XAUUSD H1: What is happening to GOLD?Technical analysis:
The price line is still showing a continued uptrend, important levels are broken and ready for a new ETH GOLD peak! 2 important price zones in the current uptrend are 2934, 2942.
Gold investors all see that gold has a strong upward trend, reaching 2940 USD/oz from October 2023 to present, surpassing the resistance of 2000 USD, showing a strong upward trend. However, if we consider the movements, gold has increased 4 times per week and there is a high possibility that there will be an adjustment in this sensitive area.
If we consider the cycle, gold in the monthly frame is still in the same upward phase as the quarterly frame, but currently we see that gold has increased for 27 months, corresponding to enough time for a monthly increase phase.
Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices were flat in the first session of the week as investors awaited further details on US President Donald Trump's tariff plans, which could escalate global trade tensions.
Senior Trump administration officials will begin peace talks with Russia and Ukraine in Saudi Arabia in the coming days, which is news that many investors are interested in. Gold has been seen as a safe haven asset during the recent period when geopolitical tensions have escalated.
Xauusd(w)
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE IN 30M TFHello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 30-M TF
Support (Lower Trendline): Around 2888 – 2884
Resistance (Upper Trendline): Around 2925 – 2930
A breakout above or below these levels will determine the next strong move.
If price respects the lower trendline and moves up, buying opportunities could be considered with a target near resistance.
XAUUSD - Consolidation, what’s next?Here is our in-depth detailed view on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a detailed overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels.
Alright first, taking a look at XAUUSD from a lower time-frame . For this we will be looking at the m15 time-frame .
As of right now, we are consolidating on OANDA:XAUUSD The best “signal” for now is to sit on our hands and wait for a clear break. Right now we are in a range from around 2905.6 and 2896 . Until we get a clear break , we can’t know the direction of the pair just yet. So, breaking down everything and understanding the importance of Key Levels we have several outcomes possibly in play.
Scenario 1: BUYS at the break to the upside (from the consolidation area)
- We broke above our consolidation area.
With the break to the upside, we can expect to see 2915 or a deeper revisit of 2920. At this point we would have to see if we make any pullbacks, possibly revisiting the top of the consolidation area (now becoming our support).
Scenario 2: SELLS at the break to the downside (from the consolidation area)
- We broke below our consolidation area.
With the break to the downside, we can expect to see lower levels such as 2880. At this point we would have to see if we make any pullbacks and continue chugging away to the downside. With the breaks of current lows we have on gold, we can expect drops even down to 2840.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD is consolidating.
- Breaks to the upside would confirm buys.
- Breaks to the downside would confirm sells.
- Possible deeper digs to the upside from 2915.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Gold extends rebound after Friday’s dumpGold is caught between a rock and a hard place, as it holds above the technically-important $2,900 level. On the one hand, the existing bullish momentum means traders are happy to continue buying every dip they can get their hands on – which looks to have again been the case after Friday’s dump. But on the other, speculation is running high, and many traders would welcome a correction to shake out froth, particularly if geopolitical risks start to ease. Trump’s stated ambition to resolve conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza could dent safe-haven demand should he succeed. His protectionist policies and aggressive spending plans may also fuel inflationary pressures, delaying rate cut expectations and supporting bond yields.
Given these considerations, traders are treading carefully. While the broader trend remains intact, the risk of a deeper pullback cannot be ignored at these elevated levels. For gold to reach the $3K without first staging a short-term correction, it may take an escalation in the geopolitical risks, particularly about Ukraine.
For now, though, the buyers have returned. Keep an eye on support around $2900-$2906 area which needs to hold for gold to maintain its short-term bullish bias.
Short-term resistance comes in around $2920-$2925, which was being tested at the time of writing. This area was the last support zone pre Friday’s breakdown, making it a key battleground.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Gold–A Bullish Revival or Just a Correction After Friday's Drop?Yesterday was a very quiet day for TRADENATION:XAUUSD traders.
After a normal rebound from the 2880 support, the price hovered around 2900 in a low-volatility environment.
Overnight, bulls found some strength and pushed the price to a high of 2916. At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 2910.
In my view, this is merely a correction following Friday’s sharp drop, not a resumption of the bullish trend. As I mentioned yesterday, I am looking to sell rallies.
My idea would be invalidated by a daily close above Friday’s high.
As for the target, in the medium term, we could see the price drop to 2850.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD rises above 2,900 USD again, attention to Trump and PutinOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery increased significantly due to factors such as a weaker US Dollar, geopolitical risks and uncertainty in US trade policy. As of the time this article was completed, spot gold increased to 2,909 USD/oz, an increase equivalent to 0.39% on the day.
The World Gold Council revealed central banks purchased more than 1,000 tons of gold for the third consecutive year in 2024. According to the World Gold Council, central banks' gold purchases increased 54% year-on-year to 333 tons after Trump won the election.
On Monday local time, at the suggestion of French President Macron, leaders of many European countries held an emergency meeting in the French capital Paris to discuss issues such as the situation in Ukraine and collective European security.
According to French press reports, the biggest disagreement at the meeting that day was whether to send troops to Ukraine under the peacekeeping framework or not. British Prime Minister Starmer said the UK is ready to send ground troops if necessary. Germany and Spain objected.
At the same time, Ukraine's peace negotiations also became the focus of market attention. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Monday that he would travel to the Saudi capital Riyadh and hold talks with US representatives on Tuesday.
US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that he will soon meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Saudi Arabia.
If a peace agreement is reached between Russia and Ukraine, this may be the driving force for gold to be able to adjust significantly down in the near future. On the contrary, if the agreement "goes nowhere", gold will continue to increase in price because geopolitical risks once again increase.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
From the support level of 2,881 USD, note to readers in the previous issue that gold has surpassed the initial target level at the original price point of 2,900 USD and currently maintains price activity above this level.
With the current position, gold has conditions to continue to increase in price with the goal of reaching an all-time peak rather than renewing the previously achieved all-time peak.
The upward relative strength index shows that the bearish momentum is also weakening, giving way to overwhelming buying force.
In general, in terms of the overall technical picture, gold still tends to be completely bullish, and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,881 – 2,857USD
Resistance: 2,942USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2921 - 2919⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2925
→Take Profit 1 2913
↨
→Take Profit 2 2907
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2849 - 2851⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2845
→Take Profit 1 2857
↨
→Take Profit 2 2863
Gold price analysis February 18⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Top US and Russian officials will meet to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, but there are concerns that a decision may be made without the participation of Ukraine and Europe.
Weak risk sentiment has boosted demand for the safe-haven US dollar, putting pressure on gold prices. At the same time, Fed officials were cautious about inflation and interest rate policy, strengthening the US dollar and US Treasury yields. The Fed governor said that inflation is progressing slowly, possibly delaying a rate cut until 2025.
In the coming time, the market will focus on speeches by Fed officials for clues on monetary policy, as well as monitor the developments in negotiations between the US and Russia, a factor that could have a big impact on risk sentiment and gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices approached the 2915 resistance zone before the US session, marking the importance of this price zone today. When the candle does not break through 2915 when Europe enters, SELL to 2906. In case of break 2915, wait for retest buy back around 15 TP around 2927. Pay attention to price reaction around 2920. BUY zones of gold around 2906-2900-2895. SELL zones of gold 2927-2949
XAUUSDAffected by the holiday in the USA, the gold price fluctuated in a narrow range yesterday, with a slight increase on the daily line. The overall trend is in line with our expectations. The price failed to form an effective continuation after the decline. After rising to 2940 last week, it encountered secondary suppression and then fell sharply. This week, the price did not break the previous low, continuing the pattern of nearly a year. The price briefly stabbed the support and then quickly repaired the decline. The main chart currently shows a weak short signal, but further confirmation is needed. The sub-chart MACD indicator is glued at a high level, with signs of forming a dead cross, suggesting a risk of decline.
If the 4-hour candle falls below the support, it will rise sharply, and the price will temporarily recover some of the lost ground, but the rebound strength is weak. Focus on the recovery of the 26-day moving average. If the price re-stands on the moving average, it is expected to start a wide range of oscillations.
In the medium and long term, the gold price is still in an upward trend, and a decline of tens of dollars in the short term is unlikely to change the trend direction. Regardless of whether 2942 is a stage top, the construction and confirmation of the head pattern requires a repeated process.
From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend, and the trend has not changed, but the current momentum is gradually weakening, and the upper 2942 is also the previous high position, which is of reference significance from a technical perspective. The market may form a wide range of fluctuations at a high level.
From the 4-hour chart, the gold bullish arrangement is still intact, and it can rebound effectively when it touches the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. At present, it encounters resistance at 2942 near the previous high, and there is a potential double top to be played. And due to the excessive stretching of the previous bulls, it often takes a period of adjustment. Therefore, without further news stimulation, it is unlikely that gold will rise fiercely, and you can capture the callback market.
This week, pay attention to the competition between the high point 2942 and the neckline 2865. After the second high and then falling back, the 4-hour chart has the possibility of constructing a double top callback. This week, focus on the neckline 2865. The loss of this position will further deepen the adjustment space. Intraday trading is mainly based on callback buying, supplemented by rebound selling!
Key points:
First support: 2888, second support: 2880, third support: 2873
First resistance: 2910, second resistance: 2918, third resistance: 2924
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2883-2885, SL: 2874, TP: 2910-2920;
SELL: 2910-2913, SL: 2922, TP: 2890-2880;
Gold Consolidating at 2,918 – Break Above 2,934 or Drop to 2,873Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 18, 2025
Gold is currently testing the pivot level at 2,918, with price action indicating potential consolidation before making the next move. The market structure suggests that gold may remain within the 2,918 - 2,873 range before a breakout.
Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario: If gold fails to hold above 2,918 and closes below this level, a drop toward the 2,873 support is expected. A confirmed break below 2,873 would push the price further down toward 2,859 and 2,840.
Bullish Scenario: For gold to continue its bullish trend, it must break above 2,934, confirming further upside toward 2,956.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 2,918
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2,934, 2,956
🔹 Support Levels: 2,873, 2,859, 2,840
📉 Directional Bias: Gold is expected to trade within 2,918 - 2,873 before a breakout. A move below 2,873 confirms further downside, while a break above 2,934 resumes the bullish trend.
💬 Will gold break 2,934 for new highs, or drop below 2,873? Share your thoughts! 👇🔥
Gold Rallies Above $2,900 Again, Will it Hold? Gold has retested the record high of 2,940 twice, raising concerns about a potential double or triple-top formation, as the RSI hovers near overbought levels last seen in November 2024—after which Gold retreated nearly 100 points.
However, the latest price action still indicates strength to the upside, driven by haven demand amid unresolved negotiations concerning the Russia Ukraine war.
Ahead of the talks, the EU reaffirmed support for Ukraine, while Ukraine rejected any agreement made on its behalf, as discussions shifted exclusively between the US and Russia.
Possible scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A close above 2,940 could extend gains toward $3,000 and $3,050.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the 2,940 resistance holds, Gold could retrace to support levels at 2,860, 2,790, and 2,720, respectively
- Razan Hilal, CMT
gold on short bullishGold (XAU/USD) saw a strong breakout above $2,904.50 yesterday, confirming bullish momentum. The price is currently in an upward trend, with buyers pushing toward $2,928.60 as the next key resistance. However, the overall market structure suggests potential bearish pressure if key support levels fail.
Key Levels to Watch:
Buy Entry: Above $2,915.99 (Buy stop order)
Take Profit (TP): $2,922 – $2,928.60
Stop Loss (SL): $2,906 (A break below this invalidates bullish bias)
Bearish Breakdown Zone: Below $2,906, with targets below $2,900
Bullish Scenario:
If XAU/USD holds above $2,915.99, expect a push toward $2,922, and if momentum continues, $2,928.60 could be tested.
Buyers remain in control above $2,906, and dips may be seen as buying opportunities.
Bearish Scenario:
A break below $2,906 could lead to bearish reform, triggering a drop below $2,900.
If sellers dominate, we may see extended declines toward $2,890 or lower.
Gold’s Triangle Battle: Breakout or Breakdown? hello guys!
Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Gold is trading within a triangle pattern, with price approaching a key resistance zone.
The top trendline of the triangle is acting as a major resistance, while the bottom trendline provides support.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case: If price breaks above the minor ascending channel, Gold could test the $2,928-$2,930 zone, potentially aiming for a stronger breakout.
Bearish Case: If resistance holds, a rejection could push Gold down to retest the bottom trendline near $2,885-$2,890.
Key Levels to Watch
Breakout Above: $2,928 could trigger a bullish continuation.
Breakdown Below: $2,900 could indicate a deeper correction.
Final Take:
Gold is at a crossroads—will bulls break through resistance, or will bears drag it back down? Stay sharp, as a decisive move is coming soon! 🔥
NZDJPY Bearish Flag: Retest Complete, Targeting 82.60NZDJPY is currently trading at 86.60, with a target price of 82.60, indicating a potential downward movement of 300+ pips. The pair is forming a bearish flag pattern, which typically follows a strong downtrend and is followed by a period of consolidation. This pattern suggests that after the breakout and a successful retest of the lower trendline, the price could continue its decline toward the 82.60 target.
Technically, a bearish flag is often seen as a continuation pattern, signaling that the downtrend is likely to resume after the consolidation phase. The successful retest of the breakout point confirms the market’s readiness to move lower. In this case, if NZDJPY breaks below the support level, it could accelerate the move toward the 82.60 target.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar has been under pressure due to a weaker global risk appetite and softer economic data. In contrast, the Japanese yen benefits from its status as a safe-haven currency, particularly during times of market uncertainty. These fundamental factors may continue to support a bearish move for NZDJPY, especially if global market sentiment remains cautious.
In summary, the bearish flag pattern on NZDJPY suggests further downside potential, with a target of 82.60. Traders should watch for confirmation of the bearish continuation after the retest of the breakout level, as well as monitor global risk sentiment and economic data from both New Zealand and Japan.
AUDNZD Ascending Triangle Bullish Breakout Targeting 1.1340The AUDNZD currency pair is currently trading at 1.1140, with a target price of 1.1340, suggesting a potential upward move of 100+ pips. The pair is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish continuation pattern. This pattern typically forms when the price consistently makes higher lows while encountering a horizontal resistance level, signaling a potential breakout above the resistance. Traders are looking for a confirmation of the breakout above the resistance level to target 1.1340.
From a technical perspective, the ascending triangle is often a sign of market indecision, but it’s typically followed by a breakout to the upside when the price pushes through the resistance at the top of the triangle. In this case, the breakout would likely target the 1.1340 level, where the next significant resistance could come into play.
On the fundamental side, the Australian dollar has been relatively stronger recently due to robust commodity exports, particularly iron ore and coal. In contrast, the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from a more dovish outlook from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which has recently taken a cautious approach to monetary policy. These economic dynamics could support the bullish case for AUDNZD, especially if the breakout occurs in favor of the Aussie dollar.
In summary, the ascending triangle pattern on AUDNZD points toward a bullish breakout above the 1.1160 resistance. If confirmed, the pair could target the 1.1340 level. Keep an eye on any upcoming economic data from both Australia and New Zealand, as these could provide further confirmation or invalidate the breakout.
Gold Analysis: Bearish Reversal with Key Support Zone at 2,799hello guys!
let review what happened in gold:
Double Top Formation: The chart indicates a double top pattern, which typically suggests a potential reversal in the price movement. This pattern formed at a significant resistance level, as shown by the "internal static level" marked at the top of the chart. A double top is generally seen as a bearish signal, implying the price may fall after this formation completes.
Broken Trendline: The chart also points out a "broken trendline" that previously acted as a support level. Once the price breaks below this trendline, it suggests a weakening bullish trend, with further downside potential. This break could signal the start of a downtrend.
Main Trendline: Despite the break in the previous trendline, the "main trendline" still holds as a support level for the price. This indicates that the market might find support along this trendline and could reverse back to the upside in the near term, or it could form a lower high and continue the downtrend.
what's next?!
Targeted Support Zone: The arrows suggest a potential price target zone between 2,799.150 and 2,800.000, marked as a key support region where the price might find a base. This zone is below the broken trendline and could act as a demand zone, potentially leading to a rebound or price consolidation before further movement.
In conclusion, the chart is signaling potential bearish momentum, with the possibility of the price moving down to the support zone before either consolidating or reversing back upward. The broken trendline and double top suggest that the market might shift to a downward trend, but the main trendline and support levels must be closely watched for confirmation.
BTC/USD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE Key Insights:
1. Support Zone (Blue Area - 94,877 to 95,643)
Price recently tested this area and showed signs of rejection, indicating potential bullish momentum.
2. Entry & Target Projection
The chart suggests a buy setup with price expected to rise from the current support.
The first target is around 96,828, followed by a higher resistance level at 97,208.
3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management
Stop-loss is likely placed below 94,877 in case of further downside movement.
The risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable with a clear upward structure.
Conclusion:
If BTC holds above 95,000, buyers may push towards 96,800 - 97,200.
A break below 94,877 could invalidate this setup.
Would you like a signal update message for your channel?
EURNZD Bullish Flag Pattern: Awaiting Breakout Toward 1.8700EURNZD is currently trading at 1.8330, with a target price of 1.8700, suggesting an anticipated upward movement of 300+ pips. This pattern indicates that the pair is forming a bullish flag, a continuation pattern that often signals a breakout to the upside after a consolidation phase. In this scenario, traders are looking for a breakout above the flag's upper trendline, which would potentially push the price toward the 1.8700 target.
From a technical perspective, the bullish flag pattern is formed when the price consolidates after a strong uptrend. The consolidation phase represents a period of indecision in the market, but once the price breaks above the flag's resistance level, it typically resumes its upward momentum. In this case, the breakout would likely bring the pair closer to the 1.8700 level, where strong resistance could be expected.
On the fundamental side, the euro has been supported by the European Central Bank's monetary policy, which continues to focus on economic stability, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from softer commodity prices, particularly dairy exports. Additionally, global risk sentiment, such as inflation data or geopolitical events, could further influence the direction of EURNZD.
In summary, if EURNZD breaks above the resistance of the bullish flag, it could provide a strong buying opportunity toward the 1.8700 target. Keep an eye on the global economic landscape, particularly developments in Europe and New Zealand, to validate this bullish move.
XAUUSD:Continue to increase the buying power of XAUUSDYesterday emphasized the purchase of xauusd below 2900 points before the market closed. After the London market started today. XAUUSD perfectly reached the target range and closed the order to lock in profits.
Now the buying opportunity comes again. XAUUSD is about to rise sharply, which will be shown on the chart in the London market or the New York market.
BUY:2911.5
TP2921.5
SL2900
If you don't know how to trade correctly. Then start with this buy order.
XAUUSD: Feb 17 intraday strategyTechnical analysis of spot gold
Daily resistance 2950, support below 2852
Four-hour resistance 2950, support below 2852
Gold operation suggestions: Gold was under technical pressure at the 2939 mark last Friday and ushered in a unilateral decline. The price in the Asian session relied on the 2920 mark and slightly rebounded. The European session broke through and stood on the 2930 mark and showed a strong rise. Before the US session, the gold price accelerated to break through the 2939 mark and fell back into shocks. Finally, it ushered in a unilateral decline in the US session. The gold price fell back and broke through the 2900 integer mark and closed weakly. The daily chart formed an engulfing decline.
From the current trend of gold, today's support below is around 2852, and the pressure above is around 2908-13. If the daily support 2852 is not broken, it will be seen as a shock operation. The trend is bullish. If the closing line breaks 2852, it will be seen as a deep correction. Overall, relying on this range to maintain high selling and low buying, patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
If it falls below 2876 in the short term, it may accelerate the correction to 2864, or even test the support of 2853
BUY:2852near SL:2847
BUY:2880near SL:2875
SELL:2910near SL:2915
SELL:2878near SL:2885
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAU/USD 18 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
H15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD analysis February 18Your trading strategy is based on a combination of strong support at 1.044 and signals from the EMA 34. This is a reasonable approach if the correction weakens and buying pressure increases.
Some notes:
Confirmation from price action: If the price reacts strongly to the 1.044 area (such as forming a reversal candlestick pattern or RSI divergence sign), the possibility of a bounce will be higher.
Risk management: Stoploss 1.03900 is quite tight, ensuring low risk. However, if the sellers are strong and break through 1.044, you need to be ready to cut losses to avoid being caught in the downtrend.
Flexible profit taking: TP1 (1.05100) is the nearest resistance zone, you can take partial profits here and move SL to breakeven to optimize profits if the price continues to 1.05700.
You can also keep an eye on momentum indicators or economic news that may affect EUR/USD to make appropriate decisions. 🚀