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Xauusd-analyse

As expected, gold prices continue to fall 📌 Gold driving factors There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market. One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect. The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, they all need good economic data to boost. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession will increase. Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or implementation of rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa. The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time. 📊Comment Analysis Recently, we have been very good at controlling the gold market. Keeping an eye on the changes in fundamental news is the focus of research and judgment. Of course, the technical direction is also of reference value. The next market will revolve around fundamental news, especially in the context of tariffs. The non-agricultural data exceeded expectations, and the tariff issue may see "dawn". If it can be confirmed in the near future, the risk aversion sentiment will subside in the short term, which is not conducive to the rise of gold prices. There is a high probability that there is room for retracement, so there is no rush to chase now. 💰Strategy Package Operation ideas for next week: Gold 3265 short, stop loss 3275, target 3230-3220;. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Non-farm data is released, and gold is still going to fall. 📌 Gold information Today, the market will usher in the heavy non-farm data for April. From the expected value, there are only 130,000 people, far lower than the expected 228,000 people, and the unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. If we refer to the unsatisfactory ADP data in April, then the number of non-farm people in April should have declined, or it is lower than expected, but the ADP data cannot fully correspond to the final non-farm data. This is the answer given to us by too many experiences in the past, so it cannot be concluded that the non-farm data this time will be lower than expected. 📊Comment analysis Combined with the technical aspect, the strong technical pressure above the international gold price is around 3280, and then the 3300 mark. Even if it rebounds next, the pressure of the above two prices cannot be broken, and there is still a probability of a pullback adjustment. The initial support below is 3230, and after breaking through the position, it will follow the trend to explore 3205. 💰Strategy Package If today's non-agricultural data cannot provide strong support for gold prices, the rise in gold prices in the short term will be difficult to sustain. The specific decision can only be made after the final release of the afternoon data and the guidance on prices. The trend fluctuations tonight will be very intense. Remember to strictly control your positions to prevent risks. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold is still in a weak phaseIn terms of news: international tensions have eased recently, the United States may reduce tariffs on Chinese goods, Russia-Ukraine peace talks have made progress, market demand for hedging has weakened, and funds have shifted from gold to risk assets. At the same time, the mining agreement between the United States and Ukraine boosted the U.S. dollar in a short period of time. The U.S. dollar index strengthened and broke through the 100 mark. The appreciation of the U.S. dollar caused the relative depreciation of gold and suppressed the price. Technical aspects: From the current market, gold is in a downward trend in the short term. In the short term, we should first pay attention to the suppression of 3260 US dollars on the top. Pay attention to the gains and losses of 3200 yesterday on the bottom. If it falls below 3200, it may further go to 3167. Trading ideas: Short gold near 3260, stop loss 3270, target 3240
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal
Gold plummeted as expected. Operation strategy?In my last analysis, Quaid predicted that gold was at risk of falling and breaking. Quaid promptly told everyone that they could short trade at 3310-3320. At present, the market situation is basically consistent with Quaid's expectations. As of now, gold has fallen to a low point near 3215. And it has been maintained for some time. Quaid speculates that gold will continue to maintain a bearish trend and continue to retreat. Quaid data analysis: From the hourly chart, gold is currently following a wave trend, and the highest point of 3352 is the starting point of wave A. The high point of wave b is at 3320. If the current 3220 is the beginning of the low point of wave C, then be careful of its continued decline. Trading strategy: In terms of the next operation, Quaid suggests waiting for short trading near 3225. If gold falls below 3210 again, then the bottom can directly look towards the 3190-3200 range. Quaid warned everyone not to think that the trading range is very large; because the trading markets in some Asian countries are closed, any terrible thing could happen. It is recommended that everyone take profits in time.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
The gold correction continues!On the news: Gold prices fell for a third day in a row as signs that trade talks between the United States and China may be progressing dampened demand for safe-haven assets. News that the Trump administration is about to announce the first batch of agreements, which will reduce planned tariffs on some countries, also eased concerns about the outlook for global trade. Technical aspects: After the current gold market broke down, it started to fall from around 3270, which is also the key position for us to continue to bet on the market falling. At present, the short position of gold is more advantageous. Then in the short term, gold will focus on the support near 3233. If it falls below, then gold will reach the 3200 mark.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal
Gold suddenly rose. Be wary of gold’s retracement?The ADP report released in the morning said that the pace of hiring slowed sharply in April as companies prepared to deal with the possible impact of US President Trump's tariffs on US trading partners. This month, the number of new jobs in the US private sector was only 62,000, the smallest increase since July 2024, significantly lower than the expectation of 115,000, and slower than the 147,000 increase after the downward revision in March. After the data was released, spot gold rose in the short term and once touched around $3,320. Gold fell to a low of 3,266 in the morning. With the release of ADP data, it was another short-term rise of $50-60. Many traders may not know where to start with the current gold market and think it is still in the process of rectification. Of course, it is definitely not wrong to look at it this way, after all, gold is still in the process of rectification. However, traders should be alert that some Asian countries have entered a trading suspension state starting today, and it will last for about 5 days. The price of gold may fall during this period. Quaid's analysis: Gold rose to around 3320 in the morning, but failed to break through the upward resistance level of 3325. And 3320 is the 618 position of the trend Fibonacci from 3352 to the low point of 3266. If 3320 is the current high point of wave B, then 3352 is point A. Then point C is likely to appear around 3230. Therefore, Quide believes that gold is likely to break down. Operation suggestions: Short at 3305-2210, stop loss at 3317, and take profit at 3250-3230. Thank you for reading. If traders can leave your different suggestions, Quide will be very grateful to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
1
The gold market fluctuated sideways. Waiting for a new trend?OANDA:XAUUSD During the Asian trading session, gold prices maintained a slight decline; in the early European trading, gold began to fall sharply, but it was still within the trend range expected by Quaid. Today, the initial value of the US real GDP in the first quarter of 2025 will be released, and it is expected to grow by 0.3% at an annualized quarterly rate, after a strong growth of 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024. If the world's largest economy unexpectedly shrinks, it will re-ignite bets on a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. And this data will boost the upward trend of gold. On the other hand, if the cooling of US economic growth is less than expected, it may bring a short-term relief to the overall market and the US dollar, which will continue to put gold under corrective downward pressure. However, traders will remain cautious before the release of US ADP employment data this week; this data will limit the reaction of gold prices to GDP data. US non-farm payrolls will help the market assess whether US tariffs have had a substantial impact on the labor market. Current trend analysis: The daily line closed negative, and it is still bearish today. At the same time, yesterday's decline encountered 3300 support. In this pattern, regardless of today's strength, short once and see how the European session trends. If the European session falls, short the US session; if the European session rises strongly, the US session may remain volatile. If the European session breaks the downward channel, the US session may continue to fall. Hi guys, if you want a solid trade, please wait for the US GDP data this morning. Quaid conducts gold trading after professional analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
The gold strategy is correct, enter the market at key points.Gold clearly treated the wide range of fluctuations, and the strategy was basically realized! In the real market, I also arranged short orders at 3345 and 35, and took profit at 3313-14! I continued to arrange long orders at 3302, and finally successfully reached the profit target of 3315! The overall harvest was good. Analysis of gold trend: On Tuesday (April 29) in the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $3337.58/ounce. Gold prices reversed their decline on Monday and rose. Earlier, they fell to around $3268, but then there was a low-absorption buying, and gold prices closed at $3343.91/ounce; the dollar fell across the board on Monday, which also provided support for gold prices. Investors cautiously waited for further news on US trade policies and prepared for a week of intensive economic data, which may initially indicate whether US President Trump's trade war is having an impact. From a technical perspective, gold prices reversed their decline on Monday and rose. Gold repeatedly tested the 3260-3270 area for support. Gold has formed a multiple bottom structure in the short term, so gold may end its short-term adjustment. This time, gold has already adjusted, and it is unlikely to adjust again. Therefore, as long as it does not break the 3260 low in the near future, gold will rise and there will be room for growth. As for the high point, there are two dividing points, one is the 3337 high point, breaking 3337 is a strong shock, and the other is the 3370 high point, breaking 3370 is absolutely strong, then, the upper space is opened, and then look at 3420-3500. From the daily chart, the daily line forms three bottoms at 3260, and the daily line closes positively, and the bullish trend is obvious. As long as the daily line is positive, it will not be able to go to the upper track or the previous high is just around the corner. The 4-hour cycle is also absolutely strong after Monday's rise, but now the unilateral rising mode of the Bollinger opening has not yet formed, and the gains and losses of 3370 will be tested here. Therefore, if the bullish long position continues on Tuesday, it must pay attention to whether 3370 breaks. If 3370 breaks, there will be a strong unilateral rising space. If 3370 does not break, it will still be a large range of fluctuations. Then, the only thing to consider during the day is to adjust the long position. Today, the lower support is around 3300-3310, and the upper pressure is around 3350-3360.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold's counterattack? Today's market analysisGold has repeatedly tested the 3260-3270 area to gain support. Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the short term, so the short-term adjustment of gold may end. Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the 1-hour, and the 1-hour moving average has also begun to gradually turn. If it can turn upward and form a golden cross, then the 1-hour bulls of gold will exert their strength again. Stimulated by risk aversion, gold in the U.S. market once again broke through and rose, and finally broke through Monday's high. Then the first-line suppression of gold near 3335 did not form effective resistance. When gold fell back in the Asian market, we first followed the trend and went long. Gold quickly bottomed out at 3320 first-line support in early trading and then rebounded quickly. Then gold should only be operated in the short term or go long on dips. Operation ideas: Short-term long: 3310-3315 long, stop loss 3300, target 3350-3370; Short-term short: 3350-3360 short, stop loss 3365, target, 3315-3310; Friends, don’t be afraid of missing the market, wait patiently for your own opportunity, the market will never neglect those who are prepared.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Gold is trying to break through the upward channelGold started the new week on a bad note, hitting a low of 3260 in the morning, followed by a small shock adjustment; then it began to rise sharply. As of press time, it has risen to around 3350 and tried to break through the upward resistance. Although some of gold's safe-haven appeal has weakened, its overall forecast and price trend remain optimistic. Until we see clear lower highs, lower lows, and a solid trade agreement rather than more political bragging from the Trump administration, the possibility of gold setting new highs cannot be underestimated. Surface calm hides potential risks Although last week's market movements and today's early trading performance show that the market is calming down, any sense of security is fragile. Under the surface, key risks remain: trade tensions, recession concerns, and uncertainty about monetary policy are real. Ongoing trade negotiations remain a key factor. If the United States sticks to its position on tariffs or the negotiations break down, risk aversion may quickly pick up, boosting demand for gold again. Quaid's analysis: Based on last week's market situation, Quaid conducted an analysis of gold's trend this week over the weekend. As I predicted, gold is trying to break through and try a new high. Gold has risen to around 3350, and 3365 is a key resistance level in the upward trend. If the gold price breaks through this position and can maintain horizontal development, it will continue to rise in a stable situation. From the upside, the initial resistance level is $3365, followed by $3430. If the bullish momentum is restored, it may soon hit the historical high of $3500 again. On the contrary, if the price fails to break through the 3365 resistance level, Quaid believes that it is necessary to pay attention to the key support at the 3285 position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold market, further decline is likelyOANDA:XAUUSD Continue to test the support level of 3270 points, looking for a breakthrough. Any easing of the Sino-US conflict may trigger a price drop. But things are not so simple. The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement: China and the United States have not discussed or negotiated on the issue of tariffs. Gold prices are under pressure before the tariff war and the release of US data. International situation: Russia issued a statement on a truce; and Ukraine issued a statement: If Russia really wants to achieve peace, it must immediately cease fire. If the two sides formally sign a truce agreement, the safe-haven demand for gold may also be greatly reduced. In the morning, gold prices tested last week's low of $3260, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the possible easing of Sino-US trade risks put gold prices under pressure. Traders are waiting for the release of key US GDP and labor market data, which may affect the Fed's interest rate expectations. In this context, if macro statistics are weak and geopolitical risks remain, the correction in gold prices may be replaced by growth. Another test of the support level may trigger a breakthrough. It is necessary to pay attention to the situation between China and the United States. Any easing of the situation will trigger a decline in gold. Upward resistance: 3300, 3325 Downward support: 3265, 3245, 3230 The possibility of further decline in gold prices has been exhausted since the opening. Gold prices may strengthen to the above resistance levels. A false breakout of 3300/3325 may trigger a decline, which may bring gold prices closer to the support level of 3270.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold is expected to rise in the US market 🌐 Driving factors Geopolitical situation: US President Trump's special envoy Witkov held a three-hour meeting with Russian President Putin in Moscow last Friday to discuss the US plan to end the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin said that the positions of the two sides have become closer. Iran and the United States said on Saturday that they have agreed to continue nuclear talks in the coming week, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi was "extremely cautious" about whether the negotiations aimed at resolving the decades-long deadlock can be successful. US President Trump expressed confidence in reaching a new agreement with Iran to prevent the country from developing nuclear bombs. Latest news: Russian President Putin announced on the 28th that a ceasefire will be implemented from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11. Bullish sentiment in the market cools down 📊Comment analysis After the Asian session gold gapped up and opened, it began to fall back quickly to around 3267. After a small rebound in the European session, it continued to retreat. It is currently maintained near 3290. It may continue to fall in the short term, and the support below is maintained near the previous low of 3265-3260 US dollars. This position will also determine the trend of the long and short positions in the later period. It is very likely to retreat again near this position in the evening and continue to make directional choices in the later period. Once the support is effective, the US session may usher in a rebound again, and the key suppression area above is maintained near the integer level of 3300. This position is also the high point of the rebound in the European session, and it will also be the key suppression position of the US session. The operation idea of ​​the US session is very simple. Continue to maintain a certain fluctuation in this range. Once it breaks through, consider stopping loss and exiting. 🔷Technical side: For the current gold, the 4-hour chart is fluctuating widely between 3330-3270, and is currently near $3295. ✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading: US gold operation strategy: If you try to go long at 3265-60 first, the target is around 3280-3290, and the loss is 3255. If you first pull back to 3295-00, go short with a light position, and the target is around 3270-3265, and the loss is 3205. In the short term, the long and short positions may continue to pierce, so you need to operate with caution! 💥Risk warning Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified. Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly change tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations. Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3350, so be wary of reversals after inducing longs. Summary: This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, the Fed's policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the fluctuation range is expected to be between $3260 and $3350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
4
Gold fluctuates at high levels, waiting for the adjustment to enGold remained under pressure during the Asian trading session and is currently trading below the $3,300 mark, with a daily decline of about 0.75%. The market sentiment on trade is generally optimistic, and trade tensions are expected to ease. However, the decline in gold consumption in Asian countries in the first quarter has become a key factor in suppressing the demand for gold, a traditional safe-haven asset. According to market research, data released by the Asian National Gold Association on Monday showed that gold consumption in the first quarter of this year fell 5.96% year-on-year to 290.492 tons. Among them, the demand for gold jewelry fell sharply by 26.85% year-on-year to 134.531 tons, while the consumption of gold bars and gold coins increased by 29.81% year-on-year to 138.018 tons. According to market research, US President Trump once again emphasized that trade negotiations are underway with Asian countries, and the market hopes for a quick easing of trade tensions. However, Trump's frequent changes in foreign remarks, coupled with continued concerns about a global economic recession, have maintained the safe-haven demand for gold. Quaid's analysis: From a technical perspective, the gold price needs to effectively fall below the $3265-3260 range in the short term before a larger correction downward can be confirmed. Once confirmed to fall below, the gold price may quickly fall to the 50% retracement level near $3225, further pointing to the $3200 mark. If $3200 is lost, it will suggest that gold may have peaked in the short term. On the contrary, if the gold price stabilizes and returns to above $3300, it may face initial resistance in the 3330-3335 area. If it breaks through this area, the short-term rebound target will point to the 3365-3370 supply area. Once this key pivot position is broken, the gold price is expected to challenge the $3400 mark again, and even further test the intermediate resistance of 3425-3430, and try to return to the historical high of $3500. Quaid's view: Although the market's concerns about trade have eased, weak gold consumption in Asian countries and the pressure of the dollar rebound are still there, which may cause gold prices to fluctuate and fall back from high levels. In the next few days, the core economic data of the United States will be the key to determining the next trend of gold. Quaid will pay special attention to changes in the Fed's policy expectations. Real-time analysis for you. The current market situation, as Quaid analyzed, can only be done in short-term scalping transactions; but always seize opportunities accurately.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold is trapped in the 3260-3370 box shock! 🌐 Driving factors US President Trump will be in office for 100 days in his second term. On April 27, local time, a new poll jointly conducted by ABC, The Washington Post and Ipsos Group showed that Trump's approval rating for the first 100 days in office was 39%, which was 6 percentage points lower than in February this year, and set the lowest approval rating for the first 100 days in office of all US presidents in the past 80 years. The results of the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations are not optimistic, and the geopolitical situation is tense. 📊 Commentary analysis The recent gold fluctuations are really violent and very fast. If you hesitate a little, you will basically miss the market. If you are too anxious, you will easily hit the stop loss. Now the fluctuations in a few hours are higher than the amplitude of the past month. The stop loss of 3-5 US dollars can be easily swept. The market is changing, and the corresponding stop loss should also be enlarged. 🔷 Technical side: For the current gold, the 1-hour chart card fluctuates widely between 3260-3370, and is currently at 3290 US dollars. ✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading: Bearish strategy: If the gold price rebounds to the range of 3350-3360 US dollars, you can try to short, with a target of 3290 US dollars and a stop loss of 3365 US dollars. Bullish strategy: If the gold price falls to the support of 3260-3270 US dollars, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 3340 US dollars and a stop loss of 3255 US dollars. 💥Risk warning Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified. Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly make tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations. Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near 3350 US dollars, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more. Summary: This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar. The fluctuation range is expected to be between 3260 and 3370 US dollars. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Market changes? Gold plummets, hedge fund positions suddenly chaIn the early morning of the Asian market, spot gold fell sharply in the short term, and the current gold price is around $3,295/ounce, which has fallen by $52 from the intraday high of $3,336.98/ounce hit at the beginning of the session. Gold prices fell further from last week's record high as traders closed their positions due to signs that the "explosive rise" in gold prices may be too fierce and too fast. Since breaking through $3,500/ounce last week, gold prices have fallen by more than 5%. At the same time, the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that hedge fund managers cut their net long positions in gold futures and options to the lowest level in 14 months. Quaid believes that signs of easing trade tensions may have weakened gold's safe-haven appeal. Quaid's analysis: From the perspective of the two larger cycles of daily and weekly lines, gold may fall further. On the one hand, the daily line continues to close negative on the short-term moving average, and the rebound is not strong, forming a pattern of continuous negative and single positive. The previous two times were adjusted to the 30-day moving average. If this time is calculated in this way, the bottom position is about 3165-3170, which is both the golden section and the previous high top and bottom conversion position. On the other hand, the weekly line formed a "K" line at a high level last week, which is generally a top signal, meaning that there is still a possibility of decline. And it deviates too far from the short-term moving average, and there is a need for further technical adjustments. Comprehensive analysis: This week, gold focuses on the upward resistance position of the 3370-3260 range. A strong breakthrough of 3370 will see the continuation of the bulls, and a break below 3260 will open up downward space.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Trump's remarks may cause a stir in gold 💲Let's comment on the price of gold next week from April 28, 2025 to May 2, 2025 🌐World situation Earlier, it was reported that China has exempted some US goods from tariffs, a development that has suppressed the safe-haven appeal of gold. But on the 25th, US President Trump told reporters on Air Force One that unless China makes substantial concessions, it will not cancel the tariffs imposed on China. Over the past week, the US has continued to send confusing and even contradictory signals on the issue of tariffs on China, and market sentiment has deteriorated. On the 26th, after a brief meeting between US President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky in the Vatican, both sides also sent "positive" signals. Will the Russian-Ukrainian conflict usher in a turning point? The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported later that day that fighting in the Kursk region was still ongoing. The Ukrainian army held its ground and used a variety of weapons to carry out effective firepower strikes on the enemy, causing losses to the Russian army. The Ukrainian General Staff stressed that the Ukrainian troops were not surrounded and that Russia's statement on the end of hostilities in the region was "purely propaganda in nature." The Ukrainian General Staff also said that fighting by the Ukrainian army in local areas of Belgorod Oblast is still ongoing. The escalation of the India-Pakistan conflict may also increase safe-haven buying of gold. 📊Comment Analysis Earlier this week, investors withdrew $1.27 billion from the SPDR Gold Shares ETF, the largest single-day outflow since 2011. At the same time, gold prices hit an all-time high above $3,500, suggesting that there may be some profit-taking factors. In 2011, similar outflows coincided with the peak of gold's last super cycle, marking the beginning of a long period of consolidation for gold, which was not broken until 2020. But this does not guarantee that this will be a turning point, and there are still many positive factors at work, including trade uncertainty, safe-haven demand, central bank demand, and Wall Street's calls for further increases in spot gold prices. Next week, the gold market will welcome the release of the World Gold Council's first quarter "Gold Demand Trends" report. In addition, US President Trump's 100th day rally on Tuesday may become an important window for gold prices to choose to test the 3,500 mark again or continue to fall from 3,300. 🔷Technical aspect: Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, Labaron has identified the following important key areas: Resistance: $3357, $3498 Support: $3228, $3155 ✔Operational suggestions Short-term trading: Bearish strategy: If the gold price rebounds to the range of $3,330-3,350, you can try to short, with a target of $3,250 and a stop loss of $3,355. Bullish strategy: If the gold price holds the support of $3,260, you can go long with a light position, with a target of $3,330 and a stop loss of $3,240. Long-term investors: Pay attention to the Fed's policy trends and geopolitical situation. If the gold price falls back to below $3,200, consider investing in batches. 💥Risk Warning Liquidity risk: Market trading may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified. Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly announce tariff policies or personnel changes at the Fed, triggering violent market fluctuations. Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3,350, so be wary of reversals after inducing more. Summary: Next week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Fed policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the expected fluctuation range is $3,250-3,350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust strategies flexibly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
Tariffs have not eased. How will gold trend in the future?Spot gold fell nearly 1% on Friday to close at 3316.26. Earlier this week, gold rose to a record high of 3500. After Trump's statement on tariffs eased, the market rose to 3500 and investors chose to close their long positions. The lowest gold price this week fell to around 3260. At the moment when tariffs are deadlocked, any remarks made by Trump on tariffs have not reduced the risk of the market, but increased the uncertainty of the market. Next week, the gold market will usher in the World Gold Council's first quarter "Gold Demand Trends" report. In addition, next week's gathering of Trump's 100th day in office may become an important window for gold prices to choose to test the 3500 mark again or continue to fall from 3300. This week, the international gold price as a whole showed a high and then fell, with the opening price at $3332.96, the highest price at $3499.92, the lowest price at $3260.2, and the closing price at $3316.2. After such a pattern appears, it indicates that the gold cycle will face violent fluctuations. Quide's analysis: If international news helps short selling, it is possible for gold to fall to 3100 or fall below 3000. Therefore, we should remain vigilant next week and pay close attention to the geopolitical situation and news such as tariffs, so as to make a buying or selling decision for next week. At present, the Bollinger Bands continue to close, and the short-term market continues to maintain a range consolidation until the Bollinger Bands reopen and choose a new direction. Before the upward and downward ranges are broken, the intraday short-term operation adopts the range high-altitude low-multiple operation. There is currently no international news and comments that can analyze the trading signals for next week; Quide will pay attention to news and comments that may affect the trend of the gold market at any time, so as to bring analysis and strategies to everyone at any time. Every calm analysis by Quaid is a step towards success. In the gold market, please trust Quaid's professional analysis. It can help you stand at the top of the gold trading market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Will the gold market cool down after the easing of tariffs betweIf you want to use one word to describe the performance of the global financial market in the 2025 quarter, then in addition to the roller coaster, there is another word that will be particularly applicable: "safe haven is king". After Trump launched the tariff storm, this directly pushed the gold price to a historical high, setting the strongest quarterly performance since 1986; and the increase in tariffs led to frequent surges in gold, and after the tariffs were eased, gold also experienced a sharp correction, and this week's gold market was very lively. The price of gold is like a roller coaster ride, making countless investors love and hate it. Quaid's analysis: Gold is adjusted in the short term, and it is still bullish in the long term. In the short term, the US has a high voice for trade negotiations, the market risk appetite has rebounded, and Trump has forced the Federal Reserve to slow down. The independence of the Federal Reserve has been temporarily maintained. The short-term upward trend of gold prices may be weak, and the medium- and long-term bullish trend has not changed. The price adjustment space is also limited. In the short term, it is expected that the gold price will be mainly volatile and consolidated. Continue to pay attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and Trump's policy trends. The long-term bullish view remains unchanged; the expectation of stagflation in the United States and the increase in the probability of recession if the Federal Reserve continues not to cut interest rates are the logic of medium-term bullish gold, and the continued cycle of US dollar credit contraction is the core support for long-term bullish gold. There is no international explosive news for the weekend, and Donald Trump has not made any radical remarks for the time being. Quaid has no operational suggestions for the time being, and can only analyze based on the market trading situation this week. I hope to help everyone understand the current market situation and long-term analysis. Quaid will continue to pay attention to international news and Mr. President's remarks in order to bring you real-time market analysis and suggestions at any time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
GOLD → Gold Market Forecast and AnalysisFor most of the period from 2025 to now, gold prices have risen almost continuously, hitting new all-time highs. Since October 2022, gold prices have almost doubled, rising by more than 25% in 2025 alone, reaching a new all-time high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22. The $4,000 price level, once considered untouchable, is now openly discussed in trading halls around the world. The easing of global tensions, especially between the United States and China or in Eastern Europe, could significantly reduce safe-haven demand. While this is not the base case for 2025, it is still an unexpected risk that traders must consider. In fact, gold prices have retreated from recent highs after US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced. The sharp rise in gold prices increases the possibility of a correction. If the upward momentum slows, profit-taking could trigger a rapid and violent sell-off. As with any parabolic rise, volatility is inevitable; prices often experience a short-term downward trend before setting new all-time highs. Traders with short-term strategies should be aware of such price declines and practice risk management: avoid large trades, set stop-losses, and diversify their portfolios. Quaid wants to say: Opportunities always come to those who dare to act. Be bold in the gold market, and the next winner will be you, my friend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Will a false breakdown in support lead to growth?The current trading range is 3275-3290. Since the opening, the price has been fluctuating in a small range. There was no news on Friday, so the price may regain its upward momentum after retesting the liquidity and support area of ​​3270-3285. Gold prices are currently stable around $3280, but the US dollar has curbed the rise of gold prices. Gold prices have held their ground after recovering, but the strengthening of the US dollar and hopes for progress in tariff war negotiations have limited further gains in gold prices… Optimism about US corporate earnings and fears of a recession are easing, supporting demand for the US dollar. However, the continued uncertainty in Sino-US relations has kept interest in gold strong. The market is waiting for new signals from the White House and the Federal Reserve, which will determine the further trend of gold prices. Focus on the support trading range. A false break of 3270 could change the balance of power, leading to a rebound or growth. No news today, except for the unpredictable situation of Trump and the tariff war in general. Any speech or tweet could shake the market. However, gold prices remain range-bound after a lackluster week. Quaid recommended: The market fluctuates sideways today. You can try short-term trading. Look at 10 points for each upward callback and perform scalping transactions in this range.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold’s Wednesday highs and lows will determine next moveGold continues to consolidate after retreating from the resistance zone. It has consistently followed the downtrend line and repeatedly bounced lower from this resistance level. The market recently formed a triangle pattern and broke out of it, but notably, it did not trigger a massive sell-off. Currently, price action is testing the previous day’s low. However, I think the price could retest Wednesday’s low as the price is currently trading within Wednesday’s range. This has formed a “K” pattern on the daily chart, indicating that the next decisive move will occur after a breakout of Wednesday’s low or high. Overall, I expect the sideways movement to continue into next week and keep an eye on these key levels for potential signals. My target is the resistance zone near 3355.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1