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Xauusdanalysis

Gold’s Bull Trap? Major Reversal Incoming!As I expected in yesterday's post , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise from the Support zone($2,919-$2,905) and bounced exactly on my hypothesized lines , and I hope you were able to profit. Gold failed to break the Resistance zone($2,948-$2,940) . And it appears to have created a Bull Trap . In terms of the Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the main wave 5 , and one of the signs for me was the Bull Trap . I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,919-$2,905) after breaking the Uptrend lines . ( Next targets are also possible ). Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone, we can expect more pumps. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 30-minute time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
5
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
XAUUSD // Reversal pattern formation, Strong bearish scenario...📉 XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Triple Top Reversal in Play! 🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) has formed a Triple Top pattern at the peak of the uptrend, signaling a potential trend reversal. The third top acted as a liquidity trap, luring in late buyers before price started to decline aggressively. A confirmed breakdown below the 50 EMA with strong bearish candles indicates that sellers are taking control. 📈 Key Technical Confirmations: ✅ Triple Top Formation – A strong bearish reversal pattern ✅ Liquidity Trap on the Third Top – Fake breakout, followed by sharp selling pressure ✅ 50 EMA Breakdown – Confirms shift in momentum towards the downside ✅ Bearish Momentum Increasing – Price likely to extend losses 📌 Next Downside Targets: 🎯 First Target: 200 EMA 🎯 Key Levels: 2882, 2862, 2842, 2830, 2812, 2774, 2751 Gold is likely to continue its bearish move towards these levels. A break below the 200 EMA will add further confirmation for deeper declines. 🔔 Like, comment, and follow for more expert market insights! 📊🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrendLogic1
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 21.02.2025Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Chart - Intraday Trading Analysis & Signal 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels: Uptrend in Play: Gold has been respecting an ascending trendline since $2,880, indicating continued bullish sentiment. Current Support Zone: $2,923 - $2,925, aligning with multiple trendlines and horizontal support. Resistance Levels to Watch: $2,950 - $2,955 (first resistance zone) $2,970 - $2,975 (major resistance and target) Breakdown Scenario: If gold fails to hold $2,923, we could see a drop toward $2,905 - $2,898. 📈 Intraday Trading Signal for XAU/USD: ✅ Buy Entry: $2,923 - $2,925 (If price holds this support zone and shows bullish reaction) 🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,950 🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,970 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below $2,915 📌 Alternative Scenario (Sell Setup) ❌ Sell Entry: Below $2,922 (If price breaks below support and trendline) 🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,905 🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,898 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Above $2,935 🕵 Confirmation Checklist Before Entering Trade: ✅ Bullish Rejection from $2,923 - $2,925 for Buy ✅ Bearish Breakdown Below $2,922 for Sell ✅ Volume Surge in Direction of Trade ✅ DXY (Dollar Index) Weakness for Bullish Gold ⚠ Risk Management & Trade Tips: Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit. If price closes below $2,922, invalidate buy trade and switch to short setup. Monitor news events impacting USD for volatility. 🚀 Trade with discipline, and let the market confirm the move! 🔥 FOLLOW, COMMENT AND LIKE.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quinn901
XAUUSD: 21/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 3000, support below 2892 Four-hour resistance 3000, support below 2920 Gold operation suggestions: Gold continued to rise strongly in the Asian and European sessions yesterday. The European session accelerated the breakthrough and stood above the 2950 mark to further create a historical high. However, the gold price was under pressure at the 2954 mark before the US session, and it fell back and fluctuated. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 2930 mark and continued to fall to around 2924, and then began to rebound. From the current 4-hour analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on the vicinity of 2920, the daily level support is 2892, and the upper pressure is above the 2958-60 line. The overall support continues to rely on this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. BUY:2924near SL:2920 BUY:2892near SL:2888
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
The decline of gold has not yet ended and the bearish trend contUS gold trading focuses on the 2933-2937 line, the watershed is 2940, and the target is 2918-2910! If the strong support reaches 2906-2907, we can wait for another wave of rebound! In terms of trading, yesterday we saw the European session break the high and rise. In the afternoon, gold rose as expected, and the price accurately reached the target pressure level of 2955. Members’ real orders were long at 2940 and stopped at 2954, winning 14 US dollars. As for why we did not go short at the pressure of 2955, the main reason is that we only follow the trend and look for support to go long, rather than go short against the trend and go short at pressure.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by eshweshw
Has gold risen and fall peaked?Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that it is mainly long for pullbacks and short for rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper short-term focus on the 2950-2954 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the 2918-2910 line support. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Gold rebounds around 2950-2953 and shorts two-tenths of positions in batches, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2935-2920, break the position and look at the 2915 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Gold pulls back around 2913-2916 and goes long in batches of two-tenths of positions, stop loss at 8 points, target around 2920-2930, break the position and look at the 2940 line;
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
Can the gold bullish force continue? Interpretation of European From the current observation, the 2922-2925 range constitutes the current main resistance zone. Once the gold price successfully stands above 2925, the breakthrough of the previous high of 2930-2942 will be just around the corner, and the market is bullish. The 2911-2909 area below has built a solid support line. As long as the support is not effectively broken, the gold price is expected to continue the bullish trend during the European session. Therefore, for European trading, we recommend that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented by high shorts, and a steady layout is made, waiting for good news. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to pull back to 2912-2907 long, stop loss 2900, and the target is 2925-2930. Break to see 2945. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to try to go short near the rebound 2937, stop loss 2945, and the target is 2915-2905.
TVC:GOLDLong
by x7p2x7p2
Keep making money by shorting goldYesterday, I remained firmly committed to shorting gold from start to finish, and as anticipated, gold retraced to my two target zones: 2930-2925 and 2920-2910. Today, gold has pulled back to around 2916, breaking Wednesday’s low, which has, to some extent, opened up downside potential and strengthened expectations for further downside acceleration toward the 2900-2880 region. Additionally, from a short-term technical perspective, a head and shoulders pattern has formed, further supporting the likelihood of a sharper decline. Therefore, in today’s trading, I continue to favor short positions in gold. As gold’s price action shifts lower, overhead resistance levels are also adjusting downward. This calls for a more conservative expectation of gold’s rebound potential. For short-term trading, we can consider scaling into short positions in the 2930-2940 zone. Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold market analysisIn the early trading today, gold suddenly plunged by more than $20 in the 2950 area, and then rebounded quickly, showing the intensity of the game between the long and short sides. At present, the support strength of the 2925-2920 range below is significant. Once this support level is effectively broken, the bears will take the initiative in the market. However, if the gold price is to fall sharply, it needs to successfully overcome the support of the 2915 area where the 10-day moving average is located. Since the current round of market started to rise from 2580, the price has been steadily climbing along the 10-day moving average. Therefore, only by breaking the 10-day moving average can the bears fully control the market rhythm and then test the 2900-2880 range downward (this range is the key watershed of the medium-term trend). Before the 10-day moving average is broken, the gold price will continue to try to rise repeatedly. There is strong suppression in the 2950-2955 range, so we can consider buying on rallies, and at the same time, we need to pay attention to the short-term pressure in the 2940-2942 area. If the gold price breaks through a new high again, it is likely to continue to rise and fall. At this time, we should pay close attention to the suppression of the 2965 area and the 2980 area. As for the 3000 mark, there is no condition for a breakthrough this week. Judging from the current situation, the possibility of a sharp rise in the gold price today is low. In terms of short-term operation ideas, it is recommended to focus on rebound shorting, supplemented by retracement and low longs. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2940-2945 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2910-2905 line of support. Gold falls back to 2910-2912, buy at 2910-2912, stop loss at 2903, target at 2920-2930. For short positions, pay attention to the situation around 2940 and enter the market when the opportunity arises.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mykvmykv
XAU/USD 21 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias. Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955 Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias. Price is now trading within an established internal range. You will note my comments in yesterday's analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS. This scenario seems underway, price has targeted strong internal low, however, price has, thus far, not been able to close below. Intraday Expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 2,954.955, however, my alternative scenario remains live. Alternative scenario: As we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 17-21 FEB, 20251. Double Top Formation: First Peak: The price reached the resistance zone ($2,940) and got rejected. Second Peak: The price attempted to break this level again but faced rejection, forming the second top. Neckline (Support Zone at $2,875 - $2,885): The price is now testing this area, which acts as a key decision point. 2. Bearish Confirmation (If Breakdown Happens): If the price breaks below $2,875 and closes below this level, it confirms the double top. The next potential downside target would be around $2,800 - $2,810 (measured move from the top to neckline). 3. Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Rebound (Invalidates Double Top): If the price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and bounces up, it could retest $2,940 - $2,960 again. This would turn the pattern into a fakeout, leading to another bullish move. ❌ Bearish Breakdown (Confirms Double Top): A clean break and close below $2,875 signals more downside. Target: $2,810 (or lower if momentum continues). 4. Trading Strategy: Short Entry (Bearish): If price breaks below $2,875, enter a sell position. Stop-loss: Above $2,890 (to avoid fakeouts). Take profit: $2,810 (or trail SL if trend continues). Long Entry (Bullish Reversal): If price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and forms bullish confirmation (like a hammer or engulfing candle). Stop-loss: Below $2,870 to protect from a fake breakout. Take profit: $2,940 - $2,960. Final Thought: If this is truly a double top, a break below the neckline could trigger a bigger correction. But if buyers step in, it could flip into a breakout-retest strategy instead.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quinn901
7
This is a 45-minute XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) This is a 45-minute XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) . The chart is based on price action analysis, highlighting key market structures such as liquidity grabs, CHoCH (Change of Character), and entry zones. Analysis Breakdown: 1. Uptrend and Reversal: • The chart shows a strong bullish move, forming a higher high. • A CHoCH (Change of Character) is marked, indicating a potential trend reversal. 2. Entry Zone: • The price has entered a demand zone (marked as “ENTRY ZONE”). • This zone is a potential area where buyers may step in. 3. Take Profit Levels: • TP 1: First target level is 2,944.246. • TP 2: Second target is around 2,953.911 - 2,953.769. 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: • A strong bullish move is anticipated. • The chart highlights a potential 26.294 (0.90%) profit move. If the price finds support in the entry zone and starts moving up, a buy trade could be profitable. The best strategy would be to wait for further confirmations based on price action.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Blue_Pills
Gold price analysis February 21⭐️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices fell as investors booked profits ahead of the release of key US economic data, including PMI and PCE inflation. The Fed minutes did not change expectations for two rate cuts this year, but maintained a cautious stance. If the economy is strong and inflation is high, the Fed may not be in a hurry to ease policy. Gold prices may fluctuate in the short term following economic data, but are still supported by concerns about Trump's tax policies and Russia-Ukraine tensions. Despite the correction, gold remains a safe haven, and dips can be good buying opportunities. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold price is heading towards 2920 and this area is the most important area for gold today. When breaking 2920, pay attention to the 2906 area for BUY signals and just wait for the test beats to sell around 2920 when this area is broken. When gold bounces from 2920, the market continues to want to increase. As long as there is any close above 2928, gold will soon regain the resistance level of 2944. Wish everyone the best trading strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold price analysis February 20⭐️Fundamental Analysis The rally came after US President Donald Trump said a trade deal with China was possible. Geopolitical concerns increased after US President Trump said Ukraine had started a war with Russia and hinted that it was time to pay back all the aid it had provided to the US. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting minutes from Wednesday night had little impact. Only a few members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) favored stable interest rates and were in no rush to cut. Considering this, the possibility of a rate cut in June remains. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold prices are currently difficult to trade as they are at an all-time high. any recovery to the breakout points is considered the best opportunity to buy gold towards the 3000 peak. Watch for recovery points around 2940-2920 for BUY signals and watch the 2970 area as today's major resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
0217-0221 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider. 1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market dynamics, this surge appears to lack rationality. 1. Inflationary pressures are significantly increasing In January, the Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 3.5% (higher than the expected 3.2%), while the core PPI inflation rate reached 3.6% (higher than the expected 3.3%). This marks the highest PPI inflation rate since February 2023. More importantly, this data confirms that the previous 0.5% month-on-month increase in CPI was not due to seasonal factors but rather a reflection of persistent inflationary pressures. 2. Employment data indicates an overheated economy Last week, initial jobless claims came in at 213K, lower than the expected 216K, while continuing claims reached 1850K, below the expected 1882K. This demonstrates that the labor market remains strong, and the "hot" employment data further reinforces concerns about an overheating economy. 3. Rate cut expectations are delayed With CPI, PPI, and employment data all exceeding expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed further back. Currently, the market generally anticipates the earliest rate cuts to occur in September 2025. Even worse, if the Fed's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to be released today, also shows an increase, the market may reprice rate hike expectations. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has already broken out of its symmetrical triangle, with technical analysis suggesting its next target could be 5%, further strengthening expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes instead of continuing to cut rates. 4. Liquidity is shrinking On Thursday (February 13), the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage dropped to $67.82 billion, the lowest level since April 2021, indicating that market liquidity is rapidly contracting. From this data, it is evident that U.S. stocks lack fundamental support for their rally. However, under such circumstances, the significant rise in U.S. stocks raises questions about whether emotional trading and market manipulation are at play. --- 2. Crowded markets: Risk appetite reaches extremes Scott Rubner, Managing Director and Tactical Expert at Goldman Sachs Global Markets, published a report following last night's U.S. stock market rally, bluntly stating that this is his final bullish email on U.S. stocks for this quarter. He pointed out: > “Everyone is in this pool, including retail investors, 401(k) retirement fund inflows, beginning-of-year fund allocations, and corporations. The dynamics of fund flow demand are rapidly changing, and negative seasonality is approaching.” This suggests that the market is already too crowded, and the momentum for buying on dips is rapidly diminishing. The following data further confirms the extreme crowding in the market: 1. Assets in leveraged long equity ETFs reached a record high of $95 billion last week, compared to $67.6 billion during the stock market frenzy of 2021. 2. Since the third quarter of 2022, the total assets of funds using derivatives for long bets have tripled. 3. Assets in leveraged short equity ETFs decreased by $13.3 billion, falling to $8.5 billion. In other words, for every $1 in leveraged short ETFs, there is a record $11 in leveraged long ETFs. The level of crowding in market trading has reached an extreme, or even "crazy," state. This extreme risk appetite has planted hidden risks for the future trajectory of the market. --- 3. Why did gold pull back? In such an extreme market environment for U.S. stocks, gold, as a safe-haven asset, failed to reach new highs last Friday and instead retreated. The reasons behind this phenomenon mainly include the following: 1. A stronger U.S. dollar Due to rising expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a significant rebound last Friday. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with the dollar, and a stronger dollar directly suppressed gold's upward momentum. 2. Rising real interest rates The upward movement in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield and the market's repricing of the Fed's monetary policy caused real interest rates to rise. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is highly sensitive to real interest rates. Rising real interest rates weaken gold's appeal. 3. Market sentiment shifting toward risk assets Despite the market's uncertainties, the strong performance of U.S. stocks attracted substantial capital inflows into risk assets. Increased risk appetite among investors reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 4. Technical resistance From a technical analysis perspective, gold faced significant resistance near its previous highs. Profit-taking by bulls further exacerbated gold's pullback. --- 4. Technical Analysis Weekly Chart It is evident that gold has entered a period of consolidation near its top. Last week closed with a bearish candle, forming a multi-candle evening star pattern on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal signal. For the upcoming week, the trading strategy will focus on identifying short opportunities on lower timeframes. Four-Hour Chart The five-wave structure appears to have ended, with the final wave reaching higher and broader levels than previously anticipated. Considering the gradual formation of a top structure, next week's trading plan will focus on short opportunities below the four-hour EMA. --- GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
GOLD SHORT | SELL THEORY [24/02-01/03]From what I’m seeing price is seemingly fatigued. There was a credible break on the 4H chart though - which is low-key worrying, HOWEVER on the daily chart? Sweeps on sweeps - which to me certify that price will be seeking a reversal of some sort at some point. Once one of the printed lows gets violated by price (as drawn on the chart - with a candlestick) the sell will be confirmed. I had a potential trade with actually played out nicely but I didn’t enter it, which I’m cool about as I wasn’t sure. I won’t be trading Gold until I actually get confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by saintprincevvs