#XAUUSD :Is it a Correction Or a start of Major Bearish Trend? Gold has plummeted from 3550 to 3270, and it’s been falling steadily. We firmly believe that the price could reverse from either of our entry points, but given its significant drop, it raises concerns among traders. If the trend has shifted to bearish, it will likely continue to target buyers’ stop losses. In these market conditions, we strongly advise trading with utmost caution and prioritising risk management.
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The gold shorts aren’t over yet
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a death cross downward, then there is still room for gold to go down in the 1-hour period. Gold has been under pressure from the 3340 resistance line for many times in the US market and has fallen. Gold has hit a new low again in the US market, falling to the 3260 line. The lows of gold continue to hit new lows, so the gold short position has not ended yet. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average of gold has moved down to around 3366. Gold continues to be shorted at highs below 3366.
How is gold going? What to do now?After reaching the psychological high of $3500, it entered a correction phase, which was also affected by the slight easing of the US-China tariff conflict...
After failing to hit the 3250 area of concern, gold prices will be slightly stronger. Meanwhile, the market is looking forward to the US PMI data. Earlier, gold prices hit an all-time high of $3500, but fell back on hopes of a easing of the US-China trade war and the US Treasury Secretary's remarks about a possible "detente".
The dollar recovered in the correction, but investors doubted Trump's predictability and gold prices began to pull back at this time. The focus is on the S&P Global PMI index: the results of this index may affect expectations for the federal funds rate and bring a new direction to the market.
From a technical point of view, gold prices are in a correction and confirm the bearish structure. But any unexpected remarks from Trump may attract a lot of buying.
Quaid data analysis:
Upward resistance: 3340, 3360
Downward support: 3280, 3250
Quid believes that buying can be considered when retesting the support level or closing above 3370.
Traders, do you agree with Quaid's idea? Please leave your thoughts. I'll be happy that way.
Gold is falling wildly, is a key position coming?As of press time, spot gold has fallen wildly to below the support level of $3,300, having hit a record high of $3,500.05 the previous trading day.
At present, gold has fallen more than 5% from its historical high, and the fundamentals seem to be changing.
Quaid believes that gold has reached a key "turning point". After a strong rebound, the precious metal not only gave up all its gains, but also fell to a new low.
The sharp rise in gold prices is mainly due to the market pricing of "stagflation" risks, but as this risk is gradually eliminated, gold may experience a significant correction, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades in the market, and its parabolic rise is an obvious signal. From a larger cycle perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, because the real yield may continue to decline against the backdrop of the Fed's easing policy. But in the short term, if good news about tariffs continues to be released, gold prices may fall further, and the market will adjust according to the new environment.
Daily chart analysis
From the daily chart, gold has given up all of Monday's gains. From a risk management perspective, buyers may look for a more cost-effective entry position at 3290 in the hope of further gains, while sellers hope that prices can break further down, thereby increasing bearish bets.
4-hour chart analysis
In the 4-hour chart, prices found support around 3300 and rebounded. Buyers intervened at this position and set risks below this support level in an attempt to push prices higher again. Sellers hope that prices fall below this level to push prices further down.
Quaid's analysis:
The current market is crazy. If it can fluctuate and adjust around the 3300 support level, the downward trend will stop and it may rise to 3400.
If this support level fluctuates and falls, it may plummet to around 3150.
Traders can wait and see for a short period of time before trading.
I hope Quid's analysis can help you get out of your current predicament. I also wish that all traders can fight for their own money waves in the market and achieve financial freedom under Quaid’s advice and analysis.
Gold short position wins streak, waiting to continue shortingThe 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If a downward dead cross pattern is formed, then there is still room for gold bears to fall. Gold is under pressure to fall near the resistance line of 3340.
Gold's current rebound is not very strong. Although it seems to rebound a lot every time, that is because the market volatility has increased. Gold is still a bearish trend in the short term, and the rebound continues to be bearish.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3338, stop loss 3350, target 3318
How to grasp the ups and downs of market conditions?Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 line, and the 3400-3410 line for short-term suppression. Be careful to pursue orders in sharply rising and falling markets, let alone heavy positions, and wait patiently for sufficient adjustments before entering the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3310-15 line, and covers long positions when it falls back to 3300 line, stop loss 3297, target 3400-3410 line, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold: Beware of the Impending Mid-to-Long Term Bearish Trend💥 Post-market surprise news shook the gold market:
About a week ago, Trump publicly hinted at “considering firing” Powell. But just after today’s market close, he suddenly walked it back, saying he “never thought about it.”
At the same time, he dropped signals of easing trade tensions — this combo crushed gold’s safe-haven sentiment, causing a gap-down open that nearly broke below 3300!
🗣 Looks like Trump might be happily trading gold himself! 😂
Now, gold has recovered most of that drop and filled the gap, so this round of quick rebound profits is mostly over.
📉 What’s next? Strategy outlook:
🔺 Short-term resistance to watch:
Key level at 3400
If broken, 3420–3440 is a strong short-entry zone
If price pushes further, consider scaling into shorts between $3440–3540, targeting $3268
🔻 Short-term support:
A gap still exists around 3313
If price fails to break above 3440, apart from shorting near 3420, watch for buying opportunities near 3300
📉 Mid-term view:
If gold climbs past 3440 again this week and holds, expect a mid-term correction
Mid-term targets: 3190–3128
A drop below 3000 is not out of the question — the rally from 2000 to 3500 is simply too steep!
🧭 In summary: The rebound opportunity is nearly over. Don’t chase blindly at these highs — the market is entering a highly volatile decision zone. We could be looking at bull traps followed by a meaningful correction.
🎯 Long positions — manage your rhythm!
If price shows signs of exhaustion or stalls in the 3400–3440 zone,
🔔 Take profits promptly to avoid giving gains back!
If a clear breakout fails, it’s time to switch back to shorts and follow the trend.
Gold rose by 100 points to a new highAs the former US Treasury Secretary pointed out, the Trump administration's erratic rhetoric and ever-changing tariff policy measures are gradually eroding the global market's trust in the US dollar. Investors are therefore seeking asset allocations with safe-haven properties. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven tool, naturally becomes the first choice. From the perspective of technical analysis, the bullish trend of gold prices is strong. After the opening, it has shown a unilateral upward trend, with significant intraday gains. In this market situation, it is particularly important to follow the price trend, and counter-trend operations often face greater risks. Based on the current market trend, the gold bull market is still expected to continue, and may even further hit higher points. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to take a dip and buy more after a pullback to the key support level as the main strategy.
Today, gold rose to a new high, reaching 3317, and the increase was close to 100 points. The strength is beyond words. After the previous sideways accumulation, it continued to rise by inertia. It continued to be bullish and long. In the 4H cycle, it broke through the upper track of Bollinger, driving the moving average to turn upward, but the indicators diverged. It is prudent to buy more on the decline. The support below is maintained at 3288 and 3270. Buy more according to the strength of the decline. The upper side will gradually look to 3300 and 3320. Don't blindly guess the top!
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy more gold near 3270-72, stop loss at 3264, and target at 3300 and 3320! If it is very strong, rely on the support of 3288-90!
Daily chart MACD double lines upwardThis week, the market focused on three core events, namely, the direction of Trump's tariff policy, the progress of the US-Iran nuclear negotiations, and the trend of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Based on the evolution of these events, it is recommended that everyone should pay close attention to the trend of the US dollar. As for the performance of gold this week, we continue with our consistent views and adhere to the strategy of bullish but not guessing the top. The specific trading strategy is to wait for a callback before arranging long orders. Once there is an adjustment opportunity, we can go long on the bullish trend.
From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, the lower support is near the 3385-3393 line, and the upper pressure is around the 3440-44 line. Given that the current price is at a historical high, it is recommended to be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for sufficient adjustments before entering the market.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to go long at the 3385-93 line, with a stop loss at 3378, and the target is the 3435-3440 line. If it breaks, continue to hold;
Gold trading ideas for todayHello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. It can be seen that gold has retreated to around 3452, and 3452 is also the support position of the AM10 moving average.
The next operation is actually very simple. If gold stabilizes at 3445-3430, it should continue to buy.
If it falls below 3430, then you need to wait for around 3400 to buy.
There is no need to look too far for the upper target price. Continue to look at the high point of 3500, or even the new high of 3520.
Gold is continuously making historyToday, gold has reached a new high again, reaching 3,430 points at its peak. As for the current trend of gold, it is no longer technical. It is all about the safe - haven demand due to the tariff conflict. When the tariff issue escalates, gold prices will continue to rise. If the situation eases slightly, gold prices will also fall rapidly.
Next, maintain the strategy of going long on pullbacks, refuse to guess the top, and reduce trading risks.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3400-3410
sl 3380
tp 3430-3440
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
Is there a chance that gold will fall?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold. Currently, the support of gold is around 3380. If the correction of gold is weak, it may continue to rise after testing 3380.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then gold has a probability to continue to test the low support position near 3370.
Finally, there is the 4-hour support position of 3360-3350.
Therefore, try to pay attention to the support situation here at 3380 first. If there is a chance to reach this point and stabilize, gold will have the opportunity to continue to look at 3420 and 3435.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then you need to continue to wait for the low point of 3370, or even the high point of Friday at 3360-3350 to buy.
XAUUSD Gold Is Surging: Technical / Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaHey traders! Let’s break down the current price action on Gold (XAUUSD) using both Wyckoff and ICT concepts, and tie it all together with the latest macroeconomic context. 🚀✨
Wyckoff Methodology:
Looking at the 4H chart, we see a classic accumulation phase that transitioned into a strong markup. The recent price action shows a clear spring (liquidity sweep) below previous lows, followed by a sharp bullish move—this is textbook Wyckoff manipulation, where smart money grabs liquidity before driving price higher. The current rally suggests we’re in the markup phase, with demand overwhelming supply.
ICT Concepts:
Liquidity Zones: The chart shows a sweep of liquidity below the recent consolidation, trapping late sellers before a powerful bullish displacement. This is a classic ICT move—liquidity engineered and then swept.
Displacement: The large bullish candle breaking above the previous range signals a market structure shift (MSS) to the upside. This is a strong sign of bullish intent.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The impulsive move up has likely left a fair value gap (imbalance) between 3335 and 3385.50. Price may retrace to fill this gap before continuing higher.
Market Structure: The break above the previous swing high confirms a bullish market structure. As long as price holds above the 3335-3340 zone (50% retracement), the bullish bias remains intact.
Technical Trade Setups:
Bullish Scenario: Look for a retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone (3335-3323) for potential long entries. If price forms a bullish rejection or bullish engulfing pattern here, it could be a high-probability setup targeting the recent high (3385.50) and the next extension at 3436.
Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above 3335 and closes below 3320, we could see a deeper retracement toward 3284 (100% retracement) or even lower, but this is less likely given the current momentum.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish 🟢 – The strong displacement, liquidity sweep, and market structure shift all point to bullish sentiment. Buyers are in control, and any pullbacks into the FVG or key fib levels are likely to be bought up.
Macroeconomic & Fundamental Drivers:
Gold’s rally is being fueled by several key factors:
CPI & Inflation: Recent CPI data shows persistent inflation, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge.
Interest Rate Expectations: The market is pricing in potential rate cuts by the Fed later this year, weakening the USD and supporting gold.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Ukraine) are driving safe-haven flows into gold.
USD Strength: Any signs of USD weakness further boost gold’s appeal.
Summary & Trade Plan:
Gold is in a strong bullish phase after a classic liquidity sweep and market structure shift. Watch for retracements into the 3335-3320 zone for potential long setups, with targets at 3385 and 3436. Stay alert for any macro news that could impact sentiment, but for now, the bulls are in control! 🏆📈
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
Analysis of Gold Trading Strategies for Next WeekThe current key support level below is the low point of the rebound on Thursday night at the 3,288-3,293 level. If this level is broken at any time next week, the gold price may officially start a correction. At the opening of next Monday, focus on the support level at 3,310-3,315. Pay attention to the short-term high at 3,340-3,345 above. A break above 3,345 will accelerate the rebound to the historical high near 3,357. Be cautious about chasing long positions at high levels.
If the tariff conflict is alleviated next week, gold is unlikely to break through its high again in the short term and will most likely remain in a range-bound oscillation. The operational advice is to go long on pullbacks, with a target of 3,340-3,345. If the position is broken, continue to hold.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3210-3215
sl 3180
tp 3235-3240
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
Will gold experience a sharp drop?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold today. If you have other ideas, you can express your different ideas in the comment area. Today, gold continued yesterday's upward trend and set a new record high of 3357!
But we need to be extra careful at present, because tomorrow Friday is closed all day, which means that today Thursday is the last trading day of this week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be profit-taking.
Once the long positions are profit-taking, it is easy to have a large retracement, so you must be careful about this and do not buy too much.
From the hourly chart:
Today's high point was 3357 and once retreated to around 3313. It can be found that since it fell below the opening price of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again.
This is a strong short-term retracement signal, especially when the long positions are about to be profit-taking.
Moreover, the hourly chart is currently a bit of abc wave retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower.
At present, the MA10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3280.
Therefore, it is not recommended to chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3280 in advance.
In terms of operation, I suggest that you can maintain the entry and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3280.
#XAUUSD:Time to Sell Gold ? Gold experienced a record high after touching $3358, but it subsequently declined. We anticipate further price drops until it reaches $3250, representing a 1000 pips move. We expect the price to remain bearish until it reaches a specific level. We appreciate your continued support.
Wishing you a joyous Easter.
Much Love ❤️
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#XAUUSD: Possible Easy 600+ Pips Buying OpportunityFollowing a substantial decline in gold prices, which dropped more than 1000 pips, there is a possibility that the price may experience a minor correction before resuming its downward trajectory. It is imperative to acknowledge that trading gold in the current market conditions carries significant risks, and there is a substantial likelihood of incurring substantial losses.
Good luck and trade safe!
#XAUUSD: $3400 On The Way! Get Ready For Record High! Gold has rebounded to previous highs, maintaining a bullish trend. We expect it to continue this momentum, potentially reaching $3400 in the long term. To set take profit, consider $3250, $3300, and $3400. Use accurate risk management and conduct your own research before trading gold.
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Gold has risen strongly again. Can it break through the 3300 resEvent summary:
The current gold market presents a triple driving logic: the global central bank's continuous gold purchases constitute long-term support, and the US debt crisis and the risk of US dollar trust form the core upward momentum.
Technical aspects show that the gold price rose strongly after breaking through the key resistance of 3275, and the continuity of the bullish trend is clear, approaching the high of 3300 US dollars.
Level analysis:
Gold continued to break through strongly, with the highest price reaching 3293. After the key resistance of 3275 was effectively broken, there was no retracement, confirming the continuity of the bullish trend. The current gold price has refreshed the historical high, and is only one step away from the integer mark of 3300 US dollars. The technical form shows that the bullish momentum is sufficient, but we need to be vigilant against the risk of high-level stagflation. The current upper resistance is 3295-3310, and it can continue to hold after breaking through the resistance line.
Operation strategy:
Go long at 3285-3290, stop loss at 3280, and look up to 3300-3310.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, no matter you have made profits or losses in the past, I hope you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
Will gold fall today?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold this week. From the current daily chart, gold is currently in a five-wave upward trend.
You can see that the low point of gold last week was near 2955, which is exactly the top position of the first wave of this wave.
The retracement from 3167 to 2955 is the retracement of the fourth wave, and the retracement did not break the top position of the first wave near 2950.
So, the current trend from near 2955 is running in the fifth wave of rise.
I also drew it in the picture, and it may eventually reach the high point near 3308-3328.
Today's highest point reached near 3275, and then it retreated sharply to near 3256.
Maybe you think this is a high and fall, but I don't think so from the trend.
Gold opened at 3230. If you look at the trend of 3230-3275, you can find that 3255 is exactly the 618 support position of this trend.
If the retracement does not break 618, then there will definitely be a new high.
Using 123 to find 4, we can see that if the high point of 3290 continues to break, the subsequent high point will be around 3300, followed by 3328.
And 3300 coincides with the daily high above.
Therefore, if gold can reach around 3300 next, we must be careful of the possibility of a high fall.
Gold bull market? 3300 is not far awayEvent summary:
Goldman Sachs releases another "gold bomb"! The Wall Street giant raised its gold price target for the third time, predicting that gold will soar to $3700 per ounce in 2025, and even warned that it may exceed $4500 in extreme cases! In just a few months, the expected price of gold has soared like a rocket, and the market is completely boiling-this is not an investment, but this time, it may be an unprecedented super market!
Level analysis:
The early fluctuations of gold were not large, and it has always shown a trend of oscillating sideways. However, the current surge has directly given everyone a big surprise. How should we view the upward trend?
The surge in gold directly broke through the oscillation area. The daily line continued to attack after a break. The trend is still in a strong form, so it is better to follow and do more in the short term!
Trading signal:
3240-50 long, stop loss 3230, take profit 3285.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, I hope you can achieve an investment breakthrough with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Gold has an adjustment trend, shorting is the main trendGold has begun to fluctuate in a wide range. The gold high has been suppressed frequently in the past two days and will fall back. Don't chase too much after the gold high. Even if you are long, you must patiently wait for the opportunity to fall back and adjust.
The gold 1-hour moving average has begun to show signs of turning, so the volume of gold bulls has begun to weaken, and gold bulls may have adjustments. In the short term, the confidence in further rising gold is not very strong. The structure of the double top of gold 1 hour.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3221, stop loss 3231, target 3200
Gold is finishing at a high level to resist the fall! The bullis
📌 Driving events
U.S. President Trump said on Monday that he was exploring the possibility of temporarily exempting tariffs on imported cars and parts to give auto companies more time to establish production bases in the United States.
New York Fed: The unemployment rate is expected to rise to the highest level since April 2020 in March. In March, households were more pessimistic about employment and future income. The expected inflation rate for the next five years is 2.9%, down from 3% in February.
Geopolitical situation:
It was learned on the 14th local time that Israeli officials said that Israel and the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) still have great differences on the ceasefire in Gaza. The official said that compared with the previous negotiating position, Hamas seems willing to release more Israeli detainees, but if Hamas insists on requiring all parties to guarantee that Israel must stop waging war in the Gaza Strip after the ceasefire, it will still be difficult to promote an agreement. The official expects Hamas to respond to the new ceasefire proposal in the next few days.
📊Comment Analysis
The hourly level shows that the short-term gold price has fallen from a high level and gradually fell into a narrow range above the hourly 60-day moving average support level. The current hourly level indicators are narrowing, maintaining a short-term shock guide reference. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average at the four-hour level are arranged in a downward cross, maintaining the four-hour level peak signal. The short-term decline gradually brings about the four-hour RSI mean reversion, forming a four-hour level adjustment trend. The gold price has risen and fallen to maintain a shock downward trend, which has not changed the medium- and long-term upward trend. Be cautious to maintain a bullish shock trading strategy during the day.
💰Strategy package
Long order:
Aggressive participation at 3185-3195, profit target above 3210
Steady participation at 3175-3185, profit target above 3195
Short order:
Aggressive participation at 3250, profit target below 3230
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account