XAUUSD: Continue To Sell, TP 2719-2713Recently, due to escalating international tensions, gold prices have soared, leaving Friday’s short positions in a losing state. From a technical perspective, short positions should have started to push back if it weren’t for the news. Currently, the MACD shows a continuous top divergence, but the ongoing war has rendered technical analysis somewhat powerless, which is a major reason for the predicament.
I believe that news will also have a buffering period, during which the market will return to technical patterns, creating crucial opportunities to turn losses into profits. In today’s U.S. session, there is a high probability of a downturn in gold, with my expectation around 2716, so short positions will remain my primary focus for trading today.
If your positions are also trapped, please reach out to me so we can work together to find a way out.
Xauusd4h
XAUUSD: + 1000 PIPS Buying Opportunity; One not to miss! Dear Traders,
As we predicted price to fell to 2630 region and reverse from there in our last trade setups, price did exactly that. Currently price is gathering enough liquidity and volume before it continues going up. The notable thing that I would like to point out here is we have big news coming up this week. So keep that in mind.
XAUUSD GOLD: Understanding Trend Shifts for Precision Entries👀👉 In this video, we explore the inner workings of market trends and, more importantly, how smart money manipulates price action to sweep liquidity, allowing them to place their orders and sustain the trend. We also showcase a powerful, free indicator from TradingView’s extensive toolset. Here's what we cover:
📊 Understanding Trends: How trends truly operate in the market.
💰 Smart Money Tactics: How institutional traders manipulate price action to sweep liquidity and execute large orders.
🔑 Key Levels: Identifying crucial accumulation and distribution zones to approach potential trade setups effectively.
🛠 TradingView Indicators: Learn how to access tools that help spot when price is overextended.
🔎 Market Structure: Discover how to locate resting liquidity and anticipate price reactions, understanding the role of liquidity in market movement.
📈 Trade Setups: Using a practical approach, we examine price interactions with liquidity, blending Wyckoff theory and ICT concepts for sharper trade decisions.
Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risks. Be sure to conduct your own research before making any decisions. Trade responsibly.
XAU/USD longs from 2,620.000 back up The outlook for Gold looks promising as we are now aligned with the pro trend. I’ve observed a clear character change to the upside, along with accumulation on the higher time frame, signaling that price is ready for a potential rally.
Currently, I’ll be waiting for price to retrace slightly, sweeping the untouched Asia low and tapping into my marked demand zone. At this level, I’ll be looking for confirmation on the lower time frames before targeting the trendline liquidity, particularly near the all-time highs (ATHs).
Confluences for Gold Buys:
- Market Structure: Both higher and lower time frames are strongly bullish.
- Wyckoff Accumulation: Price has formed a Wyckoff accumulation pattern on the higher time frame, indicating a trend shift.
- CHOCH: A change of character (CHOCH) has occurred on the 4-hour chart, confirming a directional shift.
- Liquidity: Significant upside liquidity in the form of trendline liquidity, with ATHs in view.
- Key Demand Zone: A strong daily demand zone caused the structure shift, making it my primary point of interest (POI) for the week.
P.S. If this demand zone fails, I’ll be looking for a potential long setup forming around the 10-hour demand zone. New ATHs possible?
XAUUSD: Sell@2634-2644
The bearish trend is still very obvious. Short-selling is the main method in the near future. If the price falls below 2600 in the short term, there will be a rebound of about $20. Before that, the rebound during the decline will not be too large, so if you have long positions, you must not be too greedy.
The Calm Before the Storm: A Waterfall-like Decline is Coming...
Today is Thursday, and with key data releases scheduled for New York trading hours and tomorrow’s much-anticipated NFP and unemployment figures, the market is far from quiet. My advice for today is to focus on selling, despite the possibility of some upward movement. However, from a daily chart perspective, the likelihood of a downturn is much stronger.
The 5-day moving average (MA5) has already turned downward, and it’s just a matter of time before the bearish trend takes hold. When it does, this won’t be just a simple correction like we saw last time. I’m predicting a waterfall-like decline.
Here’s my anticipated price action: a drop to around 2600, followed by a short rebound to approximately 2630, and finally, a deeper plunge to the 2570 region.
XAUUSD: NFP data and trading strategies for the next two weeks
Yesterday's gold movement largely aligned with expectations, with relatively limited fluctuations. However, today is unlikely to be as calm, as the market now faces two sharply contrasting scenarios:
If the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and unemployment data are bullish for gold, and the price remains within its current range, we could see a rebound, testing or even breaking the previous high before retreating to current levels.
Alternatively, before or shortly after the data release, gold may retest the resistance near its previous high (or consolidate below the 2668 level) and then begin a significant decline, potentially forming a double-top pattern (with a break below 2620).
Disregarding the data, from a technical standpoint, the daily chart (D1) shows that gold is at a critical juncture. Recent price movements have hovered near key support levels, with some indicators clearly signaling weakness. A decisive move is imminent.
Scenario 1: Gold consolidates near support, gathering momentum and bolstering bullish sentiment, leading to a second upward push—similar to the rally initiated around the 2500 level. If the market demonstrates strength, prices could challenge the 2700-2710 zone, followed by a weekly close showing weakness. A significant pullback of no less than $100 could then ensue.
Scenario 2: Bullish momentum fades, and the bears start to take control. A double-top formation would likely emerge, targeting the 2625-2611 support zone. If bulls fail to hold these levels, the next bearish targets would be in the 2590-2570 region.
I hope this analysis provides valuable insight for your upcoming trades. Wishing you all the best of luck!
XAUUSD: The bears are about to strike back
In the past few days, I lost my grandmother, and it has been a deeply sad time. After attending her funeral today, I found myself reflecting on many things. Life is short, and whether we pursue fame or wealth, nothing is as important as the health and happiness of our loved ones. I sincerely hope that everyone here can live a healthy and joyful life, with all your wishes coming true.
Turning back to the gold market, after a significant rally, we’ve seen a pullback to test support before another rebound to resistance, followed by another decline. We’re now at a critical turning point. From the 30-minute chart, we can observe a pattern resembling a double top. If it breaks the trendline, a decline to the $2600 level seems inevitable—there’s no need to doubt it.
My mid-term target remains $2568-$2490, and I believe we may see this play out sooner than expected.
Holding Strong: Why It's Time to Bet on Gold's Decline
There isn't much to add—I'm currently stuck in a short position on gold, but I remain convinced that a downturn is imminent. The 4-hour chart shows a clear bearish divergence, and I don’t believe it will break through the $2700 mark easily. As a result, I’m consistently increasing my short positions, waiting for the profit window to open.
Trust me, buying in at this level is as foolish as selling below $2610.
If you're holding short positions, stay firm. If you're holding long, it might be time to take profits. Greed rarely rewards anyone in the long run in the markets.
XAUUSD: How long can the bull market sustain its momentum?
Amid escalating geopolitical tensions and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts, gold has been on a persistent upward trajectory. After breaking through the key 2600 level, it is now approaching the 2700 mark. Over the past couple of days, it has consolidated above 2650, leaving short positions severely pressured. While bulls celebrate, bears are licking their wounds. I believe that after enduring this challenging phase, bears will stage a strong, retaliatory comeback.
Thus, the best strategy now is patience. Wait for the right moment—if you’ve missed the bull's rally, don’t miss the bear’s counterattack.