Can gold break through the high-level fluctuations?Gold technical analysis: Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated and rebounded all the way. Today's early trading is close to the historical high of 2940 again. So can it successfully break through 2940 and set a new historical high again? The more times a position is tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Therefore, the probability of gold prices reaching a new high is very high.
At present, the support below is mainly in the 2915-2910 area. In addition, we also know that last year’s market also tested retracements near consecutive historical highs. Then there was a retracement near 2940 on Friday last week. Today’s 2940 retracement. I don’t know if 2940 will continue to suppress the retracement in the future. But you can still try a short-term short near 2940. After all, the cost-effectiveness of the retreat here is very high. The defense is very small. The short-term retreat is considerable. Of course, this is an aggressive approach. If you are prudent, wait for the gold price to rise and then participate in the retreat. At present, the author only sees the pressure of 2955. Therefore, if it hits the 2955 line, you can do a good job of risk control and participate in the retreat.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2905-2900 first-line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2906-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
Xauusd4h
Gold Market Forecast: Next Week’s Trading Setup & Key Price ZoneGold is under pressure, trading at a three-week low while the US Dollar rises amid trade policy fears and recession concerns. With Trump's tariff plans—a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada plus an extra 10% on China—set to take effect next week, will gold fall further or attract safe-haven flows? In this quick analysis, I share my trading approach for the coming week.
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Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
Gold bounces back and recovers after sharp fallIn today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. In the short-term at the top, focus on the first-line resistance of 2930-2940, and in the short-term at the bottom, focus on the first-line support of 2888-2890.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 2928-2930 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 8 points, target near 2910-2900, break to see 2890 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 2890-2892 when gold falls back, stop loss 8 points, target near 2900-2910, break to see 2920 line;
XAUUSD Is RangeBound! What's Next?In this video, I revisit my earlier analysis of gold, and my perspective from back then remains unchanged. Gold is currently range-bound and struggling to break through its recent highs. In the video, we examine price action, market structure, the trend, and other key elements of technical analysis. Previously, gold was trending with significant momentum, but that momentum has since diminished. All of this is explained in detail in the video, which is not intended as financial advice.
XAUUSD Breakout or Pullback? Planning for My Next Move!👀 👉 XAUUSD is currently moving sideways within a range. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if it breaks above the range high or pulls back to a key support level. In the video, we discuss how price action might develop and what to watch for when identifying trade opportunities. Here, I’m sharing my trading plan and my approach to analyzing price action, market structure, and trends to spot potential setups. 🚨 Not financial advice.
XAUUSD: A new Bias On Gold, What you all think?Dear Traders,
Our last two Gold Setups did not work out in our favour, and that is why we had to rethink about our bias. Now we expect a continuous growth in gold prices as we expected changes in government policies.
Show support by liking and commenting our ideas that will means a lot to us!
Thank you
How long can the gold bull market last?Since the beginning of the gold price in the morning, the gold price has nearly been climbing consistently throughout the day, with no retracement, and any K-line exhibiting a negative trend is a chance to go long! During this time, we cannot afford to wait for a significant retracement. Gold is strong, and this tendency is tough to reverse. It is impossible to go short, and the next stage will be to retain an optimistic outlook. The upper K-line of the gold price in the evening shows a downward tendency. Gold has entered the short-term adjustment market. It's preferable to wait for a decrease! The first support number is 2880. If the gold price falls to 2880 in the evening, keep going long!
Overall, the current short-term gold trading strategy is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The upper side's short-term resistance line is 2910-2912, while the lower side's short-term support line is 2878-2880.
Xauusd weekly chart From a technical perspective, the overnight bounce and the subsequent move up on Friday validates the near-term positive outlook for the Gold price. That said, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is flashing slightly overbought conditions on the day chart and warrants some caution for bullish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation before positioning for an extension of the recent well-established uptrend from the December monthly trough.
XAU/USD 07 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation
Price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,882.310.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,882.310
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 06 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 05 February 2025
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
CHoCH positioning has now changed, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 05 February 2025.
As mentioned yesterday, whereby it was stated that I will continue to monitor price. You will note I have marked the bullish iBOS in red. This is due to the fact price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS as this would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to rent price action.
Price continues to make higher highs with current ChOCH positioning denoted with a blue dotted line
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart :
XAU/USD 05 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
CHoCH positioning has now changed, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned yesterday, whereby it was stated that I will continue to monitor price. You will note I have marked the bullish iBOS in red. This is due to the fact price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS as this would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to rent price action.
Price continues to make higher highs with current ChOCH positioning denoted with a blue dotted line
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Is XAUUSD Gold Overextended? Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we take a detailed look at XAUUSD (Gold). Although the higher timeframe shows a bullish trend, the price is currently trading into resistance and appears overextended. On the four-hour chart, there’s a bearish break in structure. My overall bias remains bullish, but I’m waiting for a break above the current high, followed by a retest and rejection, before considering an entry. This is not financial advice.
XAUUSD/GOLD Indecision & Decisive Trading (Short Term)Previously suggested price action worked exactly, achieved falling target 2740 and bounced back to 2765/2766 from 2740/2733 marked support exactly.
Based on fundamental event, investors are adopting cautious approach & we are watching this as indecisiveness on decisive market where bulls have edge on bears.
We are expecting a false breakout/stoploss hunting or liquidity grab kind of scenario developing that is keeping bulls and bears to think what to do on intraday terms however on short term may give good buying opportunity.
Still our ultimate goal is around 2782/2790+.
XAU/USD 30 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27/01/2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 January 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 27 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis you will note a bullish iBOS marked in red. I have marked this is red as price did not pull back deep enough for me a validate, therefore, on this occasion I will apply my discretion.
Price then continued bullish, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently in discount of 50% EQ and should technically target weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
Alternative scenario: As H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Poised for Upside: Bullish Continuation Toward $2800The 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows a bullish structure with a clear upward momentum. The key support zones around 2740-2755 serve as critical levels where buying interest is expected to emerge, supported by visible accumulation in these areas.
A break of structure (BOS) confirms the continuation of the bullish trend, indicating that buyers are in control of the market. The weak high above 2775 signals a potential move toward testing the next resistance levels around 2785-2790. Two entry zones are highlighted for buyers: a conservative entry above 2755 or a more aggressive approach around 2740 in the event of a pullback. The upward price target lies in the 2790-2800 range, aligning with the overall bullish trend.
From a fundamental perspective, gold prices remain supported by global economic uncertainty and continued demand for safe-haven assets. The market is also sensitive to Federal Reserve policy signals, with any dovish tones likely providing further bullish momentum. While the technical outlook favors buyers, it is crucial to implement proper risk management, with stop-loss levels below 2740 to protect against unexpected volatility.
XAUUSD Potentially BullishOANDA:XAUUSD has remained bullish on the H4 time frame. I would however love to see price coming to retest a key zone around the 2,720 area which was a key resistance area initially. Price has clearly and significantly broken through the resistance and is attempting to find that level as a support. If the zone holds as a new found support, going long will be the next move and I would target the 2,786 area which only falls slightly below the all time high.
On the other hand, if the 2,720 area does not hold as a new found support but price breaks through it and does a retest of same area and then it holds as a new found resistance, we just might see price dropping to the 2695 and may drop even further if the bears remain dominant
Until either scenarios play out, fingers crossed. #XAUUSD about to make another significant move
Do your due diligence, past results does not guarantee future results