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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 17 - Feb 21]OANDA:XAUUSD have leveled off after a series of record increases, ending the week below 2,900 USD/oz due to strong profit-taking activities. The main reason is that geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe have eased, reducing the need for safe havens. President Donald Trump had a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin about ending hostilities in Ukraine and suspending tariffs until a review is completed in April 2025. Gold prices may continue to adjust in the short term, but in the long term, safe haven demand due to economic instability and trade war will push prices up. In addition, central banks stepped up gold purchases, with more than 1,000 tons in 2024 - much higher than the average level in the 2010-2021 period, contributing to supporting the rise of gold. China launched a pilot project allowing 10 insurance companies to invest up to 1% of assets in gold. It is forecast that these companies can buy up to 28 billion USD of gold (about 300 tons), accounting for 6.5% of annual physical gold demand, contributing to boosting the market. SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Index (economic index measuring business conditions of the manufacturing industry in New York state, USA. This index is announced monthly by the US Federal Reserve (FED) New York branch, based on a survey of manufacturers in the region). Wednesday: US housing data (New homes and construction permits), FED meeting minutes. Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey. Friday: S&P Flash PMI, US Existing Home Sales 📌Technically, on chart D1, after surpassing the peak at 2790, the gold price increased another 150 and tends to adjust again. Currently, the support level to pay attention to is around the dynamic resistance level as well as the hard resistance level at 2790, while the resistance level is set around 2942. Next week, if the gold price maintains the trading level above the 2800 threshold, it is expected that the momentum will increase to set a new record high price. In case the price declines and adjusts too deeply, there is a risk that the gold price will be subject to downward selling pressure. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,881 – 2,857USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,942USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2789 - 2791⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2785
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to area of 2972.207.Colleagues, if you look at this upward movement, what can you say? Of course the lower order wave “3” continued and updated its top. This means that we can expect 2 variants of events: 1) Price will continue the development of wave “3”. 2) Wave “4” will make a correction and then wave “5” will start. The target is the area of 2972.207. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
13
GOLD → ATH Retest. High chance of breakout and growth to $3KFX:XAUUSD has again approached ATH 2938 - 2942. This yours increases the chance of resistance breakout and further growth. We are getting closer and closer to $3000 The market maintains recent gains as it awaits the release of minutes from the January Fed meeting and news of Trump's tariff plans. The US President threatened to impose duties on pharmaceuticals and chips, and confirmed the imposition of tariffs on automobiles from April 2, which strengthened demand for defensive assets. The lack of progress in peace talks between the US and Russia has also supported gold prices. However, traders are cautious ahead of the release of Fed minutes, which could cool expectations of rate cuts this year. Technically, all eyes are on the conglomerate resistance at 2938 - 2942. A breakdown and consolidation of the price above this area will provoke further growth Resistance levels: 2938, 2942 Support levels: 2924, 2915 Gold is in local pre-breakdown consolidation 2938 - 2924. Emphasis on these boundaries. Breakout and consolidation of the price above the resistance can provoke continuation of growth. But, before the growth the price may test the nearest support. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
XAUUSD: Gold price stands firm near all-time high!Gold price retains its bullish bias amid worries about Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war. Sliding US bond yields weigh on the USD and lend additional support to the precious metal. The Fed’s hawkish outlook could cap the XAU/USD pair amid slightly overbought conditions. XAU/USD Technical Overview The short-term technical outlook for Gold price remains more or less the same. The daily chart shows that Gold price hangs near the record high of $2,947. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) flatlines in the overbought territory, currently near 73, suggesting that there is some room to the upside before a correction kicks in. Gold buyers await acceptance above the $2,950 barrier on a daily closing basis to extend the record rally. The next relevant resistance is seen at the $2,970 round level. Conversely, a fresh pullback could call for a test of the $2,900 round level, below which the February 14 low of $2,877 will be threatened. A firm break of that level will initiate a fresh downside toward the $2,850 psychological barrier.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xauusd_rr
XAU/USD Short Trade Setup – Bearish Rejection from ResistanceGold is showing **signs of weakness** near the **$2,903 - $2,863** resistance zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement and previous price action. This setup favors a short position, aiming for a deeper retracement. ### 🔹 **Trade Setup:** - **📍 Entry:** Around **$2,903 - $2,863**, key resistance levels. - **🛑 Stop Loss:** Above **$2,942**, to avoid false breakouts. - **🎯 Take Profit Targets:** - **First TP:** **$2,843** (early support zone) - **Second TP:** **$2,824** (-0.5 Fibonacci level) - **Extended TP:** **$2,785** (-1 Fibonacci level for a deeper correction) ### 📊 **Trade Rationale:** ✅ **Key Resistance Zone:** Price is struggling around $2,903 - $2,863, suggesting a potential reversal. ✅ **Fibonacci & Market Structure:** The setup aligns with key retracement levels and past support zones. ✅ **Bearish Confirmation Needed:** Watching for rejection wicks or lower timeframe breakdowns before full commitment. ### ⚠️ **Risk Management:** - If price **breaks above $2,942** with strong momentum, I will **exit** the trade. - Monitoring **volume and candlestick patterns** for additional bearish confirmation. Let’s see how this setup unfolds! 🚀📉 Would you adjust any levels, or does this match your plan? 🤔
TVC:GOLDShort
by me22_
Roughly another $50 and we are at $3000The recent performance of TVC:GOLD has been spectacular. It seems, the precious metal can't find a ceiling. MARKETSCOM:GOLD has a good chance of travelling towards the psychological 3000 mark. Let's dig in! 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
by Marketscom
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and there are no clear signs of a trend reversal yet. At the current levels, a short-term correction to the marked support zones is expected before resuming the upward move toward higher targets. 🔹 Scenario 1: A pullback to key support levels followed by a continuation of the uptrend. 🔹 Scenario 2: A breakout above the key resistance level, a pullback to retest it, and then a buying opportunity. As long as the bullish structure remains intact, the main strategy is to focus on buying opportunities either at support levels or after a confirmed breakout of resistance. What’s your outlook on gold? Do you see higher targets ahead? Share your thoughts in the comments! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
26
Candlestick chart.• Chart Type: Candlestick chart. • Key Price Levels: • The price is currently around 2,947.210. • Resistance zone near 2,947.210 - 2,945.564. • Support zones at 2,924.576, 2,896.066, and 2,889.915. • Further downside target at 2,879.550. • Pattern: A potential Head and Shoulders or Bearish Reversal pattern is drawn. • Projection: • A rejection from the upper resistance zone is anticipated. • Price may consolidate before breaking lower. • Bearish targets are marked at 2,896.066, 2,889.915, and 2,879.550.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Blue_Pills
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINThis chart is a trading setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. The setup is based on a buy trade from a key support zone. Here’s a breakdown of the chart: Key Elements: 1. Entry Point (Buy Zone): Marked within the blue highlighted zone around 2,918 – 2,920 Expecting price to bounce from this support level 2. Stop Loss: Placed below the support zone at 2,908 Protects against further downside if the trade goes wrong 3. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: Around 2,924 Take Profit 2: Around 2,932 Last Target: 2,940 (final target for full exit) 4. Trade Expectation: Price is anticipated to test the entry zone, then move up towards the profit targets The risk-reward ratio is positive, aiming for a strong bullish move Conclusion: This setup suggests a buying opportunity in gold based on price action and support/resistance levels. The stop loss is well-placed below support, and multiple profit targets allow for partial exits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Royalforexempire
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Targeting 0.94000USDCHF is currently trading at 0.90200, with a bullish flag pattern forming, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.94000 target. The bullish flag is a continuation pattern that typically follows a strong upward move, followed by a period of consolidation before the next leg higher. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s upper trendline, it could trigger a bullish wave, pushing USDCHF toward its next resistance levels. From a technical perspective, the flag’s consolidation phase suggests temporary indecision in the market. However, as long as the price remains above key support levels and breaks out with strong volume, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. A confirmed breakout above the resistance could provide an entry opportunity for traders aiming for the 0.94000 target. Fundamentally, the US dollar remains supported by the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rate cuts. Recent economic data from the US, including inflation figures and labor market strength, have kept the dollar strong against the Swiss franc. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a relatively dovish stance, which could further weaken CHF and support the bullish case for USDCHF. In summary, USDCHF is forming a bullish flag pattern, awaiting a breakout for further upside movement. A strong breakout above the resistance level could trigger a rally toward 0.94000, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should closely monitor price action and key economic events to confirm the bullish continuation.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
GOLD steadies at high levels despite FOMC looks toughDuring the early morning trading session on Thursday (February 20), spot gold prices suddenly increased rapidly in the short term and gold prices stabilized above 2,940 USD/ounce, approaching the historic high set in the previous trading day. Trump just issued another tariff threat On Wednesday evening local time, US President Trump reiterated that he will announce tariffs on cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. “I will announce tariffs next month or sooner on autos, semiconductors, chips, pharmaceuticals, lumber and a number of other items that have a significant impact on the United States,” Trump said. On Tuesday, Trump said he intended to impose tariffs of "about 25%" on autos, along with similar tariffs on imported semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. Earlier this month, the United States announced a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum. Gold prices hit a record high on Wednesday, but the Fed meeting minutes sent gold prices down a bit Gold prices hit an all-time high in early trading on Wednesday as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs rattled investors, but later retreated from record highs as the dollar strengthened following a tough Federal Reserve meeting minutes. "Participants said that, as long as the economy remains near maximum employment, they would like to see inflation progress further before making additional adjustments to the target range of the federal funds rate," minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's Jan. 28-29 meeting said. Assessment: The meeting minutes highlight the cautious approach of policymakers after they cut interest rates by 100 basis points in the final months of last year. Some officials have said they want to see inflation continue to fall toward the Fed's 2% target before supporting another rate cut. Minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting showed concerns about inflation risks, dampening expectations for interest rate cuts. Gold prices decreased after the Fed meeting minutes, but in general this is not a significant impact because the market is still accepting risks from President Trump. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Technically, gold is up 0.30% on the day, temporarily in front of the 0.382% Fibonacci extension considered the nearest resistance. Once gold breaks above $2,946, it will likely continue to renew its all-time high with a target then around $2,971 in the short term. The intraday technical outlook for gold is bullish, notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,921USD Resistance: 2,942 – 2,971USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2975 →Take Profit 1 2963 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2957 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2905 →Take Profit 1 2917 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2923
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Drop ?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2942.88, which is an overlap resistance. Our take profit will be at 2928.91, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 2955.79, above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
1
Gold price analysis February 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices rose again due to concerns about new tariffs from former US President Donald Trump and the deadlock in negotiations between the US and Russia. Trump announced that he would impose tariffs of 25% or more on pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and automobiles, putting great pressure on European and Asian economies. This raised concerns about supply chain disruptions and global inflation. In addition, the negotiations between the US and Russia did not progress, causing investors to seek safe assets such as gold and USD. However, the market is still cautiously waiting for the Fed's meeting minutes, because if the Fed maintains its stance of curbing inflation, gold prices may be restrained. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold prices reacted around the old peak around 2940, proving that buyers are not strong enough to push prices to create a new ATH and need a more suitable price. There are two price levels 2916-1914 and 2906-2904 which are the areas where the Buyers are very interested in jumping into the market. The price range 2924-2934 is considered as this Asia-Europe range for breakout signals when there are signs of crossing.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
3
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • Trend: Strong bullish trend with price making higher highs and higher lows. • MACD: Strong bullish momentum, MACD line above the signal line. • RSI (71.53): Overbought zone but no divergence, indicating strong bullish momentum. 2. 15-Min Chart: • Trend: Bullish with higher highs and higher lows. • MACD: Positive but showing signs of slowing momentum. • RSI (64.04): Neutral to slightly overbought, room for further upside. 3. 3-Min Chart: • Trend: Recent pullback followed by a bullish continuation. • MACD: Slight bullish crossover. • RSI (76.04): Overbought, indicating potential for minor pullback but still bullish. Fundamental Analysis: • Gold drivers: • Market sentiment remains bullish on gold, possibly due to inflation concerns, safe-haven demand, or weakening USD. • Without major negative catalysts, the bullish trend is likely to continue. Trade Setup: Given the strong bullish trend on the daily and the bullish continuation on lower timeframes, a long position offers the highest probability. • Position: Long (Buy) XAUUSD • Entry: 2935.00 (Wait for a slight pullback from current levels for better RRR) • Stop Loss (SL): 2920.00 (Below recent support on M15 and psychological level) • Take Profit (TP): 2965.00 (Recent psychological resistance and aligns with 2:1 RRR) • Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
BEAR TRAP? As illustrated, Im trying to visualize what could have been a bear trap. Price actually consolidated at the ATH level, instead of selling off like it has done in the past when liquidating massively... That behavior goes against "usual" patterns of selling, which leads me to believe that the obvious won't be that easy. Until the market proofs otherwise, I don't trust the slight drop / reaction the market had after reaching ATH. If this scenario plays out, I believe ASIA will do the dirty work of taking everyone out when they sleep in America's; potentially reaching psychological prices of 2950 - 2070 range with the help of LONDON. Maybe then NY would look for a sell-off. MAYBE... because keep in mind we are coming from a very strong rebound on Monday after a sell-off that already took place ... Of course, the market could consolidate once more how it did toward the end of 2024; however, the circumstances with TRUMP'S economic agenda is, as a matter of fact, giving gold more strength than ever before since its safe heaven demand just keeps increasing... .. GOOD LUCK!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
50% DISCOUNT BUY?As illustrated, Im trying to visualize a falling wedge pattern into the 50% retracement of Monday's impulsive push, for what could be a potential buy point to continue the uptrend. Nothing to get fancy about. This is just a chart analysis based on a potential corrective pattern that could take place within the next 24 hours and into tomorrow's NY session. It could be NY to make the strong bounce tomorrow THU with the unemployment news as catalyst. Remember; news don't mean anything. They are just gas / power for the market to distribute and manipulate (find liquidity) ... .. GOOD LUCK
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥 Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥 📢 Let's talk: FOLLOW ME, COMMENT, and DROP A BOOST! Because in here, we help each other and we mean business! 💪🔥 Welcome to the PipGuard Guide , the only one that tells it like it is: no filters, no fairy tales, just a pinch of sarcasm. Gold is playing hard to get (what a shock, right?), but trust me, sooner or later, it wakes up—and when it does, fireworks will follow. 🎯 Key levels to watch: 🚀 Bullish resistances: $2947 / $2943 🛠️ Bullish support: $2924 📉 Bearish resistances: $2918 / $2906 ⚔️ Make-or-break level: $2906-$2905 ➜ Above? Bulls take charge. Below? Bears lurking. 💎 PipGuard Targets: 🎯 Bullish Premium: $3015 🔻 Bearish Premium: $2856 Watch out for $2906: that’s the thin line between paradise and disaster. 📌 If we hold above: bulls have room to run, aiming for $3015. 📌 If we break below: bears take over, dragging us down to $2856. 💡 So, what’s the move? Wait for a strong signal, then act—no hesitation. We're dancing above $2906, but if we slip… expect a hard fall. The market is either slapping us in the face or rewarding us with solid gold. And you? Ready to take your position?! 🔥 DROP A BOOST and COMMENT BELOW! What do you think? Sleeping gold or ready to strike? See you on the battlefield! 🚀 PipGuard
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by PipGuard
1
Is History Repeating? XAUUSD on the Verge of a Breakout!📌 Description: Gold's price action is aligning with a familiar historical pattern, hinting at a potential breakout. Let’s break it down: 1️⃣ Historical Precedent – Looking back, a similar market structure led to a significant bullish move. Recognizing these patterns can provide an edge in anticipating market behavior. 2️⃣ Recurring Structure – Once again, the chart is shaping up in a way that mirrors past price action. If history is any guide, this could be a pivotal moment. 3️⃣ Bullish Pennant Formation – The current price action suggests the formation of a bullish pennant, a classic continuation pattern. When combined with historical context, the probability of a breakout strengthens. 🔍 Fundamental Factors: - Geopolitical Uncertainty: Rising tensions and macroeconomic instability continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. - Interest Rate Expectations: With potential shifts in central bank policies, any dovish signals could fuel further upside in XAUUSD. - Inflation & USD Strength: Any weakness in the dollar or persistent inflation could further support gold’s bullish case. ⚡ Is this the next major move for gold? Let’s discuss! Drop your thoughts below! 👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProcessAndIntercept
Gold reacts to unserious peace talksThe United States and Russia recently held peace talks in Saudi Arabia without Ukraine’s participation. Russian officials did not mention offering any concessions and U.S. officials did not claim to have scored any in Tuesday's meeting. Adding to the unseriousness of the talks, Donald Trump called Zelensky a “dictator,” and suggested that Ukraine is responsible for the war, echoing obvious Russian talking points. Gold rose above $2,930 per ounce on Wednesday, just shy of last week’s record high of $2,940. Technical indicators remain in extreme overbought territory, although extreme geopolitical uncertainty may call for extreme readings for longer. In the near term, the pullback appears corrective, with XAU/USD still holding above all key moving averages on the 4-hour chart.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Testing Key Resistance at 2,935 - !!XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) – 30-Minute Timeframe Analysis Current Market Context: The XAU/USD pair has been in an overall bullish trend, evidenced by the price being positioned above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating the dominance of buyers in the market. However, the price action currently suggests a potential reversal or consolidation at key resistance. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: The price has approached a significant resistance area near 2,935, which has historically served as a reversal zone. The market is currently struggling to maintain bullish momentum at this level, with a recent rejection visible. Support Zone: A clear support level can be identified around 2,920, where price has previously found buying interest. A break below this could indicate a deeper retracement towards lower levels. Technical Indicators: 200 EMA: The price is trading above the 200 EMA, which traditionally signals an uptrend. However, the recent pullback suggests the market could be testing this level for support. Price Action: The formation of lower wicks and the rejection at the resistance zone may suggest waning bullish momentum, which could trigger a pullback or consolidation in the short term. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If the price successfully breaks above the resistance zone (around 2,935), we could expect a continuation towards higher levels, targeting 2,940 or beyond. Confirmation of this move would require a strong close above the resistance with increased volume. Bearish Reversal: Should the price fail to break above the resistance and begin to show signs of rejection (as seen with the current price action), a potential short-term bearish move could occur. The first target would likely be the support around 2,920, with a deeper retracement towards 2,915 if the market sentiment turns more risk-averse. Conclusion: At present, XAU/USD is at a crucial juncture. The key resistance zone at 2,935 is critical for determining the next directional move. A failure to break above this level could lead to a short-term bearish retracement, while a successful breakout would reaffirm the bullish trend. Traders should monitor for price action confirmation near these levels to assess the most probable market direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight