clean 11-hour demand zone that initiated the last upside move remains unmitigated. ✅ There is liquidity resting above, including the newly formed trendline, which is likely to be taken. ✅ This setup aligns with the overall bullish trend, reinforcing my long bias. Alternative Scenario: If price fails to hold at the 11-hour demand zone and breaks the major low, we could see a temporary bearish phase or a potential reaction from the 7-hour demand zone instead. Wishing everyone a great trading week! 🔥📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
xauusd analysis for coming weekKey Factors Influencing XAU/USD Monetary Policy & Interest Rates: By early 2025, the Federal Reserve’s stance will be critical. If rate cuts are underway (due to recession risks or controlled inflation), gold could rally as the USD weakens. Conversely, a "higher-for-longer" rate policy could cap gains. Watch for Fed speeches and the PCE inflation report (due late February 2025) for clues. Geopolitical Risks: Escalations in conflicts, trade tensions, or unexpected crises (e.g., energy disruptions, elections) could trigger safe-haven demand for gold. USD Strength: A strong dollar (e.g., from robust U.S. economic data) may pressure gold. Monitor the DXY Index for inverse correlations. Scenario-Based Outlook Bullish Case: Fed dovishness + weak USD + geopolitical instability → Rally toward $2,100–2,150/oz. Bearish Case: Hawkish Fed + strong U.S. data + risk-on sentiment → Decline toward $1,900–1,850/oz. Trading Strategy Long-term investors: Accumulate near $1,920–1,950/oz if fundamentals align with bullish drivers. Critical Events to Monitor Fed Chair Powell’s testimony (if scheduled). U.S. Q4 GDP revisions (February 27, 2025). Global PMI data (manufacturing/services activity). Geopolitical developments (e.g., U.S.-China relations, Middle East tensions). Conclusion Gold’s trajectory will hinge on the interplay between Fed policy, the dollar, and risk sentiment. While technicals suggest a range-bound market between $1,900–2,080/oz, prepare for volatility around key data releases. Always use risk management tools (stop-loss, position sizing) given the uncertainty of long-term forecasts. more detailed video analysis will be published soon BOOST US SHARE US
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
Gold's Next Move – 3000 in Sight or Deeper Correction First?🔥 Gold Market Analysis – Are We Heading for a New ATH? 🔥 📈 Extreme Bullish Momentum – But Signs of Exhaustion? Last week, price showed strong bullish momentum, pushing to a new all-time high (ATH). However, despite this strength, we have also seen deep pullbacks, signaling that sellers are active at key levels. 🔍 Key Observations: ✅ 4H Bullish FVG (2923 - 2915) has been tested 3 times – Each time, price has bounced significantly, with one of those bounces even leading to a new ATH. ✅ Friday’s reaction off this zone suggests buyers are still defending it, but price is struggling to push up as aggressively as before. ✅ Liquidity Sweep & Strong Rejection – We swept the 4H Asia high, tapped into a 1H Bearish OB (2947 - 2940) just above the liquidity grab, and then dumped 100+ pips 📉. 🔮 Possible Scenarios Moving Forward: 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation 🚀 Price could attempt to fill the 4H Bullish FVG (2923 - 2915) and then bounce back up, targeting the ATH again. If we break above the 1H Bearish OB (2947 - 2940), it could trigger further bullishness, potentially driving price towards 3000. 📌 Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback Before Another Push Up 🔻 If price fails to hold the 4H FVG, we could see a drop down to the 4H Bullish OB (2886 - 2877), where buyers are likely waiting. A strong reaction from this zone could set up a higher low formation, allowing bulls to re-enter and push towards the ATH again. 💡 Final Thoughts: The market is at a critical point, and liquidity sweeps are playing a major role in shaping price action. If we see a clean break above resistance, 3000+ could be in sight. However, failure to hold key demand zones might lead to deeper corrections before another bullish leg. 🔥 Stay patient, follow the levels, and trade smart! 🔥
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldTraderKaan
Hammer time on DailyThe question is the same "where the price is heading?" well... first of all you have to look in many dimentions and what i am exposing here is: what did it do the last 2 times price reached 380$ far away from 200 ema on daily chart is a corrective wave! as one of the most "must be aware" theory is... "too far - too fast, lead to correction" I am a long term trader i mainly trade swings on the spots i think that will make a U-turn on large time frames with confirmations on lower time-frames and i stick/trade based on the main plan on the large timeframe and we do see in 1h-2h that it's on a sideway so these are 2 tipes of confirmations and now is up to you to find a 3rd confirmation... my idea is sell it - hold it! small lot + time is the formula of swings.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by JetSpark
XAU/USD 24-28 February 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. You will note how price has continued bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as last week's analysis dated 16 February 2025. You will note that CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to current price action. This allows for price to not pull back so deep to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Since my last weekly analysis price has printed a bullish iBOS. Bias and analysis has been accurate over the last few months. Price is now trading within a fractal high and internal low. Bearish ChOCH positioning is denoted with a blue shorter dotted line and is very well positioned to print bearish CHoCH which is the very first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias. Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955 Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold: still targeting the $3KRegardless of a short pull-back during the previous week, the price of gold is clearly on its path toward the $3K level. There are several factors which impact the market uncertainty at this moment, in which sense, investors will inevitably seek the safe-haven assets to invest. There is fear of trade tariffs, which are very active on the market and its impact on future US economic growth. Then, inflation fears pushed the US equity market more than 1,7% toward the down side on Friday. The posted Michigan Consumer Sentiment data are showing the highest five year inflation expectations since 1995, of 3,5%. This was a signal to markets that the Fed would have to keep interest rates at the higher level for a longer period of time. Overall, analysts are in agreement that fundamentals for gold remain solid. The price of gold reached another all time highest level during the previous week, at the level of $2.951. The RSI continues to hold at strongly overbought territory since the beginning of February. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend. Potential cross is currently not in store. The US PCE data will be posted on Friday. In this sense, hold on for another volatile end of the week. Whether this will be the moment for the $3K target for gold, no one can say with certainty. The price of gold is currently moving in an uncharted territory, in which sense, everything is possible. On this path, a small correction is also possible, but taking into account current sentiment, a stronger correction should not be expected. Now, the $3K could be a game changer, if we take into account a larger time frame on a daily chart and highs achieved in April and October 2024. This level should be watched closely.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
Gold can drop to support level, breaking resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. On this chart, we can see that the price rebounded from the mirror line and began to rise. Shortly after, it reached the support level, broke it, and hovered around this area for some time before dropping back to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once again and started trading within a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone, before pulling back to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone but quickly surged above the mirror line, entering the seller zone. After this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line before resuming its upward trajectory. Not long after, the price reached the resistance level, broke through it, and exited the range. For some time, Gold traded above the seller zone, but recently, it dropped and is now hovering near the 2930 resistance level within the seller zone. I believe that Gold might rise slightly before continuing its decline, eventually breaking the resistance level. Additionally, I anticipate that after the breakout, it could extend its decline toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
8
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2950 and a gap below at 2927. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2950 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2950 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2969 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2969 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2986 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2986 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3006 BEARISH TARGETS 2927 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2927 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2903 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2903 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2884 - 2861 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2861 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 2841 - 2820 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11