Xauusdanalysis
Bullish Inflation Data Fuels Gold Rebound — Impulsive Waves!?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall from the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) as I expected in the previous idea , but 50_SMA(Daily) and Support lines were able to hold Gold .
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Today, key U.S. economic data was released:
Core PPI m/m: -0.4% (vs. 0.3% forecast)
Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% expected)
PPI m/m: -0.5% (vs. 0.2% forecast)
Retail Sales m/m: 0.1% (in line)
Unemployment Claims: 229K (as expected)
Outlook :
The weaker-than-expected inflation data, especially the PPI figures, indicate easing inflationary pressures. This may increase expectations for potential Fed rate cuts, which generally supports gold as a non-yielding asset.
Conclusion :
Today’s data is overall bullish for gold. Watch for continued upside if sentiment shifts further toward dovish Fed expectations. However, keep an eye on upcoming Fed commentary for confirmation.
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Gold is moving above the Heavy Support zone($3,200-$3,136) and has managed to break the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the corrective waves , and we can expect the start of an impulsive wave . Breaking the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) can be a good sign for the start of an impulsive wave and a gold pump .
I expect Gold to start rising again after a pullback to the Resistance lines(broken) , probably from the Fibonacci Levels inside the chart , and attack the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Note: If Gold touches $3,154 , we can expect more dumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone.
From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias.
Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas.
- There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted.
- On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move.
P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?Gold Price Volatility: Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?
💥 Market Outlook:
Today’s market is seeing unpredictable movements, with gold making significant drops and then rebounding sharply in the last two days. Are the recent news developments aligning with the price action, or is it just a major coincidence?
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Looking at the D1 and H4 charts, you can clearly see the breakdown, but gold quickly bounced back to the 325x area and reacted. The 3254–3256 zone is a key level that holds strong for sellers on both daily and H4 candles. If gold continues to hold below this level, the bearish trend remains strong, and another sharp drop could happen before the weekend.
If the 3254–3256 level is broken, the price may push toward the 327x, possibly even the 328x levels. However, this will be dependent on whether this critical support is maintained.
Trend Continuation or Reversal?
From a technical perspective, gold is still in a downtrend, and the current bounce is likely just a retracement before continuing lower. However, in terms of macro news, the USD is continuously dealing with bad inflation data, affecting the recovery of DXY (USD). The market is very sensitive to trap candles, and there may be false breakouts, so proceed cautiously.
There are also some news reports indicating that the US and China have reached a minor détente, but tensions remain around trade restrictions, imports, exports, and the use of rare earth minerals. Things are unpredictable with these two powers. Today, there are updates on tariffs, so keep an eye out!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3237
3251
3261
3276
3287
📉 Key Support Levels:
3205
3188
3170
3143
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3196 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3162 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 → 3120
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
With strong volatility today, manage your risk carefully. It’s essential to adhere to your TP/SL to protect your account. Stay cautious, as there is a lot of unpredictability in the market with the upcoming news.
Conclusion:
Given the unpredictability of the market and geopolitical tensions, it’s wise to trade with caution today. Watch the critical support and resistance levels closely and stay flexible, adapting your strategy based on how the market evolves.
📣 Stay tuned for more updates and trade smart!
Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again?
The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key.
The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line.
Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall.
If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
Gold Trend Analysis for Next WeekGold continued its downward trend in yesterday's morning session, but in the evening, it experienced a long-short washout and returned to the 3,200 mark, closing with a small bearish candle on the daily chart. The question now is whether the daily chart will form consecutive declines. Looking at the daily rhythm, the high points have been declining, which means that after encountering resistance at the three-point line vertex resistance level, it is prone to forming a secondary inflection point for a downward trend. This implies that a pullback should still be expected next week.
Regarding the future direction, short-term bearish sentiment will remain the theme! Overall, the gold price is undergoing a retest during the 4-hour rebound. If the rebound fails to break through the resistance, the decline will continue, and the downward trend will persist. Since the bearish inflection point turned downward from the high, the current bearish trend is still extending downward.
Before the bears reach the key node where bulls build a bottom, rebounds remain opportunities to go short as the main rhythm.
XAU/USD
sell@3210-3220
tp:3180-3160
sl:3230
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD - bottom out here? What's next??#GOLD.. .market placed a very reasonable low for now and now if market holds 3175 in hour chart then we can expect a bounce from here.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse below 3173 - 74
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold’s Make-or-Break Level: $3167 Is the Key to the Next MoveGold Spot is sitting at a critical inflection point — and if you’ve been watching the charts, you know exactly where the pressure is building: the $3167 zone.
This level has acted as a mid-term support floor, cushioning gold’s recent corrections and providing bulls with a lifeline. But that cushion is now getting thinner, and if price action breaks below this area decisively, the implications could be sharply bearish.
👀Why $3167 Matters👀
Take a look at the recent structure. Every bounce, every bullish attempt in the past week, has leaned on $3167. It's not just some random line — it’s where buyers have consistently stepped in to defend.
But now? The bounces are getting weaker. Volume’s fading. And price is consolidating right above support — never a good sign.
If gold breaks $3167 and closes below it, expect an acceleration to the downside. Momentum traders will likely pile in, and we could see a quick slide into the $3075–3052 zone, where the next real demand sits.
✨What I’m Watching✨
A clean hourly candle close below $3167 — ideally with follow-through volume.
Any retest of $3167 after a breakdown could offer a textbook entry for shorts.
🎁The Bearish Scenario
If the break happens, I’ll be targeting $3052 for the first bounce. That’s where previous accumulation kicked in — and it lines up with a cluster of reaction lows from late April. It’s also a psychological round number and a potential spot for intraday reversal plays.
Gold Weekly Recap & Weekend Positioning ReminderGold has now climbed to the $3200 region, and long positions have secured solid profits!
As market volatility cools near the weekly close, those who prefer not to hold positions over the weekend may consider locking in profits and waiting for new setups next week.
📌 If you choose to hold over the weekend, please ensure a protective stop-loss is in place.
Although the current trend is bullish, unexpected negative news could trigger gaps or rapid pullbacks—risk management remains essential.
📊 Weekly Recap:
This week, our team captured key moves on both the short and long side with precise timing.
Members who followed our VIP strategies have seen outstanding results.
Next week, we’ll continue to trade around key support/resistance levels, supported by news events and clean technical setups.
💬 Feel free to message me anytime with questions.
Have a great weekend — let’s keep winning next week!
Long orders are trapped,what should we do with the US gold marke🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Gold once fell to around 3170, which is in line with our judgment of bullish weakness. This is why we are not in a hurry to participate in long orders today. I know that many bros also listened to the outside world and went long around 3200, which led to being trapped. At present, the gold price is constantly testing the 3170 support line. If it falls below, it will look to the 3150 support line. If it does not break, it will be treated as a shock. On the top, temporarily pay attention to the 3205-3215 line of resistance. If it encounters resistance and pressure, go short. On the bottom, first pay attention to the 3170 support line, and then pay attention to the 3150-3140 support line. Hold if it breaks.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD H1 CHART ANALYSIS miraninaveed337: G
Sijjad Zong: (XAUUSD, 1-hour timeframe)
Sell Setup (Bearish Continuation from Channel Breakout)
Entry (Sell): Around current price area: $3,190
Stop Loss: Just above the recent high or marked SL area: $3,263
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
1. TP1: $3,150 – conservative target based on recent support
2. TP2: $3,121 – matching the previous low
3. TP3: $3,111 – extended target (marked horizontal support)
Summary:
Sell Entry: $3,190 (approx)
Stop Loss: $3,263
TP1: $3,150
TP2: $3,121
TP3: $3,111
Make sure to adjust position sizing to manage risk properly
5/16 Gold Trading Signals
🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Gold made a strong one-way rally from 3120 to above 3200 yesterday, perfectly achieving our bullish target with substantial profits.
Today, after a slight uptick at the open, gold started to pull back and enter a consolidation phase. Technically, this is a normal correction after a $120 surge. However, the key question now is:
🔍 Is this just a healthy pullback, or a bearish continuation pattern?
There’s some uncertainty in the current structure:
On the larger scale, the market still appears to be forming a double top.
On the shorter-term, this week’s pattern resembles a head and shoulders bottom, and price is now testing the neckline zone.
🧭 So, while the direction remains unclear, we can still identify key trading zones to act on.
🗞 News Watch:
Several important U.S. data releases are scheduled during the New York session. They may provide crucial directional signals for gold.
📌 Today’s Gold Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3176 – 3148
🔴 Sell Zone: 3265 – 3287
🔄 Flexible Trading Zones (watch for reversals or breakout plays):
▫️3187-3198-3209-3237-3258-3267
✅ Reminder: With the structure being complex and direction unclear, avoid aggressive positioning. Focus on scalp or short-term trades near key zones and react to market post-data.
THE SOUTHEASTEveryone would sell out and go,
everyone who counts.
Technical Section:
ABC bear market (the price of gold must come down)
Target-1 =$ 3000
Target-2 =$ 3300
Target-3 =$ 2650
We shall see.
The golden high diving reversed again!Today's support below is maintained at the integer level of 3200. Once this position continues to break in the European session, it will be possible to confirm the falling mode and it is very likely to set a new low. The pressure above is maintained near the previous high of 3212 in the European session. The previous high in the European session is very likely to suppress the European session again. If the European session continues to set new lows, the US session is likely to continue to fall. At present, we have two operating ideas. The ideal point is to wait for gold to continue to rebound and short around 3202-05, with the target at 3180-3150. After breaking 3150, you can continue to rebound and short. On the whole, Jin Shengfu recommends rebounding and shorting as the main strategy, and callbacks and long positions as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3202-3212 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 31120-3110 support line.
"XAU/USD Bearish Structure Developing Below Resistance"Gold price showed a sharp upward movement but faced resistance near the 3212–3220 zone. After forming a lower high, the structure appears to be setting up for a potential downside move.
The market seems to be respecting a descending channel and if the current resistance holds, we could see further continuation toward the 3120–3122 support area. Volume spike during the drop also indicates possible seller strength.
This is an educational analysis based on price structure and market behavior.
Feel free to share your thoughts or give a boost if it aligns with your view.
🔍 Key Points:
Resistance Area: ~3212–3220
Current Price Reaction: Forming lower highs
Target Zone: 3120–3122 (support)
Pattern: Bearish flag or channel
Volume: Increased on downside move – shows selling pressure
Gold high diving reverses againThe support below is maintained at the integer level of 3200. Once this position continues to break, it will be possible to confirm the falling mode and it is very likely to set a new low. The pressure above is maintained near the previous high of 3212 in the European session. The previous high is very likely to suppress the European session again. If the European session continues to set new lows, the US session is likely to continue to fall. At present, we have two operating ideas. The ideal point is to wait for gold to continue to rebound and short around 3202-05, with the target at 3180-3150. After breaking 3150, you can continue to rebound and short. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly short on rebounds, supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3202-3212 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 31120-3110 support line.
Gold Free fall to 3080/3050 ?Gold just broke the channel.
I expect a rapid decline the following hours to 3080 and if that breaks, 3050
Can a V-shaped reversal continue the bull market?🗞News side:
1. Hamas official: If a permanent ceasefire is achieved, control of the Gaza Strip can be handed over
2. Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rates are no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to fall to 2.2% in April.
3. Russia and Ukraine reached a ceasefire at the technical level
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday, the gold price staged a V-shaped reversal and once rose to close near 3244. Although the technical indicators in the hourly chart show a favorable situation, there has been no correction in the current round of gold price increase, and the rise is slow. In addition, the RSI has entered the overbought area, so we need to be alert to the possibility of gold price correction today. Focus on the 3250-3260 resistance on the top and the 3210-3200 support on the bottom.
SELL 3245-3250 TP 3210-3200
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold Price Analysis May 16Yesterday's D1 candle pulled back within the uptrend with a liquidity sweep to 3121. Today there is unlikely to be a sell-off and the price will continue to return in the uptrend.
Today, it is better to mainly look for retest points for BUY signals.
In the immediate future, 3198 is the first BUY zone that the Asia-Europe session can consider. When breaking this zone, buy entries may not carry long TP expectations. The Breakout zone of 3153 and the bottom zone of 3125 are two important supports to prevent the gold price from a downward slide.
In the opposite direction, the Asian session resistance zone around 3254 also acts as an immediate barrier for the gold price increase. Break 3254 should not BUY until the 3288 zone before SELL Scalping can be done. The upper barrier of the Daily Frame is at 3320.
Gold price fluctuates and rebounds before shortingFrom the 4-hour analysis, we are currently paying attention to the short-term pressure at 3258-65 on the upper side, and the important pressure at 3275-81. For intraday pullbacks, we will continue to go short based on this position and look for a decline. Before breaking through and standing on this position, we will continue to maintain the main short rhythm of the pullback. The short-term support below is around 3206-13, with a focus on the support at the 3200 line. Be cautious when going long.
XAUUSD Intraday Swing Friday Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
📉 Current Price: Around 3,173.805 USD
📌 Key Zones & Structure on the Chart:
1. Order Block (OB)
Located at the top (around 3,253 – 3,231).
This is a strong supply zone that triggered a sharp sell-off.
Price previously grabbed liquidity before sharply rejecting from this zone.
2. Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) & Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
SSL: Taken out → strong indication that smart money is pushing price lower.
BSL: Also taken before the drop → confirming a false breakout and reversal to the downside.
3. Breaker + Base Area
Breaker block has been tested but failed to push price higher.
This confirms the area has flipped from support to resistance (bearish flip zone).
4. Bearish Target
Projected drop toward the next demand zone around 3,150 – 3,145 (lower gray box).
Marked by the arrow pointing down, indicating potential bearish continuation.
📊 Price Structure:
Trend: Bearish (Lower Highs – Lower Lows forming)
Strong rejection from breaker area → confirms bearish bias.
Current price is performing a minor pullback and is expected to continue dropping toward the demand zone.
✅ Summary of Analysis:
Bias: Bearish
Potential Entry: After a pullback into supply or breaker area (3,180 – 3,191)
Target: 3,150 – 3,145 (major demand zone)
Additional Confirmation: Watch for price rejection during pullback + rising volume during support break.
Gold has a strong deep V, 3200 support is good for longThe 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn and continue, so the momentum of gold bears begins to weaken, and gold bulls may begin to exert their strength. However, gold started to rise all the way from 3120 to 3252 yesterday. Gold rose by about 130 points, so the volatility began to increase. Therefore, we must wait patiently for gold to adjust. Because of such a large fluctuation, an adjustment will also be tens of dollars. We must wait patiently for the adjustment and stabilize before going long. After gold breaks through 3192, it is considered a strong deep V breakthrough of important resistance. Then 3192 of gold has now become an important support level. If it falls back to 3192 in the Asian session, go long on dips. If gold falls back to near the 3200 mark, you can try to go long.
Since gold has started to reverse strongly, gold bulls have begun to show their muscles. In the short term, we should not be stubbornly bearish anymore. We should be flexible and adapt to the market. The market is like this, changing rapidly. We should adapt to the market and not be too obsessed with bears or bulls. Obsession is a trap. Gold bulls are strong now, so gold is now the home of bulls. Go long when the Asian session falls back.
XAUUSD FLAG BULLISH PATTERN (HIGHER HIGH) ANLYSISThe XAUUSD Market momentum has made a flag bullish pattern showing the strong uptrend had the confirm targets at different zones.
1st Target Zone 3260
Final Target Zone 3350
resistance level: 3100
Conclusion: If the market momentum moves towards target then hold on your trades but if the market moves against to the target then there is an option of stop loss point active and all the trades should be closed.
