Gold Third Scenario , Depend On Breakout , What`s Your Opinion ?Here is the update for the last idea i post for Gold , if we take a look now we will see that he price moving in sideway and still not touch my support , so do yo uthink the price will go up without retest it ? or should we keep the first analysis ?
Xauusdanalysis
Gold Consolidates Below Key Resistance — Awaiting Breakout from Gold has entered a phase of subdued volatility, currently trading around $3,221/oz. This stands in sharp contrast to the previous week’s triple-digit swings, with recent intraday ranges tightening to under $20 — a sign of market indecision and volatility compression.
From a technical perspective:
$3,245/oz remains a critical resistance level, representing the recent swing high.
Support levels are observed at $3,200, with $3,190 acting as the key bull/bear pivot zone.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
Watch for rejection near $3,245 to consider tactical short positions.
If price retraces and holds above $3,190, look for long opportunities on rebound setups.
In the current range-bound environment, traders are advised to stay patient, avoid overtrading, and wait for a decisive breakout to establish conviction positions.
XAU/USD Enters Fourth Wave ConsolidationCurrently, XAU/USD appears to have completed the third wave, and the beginning of the fourth wave seems to be underway, indicating the start of a corrective phase. This correction can potentially extend down to the 3118.486 level. In terms of targets, the key levels to watch are 3166.464 and 3117.451 . Following this correction, there is a possibility that the fifth wave may commence.
Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 📌 Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 💰📉
🔍 Current Trend and Short-Term Risk
Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum, although minor corrections remain possible in the short term. A key driver for sustaining the uptrend will be the strength of buyers at support zones like 3196 and 3204.
However, if the market fails to hold above 3135, we could see a deeper retracement. In such a case, a drop toward the 311x region could offer an attractive buying opportunity — particularly if bullish price reactions are confirmed near that level.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
3135 Support: A break below this zone with strong momentum could signal potential bearish continuation. Any move toward 311x should be closely monitored for a bullish reversal setup.
311x Zone: If price pulls back to this range and we observe reaction or rejection, it could present a high-probability buy opportunity to rejoin the broader uptrend.
🌍 Impact of a Quiet News Week
With no major economic releases on the calendar, market direction will likely be determined by volume flows and price action near key technical zones. Areas such as 3195, 3204, and 3245 will be pivotal in shaping short-term sentiment.
Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these levels, especially during London and New York sessions where most volume is concentrated.
🛠️ Tactical Plan for the Week
Asian & European Sessions Focus: Look for momentum plays or reaction signals at key intraday support levels (e.g. 3196). Sharp pullbacks may offer buy setups with solid risk/reward ratios.
Sell Scenarios at Resistance: If price breaks above 3245 with weak follow-through and fails to hold, that could provide an opportunity for tactical short entries — but only with confirmation via volume or rejection patterns.
Stick to Your Plan: Despite the current volatility, it’s critical to adhere to your strategy. Avoid emotional trades, always manage risk, and respect your TP/SL levels.
💡 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong upward trend with active buyers around key support zones. While short-term pullbacks are expected, they could offer new opportunities to scale in.
Stay patient, trade with discipline, and let the market offer confirmation before committing to a position. Even in a quiet news environment, well-prepared traders can take advantage of high-quality setups by focusing on structure and risk management.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (3260) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (3150) Swing/Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 3470 (or) Escape Before the Target
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💰💵💴💸XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bullishness).., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Gold Ideas for Tuesday April 15Trend Context: Bullish but showing signs of exhaustion near 3247.
Focus: liquidity grab + intraday rejection potential.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
HTF (H4–12H): Bullish structure holding after the impulsive move 3120 → 3248. Current premium zone tested around 3233–3247 (H4 OB + FVG).
LTF (M15–H1): Reaccumulation structure between 3172–3247. BOS confirmed on M15 from 3180. Current PA shows early rejection wicks near 3230–3240.
🧠 Liquidity Zones & Imbalances
🔴 Supply Zone: 3233–3247 → H1–H4 OB confluence with premium FVG. Still unmitigated.
🟠 Demand Zone 1: 3172–3180 → Daily imbalance + H1 demand + fib 61.8%.
🟢 Demand Zone 2: 3120–3130 → Only valid on deeper correction sweep (low probability today).
⚠️ Liquidity Trap: 3215–3220 → May induce late buyers into supply rejection.
📍 Trade Setups
SELL ZONE
Entry: 3233–3247
SL: 3252
TP1: 3210
TP2: 3180
TP3: 3145
📌 Reason: HTF OB + FVG + premium level. Look for M5/M15 CHoCH confirmation only.
BUY ZONE
Entry: 3172–3180
SL: 3160
TP1: 3205
TP2: 3230
TP3: 3245
📌 Reason: Daily imbalance + H1 demand confluence + clean internal liquidity sweep expected.
🧭 Summary
Price is consolidating between 3172–3247. Upside capped by unmitigated OBs while downside is protected by a strong daily imbalance. NY may attempt a sweep into one zone before real move unfolds. Use patience — wait for CHoCH or BOS confirmation on LTF before entering.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
XAUUSD Today's strategyAfter the trade war regarding tariffs eased, the price of gold did not decline. After a slight adjustment yesterday, the downward trend did not continue. Currently, gold has strengthened again and has risen above $3,220. It had soared due to the trade war regarding tariffs but did not plummet sharply as the situation of tariffs eased.
In terms of technical trends, a new support level has been formed in the $3,190 area for gold. At the 4-hour level, a pattern of high-level consolidation has emerged. This high-level consolidation pattern still indicates a bullish sentiment. Once there is a breakthrough, it will mark the beginning of a new upward trend. At present, the trend is favorable, and our bullish view remains unchanged.
The market is fluctuating rapidly. In the early trading session, we have already entered a long position near $3,210. Whenever there is a pullback in the intraday trading and the price stabilizes at the support level, it presents an opportunity to go long.
XAUUSD
buy@3200-3210-3220
tp:3235-3245
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
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Gold is finishing at a high level to resist the fall! The bullis
📌 Driving events
U.S. President Trump said on Monday that he was exploring the possibility of temporarily exempting tariffs on imported cars and parts to give auto companies more time to establish production bases in the United States.
New York Fed: The unemployment rate is expected to rise to the highest level since April 2020 in March. In March, households were more pessimistic about employment and future income. The expected inflation rate for the next five years is 2.9%, down from 3% in February.
Geopolitical situation:
It was learned on the 14th local time that Israeli officials said that Israel and the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) still have great differences on the ceasefire in Gaza. The official said that compared with the previous negotiating position, Hamas seems willing to release more Israeli detainees, but if Hamas insists on requiring all parties to guarantee that Israel must stop waging war in the Gaza Strip after the ceasefire, it will still be difficult to promote an agreement. The official expects Hamas to respond to the new ceasefire proposal in the next few days.
📊Comment Analysis
The hourly level shows that the short-term gold price has fallen from a high level and gradually fell into a narrow range above the hourly 60-day moving average support level. The current hourly level indicators are narrowing, maintaining a short-term shock guide reference. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average at the four-hour level are arranged in a downward cross, maintaining the four-hour level peak signal. The short-term decline gradually brings about the four-hour RSI mean reversion, forming a four-hour level adjustment trend. The gold price has risen and fallen to maintain a shock downward trend, which has not changed the medium- and long-term upward trend. Be cautious to maintain a bullish shock trading strategy during the day.
💰Strategy package
Long order:
Aggressive participation at 3185-3195, profit target above 3210
Steady participation at 3175-3185, profit target above 3195
Short order:
Aggressive participation at 3250, profit target below 3230
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
XAUUSD Gold in Overdrive: Awaiting a Critical Pullback for a BuyDaily Chart Analysis
On the daily chart, XAUUSD has surged to new highs, signaling an overextended market as gold rallies far above previous price swings. The price is now trading at a premium, which indicates that much of the bullish momentum may already be priced in. As a result, there is potential for a pullback toward a more attractive entry area. Specifically, a retracement into a discounted zone—ideally below the 50% level of the previous swing—may offer a better long opportunity rather than entering at these extended levels. 📈⚠️
4-Hour Chart Analysis
Examining the 4-hour timeframe reveals more granular price action that aligns with the daily trend. Here, gold displays signs of potential exhaustion with the recent impulsive moves. The market structure hints at the possibility of a short-term setup if the price begins to reverse, aligning with basic Wyckoff theory principles. This suggests that while there might be an interim short play if the reversal is confirmed, the expectation remains that a healthy pullback will eventually pave the way for a new long opportunity once the price finds support. 🔻🤔
Integrating Price Action, Market Structure & Wyckoff Theory
Using elements of Wyckoff theory, it's clear that the current rally has pushed the market into an overbought state.
• The price action indicates a likely initiation of a distribution phase, where selling pressure might temporarily take over.
• A pullback into the discounted zone (particularly under the 50% retracement of the prior range) would be an ideal opportunity to look for a buying setup.
• On the flip side, if the shorter-term setup solidifies, a conservative short play could be considered until signs of accumulation emerge.
This dual perspective underscores the importance of disciplined risk management and monitoring short-term reversals while keeping an eye on the broader trend. 🔍📉💡
Summary of Key Takeaways
XAUUSD is currently overextended with a strong rally to new highs. While the momentum is robust, the premium pricing compared to previous swings suggests caution. A pullback into a discounted zone, specifically below the 50% retracement level, could provide a more enticing entry point for those looking to go long. Concurrently, the 4-hour chart offers potential setups for a short play should price action indicate a reversal. Coupling these observations with Wyckoff theory fundamentals can allow for a balanced, dynamic trading strategy. 🔄
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
Gold: Directional Break ImminentYesterday’s market remained calm without any significant swings, unlike the strong movements we’ve seen previously. Today, however, appears to be a critical turning point as the market prepares for a directional breakout.
📊 Technical Overview:
Gold is showing signs of retesting the resistance around 3240, while short-term support lies at 3194–3188. If this resistance holds and the price fails to break above, a double-top pattern may form—potentially triggering a major drop between Wednesday and Thursday.
If the price breaks above 3240, there may be around $30 of additional upside, but this is likely to mark the formation of a short-term top, followed again by a decline.
🎯 Key Bearish Target Zones: 3137-3106
Whether it breaks upward or downward, a bearish opportunity is building. Stay patient, follow the price action, and avoid emotional decisions to catch the move at the right moment.
Analysis of Current Gold Trend & Trading TipsLast Friday, after surging to 3,245, gold encountered selling pressure and retreated, and the range-bound adjustment continued throughout the day. From a technical standpoint, the suppression of the double-top pattern is evident on the 4-hour chart. The MA10 moving average has crossed downward, creating a new resistance level at 3,220. If the price fails to hold steady above this level, it may further decline to the area between 3,170 and 3,160. Currently, the short-term moving averages are diverging downward, and the key support below has shifted to the range of 3,190 to 3,180. The hourly chart shows a pattern of high-level consolidation, currently concentrated within the range of 3,193 to 3,220, with no clear trend.
In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to mainly focus on shorting on rebounds: pay attention to the resistance at 3,215 to 3,220. When the price reaches this area, you can try shorting with a small position. The support below is at 3,187 to 3,190. If the price breaks below this level, it may accelerate its downward movement. It is necessary to be wary of the fluctuations triggered by the data in the US trading session. However, overall, the outlook remains one of a range-bound and slightly bearish trend. Set stop-losses strictly to control risks.
XAUUSD
sell@3215-3220
tp:3200-3190
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Strategic Analysis of Gold for the Next WeekOn Friday, the gold price continued its slow upward trend. Subsequently, it experienced a slight pullback, but still maintained an overall upward trend. This indicates that the current sentiment of the bulls is quite high, while the bears are unable to achieve decisive suppression in the short term. Due to the relatively obvious recent trend of fluctuating upward movement, there is still a great deal of uncertainty as to whether the price will continue to rapidly reach a peak. Therefore, for trend trading, one may need to patiently wait for the market to make its own choice.
Judging from the current situation, the gold market still has a strong bullish momentum. Whether it is the market's risk aversion sentiment, the impetus given by economic data to the market expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, or the bullish trend at the technical level, all of these factors provide support for the rise in the price of gold.
In terms of short-term trading ideas for gold, it is still recommended to mainly go long on pullbacks and go short on rebounds as a supplement. For next Monday, focus on the two support levels of 3200 and 3170. If the gold price remains above 3220, it is expected to continue to challenge higher prices. The upper resistance is roughly in the range of 3245 - 3255. If this resistance level can be effectively broken through, the gold price is expected to further reach the range of 3280 - 3300.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3205-3215
sl 3195
tp 3230-3240
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
Strategic Analysis of GoldAlthough Trump has announced the exclusion of smartphones and computers from the list of reciprocal tariffs, which has alleviated some market concerns, due to the uncertainty of the overall tariff policy, the gold price still remains above $3,200 after falling from the intraday all - time high of $3,245 on Monday.
Judging from the current trend of gold, we should still pay attention to the resistance level in the range of 3240 - 3245. In the short term, focus on the support level in the range of 3185 - 3190. Currently, the trend has not reversed. It is likely that the bulls are pulling back to accumulate strength and move in a volatile pattern. In terms of trading operations, it is advisable to mainly go long during pullbacks.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3195-3205
sl 3180
tp 3218-3223
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
Can we continue to go long on gold?The 1-hour moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross, and there is still no sign of a turnaround, so the gold bulls are still strong, and now gold is just falling back. The short-term support of gold is 3193, and the gold US market continues to be bullish.
Trading ideas:Gold long around 3208 sl:3193 tp:3225
Gold Trading Analysis ReferenceTechnical analysis of gold: Gold surged to around 3245 last Friday and then adjusted. After falling back to around 3210 in the morning, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous row of support bands. In the short-term trend, it began to gradually weaken. Pay attention to whether there is a small rebound in the late trading to confirm the secondary downward trend. It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3220 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the lower am20 moving average is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3220, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retreat deeply to 3170-60.
From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the price of gold had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then went higher, so there is no obvious support level to refer to. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a sharp rise or fall. The price of gold in the US market has signs of a pullback, but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of rebounding and shorting. So far, the price has been repeatedly consolidated at a relatively high level of 3193-3215. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average; if it closes with a big negative line, it will pull back in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track; if it closes with a long lower shadow K line, it will not go down for the time being, and it will continue to consolidate at a high level; On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to rebound and short, supplemented by callbacks and longs. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3215-3220 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3187-3190 support.
When gold rebounds to around 3215-3218, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3200-3195, break to look at 3187
Gold will pull back to around 3187-3190, buy long (buy up) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 6 points, target around 3200-3210, break to look at 3215
Gold retreats under pressureThe daily line rose nearly 300 US dollars in three consecutive days. This kind of rapid rise and fall will not last too long. It is easy to turn to negative correction or cross sideways in a cycle of three to four days. Therefore, I think the probability of a sharp rise in gold is not high. Be careful of the market that rises and falls. Today's gold rose and fell. It just didn't break the high. It opened low at 3220 in the morning and rose successfully. Our 3220 long orders successfully stopped profit at 3235-3240; 3234 light positions were short in the European session, 3237 positions were added to short, 3218 positions were reduced, and the profit was stopped at 3209; long and short positions were all taken. For gold, there is a possibility of continued downward exploration, focusing on the 3227-3230 pressure line short, the watershed 3238, and the support below is the 3200 mark-3187 line.
Gold Faces Resistance at $3,220 — Short Setup Targeting $3,180 SEarlier, gold prices surged to an all-time high of $3,245/oz, but soon encountered selling pressure, triggering a pullback that briefly broke below the $3,200 psychological level, touching intraday lows near $3,193. As of now, the price is consolidating around $3,210, with short-term momentum appearing to fade.
From a technical perspective:
$3,220 represents the right shoulder resistance of a potential short-term head-and-shoulders pattern.
$3,190 acts as a secondary support level.
The $3,180–$3,160 zone marks the lower bound of the intraday base on the hourly chart.
If price action remains capped below $3,220, there is a high likelihood of a downside retest toward the $3,180–$3,170 support band.
📌 Trading Strategy:
Initiate short positions near $3,220, with a protective stop above $3,228. Downside targets lie at $3,180–$3,170, in line with the hourly support range.
Gold: It may Fall below 3180 todayOver the weekend, Trump announced a pause on tariffs for popular consumer electronics, prompting gold to gap down to 3210 at today’s open;
✅ Our recommended short entries at 3230–3260 are already in profit;
New semiconductor tariff announcements are due during the U.S. session today — the key driver for gold’s next move;
Given the fragile U.S. political/economic backdrop, escalating tariff conflict is unlikely, increasing the chance of bearish impact on gold;
With gold already trading at a premium, any "tariff relief" narrative will likely trigger speculative sell-offs;
If you're holding short positions, consider being patient — avoid premature exits due to emotional reaction to minor pullbacks.
Maintain key short entry zone: 3230 – 3260;
Expect gold to test below 3180 if market sentiment shifts
US debt crisis forces tariff shiftFrom a technical perspective, gold encountered double top suppression at the 3245 line, and the price showed a fluctuating downward trend. The 4-hour moving average system began to weaken, and the hourly arc top pattern suggested short-term adjustment needs. However, the US dollar market is brewing a counterattack. If the joint intervention of the United States and Japan in the foreign exchange market triggers a turning point, gold and silver may reappear in violent fluctuations. Everyone needs to be alert to the resonance effect of policy mutations and the trend of the US dollar. At present, the upper resistance is at 3227-3233, and the lower support is at 3193-3188. The late trading operation is recommended to rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound 3215-3220 short, stop loss 3229, and the target is 3190-3175.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back 3155-3150 long, stop loss 3142, and the target is 3190-3200 and break 3240.
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
Last week, China imposed a 125% tariff on US goods in retaliation for the US's 145% tariff, but then hinted that it would not respond to any further escalation of tariffs. Last weekend, President Donald Trump proposed the idea of levying a separate 20% tariff on Chinese semiconductors and electronics, suggesting that his strategy may shift from comprehensive tariffs to more targeted trade measures.
📊Commentary and analysis
Although there was a technical correction in the 1-hour gold trend, gold once retreated below 3197 to around 3195, but soon it was supported by bargain hunting again, suggesting that the underlying logic of this century's market is rock solid. When Fed officials are about to speak intensively, March PPI data hides inflation mystery, and geopolitical black swans continue to hover, every pullback of gold is accumulating power for the next round of charge. Historical experience shows that when there is a century-long divergence between physical assets and financial assets, it often indicates a large transfer of wealth at the civilization level.
Therefore, the gold price and the buying volume are maintained, and the upward trend continues: 3250, 3260
💰 Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time: Continue to go long near 3220
Take profit near 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account