Xauusd(w)
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea is playing out, as analysed.
After hitting our first Bullish target, we stated yesterday that we had the lock above 2905 opening 2934. This gave a nice push up of over 200 pips but the gap remained open and still valid.
- This was hit today completing this target. Our next range is now open above at 2959 but as we enter into the ATH range, we need to take caution. We are seeing EMA5 break back into 2934 also opening 2905. Range is now big but structure is still very much Bullish and therefore we will continue with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2905 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2934 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2987
BEARISH TARGETS
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2841
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2781
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2781 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2764 - 2740
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD GOLD breakoutGold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken through the major resistance zone at 2940/2942, signaling strong bullish momentum in the market. This breakout indicates a potential continuation of the uptrend, with buyers likely to push prices higher.
Breakout Confirmation & Market Sentiment
The breakout above 2940/2942 suggests a shift in market sentiment, with bulls gaining dominance.
Increased trading volume and sustained price action above this level further validate the breakout.
If gold holds above 2942, it is likely to act as a new support level, providing a base for further upside movement.
Potential Upside Targets:
2954 – The first immediate resistance level where minor pullbacks could occur.
2965 – A stronger resistance level that may attract profit-taking, leading to consolidation or a short-term retracement.
2979 – A key psychological resistance zone where price action should be monitored closely. If buyers remain strong, gold could push even higher.
Additional Bullish Scenario:
If the bullish momentum continues beyond 2979, gold could target the next major psychological level of 3000, which may act as a strong resistance zone.
Key Support Levels to Watch:
2942 (Breakout Level) – Should now act as support; a successful retest could confirm further upside.
2928-2930 (Previous Resistance Turned Support) – If a deeper retracement occurs, this area may provide buying opportunities.
Trading Strategy Considerations:
Breakout traders can look for buy entries on retests of 2942 with tight stop losses below this level.
Momentum traders may aim for 2954/2965, adjusting stop losses accordingly.
Risk management is crucial—monitor price action at each resistance level to assess continuation or reversal signals.
With geopolitical tensions, economic data, and Federal Reserve policies impacting gold prices, traders should stay updated on fundamental factors influencing market direction.
GOLD XAUUSD - PoVIn recent days, the price of gold has seen some increases, mainly driven by a mix of economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Inflation, still high in many parts of the world, continues to support the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, despite rising interest rates from central banks. While this slows its growth, it doesn't stop investors from seeking protection against currency devaluation. Added to this are concerns about a potential global recession, which further pushes investors toward safe assets like gold. The U.S. dollar, which had previously driven gold lower, is now showing signs of weakness, especially due to expectations of a slowdown in Federal Reserve policy, which could make gold more attractive. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the war in Ukraine and its global implications, continue to create uncertainties that drive up demand for gold. Looking ahead, the expectation is that the price of gold could continue to rise if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Any slowdown in the Fed's aggressive policy could favor gold’s appreciation, as the precious metal becomes more appealing in a lower interest rate environment. However, if inflation were to significantly decrease or central banks continue raising rates, gold's upward movement could slow, but the safe-haven demand could still help maintain its value.
XAUUSD H1: Wyckoff with chart!Update for you guys from Wyckoff's perspective in Elliott wave, the price has reached 2946 as updated for you guys yesterday. Currently TPO is still in an uptrend, but when reading through the Elliott wave structure, UTAD is predicted at 2946, because when this level is reached, the new ATH price is also 5 psychological waves formed, so the possibility of "TRAP" is very high or can be understood according to Wyckoff as a UT phase or Up Thust Action, in case of sustainable increase, it is necessary to observe the test point, otherwise today it is easy to reverse at 2946, and I only trade when there is a certain confirmation, so today I will take precautions to warn you guys to pay attention, if there is an entry signal, I will notify you!.
XAUUSD: short or buy? How do you choose!There is no major news that has impacted the market, and the three-party talks have not ended yet, so potential uncertainties still exist. This makes the current traders face a choice, whether to go long or short? After all, it is related to the growth and decrease of the balance.
From the technical point of view, there are signs of retracement. From the SMA, the momentum is not strong and relatively weak. On the contrary, the price continues to run in the range of SMA20-SMA50, which shows that the bulls are still relatively strong compared to the bears. The short-term support conversion point 2930 needs to be paid attention to. As the watershed between buying and selling.
Comprehensive trading plan: At present, the price is still trading sideways at a high level. The uncertainty of the news has added some mysterious power to the bulls. Jack believes that the short-term trend of XAUUSD will still rise again after testing the support at a low level, so going long is the first choice.
2928 is a stable buying position. Aggressive friends can choose to buy in advance at 2930-2933. Add a buy order again after XAUUSD falls back.
The target position is set at 2945-2950. The increase range is about 12P-22P.
The stop loss position is set at 2920.
Remember to set a take profit and stop loss in the transaction. Trading is not a one-time transaction, but more like a long-term career in balanced development. So don't let yourself take greater risks. Be sure to pay attention to this issue. ⚠⚠⚠⚠⚠⚠
Remember to like it after reading it. Everyone is welcome to leave your comments in the comment section. Do you support long or short positions?
Short-Term Uptrend at Risk: Reversal Incoming?Gold's bullish momentum is encountering strong resistance at the 2938–2943 zone, signaling a potential short-term trend break. A failure to hold within the rising channel could trigger a pullback towards the short-term target at 2927, with deeper mid-term targets at 2918 and 2909. RSI is showing weakening momentum—will bears take control? Watch for confirmation!
XAUUSD: 19/2Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2950-3000, support below 2852
Four-hour resistance 2950, support below 2896
Gold operation suggestions: Gold stabilized at 2890 yesterday and ushered in a strong unilateral rise. The Asian and European sessions slightly retreated and stabilized at 2892 and quickly bottomed out and rebounded. The European session continued to break through the 2907 mark and continued to be strong. The US bulls further raised their heads and stood on the 2920 mark and accelerated to break through 2936 and closed strongly at almost the highest point of the day.
From the current 4-hour trend, the support below is around 2869, and the short-term pressure above is around 2950. Overall, rely on this range to keep selling high and buying low. Patiently wait for key points to enter the market
BUY:2930near SL:2925
BUY:2920near SL:2915
gold on sellGold (XAU/USD) has retraced above $2,941, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) at $2,947. Currently, we are watching for a pullback above $2,943, which could signal a bearish continuation.
Key Resistance: $2,947 (ATH)
Bearish Confirmation: A rejection from $2,943 could push gold lower.
Sell Entry: Below $2,943 with a target at $2,911.73 or lower.
Stop Loss (SL): $2,950 to manage risk.
Breakout Zone: Below $2,928 could trigger further downside momentum.
XAU/USD : Time for BUY? Let's see! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold broke above the $2,902.5 resistance yesterday and continued its bullish movement, successfully hitting the next targets at $2,914 and $2,919!
I hope you made the most of this analysis! 🚀
The next potential move depends on whether gold stabilizes above $2,914. If it does, we could see further growth toward $2,922 and $2,928 as the next upside targets.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Hits New Highs –Will Tariff Tensions Push It Toward $3,000?Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 19, 2025
Gold continues its bullish momentum, hitting a new all-time high, driven by safe-haven demand amid trade war tensions and economic concerns. U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 25% tariff on autos has fueled further upside, along with expectations that central banks will continue buying gold to diversify reserves.
Investors are also watching the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes, which could impact short-term market sentiment. However, any bearish impact from today’s FOMC minutes release is expected to be short-lived, keeping gold's bullish outlook intact.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Gold remains bullish above 2,935, with the next upside targets at 2,956 and 2,974.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 2,935 could lead to a retest of the 2,920 breakout zone. Further weakness below this level may push the price toward 2,909 and 2,895.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 2,935
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2,956, 2,974
🔹 Support Levels: 2,920, 2,909, 2,895
📈 Directional Bias: As long as gold trades above 2,935, the bullish trend remains dominant, targeting 2,956+. A break below 2,935 could trigger a correction before resuming the uptrend.
💬 Will gold push toward $3,000 on tariff tensions, or will we see a pullback first? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
xauusd video analysis for the weekXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025
This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns.
1. Fundamental Drivers
A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold.
B. Monetary Policy and Inflation
Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices.
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold.
C. Central Bank Demand
Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand.
2. Technical Analysis
A. Short-Term Signals (February–March)
Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary).
Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier).
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets.
Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level.
3. Momentum Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages (MA):
50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support.
200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength.
Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
4. Chart Patterns and Trends
Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920.
Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest.
5. Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000.
Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850.
Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively.
Bullish Targets/ Resistance
2890
2906
2928
2934
2959
2972
2987
3023
Bearish/Support
2872
2857
2841
2807
2781
XAUUSD ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025
This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns.
1. Fundamental Drivers
A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold.
B. Monetary Policy and Inflation
Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices.
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold.
C. Central Bank Demand
Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand.
2. Technical Analysis
A. Short-Term Signals (February–March)
Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary).
Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier).
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets.
Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level.
3. Momentum Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages (MA):
50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support.
200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength.
Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
4. Chart Patterns and Trends
Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920.
Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest.
5. Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000.
Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850.
Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively.
Bullish Targets/ Resistance
2890
2906
2928
2934
2959
2972
2987
3023
Bearish/Support
2872
2857
2841
2807
2781
XAUUSD Gold - Looking Where to NextHi Everyone i hope your enjoying your weekend and have been catching some good trades recently.
What a great year so far. My previous targets i posted all hit with 100% accuracy.
The range levels were all respected and played out perfectly.
Looking ahead to whats next for gold the range top of 2935 proved to be strong resistance with gold selling off twice from this level so there is a high probability we trace back at least for a mid range test before attempting to go higher again.
We can also not rule out returning to the range bottom of 2775 but the reaction to each level will guide us better. Fundamentally and technically gold is still very strong and profit taking should not be mistaken for a huge correction just yet.
I do see a dynamic supply zone running almost central to the main trend so we need to keep a eye on where price closes.
Plan: Wait for body closes of candles
Close and hold above 2894 to continue up. Retest and Reject 2894 to continue down.
Gold Bulls Are Insatiable—Is a Breakout Above 2940 Next?Yesterday, Gold continued its rebound from Friday’s sell-off. Although I expected a new leg down from my 2920-2925 sell zone, the price exceeded that level and retested the all-time high zone for the third time in just eight days.
This type of price action—strong reversals after a sell-off—could indicate that bulls are not done yet, making a breakout above 2940 likely.
At this point, I’ve cut my losses and exited the market, waiting to see if the price confirms the potential for a new all-time high this week.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAU/USD 19 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: