Gold Price Trading Around 3,200 Points
📌 Gold Information
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from recent losses, trading around $3,230 per troy ounce during Asian trading hours on Monday as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing concerns about the US economic outlook and fiscal sustainability. The rebound follows Moody's decision to downgrade the US credit rating by one notch, from Aaa to Aa1, citing growing debt and the burden of interest payments. This follows previous downgrades by Fitch and Standard & Poor's in 2023 and 2011, respectively. Moody's now forecasts that the US federal debt will surge to around 134% of GDP by 2035 from 98% in 2023, due to ballooning debt servicing costs, expanding entitlement programs, and shrinking tax revenues - all of which have heightened investor concerns and provided new support for gold prices.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price fluctuated around 3200 at the beginning of the week. There was not much news and it continued to go sideways.
💰Strategy Package
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3259-3261 SL 3266
TP1: $3250
TP2: $3240
TP3: $3230
🔥Buy gold area: $3192 - $3190 SL $3185
TP1: $3200
TP2: $3210
TP3: $3220
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Xauusd1h
Gold is rising strongly? Beware of a sharp rise to the high poinThe US sovereign credit rating was downgraded from AAA to Aa1; affected by this, gold opened sharply higher in the Asian market on Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250.
However, 3250 is not the high point at present, and it is only warming up in the Asian market. The important thing should be in the European and American markets. Such a major breaking news must be seen in the US stock market.
If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later. It is not ruled out that the Asian market will continue to fluctuate sideways in the short term, but I think it will still rise. The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time.
From the 4-hour chart:
This K line is very strong. Once this K line closes above 3230, the highest high point can be seen from the 4-hour chart here.
Judging from the current trend, I think the gold price is bullish as long as it is above 3200 in the Asian market. The lowest price in the Asian market in the morning retreated to around 3210, so it is not known whether it will retreat to around 3200.
Then, for the short-term strategy, you can go long around 3210, with 3200 as the stop loss position. As long as the upper target stands at 3250, you can continue to see the profit range of 3280-3300.
Beware! Gold Falls
📌 World Situation
Gold prices fell more than 1.5% on Friday and are on track to close the week with a loss of more than 4% as improving risk sentiment drove investors away from safe-haven assets and into stocks and other riskier investments. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading around $3,187, retreating from a daily high of $3,252.
The precious metal started the week lower following a reported significant de-escalation in the US-China trade conflict, including an agreement by both sides to reduce tariffs by 115%. Despite trading between $3,120 and $3,265 throughout the week, gold prices struggled to maintain bullish momentum, with weakening buyer interest becoming increasingly apparent against the backdrop of stronger risk appetite and encouraging US economic data.
📊Comment Analysis
Will be greatly affected by tariff news and Russia-Ukraine peace talks
💰Strategy Package
Resistance: $3265, $3357
Support: $3160, $3112
In this range, you can enter the market in batches in real time to flexibly grasp the market changes.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold rebounds above 3190, maintains
🔔 Driving Events
Gold prices (XAU/USD) failed to extend Thursday's sharp rebound from the $3,120 area (the lowest level since April 10) and faced selling pressure again during Friday's Asian session. The 90-day trade truce between China and the United States has relieved some of the pressure on global financial markets, suppressing demand for safe-haven metals.
Nevertheless, lingering geopolitical tensions and a weaker US dollar continue to provide potential support, limiting the downside for gold prices. In addition, the market's growing expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may prevent traders from taking a strong bearish stance on gold in the short term.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold prices have recovered, and buyers are determined to keep gold prices stable around 3200 points in May. Waiting for new bullish momentum after the end of tariff negotiations
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3287-3290 SL 3294
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3173 - $3175 SL $3168
TP1: $3188
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3218
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold, false decline, real wash
📊Comment analysis
The recent surge and plunge of gold has also led to many different opinions on the market trend. If it rises, look at the ceiling, and if it falls, look at the floor. Most of them are such remarks, and the misleading nature of such remarks can be imagined. The first time I chased more at 3500, it was okay. After the beginning of the month, I soon got the opportunity to get out of the trap. But those who chased higher at 3400 twice last week were not so lucky. Opportunities cannot always be there, and not every time you can survive.
Once you have the idea of standing guard or holding on, it means you will lose. In the face of huge fluctuations in prices, short-term card points, and few positions can be grasped. You can't just rely on a rumor on the Internet to chase shorts and look at bear markets when prices fall, and chase longs and look at bull markets when prices rise. Investing and trading are two different things. Investment is a direction, focusing on large cycles, large directions, long-term, and profiting by time. Trading, on the other hand, makes money by rhythm and fluctuations, which are completely two concepts.
I have always said that the general direction is bullish and the rhythm is to get on board after every retracement. The transaction is divided into short, medium and long. The short-term is limited to intraday. Whether it is right or wrong, it is settled on the same day. The medium-term wave band, after each large retracement, insist on getting on board in batches, and leave after a phased rise. For the long-term, after each large retracement, build positions in batches and hold for a long time. First, make the logic clear, and then talk about the operation. We can't achieve the lowest or highest, but as long as we achieve a relatively low or high position, it will be fine.
The core of investment is the cycle, and the core of trading is the rhythm. If the rhythm is right, everything is right.
In the face of the sharp rise and fall of gold, first, don't hold a heavy position, and second, as long as it is not a relatively high or relatively low chasing order, there is no need to panic. First, if you hold a heavy position, first of all, you can't withstand the fluctuations, you can only bet on the win or loss of one order, and there will be no next chance. Secondly, as long as you chase long at high positions and short at low positions, even if you have a light position, you will not have a chance to get out of the trap, and you can only make up for the loss through new transactions. There is no other way, but to achieve unity of knowledge and action, and don't think about it. Heavy positions, plus chasing back and forth, plus the world lock, will only die faster and will not get out of the trap. Take care of yourself.
Let's talk about the market. First of all, the bull is still there. Secondly, the sharp drop and surge are wash-outs and adjustments, not the peak, but the base is large and the amplitude is large, so you have to reduce your position. At present, it is a large-scale range shock wash-out adjustment at the daily level, and a weekly level retracement, not the peak. It will be very clear if you look at the big cycle, and you must not listen to the rumors flying all over the sky. If it rises, chase high to see new highs, and if it falls, chase short to see new lows. It is not advisable. Again, remember one thing, grasp the relative highs and lows, let the wind and waves rise, and sit on the fishing boat steadily.
After the U.S. market plummeted, it directly reversed and surged. This kind of market will not continue. Don't chase it. Don't see the plummet and then the surge, and then shout that the bottom has been reached. The plummet means the peak, and the surge means the bottom has been reached. Isn't it a life-and-death situation every day?
The U.S. market directly talked about the next area. After the sell-off, gold rebounded sharply yesterday, which gave the trapped orders an opportunity to escape, not a direct reversal. Next, gold will enter a large range of shocks and washes with 3260 as resistance and 3150-3120 as support. After the shock, it will finally experience a wave of sell-offs and break the new low, and then it will bottom out. The bottoming logic is the same as the May Day period. Before May Day, gold continued to maintain above 3260 for washing. After May Day, it directly broke below 3260 and touched 3200 and then rose. Next, it will be the same. After a period of washing and shock, it will fall below the low of 3120 again, hit a new low and bottom out, and start to rise. The rhythm is like this, it depends entirely on courage, patience and technology, chasing ups and downs is not advisable. The rhythm is like this, watch more and do less, hold tight, and fasten your seat belts.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold rebounded to the expected position, 3205 short!
📌 Driving Event
The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession concerns in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve (FED). This shift supports the continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for interest-free gold.
📊 Commentary Analysis
Today, the price of gold fell to its lowest point in more than a month. It once hit the lowest level since April 10 at 3120, and then rebounded to the 3200 line, and the volatility increased again!
💰 Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate in 3200-3203 points, with a profit target around 3120 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
5/15 Gold Trading Signals🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke the support after some sideways movement and touched the buy zone near 3170, but profit was limited.
Today, after opening, gold rebounded to above 3190 but faced resistance and started dropping again. Notably, the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence, and although not yet corrected, such divergence usually leads to a rebound of at least $60 — a potential opportunity worth watching.
🗞 News Highlights:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
Research conference on monetary policy and economy
These events may significantly impact gold, so stay alert.
📌 Today’s Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3113 – 3076
🔴 Sell Zone: 3208 – 3223
🔄 Flexible Trading Ranges:
▫️3123-3152-3168-3187-3198
✅ Maintain cautious, flexible positioning. Watch for divergence correction opportunities for a potential sharp rebound.
Will gold rise today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. From the current 1-hour chart range, gold is at risk of falling again to 3200.
The current 1-hour chart range has been broken. After breaking the range support today, it has rebounded again, so the previous support has become a suppression position.
Therefore, if gold cannot stand above 3250, then we must be careful of the risk of gold testing 3200.
You can focus on 3240-3250. As long as it cannot stand above 3250, you can sell gold at 3240-3250. The target below is still around the bottom of the range 3200.
Gold continues to fall seize the opportunity to enter the market
📌 Driving factors
China-US container shipping routes rose sharply - factories rushed to produce overnight, taking advantage of the tariff cooling-off period, those who should stock up are working overtime to complete the tasks. This is the situation seen on the first day after the tariff reduction, indicating the complementarity between China-US trade.
The long-awaited US-Japan and European and American tariffs have not yet ushered in substantial benefits, but Europe said that this is an unfair negotiation and has not been concluded yet.
Trump went to the Middle East and signed a 100 billion weapons order, stabilizing the Middle East before Europe.
📊Comment analysis
The Asian session fell in the morning, pay attention to a few points:
1. The upper watershed opened at 3193 in the morning, the short watershed.
2. Directly break the 3168 long watershed, the next support is at 3145, 3130.
3. For now, the Asian session will continue to fall in a cycle, the European session will pull back after breaking the bottom, and the US session will continue to retreat.
💰Strategy Package
For short-term operations, short selling can be done near 3166, stop loss 3169, target 3140, 3135.
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the sea of blood and corpses.
Gold rebounds weakly, US market ideas for reference!
📌 Driving factors
As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession ease, investors' risk appetite rises, and gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset declines, gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large-scale selling!
📊Commentary Analysis
After gold fell below 3200 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low for the time being, the pattern has weakened, and it is difficult to get up again in the early morning. Weak shorts can't even get past 3198, and the short-term support below is around 3160.
The daily cycle is constructed based on the M-head pattern. 3200 is the long defensive position. If it fails to close, there will be a fall. The technical side has already experienced a major break. Pay attention to the change of thinking. If the adjustment range is large, it may even reach 2900/3000. It rises fast and falls fast, but the long-term logic of gold's rise remains unchanged. It is also an opportunity to lay out more positions, but the position needs to follow the market observation, which is difficult to predict at present.
💰Strategy Package
In the short term, we will rely on 3198 for defensive short selling. After breaking 3200, please note that even if it rebounds, we should follow the trend and short. If it rebounds upward, we should short at the golden section resistance of 3265.
Good luck to everyone!
Labaron believes that
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of corpses and blood.
Gold has now fallen by 3200, and the next support level is 3160
📌 Driving factors
As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession have eased, investor risk appetite has increased, and the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset has declined, and gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large number of sell-offs!
Driven by bargain hunting, gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, and the weaker-than-expected US inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limits the strength of gold's rebound.
📊Commentary Analysis
Gold began to fall in the early trading of the US market and is about to fall to our expected point. The support below is 3160!
💰Strategy Package
🔥Selling Gold Area: 3245-3240 SL 3250
TP1: $3230
TP2: $3210
TP3: $3190
🔥Buying Gold Area: $3167-$3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3178
TP2: $3189
TP3: $3200!
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the mountains of corpses and seas of blood.
Gold crash alarm is sounding!
Technical aspects:The pressure area of gold is concentrated in the range of 3250-3260. If the market remains weak and under pressure, it will be difficult for gold prices to break through this area. The key support around 3210-3200 should be focused on for gold to go down. If the gold price falls below the support of 3200, it may trigger a waterfall-like decline, and the expected support bottom is in the area of 3100-3050.
In terms of operation, you can wait for the opportunity to rebound and come under pressure after the position is broken, and take advantage of the trend to place short orders. It is important to remember that 3200 is like a key line of defense. Once it falls, it will trigger a chain selling.
Gold continues to trade sideways above the 3200 area
📌 Driving factors
The United States and China announced on Monday a 90-day suspension of tariff increases. According to statements made after the Geneva talks last weekend, the United States will reduce tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, while China will reduce tariffs on US imports from 125% to 10%.
Meanwhile, on the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine are preparing for their first high-level face-to-face talks since 2022, scheduled to take place in Istanbul this week. The talks come as the international community is increasingly pressuring Moscow to accept a 30-day ceasefire. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and special envoys Steve Witkov and Keith Kellogg are expected to represent the United States in the talks.
Gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, driven by bargain hunting, while weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limited the strength of gold's rebound.
📊Comment Analysis
In the accumulation price zone, the gold price is sideways around 3200-3270, and the buyers and sellers are balanced
💰Strategy Package
🔥Selling gold area: 3282-3284 SL 3289
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥Buying gold area: $3167-$3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3178
TP2: $3189
TP3: $3200!
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof that can finally stand up from the sea of corpses and blood.
Gold fluctuates repeatedly and is expected to fall below 3,200
📌 Driving factors
The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on Tuesday that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month in April, lower than the 0.3% expected by economists. However, analysts warned that inflation may rise as tariffs gradually push up commodity prices.
The United States and China announced on Monday that they would suspend tariffs for 90 days. According to the statement made by both sides after the Geneva talks last weekend, the United States will reduce tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce tariffs on U.S. imports from 125% to 10%.
Driven by bargain hunting, gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, and the weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limits the strength of gold's rebound.
📊Commentary and analysis
Gold fell and then rose yesterday, and the final rebound stopped at 3,266. The trend is in line with our bearish expectations. As for the repeated fluctuations in the market, it is just a futile effort! Yesterday, due to the influence of the US CPI data, although gold rose in the short term, it was still under pressure and weakened. Today, the Asian session continued to fall in the early trading. As the support position near 3210 points is approaching, aggressive shorting is no longer appropriate!
In terms of trend, the 4-hour level trend of gold is still under pressure. Yesterday, it was under pressure at the 3260 line, and then the market fell back. Recently, it has maintained a trend of continuously moving down lows, and the rebound highs are gradually decreasing. It can be seen that the bulls are less willing to attack, which is different from the previous surge. Gold adjustment has become inevitable.
💰Strategy Package
Rebound short: short near 3265, stop loss 3269, target near 3220!
Labaron believes that
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of corpses and blood.
5/12 Gold Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Gold opened lower and extended losses today, influenced by easing China–U.S. trade tensions and ceasefire news from India-Pakistan.
The recent rally was largely driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical concerns. As tensions ease, gold's retracement is a logical market reaction.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Gold has now returned to a previous consolidation zone . While some support exists, current candlestick structure and most indicators show no clear bullish reversal yet.
Entering long positions too early may pose short-term risks, so trend trades should wait for stronger confirmation.
For flexible intraday trading, watch:
Support at 3263–3246: Holding this zone could trigger a rebound back toward 3309 resistance.
📌 Trading Recommendations:
✅ Sell Zone: 3306 – 3321
✅ Buy Zone: 3218 – 3198
🔁 Range for Scalp/Short-Term Trades: 3294 – 3263 / 3238 – 3269
CPI-Inflation Assessment, Gold Accumulation
📌 Drivers
In geopolitics, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said on Monday that military action against Pakistan was only paused, warning that future actions would depend on Islamabad's position. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed his willingness to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin later this week after U.S. President Donald Trump called on Zelensky to "immediately" accept an invitation to a peace summit in Turkey. These developments have heightened geopolitical risks, which could boost demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, thereby enhancing the appeal of gold amid continued global uncertainty.
📊Comment Analysis
CPI evaluates the inflation level of the US economy, and the price of gold continues to strive to maintain a price range of around 3200
💰Strategy Package
🔥Selling gold area: 3281-3283 SL 3288
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250🔥
Buying gold area: $3176 - $3174 SL $3169
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3198
TP3: $3210⭐️
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof that can finally stand up from the sea of corpses and blood.
Tariff easing has just begun
📌 Driving factors
The historic easing of tariffs between China and the United States, the imminent peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, and the market's pricing of geopolitical risks have obviously cooled down, which has further shrunk the demand for gold as a regional safe-haven tool. The situation in the Middle East is complicated, and it is necessary to monitor the latest developments in real time, focus on the latest developments in the follow-up news, and adjust strategies in real time.
📊Comment analysis
In the Asian session, gold is concerned about the upper resistance at $3,250 today. The rebound relies on the resistance below to continue shorting. The lower point is $3,207. If it falls below, it will be $3,150. For specific operations, please pay attention to the free channel.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate at 3200 points, with a profit target of around 3230 points
Short position:
Actively participate at around 3245 points, with a profit target of around 3220 points
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the mountains of corpses and seas of blood.
Shorts were active at the beginning of this week, and prices fel
📌 Gold driving factors
The joint statement of the Sino-US Geneva economic and trade talks has just been released. This development has hit the safe-haven demand for gold and has become the fuse for a new round of gold selling.
Coupled with the hawkish "holding back" of the Federal Reserve, the dollar has remained stable near its multi-week high and put pressure on gold. The trend of gold prices seems quite fragile.
📊Commentary analysis
The next resistance for gold prices is the static barrier of $3360-3365/ounce. If it can be decisively overcome, it will eliminate the recent bearish tendency and lay the foundation for gold prices to regain the $3400/ounce mark.
💰Strategy Package
⭐️Set Gold Price:
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3315-3317 SL 3322
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3280
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3223 - $3225 SL $3218
TP1: $3238
TP2: $3245
TP3: $3260
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
5/9 Gold Trading SignalsLong time no see, my friends! My holiday trip is about to end. I attended two weddings during this trip, which was unforgettable! I hope that everything goes well for everyone during my absence!
Gold has risen recently and returned to above 3400 again. Although it has fallen back in the past two days, the current technical level shows that the bulls are not over yet! This means that if there are friends who buy at high prices, they will have a chance to get out of trouble without doing other operations!
From the current pattern, it is in the stage of triangle consolidation. It is necessary to pay attention to the resistance of the 3360-3382 range. If the price falls under pressure at this position, we need to observe the support of the 3300-3280 range to determine whether it can form a short-term double bottom pattern or a head and shoulders bottom pattern again, so as to support the bulls to run again.
Based on the above analysis, today's trading suggestions:
Sell in the 3364-3386 range
Buy in the 3318-3302 range
Flexible trading in the 3323-3362 range
Gold long and short repeated operation
📌 Negative driving factors
Gold prices fell below $3,320/ounce on Thursday as the US-UK trade agreement improved risk appetite. Gold fell nearly 4% in two days as the US-UK agreement boosted risk appetite and demand for the US dollar.
📊Comment analysis
Gold fell directly at the opening of the Asian session today, and did not provide a good position for short selling. However, it rebounded and rose later, regaining its footing at 3,330. The short-term price fluctuated between long and short.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3351-3353 SL 3358
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227
TP1: $3245
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3270
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold prices face substantial short-term suppression
📌 Bearish drivers
Gold prices (XAU/USD) rebounded from a multi-day low in early Asian trading, and are now at the psychological level of $3,300. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, heightened tensions in the Middle East, and renewed frictions on the India-Pakistan border continue to support gold prices. Even so, improved risk sentiment appears to have limited gold's upside due to renewed optimism around the US-UK trade agreement and the launch of US-China tariff negotiations over the weekend.
📊Commentary and analysis
As tariff trade negotiations become more active, gold prices are facing huge selling pressure. Gold prices may return to the 3233 price range and continue to rise.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3351-3353 SL 3358
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227
TP1: $3245
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3270
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
How to operate gold in the short term today
📌 Negative drivers
The trade peace talks have really entered a substantive period. Japan, the most active country, did not become the first country to sign the agreement. Instead, it was the United Kingdom and the United States, setting an example for everyone.
This also means that Europe, Japan, India, etc. will also enter the substantive stage, which will become a battlefield for Sino-US trade.
Gold, the surge since April, all came from the global trade war initiated by the United States, and the retracement node also fell because the trade war eased.
From the conclusion of the British and American talks this morning, more and more countries will sign, which will affect the rising rhythm of gold.
Divergence of geopolitical risk aversion: Although the escalation of the India-Pakistan conflict has boosted risk aversion demand, the market's expectations of the controllability of the conflict have weakened the risk aversion premium of gold. The current conflict has not yet reached the level of a full-scale war, and there is a risk of "dying in the light" in risk aversion demand.
📊Comment analysis
Short-term casual 20 US dollars +, follow the trend is very important, and follow the watershed.
The Asian session broke the low point of yesterday morning, and the tariffs also loosened for the first time. Don't go long.
💰Strategy Package
Gold price has continuously fallen below the moving average and has been falling all the way. How can we go long in such a market? Continue to stick to the high-altitude thinking. Now the 3320 line has become a pressure point. Below it, we insist on going short.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
The range is broken and the bulls are ready to go!📌Fundamentals:
1. In the Fed's decision, Powell maintained the 4.25%-4.5% interest rate expectation, which was exactly the same as the expectation I mentioned, and predicted the result of the entire decision.
2. The India-Pakistan conflict intensified, and global geopolitical risks continued to heat up. From Gaza to Russia and Ukraine, and then to India and Pakistan, risk aversion will continue to provide long-term support for gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
Affected by the interest rate decision, gold bottomed out and rebounded, but did not fall below the low of 3360. The daily line closed in the negative. The data had little impact. Of course, there are also concerns about the increase in inflation and unemployment caused by the increase in taxes. It is expected that there will be another interest rate cut in July, which provides support for gold. After the Asian session opened under short-term pressure at 3397, it broke through and increased in volume, and walked out of the shock range of the first half of the week. The previous article mentioned that squats and long jumps were realized. Today, we maintain a bullish mindset and pay attention to the top and bottom conversion support of 3400. If it can stabilize in the US market, we can continue to go long. The upper side will gradually look to 3423 and 3435, and it is not ruled out that it will go near the previous high.
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold is long near 3387-3380, and look at 3423 and 3435! If it is strong, it is long based on the support of 3402-3398!