Gold today high-altitude low-multiple operation
📌 Gold news
On Tuesday, the spot gold price plummeted, hitting a two-week low. The main reason was that Iran and Israel announced a ceasefire, which suppressed the demand for safe-haven gold. In addition, Fed Chairman Powell made hawkish remarks, which also hit the gold price trend. Short-term long-short game will focus on the PCE inflation data to be released by the United States. If the economic data performs poorly or inflation continues to fall, it may still provide a medium-term rebound opportunity for gold.
📊Comment analysis
Yesterday, gold was weak overall, and the decline and rebound were limited. It fell directly from around 3357 to 3295, and then rebounded according to the news. It ran around 3326 in the morning. From a technical point of view, the daily low trend line support is around 3290, the 4-hour long lower shadow line bottomed out, and three consecutive positive rebounds, the daily line supports the lower track of the Bollinger band, and the Bollinger band tends to be parallel. There is no sign of opening downward, so the short-term decline of gold prices is limited. Consider paying attention to the support of 3294 during the day, and mainly use this position for defense and low long. Pay attention to the important suppression of the middle track 3363 above, and mainly short.
💰Strategy Package
Focus on the support near 3316-3317 in the short term, rely on this position to go long, stop loss 3307, take profit near 3345, and break 3363. If it falls strongly below 3294, then don't consider going long during the day.
Gold operation strategy: long near 3316, stop loss 3307. Take profit 3345
⭐️ Note: Labaron is not 100% correct here, only a steady operation idea, large warehouse for trend, small warehouse for wave, control the proportion by yourself, there is no unprofitable investment, only unsuccessful orders, whether to make money depends on the timing of buying up and buying down, making money depends on opportunities, investment depends on wisdom, and financial management depends on professionalism.
Xauusd(w)
Will gold prices continue to decline?On Tuesday, spot gold once fell below the $3,310 level and finally closed down 1.67% at $3,322.82 per ounce, as the Israel-Iran ceasefire dented safe-haven sentiment and Fed Chair Powell stated that more time is needed before considering interest rate cuts. Spot silver closed down 0.46% at $35.90 per ounce. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.2960%, and the 2-year yield at 3.8310%. Powell indicated that current policy is in a favorable position to wait and see before considering rate adjustments, adding that "colleagues privately say I'm doing the right thing". The vast majority of officials believe rate cuts later this year would be appropriate, while noting it's "too early to declare the U.S. dollar is falling".
Technically, gold's daily chart formed a large bearish candle with a lower shadow, breaking below previous support levels amid consolidation. This suggests the bearish trend may persist.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@3330-3335
TP:3300-3295
GOLD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bullish
Rebound but will soon
Hit a wide horizontal
Resistance of around 3,345$
And as we are locally bearish
Biased after the recent rising
Support breakout we will be
Expecting a bearish pullback
And a local move down
Sell!
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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 23 - Jun 27]This week, after opening at $3,369/oz, OANDA:XAUUSD prices fluctuated within a fairly narrow range, from only $3,340-$3,374/oz, and closed at $3,368/oz. The fact that gold prices closed this week close to the opening price shows that investors are hesitant in the current context.
The reason why gold prices are still fluctuating within a narrow range this week is because US President Donald Trump gave Iran a 2-week deadline to consider negotiating an end to the conflict with Israel, even though the Israel-Iran conflict is still raging.
In addition, on June 12, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25% - 4.5%, while adjusting its forecast for US GDP growth lower and raising its estimate for near-term inflation. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that tariffs would push up prices and weigh on economic activity. Although two rate cuts are expected before the end of the year, Powell said the Fed may wait for more clarity before cutting rates.
Next week, the Fed Chairman will hold two semiannual monetary policy hearings before the US House and Senate committees on Tuesday and Wednesday. If Fed Chairman Powell hints at a rate cut in September 2025, the USD could fall against other major currencies, causing gold prices to rise next week. Conversely, if the Fed Chairman emphasizes that they will continue to prioritize controlling inflation and is in no hurry to cut interest rates, the USD will rise, thereby pushing gold prices down next week.
📌Technically, the gold price on the H4 and D1 charts is stuck between the range of 3295-3450, which is an important support level around 3295, and the resistance level at 3450.
The current price is moving sideways and accumulating in smaller time frames, and the trend has not been clearly defined when it has not broken through the above two resistance levels.
There are two scenarios for gold.
In the long-term framework, if it breaks through the 3450 zone and breaks the trend at the same time, it is expected that the gold price will set a new high.
In the case that the gold price trades below the 3300 round resistance, and at the same time the 3295 support zone is broken, it is easy to form a head and shoulders pattern on the H4 chart.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,350 – 3,320 – 3,300USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 – 3,500USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3416
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
XAUUSD Ready bounce back?XAUUSD 3295.00 is an important weekly and daily key level price has just bounced back from the key level with double bottom formation. It is possible for the price to continue to bounce back to daily resistance level?
While was in down trend price has left significant imbalance in the market showing possible uptrend with the filling of FVG.
A buy trade with strong liquidity grab is high probable.
Geopolitical Spike Fades Fast – Gold Eyes 3300As highlighted in Friday’s analysis, the daily and short-term charts remain messy, but the weekly chart is leaning clearly bearish – with a potential Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation now confirmed.
🌍 Geopolitical Gap Up... and Quick Rejection
Monday’s Asian open brought a gap up, triggered by renewed tensions in the Middle East. But price failed to break above 3400 and quickly reversed – a textbook sign of weakness, not strength.
🧭 Technical View:
- The weekly candle closed as a Dark Cloud Cover, a strong bearish reversal signal
- The lack of follow-through after the gap up further confirms sellers are still in control
- Price remains below the key 3400 level, showing no bullish momentum behind recent spikes
📌 Trading Plan:
I continue to sell rallies, with an initial target near 3300. If bearish momentum builds, lower levels are in play.
Let the chart lead – don’t get distracted by the noise.
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XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 25, 2025👋👋 Hello traders!
Gold is still moving down strongly. Today’s plan is made for traders who want clear and precise levels. Let’s look at the structure, important zones, and where to watch for trades.
1. Higher Timeframe Overview (Daily, H4, H1)
Daily: Price is falling near the 200 EMA around 3323. RSI shows less buying strength. We wait for a clear move.
H4: The trend is down with lower highs at 3418 and lower lows at 3311. RSI is low, showing weak buying. Price is near the 200 EMA.
H1: Small bounce up to 3328–3332 resistance. RSI is weak, so price must break this zone to move higher.
2. Lower Timeframe Details (M30, M15)
M30: EMA5 crossed above EMA21 but price is near resistance at 3328–3332. RSI is neutral.
M15: Price broke a small wedge up but is limited by EMA21 and EMA50. RSI near 58 shows price could be overbought.
3. Key Zones and How to Trade Them
🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3352
Look for signs that price rejects this zone (wicks, bearish candles) before selling.
🟡 Flip / Decision Zone: 3360 – 3380
Do not trade here. This zone will show if trend changes. Wait for clear confirmation.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3300 – 3285
Look for price rejection and strong buying signs before buying here.
🟢 Deep Buy Zone: 3265 – 3272
Only buy here if price goes below 3280 and shows strength.
4. What to Do
Current price is about 3323.
If price goes above 3332, watch the sell zone 3345–3352 for a short trade.
If price drops below 3332, expect a move down to the buy zone 3300–3285.
Do not buy above 3360 without a clear trend change.
Be patient and wait for good signals.
5. Important Levels
Zone Price Range Notes
Sell Zone 3345 – 3352 Best short zone
Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 Wait and watch, no trades
Buy Zone 3300 – 3285 Good buy zone
Deep Buy Zone 3265 – 3272 Last buy chance
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Gold Short Term OutlookGold dipped into the Support Zone but failed to sustain the breakdown below it. After briefly breaking below the zone, price has rebounded and is now attempting a short-term recovery.
However, structure remains bearish, with price trading below both the 50MA and 200MA, signalling continued downside pressure unless momentum shifts.
For bullish momentum to continue, we need to see a clean break and hold above $3,330, which may open the path toward $3,346, then $3,361.
If the move up doesn’t hold, the next reaction is expected near key support.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance:
$3,330 • $3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375
Support:
$3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
📌 Stay patient and wait for confirmation before committing to a direction.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-24 : Post Market UpdateThis post-market update highlights the weakening volume while my primary proprietary modeling system continues to stay BULLISH.
The markets are really quite interesting right now. Weakening volume in this Gapping uptrend, today, suggests traders are not buying into the ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
Additionally, the move in metals suggests a PANIC phase has setup in the US markets.
This type of panic phase typically leads to selling of assets and moving capital into CASH.
I suggest traders continue to prepare for a moderate melt upward trend over the next few days - but be prepared for any potential breakdown (possibly trying to FILL THE GAP).
This market appears to be running on fumes.
While I believe Trump's policies will lead to a stronger bullish price trend over the next few years, these disruptions and the potential for consumers to pull away from spending/economic activity over the second half of 2025 is still very real.
Buckle up.
At this point, hedge your trades, move some capital into CASH and prepare for bigger price volatility as we move into July 2025.
Get some.
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Gold Holding Strong – Eyes on $3400 and Beyond! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price corrected down to $3341, then rallied back up to $3399. Currently, gold is trading around $3373, and if it manages to hold above $3355, we can expect further upside movement.
Potential bullish targets are $3400, $3417, $3450, and $3468.
Gold Trading Analysis and Strategies for Sideways Decline MarketAfter Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, market risk aversion significantly cooled, and gold prices plunged by more than $30 in early trading. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement remains doubtful, the rebound in risk appetite has dominated market trends, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets declining.
From a technical perspective, the moving average system on the daily chart of gold shows an intertwined state, indicating a relative balance between bulls and bears. The current key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological threshold. If effectively broken, it may open up upward space; the lower support is focused on the 3285-3290 range, which is the lower edge of the May consolidation platform. A break below this level may intensify correction pressure. The loss of the midline in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure, providing technical support for the downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3330-3340
tp:3320-3310
buy@3285-3290
tp:3310-3320
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD June 24, 2025
🌀 Wave Structure
Looking at the H1 chart during the Asian session today:
+ Price broke below the previous low at 3341, invalidating the idea that Friday’s rally marked the beginning of a new uptrend.
+ Instead, the rally appears to be forming a wave X in a larger WXY corrective structure.
+ Given the current complex corrective pattern, it’s challenging to precisely define the exact wave shape and targets.
🔻 Wave Y Structure:
+ The price action suggests the formation of a 5-wave decline, with the market currently in wave 4.
+ Wave 4 target zone: 3357 – 3363 → Sell zone.
+ After completing wave 4, we expect a continuation of the downtrend via wave 5, with a target around 3327 – 3324 → Buy zone.
+ Once wave 5 completes, we anticipate at least a corrective upward retracement, with targets at 3363 – 3376 (these are the TP levels for the buy trade).
⚡️ Momentum Analysis
+ D1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, suggesting a potential rally lasting around 5–8 D1 candles after wave 5 finishes.
+ H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining and may enter oversold territory within 1–2 candles, supporting the completion of wave 5.
+ H1 timeframe: Momentum is rising and approaching overbought levels, indicating a likely end of wave 4 within 1–2 H1 candles.
📌 Trade Plan
🔹 SELL ZONE: 3363 – 3365
+ SL: 3373
+ TP1: 3342
+ TP2: 3330
🔹 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3324
+ SL: 3317
+ TP1: 3342
+ TP2: 3363
+ TP3: 3376
+ Important Note:❗️
- If price reaches these zones with a Mazuboru candle (long-bodied candle with no wick) and fast volatility, do not enter immediately.
- Wait for the candle to close. If the zone breaks, keep an eye on the next support area around 3313 for potential reactions.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?XAU/USD is reacting off the support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,298.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,258.87
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,393.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Wave 2 Corrective Phase Over!Now that Wave 2 correction is over or very close to completion, I am now waiting for an impulse move up by buyers.
Following this impulse move, I will look for a ‘Minor Wave 2 Correction’, where I will start looking for entry points to buy Gold.
What’s your bias on Gold & what do you think the next major move is?
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great day on the markets once again. This is an update on our 4H chart idea from Sunday, also playing out perfectly.
We started with our bullish target hit at 3375 with no cross and lock confirming the rejection into completing our bearish target at 3306. We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3375 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3375 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2995
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX