XAUUSD: Buy or sell now?The price of XAUUSD has come to the position near 3345 again. The pressure at this position is very controversial. We need to observe. If this position is stable. Then we need to pay attention to the target of 3360-3385. If it is unstable, we will short and wait for the TP of 3320, which still needs to be emphasized. If you are not sure how to trade. Remember to leave us a message. We will lead you to make better and more accurate transactions, expand profits or recover losses. Do not trade independently. Create greater losses.
Remember to continue to pay attention to the core trading strategy updates of swing trading.
Xauusd(w)
Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447.
Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500.
⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold will grow a little more and then make correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After forming a downward wedge and several rejections near the support line, the price eventually broke out to the upside, signaling a reversal. This breakout was followed by a strong upward impulse, and Gold quickly shifted into a consolidation phase, creating a wide sideways range structure. Inside this range, we observed multiple rebounds from the lower boundary and a gradual rise toward the resistance level. Recently, the price exited the range upward after testing the buyer zone and breaking above the support area. However, this breakout seems impulsive and may need a correction. Currently, Gold trades slightly above the 3400 level, which aligns with the support area and the previous range border. In my view, the price may make a short upward move, followed by a return to the current support level. That’s why I set my TP at 3400 points, which corresponds to the support area and acts as a potential bounce zone in case of a retracement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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XAUUSD:Go long, go long
"Israel announced a strike on Iran" broke out the news, gold and crude oil in the Asian session soared. Again help us recently do long ideas, too late to explain so much, the follow-up trading ideas are still long after the pullback.
After 3403 broke through has been converted into strong support, short - term to 3415-20 to do more.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3415-20
TP:3440-50
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
GOLD - Price can correct to support level and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Gold entered a Rising Channel structure, demonstrating stable growth with higher highs and higher lows.
After testing and breaking through the $3265 support level, the price pulled back slightly and then resumed its upward momentum.
This move confirmed buyer strength and renewed interest in the mid-channel zone.
Recently, Gold successfully retested the $3365–$3375 support area, turning it into a local springboard.
Now price is gaining traction above this zone and appears to be preparing for a continuation of the current trend.
I expect it to rise toward the $3450 target — the upper resistance of the channel.
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XAUUSD - Emotional Scalping on Gold Leads to Blown Accounts📔 “I’ll just scalp Gold on the 1-minute” — said the future blown account
Gold doesn’t care about your emotions.
It doesn’t care that you think you can catch a move before it happens.
And it definitely doesn’t care about your $50 dream from a 20-pip scalp.
Real Gold traders don’t come for 20 pips.
They come for precision, for structure, and for 80–100 pip setups backed by real confluence.
If you’re pressing buttons on the 1-minute because you “feel it,”
you’re not trading Gold — you’re feeding it.
And it will eat you alive.
⭐1. Gold is Not a Currency Pair — It’s a Metal with a Temper
You’re not trading EURUSD.
You’re trading a metal — one of the most reactive and manipulated instruments in the market.
Gold doesn’t respond like a normal pair.
It reacts like a sensor. A trigger.
🔸 Geopolitical tension? It spikes.
🔸 USD news? CPI, NFP, FOMC — massive moves.
🔸 Imbalances and inducement zones? It respects them with surgical precision.
🔸 Thin liquidity or Asian session? Expect the unexpected.
Last night, due to a political situation Gold didn’t hesitate.
It exploded — hundreds of pips — while other pairs just twitched.
And here’s the truth:
🔱 Gold is the most loved asset on the planet.
• It’s wealth.
• It’s power.
• It’s culture.
• It’s fear and greed — in physical form.
That’s why it dominates the market.
That’s why it’s unpredictable.
And that’s why you need to approach it with respect — not emotion.
⏱️ 2. The 1-Minute Trap: Why You’re Always Late
On M1, there is no structure — only speed.
By the time you “see a pattern,” you’re already the exit liquidity.
Order blocks? FVGs? Choch?BOS?
They’re there… but barely readable in real time unless you’re hyper-trained.
You’re not early.
You’re late — many, many times.
And Gold punishes late entries without mercy.
So what should you do instead?
🧭 Zoom out. Reset. Re-anchor.
Start with D1-H12-H4-H1. Mark the structure.
Drop to M30/15/5 to refine your zones.
Then — and only then — use M1 as a trigger, not a chart to trade blindly on.
M1 is for confirmation — not discovery.
It shows behavior, not bias.
And if you treat it like a full chart, it will bury your account one candle at a time.
🤓3. If You're New — Respect the Timeframes
If you’ve been trading Gold for less than 6 months,
you don’t need more entries. You need more patience.
Work with:
✅ 1H
✅ 30m
✅ 15m
That’s where the story unfolds — clean, structured, readable.
Yes, study the lower timeframes.
Flip through M1, M3, M5, M7, M10…
Zoom in, zoom out. Train your eye.
And slowly, you’ll start to recognize the way Gold breathes — how it baits, spikes, pauses, and traps.
But execution?
Execution stays clean, until your structure reads faster than your fear.
🚨4. Gold Doesn’t Just Move Fast — It Gets You Hooked
Gold isn’t just volatile — it’s addictive.
You win once… you feel unstoppable.
Twice… now you think you’re the chosen winner.
And just like that, you’re hooked.
You start ignoring your loss, because those two wins gave you more dopamine than a full week of consistency.
You don’t even notice you’re in a loop:
→ Two wins
→ Five losses
→ One clean trade
→ Three more losses
→ Still confident… because of one high
You’re not trading structure.
You’re chasing a chemical high — and Gold is your dealer.
That’s why M1 destroys accounts.
Because the more you “almost catch it,” the more obsessed you get.
You don’t need a new setup.
You need to break the loop.
Walk away, breathe, come back and trade less.
😶🌫️ 5. If Your Mind is Not Calm — Stay Off the Chart
Gold will test your technicals — but it’ll destroy your psychology if you’re not stable.
Had a bad day at work? Argued with someone? Feeling off?
Do. Not. Trade. Gold!!
This metal feeds on instability.
It senses when you’re not focused.
And it will punish you faster than you can say “SL hit.”
💬 “You trade what you feel. So if you’re a mess inside, your chart becomes chaos too.”
🔚 Bottom Line: You Don’t Need More Trades. You Need Better Vision.
Scalping Gold on M1 sounds smart.
Feels efficient. Looks exciting.
Until you’re left with a blown account and a broken mindset.
🫶 Want to stop gambling and start dominating?
Start with patience. Stick to timeframes. Learn the rhythm.
Gold is not for the impulsive — it’s for the precise.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3420-3402-3380
TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe tensions between the U.S. and Iran continue to intensify as the second U.S. nuclear-powered aircraft carrier enters the Persian Gulf. Iran's Defense Minister warned that it would attack U.S. bases if conflict broke out. However, the sixth round of talks between the two sides is scheduled for June 15 in Oman, a development that has raised market expectations for a de-escalation of negotiations. Geopolitical risks are time-sensitive, as if the conflict does not escalate, risk aversion may fade rapidly, and gold could give back its gains.
From a 4-hour technical analysis, the short-term support level below focuses on the 3365 area, with the 3340 level as key support. The main strategy remains to go long on pullbacks to these support levels and follow the upward trend. The key bullish threshold lies at the 3320-3325 zone – any pullback before the daily close breaks below this level presents a buying opportunity, maintaining the primary approach of trend following. We recommend prioritizing long positions on corrections and using short positions on rebounds as a supplement. The short-term resistance above is at the 3400-3405 area, while the short-term support below is at the 3360-3350 range.
XAUUSD
buy@3350-3360
tp:3380-3400
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-13 : Harami-Inside PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets may stall into a sideways price range.
After the news of Israel targeting Iran in a preemptive strike late yesterday afternoon, the markets moved dramatically lower while Gold & Silver moved higher on the news.
I, personally, see this market trend as a shift in thinking ahead of a long Father's Day weekend.
I see traders trying to position their accounts/trades for uncertainty.
I believe we could see a bit of a shift today - particularly in Metals and the QQQ/NASDAQ/BTCUSD.
Overall, I strongly suggest traders prepare for extreme volatility this weekend as any further news of a counter-strike or further military action in the Middle East could roil the markets.
Happy Friday the 13th - everyone.
Going to be an interesting day to say the least.
Get some.
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Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines.
A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential.
Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups.
🎯 Key Buy Zones:
✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly.
Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift).
✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support.
Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves.
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question.
Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers.
📈 Trade Signal:
Bias: 🔵 Bullish
Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
SL: Below 3,395
TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470
R:R: ~1:3
Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
SL: Below 3,368
R:R: ~1:4
🧠 Final Note:
Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Waiting For Another Breakout
Following the latest news, I think you would agree with me that
Gold will most likely rise more.
Your technical confirmation can be a bullish breakout of the underlined
blue resistance and a daily candle close above 3435.
It will be an important trigger that will push the prices way up to a current ATH.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD , Making New H.H , 2 Scalping Long Entries, Don`t Miss It Here is my 2 scalping long entries on Gold , if the price close above the highest res , we can wait the price to go back to retest it and then we can enter a new buy scalping trade to create the new H.H . Very Easy And Simple Analysis . Make It Easy Always To Can Continue .
Gold Flight to Safety 1. Flight to Safety Supports Gold
Ongoing geopolitical risks — whether from Middle East tensions, rising friction in Asia, or persistent uncertainty in Eastern Europe — are keeping investors on edge. In times of heightened risk aversion, gold remains a go-to asset for capital preservation. This "flight to safety" theme has been a key pillar of support for gold's upward move.
2. Trade Concerns Back in Focus
Renewed trade-related concerns, particularly around U.S.-China relations and global tariff discussions, have reignited fears of supply chain disruptions and global economic slowdown. These macro uncertainties further enhance gold’s appeal as a hedge against economic instability.
3. Fed Rate Cut Bets Offer Tailwind
Market expectations are increasingly pricing in Federal Reserve rate cuts, possibly starting later this year. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it more attractive to investors. The dovish tilt in Fed expectations is thus providing an underlying bid for gold.
4. Rebounding US Dollar Caps Further Upside
While fundamental drivers remain supportive, a recent rebound in the US Dollar Index (DXY) is limiting gold’s upside momentum. Since gold is priced in dollars, a stronger USD tends to weigh on demand from foreign buyers, acting as a natural headwind for further gains in XAU/USD.
Trading Implications:
Bullish bias remains intact as long as geopolitical and economic uncertainty persist and Fed rate cut expectations stay on the table.
Watch for key resistance near recent highs; potential profit-taking may emerge if USD strength accelerates.
Near-term support zones include previous consolidation levels and moving averages on the 4H and daily charts.
Important to monitor US economic data and Fed commentary — any shift in rate outlook could cause sharp gold repricing.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3444
Resistance Level 2: 3460
Resistance Level 3: 3483
Support Level 1: 3377
Support Level 2: 3360
Support Level 3: 3340
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis
● Third rejection of the H1 descending-channel roof (≈3 382) printed a bearish engulfing and confirmed the prior “false-break” spike; price is now back under the purple retest line that acted as supply all month.
● An intraday rising wedge has cracked; its measured leg aligns with the grey targets at 3 344 (minor support) and the 3 289 liquidity pocket near the channel’s mid-rail.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Firmer US 2-yr yield near 4.8 % after upbeat PPI and hawkish Fed dots lifted the DXY, while CFTC data show fresh trimming of gold longs, reducing dip-buying fire-power.
✨ Summary
Fade rallies 3 335-3 345; sustained trade <3 320 eyes 3 344 then 3 289. Bear view void on an H1 close above 3 350.
-------------------
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The situation escalates, and gold rises again.Information summary:
Israel issued a statement: The attack on Iran has been completed. All Israeli Air Force pilots and crew members who participated in the attack on Iran returned to the base unscathed.
Iran issued a statement: The attack could not have happened without the coordination and permission of the United States. The United States is responsible for the consequences of the Israeli air strikes.
The unpredictable international situation has caused the price of gold to continue to rise after retreating.
New forecast:
After a strong rebound in the 3338 shock area and forming a high point, it is currently in a clear upward channel. The recent breakthrough of the 3398.4 area indicates that the trend will continue and point to the resistance line near 3465. At present, the price is testing the trend line that broke above, which may become a springboard for the next round of rise.
Buy trigger point: rebound from near 3405, with strong trading volume.
Risk attention:
The possibility of triggering a false breakout trap near 3440.
If gold loses the 3380-point trend line, its momentum may stagnate.
Broader macro data could overtake technical support near resistance levels.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD ANALYSIS BULLISH 13 JUNE 2025
As per previous analysis gold moved in the way as I was expecting. Gold is still strongly bullish, this is all due to geopolitics Iran and Israel war. As #gold made high to 3444 also took correction and now continue to it's bullish rally. Due to this war gold may surge to new high, for today I am again expecting to break yesterdays high. I will recommend please don't trade when there is such war and geopolitics issues because this is just analysis but market behavior is not normal and it will move in unwanted direction. Plan your trade accordingly and do trade. Key points 3402, 3415, 3424, 3440.
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GOLD hits $3,435 target, Middle East tensions rise againOANDA:XAUUSD rose to a one-week high as weak U.S. inflation data reinforced market expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year, while conflict in the Middle East boosted safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSD recently hit a fresh one-week high, extending its rally. Spot gold had risen to $3,435 as of press time, after hitting its highest level since June 5.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the operation “will continue until this threat is eliminated.” Iranian state TV reported that the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Hussein Salami, had been killed. Iran vowed a “harsh counterattack” against Israel and the United States, while other countries said they were not involved in the operation. Gold is trading near an all-time high of $3,500.10, just shy of $60.
Netanyahu said the operation “will last for days to eliminate this threat.” Israel believes the strike killed at least several Iranian nuclear scientists and senior generals, according to a military official. Iranian state TV said Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander Hussein Salami may have been among the dead.
Israel's attack on Iran comes after Netanyahu repeatedly warned of attacking the OPEC oil producer to cripple its nuclear program. US and Iranian negotiators are scheduled to hold a new round of talks on Tehran's nuclear program in Oman on Sunday, but Trump said this week he was less confident a deal could be reached.
OANDA:XAUUSD extended its recent two-day gains as weak U.S. inflation and jobs data fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year. A report on Thursday showed U.S. producer price inflation remained subdued in May, while another showed jobless claims continued to rise, hitting their highest level since late 2021.
OANDA:XAUUSD has gained 30% this year as investors increasingly turn to gold as a safe-haven asset amid President Trump’s aggressive trade policies and geopolitical tensions, including in Ukraine. Strong demand from central banks and sovereigns has also supported gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold continues to reach the target of $3,435 after reaching the previous upside target at the base of $3,400.
Currently, the base of $3,400 becomes the nearest support, while other than the resistance of $3,435, there is no resistance ahead to prevent gold from heading towards the all-time high of $3,500.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping upward, still far from the overbought zone, indicating that there is still plenty of room for further upside ahead.
There are no factors that could cause gold to decline during the day, and the notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD
Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3480 - 3478⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3384
→Take Profit 1 3472
↨
→Take Profit 2 3466
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3373 - 3375⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3369
→Take Profit 1 3381
↨
→Take Profit 2 3387
Safe-Haven Demand Boosts Gold as Middle East Tensions EscalateHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,380 zone. Gold is currently trading in an uptrend and is experiencing a correction phase as it pulls back toward this key support and resistance area.
On the fundamental side, reports indicate that Israel struck Iran overnight — fueling a classic geopolitical risk-off sentiment. This escalation is driving strength in safe-haven assets while putting pressure on riskier markets. Gold typically benefits from this kind of uncertainty, adding further weight to the technical setup we’re seeing today.
Trade safe,
Joe
Gold Trading Strategy–June 13During the Asian session, spot gold broke through the $3,400/ounce mark, reaching a high of around $3,444, setting a recent record high.
✅Fundamental Analysis
🔹Tensions in the Middle East have escalated sharply. Iran launched drone attacks on Israel, while conflicts continue along the Syria–Lebanon border. U.S. military bases have entered the highest state of alert.
🔹The market is closely watching the security of the Strait of Hormuz — a key route that handles about 20% of global oil transport. Any escalation or disruption could lead to surging oil prices and safe-haven demand, triggering a synchronized rally in crude oil and gold. In response, some sovereign wealth funds and central banks have urgently increased their holdings of physical gold.
✅Technical Analysis
🔸Gold has successfully broken through the critical $3,400 psychological level, confirming the continued strength of bullish momentum. The price structure remains within a strong upward trend channel dominated by the bulls.
🔸The moving average system shows a bullish alignment;
🔸Bollinger Bands are expanding upward, with price candles holding firm near the upper band;
🔸The MACD lines remain in a bullish crossover with increasing momentum bars;
🔸The KDJ indicator is in overbought territory — suggesting potential short-term pullbacks due to overheating risks.
🔴Key Resistance Levels (Short-Term)
🔰Initial resistance: 3,445 (dense previous high zone);
🔰If this level is broken, it could open further upside potential, targeting the 3,450–3,485 range.
🔰In the event of further geopolitical escalation and global market panic, gold may surge toward the 3,600 psychological level.
🟢Key Support Levels (Short-Term)
🔰Critical intraday support lies in the $3,410–$3,400 zone. A successful pullback and hold above this range would present a strong buy-the-dip opportunity;
🔰Deeper support lies in the $3,371–$3,360 area. A break below this range may trigger a short-term technical correction, with potential downside toward $3,330.
✅Intraday Trading Strategy
🔰If the European session pulls back to the $3,410–$3,400 support zone and holds, consider entering long positions; Initial upside target: $3,440;
🔰If gold holds above $3,420 ahead of the U.S. session, bullish momentum is expected to continue.
⛔Risk Management
If there are signs of easing geopolitical tensions or short-term profit-taking, gold may see a rapid retracement. Pay close attention to the $3,371 and $3,360 support levels for potential defense zones.
Gold Bull Run: Wave 5 on the Way!
Elliott Wave Setup – We're in Wave 5, riding a powerful upward channel from the recent Wave 4 low, aiming for ~$3,500–3,600
Key Resistance & Breakout – The $3,497–3,500 area is critical. A clean breakout above this could open the next leg toward ~$3,600–3,700, echoing forecasts from ANZ and Cantor .
Support Level – Immediate support lies around the $3,392 area (recent resistance turned support). A dip back to $3,420–3,440 could provide a strong buying opportunity.
Macro Drivers – Geopolitical tensions (especially in the Middle East) and a soft U.S. dollar are fueling safe-haven buying, matching broader bullish sentiment
.
📈 Outlook: Minor pullback expected, then resumption of rally. Breakout above $3,500 could trigger the next surge.
🛡️ Strategy Tip: Consider buying on dips around $3,420–3,450 with resistance-based stop-loss and targets at $3,500 then $3,600–3,700.
XAU/USD 13 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,444.495.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: