Xauusd Gold buy market analysis Us30 sell technical analysis
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Analyst predict $3300 area
Xauusd(w)
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2950.00
Sell Entry below 2870.00
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 2900.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 2920.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3070.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2770.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors.
🚩Fundamental Analysis
Gold Demand: Gold demand is expected to increase, driven by growing central bank purchases and investor demand for safe-haven assets.
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold.
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence.
🚩Macro Economics
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence.
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold.
Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials.
🚩COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional):
Net Long Positions: 70%
Open Interest: 250,000 contracts
Commercial Traders (Companies):
Net Short Positions: 20%
Open Interest: 120,000 contracts
Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders):
Net Long Positions: 10%
Open Interest: 25,000 contracts
COT Ratio: 3.0 (indicating a strong bullish trend)
🚩Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 75% bullish, 25% bearish.
Retail Sentiment: 70% bullish, 30% bearish.
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +65.
🚩Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: Potential upside to 3070.00-3200.00.
Target: 3200.00 (primary target), 3300.00 (secondary target)
Next Swing Target: 3400.00 (potential swing high)
Stop Loss: 2700.00 (below the 30-day low)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 300.00 vs potential loss of 150.00)
🚩Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for XAU/USD is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in gold demand, growing central bank purchases, and bullish market sentiment are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
XAUUSD will see a huge increase after the next market openingGold prices will see a huge increase after the next market opening. Geopolitical uncertainty has increased the demand for gold. As shown in the above figure, gold prices would have seen a larger increase today. However, due to the early closure of the US President's Day and the fact that the US stock market did not open, stagflation occurred.
In the New York session, a new chapter will appear in the European dynamics, and the Asian market will react by increasing the speed of increase, so now is the best time to buy. Don't hesitate here, even if the Asian market does not rise significantly next, the New York market will reflect today's increase from the chart tomorrow. So going long on XAUUSD is a very stable trade.
XAUUSD:
Go long below 2900,
tp: 2920-2930,
sl: 2870.
Trading is about making stable trading opportunities, and the next market opening will bring such opportunities, let us wait and see.
Remember to like and follow after reading. Prevent missing the next accurate analysis and guidance. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message at any time. I will reply to your questions in time.
Gold Extends Gains as Trade War Fears MountGold climbed above $2,900 per ounce, extending its gains for a second day as fears of a global trade war fueled demand. Concerns over President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs added to market uncertainty, increasing gold’s appeal. However, hawkish Fed comments capped further gains.
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman reiterated caution on rate cuts due to inflation risks, while Governor Christopher Waller suggested delaying reductions until inflation eases. Investors now await Wednesday’s Fed meeting minutes for more policy insights. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions persist as markets watch for updates on a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire.
Key resistance levels are at $2,949, $2,975, and $3,000. Support is at $2,880, with further levels at $2,830 and $2,760.
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry at market price
Sell Entry at 3020.00
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 2835.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 3060.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3020.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2780.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
1. Supply and Demand: Gold's demand is increasing due to its use as a safe-haven asset and central banks' purchases.
2. Global Economic Trends: A potential global economic slowdown could increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
3. Mining Production: Gold mining production is expected to decrease in the next few years, which could put upward pressure on prices.
🔰 Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The current trend is bullish, with gold prices increasing by 15% in the last quarter.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
🔰 Market Sentiment
1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 50% bullish, 20% bearish, and 30% neutral on gold.
2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 60% bullish, 15% bearish, and 25% neutral on gold.
3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions.
🔰 COT Report
1. Non-Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short
2. Commercial Traders: 50% long, 50% short
3. Non-Reportable Traders: 30% long, 70% short
🔰 Positioning
1. Institutional Traders: 50% bullish, 20% bearish, 30% neutral
2. Banks: 45% bullish, 25% bearish, 30% neutral
3. Hedge Funds: 55% bullish, 20% bearish, 25% neutral
4. Corporate Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral
5. Retail Traders: 60% bullish, 15% bearish, 25% neutral
🔰 Overall Outlook
1. Bullish: Gold prices are expected to increase due to increasing demand and a potential global economic slowdown.
2. Volatility: Gold prices are expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold trading zones: 18-Feb-2025Hey traders! Check out today's Gold trading zones and let's discuss potential opportunities.
XAUUSD - Trust the process or rather trust your system.After many times of back testing and analyzing the combination of various indicators, results so far is quite impressive. One thing I learned so far using STFLAT is minimizing my early entry without strong confirmation.
EURNZD: Key Resistance at 1.8430 and Rejection from HighsAs of February 14, 2025, the EURNZD pair is once again testing the key resistance zone around 1.8430 after showing a clear rejection in previous sessions. The price has reacted from the support zone at 1.8235, which continues to act as a strong defense level for buyers. However, the strong rejection from the weekly resistance area suggests a possible new phase of weakness.
Technical analysis indicates interaction with key moving averages, with the price rebounding from the mid-term moving average but struggling to break through the upper liquidity zone. If the market stays below 1.8435, it could trigger a decline towards 1.8235, and if broken, a further extension towards 1.8100. Conversely, a decisive close above 1.8435 could open the way for a breakout attempt towards 1.8500. The macroeconomic context remains a key factor to monitor, with the strength of the euro and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s policy likely to influence the future direction of the pair.
Brent Declines Amid Rising Inventories and Peace HopesOn February 13, 2025, Brent crude fell by 0.9% to $74.50 per barrel, driven by expectations of a potential peace deal between Ukraine and Russia, which could ease supply disruptions caused by sanctions. Additionally, U.S. crude inventories increased for the third consecutive week by 4.1 million barrels, surpassing analysts' forecasts. These factors, combined with new U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, have reinforced the bearish sentiment in the oil market.
GBP/JPY: Persistent Bearish Pressure Amid Recovery AttemptsThe GBP/JPY pair has shown recent volatility, attempting a rebound to 188.00 on February 10, breaking a three-day losing streak after hitting the weekly low at 187.00. The Bank of England’s dovish monetary policy, including the recent rate cut, has worsened the bearish sentiment on the pound, while downward revisions in the UK's growth forecasts have further weakened the GBP. Despite recovery attempts above 190.00, economic uncertainty and the central bank's negative outlook keep the risk of further declines high. The price is near a daily FVG, with potential liquidity grabs within and around the 0.62% Fibonacci level before resuming its downward movement.
XAG/USD: Silver Uptrend with Short-Term ConsolidationAs of February 11, 2025, the XAG/USD (Silver Spot/US Dollar) exchange rate exhibits a positive medium-term trend despite a recent short-term slowdown. Currently, the price is around $32.83 per ounce at the time of writing. The first resistance level is identified at $32.24, followed by a second resistance at $32.96. The first support level is at $31.52, with an additional support at $31.21. In the short term, a weakening of the bullish trendline is observed, with the price testing the high at $32.24. Technically, a potential decline towards the $31.21 support level remains possible. Recent political decisions, such as the announcement of a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports to the United States, have impacted financial markets, leading to an appreciation of the US dollar and a decline in stocks. These developments could affect the precious metals market, including silver. Despite the positive medium-term trend, silver is currently undergoing a consolidation phase in the short term.
USD/JPY Approaches 152.00 Amid Yen Weakness and Trade War FearsThe USD/JPY exchange rate is recovering from recent lows, reaching 151.90 on February 10, 2025, compared to the previous close of 151.30. After a significant drop in early February, the trend shows a gradual rebound, supported by the Japanese Yen’s weakness due to disappointing macroeconomic data, particularly the sharp decline in Japan’s current account balance to 1,077.3 billion Yen from November’s 3,352.5 billion Yen. The strength of the US Dollar is also fueled by concerns over new 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum announced by President Trump, driving investors toward safe-haven assets like the Greenback.
From a technical perspective, USD/JPY is nearing the psychological level of 152.00, with key resistance between 152.40 and 152.90. A breakout above this range could signal further gains, while a rejection may trigger a corrective phase. Volatility is heightened by uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s monetary policy, as it may maintain a cautious stance on rates to counter inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, speculation about a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could reduce the interest rate differential between the US and Japan.
The Dollar Index (DXY) stands at 108.20, slightly up by 0.1% but down from the intraday high of 108.50, indicating a cautious market sentiment ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. Traders will closely watch his statements for any hints of a policy shift.
EUR/AUD: Weekly Engulfing Bar Pullback!The recent performance of the EUR/AUD exchange rate shows a fluctuating trend, with a slight recovery, closing at approximately 1.6450 in the first week of February. In the preceding days, the rate experienced several declines, with a significant drop. These fluctuations reflect the economic dynamics of both the Eurozone and Australia. In the Eurozone, inflation unexpectedly rose to 2.5% in January, exceeding the European Central Bank’s 2% target for the third consecutive month. Despite this, the ECB plans to continue cutting interest rates, expecting inflation to reach its 2% target over the year. Meanwhile, the Eurozone economy showed no growth in the last quarter of 2024, with contractions in Germany and France and stagnation in Italy. In Australia, the leading economic indicators index increased by 0.2% in October 2024, suggesting a slight economic recovery. However, Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers confirmed a worsening fiscal deficit, projected to rise by AUD 21.8 billion over the next four years, mainly due to unavoidable expenditures. These economic developments impact the EUR/AUD exchange rate, with the Euro benefiting from a more accommodative monetary policy while Australia faces fiscal challenges. Despite the recent upward movement, the negative trends from previous sessions and technical analysis suggest caution is warranted when assessing the short-term trajectory of the EUR/AUD exchange rate.
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish Drop from 61.8% Fibo?Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 2914.99, aligning with a pullback resistance level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 2885.34, a pullback support level.
The stop loss is set at 2942.44, a swing high resistance.
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Gold price analysis February 17⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices continued to rise after eight consecutive weeks, supported by the weakening of the US dollar and US Treasury yields. The market expects the Russia-Ukraine conflict to end soon as Donald Trump is expected to meet Vladimir Putin in Saudi Arabia.
Decreasing geopolitical risks and expectations of two Fed rate cuts in 2025 due to weak retail sales have negatively impacted the US dollar, helping gold prices rise. However, profit-taking pressure has limited the increase of gold.
In addition, the US-EU trade tensions over tariff policies also boosted demand for gold. This week, gold prices may fluctuate strongly due to the US holiday and comments from Fed officials ahead of the Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is facing a resistance zone and the resistance zone accepted by sellers is around 2905-2907. At the end of the Asian session or the beginning of the European session, if we cannot break this zone, we can implement SELL GOLD strategies to 2890. When GOLD breaks 2906, pay attention to around 2915 and 2929 for SELL strategies. 2887 is considered the most important support of today and can set up buy signals in that zone.
Trade Idea : XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)Market Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• XAUUSD is in a strong uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD is significantly bullish, confirming strong momentum.
• RSI is at 65.74, approaching overbought levels but not signaling a reversal yet.
• Price is currently near 2892, a key psychological level.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Shows recent consolidation after a significant pullback.
• The price is stabilizing above 2890, forming potential support.
• MACD is neutral to slightly bearish, indicating short-term weakness but not a full reversal.
• RSI is 32.24, suggesting oversold conditions and a possible bounce.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• A minor downtrend is visible, with price testing intraday support at 2890.
• RSI at 27.32 indicates oversold conditions.
• MACD is slightly bearish but showing signs of potential reversal.
Trade Setup:
• Bias: Long (Buy)
• Entry: 2892.50 (near current price after confirmation of support holding)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2885.00 (below recent intraday lows)
• Take-Profit (TP): 2908.50 (targeting the next resistance level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
GOLD Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
GOLD broke the rising
Support line and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Why You Should Avoid Trading XAUUSD on a USD Bank HolidayTrading XAUUSD (gold vs. the U.S. dollar) during a USD bank holiday is generally a bad idea due to reduced liquidity and unpredictable price movements. With U.S. banks and financial institutions closed, major market participants are absent, leading to lower trading volumes. This lack of liquidity can cause erratic price action, wider spreads, and unexpected volatility spikes, making it harder to execute trades at desired levels. Additionally, with fewer institutional traders influencing the market, technical patterns and key support/resistance levels may not hold as expected. Instead of taking unnecessary risks in an illiquid market, it’s often better to wait for normal trading conditions when price action is more reliable and spreads are tighter.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to start with an incline into the lower support regions in order to give us another long opportunity into the target level 2902 initially, which was our Excalibur target. Gold however had another plan and started the move from the open, this allowed us to trade on the red boxes and trade the move upside surpassing the target level into the highs that we witnessed last week.
During the week, we update our traders with the path upside and suggested looking for the short trade from the Red box active level, which worked perfectly giving the move downside that we saw on Friday.
It was a fantastic week in Camelot, not only completing 8 Gold targets on Excalibur, but also all the bias level and red box targets. Not to mention the targets completed on all the other pairs we share and analyse. Well done to the traders who followed!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This week we’re looking for price to potentially give us further opportunities to short, however, we have a key level above of 2910! Support on the intra-day stands at 2870-65, which if targeted early session could give buyers the confidence they need to take that long into the 2890-5 region and above that 2904. There is an extension of the move into the 2910 region, but anywhere between the 2904-10 region are the levels we want to monitor for RIPs, and if they present themselves, the opportunity to take that swing short may be there again.
The key order region (liquidity pool) is sitting below at 2850-55 which is a decent level for price to attempt, but this region needs to be broken to go lower! If broken, we won’t be looking to go long again until we’re closer to lower 2800’s, so please trade with caution this week.
We do have higher targets on Gold, but, there needs to be a correction and if this is it, we’ll make sure to take advantage of it just like we have done for years, up, down, where ever it goes, we’ll trade it with our trusted pal Excalibur, the EA and our Red box indicators.
Not much more to say, low volume news this week, Monday could be a ranging day so expect choppy and whipsawing price action.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2865 with targets above 2885, 2895, 2902 and above that 2910
Bearish on break of 2865 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2843, 2835 and below that 2828
RED BOXES:
Break above 2885 for 2888, 2902, 2910 and 2913 in extension of the move
Break below 2875 for 2870, 2865, 2857, 2855 and 2850 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
The latest trend and trading analysis of gold and crude oilOANDA:XAUUSD Analysis of gold news: Spot gold rebounded slightly in the late trading period of the U.S. market on Monday, but the strength was limited. The daily decline on Friday reached 1.5%, falling from the historical high. However, it should be noted that the price volatility increased significantly after the long squeeze, and the high-level operation caused the long profit-taking, which led to the adjustment of the gold price. The gold price is approaching $2,905/ounce, a surge of more than $22 a day. At present, the Trump administration plans to formally impose tariffs on auto imports on April 2, which may have a wide impact on the global supply chain. Although some investors believe that Trump's tariff policy is mainly a negotiation strategy, the market remains cautious about possible uncertainties in the future. In addition to safe-haven demand, the continued purchase of gold by central banks is also a key factor in maintaining high gold prices. According to market surveys, major central banks around the world, especially those in major Asian countries, continue to increase their gold reserves to hedge against global economic uncertainties. Monday is the U.S. President's Day holiday. The U.S. stock market is closed and the precious metals market is closed in advance. Market trading may be limited. Pay attention to the speech of Federal Reserve Board Director Bowman and Trump's dynamic news, and pay attention to news related to the situation in Russia and Ukraine. There are relatively few economic data this week, mainly due to the US real estate market data and the initial value of the US SPGI manufacturing PMI in February. Pay attention to the interest rate decisions of the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. TVC:GOLD TVC:USOIL
Technical analysis of gold: The daily line of gold shows a trend of falling with a high-level big negative, and the Bollinger Bands also show signs of closing. However, from the current technical perspective, it is not enough to determine the formation of the top. The main basis is that the unilateral moving average has not broken, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average have not turned downward, which means that gold still has the possibility of rising. If the daily line continues to close with a big positive this week, the double top position of 2942 above may also be broken. It can be seen that the current technical aspect shows an overall bullish trend. If the unilateral moving average does not break, the downward trend will be difficult to continue; and if the key resistance level of 2942 is not broken, it will be difficult for gold to usher in a new round of substantial gains. Based on this, it is expected that gold will maintain a long-term volatile trend at a high level. Focus on the two key resistance levels of 2930 and 2942 on the top, and pay attention to the support of 2875 and 2830 on the bottom. The limit support is expected to be 2800.
In terms of small cycles, special attention should be paid to the volatile market of the H4 cycle. Above 2878, the H4 cycle closed above the lower Bollinger track with a small cross star, and the 60-day moving average did not break, so it is normal to rebound under the bullish trend. Then the big sun closed up, and the Bollinger band closed, which also laid a bullish tone for the market at the beginning of the week. In this case, it is necessary to wait for the end of the rising market of the H4 cycle, and then judge whether there is room for adjustment. Pay attention to the resistance levels of 2915 and 2930 on the top. On the whole, it is recommended to focus on callbacks and high-altitude rebounds in today's short-term operation of gold. Focus on the resistance of 2905-2915 in the short term, and focus on the support of 2885-2880 in the short term.
Analysis of the latest trend of crude oil market:
Analysis of crude oil news: On Monday (February 17, Beijing time), US crude oil traded around $70.95 per barrel. International oil prices rose slightly in the Asian session, benefiting from the recovery of fuel demand and the news that the United States postponed the implementation of global reciprocal tariffs, which eased the market's risk aversion. The Iraqi Kurdish Autonomous Region may resume exports, and the outlook for Russian oil supply is uncertain. Recently, the chairman of the Iraqi Kurdish Autonomous Region said that oil exports from the region may resume next month. This means that after nearly two years of interruption, oil supplies from northern Iraq will return to the international market, bringing additional supply pressure to the crude oil market. At the same time, US President Trump plans to meet with Russian President Putin to seek to promote peace talks in Ukraine. Although traditional European allies have been marginalized in the process, Trump said that Ukrainian President Zelensky will participate in the discussion of the peace agreement. This development may affect Russia's sanctions policy on oil exports and lead to changes in the global supply pattern in the future.
Technical analysis of crude oil: From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil tested the upper edge of the wide channel and then fell, which just matched the fundamentals. The K-line closed with negative entities continuously, and the moving average system showed signs of turning downward. The performance of short-term momentum was dominant, and the medium-term trend returned to the range. The overall trend was mainly downward within the range. The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) rose first and then fell, and oil prices continued to fall and hit a new low. The moving average system was arranged in a short position, and the short-term objective trend direction was downward. In the main downward trend rhythm of crude oil in the early Asian session, short-term momentum was dominant. Patiently wait for the formation of the secondary rhythm. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain low consolidation during the day and gradually test 70. On the whole, the operation strategy of crude oil today is recommended to rebound high and supplemented by retracement. The short-term focus on the resistance line of 72.0-72.5 on the upper side and the short-term focus on the support line of 70.0-69.5 on the lower side.
Summary: The characteristic of novices is that they do not understand technology and enter the market blindly. They only consider the first question every time they trade: they think that as long as they predict the rise and fall of the market, they can do this transaction. This approach of focusing on direction and ignoring position makes traders fail miserably. In fact, there is a big difference between the "trend" and the "direction" of following the trend, because the direction of the market movement presents a fluctuating form, and the market trend is often global. What I can do here is to help you control your positions reasonably, use the support and resistance levels to place orders, and make each order reasonable and traceable. Buying and selling points should not be entered at will, please be responsible for your own funds. If you really can't grasp the market, you can leave a message, and always remember one sentence, professionals do professional things.
Mr. Baker
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea already off to a flying start.
We started with our Bullish target at 2905 hit and now seeing price resist here and ranging due to low volume currently due to US holiday.
We are now looking for ema5 to lock above 2905 for a continuation to the range above or failure to lock above will see price reject into the lower Goldturns for support ad bounce. Ema5 lock will confirm level to level direction and range to range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2905 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2934
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2987
BEARISH TARGETS
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2841
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2781
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2764 - 2740
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MELTDOWN INCOMING? THE ONLY BREAKDOWN YOU NEED!Welcome back, traders! Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down the latest price action on gold (XAUUSD) . Let’s dive straight into the technicals and see what the market is telling us.
Market Overview
Gold has been on a strong bullish run since December 30th, surging from the 2620 area all the way to 2942, marking an aggressive impulse move. However, last week, we saw signs of exhaustion, particularly with a rejection wick forming on February 10th, signaling potential downside pressure.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, price action printed a double top around 2929, followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle that closed on Friday. This indicates a potential momentum shift from buyers to sellers. We also placed a key level at 2881, marking the recent wick low. This level is crucial because if price breaks below it, it would confirm sellers stepping in with conviction.
H4 Timeframe Analysis
Scaling down to the 4-hour (H4) chart, we can see a clearer structure:
• Price spiked high, retraced, and formed a higher low before another push up.
• The latest move shows a break and retest pattern, where price broke structure and is now testing previous support as resistance.
• While the H4 candle looks promising, we are waiting for a solid close to confirm the momentum shift before executing a trade.
H1 Timeframe Execution Plan
On the 1-hour (H1) chart, here’s our trade setup:
1. Waiting for a pullback after the breakdown.
2. Looking for price to form a lower high at 2896.
3. Entry confirmation comes with strong bearish volume and a small retest.
4. Short position at 2896, with a stop loss just above the 2906.55 wick high.
5. First target: Recent lows near 2881 for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
6. If price breaks below the daily low, we could see further downside continuation.
Final Thoughts
This setup is in play, and we are watching how price reacts at key levels. If the market confirms our bias, this could be a solid high-probability short trade.
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Let’s catch these pips! See you in the next breakdown. Boom! 🚀💰
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