GOLD LAST PUSH TO 3000$?See a meaningful year. we might see a GOLD 3000$ per ounce. its just an idea of fibs. might test the 2.31 zone. or 3030$. previous idea predicting could go 2900$ all hit.
This is only my view, if your looking for a better swing, here is your. once we test the 3030 zone, I will post a new chart.
This is not a financial advice, this is not an long entry also. trade base on your own understanding.
Follow for more.
more pairs, just say on the comments below. I will help you analyze it.
Thank you.
Xauusdanalysis
Blow-Off Top? Why I’m Selling Gold Rallies AgainIn my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold could be due for a correction and suggested selling rallies.
Unfortunately, my sell position from 2905 hit the stop loss, and Gold went on to reach a new all-time high.
However, this appears to be a blow-off top, which could signal the start of a real correction phase.
With this in mind, I will look to sell rallies again, targeting the 2885 confluence support level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold continues to break new highs, and long positions remain theJudging from the current 4-hour gold trend, gold is currently fluctuating above the 2920 line, but the bulls have been in a strong position. We pay attention to the 2905 line support below and continue to look for new highs above. After all, the bulls are still the dominant trend. In terms of operations, we continue to focus on looking for opportunities to go long when the price falls back.
Gold falls back to the 2906-13 line and goes long, stop loss at 2898, target at 2930-2935 line; continue to hold if it breaks!
Detailed analysis of evening thoughtsPay attention to the 4-hour channel support 2880-2883 tonight, which gives the first opportunity for short-term long layout, looking at 5-8 US dollars
Today's callback is relatively strong, and the market atmosphere is different from before. Everyone should pay more attention!
The current intraday high is around 2942
A drop of 50 US dollars will be around 2890
A drop of 80 US dollars will be around 2860
A drop of 100 US dollars will be around 2840
Or even more
GOLD - single supporting area, holds or not??#GOLD. perfect move in Tokyo and Asian session as per our video analysis and now market again near to his major supporting area that is around 2898 to 2901
keep close that region because if market hold it in that case we can see again bounce from here otherwise not at all.
so keep in mind that below 2898 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold market analysisTechnical analysis of gold: Gold surged to around 2912 yesterday, and retreated to around 2896 at night before starting to rise. It retested around 2905 again in the morning and continued to rise, but then it fell sharply and quickly in the morning and touched the 2905 line. 2095 is the starting point of the morning and the dividing line between long and short today, but it does not mean that it has peaked after falling below 2905. Falling below 2905 only means that it will not break a new high today. It is likely to maintain volatility today and continue to rise.
At present, gold is still dominated by bulls. Although it has risen sharply during the week, we are still inclined to close the week with a negative line or a long upper shadow line after 7 consecutive positive weekly lines. Today's intraday high of 2942 ushered in a rapid dive, indicating that the bears are counterattacking or the bulls have a need for profit-taking; with the rise in prices and the impact of news, the volatility is increasing, and the fluctuation of 10-20 US dollars is completed in an instant. As for the next step, whether gold will go to 3,000 US dollars or fall back, everything is possible; today's strong support below focuses on the 2896 US dollar line.
In today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to mainly go long on callbacks and supplementary short selling on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2896-2900 first-line support.
Gold profit of 300% in one weekJudging from the current 4-hour gold trend, gold is currently fluctuating above the 2900 line, but the bulls have been in a strong position. Below we pay attention to the 2890 line support, and above we continue to look for new highs. After all, the bulls are still the dominant trend. In terms of operation, we continue to focus on looking for opportunities to go long when we step back.
Gold operation strategy:
Go long on gold when it falls back to 2885-2890, target 2910-2915;
XAU/USD 11 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart :
High-quality gold trading strategies to help you make profitsGold hovered at 2908 in the Asian session, and then staged a thrilling market. The price rose rapidly, breaking the historical high of 2942 in one fell swoop, showing the market's rising potential. However, the good times did not last long. The market took a sharp turn for the worse in just 15 minutes, reaching a low of 2906. The volatility was shocking.
In the afternoon, the price of gold rebounded to around 2929, but then encountered resistance and fell back to 2909. Overall, gold did not continue the unilateral upward trend of yesterday, but fluctuated in the range of 2945-2900. The current upper resistance is mainly concentrated in the range of 2945-2950, while the lower support is stable at 2903-2896.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 2905-2900, stop loss at 2892, and the target is 2925-2940.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 2940-2945, stop loss at 2950, and the target is 2920-2907.
How long can the gold bull run last?Since the opening of the gold price in the morning, the gold price has almost been rising continuously during the day, without too much retracement, and every K-line showing a negative trend is an opportunity to go long! During this period, we can't wait for a large retracement. Gold is strong and the trend is difficult to change. It is impossible to go short, and the next step will continue to maintain a bullish mindset. The top K-line of the gold price in the evening has a negative trend. Gold has entered a short-term adjustment market. It is better to wait for a decline! The first support below is 2880. If the gold price falls to 2880 in the evening, continue to go long!
On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2910-2912 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2878-2880 line of support.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold is skyrocketing, tall buildings can collapse at any timeGold continues to maintain a bullish trend, and the structure is intact. The daily line hit a record high again at the beginning of the week, and the daily line rose sharply and closed. The MA10/7-day moving average continued to open and moved up to 2842/2867. The price continued to run along the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The RSI indicator has reached a high of 80 values. It is necessary to pay attention to the overbought indicators after a large increase.
The short-term four-hour chart formed three bullish sprints on Monday. The price continued to run along the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The MA10/7-day moving average continued to open upward and continued to maintain a bullish structure. The price continued to run in the trend, and the callback followed the trend and participated in low-long!
Since the opening of the Asian session gold price, gold has almost been in this continuous upward trend pattern during the day, without too much retracement, and every retracement is an opportunity to go long! We can't wait for a larger retracement. Gold is strong and the trend is difficult to change. Continue to be bullish!
Gold prices fell today and continued to go long near 2900! Seeing yesterday's market, I feel helpless, because the market has formed inertia and is becoming more and more irrational. Everyone is rushing into the market to buy gold, pushing up the price of gold. Is this really a correct trading behavior?
I dare not say anything else. From my own point of view, the risk of the gold market has become greater and greater, and the fear conveyed by the market has become stronger and stronger. In addition, gold has risen directly without a correction, and the highest rise has fallen to 2930! In addition, the inflow of funds and the recovery of positions in gold ETFs indicate the structural growth of investment demand.
It directly ignited market sentiment. From the hourly chart, it still maintains a good upward trend, with the previous high and low rising together, and bulls are still the main tone. Therefore, it is prudent to wait patiently for the price to fall back to the low level and play with the trend.
Key points:
First support: 2919, second support: 2907, third support: 2898
First resistance: 2938, second resistance: 2956, third resistance: 2973
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2905-2907, SL: 2896, TP: 2940-2950;
SELL: 2953-2956, SL: 2965, TP: 2930-2920;
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 06.02.2025Market Analysis:
Previous Price Action:
The price was consolidating in a range (blue zone) before a breakout.
A strong bullish move followed, but then price retraced sharply.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Key Support Zones: 2,910 – 2,902 and 2,898 – 2,890
Key Resistance Zones: 2,928 and 2,942
Price Behavior:
The price is currently testing 2,910, a critical zone.
If this support holds, we expect a bullish reversal.
If it breaks, the next support at 2,898 will be the next key level for buying.
📈 Trading Signal & Entry Plan:
✅ Setup 1: Buy from 2,910
Entry: 2,910
Stop Loss (SL): 2,902 (below recent support)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2,928
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2,942
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2+
👉 If SL (2,902) is hit, move to the second setup.
✅ Setup 2: Buy from 2,898 (if price breaks below 2,910)
Entry: 2,898
Stop Loss (SL): 2,890
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2,928
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2,942
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (higher probability trade)
📌 Conclusion & Trading Plan
✔ First buy at 2,910 – If it holds, price should move up to 2,928-2,942.
✔ If SL (2,902) hits, buy at 2,898 with a tighter stop.
✔ Both setups have a good risk-reward ratio, following a bullish bias.
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Gold XAUUSD Weekly Analysis 10-14 FEB 2025Comprehensive Analysis of Gold
1️⃣ Market Structure & Pattern Formation
The gold displays a rounded bottom (cup-like formation of Arc), a bullish continuation pattern signaling potential upward momentum.
The price has broken out of the curved resistance, indicating strength in buying pressure.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels
Target Level: 🚀 2,920 USD (next bullish target).
Breakout Level: ⚡ 2,860 USD (important zone for confirmation).
Support Zones:
First support: 2,820 USD (possible retest area).
Second support: 2,780 USD (strong demand zone).
3️⃣ Trading Signals Based on Breakout Retest
📈 Buy Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: If price retests 2,860 USD and holds above it (confirmation needed).
Target: 2,920 USD (next resistance).
Stop Loss: Below 2,840 USD (to prevent fakeouts).
📉 Sell Setup (Bearish Rejection)
Entry: If price fails to hold above 2,860 USD and shows a strong rejection.
Target: First support at 2,820 USD, second at 2,780 USD.
Stop Loss: Above 2,880 USD (for risk management).
4️⃣ Additional Considerations
Monitor candlestick patterns and volume confirmation before entering trades.
Use RSI & MACD for trend confirmation.
Avoid trading during high-impact news events for risk management.
📌 Conclusion
Bullish Bias is favored as long as price holds above 2,860 USD.
Bearish Scenario if rejection occurs at the retest zone.
Best to wait for confirmation before entering any trade.
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XAUUSD: Maintain the low buy plan. Expected profit 20p-40pAfter the Asian market opened, the gold price hit a new high again. The highest reached 2942. The current price is running at 2918 and the short-term support position below is in the range of 2900-2910. You can buy with confidence in the short-term within this range. The London market and the New York market will raise the height of the gold price again. This is a profitable trading space. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
The target is 2933-2950. This trading plan is a real-time trading plan.
XAUUSD: New short-term buy order.TP2920-2925If you are an ultra-short-term trader, then you can choose to place a buy order immediately. The profit margin is very large. Combined with the current bullish trend and the common demand relationship. The rise in gold prices is inevitable. If you hold gold, you can continue to hold and increase your position. If you are a trader who has not traded or is waiting, then you can execute this real-time trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Brand new buy order, the important level of 2900 has arrived. Buying is a suitable choice, whether it is a stable or aggressive trader, you can buy at this position. TP:2925.SL:2883
2025.2.10 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders,
When extreme positions meet historical-level events: The logic of gold in the week before Valentine's Day 2025!
When banks are shorting gold at record levels, but long queues form at Asian gold shops; when COMEX inventory figures soar, yet physical delivery becomes exceptionally difficult; when the Federal Reserve sounds hawkish, but the market bets on interest rate cuts—these three fundamental contradictions constitute the core logic of gold's movement this week. During the week of February 10, all complex indicators will be subjected to the most primal law of supply and demand: Trump's tariffs impact manufacturing, Powell's testimony shakes interest rate expectations, and CPI data resets market rhythms. The international gold price's hovering around $2,900 per ounce essentially represents the ultimate showdown between physical scarcity and futures manipulation.
Currently, the gold trading market shows structural abnormal signals.
1. Extreme Position Divergence: Swap dealers' net short positions in gold reached -264,731 contracts (the highest recorded since COMEX began), while managed funds' long positions surged by 28% quarter-on-quarter.
The net short position of swap dealers at -264,731 contracts corresponds to a physical quantity of: 100 ounces per contract → Total short position = 26,473,100 ounces ≈ 823 tons → Exceeding the People's Bank of China's entire net increase for 2024 (785 tons) → Equivalent to 66 days of global gold mine output!
This is an epic bet between the banking system and speculative capital!
The 28% increase in managed funds' long positions: Managed funds' long positions rose from 189,621 to 242,714 contracts → In just two weeks, they accumulated approximately **$16 billion** worth of gold contracts - **Leverage Ratio**: Based on an 8% margin calculated by CME → Effectively controlling a nominal position of $200 billion → Exceeding South Africa's entire GDP for the year (1.9 trillion rand ≈ $100 billion).
2. Physical Liquidity Crisis: According to the London Bullion Market Association, January's gold lending rate surged to an annualized 5.3% (10-year average 0.8%), with borrowing costs skyrocketing: The annual interest on borrowing 1 ton of gold increased from $80,000 to $530,000, comparable to loan shark rates (indicating extreme physical scarcity).
3. Delivery Inventory Anomalies: COMEX registered warehouse receipts surged by 40 Moz in one week (60% of global monthly output), but 99% came from JPMorgan's London vault transfer, with actual available inventory increasing by only 0.3 Moz.
Current most dangerous signal chain deduction:
Trigger Path: Trump's tariff increases → Chinese exporters dump U.S. debt to buy gold → London vaults accelerate depletion → COMEX shorts forced to buy back physical → Price difference exceeds $200 → Exchanges modify delivery rules.
Historical References: 1. The night before negative oil prices in April 2020: Swap dealers' net short positions in oil reached historical peaks; 2. Before the 2008 Lehman crisis: Gold swap dealers' net short positions were only 1/3 of the current level!
Here’s an explanation:
1. What does it mean for the price difference to exceed $200?
The "price difference" here specifically refers to the premium difference between the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) spot gold price and the London LBMA spot gold price.
Currently, this price difference has exceeded $120 per ounce (historical normal range is ±$5). If it continues to expand to $200, it means:
- Physical liquidity crisis: Chinese importers are willing to pay exorbitant shipping/insurance costs to obtain gold.
- Currency signal: Indicates extreme demand from holders of RMB assets to hedge against dollar risks.
- Arbitrage black hole: Theoretically, there exists a risk-free profit of $120 per ounce, but actual barriers exist due to foreign exchange controls.
This is like bottled water in the desert, normally priced at $2 per bottle, but if the oasis suddenly dries up, those trapped might be willing to pay $200—indicating that the price difference reveals survival demand rather than reasonable pricing.
2. The main risk point for exchanges modifying delivery rules lies in COMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange), and possible rule adjustments could include:
- Increasing delivery margin: For example, raising it from the current 8% of contract value to 15%.
- Restricting short positions: Mandating that some short positions hold physical gold certificates.
- Introducing regional premium coefficients: Recognizing the Shanghai gold premium as a component of reasonable pricing.
Historical reference: In 2022, when a similar situation occurred with LME nickel futures, the exchange directly canceled the daily settlement price, leading to a collapse of market trust. If COMEX is forced to modify rules, it could trigger a more severe pricing crisis in derivatives.
Recently, a similar case occurred, such as the March 2023 London vault incident. When available inventory in London dropped to a historical low, COMEX suddenly allowed the use of Canadian Maple Leaf coins instead of standard gold bars for delivery, resulting in:
- Arbitrageurs frantically purchasing Canadian coins → The premium for Maple Leaf coins surged by 400% in a week;
- Interbank gold lending rates soared to 8.5%;
- Ultimately forcing LBMA to recognize 1-kilogram gold bars as the new delivery standard.
Key event timeline for this week:
| Date | Event | Market Impact Level |
|------------|--------------------------------------------|---------------------|
| February 10 (Monday) | Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" list announced | ★★★★☆ |
| February 11 (Tuesday) | Powell's semi-annual monetary policy hearing | ★★★★★ |
| February 12 (Wednesday) | U.S. January CPI (expected 3.1% / core 4.0%) | ★★★★★ |
| February 13 (Thursday) | U.S. January PPI | ★★★☆☆ |
**Gold**
On the non-farm trading day last Friday, two long entry plans for gold suggested within the circle both pointed to:
The medium-term target for gold is:
TP1: 2880, previous high
TP2: 2911, FIBO EXT 1.27 position.
The first target has been reached, waiting for the second target to arrive!
Currently, gold is in a resonance state between the four-hour chart and the daily chart. After the Asian market opens on Monday, gold experienced a jump, and the upward trend continued into the European morning session, with prices still rising.
On the one-hour chart, all K-lines are running above the EMA, so it is not suitable to establish new positions.
Wait for a new consolidation pattern to appear on the one-hour chart before considering entry.
Gold - Weekly Chart Update! ICT + SMC Analysis Next 3018!Gold has left fair value gap near 2724-2730 and continuing its bullish trend, let me explain where this bullish trend could stop or be reversal.
as in previous bullish trend we seen a bullish flag in weekly Time Frame and a proper breakout done and the target of that breakout was 3018 so we can expect a reversal trend from 3018
For Now i am still bullish for gold in weekly time frame, we can see a corrective move in internal structure for that i will share low time frame chart also.
How long can the gold bull market last?Since the beginning of the gold price in the morning, the gold price has nearly been climbing consistently throughout the day, with no retracement, and any K-line exhibiting a negative trend is a chance to go long! During this time, we cannot afford to wait for a significant retracement. Gold is strong, and this tendency is tough to reverse. It is impossible to go short, and the next stage will be to retain an optimistic outlook. The upper K-line of the gold price in the evening shows a downward tendency. Gold has entered the short-term adjustment market. It's preferable to wait for a decrease! The first support number is 2880. If the gold price falls to 2880 in the evening, keep going long!
Overall, the current short-term gold trading strategy is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The upper side's short-term resistance line is 2910-2912, while the lower side's short-term support line is 2878-2880.
Gold Night MarketFrom a macroeconomic perspective, on September 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate cut since the epidemic. Since then, the federal funds rate has been reduced by a cumulative 100 basis points, and U.S. bond yields have also dropped accordingly. Taking the 10-year US Treasury bond as an example, its yield hit a nearly five-year high of 4.92% on October 22, 2023, and has now fallen back to 4.24%. This interest rate cut policy has gradually revealed a loose monetary environment, which in turn has been beneficial to the silver and gold markets. In addition, the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut have also fluctuated. Originally, the market expected the Fed to continue to cut interest rates, but the pace of interest rate cuts has slowed down due to faster-than-expected wage growth and lower-than-expected unemployment in January. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports to be released this week will provide the market with more important information about the trend of US inflation. Gold stabilized and rose around $2,855 today, and gold bulls continued to rise, with the highest point hovering around $2,911. The probability of gold rising in the future is relatively high.
Gold retracement is mostly in the 2885-2880 area, the target is 2900-2911
Advocate continuing to short goldIf you have been following my trading strategy, you should be aware that I have already initiated short positions around the 2900 level. Currently, gold is trading near 2910.
After reaching the 2905 level, gold unexpectedly failed to produce a meaningful pullback and instead extended its rally beyond 2910. However, the bullish momentum is gradually losing steam, and gold is approaching short-term trendline resistance. I anticipate that once gold tests this resistance level, a retracement toward the 2880 region, or even as low as 2860, remains a strong possibility.
On the other hand, despite gold’s strong uptrend, we must remain cautious about macroeconomic factors. If the Trump administration continues to advocate for a strong U.S. dollar policy, potential intervention in the gold market cannot be ruled out, which could pressure gold prices.
From a short-term trading perspective, I do not recommend chasing longs at this level. I am still holding my short positions initiated around 2900 and have just added to my short exposure above 2910, anticipating a corrective pullback as projected.
Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!