Gold (XAUUSD) - Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Setup!Hello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, let's discuss about Gold and it is showing a strong bullish setup with an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart . This means buyers are stepping in , and a breakout above the $2,930-$2,932 neckline could push prices higher toward the next resistance at $2,954-$2,960 . A stop-loss around $2,910-$2,906 can help manage risk in case of a pullback. Watch for volume confirmation when the breakout happens—it’ll add more strength to the move!
If Gold breaks out and holds above the neckline , we could see a good upside rally as buyers take charge. But if it fails to sustain, we might see some consolidation or even a drop. Best approach? Wait for a clean breakout and retest before jumping in. Stay sharp, manage risk, and trade smart!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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Xauusd(w)
XAU/USD Bullish Flag (06.03.25)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2949
2nd Resistance – 2969
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XAUUSD: 5/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 2930, support below 2892
Four-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2884
One-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2912
Gold news analysis: Spot gold fluctuated narrowly at high levels on Wednesday and is currently trading around $2917/oz. Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts after US President Trump imposed new tariffs, the US dollar weakened to a near three-month low, and increased safe-haven demand pushed gold prices up sharply on Tuesday, reaching an intraday high of $2927.9/oz, which has risen for two consecutive trading days. Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts after US President Trump imposed new tariffs, the US dollar weakened and safe-haven demand increased, pushing gold prices up. Given the potential economic instability and weak job market, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates ahead of schedule. Following three rate cuts last year, the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates stable. The market expects the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts in June and may cut further in September. Investors need to pay close attention to changes in the international trade situation. The latest news shows that the United States may ease the tariff issue, which may weaken the safe-haven buying of gold and provide short-term opportunities for gold bears. This week's focus turns to Wednesday's ADP employment report and Friday's US NFP employment report to find clues to the Fed's interest rate trajectory.
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold fell slightly in the Asian session and stabilized at the 2880 mark, ushering in a strong rise after bottoming out. The European session accelerated to break through and stood above the 2900 mark to continue its strong upward trend. The US session accelerated to break through the 2927 line and fell under pressure and fell into a shock consolidation. The daily chart closed with two consecutive gains.
From the current trend of gold, today's lower support focuses on the one-hour level and the daily level are 2912-2892, respectively. The upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2930. Continue to rely on this range to sell high and buy low during the day. If it breaks through 2930, it is expected to approach the historical high. Wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2892 near. SL:2887
BUY:2900 near. SL:2895
BUY:2912 near. SL:2908
SELL:2930 near. SL:2935
Trade with small size!
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Analysis:
• 1H Chart: Clear uptrend with a pullback and price stabilizing near 2918.
• 15M Chart: Price has been consolidating after a recovery from a dip.
• 3M Chart: Market is forming higher lows, showing strength.
2. Indicators:
• MACD:
• 1H Chart: Bullish momentum, MACD line above signal line.
• 15M Chart: MACD recovering from a dip.
• 3M Chart: Weakening bearish momentum, signaling potential reversal.
• RSI:
• 1H Chart: 53.84 (neutral, with room for upside).
• 15M Chart: 50.50 (balanced, indicating neither overbought nor oversold).
• 3M Chart: 57.78 (leaning bullish).
3. Support & Resistance Levels:
• Support: 2910, 2895
• Resistance: 2928, 2946
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold’s recent movement is supported by:
• Dollar weakness due to expectations of Fed rate cuts.
• Geopolitical uncertainty keeping gold as a safe-haven asset.
• U.S. Treasury Yields stabilizing, giving gold more upside room.
Trade Execution:
• Entry: 2918
• Stop Loss (SL): 2908 (10 points)
• Take Profit (TP): 2938 (20 points)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1
Rationale for Trade:
• Momentum is bullish across timeframes.
• Good confluence of technical and fundamental factors supporting upside.
• Risk is well-managed with a strong RRR of 2:1.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Cup and Handle targeting 3030.Gold is about to complete a Cup and Handle pattern on the (1h) time frame.
The buy confirmation will be a break above Resistance (1).
Trading Plan:
1. Buy after the break out happens.
Targets:
1. 3030 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. A Golden Cross (1h) has just been completed. Last time it happened was on January 2nd and was a strong buy signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Gold’s rally: $3,000/oz in Q1 2025 or a trap? New peak and sell?Gold has recently provided long traders with opportunities to step in and buy, but could the market be setting a trap—luring traders toward an all-time high (ATH) only to tumble shortly after? The $3,000 level is often seen as a sentimental milestone, yet there’s no historical trading record of gold sustainably reaching or surpassing it. So far, the rally appears driven by geopolitical tensions and typical price action behavior. Are we on the cusp of seeing gold hit $3,000 per ounce as early as Q1 2025, or is the market misleading us into thinking the pot is ready to boil over?
Two scenarios seem plausible (see image):
Gold reaches a new ATH, triggering a sell-off that draws in more buyers while allowing price action to build momentum toward $3,000/oz.Gold hits $3,000/oz, and the market turns that level into a new floor rather than a ceiling.
But if that happens, where does it go from there? That remains unclear.
What are your thoughts?
*Not financial advice.
Side note: I initially bought at $2,833.00 and took an early exit. Now holding a new entry at $2,895.00.
#FxHyenas
Is there any hope for the golden three thousand?Because the rise in the past two days is a rebound after the previous continuous decline, whether this rebound can stabilize and turn strong still needs to be observed. After the lower track of the previous rising channel broke, the support turned into pressure. It is currently fluctuating sideways near it and has not yet stood up, so it is not ruled out that there may be a suppression and decline today.
Therefore, for today's gold, focus on two positions 2900 and 2920
If it breaks below the 2900 watershed, the market is bearish, and the support below is 2880-2870, where we can see a rebound.
If the big sun stands strongly above 2920-2927, then the retracement can be seen as a second rise, and the upper pressure is near the high point of 2945-2956
Gold's upward fluctuation is in line with expectations!Today's short-term gold operation strategy recommends buying on pullbacks and shorting on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2927-2930 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2900-2902 line of support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 2927-2930 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 8 points, target near 2910-2900, break to see 2890 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 2900-2902 when gold falls back, stop loss 8 points, target near 2915-2925, break to see 2930 line;
How can gold break its position as it continues to fluctuate?Recently, bearish voices have been rising in the market. The main point is that gold cannot rise, so it will fall. However, we can see that although the current price cannot rise, it cannot fall either, which is particularly obvious at the hourly level. After each retracement, there is a rapid bottoming out and a long lower shadow, which shows that the support below is strong, which is in the process of weakening the resistance sentiment of the bears and releasing the pressure of the bears. In the process of rising, it encounters short-selling obstacles. As the price continues to rise, the resistance increases, and it is necessary to reduce the burden through selling pressure so that it can be lightly equipped in the future. Therefore, the current cross line and repeated high-level fluctuations should be regarded as corrections. This correction will not change the upward trend and the rhythm of the bull market, but is for a better rise.
Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 2956-2960 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2928-2930 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches near 2955-2958 in the early trading, stop loss 8 points, target near 2940-2935, break to see 2930 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the gold position in batches near 2930-2932 when gold falls back, stop loss 8 points, target near 2945-2955, break to see 2970 line;
Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Has gold risen and fall peaked?Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that it is mainly long for pullbacks and short for rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper short-term focus on the 2950-2954 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the 2918-2910 line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Gold rebounds around 2950-2953 and shorts two-tenths of positions in batches, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2935-2920, break the position and look at the 2915 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Gold pulls back around 2913-2916 and goes long in batches of two-tenths of positions, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2920-2930, break the position and look at the 2940 line;
Gold is waiting to break new highs, and the callback in late traFrom a technical perspective, the current upper 2924-2930 range has become a resistance zone for further increases in gold prices. The stability of the market bottom shape and the overall stronger trend in late trading indicate that gold prices are expected to break through this resistance in the future and set a new intraday high. At the same time, the 2912-2907 area below provides solid support for gold prices and provides a strong guarantee for the continuation of the bullish trend. Therefore, in the late trading operation, we recommend that investors mainly go long on callbacks.
Late trading operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go long in the 2918-2913 area, stop loss at 2907, and the target is 2930-2940.
Gold is about to see a waterfallToday's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2906-2910 first-line support. All friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are based on intraday real-time
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2908-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
Will gold fall again after rebounding?Gold is suppressed by the double top structure in the 4-hour period. Gold rebounded to 2905 and then fell back directly. Gold rebounded to 2905 in the afternoon and continued to go short on highs. The gold short position has just begun and there is no fear of rebound. Gold is just rebounding. Gold will go short directly after the rebound to 2905. Gold will fall as expected and be harvested first. Gold is still just a rebound and will continue to go short on the rebound. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that shorting will be the main focus on rebounds, and longs will be supplemented by callbacks. The upper short-term focus will be on the 2903-2905 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus will be on the 2864-2834 first-line support. Friends, you must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches near 2903-2905 when gold rebounds, stop loss 6 points, target near 2890-2875, break to see 2865 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches near 2864-2866 when gold pulls back, stop loss 6 points, target near 2875-2885, break to see 2895 line;
Can gold break through the high-level fluctuations?Gold technical analysis: Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated and rebounded all the way. Today's early trading is close to the historical high of 2940 again. So can it successfully break through 2940 and set a new historical high again? The more times a position is tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Therefore, the probability of gold prices reaching a new high is very high.
At present, the support below is mainly in the 2915-2910 area. In addition, we also know that last year’s market also tested retracements near consecutive historical highs. Then there was a retracement near 2940 on Friday last week. Today’s 2940 retracement. I don’t know if 2940 will continue to suppress the retracement in the future. But you can still try a short-term short near 2940. After all, the cost-effectiveness of the retreat here is very high. The defense is very small. The short-term retreat is considerable. Of course, this is an aggressive approach. If you are prudent, wait for the gold price to rise and then participate in the retreat. At present, the author only sees the pressure of 2955. Therefore, if it hits the 2955 line, you can do a good job of risk control and participate in the retreat.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2905-2900 first-line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2906-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
Will gold fall again after stabilizing and rebounding?In terms of short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2916-2920 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2890-2895 line of support. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, and set a stop loss strictly.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2916-2920, stop loss 6 points, target around 2900-2895, break to see 2890 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2890-2893, stop loss 6 points, target around 2900-2910, break to see 2915 line;
Gold in MONTHLY Time frame ( important) Hi friends this is my analysis about XAUUSD in monthly time frame ..
gold is on the dynamic resistance
what do u think about reaction to this resistance ?
((i think it have respect to the blue dynamic trend ))
but then in the longterm its bullish
what do u think ?
plz tell me in the coment
XAU/USD Analysis & Market Insights📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance at 2,934.00
Strong supply zone where price has previously rejected.
Multiple tests of this area indicate seller pressure.
Short-term Resistance at 2,920-2,925
Price is consolidating near this zone.
A rejection could lead to a downward move.
📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels:
Support at 2,846.88 - 2,832.72 (Demand Zone)
Strong reaction zone where buyers stepped in.
Previous price action suggests liquidity in this area.
Deeper Support at 2,720-2,680
If 2,832 breaks, this is the next key demand area.
Aligned with moving averages, adding confluence.
📉 Current Market Outlook:
Price recently bounced from the 2,846-2,832 support, showing buyers’ presence.
However, the 2,920-2,925 area is acting as resistance.
If the price fails to break higher, a move back toward 2,846 or even 2,720 is possible.
📈 Potential Trading Setups:
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 2,920 after a clear rejection.
Target 1: 2,846
Target 2: 2,832, with possible extension to 2,720.
Stop Loss: Above 2,935 to avoid fakeouts.
🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario):
Entry: Break and hold above 2,934.00 with confirmation.
Target 1: 2,960
Target 2: 3,000+
Stop Loss: Below 2,915 to minimize risk.
📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers
1️⃣ US ISM Services PMI & ADP Jobs Report:
The ISM Services PMI increased to 53.5, signaling stronger services inflation and employment.
However, the ADP Employment Report showed a disappointing 77K jobs, far below the expected 140K, weighing on the USD.
2️⃣ Trump’s Tariffs & USD Weakness:
Trump announced massive tariffs on trade partners, affecting risk sentiment.
While he downplayed negative effects, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at potential tariff rollbacks, boosting risk appetite.
This weakened the USD, allowing gold to rise.
3️⃣ Upcoming ECB Decision:
The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, which could further impact market sentiment and gold’s direction.
If the rate cut weakens the EUR, gold could see more upside.
📌 Final Thoughts:
2,920-2,925 remains a key resistance for short-term direction.
A break above 2,934 could signal bullish continuation.
A rejection from current levels could push price back toward 2,846 or lower.
Fundamentals favor gold's strength as the USD weakens due to poor job data and trade uncertainty.
🚀 Key Decision Zone: Watch price action near 2,920-2,925!
1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. US Dollar),1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. US Dollar),
Chart Breakdown:
1. Key Levels & Market Structure:
• Support & Resistance: Blue lines highlight important support and resistance levels.
• Price Action: The price is attempting a breakout from a previously rejected zone, marked by orange circles and lines.
• Potential Breakout: If the price breaks above the 2,925 level, the next target could be between 2,952 - 2,960.
2. Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: The red zone represents a potential stop-loss area, around 2,913.
• Target Zone: The take-profit zone is marked between 2,952 - 2,960.
• Price Projection: If the price successfully breaks out, it could form a higher high and continue the bullish momentum.
Conclusion:
This setup suggests a bullish breakout opportunity if the price moves above resistance. However, if the breakout fails, the price may retrace back to the support level.
This time I still choose to short gold!!!Brothers, gold rebounded to the 2925-2930 area as scheduled, which is in line with our expectations. Therefore, when the gold price touched this area, I immediately followed my idea to short gold. Brothers who have read my previous posts should know that you can basically make good profits when you follow my ideas and trading strategies. I hope you will do the same this time.
At present, gold is still in a situation of narrow range fluctuations, and it is difficult for gold prices to break through the 2930-2935 area in the short term. Therefore, in the next trading rhythm, we still maintain the attitude of shorting gold, and pay attention to the support of the 2910-2900 area below in the short term.
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Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 03.03.2025As it's a new monthly candle, Gold needs some upside LQ before it can carry on dropping. Right now my bias is;
Option 1: Gold pushes higher, from current market price towards $2,900.
Option 2: Gold drops a little lower towards $2,856 zone before rejecting and buyers step in again.
Gold Swing Trading PlanFrom the trend point of view. Comparing the long and short positions, the shorts are still slightly stronger, with the upper resistance of 2930-2935. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2920. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. From the trend point of view, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the rebound and continuation of the breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of long power, the shorts will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for shorting gold. Now we have shorted gold around 2020-2930. The target is 2915-2905 area, wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
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