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The latest gold trend analysis strategy on June 12: Analysis of key factors Influence of CPI data The core CPI in the United States in May only increased by 0.1%, which was lower than expected, indicating that inflation slowed down, and strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut (it is now expected to cut interest rates by 77 basis points in the next year). After the data was released, gold rose to $3,360/ounce in the short term, and the US dollar index plunged, reflecting the rise in risk aversion. However, we need to be vigilant about the subsequent market's revision of inflation expectations, especially if the Fed releases hawkish signals at the June interest rate meeting. Key technical points Resistance: 3360-3363 (intraday high), 3380-3382 (previous high pressure). Support: 3300-3310 (short-term psychological barrier), 3293 (recent low). Daily signal: The 5-day moving average crosses the 10-day moving average, but the gold price temporarily stands on the 5-day moving average, forming a price divergence, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of a high and fall. Market sentiment Geopolitics (trade friction, central bank gold purchases) still supports the long-term bullish logic of gold, but the short-term technical side shows that the bullish momentum is insufficient, and there is strong resistance above 3350. Operation strategy suggestions Short-term trading Sell short order strategy: If the gold price rebounds to the 3365-3370 range and is blocked (especially if there is a long upper shadow or the 1-hour chart closes negative), you can short with a light position, with a target of 3330-3310 and a stop loss of 3385. Buy long order strategy: If it pulls back to 3300-3310 and stabilizes (such as closing a cross star or a positive line rebound), you can short-term long, with a target of 3330-3350 and a stop loss of 3290. Trend tracking Breakthrough direction confirmation: If it effectively breaks through 3382, it may open up space to rise to 3400; if it falls below 3293, it will go down to the support of 3270-3250. Be cautious in following orders: Currently in the range of shocks (3293-3360), avoid blindly following before breaking through the previous high/low. Risk Warning Event Risk: Pay attention to the results of the US Treasury auction. Weak demand may further boost gold safe-haven buying. Technical Correction: If the daily MACD forms a bottom divergence, it may trigger a larger rebound, which needs to be judged in conjunction with the K-line pattern. Summary: The main focus during the day is high-altitude, and short orders are entered after the key resistance level of 3365-3370 is under pressure. If it quickly breaks below 3330, positions can be increased; long orders are limited to light positions at the support level. Strictly stop loss and wait for trend-following opportunities after the range breaks.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
The key resistance zone shows obvious suppression.Spot gold continued its upward trend, with the intraday high reaching $3,398.55 per ounce, hitting a new weekly high. This rally was not only boosted by the lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data but also closely related to the sharp escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Investors' expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September have intensified, and the risk of potential conflicts in the Middle East are jointly driving a surge in demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Affected by the moderate inflation data, the U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.4% on Wednesday, and in the early Asian session on Thursday, it dropped to 98.42, a new one-week low, nearing the six-week low of 98.35 set last week. The weakening U.S. dollar provided additional support for gold prices, as gold is priced in U.S. dollars, and a depreciating dollar typically pushes up gold prices. Meanwhile, after falling due to tariff shocks in the spring, U.S. stocks have gradually recovered, but uncertainties about the details of trade agreements have kept market volatility alive. The decline in U.S. Treasury yields has also created a favorable environment for rising gold prices. Focus on the resistance at the $3,400 level. Currently, the bullish momentum has not broken through this key resistance zone, and the technicals conform to the logic of "washing the market with a prior rise followed by a fall". In terms of operation, it is recommended to try shorting when resistance is encountered below $3,400. In the short term, observe the rebound momentum of gold prices. If it fails to effectively break through the $3,400 resistance area, seize the opportunity for shorting at highs. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: sell@3400-3390 TP:3370-3360
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Ashbur
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PITASTIC day on the charts, with our analysis playing out perfectly. Yesterday after completing the target at 3352, we stated that we’ll be watching for a confirmed cross and lock above 3352 for a continuation. We got the cross and lock above 3352 opening 3388. - 3388 was hit perfectly today completing this target. We will now look for a ema5 cross and lock above 3388 for a continuation. If price fails to lock above, we could see rejections leading back into the lower Goldturns, where we’ll look for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3318 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3352 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3388 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3478 BEARISH TARGETS 3281 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3281 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3254 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3210 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3210 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3179 3146 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
Gold rose as expected, how to operate after the bulls hit 3400 📌 Gold News Spot gold prices rose sharply. Analysts pointed out that the US CPI was lower than expected across the board, which hit the US dollar and US bond yields. In addition, tensions in the Middle East escalated, which triggered safe-haven buying of gold 📊Comment Analysis Middle East issues, and information about high tariffs on countries without trade agreements. Gold prices have rebounded, but there is no long-term stability. 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3428-3430 SL 3435 TP1: $3410 TP2: $3395 TP3: $3387 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3345-$3343 SL $3338 TP1: $3365 TP2: $3377 TP3: $3390 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD: Analysis June 12XAUUSD is trading within a short-term rising channel. The market structure remains slightly bullish, with continuous corrections to support zones and then rebounds. The RSI and MACD indicators have not entered the overbought zone, indicating that there is still room for growth if important support zones are held. Buy Zone: 1. 3346 – 3350: If the price does not go deep, this is the "retest MA/trendline" zone in the uptrend channel. You can Buy when there is a clear price reaction in this zone. 2. 3330 – 3325: This is a very clear H1 technical support zone. Price may retrace here before bouncing back. Sell Zone: 3385 - 3390: This is a strong resistance zone on the H1 chart, coinciding with the “Order Block” zone of the sellers. The price may touch and react strongly if there is no breakout momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
1
Gold Correction = Bearish Divergence + Wedge + Zigzag CompleteGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) today after the release of the US CPI indices . Although the figures seemed to be in gold's favor, traders still seem to be determined to continue the price correction. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the Zigzag Correction. We should wait for the next 5 down waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to have successfully formed a Rising Wedge Pattern . I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,296 AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern . Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $3,380 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
32
Gold is rising, beware of a pullback.Since last Friday, the daily line has shown an alternating trend of yin and yang. In the three trading days this week, the lows and highs have been rising continuously, which shows that the short-term trend is strong. Today's intraday trend also illustrates this point. At present, gold has risen directly to the 3388 line, directly refreshing the intraday high again. From the hourly chart, we must be careful of the possibility of gold diving. From the previous rules, each rise is about 45 US dollars. This time it also started from 3340-3345, and the increase was close to 45 US dollars. Moreover, each time the rise is completed, the dive callback is 35 US dollars. Therefore, once it starts to fall from 3385-3390, it is very likely to reach 3350-3355. In terms of short-term resistance, pay attention to the 3400 pressure level above; the support level is around 3340. the support level pays attention to the vicinity of 3340. Operation strategy: Short at 3385, stop loss at 3395, and profit range is 3360-3350.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
XAUUSD Video Analysis Brief – Weekly Forecast Summary (2025)This video summarizes the key scenarios and technical outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe, integrating both Fibonacci-based projections and macro fundamentals. Core Setup Gold is currently positioned near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (~$3,276). A breakout toward $3,500 is possible before a potential corrective move. Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Gold breaks above $3,435 → rallies to $4300 → continues toward major Fibonacci targets: TP: $4,320, which is the Fibonacci level 261.8% Scenario 2: Correction First Gold fails to hold above $3,435 → triggers a healthy correction to: TP1: $2,920 TP2: $2,650 If support 161.8% level holds in the correction zone, a renewed bullish phase is expected. Macro Alignment Central bank gold buying (notably BRICS) supports the long-term bid. Fed policy leaning dovish → tailwinds for gold. Inverse correlation with DXY: DXY below 98.95 → bullish for gold DXY above 100 → signals correction Effect on Altcoins If correction is risk-on driven, capital may rotate into altcoins. If triggered by macro stress or USD strength, alts may fall alongside gold. This analysis offers a multi-scenario framework to navigate the next major moves in gold, with key levels to watch for traders, investors, and macro analysts alike.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BitonGroup
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-12: BaseRally In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt to identify a base and move higher (rally) off that base level. Given the overnight price activity, I suggest the process of identifying the base level could prompt a deeper early decline in price - possibly attempting to retest 595-597 lows before finding support and attempting to rally. As I've been warning over the past few weeks/months, I'm still seeing the Excess Phase Peak pattern playing out as a Flag Termination - rolling into a downtrend and attempting to move back towards the $480 lows as a real possibility. I've been warning and watching for the breakdown in trend - but we've not seen it yet. Thus, we are still BULLISH until we get a confirmation of a solid breakdown. That would be a move below the 580-585 level at this point. We need to see some type of solid breakdown in price, breaking away from the FLAG setup and moving downward, before I could confidently suggest the Flag Breakdown has happened. Gold and Silver are making a big move higher. Gold is finally starting to move back above $3400 and I believe watching Silver, Gold, & Platinum rally suggests FEAR is elevating as we move into the end of June. I still believe Gold has a chance to rally above $4k before the end of June. We'll see if it happens. BTCUSD is moving into a DUAL-EPP pattern. This is very interesting. Watch the video as I highlight why this could prompt a dual-stage EPP breakdown in Bitcoin over the next 20 to 50+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
XAUUSD: Strategy and Analysis for June 12Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance: 3400-3420, support: 3310 Four-hour chart resistance: 3400, support: 3325 One-hour chart resistance: 3385, support: 3340. Spot gold soared after the release of CPI as investors responded to optimistic inflation data. Trump's interest rate cut speech restored the confidence of gold bulls, but with the strong pressure of 3380 above, the market fell again, and the frequency of gold long and short switching accelerated, verifying the daily level of shock. From a technical point of view, although the daily line has not risen continuously, there is a very obvious feature of the daily cycle, that is, the middle track of Bollinger has not broken, and multiple attempts have not changed this technical point. This is the support point for the short-term retracement and the defense point for the long-term rise. If the NY market stands firm at 3380, it is expected to rise to the 3410 US dollar line. The short-term key support position below is around 3345, and it will be short-term bearish only after it falls below. Personally, I suggest that you give priority to buying in the NY market. Buy: 3380near SL:3375 Buy: 3345near SL:3340
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
How Gold Could Be Affected by Possible Iran Conflict? Gold begins the new day on a bullish note following escalating developments in the Middle East. Yesterday, markets were focused on the US–China deal. Although an agreement was reached, tariffs but overall trade tensions remain elevated. Combined with the lower-than-expected core CPI, gold mostly moved sideways, apart from intraday noise. However, this could change in the days ahead. US–Iran nuclear negotiations appear to be stalling. A new round of talks is scheduled for Sunday, June 15. The negative newsflow escalated with Iran’s defense minister warned that US bases in the region could be targeted if conflict breaks out. US ordered all non-essential personnel to evacuate and approved the voluntary departure of military family members from the region. Simultaneously, reports surfaced that "Israel is ready to strike Iran." The negative newsflow continued today. The International Atomic Energy Agency passed a resolution declaring Iran non-compliant with its international obligations. In retaliation, Iran announced it would build a new uranium enrichment facility at a hidden and secure location and unveiled plans for new military drills. The timing of this escalation raises the risk of direct conflict. Netanyahu’s government is facing collapse, with the possibility of new elections looming. At the same time, Iran is nearing nuclear weapons capability. While Trump is more openly supportive of Israel than Biden, he is reluctant to involve the US in any direct or indirect conflict. This dynamic raises the chances of an Israeli strike on Iran. Adding to the tension is the upcoming July 9 deadline for tariffs. Trump intends to send unilateral tariff agreements to trade partners with a “take it or leave it” approach. This could sharply increase trade tensions and further support gold prices. Today's news flow is heavily bullish for gold, and the technical outlook aligns with it. The triangle formation has broken, and gold has retested the upper boundary, gaining momentum from that level. If current risk levels remain elevated, especially if multiple strikes on Iran occur, a medium-term move above 3600 could begin. Despite the strong bullish setup, we are in a market where sentiment can shift in minutes, with major news emerging almost daily. In this environment, it's crucial to define key levels and indicators for risk management. At the moment, the 50-day EMA appears to be holding well as a support level. This moving average could be the final line that determines the medium-term direction for gold. If it breaks, the bullish outlook may no longer be valid.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ftdsystem