Gold (XAUUSD) – Lower TF Wave (B) Top in Place? Higher TF Conflu⚠️ Price has now completed what appears to be a clean 5-wave advance into the key supply zone — potentially completing wave ((C)) of (B) on the lower timeframe.
• Wave ((ii)) = expanding flat
• Wave ((iv)) = expanding triangle
• Final ((v)) push into supply with RSI/MACD divergence
A breakdown below 3435 could confirm the reversal into wave (C). Downside fib targets align around 3400, 3350, and 3280.
A marginal high can’t be ruled out, but structure is now favouring bears short term.
Xauusd(w)
GOLD OPENS BULLISHJust as analysed, there was a strong bullish setup at the close of last week so this move was just taking out top liquidity, continuing its course of bullish rally. We can also spot a bullish trend build up from the 3400's which projected to the 3450's before making its retracement last week.
we expect Gold to go for more higher liquidity as we are close to the ATH, in other words; ROAD TO 3500'S as a visible path has been analysed
Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline.XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 1H chart analysis:
📊 XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart shows a clear ascending channel pattern, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Price action is currently respecting the channel boundaries well.
🔹 Key Highlights:
Support Zone: The green horizontal zone around 3,310 – 3,330 represents a strong demand area where price previously reversed.
Resistance Zone: The upper green box near 3,460 – 3,470 marks a significant supply area where potential selling pressure could emerge.
Current Position: Price is trading near the mid-to-upper range of the ascending channel, showing bullish momentum.
🔀 Projection:
Two potential scenarios are outlined:
Bullish Continuation: Price may continue to respect the channel and push towards the resistance zone before reacting.
Bearish Reversal: If price fails to break higher and shows weakness, a breakdown below the channel could lead to a sharp move toward the lower demand zone (3,310 area).
📌 Outlook: Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline. A break above may lead to further gains, while rejection or bearish candlestick patterns could confirm a potential reversal setup.
Gold Eyes ATH Amid Escalating Geopolitical TensionsGOLD – OVERVIEW
Commodities, particularly gold, are experiencing strong bullish pressure due to escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of negotiation or de-escalation, the ongoing conflict continues to fuel safe-haven demand. As long as geopolitical risks remain elevated, bullish momentum in commodities is expected to persist.
Technical Outlook:
Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3404. Holding above this level supports a continuation toward the ATH at 3486, with potential extensions to 3529 and 3560. A retest of the 3404 support remains possible, and an opening gap toward 3486 cannot be ruled out. Overall, the prevailing trend remains upward.
A bearish scenario would only be valid if tensions in the Middle East ease significantly or if negotiations between Israel and Iran begin.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3431
• Resistance: 3486, 3529, 3560
• Support: 3404, 3381, 3347
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders,
Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇.
Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning.
Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309.
Key Drivers for the Week Ahead:
📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday)
US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London
High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive".
The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard
Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST / 04:12 EDT).
These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model.
The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy.
Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥
📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%.
📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows.
Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%.
📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄.
Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements.
Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch:
Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move.
Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously.
Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment.
Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃
Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍
India / Pakistan
The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability.
Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️
Gaza Conflict
Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point.
Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌
Russia / Ukraine
In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled.
Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️
U.S.–China Trade War
Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation.
Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔
🌐 Global Trade War
The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED.
Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗
🏛 Trump vs. Powell
Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut.
Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯
💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025
Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11.
Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑
Technical View 📐
Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome.
Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image.
As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄
Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩
Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅
Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗
While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting.
Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂.
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSD ||| '' W '' PATTERN IDENTIFIED . ✅ Harmonic Formation (Bearish Potential)
⚠️ Selling Bias forming soon
---
🧩 Pattern Breakdown:
A Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely Butterfly or Deep Crab) has been identified and is now nearing completion at the D point.
Current price is approaching key resistance / reversal zone, precisely around the 0.786 - 0.886 fib area (highlighted red).
The Risk-to-Reward is clearly mapped:
🔺 Stop Loss: 1.19405
✅ Entry Zone: Around 1.17106
🎯 Target: 1.09588
Potential short setup if price respects the harmonic symmetry and fails to break above resistance.
Risk aversion escalates, prices continue to rise?Information summary:
On the last trading day of last week, gold rose again under the stimulation of risk aversion. The gold market is shrouded in risk aversion in the Middle East. In the short term, the trend of gold is still supported by risk aversion and may continue to rise. At present, the relationship between Israel and Iran has not been eased; there is the latest news: Iran may retaliate against the air strikes it suffered this time. This will provide momentum for the rise of gold.
Market analysis:
Gold 1 hour shows that the moving average forms a golden cross and diverges upward, and the bullish trend of gold is still there. After the rise of gold risk aversion, gold has adjusted sideways in the short term, but it is still oscillating strongly at a high level; it is still in the process of rising. The short-term fluctuation of gold is the adjustment in the process of rising, and it will continue to rise at any time. After the gold bulls broke through 3400, they have been stabilizing above this position, so the strategy for next week is still to buy on dips.
However, it should be noted that if the international situation suddenly changes, the price may not fall back, but directly rush to a new high.
In addition, if the international situation eases and falls below 3400, we must adjust the operation strategy in time to avoid losses.
Important positions:
Resistance levels: 3450, 3475, 3490
Support levels: 3410, 3400, 3380
Operation strategy:
Buy near 3410, stop loss at 3400, win range above 3450 points.
There are still 7 hours left before the Asian market opens. I hope my analysis can help all traders gain something in the gold market.
The Critical Resistance of Gold at 3500!
The probability of a higher opening for gold next week is relatively high, but I hold a high degree of skepticism towards its sustainability. After three days of fermentation, relevant parties have exhausted all available measures. If there is a higher opening on Monday, chasing the trend is not recommended. The pressure reference for the market in the early week is at the 3462/72 level. From the perspective of the upward channel trend that started from 3200, as long as it does not gap up directly above 3462/72, even if the price touches this area, it will face certain suppression. If it gaps up strongly above 3472 and has a wave of continuation, the previous high of 3500 will also be difficult to break through - at least from the current technical perspective, an optimistic expectation of breaking through 3500 cannot be formed. The most critical influence next week will still be the Fed's speech on Thursday, and the core time point for whether the market can truly break through 3500 will be at that time.
The key support level next week is viewed at 3400. The current price has broken through and stabilized above 3400, and it is expected to operate above this level for a period of time. When the market first pulls back to test around 3400, buying can be continued. Through cycle operation judgment, a high-level consolidation market in the 3500/3400 range is highly likely to form
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3410-3420
TP:3460-3470
"Due to the economic crisis, the gold market may open with a gap"Due to the economic crisis, the gold market may open with a gap tomorrow."
This upward trend is attributed to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical uncertainties. The conflict has also led to a spike in oil prices and a decline in global stock markets, further enhancing gold's appeal .
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain strong bullish momentum, with current price action sitting around 3,430. We have been holding a bullish outlook since the key accumulation zone between 3,150 and 3,200. Price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, and recent consolidation has broken out with conviction. Based on technical structure, my immediate upside target is 3,500, where I expect price to react before potentially extending even higher depending on upcoming macro drivers.
Fundamentally, gold is being fueled by a combination of sticky inflation data and a cautious Fed stance. Even though the FOMC held rates steady in June, market expectations are shifting towards policy easing later in the year due to softening labor data and a cooling economic outlook. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank gold buying remain strong tailwinds for the metal. The U.S. dollar index has shown minor weakness post-CPI, offering further support to gold bulls.
Technically, the daily chart shows a clean bullish flag breakout that aligns with the trendline support and impulsive wave structure. Price broke above 3,400 with strong volume and minimal resistance, indicating clear bullish dominance. As long as price holds above the 3,380–3,400 zone, continuation toward 3,500 remains highly probable. There is also confluence from previous structure highs and minor Fibonacci extension levels around that mark.
Overall, I remain confidently long on XAUUSD. I’ve been tracking this bullish cycle since the 3,150–3,200 region and continue to favor upside moves backed by macroeconomic and technical alignment. I’ll be watching key reaction zones near 3,500 for potential profit-taking, while holding swing positions with dynamic risk management in place.
Unlock Gold's Secrets: A Daily Tape Reading Analysis for XAUUSDHey everyone! Today,
we're diving deep into XAUUSD (Gold) using a daily candle tape reading approach that aims to uncover critical turning points and price levels. If you're looking for an edge in understanding Gold's movements, this analysis could be a game-changer.
On the accompanying chart, you'll see yellow horizontal lines that highlight key bullish and bearish price levels. These aren't just arbitrary lines; they represent significant battlegrounds where buyers and sellers have historically shown their hand.
In addition, the vertical lines on the chart pinpoint specific days where we've observed a change in trade direction or a potential reversal. It's important to note that these shifts can sometimes occur within one or two candles before or after the marked day, so keep an eye on the immediate vicinity.
We're interpreting these price levels with a 3% to 5% tolerance, allowing for the natural ebb and flow of the market around these crucial points.
Key Price Levels to Watch:
Bullish Price Levels:
3477.67: A critical zone where bullish momentum has historically taken hold.
3522.40: Another strong support level that could propel Gold higher.
3562.30: Watch this level for signs of continued upward pressure.
3631.31: A significant resistance-turned-support level that could signal a strong bullish continuation.
Bearish Price Levels:
3323.72: A key level where bearish pressure has often intensified.
3245.09: If this level breaks, it could indicate further downside for Gold.
3165.42: A crucial support level; a breach here could accelerate a downtrend.
3077.23: The ultimate test for the bears; a break below could signal a more substantial correction.
__________________________________________________________________________________
What are your thoughts on these levels? Have you noticed similar patterns in your own XAUUSD analysis? Share your insights in the comments below!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Towa🔥 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Towards New ATH 📈✨
📊 Chart Overview:
Gold has shown a strong bullish daily candle breakout above the key Resistance & Support Zone around $3,430, turning this critical level into a potential support. The upward move signals continuation of the trend, especially amid global tensions (as annotated: “War going on...”), which historically drive gold prices higher due to its safe-haven appeal. 🪙🛡️
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🟩 Resistance Turned Support – Price has decisively broken the previous resistance (green zone), suggesting bulls are in control. A successful retest of this area could provide a solid base for further upside.
🚀 Next Target: New All-Time High (ATH) – The chart projects a bullish move towards the $3,480+ level, forming a new ATH. Momentum and macroeconomic factors (e.g., geopolitical conflict) support this bias.
🟫 Support Level – The orange zone below (~$3,140–$3,160) remains a strong support area and demand zone, providing a cushion if price pulls back.
🕯️ Candlestick Structure – Recent candles show strong bullish momentum with minimal wicks on top, indicating buyers are closing near highs — a bullish signal.
📈 Projection Path – An ideal bullish path is visualized: a potential pullback/retest followed by a continuation rally.
🔔 Conclusion:
Gold looks poised to rally further, supported by technical breakout and macro catalysts. 📌 Watch for:
Confirmation of the retest holding.
Continuation volume.
Potential pullbacks as re-entry opportunities.
🛎️ Trading Idea: Buy on retest confirmation ✅
🎯 Target: $3,480+
🛡️ Stop-loss: Below $3,410 (to protect against false breakout)
📌 Stay alert for global headlines! 🌍📰 Gold remains a prime asset in uncertain times.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3340 and a gap below at 3418. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3463
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3463 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3483
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3483 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3508
BEARISH TARGETS
3418
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3418 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3393
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3372
3353
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3330
3306
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Chart Pattern: Ascending Channel / Rising WedgeChart Analysis Breakdown
:
Price Channel (Ascending):
A rising wedge or ascending channel is drawn, showing higher highs and higher lows.
The upper and lower white trendlines are converging slightly, suggesting a potential breakout or breakdown soon.
Key Support and Resistance Zones:
Orange Resistance Zone (Top Left): Marked as a supply zone where price previously reversed (around 3,420–3,430).
Orange Support Zone (Bottom Center): Around 3,320–3,330, possibly acting as demand or a retest area.
Price Levels (Right Scale):
Current price is around 3,386.36.
Several price markers are noted (green for potential bullish targets, red for bearish zones).
Projections/Scenarios (White Arrows):
Bullish Scenario: Price breaks above the upper channel line and targets levels like 3,423 or 3,440.
Bearish Scenario: Price fails at resistance, retraces back to the support zone, possibly to 3,360 or lower (near 3,320 zone).
EMA 50 (Blue Line):
An EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is lightly visible and used for trend confirmation. Price is currently above it, indicating bullish bias.
Other Chart Elements:
Time shown is UTC+3.
The local weather is 30°C and hazy.
Timestamp: June 13, 2025, at 1:35 AM.
📈 Interpretation:
The chart suggests a watch for breakout scenario in XAUUSD:
If price sustains above the rising channel, it could rally further.
If it breaks below, look for a retest of the 3,320–3,330 zone.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
This is an update from last weeks 4H chart route map, as levels are still valid and playing out as analysed. I have only updated the swing ranges accordingly.
3376 and 3438 was hit perfectly last week with ema5 cross and lock confirmation. We are now looking for ema5 cross and lock above 3438 for a continuation into 3498. Failure to lock above will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3376 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3438 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3498
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3498 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3551
BEARISH TARGETS
3302
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3302 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3235
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3235 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3171
3113
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3113 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3045
2987
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following up on our previous analysis, price action has continued to respect our Goldturn channel beautifully. After the strong move to 3272, we saw another push toward the channel top near 3433. This time, the ascending movement to the channel top was completed perfectly, hitting inline with our 3433 axis target.
The key takeaway here is that the channel levels are being respected with precision, validating the strength and reliability of our Goldturn channel framework. 3272 continues to provide solid support, and price remains well-contained within our defined range, reaffirming our strategy of buying dips near the lower end rather than chasing strength at the top.
We will now look for a break above the channel and then support to form above the channel top to confirm a continuation higher. However, failure to lock above the channel will likely result in a rejection back into the range, reinforcing the significance of these key levels.
We remain focused on trading within this structure, using our weighted Goldturns to guide entries on the lower timeframes (1H and 4H). As long as the range remains intact, we’ll continue to target quick 30–40 pip intraday moves while keeping an eye out for a breakout setup.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages rather than pure price action. This method helps us filter out noise and stay on the right side of the market, avoiding common traps.
Keep a close eye on how price behaves around 3272 and 3433. A clean break and sustained hold above the channel top could shift the game, but until that happens, we stick to the range plan.
Let’s stay patient and disciplined.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following up on last week’s chart update, we saw another perfect test of the channel top, right in line with our Goldturn Channel expectations. The new weekly candle completed the channel top challenge with precision.
Our weekly chart idea is now playing out perfectly. We continued to get strong support above 3281, followed by another hit onto the 3387 channel top. But this time, we got something new: a body close above 3387, which confirms the gap to 3482 as active. We’ll now look for that 3482 target to be hit, ascending inline with the channel top.
Any rejection around these upper levels will likely see price retrace to find support at lower Goldturn levels. These are opportunities we’ll be watching closely to buy back in.
Price action remains well-contained between 3281 and 3387, but with that recent close above 3387, we’re now shifting focus toward higher expansion. The structure is rising, and the channel is guiding price beautifully, offering more room for smart, calculated positioning.
As long as we hold above the half-line and especially above 3281, we stay in buy-the-dip mode, favouring long setups from intraday Goldturn zones for quick 20–40 pip scalps or more extended swing entries when structure permits.
Should we see a failure to maintain above 3387 or a close back below 3281, we’ll reassess potential movement toward the lower channel boundary. Until then, the structure remains bullish within the channel and price is following our path perfectly.
The Goldturn methodology continues to prove its worth, cutting through noise, filtering out the fake outs, and keeping us on the right side of the market.
Stay sharp, stay patient.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD June 16, 2025
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) in green, with the market currently in wave 4.
Last Friday, after breaking above the 3444 high, price failed to continue toward 3482 and instead reversed lower. This behavior suggests that wave 4 is developing as a Flat correction in black abc structure.
👉 Based on this outlook, wave c is expected to complete around 3314, marking the end of wave 4 in green. From there, a bullish impulse is anticipated to complete wave 5.
🔎 Momentum Overview
D1 timeframe: Momentum is rising → indicating the dominant trend for early this week is likely bullish.
H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining → supporting the scenario that wave c of wave 4 may still have one more leg down.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn downward → suggesting a potential drop during the Asian session on Monday.
🚨 However, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could trigger unexpected price spikes, especially during the Asian session.
📈 Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 3415 – 3412
Stop Loss: 3405
Take Profit 1: 3444
Take Profit 2: 3482