XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310
📊 MACRO UPDATE – After the FOMC Decision:
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, but the tone remained hawkish. Chairman Powell reiterated that inflation remains too high and ruled out any near-term rate cuts, signaling prolonged restrictive policy.
This led to a swift rebound in the US Dollar and Treasury yields, weighing on gold. However, XAUUSD bounced back late in the session, suggesting the market is re-evaluating key technical zones post-announcement.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1/H4 Chart Structure:
Gold remains in a corrective descending structure but is now reacting around key Fibonacci levels. The 13–34–89 EMAs provide dynamic support and resistance, and a potential double bottom has formed near the 3245–3247 zone.
🧠 Two key levels to watch:
3308–3310: major resistance with trendline + FVG confluence
3245–3247: strong horizontal support + Fib 0.618 retracement
🎯 TRADE SETUPS:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3247 – 3245
Stop-Loss: 3241
Take-Profit: 3251 → 3255 → 3260 → 3264 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3263 – 3261
Stop-Loss: 3257
Take-Profit: 3266 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 → 3290 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3294 – 3296
Stop-Loss: 3300
Take-Profit: 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3274 → 3270 → 3260
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3308 – 3310
Stop-Loss: 3314
Take-Profit: 3304 → 3300 → 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3280
📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK:
Unless price breaks above 3310 with strong momentum, sellers are still in control short term. Any rejection from the resistance zone could offer clean short entries. A breakout, however, would shift sentiment and expose 3340–3360 next.
Patience is key — let price react before committing to entries.
Xauusdanalysis
XAU/USD 29 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 29 May 2025As you can see that there are some strong zones mentioned in chart
Intraday Trend remains down because market sustains below 3300 Psychological level
once market will break 3300 psychological level successfully then move towards 3335
Scalping Range is 3250-3280
if Market breaks 3250 level it will move towards 3200
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold shocks extreme pull, US market layout🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
The trading strategy we have given is still valid. The current gold price trend on the hourly chart shows a standard descending flag pattern. If this pattern continues to be effective, there is a high possibility that the gold price will fall below 3285-3280. Once it falls below this range, as we gave in the strategy this morning, it may fall to the 3260-3250 line. However, the premise for this expectation to be established is that the gold price cannot break through and stabilize on the upper track of the consolidation channel, otherwise the descending flag pattern will be invalid. Therefore, for US market operations, short positions can be arranged around the upper rail of 3325, paying attention to the suppression effect; for the lower rail, first pay attention to the support effect of 3300.
sell 3325-3330
TP 3310-3300
buy 3290-3280
TP 3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Technical Analysis - Potential Rising Wedge Signals CautionGold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,340 - $3,350 area, exhibiting a bullish market structure characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The price has recently tested the resistance zone between $3,330 and $3,350, a level that has previously acted as a ceiling for upward movements. A decisive break above this resistance could pave the way for further gains, with potential targets at $3,371 and beyond. Conversely, failure to sustain above this level may lead to a pullback toward the support zone around $3,300.
The rising wedge on Gold signals caution for bulls. Unless there's a strong breakout above $3,365 , the pattern favors a bearish move toward $3,250 or lower.
✅ Long Bias – Bullish Outlook
Gold is currently trading in an uptrend , supported by:
Higher lows and higher highs structure.
Strong bullish momentum on the rebound from the recent dip around $3,120 .
Fundamentals like economic uncertainty, interest rate cut expectations, or geopolitical tension that often support gold prices.
If price breaks and holds above $3,350–$3,365 , it would confirm bullish continuation, and a long position targeting $3,400–$3,500 is valid.
🔻 Short Setup – Bearish Outlook
Consider a short trade only if:
Price gets rejected from $3,350–$3,365 .
A lower high is confirmed (on H4 or Daily TF).
Bearish candlestick patterns appear at resistance.
Break below $3,300 would open downside targets to $3,250 , and potentially $3,200 .
⚠️ Caution Zone – Potential Pullback
However, there are early signs of exhaustion:
Price is testing a descending trendline + previous weekly high (~$3,330–$3,350) – a key decision point.
If rejection is confirmed, we might see a retest of support near $3,300 or $3,250 .
📊 Current Market Structure
Chart Pattern : Rising Wedge
Timeframe : 4H and Daily
Resistance Trendline : Connecting recent highs around $3,320 → $3,350 → $3,365
Support Trendline : Connecting higher lows around $3,250 → $3,300 → $3,330
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom. Don't shortOn Wednesday, the New York International Trade Court of the United States stopped Trump's planned tariff policy; it ruled that Trump's act of imposing comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than imports without the authorization of Congress was an overstep. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended.
After the news came out, gold fell rapidly, hitting a low of $3,245. It has now adjusted back and maintained around 3,270 for consolidation. From the current point of view, most traders with short strategies have taken profits around 3,250.
From the hourly chart, gold has started to pull back from $3,265 this week, and as of the current low of $3,245, it is a three-wave downward trend. The first wave fell to $3,225, and then rebounded to $3,350. The second wave fell from $3350 to $3285, and then rebounded to $3325.
The third wave of decline has been completed. According to the early decline and then the rise, the current rebound from $3245 is likely to test around $3300.
However, considering that $3285 is the previous low point, $3285 is also the upward pressure position this time.
Therefore, we should pay close attention to the pressure range of $3285-3295. If it can stabilize below $3295, then we can rely on the $3295-3285 range for short operations.
On the contrary, if the rebound is stabilized above 3300, it is necessary to stop loss in time.
Gold 100% Trading SignalsFrom the 4-hour analysis, today's upper resistance is around 3288-95, the short-term short-term weak dividing line is 3300-10, and the short-term support below is 3240-45, maintaining the main tone of participating in the trend unchanged.
Gold falls back to 3258-3264, buy more when it falls back to 3240-45, stop loss at 3233, target at 3280-3285, break to 3300-05
Gold bears will dominate the marketFrom the market point of view, the delay of the Fed's policy shift and the mitigation of geopolitical risks have a double-kill effect: on the one hand, high interest rates limit the attractiveness of gold; on the other hand, the retreat of safe-haven buying has intensified selling pressure. In the short term, pay attention to the support of the 3240-3250 range. If it fails, it may drop to the psychological level of 3200; but after oversold, be wary of technical rebounds. The 3280-3300 line above will become a key resistance. Be cautious in chasing orders, and the trend is mainly rebound shorting.
Gold recommendation: short near the rebound of 3282-3287, stop loss 3295, target 3253
XAUUSD Idea: Structure, Fibonacci Setup & S&P 500 Correlation📉 XAUUSD Trade Outlook 🧠🔍
Currently analyzing Gold (XAUUSD), and things are getting interesting. On the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear bearish break of market structure, and this shift is also evident on the 4-hour chart. 🕰️📉
I’m watching closely for a bullish retracement into my key Fibonacci 61.8% level, where I’ll be looking for confirmation of a bearish structural break to initiate a short position. 🎯🔽
When we compare this setup to the US500 (S&P 500), it becomes even more compelling. The indices have rallied hard and appear overextended — a correction seems likely. 📊🧾
If we do get that pullback in the indices, gold may rally temporarily, but my overall bias remains bearish. If the indices resume their uptrend after a pullback, I expect gold to weaken further, aligning with my current short-side outlook. ⚠️📉
🛑 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk according to your trading plan.
💬 What are your thoughts on gold right now? Are you leaning bullish or bearish? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 26 | Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP?
Gold is approaching a key resistance zone as geopolitical uncertainty and shifting Fed signals add volatility to global markets. While recent bullish momentum has been strong, traders should prepare for potential shakeouts ahead of NFP week.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
US–Iran Tensions on the Rise: Iran has warned the US it will bear full responsibility if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities. This comes just days before both sides are scheduled to resume nuclear negotiations, increasing the risk of escalation.
Goldman Sachs Signals a Safe-Haven Shift: With 20-year US bond auctions failing and yields surging, Goldman Sachs now recommends gold and Bitcoin as core hedge assets against fiscal instability and a weakening dollar.
DXY Losing Steam: The US Dollar Index is cooling off after a short-term rally, with Fed rate hike expectations becoming less certain.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD (M30 – H1)
Gold is consolidating in a bullish structure, bouncing within a rising channel and showing signs of potential continuation.
EMA13/EMA34 have crossed above EMA200 on the M30 chart → a sign of trend strength building.
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains unfilled near 3360–3395 → potential magnet zone if bullish breakout succeeds.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🟢 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3304 – 3302
SL: 3298
TP: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3276 – 3274
SL: 3270
TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3344 – 3346
SL: 3350
TP: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3376 – 3378
SL: 3382
TP: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350
🧩 STRATEGIC KEYLEVELS
Key SELL Zone: 3358–3360 → If broken, gold may rush toward ATH targets.
Key BUY Zone: 3276–3274 → If lost, a deep retracement below 3200 is likely.
⚠️ NOTES TO TRADERS
This is a geo-politically sensitive market. Sudden news or tweets can trigger explosive moves.
Always wait for confirmation near key zones. Don't chase breakouts without structure.
Risk management is critical.
✅ SUMMARY:
"Political risk is the fuel. Gold is the fire. Stay sharp around the key levels and don't get caught in false breakouts. Be reactive, not predictive."
Fed Uncertainty and Rejected Trendline ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades around $3,270 after rebounding from the $3,240 support zone, but remains capped below the $3,287–$3,290 resistance zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown. Technically, the price is struggling under a descending trendline (TL2), and the $3,287 zone also aligns with previous support turned resistance.
Fundamentally, the rejection of Trump's “Liberation Day” tariffs by the U.S. trade court helped ease risk sentiment, reducing safe-haven demand and pressuring gold. At the same time, market focus shifts to today’s U.S. GDP data and Friday’s Core PCE inflation report—both of which may sway Fed expectations and drive short-term volatility.
If XAU/USD fails to break back above $3,287, a renewed test of the $3,240 breakout zone is likely. Sustained downside may open the path to $3,207 or lower. On the upside, reclaiming $3,290 would weaken the bearish bias and challenge the TL2 trendline.
Resistance : $3,287 , $3,302
Support : $3,240, $3,207
Gold Pullback or Bounce? Watch This Key LevelOANDA:XAUUSD is currently undergoing a correction after being rejected from the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the lower edge of the channel, which aligns with a major demand zone. The confluence of the ascending trendline and horizontal demand increases the likelihood of a bullish reaction from this area.
If buyers manage to hold control at this level, we may see a rebound toward the 3,450 level, which corresponds with the upper boundary of the channel. This would be a reasonable target within the current bullish market structure.
However, a failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, rising volume, or bullish engulfing candles before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders,
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants.
Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move.
Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance.
However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections.
Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand.
Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Trade Idea:XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT )📉 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
🔹 H4 Chart (Macro Bias)
• Trend Context: Price is still broadly in an uptrend on the H4, but it’s testing the 50 SMA from above.
• MACD: Bearish crossover below the signal line suggests waning bullish momentum.
• Volume: Slight uptick in bearish volume as price pulls back from the recent highs.
• Bias: Neutral to Bearish Short-Term (H4 trend remains up, but weakening).
🔹 M15 Chart (Setup Zone)
• Structure: A sharp selloff broke both the 20 SMA and 50 SMA.
• Momentum: RSI ~16, oversold—but that can persist in strong trends.
• Volume: Large spike on the breakdown candle = strong bearish interest.
• ATR: 7.97 = elevated volatility.
• Bias: Bearish momentum, potential pullback retest opportunity.
🔹 M3 Chart (Execution Focus)
• Price Action: Freefall with clean rejections at the 20 SMA.
• Volume Spike: Bears in control, RSI also confirms momentum exhaustion but no reversal confirmation yet.
• Bias: Bearish with potential for bounce/pullback retest entry.
⸻
✅ Primary Trade Setup
Type: 🟥 Sell Limit
Rationale: Let price retrace into resistance before fading it, using structure for confirmation.
Entry Zone: 3270–3276 area (prior support becomes resistance near 20 SMA on M15 and 50 SMA on M3).
Stop Loss: Above structure high → 3283
Take Profit: Next key support zone ~3245–3250 (measured move + demand zone on M15/M3).
📌 Sell Limit Order
• Sell Limit @ 3273
• SL @ 3283
• TP @ 3248
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Still BearishAs I explained in yesterday’s analysis, my medium-term bias for Gold turned bearish, and I expect the 3250 support zone to be reached. My current strategy remains to sell rallies.
As shown in the chart, after reaching the 3285 support level — the same area where Gold reversed last week — price has once again reversed.
This recent reversal can be seen as a new shorting opportunity, anticipating a drop toward 3250.
📌 As detailed in this morning's " Minds " post:
• Sell zone: 3320–3330
• Invalidation: Above 3350
• Target: ~700+ pips potential depending on entry
• Risk-to-Reward: Strong 1:3 setup possible
Unless price breaks above 3350, selling rallies remains the plan.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD Breakout Retest – Long Setup with Strong Risk-Reward
---
📝 Description:
Price has broken out of the descending trendline and is now retesting the breakout zone. A bullish reaction near the 3,285 support level indicates potential for a strong upside move. Entry is placed near the retest, with a tight stop loss and a high reward target around 3,360.
This setup offers a great risk-to-reward ratio and aligns with classic breakout-retest price action.
Technical Confluences:
Breakout of descending trendline
Retest of horizontal support zone
Bullish wick rejection
Volume spike confirmation
Always use proper risk management. This is not financial advice. 🔐
XAU/USD Technical Analysis – 15-Minute Chart (May 28, 2025)Chart Summary
Current Price: ~$3,312.50
Short-term Pattern: Bearish rejection forming a potential downward wave
Key Resistance: ~$3,400 (longer time frame resistance)
Supply Zone: ~$3,230–$3,250
Target Zone: Around $3,288 initially, potentially extended to the supply zone
Analysis
Short Time Frame Rejection: Price attempted to rally but faced strong rejection, forming a lower high. This suggests that bearish pressure is building up.
Bearish Setup: A descending move from the rejection zone aligns with a possible ABC corrective pattern or flag breakdown.
Volume Profile: Higher selling volume near the top hints at distribution.
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Criteria Details
Entry $3,312–$3,315 (current price area)
Stop Loss Above recent high ~$3,325
Target 1 $3,288
Target 2 $3,240 (supply zone low)
Risk/Reward Approx. 1:2+ depending on exit
Trade Management
If price breaks below $3,288 with momentum, trail stop to breakeven.
Watch for a bounce near $3,250–$3,240 supply zone and reduce position size accordingly.
Avoid new sells if price breaks above $3,325 convincingly, as that may invalidate the setup.
put your valuable comments and support the setup thanks.
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
5/28 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold saw a sharp downward move, and we profited well by trading short based on the double-top pattern.
Yesterday, gold has reached the 3287 support area, and by the end of the U.S. session it rebounded slightly above 3300. Although the rebound lacks strong momentum, it does show that the support zone held on the first test. Whether the bulls can take back control depends heavily on today's follow-up strength.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
If bulls break above and hold 3323–3336, a bullish reversal is likely;
If the bounce is weak, short positions remain the preferred strategy;
4H support: 3268
Daily support: 3172
Before that, 3301–3275 also forms an important support zone;
If price breaks below 3301–3275, especially under negative news impact, a drop to 3150 or even 3100 is not out of the question.
🗞 Key News Focus Today:
Watch for May FOMC-related remarks during the U.S. session, which could become a catalyst for major market movement.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3342–3362 zone (strong resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3258–3248 zone (strong support)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3336 / 3328 / 3319 / 3306 / 3295 / 3286 / 3274 / 3266
Stay sharp and combine technicals with key news events to make informed trades. Feel free to reach out if you need support — wishing you a profitable day ahead!
Gold XAUUSD Move 27 May 2025Price is currently hovering around the 3300 level after a sharp decline from the recent highs near 3360. The market has now entered a crucial support zone at 3280–3290, which previously acted as a strong demand area.
This zone is expected to act as initial support. However, if this area fails to hold, the next major support lies in the 3240–3250 region, which aligns with historical demand and a previous accumulation zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3320–3324 (possibly a short position)
Support 1: 3280–3290 (current zone)
Support 2: 3240–3250 (next demand area)
The market is currently at a decision point. Watch for a reaction at 3280–3290 — a bounce may signal short-term relief, while a break lower could open the path to deeper downside toward 3240.