(XAU/USD) Sell Setup |Bearish Move Expected Towards Key SupportAnalysis:
The price has experienced a strong uptrend but is now showing signs of resistance near the 3,054.161 level.
A support level is identified around 3,000, which has been tested multiple times.
A potential sell setup is indicated after the price retested a resistance-turned-support zone around 3,027.737.
The target for the downside move is marked at 2,942.844, aligning with a previous support level.
If bearish momentum continues, a further decline toward 2,915.859 is possible.
Trading Idea:
Sell Entry: Around 3,027-3,030 after confirmation of rejection.
Stop Loss: Above 3,054 (recent resistance).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 2,942
TP2: 2,915
Market Sentiment:
The price is reacting to key levels, and if it breaks below 3,000, it could accelerate the bearish move.
A break above 3,054 would invalidate the short setup and could push the price higher.
Xauusdanalysis
How to layout gold’s wide range shock?Today, the pattern of shock upward is quite obvious. It was beaten back several times when it approached 3020. However, the lows kept rising and the highs moved up, which shows the tenacity of the bulls. The 4-hour chart has experienced a round of correction since the new high, but it seems that psychological support has appeared at the 3,000 US dollar mark. The technical indicators are running upward at a low golden cross. Since gold broke through the 3015 line in the early trading, it continued to maintain the bottom bullish thinking. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold today is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3033-3035 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3000-3002 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation.
Short order strategy: short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3033-3035, stop loss at 3055, target around 3020-3010, and look at 3005 if it breaks;
Gold’s Bearish Setup – What’s Next for $XAUUSD?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to $3,003 as I expected in my previous post . Of course, since this is a round number , we can expect good support .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to have succeeded in breaking the neckline of the two patterns , the Head and Shoulders Pattern and the Three Falling Peaks Pattern .
Educational Note : The Three Falling Peaks is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs after an uptrend, where the price forms three consecutive lower peaks. Each peak represents a failed attempt to continue the uptrend, signaling weakening bullish momentum. A breakdown below the support confirms the pattern and signals a potential downtrend.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed 5 impulsive waves and we should wait for corrective waves .
I expect Gold to attack the $3,000 at least once more after completing the pullback , and the next target could be the Support zone($2,989-$2,976) .
Note: If Gold goes above $3,039, we should expect more pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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XAU/USD: Today's Trading StrategyGold has been continuously declining today, and there has been no strong rebound. Currently, focus on the short-term resistance around 3025. When it reaches the vicinity of this area, you can start short selling.
Sell XAU/USD at 3025-3030
Stop Loss (SL): 3041
Take Profit (TP): 3010-3000
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The opening situation is clear, practical guideGold news:
The rise of the US dollar index benefited from Trump's tariff policy. Just yesterday, Trump suddenly announced: a 25% tariff on the purchase of oil and natural gas from Venezuela, and claimed that individual tariffs would be reduced. The market's tense nerves were released, and the US dollar index rose sharply. As the end of the month approaches, the market needs to rebalance its investment portfolio, increase the allocation of US dollars to hedge against unknown risks, and push the US dollar to continue to rise. Yesterday, the market news was light. Today, the market will welcome the speech of Federal Reserve Board Governor Kugler on "Economic Outlook and Entrepreneurship". Immediately afterwards, New York Fed Williams will speak at a public event. In addition, there is the March Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index at 10 pm. The above events and data are concentrated in the evening tonight, which will have a certain impact on the market and need to be paid attention to. The price of gold has begun to retreat from its historical high, and the power of safe-haven buying has eased. This retreat momentum is expected to intensify further, especially in terms of technology.
Gold technical analysis:
Currently, the price of gold is running in a similar triangle range, and the correction cycle is prolonged. On the one hand, the bulls rebounded after the pressure, and it was difficult to return to the strong position directly; on the other hand, the retracement was supported by the key top and bottom conversion support belt of 3005-3000. This trading day focuses on the gains and losses below the low of 3000 at the end of last Friday, and the breakthrough below the 3030 pressure line above. If it fails to break through, it is likely to fluctuate around this range during the day.
Gold operation suggestions: short near the rebound of 3020-3025, long near the retracement of 3000-3005.
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Analysis of Today's Gold Short - Selling StrategyYesterday, towards the end of the trading session, the gold price tested the vicinity of the $3,000 level again. Subsequently, it oscillated higher in the late trading, and continued to surge upward today. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, indicating a distinctly bearish trend. However, there has been some support near the $3,000 mark, with signs of a short - term rebound. Pay attention to the resistance levels near $3,020 and $3,030. If the rebound fails to break through these resistance levels, the gold price is likely to decline again
XAUUSD
sell@3025-3035
tp:3010
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XAUUSD: 25/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3025, support below 2999
Gold news analysis: On Monday, boosted by the news that the next round of US tariffs will be more moderate, the gold price was trading around 3,030 in the US market, but as economic data hinted at the hidden risks of tariffs, the gold price fluctuated sharply, falling more than $15 in the short term. The latest data released on Monday showed that the initial value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in March was 49.8, a three-month low. The initial value of the US S&P Global Services PMI in March was 54.3, a three-month high. The initial value of the US S&P Global Composite PMI in March was 53.5, a three-month high. Although the market remains vigilant about the geopolitical reshaping that Trump may cause and the impact of tariffs, investors continue to pour into the gold market for risk aversion. Since 2025, the price of gold has risen by about 15% and fell below the $3,000 mark for the first time. According to informed officials, the Trump administration's tariff plan may be more targeted rather than the comprehensive, global taxation previously envisioned. This adjustment is expected to ease inflationary pressure and increase the room for future interest rate cuts, which is good news for gold.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions yesterday and fell under pressure at the 3033 mark. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 3020 mark and reached near the 3002 mark. The daily chart closed with an adjustment decline for three consecutive trading days.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3025 and the four-hour level 3038, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 2999. Overall, rely on this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL: 3042
Sell: 3025near SL: 3030
Sell: 2999near SL: 2994
Use small size transactions to avoid risks
The rebound presents a perfect opportunity to short gold.📍Gold has once again rebounded to the 3020-3025 range in the short term. You might think the bulls have regained control, but I see this rebound as a prime opportunity to short gold.
📍Currently, a new descending channel has formed within gold’s short-term structure. Despite multiple rebound attempts, the price has failed to break above this channel, further reinforcing its downward pressure. Additionally, on the daily chart, gold has printed three consecutive bearish candlesticks, undermining bullish sentiment and weakening confidence. This has also diminished the effectiveness of the 3000 support level, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Sell at 3015-3025
TP:3005-2995
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
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XAU/USD 25 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 March 2025.
As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone.
Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
#XAUUSD - H1 Update*📉 Yesterday’s Plan:*
We mentioned that an H1 bearish candle closing below 3004 would be a potential sell setup, but price found strong support at the 3004 level and held firm.
*📈 Fresh Buy Opportunity:*
Now we’re eyeing a new buying setup – if we get a bullish H1 candle closing above 3024.50, we’ll plan a buy with a target of 100-250+ pips.
XAUUSD H1 Update
3000 is not broken, the rebound points to a new trendIn the current gold market, the downward trend is more obvious. However, it is noteworthy that gold has tested the key point of 3000 many times, and each time it breaks through, it is unstable. This fully shows that the defense above the 2995-2990 support area is extremely strong and difficult to be effectively broken in the short term.
Combined with the downward momentum observed in the 3000 point range, although it is in a downward trend, the possibility of a sharp decline is extremely small. Judging from the comprehensive judgment of technical analysis and market sentiment, gold will not only not continue to fall, but will most likely rebound. It is initially estimated that the rebound target will reach the area around 3015, and it is very likely to extend further to the area around 3025-3035. Let us look forward to the performance of gold together!
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The downward channel appears, or there will be a deep callback📍Gold's current upward momentum appears weak, with signs of a descending channel forming in the short-term technical structure. If gold fails to decisively break through the 3015-3025 resistance zone, it will confirm and reinforce the descending channel pattern, exerting further technical pressure on the metal.
📍Moreover, if gold breaks below the critical 3000 level during its decline, it would severely undermine bullish confidence, triggering further downside. In this scenario, the downside potential would expand, with gold likely extending its decline toward the 2990-2980 support zone.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Sell at 3015-3025
TP:3005-2995
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
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XAUUSD Today's strategyToday, short-term resistance is around 3030-3035. Intra-day rebound in this position to continue to short, short-term support at $3000, according to this range to maintain the layout, more observation, cautious trading, patiently wait for the opportunity
xauusd sell@3025-3030
tp:3010-3000
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XAU/USD: Continue to go shortGold is still trading within the range of 3000-3030. You can just trade within this range until a breakthrough of the trading range is made.
Today's trading strategy for gold:
xauusd sell@3025-3030
tp:3015-3005
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XAU/USD Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakdown – Trading Setup📌 Chart Overview
The chart represents the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, where the price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern consists of a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating market indecision. However, as price approaches the apex of the triangle, a breakout is imminent, making this a high-probability trading opportunity.
The analysis suggests a potential bearish breakdown, with price action likely to drop toward key support levels if the lower boundary of the triangle is breached.
📊 Breakdown of Key Chart Elements
1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation
The symmetrical triangle is a well-known technical pattern that signals a period of consolidation before a significant move. It forms when:
Buyers and sellers struggle for control, resulting in a narrowing price range.
A breakout occurs when one side gains dominance, leading to an expansion in volatility.
In this chart, the price is trapped within the triangle, gradually forming a squeeze, and a breakout is highly likely.
2. Resistance & Support Levels
Understanding key support and resistance zones is crucial in determining the next price direction.
🟧 Resistance Zone (~3,030 – 3,058 USD)
Marked in yellow, this area has acted as a strong resistance.
Multiple rejection points suggest that bulls are struggling to push prices higher.
If price breaks above this zone, it could trigger a bullish rally.
🟦 Support Level (~2,990 USD)
This is a critical support zone that has been tested multiple times.
The lower boundary of the triangle aligns with this level.
A clean breakdown will likely trigger stop losses and aggressive selling pressure.
📉 Expected Breakdown & Price Projection
The price is currently trading near the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle. Based on technical probabilities, the higher likelihood is a breakdown, which is why the trade setup leans towards a short-selling opportunity.
3. Retesting Area (~3,015 – 3,020 USD)
If price breaks below the triangle, it may retest the broken support before continuing downward.
The retesting area is a critical zone where sellers may re-enter to drive prices lower.
A failed retest (bounce back inside the triangle) would invalidate the bearish setup.
📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
This setup presents a well-structured short-selling opportunity based on the expected breakdown scenario.
🔽 Short Entry Strategy
Entry Confirmation: Short position can be taken once price breaks and closes below 2,990 USD (triangle support).
Retest Entry: If price retests the breakdown zone (around 3,015 – 3,020 USD) and rejects, it confirms the bearish bias.
Aggressive Entry: Traders who take early positions can enter a short once price approaches the lower triangle boundary with a tight stop-loss.
🎯 Target Levels
Upon confirmation of a breakdown, price action is likely to follow a measured move toward the following downside targets:
Target 1: 2,942 USD (first major support level)
Target 2: 2,920 USD (next key demand zone)
These levels are determined by previous price reactions and historical support zones.
🛑 Stop-Loss Placement
To manage risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the recent swing high to protect against a fake breakout.
Safe Stop Loss: Above 3,058 USD (strong resistance zone).
Aggressive Stop Loss: Just above the breakout retest zone (~3,030 USD).
📌 Market Psychology & Risk Management
Traders should consider the psychological aspects behind this setup:
Bullish traders may attempt to defend the support zone, but a failure will lead to panic selling.
Smart money (institutional traders) often use fake breakouts to trap early sellers before driving the price lower.
Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid being caught in false moves.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)
Entry: ~2,990 USD
Target 1: 2,942 USD
Target 2: 2,920 USD
Stop Loss: 3,058 USD
This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (RRR), making it a high-probability trade.
🔎 Conclusion & Final Thoughts
The symmetrical triangle is at its final stage, and a breakout is imminent.
A break below 2,990 USD will likely confirm a bearish move.
Retesting the breakdown zone (3,015 – 3,020 USD) is crucial for short entries.
Downside targets are 2,942 USD and 2,920 USD based on historical support zones.
Proper risk management is essential—always use stop-losses to mitigate potential losses.
This setup presents a strong opportunity for short traders, but patience is key. Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to a position.
The decline of the golden stage is in line with expectations!Gold 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands to rebound. The middle track is the short-term strength and weakness distinction point. In the adjustment trend, the weakness is below the middle track. It is also a distinction point, combined with the hourly chart above. In the step-down shock, although the rebound yesterday was slightly higher than the 3033 line, it was still running below the second highest point of 3038 as a whole, a complete step adjustment trend. The second highest point is not lost, the trend is not changed, and today's operation relies on the 3033 high point as a defense to continue to follow the trend and fall back. The low point of 2020-2026 is still a resistance point. After the short position of 2028 was reduced yesterday, the bottom position continued to break the 3000 small band. Short positions rebounded slightly today near 2020-2023 and continued to short. Defense at 3033 is enough. The target is to reduce the position and then leave the bottom position to look down at 2990-2980. The space depends on the shape. As long as it closes at a low level, the adjustment space will be further deepened the next day.
Today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3020-3025 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2999-2980 line of support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3020-3023, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3000, and look at the 2890 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2990-2993, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3000-3005, and look at the 3010 line if it breaks;
XAU/USD (Gold) Trade Setup – Descending Channel Strategy📉 XAU/USD (Gold) Trade Setup – Descending Channel Strategy
#### **🔹 Summary:**
Gold is trading within a **descending channel**, indicating a bearish trend. The strategy is to **sell near resistance** and **target support levels** unless a breakout occurs.
---
### **📌 Bearish Trade Setup (Sell Strategy)**
**🔻 Sell Entries:**
1️⃣ **3,020 - 3,030** (Upper boundary of the channel)
2️⃣ **3,015 - 3,018** (Rejection from the 21 EMA)
**🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets:**
✅ **TP1:** 3,000 (Key support level)
✅ **TP2:** 2,980 (Next major support)
✅ **TP3:** 2,960 (Extended target if momentum continues)
**🚨 Stop Loss (SL):** **Above 3,035-3,040** (Breakout invalidates the setup)
**📊 Confirmation Signals:**
✔ EMA rejection (21 EMA acting as resistance)
✔ Volume increase near resistance
✔ Bearish candlestick patterns (Engulfing, Shooting Star)
---
### **📈 Alternative Bullish Setup (If Breakout Occurs)**
If price **breaks above 3,040**, it may signal a reversal.
**🔹 Buy Entry:** **Above 3,040 (Confirmed breakout & retest)**
🎯 **Targets:** 3,095 , 3080
🚨 **SL:** Below 3,030
---
### **✅ Conclusion:**
🔻 **Primary Plan:** Sell on rallies within the channel.
🔺 **Alternative Plan:** Buy only if price breaks 3,040 with strong volume.
📉 **Stick to risk management & confirmations!**
Descending Channel in XAU/USD (Gold)Trade Setup for Descending Channel in XAU/USD (Gold)
**📉 Bearish Trade Setup (Sell Strategy)**
Since the price is trending within a descending channel, the best trade approach is to **sell at resistance** and **target support levels**.
**📌 Entry Points:**
🔹 **Sell Entry #1:** Near the upper boundary of the descending channel (~3,020 - 3,030).
🔹 **Sell Entry #2:** If price retests and fails to break above the 21 EMA (~3,015 - 3,018).
**🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit - TP):**
✅ **TP1:** 3,000 (Psychological level and lower channel support)
✅ **TP2:** 2,980 (Next major support zone)
✅ **TP3:** 2,960 (Extended target if the trend continues)
**🔒 Stop Loss (SL):**
🚨 **SL Above 3,035-3,040:** If price breaks out above the descending channel, it invalidates the setup.
**📊 Trade Confirmation:**
✅ **EMA Rejection:** Watch for price rejecting the **21 EMA (Blue Line)** as resistance.
✅ **Volume Analysis:** Look for increased selling volume when price approaches resistance.
✅ **Bearish Candlestick Patterns:** Such as **bearish engulfing, shooting star, or evening star** near resistance.
**📈 Alternative Bullish Setup (If Trend Breaks Upward)**
If price **breaks above 3,040 with strong volume**, it could signal a trend reversal. In this case:
🔹 **Buy Entry:** After a confirmed breakout & retest above 3,040.
🎯 **Targets:** 3,060 - 3,080.
🚨 **SL:** Below 3,030.
**Conclusion:**
🔻 **Primary Strategy: Sell on Rallies within the Channel.**
🔺 **Alternative Plan: Wait for a Bullish Breakout Before Buying.**
📉 **Stay disciplined with Stop Loss & Risk Management!*