XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The Iran-Israel conflict continues to escalate, with Trump declaring that U.S. fighter jets struck three major Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. This development has ignited the Middle East "powder keg," providing additional fuel for gold's rally.
Key support lies at 3340–3345, while short-term resistance sits at 3385–3390. A breakthrough above resistance is imminent.
Gold is expected to extend its rebound trend at next week's opening.
Trading Strategy:
Continue to adopt a buy-on-pullback approach, leveraging dips as entry points.
buy@3345-3355
TP:3380-3390
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Xauusdanalysis
USDJPY ANalysis week 26Fundamental analysis
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged and forecast only a small cut in 2026-2027 due to concerns about high inflation. The number of officials opposing a rate cut this year increased. The Israel-Iran conflict escalated, the US may attack Iran but is waiting for Tehran's response, causing the Japanese Yen to appreciate thanks to its safe-haven role.
Japan and the US have not reached a trade deal, the risk of higher tariffs before the July 9 deadline. The US dollar is near a one-week high, supporting the USD/JPY pair, but investors remain cautious due to the lack of new economic data.
Technical analysis
USDJPY is rising quite strongly and reacting at the resistance zone of 146.200. There is a possibility of a price gap next week, so trading early will be quite risky. The trading range is expected to be clearer at the resistance and support zones. 146,800 and 147,700 are noted as the two important upper boundary zones. 145,400 and 144,400 will be important support zones with a very strong buyer force waiting.
Trading Signals
XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis 📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
GOLD[XAUUSD]: Breakthrough the bearish pressure, What next?Evening Everyone,
Hope you are doing great, price recently breakthrough the current price inducement, showing a strong bullish volume emerging in the market. Long term approach remain bullish ultimately taking the price towards the new high.
Good luck
Team Setupsfx_
Middle East tensions rise; gold may hit new highs next weekThe Middle East situation has continued to escalate over the weekend, indicating that gold may witness a rally at Monday's opening. On Friday morning, risk aversion surged rapidly, pushing the gold price to around 3,444, followed by a pullback. During the European session, the price quickly retreated to around 3,408 before rebounding—our strategy to go long near 3,410 at the time proved profitable. In the U.S. session, gold mounted a second rally, peaking at around 3,446 before entering a pullback and consolidation phase. However, from a fundamental perspective, the overall trend remains bullish; thus, buying on dips remains the primary trading approach.
From a 4-hour technical view, immediate support lies in the 3,405–15 range, with key support at the recent resistance-turned-support zone near 3,375–80. When gold pulls back, traders should focus on longing near these levels. The critical bullish pivot for short-term traders has shifted up to the 3,345–50 zone; as long as gold holds above this level on the daily time frame, the dip-buying strategy should be maintained.
XAUUSD
buy@3405-3415
tp:3340-3360
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XAUUSD Trading Signals: Buy Dips at 3335-3345 Amid Bear Trap💡 Trading Framework In-Depth Analysis:
The Fed's policy statement failed to stir volatility (markets had fully priced in dovish expectations 💨);
Weekly market pattern: Asian sessions consistently saw rallies 📈, followed by profit-taking pullbacks in subsequent sessions 📉;
Tactical entry logic: Use intraday highs in Asian trading as resistance references for long positions 🎯.
📊 Technical Validation & Risk Anchors
⚠️ Key Warning: Geopolitical bullish signals ignored → classic "bear trap" characteristics (bear trap 🚫);
⏳ Timing Strategy: Asian session highs form ideal resistance levels—recommend entering on pullbacks to the 38.2% Fibonacci support level 🎯.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD Precision Trading Signals ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Long Entry Range: 3335-3345 (stop loss can be set below 3325)
🚀 Take-Profit Target Range: 3360-3370 (partial profit-taking at first target 3360 recommended)
📢 Service Value-Added Notes
✅ Core trading signals updated daily in the morning (validated across 4-hour/daily double-timeframes);
✅ Refer to signal logic at any time during trading for sudden situations 🧭 (with historical win-rate statistics attached);
🌟 Wishing you smooth trading Next week — seize pullback opportunities to position 👇
XAUUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on XAUUSD
Overview:
Gold (XAUUSD) has shown consistent bullish momentum for over 16 months. Recently, we’ve seen a continuation of that strength, especially after breaking above the key $2,320 resistance zone. While there has been some temporary consolidation, the overall bullish structure remains intact, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and inflation hedging.
That said, I am still anticipating a possible continuation of the bullish momentum that has been in play for quite some time. Moving forward, I will be looking for a clear break above the 3380 region — followed by a successful retest of the breakout zone — before entering a long position.
Alternatively, a short opportunity may arise if the 3350 intraday resistance holds and the price fails to break above it. In that case, I will look for signs of further downward momentum toward the 3300 region.
🧭 Trading Plan:
✅ BUY:
Look for a break and retest of the 3355 region on the 4H timeframe.
🔻 SELL: Bias (Alternative Scenario):
If the price stays below the 3350 zone, then look for a potential short opportunity moving forward.
🎯 Targets & Risk Management: Targeting 1:2 R:R on both setups.
GOLD H4 Chart Weekly Update For 23 - 27 June 25Hello Traders,
welcome to the weekly update, as you can see that market was in range last week
as for now 3400 Psychological remains in focus if market breaks 3400 successfully the GOLD will rise towards 3440
only breaks below 3330 GOLD will leads towards 3250 possibly
FED Chair Powell Testifies due in the upcoming week
USPCE PRICE INDEX due on Friday
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
The rebound is weak, is it expected to continue to decline? 📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Pay attention to the impact of short-term trends of the US dollar and silver on gold
📈 Market analysis:
The weekly level large range sweep is still going on, with a focus on the space defense dividing line area of the 10-day moving average and the 3315-3310 area. After falling back to the lifeline in four hours, it continued to bend downward under pressure. During the sweeping decline, the suppression became more obvious. Whether there will be a wave of large-volume market, the pattern is expected to further open and guide the direction. In this process, note that the lifeline 3375 is also the resistance point determined by the last rebound last night. Use this as suppression to sweep the range below. On the whole, for the future gold, if it can maintain the rhythm of defending highs and breaking lows, and successfully closes at a low level today, then next week it is expected to further switch downwards to sweep space. Therefore, we will continue to focus on two support areas, one is 3345-3335, and the other is 3315-3310 after breaking
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3345-3335
TP 3355-3365
SELL 3365-3375
TP 3345-3335-3315
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD:Go long before you go short
Yesterday's market is relatively fast, we pay attention to the stop profit point, today's Asian plate fell, technical point of view, this week after the big Yin, there is little strength of the rebound, often after the reverse draw will be recovered, the same down after the rapid counterattack, short-term overall performance for the shock downward trend, the center of gravity moving down.
The trading space is also gradually shrinking, within the day can be around 3340-3370 range to operate.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3344-49
TP:3365-70
Consider going short at 3370-75
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure.
Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection:
First target: 3,435 – 3,452
Final target zone: 3,500+
Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
Stick to shorting gold and holding itAlthough gold has risen sharply to around 3375 in the short term due to the dovish remarks of Fed officials, it has not made an effective breakthrough. Therefore, gold has not reversed its trend due to the short-term rebound. Gold is still in an obvious short trend. In the short term, gold is obviously under pressure in the 3365-3375 area. If gold fails to break through this resistance area, then after gold consumes a certain amount of long energy, gold shorts will counterattack again and are expected to retreat to the 3350-3340 area again.
In the case that good news cannot support the continued rebound of gold, the market's bullish confidence will be hit again, and the short confidence will be further strengthened, stimulating gold to accelerate its decline, and it is even expected to fall below the 3350-3340 area. Therefore, in short-term trading, I still advocate shorting gold, and I am currently holding a short position in gold, and I look forward to the accelerated decline of gold as expected!
XAUUSD: Is Bullish Trend Ended? Or It is just beginning big moveAs we previously stated that price can reverse between 3340 to 3350 region, which was a pivotal point for bulls. Price smoothly moved currently trading at 3376 and possibly bullish move continuing towards 3400,3450 and ultimately reaching 3600.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CD we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
Perhaps 3300 or even 3280 is foreseeable!Obviously, gold is currently fluctuating downward, and in the short term, there is a certain support in the 3340-3330 area, so gold will not fall below this support area in one fell swoop, and it is still possible to rebound to the 3360-3370 area with the support of this area. If gold encounters resistance and retreats again after touching the 3360-3370 area, if there is no major good news, gold is likely to fall below the 3340-3330 area. After gold falls below this support area, the 3300 and 3280 areas are foreseeable.
So according to the above logic, I still hold a long position executed near 3345, and I am very much looking forward to gold reaching the 3360-3365 area;
If gold continues to rebound to the 3365-3375 area, I will try to short gold again; and look forward to the accelerated downward movement of gold!
The above is a preview of the performance of gold. There may be some deviations in the specific execution of transactions, because in short-term transactions, it is necessary to judge the true breakthrough and false breakthrough in advance, but I will still roughly follow the above preview process to execute the transaction! I also hope that this can provide some reference for everyone!
Gold Pullback: Bear Trap or Buy Dip?📊 Chart Analysis: A clear pullback within the established uptrend is visible, testing key support at —a healthy correction that reinforces the bullish structure.
🔍 News Contradiction🌍: Despite escalating Middle East tensions (typically a gold-positive catalyst), prices are trending lower—a classic bear trap scenario 🚫📉. This divergence underscores the importance of buying dips amid emotional sell-offs.
💡 Trading Framework:
Fed policy statement yesterday failed to spark volatility, as markets had already priced in dovish expectations 💨;
Weekly pattern: Asian sessions have consistently seen rallies 📈, followed by profit-taking pullbacks in later sessions 📉;
Tactical entry: Use intraday highs from Asian trading as resistance references for long positions 🎯.
Technical Confirmations:
Risk Warning: Geopolitical bullish signals being ignored suggests deliberate bearish manipulation (bear trap 🚫);
Timing Strategy: Asian session highs serve as ideal resistance markers—look to enter on retracements to 38.2% Fib levels 🎯
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3335 - 3345
🚀 TP 3360 - 3370
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Trading Strategy June 20Daily candle continues to show a struggle while the Sellers are dominating. Today there may be a deep sweep and then a recovery at the end of the day.
Yesterday's 3343 zone is reacting 5 prices in the direction of profit. Next support around 3323 pay attention to the next sweep. Pay attention to additional daily support at 3296 for today's buy strategy.
3362 gives a SELL Break out signal in the Asia-Europe session. If Gold closes back above 3362, then BUY to 3400 target the two upper resistance zones remain the same as yesterday at 3415 and 3443
Resistance: 3400-3415-3443
Support: 3323-3296
Break out: 3362
A glimmer of hope for bullish lovers!Gold is currently dominated by bears, but thanks to the support of risk aversion caused by geopolitical conflicts, gold has shown a certain degree of resistance to decline while falling. Therefore, the current market direction is very clear, with weak and volatile downward movement. But under this market situation, we cannot short gold excessively. We can only wait for it to rebound to the pressure level and then short gold, or try to go long on gold with strong support.
At present, gold has touched the 3350 area again, which has a certain support effect. If gold cannot effectively fall below 3350, then gold may still rebound to the 3370-3380 area again; but once gold effectively breaks the support near 3350, gold is expected to continue to fall to the 3340-3330 area.
In terms of short-term trading, I think it is possible to consider starting to try to go long on gold in batches in the 3350-3330 area, TP: 3365-3375
6/20 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood evening, everyone!
After gold rallied to around 3388 yesterday, it began to retrace gradually, providing solid returns for our sell-side strategy.
As of now, gold has dipped to a session low near 3339. On the 30-minute chart, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, and price has broken above the Bollinger mid-band, indicating short-term bullish momentum. The candle structure supports a potential rebound, but strong overhead resistance remains.
Key resistance comes from the 1H MA60 around 3371, and gold still trades within a broader bearish trend on the daily timeframe. While bulls may attempt a recovery, a complete trend reversal remains unlikely unless significant bullish catalysts emerge.
Hence, our strategy continues to favor selling near resistance levels, while cautiously considering long entries near well-defined supports.
📌 Trading Plan (VIP Focus):
✅ Sell Zone: 3370–3383
✅ Buy Zone: 3338–3321
✅ Flexible Trade Range: 3366-3349
Gold Eyes Breakout from Ascending Channel Toward $3,500📈 Chart Analysis
1. Rising Channel Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, marked by the blue trendlines connecting interior lows and highs, culminating at point C (~$3,497). The latest bounce off the lower channel near “B” reinforces bullish bias – if this trendline holds, another leg higher toward resistance around $3,497–$3,500 is likely.
2. Support & Resistance Confluence
The purple trendline and the dotted horizontal green level (~$3,498) converge near the projected breakout point. This synergy provides a strong pivot zone — a successful breakout would validate targets near channel highs.
3. Harmonic Pattern in Play
The chart displays a bullish harmonic structure (likely a Bat or Gartley formation), with retracement ratios (0.719, 1.627) anchoring reversal areas. These reinforce the bounce at B and the potential move toward point C.
4. Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (primary): A bounce off the trendline triggers a rally to the channel top and resistance zone ($3,497–$3,500).
Bearish Caution: A drop below the trendline invalidates the pattern, potentially bringing prices back to horizontal support around $3,296 or even $3,120, as indicated at point A.
🛠️ Technical & Market Context
Technicals: Daily trend remains bullish as long as price holds above ~$3,340–$3,350, with resistance forming in the $3,380–$3,400 range
Fundamentals: Geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East conflict) and safe-haven inflows continue to underpin gold — though Citi expects prices to eventually correct toward $3,300–$3,500 mid‑term
.
Sentiment: Some analysts advocate “selling the rallies,” especially into the $3,450–$3,500 zone . But central banks’ ongoing buying and potential Fed rate cuts support a stronger floor
.
✅ Trade Strategy
Scenario Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Placement
Play the Bounce ~$3,350–$3,360 $3,497–$3,500 Below trendline near B zone (~$3,320)
Breakout Trade On momentum above $3,400 $3,497–$3,550 Below breakout (sub-$3,380)
Bearish Trigger Break & close below trendline Back to $3,296 / 3,120 Just above trendline ($3,360)
🔍 Summary
Gold remains in a structurally bullish setup inside an ascending channel. The confluence of harmonic reversal, strong trendline support, and pending fundamental catalysts presents a high-probability opportunity to push toward the $3,500 area—provided the trendline and $3,340–$3,350 support hold. A drop below would invalidate the bullish outlook and favor deeper retracement.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Analysis- 20 June 2025On the 4-hour chart, gold has been trading in a fairly wide range.
The market has not clearly broken down, and many analysts see it as still structurally bullish as long as key support holds. Currently price is pulling back toward a confluence of support around $3,353–$3,355 (a zone overlapping a trendline and prior demand).
In other words, buyers have defended roughly the 3,340–3,355 area recently. Resistance lies just above in the $3,370–$3,380 region, with a major psychological pivot at $3,400. One analyst notes gold is “boxed between resistance at $3,450 and support at $3,340–$3,335”, so the immediate bias depends on these zones.
A clean break above 3,380–3,400 would signal bullish continuation (targeting 3,450+), while a drop below the 3,340–3,350 support zone would shift the bias bearish.
Overall, the market structure on H4 is mixed-to-bullish: we see higher swings in larger timeframes, and only a minor short-term down leg so far. As one analysis notes, gold remains “structurally bullish” and an upside break could chase the $3,500–$3,550 area.
Key Zones and Levels (4H)
Strong Support (Demand) Zone: ~$3,340–$3,355. This zone (around the recent swing lows) has attracted buying. Analysts mark $3,350–$3,355 as a key buy zone. Breaking below ~$3,340 would be a warning, putting 3,300 as the next floor.
Supply Zone / Resistance: ~$3,370–$3,380. This is the near-term resistance cluster (multiple analysts cite 3,370–3,380 as key). A rejection here would keep gold rangebound.
Major Pivot: $3,400. This round number is acting as an important hurdle. A decisive close above $3,400 would open the door to the $3,434–$3,450 area (prior highs). Conversely, failure at $3,400 can push price back toward the support zone.
Larger Resistances: If the uptrend resumes, look to ~$3,450 (April swing high) and beyond. Many long-range targets point to $3,500+ in a strong bull move.
Secondary Supports: Below the main support zone, watch ~$3,300 and down at $3,281 (the 50-day moving average). These act as deeper floors if weakness continues.
4-Hour Bias
In plain terms, as long as $3,340–$3,355 holds as support, the bias tilts bullish or neutral. We can say bullish bias above that zone: buyers will look to enter on pullbacks there. If price stays under $3,370, gains will likely be capped short-term. A break above $3,380/$3,400 would confirm a bullish breakout. On the flip side, a break below $3,340 shifts us to a bearish bias, with attention turning to lower support levels. On indicators, shorter-term momentum has eased (recent RSI is flattening around 60), suggesting some fatigue. But the longer-term trend is up, supported by strong safe-haven demand (central bank buying, geopolitical risk).
In summary: neutral-to-bullish on 4H, favor buyers near support but cautious near overhead supply.
Intraday (1H) Setups
Zooming into the 1-hour chart, we look for trades that align with the above bias. The clearest setups involve buying around demand zones and selling near supply areas:
Buy the Dip (~$3,344–$3,355): Wait for gold to dip into the 3,340–3,350 area. If you see a bullish price-action signal (e.g. a clear hammer or bullish engulfing candle), that’s a potential buy. Place a stop just below (~$3,335). Initial targets are around $3,370–$3,380 (near resistance). For example, one analysis suggests: “Buy XAU/USD at 3,344–3,348, TP 3,365–3,370, SL 3,335”.
Sell the Rally (~$3,375–$3,380): If price runs up to $3,375–$3,380 and shows signs of stalling (e.g. bearish candle), consider a short. Stop would be just above (~$3,385), with a target back down toward $3,355–$3,360 or the 1H demand zone. (One example from analysis: “Sell XAU/USD at 3,375–3,380, TP 3,355–3,360, SL 3,385”.) This aligns with fading the high of the range.
Breakout Strategy: If momentum is strong and gold breaks convincingly above ~$3,380–$3,400 on the 1H, one can enter long on the breakout. The next resistances are ~$3,434 and $3,450.
Stops should be very tight in that case (just under the breakout candle).
Risk Management: Keep position sizes small (1–2% risk). Use stops under/above the structural levels. Always wait for a clear 1H candle signal before pulling the trigger, to avoid false moves.
Key 1H levels: We can cite the strong short-term zones: support ~$3,344–$3,348 and resistance ~$3,375–$3,380.
If price skims these areas, watch carefully for a signal to buy or sell as described above. If 1H breaks below $3,340, be ready for a move toward the lower demand zone (around $3,335) or even $3,300–$3,280.
Takeaway
Gold is currently trading between ~$3,340 and $3,380 on the 4H chart. The simplest guidance is to trade the range: buy on dips near $3,340–$3,355 with stops just below, aiming for the $3,370–$3,380 area, and sell near $3,375–$3,380 if rallies stall. Maintain a bullish tilt as long as that $3,340+ support holds, but be ready to switch bearish if gold decisively closes under ~$3,340.
Single Takeaway: Treat ~$3,340–$3,355 as a key demand zone – a bounce here would be a high-probability long entry (targeting $3,370–$3,380), whereas a break below would turn the bias lower.
Trading Guide for Long-Short Game under Oscillating PressureI. Yesterday's Market Performance and Trend
Yesterday, the price of gold exhibited a "V-shaped" oscillation pattern. In the morning session, it faced selling pressure around $3,380 and declined to a low of $3,347. Subsequently, it rebounded and returned to the trading range of $3,360 - $3,375. On the daily chart, it closed with a doji star, and trading volume contracted, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears and the entry into a narrow trading range.
II. Outlook for Today's Weekly Close
As today marks the end of the weekly trading cycle, there are no clear factors driving a unidirectional trend. Key macroeconomic data has not been released yet, and the market remains divided on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. Technically, the daily moving averages have flattened out, and the Bollinger Bands have narrowed, suggesting that the consolidation pattern is likely to persist.
III. Technical Analysis of the 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, the price of gold has been trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The MACD has formed a bearish crossover below the zero line, with the green bars expanding. It has also broken below the upward trend line. The support level at $3,340 is now under threat. With a weak RSI, the market is expected to move lower in a volatile manner.
IV. Trading Strategies
Focus on Short Positions: Initiate small - scale short positions when bearish K - line patterns appear around $3,360, with a stop - loss set at $3,375 and a target price of $3,340. Consider adding to short positions if the price drops below $3,365, with a stop - loss at $3,380 and targets at $3,350 - $3,340. Supplement with Long Positions: Open small long positions if the price stabilizes at $3,340, with a stop - loss at $3,330 and a target price of $3,355. Add to long positions if bullish patterns emerge at the strong support level of $3,315, with a stop - loss at $3,300 and targets at $3,330 - $3,340.
Pay close attention to the release of the US initial jobless claims data in the evening. Limit each position to no more than 10% of the total capital and strictly adhere to stop - loss and take - profit levels.
XAUUSD
sell@3360-3370
tp:3350-3340
buy@3335-3345
tp:3355-3365
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?XAUUSD – Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?
After weeks of muted movement, gold is coiling within a bearish channel — but a fresh warning from Goldman Sachs may be the trigger that changes everything. With concerns mounting over America’s fiscal future, gold could be preparing for a decisive shift.
🌐 Macro View – Goldman Sachs Sounds the Alarm
🔺 Goldman Sachs recently issued a critical warning:
US national debt is expected to exceed WWII levels, with interest payments topping $1 trillion by 2025, outpacing spending on defense and healthcare.
If urgent fiscal reforms aren’t implemented, the US could face a tightening cycle that slows GDP growth without reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio.
The root causes? Excessive spending, rising interest rates, and deep political gridlock.
📌 For global investors, this type of uncertainty is often bullish for gold — especially as a hedge against both inflation and US dollar instability.
📉 Technical Outlook (Updated – M30 to H1)
Gold is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, with sellers firmly in control.
Price is currently hovering around the pivot zone at 3,338.42, with a possible short-term bounce toward 3,368.04, the upper edge of the channel.
EMA ribbons (13–200) are sharply aligned to the downside, signaling strong bearish momentum.
If the price fails to break above 3,368, the next key support zones lie at 3,325.78, and potentially 3,309.25, where unfilled fair value gaps (FVG) await.
✅ Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308
Stop-Loss: 3303
Targets: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 →
🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323
Stop-Loss: 3318
Targets: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420
Stop-Loss: 3424
Targets: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398
Stop-Loss: 3403
Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370
💬 Closing Thoughts – A Volatile End to the Week?
With US markets returning from a bank holiday and macro pressure rising, volatility could spike to close the week.
✅ Stick to disciplined SL/TP levels. Avoid premature entries and let price confirm direction.
Gold remains technically bearish — but the global debt narrative could turn this market on its head.
Prepare. Observe. Strike only when the structure aligns.