GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H UPDATE)Price is still floating around our 'shorting zone' & I'm still holding onto my sell position. This is a mid term position so I will be holding on for the near term, despite any market volatility. I am hedged against my buy's from $1600's so me & my Gold Fund investors have nothing to lose🙏🏻
We are in a clear Wave V & Wave 5 completion according to the EW Theory strategy. Now time to be patient & let sellers take over!
Xauusd(w)
Reinitiating Gold Bearish StrategyToday, I will once again reveal my bearish strategy, entering short positions decisively at 2755. The emergence of a large bearish candlestick has successfully breached the 2750 support level, with prices even dipping to around 2700, allowing for anticipated profits from short positions. Opportunities favor the prepared; if you're still on the sidelines, you may be missing out.
Technical Analysis:
The hourly chart for gold has developed a distinct bearish pattern, with the large bearish candlestick exhibiting a free-fall movement, piercing through all support levels. The current K-line rebound continues to signal a bearish trend, expected to breach key support lines once again. Additionally, the moving averages have shown a clear downward reversal, indicating that the market's strength has shifted decisively downward. In the short term, we will continue to monitor the topping pattern, with 2725 remaining an optimal point for short entries.
XAU/USD: Ready for a Pullback!The price of gold (XAU/USD) has recently retreated from an all-time high of around $2,560 and is currently trading slightly below $2,720, complicated by the strength of the US dollar and rising US Treasury yields. Technically, the $2,750 level has shown signs of rejection, making it a key resistance, while immediate support is located at $2,725, near the lower boundary of a two-week ascending channel. A convincing break below this support could trigger technical selling, pushing the price down toward $2,700 and subsequently to $2,680-2,675, where the 100-period simple moving average resides. Despite overbought conditions and pressure from the dollar, political uncertainty and the risk of escalating tensions in the Middle East continue to support demand for gold as a safe haven. That said, gold seems poised for a correction toward $2,675, and we will see in the coming days if it gives us a signal for a short entry. Good evening and happy trading to everyone.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A great day on the charts today with our 1H chart roue map playing out perfectly all week.
We started the week with both our weighted Bullish target 2730 and bearish target 2717 hit. No cross and lock below 2717 confirmed the support for the bounce and a cross and lock above 2730 confirmed the range above, opening 2739 and 2747.
Both 2739 and 2747 targets were completed followed with a further cross and lock above 2747 opening 2755 and 2761. 2755 was also hit today and 2761 just fell short, which is usually the case when momentum is exhausted but we are more than happy with this run that we were able to track and trade level to level all the way to the top and with a safe early exit before the rejection.
We are now seeing the rejection back into the weighted Goldturn level 2717, which will either provide support for another bounce up or a cross and lock below to confirm the lower range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2730 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2730 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2739 - DONE
2747 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2717 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
BEARISH TARGET
2706
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2706 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2692 - 2682
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2673 - 2661
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD eased slightly from new era highsContinuing to be influenced by the approaching US presidential election and the increasingly new conflict in the Middle East, along with other conflict risks in the Asian region have boosted OANDA:XAUUSD continues to be the top haven asset refreshing to new all-time levels.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leading former Republican President Donald Trump by a slim margin, 46% to 43%.
Strong buying activity by central banks and expectations of US interest rate cuts have also supported gold's 33% increase this year. Fed officials continue to weigh in on the future, with Jeffrey Schmid favoring a slower pace of rate cuts and Mary Daly predicting deeper cuts.
Citigroup raised its three-month price forecast by 3.7% to $2,800 an ounce on expectations that continued labor market weakness will boost demand.
Israel and its rivals Hamas and Hezbollah have vowed to continue fighting in Gaza and Lebanon, leaving little hope for a solution to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Rising geopolitical tensions often cause investors to flock to safe-haven assets such as gold as a "bunker" against risk and uncertainty in global markets.
In the context of geopolitical and economic instability, gold is considered a safe haven tool to hedge risks, and lower interest rates also increase gold's investment appeal. Gold is up more than 33% this year and has renewed all-time record highs multiple times.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has not yet broken the price channel with the upper edge confluent with the price channel and this is considered the most important resistance currently.
Gold is down a bit from the aforementioned confluence but overall in the interim it can only be seen as a weak correction signal, with the Relative Strength Index pointing down without breaking the 75 level, if the RSI turns down Below level 75 it will send a clearer signal for a correction towards the 50 area.
Temporarily, gold's decline should only be considered a short-term correction, technical conditions still support the possibility of price increases. However, in case gold falls below the 1% Fibnonacci level it would be a good signal for a possible further correction with a target then around $2,721 and more to the $2,711 Fibonacci level. 0.786% expansion.
During the day, the bullish prospect of gold prices with technical correction cases will be noticed again by the following price points.
Support: 2,721 – 2,711
Resistance: 2,748 – 2,750
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2767 - 2765⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2771
→Take Profit 1 2760
↨
→Take Profit 2 2755
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2709 - 2711⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2705
→Take Profit 1 2716
↨
→Take Profit 2 2721
Gold Analysis==>>Correction Time!!!Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , as I expected in the previous post . ( The Long position is closed. )
Gold is moving near the Upper lines of Ascending Channels .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold is completing microwave 5 of microwave 5 of main wave 5 . So we have to wait for the CORRECTION .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to decline to at least the lower line of the ascending channel(Big) and the Support zone($2,686-$2,666) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(Small) .
⚠️Note: If Gold can form a 4-hour candle above $2,800, we should expect gold to increase and pump again.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Roadmap==>>When will Gold Correction Start Begin!?Today, I want to show you the Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) roadmap before the US presidential election .
Gold has started an upward rally for over 2 months and is moving in an Ascending Channel .
Educational tip : Try to draw the channels you draw in the chart with a tolerance.
The question that arises for us is how long this bullish Gold rally can continue and when the correction of Gold will begin.
In addition to the fundamental discussion , we can use technical analysis tools to answer the above questions . One of the best methods is the Elliott Wave Theory .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 in the Ascending Channel(small) .
I expect the main wave of 5 Gold to finish in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) , and then we have to wait for the starting correction .
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Let's see what the history of gold has been like in the last month before the US presidential election .
Throughout history, gold prices have often fluctuated in the months leading up to U.S. presidential elections. These changes have been influenced by various factors specific to each period. Here's a brief summary of gold's performance before some key U.S. elections :
1- 2016 Election (Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton) : Prior to the 2016 election, gold experienced significant volatility. Uncertainty about the outcome, especially with Trump's unpredictable economic policies, increased demand for gold as a safe haven. Gold prices rose in the months leading up to the election, reaching new highs after Trump's victory.
2- 2012 Election (Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney) : Leading up to the 2012 election, gold showed less volatility compared to other years. The Federal Reserve’s expansionary monetary policies and low interest rates kept gold attractive as a safe investment. Gold prices remained relatively stable before the election but surged after due to concerns over the "fiscal cliff."
3- 2008 Election (Barack Obama vs. John McCain) : The 2008 global financial crisis had a massive impact on gold prices. In the months leading up to the election, gold saw increased demand as a safe haven. Economic uncertainty and large bailout packages led to a significant rise in gold prices during this period.
4- 2000 Election (George W. Bush vs. Al Gore) : The 2000 election was marked by the "hanging chad" controversy, causing significant political uncertainty. This drove demand for gold. In the months before the election, gold prices rose, and after the election, due to ongoing political unrest and doubt over the result, gold saw further increases.
5- 1980 Election (Ronald Reagan vs. Jimmy Carter) : During this period, severe inflation and political uncertainty, both domestic and international, increased the demand for gold. In the months leading up to the 1980 election, gold prices were on an upward trend and reached new highs.
Conclusion : History shows that gold often rises in the lead-up to U.S. elections due to political and economic uncertainty. Elections coinciding with financial crises or heightened uncertainty (such as in 2008 and 2016) have had a greater impact on gold price surges.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Now, let's see how gold has performed in November .
Here’s a summary of the percentage changes in gold prices during November over the last 10 years :
1- November 2023 : Data not yet available, but gold has been volatile due to economic and inflation concerns.
2- November 2022 : Approximately +8% increase due to lowered interest rate expectations and recession concerns.
3- November 2021 : Approximately -1% decrease due to rising interest rates and stronger financial markets.
4- November 2020 : Approximately -5% decrease post-U.S. election, but demand remained high due to COVID-19 and stimulus packages.
5- November 2019 : Approximately +3% increase due to the U.S.-China trade war.
6- November 2018 : Approximately +1% increase after a few months of decline.
7- November 2017 : Approximately -2% decrease due to stock market growth and higher interest rates.
8- November 2016 : Approximately -7% decrease following Trump’s victory and market optimism.
9- November 2015 : Approximately -6% decrease due to anticipation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates.
10- November 2014 : Approximately -5% decrease due to a stronger U.S. dollar and improving U.S. economy.
11- November 2013 : Approximately -4% decrease due to global economic recovery and the Fed's exit from its quantitative easing policies.
Gold in November tends to be influenced by changes in monetary policy and economic conditions. Years with inflation or uncertainty saw increases, while years with economic recovery and rising interest rates experienced declines. But in general, there has been a downward trend, especially in the years when the US presidential elections were held.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD: The rise is not over yet, 2740 is not the topYesterday, our strategy of waiting for the 2720-2725 area to stabilize before buying was still correct. Although the gold price hit a low of 2714, it continued to rebound and reached a high of 2738. We bought near 2720 yesterday and have taken profits today.
From the 1H chart, we can see that the decline in gold prices yesterday touched the rising trend line of 2715. As time goes by, the price of the trend line will gradually rise. The 2720-2725 area is where the next trend line is located. Therefore, my thinking today will continue to follow yesterday's trading method. If the gold price falls back to the 2720-2725 area again, I will buy long orders again, with the target at 2750.
GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 2735.3 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2746.5
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
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Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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XAUUSD: 23/10 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2750, support below 2713
Four-hour resistance 2750, support below 2729
Gold operation suggestions: Gold stabilized at the 2720 mark in the Asian session yesterday and then ushered in a strong unilateral upward trend of bulls. The European and American sessions successively pulled up and broke through and stood on the 2730 mark to continue the strong rise of bulls. The US session accelerated the high and broke through the 2740 mark and reached a strong close near 2748.
Gold continued to close higher on the daily line, setting a new high and closing at a high level. The slow rising rhythm, the method of consolidating and setting new highs, the daily line is still strong. It is still in the unilateral bull market. Even if there is a retracement, it is a consolidation-style retracement correction. As long as there is no continuous negative after a high rise, the short-term daily line will still be strong. The overall gold price has retreated twice at the 2720 mark to confirm the formation of stage support. The short-term and medium-term moving averages are still arranged in a bullish pattern and diverge upward. Today, the short-term support below is around 2730. The intraday retreat relies on this position to continue to be bullish. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 2720 mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and still maintains the rhythm of going long at a low price.
BUY:2730near SL:2727
BUY:2713near SL:2710
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Wednesday Market Analysis and SignalsGold still maintains a trend bullish structure, and hit a new record high of 2748 in the late trading. Now the trend is very clear, the direction is very certain, and trade with the trend. A new high every day, a 45° rise, will not touch the 4-hour moving average at all, this is the strong bull feature. In the Asian session, first look at the pullback strength of the range shock. Trade the pullback and wait for the trend to go long at a low price!
Gold continues to hit new highs, and the bullish trend continues to be strong. There is no highest, only higher, and continue to carry out the gold bulls to the end. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross the bulls and diverge upward. There is still room for gold bulls. Gold is now rising steadily, and there is basically no big pullback, which means that gold continues to be strong. The gold moving average support has moved up to around 2730. Continue to go long when it falls back to the 2730 support in the Asian session.
Trading strategy:
You can go long near 2730~2735. Pay attention to whether the rise of 2760 is blocked, and be cautious about shorting
For more signals, see the update below ↓
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As per our last mind, we were waiting for signs of exhaustion on XAUUSD . We have also broken the structure and our KL (Key Level) 2737 .
In detail,
As price on XAUUSD has broken our KL (Key Level) that’s sitting at 2737 , it has also broken the upside structure . We are entering at the break of our KL at 2737.811 with SL sitting at 2749.285 as it would invalidate the trade idea and continue the bullish movement creating new highs. Our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at the previous ATH (All Time High) 2685 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2737.811
- SL: 2749.285
- TP: 2685.800
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD price is showing exhaustion.
- XAUUSD broke our KL (Key Level).
- The bullish structure has been broken.
- Breaking above our SL would result in more upside.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
GOLD to find buyers at current overbought extremes?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 2753.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
20 1hour EMA is at 2743.
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
We look to Buy at 2744.5 (stop at 2726.5)
Our profit targets will be 2789.5 and 2799.5
Resistance: 2753.4 / 2770.0 / 2785.0
Support: 2745.0 / 2725.0 / 2700.0
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Precision Strike: Gold Bearish Trend on the Verge of UnfoldingNo need for excessive explanation—the current gold market trend is clear, and a pullback is imminent. I am confident that now is the ideal moment to go short, focusing on swift, accurate, and decisive moves. With bearish positions already in hand, we are well-prepared for a significant price drop.
Technical Analysis:
The hourly chart for gold has displayed a strong bearish movement. The large bearish candlestick has decisively engulfed the previous bullish candlestick, forming a classic "bearish engulfing" pattern. From a technical perspective, the price will inevitably revert to the moving average. After an extended rally, gold is showing signs of exhaustion, and this single bearish candlestick has shattered the current strength, signaling a major reversal.
With the bearish momentum building, a short position around the 2755 level after a rebound is highly recommended.
Fundamental Analysis:
Additionally, there will be several bearish factors in the news today supporting further downside movement for gold. Therefore, for short-term traders, maintaining a bearish bias is advised to capitalize on the market’s downward momentum.
Selling gold price is the best timeOvernight, gold prices reached a new high, resulting in substantial profits for long-position traders. Market participants who responded to the news and utilized effective strategies achieved significant gains.
Market Trend Analysis: Currently, gold prices have entered an overbought zone, facing considerable short-term pullback pressure. Additionally, geopolitical tensions have eased, providing more volatility opportunities for the market.
In this environment, short-selling is undoubtedly the more prudent choice. Over the past month, we have consistently delivered precise rapid trading strategies, with participants achieving at least four notable profit opportunities each day.
Current Market Conditions: The spot price of gold is $2757. The strategies are as follows:
Short-sell when the market reaches $2765-$2770;
Go long when the market falls to $2749-$2744.
Trading strategies and signals are time-sensitive, so please stay tuned for the latest updates to capitalize on optimal trading opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
XAUUSD - Geopolitical tensionsDue to the recent geopolitical tensions, gold is still moving in its upward channel and has significant upward momentum
If gold rises and reaches the ceiling of the ascending channel and decreases the momentum of the current movement, it is easier to sell gold with a suitable risk reward from the range of 2770 to 2790.
In order to buy gold, you can buy in two specified demand zones
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Gold Approaches Key Resistance at 2,731: Bullish or Pullback?GOLD
The price is approaching a key resistance area at 2,731. If the price breaks and closes above this resistance, the next target is 2,753, indicating a bullish continuation. However, failure to break through may lead to a pullback towards the support correction zone around 2,710–2,697. Further decline could extend to the support zone near 2,685.
The current trend is bullish, but a rejection at the 2,731 level could trigger a correction before any further upward movement.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2731
Resistance Levels: 2753, 2765, 2775
Support Levels: 2720, 2710, 2697
Trend Outlook:
Bearish: By stability Below 2731
Bullish: Above 2732
Previous idea:
GOLD → Who pressed the accelerator? Is the RALLY still going on?FX:XAUUSD continues its bull run. Prices are rising and so are the risks (before the news). What influences the growth and what to expect from the metal that surprises speculators?
Gold continues to rise despite a rising dollar, which is rising mainly on economic data and the growing likelihood of Trump winning the US presidential election.
Escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, renewed talks on de-dollarization ( There has been speculation about the creation of a gold-backed currency in the wake of the three-day BRICS summit) are supporting the metal.
Gold is technically at highs, which increases the risks of an unpredictable correction due to the approaching news from the US. Also the focus on China markets and the BRICS summit...
Resistance levels: 2758
Support levels: 2749, 2737, 2728
The upside may continue from the local support areas as we are trading in a strong bull market. The focus is on 2749-2737-2728-2713. The market may form another flat or consolidation before the growth...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BoC Rates Decision Pending22nd October
DXY: Currently at 104.30, expecting further upside, needs to break 104.45 to trade up to 104.80.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6015 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6635 SL 20 TP 65
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2950 SL 40 TP 130 (Hesitation at 1.2880)
EURUSD: Sell 1.0760 SL 30 TP 80
USDJPY: Buy 152.70 SL 30 TP 130 (hesitation at 61.8% 153.30)
USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 15 TP 40
USDCAD: Buy 1.3860 SL 20 TP 60 or (counter trend) Sell 1.3920 or 1.3820 (need to hear hawkish BoC)
Gold: Buy on retracement, or scalp up to 2760 and 2768