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GOLD ready to sell possibly? shorts from 2,750This Week's Analysis for Gold: This week, I'm expecting gold to weaken and potentially consolidate. The slight bearish reaction we've observed may indicate that bullish momentum is losing strength. Additionally, with the recent Change of Character (CHOCH) to the downside, an unmitigated 7-hour supply zone has been created, which could prompt a revisit from price. From that level, I anticipate a potential selling opportunity. Once price taps into this zone, I'll be looking for distribution on the lower timeframe to refine my entry. Confluences for Gold Sells: DXY has shown strong bullish movement, and I expect the dollar to keep strengthening. Gold has shifted to a bearish character, signalling weakness. A clean, unmitigated supply zone is in place, where price may retrace. Significant liquidity to the downside and an imbalance that needs filling. Gold has been heavily bullish and may require a corrective move. P.S. If this turns out to be a retracement and price continues upward, I’ll look for potential buys at the 2,680 level. Have a great trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
XAUUSD: There is a possibility of falling below 2700 todayYesterday we waited for the gold price to meet resistance at 2740 before selling, and the effect was very good. Today my strategy is still bearish. As long as 2740 is not effectively broken, the bearish view can be maintained. From the 1H chart, after yesterday's failure to break through the 2740 resistance, the bearish pattern of the head and shoulders top has basically formed, and there is no problem with the lowest position of the head and shoulders top pointing below 2700 points. Therefore, even if today's sharp decline in the market after Black Friday is out, I am not surprised. With the formation of a downward trend, the high point is definitely moving down, so today's selling point can be appropriately lowered a little, in the range of 2730-2740, the target is 2715 first, and then 2700 The above is today's trading strategy. Friends who need to copy my detailed signals and real-time operations can contact me, good luck everyone!
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
1
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A PIPTASTIC finish to the week with our chart idea playing out perfectly once again!! After completing all our targets this week, yesterday we stated that no cross and lock below 2717 confirmed the rejection into 2730, which then followed with a new cross and lock above 2730 re-opening 2739 and 2747. We also stated that 2739 was hit perfectly with 2747 left and failure to complete this target will see price retest the support below and as long as 2717 holds, we are likely to see the upper levels retested again. - This played out perfectly today with the drop into 2717, which held as support like we stated and gave another bounce into 2730, 2739 and now heading towards 2747. Our plans to buy dips using our levels played out once again!!! BULLISH TARGET 2730 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2730 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2739 - DONE 2747 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2717 - DONE We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
16
GOLD VS BITCOIN Bitcoin is often referred to as digital gold as they are both stores of wealth, but how do the charts compare? Firstly GOLD has been around for much much longer than BITCOIN so naturally the charts are not comparable in terms of duration and that should be taken into account. Golds PA plays out over a much longer timespan to BTCs but the chart patterns are certainly similar. We have Golds previous rally peaking in 2011 before falling with a rounded bottom, the exact same as Bitcoins structure from the last bull cycle. Gold then steadily climbs over the HTF stalling briefly at a bearish orderblock (blue box's) which is the same as BTC. Continues to climb to reach previous ATH before distributing/accumulating with sideways choppy price action. So cleqarly Gold and Bitcoin share a lot of similarities, where they differ in their charts is what happens after ATH and into price discovery... Gold continued its rally for a further 32% increase once it broke out above the trend channel/ mini range at the ATH level. Bitcoin is looking to do the same and if successful, price discovery should exceed the 32% increase the gold saw because of the difference in market caps of the two assets. Gold market cap: $18.3T Bitcoin market cap: $1.35T Such a massive difference in market caps means less investment is needed to create the price increase and so I believe 32% is a super conservative estimate but we'll use it as an example for comparison. That would take BTC up to ~$92,000, a more than doable move IMO.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ProR35
GOLD → Retest of range support in a bull marketFX:XAUUSD is trading inside the channel and is not yet ready to approach the resistance with the target of ATH retest. Profit-taking amid increased risk due to news, economic data affect the price of metal. Price is closing inside the range of 2748-2713. A support retest is forming and liquidity capture may reignite upside interest. Traders are waiting for the Fed's actions: which side will the regulator take - aggressive or conservative strategy of policy easing? We should not forget the uncertainty around the US presidential election combined with growing geopolitical concerns in the Middle East. For today, all eyes are on Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep), which could provide new hints on the state of the US economy Resistance levels: 2722, 2729, 2737, 2748 Support levels: 2713 (trigger), 2702 Emphasis on 2713. Price may test this area. Based on how buyers are defending the support, the market may form a false breakout and bounce to resistance. But, if the bounce is minimal, and then the price starts to retest 2713 and consolidate, we have increased risks to break the support. In this case, the price will head towards 2700-2685 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
40
Gold Analysis ==>> Bearish Quasimodo(QM) Pattern!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in the ✅ previous post ✅. Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and inside the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) , and the loss of the Lower line of the Ascending Channel can indicate weakness in the upward movement . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the main wave 5 , and now we have to wait for Corrective Waves . From the point of view of Technical Analysis , it seems that Gold has succeeded in forming the Bearish Quasimodo(QM) Pattern , which can be another sign of the reduction of gold . I expect Gold to decline to at least the Support zone($2,720-$2,708) , and if the support zone is broken , we should expect Gold to continue falling to the Next Support zone($2,686-$2,666) . ⚠️Note: If Gold can goes over $2,760, we can expect more pump for Gold.⚠️ 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
3
XAUUSD: 25/10 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2760, support below 2700-2673 Four-hour resistance 2733, support below 2700 Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold technically stabilized at 2720 in the Asian and European sessions and rebounded. It hit 2743 in the US session and then fell rapidly. The overall gold price stabilized at 2720 with secondary support. At the same time, it continued to fluctuate in the 2740-44 area under pressure. Before the short-term daily level falls below 2700-05, it is likely to continue to trade time for space and continue the rhythm of long and short pull From the current 4-hour trend, today's support below continues to focus on 2715-20, and the pressure above continues to focus on the 2740-44 suppression given yesterday. Rely on this range to sell high and buy low during the day, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. SELL:2744near SL:2748 BUY:2700near SL:2697 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
Week of Consistent Wins: Gold Strategy PositioningThis week’s gold strategy has achieved a remarkable 100% success rate, with those who closely followed the trades seeing a 200% profit—congratulations to everyone on consistent gains! Today marks the final trading day of the week, and this key setup will define our closing profitability for the week. Fundamental Analysis: The “U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 19” was a significant bearish driver for gold yesterday, leading to a sharp price drop. This further confirms the strengthening U.S. economy, which continues to weigh on gold. Today’s “October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final” will also reflect U.S. economic conditions and likely adds to the bearish sentiment on gold, presenting another trading opportunity. Technical Analysis: Although the daily chart previously formed a bullish engulfing pattern, this setup has invalidated as gold prices moved higher, and buying pressure increased. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has ceased its decline and is resuming an upward trajectory in the bullish region, signaling renewed buyer interest. Today's Strategy: Based on a combined analysis of fundamental and technical factors, today’s first move is to go long on gold, with a profit target at the 2733-2734 level. After the long position reaches the target, a short position can then be initiated with a profit target between 2720-2718. Given the complex nature of today's trades, if you require my guidance or wish to join the VIP for more real-time strategies, feel free to reach out!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Falcon-Training-Camp
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by syomking76418
Friday Market Analysis and SignalsGold rose first and then fell, and the market fluctuated widely. Today, we will continue to see wide fluctuations. The hourly chart forms a consolidation triangle range adjustment. The hourly and four-hour moving averages are glued together, and the RSI indicator returns to the central axis and flattens. At present, the market will maintain this oscillation pattern for the time being. Let's look at the 2715-2745 range for the day. Gold is now starting to build a top at a high level, and the bulls are limited. Gold will start a new adjustment at any time. Gold rebounds and continues to be short. Gold rebounds above 2745 in the Asian session and goes directly short! The market is not simply going to chase long when it rises, and going to chase short when it falls, nor is it going to buy the bottom when it falls, and touching the top when it rises. Trading strategy: The 1-hour moving average of gold turns downward and is about to form a dead cross. If the moving average of gold forms a downward dead cross pattern, then the room for gold to fall will be further opened, and the decline of gold may have just begun. We will sell gold near 2745 in the Asian session. Sell high and buy low in the 2715~2745 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-goldFX
HelenP. I Gold will rise a little and then drop to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A little while back, the price hit support 2, which matched up perfectly with the support zone. It spent some time trading in that area before it dipped down to the trend line. After that, it kicked off a nice rally, growing inside this pennant pattern, and soon came back to support 2. It broke through that level, shot up a bit more, and then made a small correction. After that pullback, Gold kept its upward momentum and hit support 1, which was another support zone. But then it reversed course and quickly dropped down to the trend line again. Once it hit that line, the price rebounded and broke out of the pennant, pushing up to support 1 once more. When it reached that level, it broke through and kept climbing higher. Now, I'm expecting XAUUSD to make a little move up before it takes another dip. My target is set at the 2685 support level, so I’m keeping an eye on that for the next move. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
8
DreamAnalysis | Gold’s Turning Point and Scenarios to Watch✨ Today’s Focus: Gold (XAUUSD) – A Major Market Driver Today, we’re diving deep into recent gold price movements, examining key levels to uncover potential trends and strategic opportunities. 📊 Market Snapshot: Gold prices are currently fluctuating between the 4-Hour and Daily Imbalance zones. With prices in a deep premium, there’s potential for a pullback or even a downward reversal. Recently, both Monthly and Weekly High Buy-Side Liquidity levels were taken out. 🔴 What to Watch: Short- vs. Long-Term Scenarios We’ll break down both short-term and long-term outlooks, offering insights for both bullish and bearish setups to support day traders. 🗣 Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, expect prices to continue moving between these imbalances. For potential entries, focus on lower timeframes, targeting Low Resistance Sell/Buy-Side Liquidity levels to capture movements in the opposite direction. 🗣 Long-Term Outlook: While the long-term outlook remains bullish, a retracement lower is needed to gather the liquidity necessary for a sustainable upward move. 🕓 Key Levels to Monitor: These levels could significantly impact price action: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Daily FVG: Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone) Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) serve as essential zones for potential retracement, setting the stage for the next directional move. 📈 Bullish Scenario: To confirm a bullish scenario, monitor lower timeframes (LTF) and await the clearing of Low Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity. Look for entry models that align with a push toward higher targets, such as the ATH (All-Time High). 📉 Bearish Scenario: For bearish setups, use lower timeframes like the 15-minute chart. Seek short entry signals within the 4-Hour Imbalance, or wait for a price break of Low Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity for additional confluence before entering. 📝 Final Thoughts: Stay adaptable as market conditions evolve. Track these critical levels and setups closely to refine your strategy and capture high-probability trades. 🔮 On the Horizon: We’re also monitoring NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets, with timely insights as trends develop. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DreamAnalysis
XAGUSD - 1H BullishOANDA:XAGUSD is showing strong bullish momentum, particularly as we approach late October 2024. On the technical side, the current chart presents a series of three bearish pullbacks, each one weaker than the last, suggesting the bearish trend is losing strength. Silver has now reached a key support zone, which aligns with the end of the bearish phase and a potential upward reversal. The breakout is likely, supported by bullish signals from the trend line and weakening bearish pressure. From a fundamental perspective, there are several factors supporting this bullish outlook for silver. Global demand for silver, particularly in renewable energy sectors and industrial uses, continues to grow. In October 2024, silver prices have also been supported by increasing inflation concerns and the weakening U.S. dollar, as noted by various market analysts. Additionally, silver remains above critical moving averages, further reinforcing the possibility of continued upward momentum. With a strong technical foundation and supporting fundamentals, silver looks well-positioned for a rally in the coming weeks. Keep an eye on key resistance levels and potential macroeconomic developments for further confirmation of the bullish trend.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by Sober_Trading
#XAUUSD 1DAYThe XAUUSD (Gold) 1-day chart is encountering **rising channel resistance**, signaling a potential reversal point as the price tests the upper boundary of a well-defined upward channel. This resistance area has consistently limited upward movements within the channel, making it a critical level where sellers may step in to cap further gains. With price reaching this channel resistance, there is an increased likelihood of a pullback or reversal to the lower channel boundary, favoring a **sell** setup from this level. Key points to consider: - The rising channel resistance aligns with a potential exhaustion in bullish momentum, supporting a bearish outlook. - Rejection at this level would signal sellers' strength and validate the setup. - Momentum indicators (like RSI or MACD) may indicate overbought conditions, adding confluence to the sell forecast. In summary, the near-term outlook for XAUUSD is bearish, with an expected downward move if the price respects the rising channel resistance level.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
Bearish Technical and news XAUUSD For next week, XAU/USD (gold) is projected to remain in a consolidation phase around the $2730-$2760 range as it encounters both support from safe-haven demand and resistance from potential profit-taking. Market factors like Federal Reserve rate expectations and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may sustain demand for gold, with bullish sentiment intact if these factors persist. On the technical side, key support sits near $2710, while resistance appears around $2780, suggesting some potential for upward movement if the dollar weakens or global uncertainties intensify. Analysts also suggest paying attention to U.S. economic data releases next week, particularly any Federal Reserve statements, which could influence investor sentiment towards safe-haven assets like gold. If data suggests slowing economic momentum, gold might break higher; conversely, strong U.S. data could limit gains or prompt slight retracements in XAU/USD .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VantageVestor
Gold Price Hits New All-Time High Near $2,757 - Have a Look NextGold has once again proven its status as the ultimate safe-haven asset, recently reaching an all-time high just shy of the $2,757 mark. This surge comes amid rising geopolitical tensions and increasing expectations for further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve. Despite a rise in US Treasury yields, the yellow metal's upward momentum remains strong as investors flock to it during times of uncertainty, highlighting its enduring appeal as a store of value. Factors Behind Gold’s Historic Surge 1. Geopolitical Tensions Global geopolitical risks have escalated recently, leading to a rush toward safe-haven assets like gold. Heightened conflicts in the Middle East and lingering tensions in Eastern Europe have fueled fears of broader market instability. Gold, historically seen as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty, has been one of the primary beneficiaries as investors seek to protect their portfolios. 2. Expectations of Further Fed Rate Cuts Market sentiment is increasingly tilting toward additional rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The anticipation of lower interest rates typically supports gold prices, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. With economic data pointing to slower growth and possible deflationary pressures, the Fed may be inclined to continue its dovish stance, further boosting gold’s appeal. 3. US Treasury Yields and Safe-Haven Demand Even as US Treasury yields have risen, signaling expectations of a stronger US economy, gold's ascent has not been hindered. This decoupling suggests that other factors, like risk aversion and safe-haven demand, are currently driving the metal’s price. Growing fears of a potential Trump presidency in 2024 have added an extra layer of uncertainty, prompting investors to seek the stability that gold provides. Technical Analysis: Is a Retracement on the Horizon? From a technical standpoint, the recent surge in gold prices suggests that the metal may be poised for a near-term pullback. Here’s why: Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Analysis: According to the latest COT report, retail traders remain heavily bullish on gold, a potential contrarian indicator that often precedes a short-term price reversal. Meanwhile, the so-called "smart money" appears to be scaling back on long positions, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment. Seasonal Forecast: Seasonality patterns indicate that gold might be approaching a reversal phase. Historically, gold has shown a tendency to retrace after significant rallies, especially when retail sentiment becomes overly bullish. This seasonal forecast aligns with technical signals that suggest a possible correction. Potential Retracement Levels: If gold begins to retrace from current levels, key support zones to watch would include $2,700 and $2,650, where previous resistance levels could now act as support. Traders should keep a tight stop-loss to protect against potential downside risks, especially given the ongoing volatility in global markets. Trading Strategy: Cautious Optimism with a Tight Stop-Loss While the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and monetary easing expectations, short-term traders should exercise caution. With the potential for a near-term pullback, the ideal strategy may involve waiting for a retracement to key support levels before considering new long positions. Risk Management: Given the current elevated price levels, it’s crucial to maintain a tight stop-loss to manage potential downside risk. Potential Reentry: If a retracement occurs, investors could look for signs of stabilization around the $2,650–$2,700 range before reentering the market. Final Thoughts: A Bullish Long-Term Outlook with Short-Term Caution Gold’s recent surge to near $2,750 highlights its role as a global safe haven amidst uncertainty. However, with retail sentiment leaning heavily bullish and the possibility of a technical correction looming, traders should remain cautious in the short term. Despite the potential for a pullback, gold’s long-term fundamentals remain intact, driven by geopolitical risks, monetary policy expectations, and overall global economic uncertainty. As always, a balanced approach, considering both the fundamental and technical factors, will be essential to navigating the evolving landscape of gold trading. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
Gold Trading Strategy: Continued Selling and Rebound ObservationAfter the rebound, gold has dropped again, now breaking below MA60, with short-term moving averages acting as resistance. I believe it’s prudent to continue selling today, with signals already shared at the market open—our regulars have already enjoyed some profits. With the current rebound, I recommend using MA60 and MA30 as reference prices for selling, targeting around 2712. We can then assess the market reaction before deciding whether to buy back in.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wealth_Waves
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that last night the price dropped to $2708. As I mentioned, due to the sharpness of this drop, I expected the liquidity gap created by the decline to be filled quickly. We saw the price rise from the $2708 demand zone up to $2739, and it is currently trading around $2736. Pay attention to the $2732 to $2735 range, as it is a key demand zone. If the price can hold above this level, we will likely see further growth in gold. However, if this important support zone fails to hold back the decline, we could potentially see a further drop with the first bearish target at $2727. In case of continued growth (Scenario 1), the targets will be $2739.5, $2741, $2743.5, $2748, and $2755, respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
20
#XAUUSD 4HThe XAUUSD (Gold) 4-hour chart is displaying a classic Head and Shoulders pattern combined with a trendline breakdown, signaling a bearish setup. The Head and Shoulders pattern is a well-known reversal pattern that often indicates a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum. This formation, along with a confirmed breakdown below the neckline and a key trendline, strengthens the bearish bias. Following the trendline breakdown, sellers appear to be in control, with the probability of a continued decline in price. This suggests an optimal **sell** opportunity with a focus on lower price targets. Key considerations: - The Head and Shoulders pattern confirms a likely trend reversal. - Trendline breakdown adds confluence to the bearish setup. - Further downward pressure may be anticipated, particularly if there is no successful retest of the broken trendline. Overall, the forecast leans towards a bearish outlook on XAUUSD in the short to medium term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
End of the week market analysis25th October DXY: Consolidating along 104 round number (50% fib retracement) could trade down to 103.85 price level NZDUSD: Sell 0.5970 SL 20 TP 55 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6610 SL 20 TP 40 GBPUSD: Sell 1.30 SL 25 TP 90 EURUSD: Looking for reaction around 1.0840 USDJPY: Buy 152.20 SL 40 TP 100 USDCHF: Do Nothing USDCAD: Looking for bounce, retail sales data pending Buy 1.3825 SL 15 TP 40 Gold: Likely to fluctuate between 2700 and 2740 while directional bias develops
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai