Gold’s decline is not over yet, aim at: 3160-3150Gold fell below the 3200 mark several times during the test. Although it recovered above 3200 several times, the rebound momentum is gradually weakening, giving short sellers the opportunity to counterattack.
From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has perfectly constructed an arc top structure, laying a solid foundation for gold to usher in a retracement at any time. The 4-hour candle chart shows that the fall has just begun, so gold still has plenty of room for retracement. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3200, but if it cannot break through the 3216-3220 zone during the rebound, it will further confirm the downward trend of gold, then gold will inevitably retreat to the 3160-3150 zone, and in the process of decline, once the profit chips are cashed in or even panic selling is triggered, gold may even have the opportunity to retreat to the 3130-3120 zone!
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate shorting gold in batches. The decline of gold has not ended. Let us look forward to gold bringing us huge profits during the retracement!
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Xauusdanalysis
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
On Monday (April 14), spot gold fell slightly during the day, hitting a record high of $3,245.42/ounce earlier before falling back. Despite a small adjustment during the day, the price of gold remained above the key mark of $3,200/ounce, indicating that the overall market sentiment is still cautiously optimistic. The main factors driving this round of market conditions include uncertainty in the global trade environment, a weaker dollar, and continued warming of safe-haven demand. During the session, investors' reactions to the latest tariff remarks increased gold price volatility, but fundamental and technical support remained solid, and the strong pattern of gold did not show any significant shakes.
📊 Commentary and analysis
From a technical perspective, the trend of spot gold continued its recent strong pattern. On the daily level, gold prices have continued to run along the rising channel since breaking through $3,000/ounce. Although there was a small correction during the day, the overall bullish trend was not damaged. The current price is firmly above $3,200/ounce, which has become a key psychological and support level in the short term. If the gold price can continue to hold this area, bulls may further challenge $3,250/ounce or even higher.
On the hourly chart, after the gold price surged to $3,245.42/ounce in the morning, it was suppressed by short-term profit-taking and showed signs of decline.
However, from a longer-term perspective, the upward slope of gold prices since the end of last year has remained stable, and there has been no significant retracement after breaking through key resistance levels many times, reflecting the resilience of the bulls. Analysts pointed out that the support of $3,200/ounce is strong. If the subsequent price can hold this level, the bulls may exert their strength again in the next few days.
💰Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time 3220-30 Continue to go long
Take profit 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Take profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
4/14 Gold Trading StrategiesLast Friday, gold showed a strong unidirectional rally followed by tight-range consolidation at high levels. Our bearish-biased strategy yielded limited profits, and some traders may still be holding trapped positions due to delayed exits. However, structurally, gold’s current posture signals early signs of exhaustion, and a pullback remains likely.
🔥【Key Headlines to Watch】
🇺🇸 The U.S. has suspended tariffs on popular consumer electronics, causing gold to gap down by $30 at today’s open.
🛠️ Trump is expected to unveil details on semiconductor tariffs — a reduction or pause will likely pressure gold lower.
💬 Two Fed officials speak today:
Barkin: Speech on “Navigating Through Economic Fog”
Cook: Remarks on the Fed’s evolving role in the economy.
📊 The NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations report will be released — market expectations are bearish for gold.
🔍【Technical Outlook】
Gold remains near historic highs, trading at an extended premium;
The recent rally has been largely driven by speculative inflows, not solid demand;
If sentiment flips or profit-taking begins, a sharp sell-off could follow;
Structurally, gold appears to be forming a top — favor short setups at elevated levels.
🎯【Trade Setup for Today】
🔻Sell Zone: 3230 – 3250
Look to short near resistance on failed breakouts
🔺Buy Zone: 3128 – 3104
Consider long entries only on healthy pullbacks to strong support
🔄Range Zones:
3220 – 3195
3158 – 3206
Tactical range trading — adapt to intraday momentum shifts
ONGOING TRADE IN XAUUSD(GOLD)🚨 **XAUUSD – Major Rejection Incoming?** 🚨
📉 *Golden Setup Alert – April 14, 2025*
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing **clear signs of exhaustion** at the top of a well-respected ascending channel on the 4H chart. After a sharp bullish rally, price is now facing **resistance near $3,235**, failing to break higher and showing early signs of a potential reversal. 👀
### 🔍 Technical Breakdown:
- 🔺 **Ascending Channel:** Price has been respecting the rising channel structure — higher highs & higher lows.
- 📌 **Rejection at Upper Boundary:** The latest candle suggests **bearish pressure** right at the top of the channel.
- 📉 **Expected Retracement:** The projection indicates a move toward **$3,135**, then potentially **$3,100** — a key demand zone and midpoint of the channel.
- 🔄 **Break Below $3,135** would confirm bearish momentum.
---
### 📲 *Trader’s Takeaway:*
Now is the time to **watch closely for confirmation** of a reversal. If bearish momentum kicks in, we could see a clean short opportunity all the way to the mid-channel zone. Great R:R setup loading!
💡 *Risk Management is key — patience pays profits!*
3270, waiting for new ATH gold price⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices eased during Monday's Asian session as risk sentiment improved, prompting a shift away from safe-haven assets. The upbeat market tone followed Wall Street’s strong rebound on Friday and encouraging developments in the ongoing US–China tariff dispute, temporarily reducing upward pressure on the yellow metal.
Last week, China retaliated against the US’s 145% tariff hike by imposing 125% duties on American goods but later signaled it would not respond to any additional escalations. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump floated the idea of targeting Chinese semiconductors and electronics with a separate 20% tariff—indicating a possible shift in strategy from across-the-board tariffs to more focused trade measures.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price, buying volume maintained, continuing the upward trend: 3260, 3270
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3270- 3272 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3168 - $3166 SL $3161
TP1: $3175
TP2: $3190
TP3: $3200
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold falls under pressureGold rebounded from the bottom last week, and the entire increase from 2957 to 3245 was as high as 288 US dollars. It took only three trading days. The strong V reversal went up as it went down. At present, gold has successfully stood on the 3200 mark. Can it continue to rise this week? Is there any hope for 3500?
At present, whether it is from the daily or weekly lines, they are all big Yang closings, which all show the strong rise of gold. From the big trend, there is no doubt that the bullish direction. Especially for the current political and economic situation, but it is necessary to pay attention to the process of rising, which is also accompanied by a correction or deep retracement, just like the last wave of plunge.
At present, gold is mainly affected by tariff policies, which pushes gold prices to continue to rise. Now that the tariffs have been increased to 125%, adding more is just a number game with no practical significance. There is no more to add. The next step is to return to the negotiation table, which is just a matter of time. Once such a vent is revealed in the future, gold will dive from the high platform. This is a news risk point that needs to be paid attention to. There are risks in chasing high prices, and trading needs to be cautious.
The daily line rose nearly 300 US dollars in three consecutive days. This kind of rapid rise and fall will not last too long. It is easy to turn to negative correction or cross sideways in a cycle of three to four days. Therefore, I think the probability of a sharp rise in gold at the beginning of this week is not high, and we should be careful of the market that rises and falls.
Today, gold rose and fell as expected over the weekend. It just didn't break the high. Gold opened low at 3220 and rose successfully. Our 3220 long orders successfully stopped profit at 3235-3240; European session 3234 light position short, 3237 increase short position, 3218 reduce position, stop profit at 3209; long and short turnover all won. For gold, there is a possibility of continued downward exploration, focusing on the 3227-3230 pressure line short, the watershed 3238, and the support below is the 3200 mark-3187 line.
Risks gradually accumulate, and short gold in batchesAt present, the highest price of gold has reached around 3244, but it soon fell back to below 3240; and the PPI data is obviously bullish for gold, but gold has not shown a significant upward fluctuation, indicating that as gold rises sharply, market sentiment tends to be more cautious, so that liquidity is insufficient. So from this point of view, gold still has a need for a correction!
In the past three trading days, the increase in gold has reached $270. So even if gold remains strong at present, we should not blindly chase more gold. On the contrary, we can still gradually establish short positions in batches. As long as we strictly control the number of transactions in the transaction, we don’t have to worry too much about the transaction risk!
Let us wait patiently for the market to gradually accumulate risk sentiment. Once it accumulates to the critical point, it only takes one opportunity for gold to collapse soon.
Gold fluctuates at high levels and is under pressure to adjust!Gold gapped down and opened low, bottomed out and rebounded without breaking the 3245 line. Today's trend is biased towards decline and adjustment. Intraday trading can be kept high and low! The upper 3245 suppression retracement is expected to gamble the small double top suppression deep retracement, and the lower support is first maintained near the morning retracement low point 3210. This first determines the strength of the European session. Only after breaking can we continue to chase the short position. If gold rebounds to 3240-43 during the day, we can short it. Today, we will focus on the previous high-altitude suppression. Pay attention to whether it can effectively stabilize at 3200-3190 below. If it stabilizes, we will continue to look at the integer 3300 mark. The bulls are still strong overall, but the intraday volatility of gold is large. If the position ratio is not done well, both long and short positions are easily damaged. Therefore, the recent trading is mainly to lock the area and position control ratio, strictly stop loss in the short term during the day, and do not hold positions and carry orders overnight!
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3240-3245, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3210-3187.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3240-3243, stop loss 6 points, target around 3210-3200, and look at 3190 if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3187-3190, stop loss 6 points, target around 3215-3235, and look at 3245 if it breaks;
Choose the right time to enter the market and wait for a reboundFrom the current trend of gold, we still focus on the short-term suppression of 3245-3250 today, and the short-term support of 3200-3206 below, with a focus on the support of 3188-90. Don't chase long at the current high position. The daily level reversal and negative closing may occur at any time.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3200-06 and does not break, you can buy more. If it falls back to 3188-90, you can buy more. Stop loss is 3178. The target is 3248-3250. If it breaks, continue to hold.
Gold will rebound strongly if it does not break 3200The technical aspects of the gold market remain strong during the day. The weekly line closed positively for consecutive days, and the daily line remained intact for four consecutive positive lines, and the medium-term upward trend remained unchanged. At present, we need to pay attention to the possible technical correction at the beginning of the week, but as long as there is no single negative swallowing positive or continuous negative pattern, the trend direction is still bullish. The key support level is at 3200, of which 3180 is the short-term long-short watershed. If it is effectively broken, the upward momentum will be weakened; 3150 is the critical point of the medium-term trend, and a break may trigger a deeper adjustment.
H4 cycle shows that the price stabilized after falling back to the 10-day moving average near 3200, and this position became the focus of intraday long-short game. Operation strategy suggestion: If the price falls back to the 3200-3205 area without breaking, you can choose to go long, and the target is the 3245-3255 resistance zone. After breaking through, you can follow the trend. Be careful that if the 3200 support is lost, you need to adjust the strategy and pay attention to the 3180 line. Overall, keep the idea of going long on the pullback, and pay attention to controlling the position to prevent short-term volatility risks.
Gold suggestion for the evening: Go long on the 3210-3205 area, stop loss 3200, target 3235
Gold price hits new high, 3216 as the dividing lineGold prices rose strongly by nearly $276 in three trading days, and broke through historical highs one after another. There is no highest, only higher.
There are many similar points in the rise, which can be summarized into five points. The first is the continued rise in the early trading and breaking through the new high. The second is the 0.382 position of the space adjustment and the same amplitude switching of the space. The third is the wandering back and forth sweep of the European session. The fourth is the flash of good points. The fifth is to learn to stop when you are ahead.
Combining these five points to look at the market situation, the gold price continues to rise. Last Friday, it closed directly at the high of 3237-3238 area.
Today The price opened lower in the morning and touched 3210, and hit a new high of 3245.6. But this time it was different. After the high, it fell back. The rise was 30 US dollars, and the high fell back 25 US dollars. Basically, the rise was as much as the fall. In the afternoon, the resistance of 3238 was confirmed for the second time, and it fell 22 US dollars again to find 3216, which was basically recovered.
The overall trend will be more adjusted. The cooperation between the high fall and the bottom recovery will provide momentum for the start of a new round of market.
Specifically, the key points to note are:
1. The correction range of the market space is at least 30 US dollars, and the start is at least 60 US dollars. Instead of focusing on the high and low issues, we should grasp the present.
2. The daily and weekly lines are rising strongly, and the indicators and patterns are overloaded. At present, only the direction is referenced; the four-hour pattern opening situation, the lifeline position is slightly far away, 3154 is close to the support point 3151 area that was stepped back late at night, and together they become the spatial dividing line. The resistance above is 3270-3275 and 3299.
3. The hourly chart pattern closed and flattened. Today's white market has been running back and forth around the upper and lower rails. The current pattern further closed the range of 3242-3216. Break through this space and then look at the space switch, and then cooperate with the small cycle double-line upper rail position 3194 area. If the price breaks the early low of 3210, it will switch space downward.
4. As shown in the figure, the price last week accelerated the rise and broke through 3190, and last Friday, it repeatedly broke through the new high around 3210, first the new high of 3238 (looking for 3210), then the new high of 3245 (looking for 3210), and then the new high of 3245.6
Now the price is down to 3216, which is also the starting point of the Asian session
Using 3216 as the switching point, the current sweeping space is about 30 US dollars, and the subsequent price breakthrough will switch the space of 30 US dollars
Focus on 3276-3278 upwards and 3186-3188 downwards
And it is very interesting that the 0.382 position of the latest wave of rise is also at 3187-3188
So, here we need to focus on the key points , with 3246-3216 as the range sweep, breaking through and switching to 30 US dollars, focusing on the support of the 3186-3188 area, and then looking at the upward switching space
In addition, it is necessary to remember that the online position is the 3131-3129 area, the top and bottom conversion position, and it is also a strong resistance level that turns into a strong support level after breaking through. After breaking through, it directly rises unilaterally
In summary, for gold at the beginning of the week, we treat it with a biased adjustment and sweeping idea. Referring to this idea, we have deployed high altitude twice in the 3236-3238 area. As of press time, the price fell to 3216, and all short orders were closed at 3217, waiting for the next plan. Now the price has risen again to 3230, and it continues to sweep, rushing high and falling, bottoming out and rising, which is in line with the above-mentioned biased sweeping and adjustment method.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Forms Triple Top and Breaks Channel Bearish Cont' PlayThis chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 15-minute timeframe shows a clear bearish setup forming after a strong upward channel.
Here’s a quick breakdown:
- Trend Structure: Price was moving within a rising channel, but has now broken below the lower boundary of that channel, signaling a possible shift in trend.
- Triple Top Pattern: Three peaks marked as "TOP 1", "TOP 2", and "TOP 3" suggest a strong resistance zone and bearish reversal potential.
- Break of Structure (BoS): Several BoS labels indicate bearish breaks in market structure, supporting the downside bias.
- Projected Move: The chart suggests a pullback to retest the broken channel and then a continuation downward.
- Bearish Targets: The key downside levels are marked at 3187, 3177, and 3151 , which align with previous support zones.
Overall, this chart signals a likely bearish continuation if price respects the retest zone and fails to reclaim the channel.
GOLD 2 Excepted Scenarios Very Clear , Which One You Prefer ? Here is my opinion on GOLD Chart , the price broke the highest Res , and continue to upside , so i think we have 2 ways in this pair right now , if the price go back to retest the broken res area and give us a good bullish Price Action we can enter a buy trade with smal lot size cuz the price at very high price , and if we have a clear closure below it , we can enter a sell trade with 500 pips target .
Gold Analysis April 14Currently, gold is still around the peak and the next trend is unclear. We must wait for clearer fluctuations to come up with trading strategies. If H1 gold closes below 3225, the decline is confirmed and may return to 3190 in the US session. On the contrary, if gold continues to increase, it will break ATH towards the round resistance of 3278-3280. To be safe, wait for a break of 3232 to confirm the BUY point.
XAU/USD 14 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 11 April 2025 by printing higher highs which has repositioned CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, much closer to current price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Due to the extreme bullishness of the market I will be mapping internal structure as it appears.
The reasoning behind this due to the fact of the increasing range of the internal structure. By mapping internal structure as it appears we are more likely to be in a good position to have an early warning of all HTF bearish pullback phase initiations.
Price has printed a double bullish iBOS since last analysis and we are now trading within an establish internal range where you will note that price has printed a double top and has been unable to close above weak internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,244.340.
Alternative scenario:
Due to the narrowing of internal range, it could be a potential early signal that all HTF's are beginning their bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down the key forces pushing gold to record highs. Learn how factors such as US-China trade tensions, global inflation pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty—combined with a weakening US Dollar and safe-haven demand—are reshaping the gold market.
In this quick analysis, we cover:
🔹 Inflation & Economic Uncertainty: How rising prices and central bank policies continue to drive interest in gold.
🔹 Trade Tensions & Geopolitical Risks: The impact of US-China disputes and global instability on market sentiment.
🔹 US Dollar Weakness: Why a softer USD is making gold a more attractive asset for international investors.
🔹 Technical Insights: Pinpointing key price levels and exploring potential trend continuations or reversals ahead of US retail sales data.
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Constantly assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
Resistance Holds at $3,245; Bearish Targets in FocusGold (XAU/USD) has recently encountered resistance near the $3,245 level, failing to sustain a breakout during the Asian session. The market opened with a downside gap, which was subsequently filled, indicating a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
Currently, price action suggests a potential liquidity sweep above recent highs before any significant downward movement. Traders should monitor for signs of stop-loss hunts or false breakouts, as these could precede a bearish reversal.
The short-term outlook remains bearish, with the previous all-time high (ATH) near $3,170 serving as an initial target. A break below this level could open the path towards the $3,000 FVG as well as support zone, aligning with key technical indicators and market sentiment.
It's essential to stay vigilant for any developments in U.S.-China trade relations, as these geopolitical factors continue to influence gold's price dynamics. Adjusting trading strategies in response to such news can help manage risk and capitalize on market movements.
XAU/USD15-Min Chart –Bullish Setup with RBR Zone & Breakout TRG🔷 Chart Structure
* 📊 Ascending Channel
↗️ Price is moving within an upward-sloping channel
• Higher Highs
• Higher Lows
* 🔍 Short-Term Trend: Bullish momentum is intact
🟦 Key Zones
* 🟦 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
📌 Support area where buyers stepped in
🔄 Price bounced from this zone
* 🟥 Resistance Zone
🚫 Around 3,250 – sellers previously active here
👀 Watch for breakout confirmation
✅ Trade Setup
* 🎯 Entry Point: 3,226.38
* ⛔ Stop Loss: 3,216.30
* 🥅 Target: 3,267.00
* 💰 Potential Gain: 38.67 points (1.20%)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 — very favorable!
📍 Indicators
* 📉 EMA (7) — acts as short-term support
🟡 Price is consolidating near EMA — possible setup for next move.
📌 Outlook
* 🟢 Bullish Bias – As long as price stays above RBR zone
* 🔔 Breakout Alert – A break above resistance may lead to sharp upside move toward the target.
XAUUSD Technicals & FundamentalsA classic range-bound consolidation with a potential breakout setup forming.
🔧 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: Around $3,280 — if price breaks this cleanly, bulls could push for a strong continuation.
Immediate Resistance Zone: $3,240–3,245
Support: Around $3,220 (key short-term structure)
Pivot Zone: Near $3,200–3,190 — a break below here could signal deeper downside toward $3,160
Volume: Noticeably dropping (marked by the red arrow), which often precedes a strong move. Low volume = indecision = potential volatility spike incoming.
🧠 Chart Pattern Insight:
A bullish flag/pennant type setup is visible — consolidation after an impulsive uptrend.
Arrows indicate the two primary scenarios:
📈 Upside: Break above $3,245 with volume could trigger a run toward $3,280+
📉 Downside: Break below $3,220 could drag price down to retest pivot zones or even $3,160
📰 Fundamental Factors to Watch Today:
📅 Key Events/Data Releases:
U.S. Economic Data:
Retail Sales (March) — A surprise in consumer spending could sway USD and gold.
Empire State Manufacturing Index — May affect interest rate expectations indirectly.
Fed Speak: Any comments by FOMC members on inflation, rate hikes, or balance sheet could jolt markets.
⚖️ Sentiment Snapshot:
Short-term: Neutral to bullish (sideways consolidation near highs)
Medium-term: Bullish bias remains intact above $3,200
Volatility Risk: High — expect fakeouts before a confirmed breakout.