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Xauusd(w)

Practical Application of Order Blocks in Trading🔸In trading, especially in the context of institutional and supply-demand-based strategies, order blocks, imbalances, breakers, and entry points are all critical elements for spotting potential high-probability trade setups. Here’s a breakdown of each: 1. Order Blocks 🔸Definition: Order blocks are areas where large institutional orders (by banks, funds, etc.) are believed to have been placed, often leading to sharp price movements. These typically form after a period of consolidation, when a large entity enters the market to create momentum in a particular direction. Types: ▪️Bullish Order Block: An area where institutions have placed buy orders, resulting in an upward price move. It’s generally identified by a down candle (in a bullish trend) before a strong upward move. ▪️Bearish Order Block: An area with concentrated sell orders, leading to a strong price decline. It’s marked by an up candle (in a bearish trend) before a sharp downward move. ▪️Use in Trading: Traders look for price to return to these areas as potential entry points, expecting the area to act as support (for bullish order blocks) or resistance (for bearish order blocks). 2. Imbalances 🔸Definition: Imbalances (also called Fair Value Gaps or FVG) occur when there is a strong price movement in one direction, leaving a "gap" in liquidity. ▪️IThis happens when there’s more demand or supply than what the current orders can fulfill, leading to a price spike. ▪️Identification: Look for consecutive candles moving in the same direction without much overlap in their wicks. This often leaves a gap between the high of one candle and the low of the next. ▪️Use in Trading: Since price often "rebalances" itself, traders may expect price to return to this area before continuing its trend, using it as a potential point for entries in the direction of the larger trend. 3. Breakers 🔸Definition: A breaker is a failed attempt at reversing a trend, usually involving a break of structure that indicates a reversal but then fails, with price moving back in the original trend's direction. Types: ▪️Bullish Breaker: When a downtrend is invalidated, but instead of continuing downwards, price reverses back up. The previous support level that price broke and closed below may now act as a support zone. ▪️Bearish Breaker: When an uptrend is invalidated, but price moves back down, often causing previous resistance to act as resistance again. ▪️Use in Trading: Breakers are often used to identify failed reversals where traders might enter in the direction of the initial trend, as these zones tend to have strong support or resistance. 4. Bullish and Bearish Breakers in Trading Bullish Breaker: ▪️A level created after a failed bearish structure, turning into support as the price breaks upward. Look for confirmation of price moving above this level, with entry points often at or just above the zone. Bearish Breaker: ▪️A level created after a failed bullish attempt, creating a resistance zone as price breaks lower. Traders enter trades when price retests this breaker level and shows signs of rejection. 5. When to Enter Trades ▪️Order Block Entry: Look for price to return to an order block zone (after creating it), confirming it as a valid area of support or resistance. Confirmation methods include candlestick patterns or lower timeframe support/resistance creation. ▪️Imbalance Entry: Price may "fill" imbalances, and traders can look to enter as price retraces to this level with signs of rejection or confirmation. Watch for candles rejecting at the edge of the imbalance zone. ▪️Breaker Entry: Wait for price to test the breaker zone and show signs of rejection, typically with a smaller time-frame entry trigger (like a lower high or low in structure). ▪️Risk Management: When entering trades based on these points, place stops beyond the zone or recent high/low, and target areas of the next significant support/resistance or opposite liquidity pools. 6. Tips for Effective Use 🔸Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Check higher timeframe levels for stronger order blocks or breakers and use lower timeframes to refine entry. 🔸Wait for Confirmation: Often, a test of these areas with a reversal candlestick pattern (like a pin bar or engulfing candle) on a lower timeframe will provide better entries than immediately entering. 🔸Volume Confirmation: Higher volume in these areas can suggest more institutional interest and improve the chance of a successful trade. 🔸Mastering these concepts involves observing how price interacts with these levels across different market conditions, which enhances accuracy over time.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
18
Gold: Will the Falling Wedge Breakout Ignite a +16% Rally?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of NASDAQ:GOOGL In the daily timeframe, Google has broken above the upper trendline of the falling wedge pattern. The price has consistently remained above this trendline for the past three trading days, with rising price movement accompanied by bullish divergence. Bullish divergence on the MACD indicates that while the price makes lower lows, the MACD line forms higher lows. This divergence suggests a weakening of bearish momentum and the potential for a price reversal to the upside. Given these technical factors, we forecast a potential upside movement toward the designated target of 181.36 . After reaching this level, a pullback to the green zone around $160 may occur before the price advances to the second target at 191.52. This technical outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the support area at 148.77. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Google. Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
Waiting for gold to resume the uptrend ..the week of 11 Nov 2024After making a new ATH at 2790.06, gold started pulling back and aided by the US election results and strength in the US$, it accelerated the down move. A short pullback and then on Fri, the bears continued the down move. If this pulls back again to the 2700 region, taking a short would be tempting BUT I believe that it would not be wise to fight the Gold bulls who have controlled this market for over 2 years. 2 major s/r levels (at 2604 and 2470 regions) await price and I will be watching closely for signs that the bulls are in control and then jump onboard. This is not a trade recommendation, it is merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Vista
EURUSD strategic outlook: BEARS will target 1.0500🔸Hello guys, today let's review H8 price chart for eurusd. Previously recommended buying low near 1.0650, TP hit +400 pips, congrats if you followed. you can review original setup via link below. 🔸Range lows defined at 0650 , range highs set at 1050/1100. This is the active trading range for EURUSD since early 2023 it's well-defined and it's very unlikely that price will exit this range any time soon (not until 2026). 🔸Currently we got a strong rejection near range highs at 1100 and this resistance is too strong for the bulls to break atm, price was already rejected multiple times from this level. there are no bullish catalysts in euro zone to break 1.10/1.11 S/R. 🔸Recommended strategy position traders: bears focus on short selling rips/rallies, targeting range lows at 0500/0550. Bears will take over from here, so there is no valid setup for bulls on buy side. Keep in mind that this is a swing trade setup and provided low volatiliy in EURUSD it may take a while to hit the targets (multiple weeks). 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
29
Smart Money Market Structure Order Block Trading🔸The principles of "smart money" trading focus on understanding the behavior of institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money," to make informed trading decisions. By analyzing market structure, order blocks, supply and demand zones, and market cycles, traders aim to predict price movements and make profitable trades. Here’s a breakdown of these key concepts and how they interact: 1. Market Structure Market structure is the fundamental flow of price movement, typically defined by highs and lows that indicate trends. The market can be seen in three primary states: ▪️Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). ▪️Downtrend: Defined by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). ▪️Consolidation (Range-bound): Prices oscillate between a support (demand) and resistance (supply) level. ▪️Understanding market structure helps traders identify when a market is trending or ranging, which is essential for timing entries and exits. 2. Order Blocks Order blocks are areas on a price chart where large institutional traders, like banks and hedge funds, execute significant orders. These blocks often indicate strong levels of support or resistance due to the substantial buying or selling activity. ▪️Bullish Order Block: Typically found before a strong upward move. It's the last bearish (down) candle before the price rallies, signaling a demand zone. ▪️Bearish Order Block: Typically found before a strong downward move. It's the last bullish (up) candle before the price drops, indicating a supply zone. ▪️Order blocks provide clues to where "smart money" has entered the market, suggesting areas where price may return for liquidity and where retail traders may find good entry points. 3. Supply and Demand Zones Supply and demand zones are similar to support and resistance levels but with a focus on identifying imbalances. They represent areas where supply (sellers) and demand (buyers) are significantly unbalanced: ▪️Demand Zone: A price range where buyers are strong enough to prevent further price drops. This often corresponds to an area of support. ▪️Supply Zone: A price range where sellers have historically stepped in to prevent further price increases, serving as resistance. ▪️Prices often revert to these zones due to liquidity needs, creating entry points for trend continuations or reversals. 4. Lower Highs (LH) and Higher Lows (HL) These are essential markers in identifying trend changes: ▪️Lower Highs (LH): In a downtrend, the price fails to reach a previous high, indicating seller dominance and potential continuation of the downtrend. ▪️Higher Lows (HL): In an uptrend, the price creates higher lows, suggesting that buyers are gradually gaining strength, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. These structural points help traders understand potential trend reversals or continuations. 5. Accumulation and Distribution Phases These phases are critical to the Wyckoff Market Cycle: ▪️Accumulation: This phase represents a period where "smart money" accumulates positions at low prices. It typically occurs after a downtrend and is characterized by a consolidation or sideways price movement. This phase often signals a future uptrend. ▪️Distribution: This is the phase where institutional players offload positions after a significant price increase. Like accumulation, distribution appears as consolidation, often preceding a downtrend. ▪️Accumulation and distribution are often analyzed using volume patterns and price action to gauge when a trend may begin or end. 6. Market Cycles (The Wyckoff Theory) Market cycles are a sequence of phases that price undergoes over time. According to Wyckoff’s methodology, there are four phases: ▪️Accumulation: Institutions build positions, often at a market bottom. ▪️Markup: After accumulation, the price starts to increase as demand outstrips supply. ▪️Distribution: Institutions sell off their positions, often at the top of the cycle. ▪️Markdown: Price declines as supply overwhelms demand, leading to a downtrend. ▪️Understanding these phases allows traders to anticipate potential turning points, which is critical in smart money trading. Applying These Principles in Trading The smart money trading approach uses these principles collectively: 🔸Identify Market Structure: Determine whether the market is trending or ranging, then identify order blocks, supply and demand zones, and significant highs and lows. 🔸Recognize Key Levels: Watch for accumulation and distribution phases at these levels, helping to anticipate likely future movements. 🔸Confirm with Volume: Use volume analysis to confirm accumulation or distribution activity. 🔸Set Entries and Exits at Smart Money Zones: Utilize identified order blocks and supply/demand zones to enter trades with the trend (markup or markdown) or exit before a reversal. 🔸By combining these elements, traders seek to align with the strategies of institutional investors, capturing trends early and minimizing exposure during less favorable periods.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
12
4 Winning Years Ahead for Traders Under TrumpOn November 5, 2024, the markets made it loud and clear—they’re excited about Donald J. Trump’s return to office. Stocks, the dollar, and other key assets all responded with strong moves that reflect investor confidence in what his policies might bring. Compare this to the last few years under Biden, and the difference is striking. The market barely budged during Biden’s presidency; even when he contracted COVID-19, it was business as usual. With Trump back, though, there’s an undeniable surge of optimism. Let’s look at what’s happening across the major assets and what it could mean for us traders in the days ahead. S&P 500 (SPX) The S&P 500 spiked from $5,704 to $6,018 on election night—a powerful rally that signals investor optimism. It seems the market is embracing Trump’s expected focus on tax cuts and pro-business policies. This kind of jump doesn’t happen without a reason; investors are clearly betting that Trump’s return will be good for corporate America and, by extension, for the economy. Gold (XAU/USD) In times of uncertainty, gold usually rallies as investors look for safe havens. But on election night, we saw the opposite: XAU/USD dropped from $2,750 to $2,643 per troy ounce. This decline tells us that investors feel less inclined to hedge their bets with gold, opting instead for assets tied to economic growth. When people pull out of safe havens, it's often a sign they’re feeling pretty good about what’s ahead. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) The dollar had its own rally, with the DXY climbing from 103.3 to 105.4. This spike reflects confidence in the U.S. economy’s potential under Trump’s leadership. With the dollar gaining strength, it’s clear that investors expect strong economic fundamentals and possibly higher interest rates—both of which could keep the dollar in demand. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) The Dow also rallied, jumping from $41,649 to $44,173. This boost is especially interesting because it reflects optimism in sectors like manufacturing, energy, and infrastructure—industries Trump has supported in the past. Investors are likely betting on policy moves that could provide a lift to U.S. industries, potentially driving corporate profits higher. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Looking forward, I’m expecting WTI prices to come under pressure as Trump likely revisits his focus on domestic oil production. If he revives the “drill, baby, drill” approach, we could see supply levels increase, which would weigh on prices. This potential shift in energy policy is something to keep an eye on, as it could create fresh trading opportunities. The Big Picture From stocks to the dollar, the market’s reaction seems to signal that Trump’s return is seen as positive for growth and stability. Reflecting on his previous term, I remember trading seemed almost simpler—beyond economic reports, following Trump’s statements (especially on Twitter) often gave insight into market sentiment. We might be looking at a similar environment now. Final Thoughts for Traders Trump’s re-election sets the stage for market dynamics we’ve seen before, with a familiar blend of optimism and volatility. For traders, this could mean more straightforward strategies, particularly by keeping an eye on policy shifts and economic indicators. With Trump’s leadership back in play, I believe the next four years could be some of the best trading years we’ve seen. Whether you’re in stocks, commodities, or forex, it’s clear the market is responding—and as traders, there’s a lot we can take away from that.
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldCartel
24
Gold Prices Plummet Amid Rising Risk AversionAfter a slight uptick yesterday, global gold prices took a sharp downturn on the morning of November 9th. Spot gold declined by $24.2 to $2,685 per ounce, while gold futures fell $21.5 to $2,692 per ounce. The surge in the US dollar following the recent political shift has put significant pressure on gold prices. As markets adapt to potential policy changes, investors are shifting towards riskier assets, leading to a sell-off in gold. Analysts predict that gold prices may fluctuate within a support range of $2,640 to $2,700. A breach below the $2,640 level could signal a further decline toward the next support at $2,600. However, the long-term outlook for gold remains optimistic, underpinned by expectations of interest rate cuts and persistent geopolitical tensions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VivianPalacios280824
Gold Price Today (Nov 9): Reversal and DeclineOn Friday, gold prices recorded a sharp decline, marking the biggest weekly drop in over five months. This decline was primarily driven by two main factors: the strength of the US dollar and expectations surrounding US interest rates, particularly in light of the potential re-election of Republican candidate Donald Trump. The strengthening of the greenback created downward pressure on gold, which typically suffers when the US dollar appreciates. At the same time, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may maintain high interest rates for an extended period to control inflation also added pressure on the gold market, causing investors to shift towards assets with higher yields. Gold prices reversed course, registering a decrease of 24.2 USD, falling to 2,684.6 USD per ounce for spot gold. According to technical analysis, the resistance level at 2,706 prevented further gains, leading to a drop toward the support level at 2,685. If this downward trend continues, gold may test the previous support level at 2,648, and the possibility of breaking through this level cannot be ruled out. As we head into the new week, it remains uncertain how gold prices will behave. Will they rise or continue to decline?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alisa_Rokosz
XAUUSD / GOLD Gold Price Analysis: Bearish Outlook and Target of 2454 Overview: Gold has been showing a clear bearish trend since late last week, signaling more downside ahead. Here’s a breakdown of the current market structure and why I’m eyeing a move down to 2454. Gold has been forming lower highs and lower lows, a typical sign of a bearish market. Buyers have struggled to push prices up, and each attempt has been met with stronger selling pressure. - Lower Highs: The fact that gold can't break above previous highs suggests weakening bullish momentum. - Lower Lows: Prices continue to break below support levels, showing that sellers are in control and driving the market lower. Key Technical Levels: - Resistance: Around 2500, sellers have stepped in repeatedly, making this a strong resistance zone. - Support: The next key level to watch is 2454, where I expect gold might find some buying interest or potentially break lower. Why I’m Targeting 2454 1. Market Sentiment: The current trend and technicals suggest sellers are in control, likely pushing gold down to 2454. 2. Economic Factors: A stronger U.S. dollar or rising interest rates could add to the selling pressure on gold. 3. Volume: Increasing volume on down days indicates institutional selling, which supports the bearish trend. Conclusion: Given the bearish structure, I’m planning to sell around 2490, targeting a move down to 2454. This level will be key—if it holds, we might see a bounce; if not, further declines could be on the horizon.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ArshlyP
Bitcoin Where Next?As of November 8, 2024 , Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $74,120.87 , reflecting a 24-hour trading volume of $105.81 billion. Our proprietary W.ARITAs algorithm has identified a pattern in Bitcoin's price movements that closely mirrors historical trends observed between April 8, 2020 , and January 7, 2021 . This historical pattern began with a significant price surge in April 2020 , following the announcement of the third Bitcoin halving event, which reduced the mining reward and increased scarcity. This event was a catalyst for a bullish trend that culminated in an all-time high (ATH) in January 2021 . Similarly, on March 9, 2024 , Bitcoin experienced a notable price increase, coinciding with the anticipation of the fourth halving event scheduled for April 19, 2024 . Historically, halving events have led to substantial price appreciations due to the reduced supply of new Bitcoins entering the market. Our analysis indicates that the current pattern, which commenced on March 9, 2024 , is expected to complete its formation by December 12, 2024 . Based on this pattern and historical precedents, we anticipate that Bitcoin will surpass its previous ATH resistance level of by the end of this year. It's important to note that after reaching the ATH in January 2021 , Bitcoin experienced a significant price correction. This downturn was influenced by various factors, including profit-taking by investors and regulatory concerns. In conclusion, while historical patterns and upcoming events like the halving suggest a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, investors should remain vigilant and consider potential market corrections. Continuous monitoring of market developments and regulatory news is essential for informed decision-making. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with a financial advisor to assess your individual risk tolerance and objectives before making any investment decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by insidermike
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by syomking76418