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Xauusd-analyse

Gold continues to fluctuate. The direction is uncertain.Gold prices did not have a large continuation breakthrough on Friday due to the impact of the US Independence Day holiday; although the non-agricultural data on Thursday fell rapidly under the unfavorable conditions and formed a bottoming-out situation, the short-term bulls and bears were once again in a deadlock. After a small sideways movement on Friday morning, it rose again. Although it did not break through the upper pressure line of 3345, it still closed in the form of a positive line, which also gave the bulls hope to dominate next week. At present, the upper key pressure is still maintained at the 3345 line, which is also the first point for the bulls to break through. Once the upper breakthrough is successful, the next target will be maintained at around 3365-3380. The support below is maintained at around 3325. If this position is broken down on Monday, the support of 3325 will not be maintained, and the bears will continue to open the downward channel. But overall, the market direction is still unclear, and we can conduct trial transactions. Go long when the price falls back to 3325 on Monday in the Asian market, the profit range is 3340-3350, and the stop loss is 3315. If the European market continues to strengthen, you can still go long. If the European market continues to strengthen, we can still continue to go long. Otherwise, we still need to adjust our thinking in a timely manner.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Non-farm data exceeded expectations. Will prices fall temporarilInformation summary: Affected by the US Independence Day, the June non-farm data was released in advance. This non-farm data surprised the market, far below expectations and previous values, with a significant increase in employment exceeding expectations and previous values, and a sharp drop in unemployment to 4.1%. The market bet that the July rate cut plan would be directly scrapped. After the employment data was released, the gold price quickly plummeted to $3,312, but the sharp drop in the market had poor continuity and ultimately did not form a unilateral decline. Market analysis: Due to the US Independence Day holiday, the US market was closed. In fact, the only thing left for us is the Asian and European markets. And today is the last trading day of this week, and the market is likely to maintain a state of consolidation. From the 1-hour chart, the price fell after testing the 3,360 high twice. The negative impact of the non-farm data accelerated the decline, and the decline did not continue, and a new support level was formed near 3,323 after the decline. At present, the price is impacting around 3,345, and the bulls are expected to rebound upward and return to the upward trend. I think the current market continues to rebound, with the lower low of 3323 as the dividing point, and high sell and low buy operations in the consolidation area of ​​3320-3350. This is the last trading day of this week. I wish all traders a perfect ending and a perfect weekend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Data is about to be released. Trend change?Affected by the ADP employment data, gold prices broke through 3345 and continued to fluctuate upward to 3365 US dollars. This trend fully shows that the position of 3345 US dollars is the watershed between long and short. From the 1-hour chart, the overall market is still fluctuating upward. Although it has fallen slightly, I think it is accumulating momentum for a second rise. ADP employment data is negative for the first time. Non-agricultural employment data will be released in 3 hours. The market expects 110,000 jobs. I think the data that may be released will be worse. The number of jobs will decrease and the unemployment rate will also increase, which will drive gold prices to continue to rise. From a technical perspective, the RSI indicator is currently hovering around 58.7, showing strong upward momentum. MA5-day and 10-day moving averages form a golden cross and continue to rise. The current upward high has not appeared. The gold price may refresh the intraday high of 3365 again. At present, the upward pressure focuses on 3365-3375 US dollars. The support level is around 3345, which is also the turning point for the upward movement of the MA5 daily moving average. Operation strategy: Buy near 3350, stop loss at 3340, and profit range 3370-3375.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Gold falls back, is a bottom structure emerging?In terms of one-hour structure, this round of phased adjustment started from 3450 has not ended yet, but it will soon, especially the rapid rebound after the bottom of 3260 on Monday. This rebound has strong momentum. After bottoming out and rebounding, it is currently fluctuating around 3340, with a large overall span. This also shows that after the price has risen, the amplitude of the correction has increased, which means that the upward space is limited. This adjustment is likely to be over soon, but there is no definite bottom structure yet, so we need to wait for some time. Before going out of the definite bottom structure, based on the principle of following the trend, you can try to short with a light position. At present, in terms of the one-hour pattern, the key point is here at 3355, and it is currently falling back from this position to 3340. If it falls back to the 3320 area today and stabilizes above it, you can operate a long strategy. On the whole, Quaid suggests that the short-term operation strategy for gold today should be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. Operation strategy: Short at 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3330-3325. Long at 3320, stop loss at 3310, profit range 3340-3345.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold is rising. Second starting point?Information summary: 1. The US dollar index has experienced the longest consecutive monthly decline since 2017. The weakening of the US dollar has increased the attractiveness of gold denominated in US dollars to non-US dollar holders, becoming an important support factor for gold prices. 2. Trump's continued pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has formed a resonance effect with the weakening of the US dollar, which has jointly pushed up the short-term attractiveness of gold. Multiple factors are intertwined, and gold has risen slightly again. Market analysis: Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Monday, showing a positive closing, and above 3300. After falling sideways for 5 consecutive trading days last week, although it fell for a short time on Monday, it did not continue. In this case, whether a new high can be reached, the watershed is the 3295 line. As long as the European session breaks the high, the long position is near the starting point of 3305 in the early trading session. At present, the main focus is on the upper resistance around 3325. It opened directly upward on Tuesday, but did not break through too much space, unless it directly broke through 3325-3330; then the next resistance is around 3340. At present, the bulls are still running at a high level. The upward trend line generated after the reversal is more obvious, and the trend line has good effectiveness. Since the current market is in the first wave of rise, the high point has not been confirmed. Quaid believes that when the high point is clear and the price falls back to the support area, consider entering the market to go long based on the support level. Of course, aggressive trading can choose to buy around 3320 and choose a suitable high point to take profit. Operation strategy: Short near the rebound 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3310-3300 Long near the fall 3305, stop loss 3290, profit range 3320-3335
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold long-short strategy US trading range operation Gold prices (XAU/USD) recovered some of their losses during Monday's Asian trading session, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates further this year (and perhaps earlier than previously expected). This prospect weighed on the dollar, making dollar-denominated gold more attractive to overseas buyers. However, the recent improvement in global risk sentiment (driven by the US-China trade agreement and the Israeli-Iranian ceasefire agreement) may reduce the safe-haven demand for gold. Investors will now turn their attention to upcoming comments from Federal Reserve officials, with Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expected to speak later in the day. Gold prices recovered, accumulating around the 3,300 price range at the beginning of the new week. Still in a major downtrend. ⭐️Set Gold Price: 🔥Sell Gold Area: 3316-3318 SL 3323 TP1: $3305 TP2: $3290 TP3: $3277 🔥Buy Gold Area: $3248-$3246 SL $3241 TP1: $3258 TP2: $3270 TP3: $3286 ⭐️Technical Analysis: Set reasonable buy orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support and resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
1
Gold is trading sideways. Has it reached a high point?On the first trading day of this week, after hitting 3247 in the early Asian session, it quickly rebounded to around 3295, and then fell back slightly. It is currently maintained at around 3285. From the hourly chart, the Fibonacci 0.618 position of this trend from 3247 to 3297 is at 3278. The price has always been above 3278, but it has only fallen below this position in a very short time. If the retracement does not break through the 0.618 position, there is a high probability that there will be a high point in the subsequent trend. Next, we should focus on the area around 3280. If the price always closes above 3280, then today's high point of 3297 will most likely be refreshed. If the upward trend is opened again, it is very likely to touch around 3310. 3310 is also the current 0.618 position. And it is also the top position of this hourly chart range. Therefore, we should be cautious when shorting gold above 3280, as there is a high probability that it will reach above 3300. Aggressive trading can rely on entering the market and going long near 3280, and the profit range is between 3300-3310. For short strategy trading, Quaid recommends that it is safer to short when the price rebounds near 3310.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations 📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week. Technical analysis: Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short. 💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
1
Non-agricultural data is coming. Will it affect the market trendBecause there will be non-agricultural data next week, Quaid thinks that the market will not be in a hurry to perform at the beginning of the week. And Friday is the US Independence Day, and the market will be closed in advance; maybe only Wednesday and Thursday are really needed. This week, gold closed below 3300, and the daily line was also broken, and gold officially entered a bearish trend. First look at the monthly line chart Because next Monday is the last day of June, the monthly line will start to close, so you can still pay attention to the support of the monthly line. The MA5 moving average below the monthly line is currently around 3170. Moreover, with the support of non-agricultural data next week, the possibility of touching around 3170 is not ruled out. Secondly, from the weekly line chart The weekly line is basically the same as the monthly line. The MA20 moving average below is also around 3170. So next week, I think we should focus on around 3170. The monthly line and the weekly line resonate, so the probability of touching this position is very high. Finally, let's look at the daily chart. The daily chart shows a downward trend and the short-term support has been broken. The current support is around 3250. I think there is a high probability of a small sideways consolidation at the beginning of the week. If the market conditions are eager to change, it may rebound slightly and then continue to decline. If it falls below 3250, it will continue to fall towards 3200. If this level is broken, it may hit the low point of 3170-3175.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Gold has been falling continuously. Will it continue next week?Market review: The conflict between Israel and Iran intensified, and gold surged in the early stage, and then continued to fluctuate downward. Affected by the situation in the Middle East and weak data from the United States, it fell severely in three trading days, and most of the other time periods were in the stage of repeated washing. The first round of decline began at the high point of 3452. Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the price rose rapidly, but the rapid rise led to insufficient upward momentum, and the departure of buyers led to continuous declines in a single trading day. The second round of decline was affected by the easing of the conflict between Iran and Israel, and the US dollar, crude oil, and gold all plunged sharply; the third round of decline was Powell's wait-and-see attitude towards the interest rate cut policy, and some US data were bearish for gold, leading to a new round of decline. Market outlook for next week: The breaking of the key support bands of 3303 and 3295 means that the downward adjustment has not ended, but after touching the support near 3250, there was a clear bottoming out and recovery. It means that there is strong support below, and the focus of next week's opening is the emergence of price rebound. There were rebounds to varying degrees after the previous two rounds of decline, so this round of decline still needs to be paid attention to. The strategy mainly revolves around shorting on price rebound, with a focus on the upward suppression range of 3285-3310. If the rebound is small, then at the beginning of next week, it is likely to maintain a small fluctuation in the range of 3270-3285.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
7
Gold is weak. Can it continue?Gold is still fluctuating and falling slightly today. Gold is weak, so gold is likely to be short-term. If the price rebounds, it will be a short opportunity. We need to pay attention to the release of US PCE data later. From the 1-hour chart the moving average continues to cross the short arrangement and diverge downward. After gold fell below the early support near 3340, it began to move downward weakly. The current upward pressure is around 3295-3310. From the daily chart, the price is below the MA20 cycle and the 50 cycle, but remains above the 100 cycle. The technical indicators turned higher, but the momentum indicator is at a neutral level, and the RSI index is around 42.7, which does not point to an upward trend. Since the upcoming data may have some impact on the price, the price may have a short-term high opportunity. Steady trading is still waiting for the price to rise and then short. Of course, if your trading strategy is more aggressive, you can use a long strategy before the price rises. Operation suggestions: Radical: Buy near 3280, stop loss at 3265, profit range 3305-3310. Conservative: Wait for the price to rise and then bear pressure, sell near 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3290-3285.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold breaks down. It may reach a low point.From the current market daily chart The absolute support of gold is around 3280. Gold is basically in the process of maintaining this daily trend support line. Therefore, I personally think that around 3280 is a long-short dividing line for gold. If gold falls below 3280 on the daily line, it is very likely that the decline will just begin. On the contrary, be careful. If 3280 does not fall below, there is still a possibility of rebounding. In the 4-hour chart, from the high point of 3450 to now, the 0.382 position is just around yesterday's high point of 3350. The 0.618 position is at 3325, and the final 100% position is around 3280. 3280 also coincides with the daily chart. Therefore, gold must at least test around 3280 today, and it is not ruled out that there will be lower positions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
XAUUSD 1H–Power of 3, Liquidity Grab, FVG Fill & Bullish TargetThis is a classic Smart Money Concept (ICT) setup XAUUSD 1H – Power of 3, Liquidity Grab, FVG Fill & Bullish Targeting OB + Major Pool. Accumulation at the bottom Liquidity grab below SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) Expecting bullish expansion toward: FVG fills Break of BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity) Tap or break of OB (Order Block) Final target: Major Liquidity Pool ~3380–3390 🧠 Trade Plan: Entry: After SSL sweep + bullish confirmation (FVG or MSB) TP1: FVG fill TP2: BSL break TP3: OB or final pool zone SL: Below manipulation wick.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
Gold is sideways. Is a new trend brewing?Information summary: On June 23, Trump announced that Iran and Israel reached a comprehensive ceasefire, but the asymmetric terms of the agreement caused the conflict to continue. Israel launched another air strike on Iran, and Israel threatened to kill Iranian senior officials. The uncertainty of geopolitical risks continues to support gold prices. Market analysis: From the 4-hour chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages show signs of upward divergence, and the K-line stands firm on the moving average support and fluctuates upward. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough and decline of the 3350 pressure level. The current market's downward momentum has weakened, and the overall market remains volatile. We need to be wary of the risk of short-term adjustments after continuous surges. Be alert to the short-term adjustment risks after continuous highs. Operation strategy: Short near the price rebound of 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range: 3330-3320.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Can we still go long if the decline of gold intensifies? 📊Comment Analysis Looking back at today's trend, it rose to a high of 3350, and then continued to retreat. The current low is 3310. At present, due to the upward trend line broken by the hourly line, many orders can only be short. The trend is still biased to the short side, and the current market risk aversion does not facilitate the longs. But first of all, one thing can be confirmed that this round of gold decline lasted for a long time, which also enhanced the execution of gold to go long near 3310-3320 in the future. Since gold has fluctuated greatly in the past two days, it means that the end point of emotions will not disappear so easily for the time being. In the short-term K-line pattern, continuous short-side artillery should not be constantly changed and increased. It is necessary to stop and see appropriately. The early trading is relatively difficult to grasp, but at least the current market has given some signals, so I hope that when the market is in place, your execution will be strong enough, and then you can look at gold according to the trading signals I gave. The rehearsal is definitely exciting enough, but the actual operation is not that simple! 💰Strategy Package Gold: Pay attention to the low-long opportunities of 3310-3220 in the US market, and defend at the 3300 line. If the retracement continues, go long directly. Otherwise, the upper resistance will be around 3345! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
Gold fluctuates upward. Trend change?Yesterday, the gold daily line closed with a middle-yin candlestick with a lower shadow. The closing price has lost the middle and lower rail positions one after another, and the short-term downward pressure adjustment will continue. The hourly level shows a bottoming out and rebound, and it rose in the early Asian session, breaking through the pressure resistance of 3328-3332 in the European and US sessions yesterday, but it did not continue the rebound and fell into a narrow range. At present, there is still great resistance above 3340, and it has failed to break through after many attempts, but the hourly line track has not been completely lost. Pay attention to the 3315 support for long positions, and pay attention to the 3340-3355 short position range for upward movement. For the period of shock, strong support or resistance will inevitably produce inertial puncture behavior, and some errors are normal. We need to pay attention to the market trend at all times and change strategies in time. Today we need to focus on the response strategies for resistance and support levels, which will determine whether we can achieve profits within the fluctuation range. Good luck to everyone.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Eyes on Powell testimony H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 now market is range of 3290-3335 structural support. What's possible scanarios we have? As we have seen market rejected multiple times today at 3335 and still on downside. if H4 remains belo6 3330-3335 then keep your eyes at 3305 then 3290 milestone. On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes above 3335 buyying will be rapture and market will tap the Volume Gap at 3365 then 3380. Additional TIP: Above 3335 keep buy Below 3325 keep sell #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
Gold fluctuates, 3300 may fall below.Gold fell to 3333 on Tuesday and then rose to around 3358, then began to fall slowly due to resistance, continued to fall in the European session, and fell to around 3295 in the US session, and rebounded in the late trading, rebounding to around 3325, and the daily line closed with a negative line with a lower shadow. In addition, Israel and Iran both accused each other of violating the agreement, which brought uncertainty to the gold market. After the sharp drop in gold last week, except for the correction of the cross positive line on Tuesday last week, the daily level has closed five consecutive negative lines since last Wednesday until now, fully demonstrating that the gold price has shown a weak feature of fluctuating downward in recent transactions. From the technical indicators, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average cross downward, which indicates an important signal that the market trend is weakening in the short term. The current gold price continues to run below the moving average, further verifying the current market situation where shorts dominate. In terms of resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently around 3350, and the 10-day moving average is around 3370. These two price levels constitute the key resistance range in the upward process of gold prices. As long as the gold price fails to effectively break through this resistance band, it is likely to continue to be weak in the short term. At the support level, pay attention to the 60-day moving average around 3290. Operation strategy: Short gold rebounds around 3350, stop loss 3360, profit range 3320-3310. Go long gold falls back to around 3295, stop loss 3285, profit range 3330-3340. The market conditions are often not what we ideally want. This is the market, and it is also a form of trading practice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold is under pressure. Will the trend change?Information summary: The easing of tensions in the Middle East is the main reason for the suppression of gold. Risk aversion has weakened, and the market has entered a risk-taking mode. Gold prices are well supported near $3,300. Powell released an important signal: The market expected Powell to strongly refute the possibility of a rate cut, but he remained on the sidelines. The market still generally believes that the July 29-30 meeting is unlikely to initiate a rate cut, and the first rate cut is expected to be in September. Market analysis: Gold has fallen for seven consecutive weeks, which has changed the current bull structure in stages, so there is no doubt that gold is expected to fall back as a whole. The early decline was near 3355, which is the current long-short watershed of gold. As long as the adjustment does not break through the 3355 position, the overall short-term adjustment pattern of gold will not change. The early Asian market did not continue to retreat, but the short-term rebound had a long buying force accumulation, but as long as it did not break through 3355, the market trend was still weak, and it was adjusted by low-level shock correction. Today, there is a high probability of movement around the falling range. The short-term support below is around 3290. If this position is lost, it may touch the turning point around 3275. Operation strategy: Go long when the price falls back to around 3315, stop loss at 3305, and profit range 3345-3350.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold today high-altitude low-multiple operation 📌 Gold news On Tuesday, the spot gold price plummeted, hitting a two-week low. The main reason was that Iran and Israel announced a ceasefire, which suppressed the demand for safe-haven gold. In addition, Fed Chairman Powell made hawkish remarks, which also hit the gold price trend. Short-term long-short game will focus on the PCE inflation data to be released by the United States. If the economic data performs poorly or inflation continues to fall, it may still provide a medium-term rebound opportunity for gold. 📊Comment analysis Yesterday, gold was weak overall, and the decline and rebound were limited. It fell directly from around 3357 to 3295, and then rebounded according to the news. It ran around 3326 in the morning. From a technical point of view, the daily low trend line support is around 3290, the 4-hour long lower shadow line bottomed out, and three consecutive positive rebounds, the daily line supports the lower track of the Bollinger band, and the Bollinger band tends to be parallel. There is no sign of opening downward, so the short-term decline of gold prices is limited. Consider paying attention to the support of 3294 during the day, and mainly use this position for defense and low long. Pay attention to the important suppression of the middle track 3363 above, and mainly short. 💰Strategy Package Focus on the support near 3316-3317 in the short term, rely on this position to go long, stop loss 3307, take profit near 3345, and break 3363. If it falls strongly below 3294, then don't consider going long during the day. Gold operation strategy: long near 3316, stop loss 3307. Take profit 3345 ⭐️ Note: Labaron is not 100% correct here, only a steady operation idea, large warehouse for trend, small warehouse for wave, control the proportion by yourself, there is no unprofitable investment, only unsuccessful orders, whether to make money depends on the timing of buying up and buying down, making money depends on opportunities, investment depends on wisdom, and financial management depends on professionalism.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
1
Gold continues to decline, can it still change the trend?Information summary: Will the Fed cut interest rates in July? The latest statements of Fed officials have released a heavy signal. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that as long as inflationary pressures remain moderate, she will support a rate cut at the next policy meeting in July. At the same time, Trump has continued to put pressure on the Fed. Next, investors need to pay attention to the testimony of Fed Chairman Powell on the semi-annual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee today. Market analysis: Gold fell sharply today, directly breaking the key support level of 3350. From a 4-hour perspective, the MA moving average shows a short trend arrangement, and the MA5\10 moving average crosses the MA20/30 long-term moving average downward, which indicates that the short force is dominant. In addition, the RSI indicator also fell rapidly and entered the oversold area, but this may also suggest that prices have a rebound trend in the short term. I think the current market price decline trend is more obvious, unless there is significant positive data, the gold price may continue to decline.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1