XAUUSD Potentially BullishOANDA:XAUUSD has remained bullish on the H4 time frame. I would however love to see price coming to retest a key zone around the 2,720 area which was a key resistance area initially. Price has clearly and significantly broken through the resistance and is attempting to find that level as a support. If the zone holds as a new found support, going long will be the next move and I would target the 2,786 area which only falls slightly below the all time high.
On the other hand, if the 2,720 area does not hold as a new found support but price breaks through it and does a retest of same area and then it holds as a new found resistance, we just might see price dropping to the 2695 and may drop even further if the bears remain dominant
Until either scenarios play out, fingers crossed. #XAUUSD about to make another significant move
Do your due diligence, past results does not guarantee future results
Xauusd4h
XAUUSD: A new Bias On Gold, What you all think?Dear Traders,
Our last two Gold Setups did not work out in our favour, and that is why we had to rethink about our bias. Now we expect a continuous growth in gold prices as we expected changes in government policies.
Show support by liking and commenting our ideas that will means a lot to us!
Thank you
XAU/USD 21 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my previous analysis dated 17 January 2025 with price targeting weak internal high following a very deep pullback.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,733.060.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 17 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS in accordance with scenario one of my analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
After bullish iBOS, we expect bearish pullback. First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. This would also establish internal structure.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Within the sub-structure there is further bullish iBOS, however, price did not pullback deep enough to warrant a bullish iBOS. I will therefore apply my discretion, which may need a revisit.
H4 TF has printed a bullish iBOS and it appears bearish pullback phase initiation is underway, however, we currently do not have any indication, or confirmation.
Current internal low and H4 TF CHoCH positioning are the same, priced at 2,690.050, therefore, despite M15 internal range dynamics being bullish, it is highly likely price will print a bearish iBOS
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price should show reaction at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,724.785, however, the above mentioned scenario is also highly probable to assist H4 in it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Trend and PatternsTrend and Patterns
Long-term trend: Based on the latest analysis, the XAUUSD pair shows mixed signals. On the one hand, there are forecasts for a possible rise in the gold price to $2900-$3000 levels in 2025, after which a significant drop to $1700-$1500 is expected. On the other hand, current analyses point to a possible continuation of the uptrend in the short term.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support: Important support levels include areas around 2607 and 2638.88 where there is buying interest.
Resistance: Resistance levels include 2663, 2680.35, and a higher level around 2720, which may restrain further price gains.
Indicators and Oscillators
Fibonacci: The use of Fibonacci levels shows that the pair is testing pullback levels such as 38.2% and 61.8%, which may provide signals for market entry.
Market Sentiment: Sentiment analysis shows that retail traders are often in long positions, which may indicate the possibility of counter-trend trading.
Conclusion
The XAUUSD pair has exhibited volatility typical of precious metals this year, with possible upside and downside scenarios. Strong support and resistance levels indicate potential entry and exit points for trading. It is important to keep an eye on the key levels mentioned above, as well as macroeconomic news that can significantly influence the gold price.
XAU/USD 16 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Weekly and Daily TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Recent Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS.
It would be noteworthy to remember that H4 and Daily TF internal structure is bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price seems to be targeting weak internal high, which, in my view, is premature, however, I will remain structured in my approach. At the time of preparing analysis M15 candle remains open.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has yet to trade in to discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,702.260
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
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XAU/USD 15 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and intraday expectation remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 14 January 2025.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure.
This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase.
Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD going for new ATH!⭐After a beautifull double top pattern & a good correction GOLD seems to be ready for a new ATH this year!
📈XAUUSD is in a medium uptrend with obvious correction and momentum movements forming new LH(Lower High) & HH(Higher Highs) which further strengthens the upward trend! 📊After the FIB Retracement applied behind the representation, gold does not seem to change its trend anytime soon, but although it is close to a pullback in the 38.20 area, it does not represent such a strong upward trend that it does not try to go down at least in the GOLDEN ZONE (50%-61,80%)
📍US PPI and CPI data due later in the week
📍Dollar at its highest level in over two years
📍Market sees 25 bps reduction in rate cuts this year
💥Position Recommendations💥
Entry: 2650
Stop Loss: 2630
Take Profit 1: 2680
Take Profit 2: 2700
Take Profit 3: 2750 (I do not recommend only with subsequent confirmations)
XAU/USD 13 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high.
Price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established range
Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,697.950.
Price could potentially trade down to M15 demand zone to sweep liquidity before targeting weak internal high.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 13.02.24Reason for XAUUSD Buy
Gold can be an important part of a diversified investment portfolio because its price increases in response to events that cause the value of paper investments, such as stocks and bonds, to decline. Although the price of gold can be volatile in the short term, it has maintained its value over the long term.
XAU/USD 08 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price did not meet yesterday's intraday expectation targeting weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price to trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,664.330.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 07 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has been printing erratically by printing a bullish iBOS (which was against internal bearish bias) quickly followed by bearish iBOS which met yesterday's intraday expectation analysis.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is showing reaction at M15 supply zone. Strong internal high is expected to hold. Technically price should target weak internal low priced at 2,614.635.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 06 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has most recently printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,625.260.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Xauusd H4 signal Gold shed some ground on Friday after rising more than 1% on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield trimmed pre-opening losses and stands at around 4.57%, undermining demand for the bright metal. Market players await next week's first-tier data
Gold price trades near $2,660.00 per troy ounce on Friday, with the daily chart signaling an emergence of a bullish bias. The metal price has climbed above the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating a strengthening bullish momentum in the short term. Moreover, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen above the 50 level, further supporting the development of a bullish bias.
Xauusd sell 2639
Support 2610
Long Target 2580
Resistance 2685
Xauusd sell signal
The XAU/USD pair may test initial support around the nine- and 14-day EMAs at $2,635.00 and $2,633.00, respectively. Further support appears around its monthly low of $2,583.39, recorded
gold sell old price trades near $2,660.00 per troy ounce on Friday, with the daily chart signaling an emergence of a bullish bias. The metal price has climbed above the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating a strengthening bullish momentum in the short term. Moreover, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen above the 50 level, further supporting the development of a bullish bias.
On the upside, the XAU/USD pair may explore the area around the psychological resistance of $2,700.00, followed by the next barrier at its monthly high of $2,726.34, reached on December 12.
The XAU/USD pair may test initial support around the nine- and 14-day EMAs at $2,635.00 and $2,633.00, respectively. Further support appears around its monthly low of $2,583.39, recorded on December 19.
A Financial Times report noted that the People's Bank of China (PBoC) anticipates an interest rate cut this year at an appropriate time. Traders are closely monitoring the potential recovery in China’s economy and its effect on Gold demand. President Xi Jinping reaffirmed his commitment on Tuesday to prioritizing economic growth, promising more proactive policies to bolster China's economy in 2025.
xauusd sell 2639
suppot 2578
xauusd confom signal
Sizing Up XAUUSD into the New Year: What’s Next for GOLD?👀 👉 In this video, we conduct a quick top-down analysis, identifying key structural levels where major players may target liquidity to execute their orders. Understanding these levels—from the monthly and weekly down to the daily charts—can help pinpoint potential opportunities on the four-hour and lower timeframes. This video offers a breakdown of my analysis process. (Not financial advice.) 📊 ✅