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Xauusdanalysis

GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease — Is War Risk Losing Grip? The spotlight has shifted. As geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan continue to simmer, gold has surprisingly failed to respond with the expected safe-haven spike. Instead, the market’s attention has turned sharply toward global trade negotiations — particularly the latest developments between the United States and the United Kingdom. 🌐 Global Trade Truce: Why It Matters Recent headlines confirm the UK is one of the first nations to sign a new trade and tariff agreement with the US — easing pressure from global tariff wars and restoring market confidence. ➡️ Result? The US Dollar (DXY) has staged a meaningful recovery, limiting gold’s upside and reducing short-term bullish sentiment. While the war narrative is still present, it's the economic diplomacy that’s dominating headlines and price action this week. 📉 Market Reaction: Mixed Signals & Wild Volatility Recent gold movements have been erratic — sweeping liquidity zones of nearly $100 per ounce in single sessions. This type of behavior reflects deep uncertainty and makes short-term directional trading highly risky. For now, the priority should be on key H2–H4 zones, with reduced exposure to scalp trades until structure stabilizes. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch (H4 Anchored) 🔻 SELL SCALP Entry: 3,364 – 3,366 SL: 3,370 TPs: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330 🔻 SELL ZONE (Breakout Rejection Area) Entry: 3,380 – 3,382 SL: 3,386 TPs: 3,376 → 3,372 → 3,368 → 3,364 → 3,360 → 3,350 🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Support) Entry: 3,322 – 3,320 SL: 3,316 TPs: 3,326 → 3,330 → 3,334 → 3,340 📌 Strategy Notes: The European session open has triggered bearish candles — be cautious on BUY setups during London hours. If you’re holding long positions from earlier this week, consider scaling out around the 3,355 zone. Keep an eye on upcoming comments from Donald Trump, especially around the new trade framework. These could trigger short-term volatility spikes or broader trend shifts. 🧠 Final Thoughts: Gold is no longer driven solely by geopolitical unrest — macro narratives are back in control. With tariff tensions easing and stronger-than-expected USD recovery, traders need to remain flexible, disciplined, and reactive — not predictive. ✅ Focus on clear levels. ✅ Trade with confirmation. ✅ Avoid emotional scalps during uncertainty. 📣 Follow this page for real-time zone updates and structured market reads. Let’s finish this week strong.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
4
The exclusive bearish view on gold is in line with expectations!Gold's 1-hour moving average high also began to turn around, and the bulls were hit. If the rebound pressure is 3350, it is short. At present, gold has fallen below yesterday's 3350 rising platform, so it will fall back and pay attention to the vicinity of 3303! There is nothing to hesitate. The rebound of 3350 is an opportunity to increase positions and short, and the target is near 3305! Since the bullish volume of the gold market has been released, the bulls need to be repaired in the short term to rise further. Gold will go short in the afternoon. On the whole, it is recommended to rebound and short as the main operation strategy for gold in the short term, and to go long as the callback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3350-3360 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3300-3305 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JoshuaEmmie
Gold: High - level Oscillation, Short - term Adjustment & StrateFrom the perspective of the daily chart trend of gold, after two consecutive days of strong rebounds, the price has pulled back, indicating significant selling pressure at higher levels and a need for a technical adjustment in the short term. Currently, the price has dropped back to around $3,400, which is the support area of the previously broken gap. If this level is breached, it may further test the $3,350 level. In terms of technical indicators, the RSI has retreated from the overbought zone, and the MACD red bars are shortening with signs of a potential death cross, suggesting a weakening of momentum. Additionally, the 5-day moving average has started to turn downward. If gold fails to regain the $3,440 level, it will confirm the formation of a short-term top. Overall, gold is currently in a high-level consolidation phase. Without the impetus of new safe-haven factors, the adjustment is likely to continue. Despite the intensification of geopolitical risks, the current financial market is more inclined to focus on changes in global trade sentiment, which has diminished the appeal of traditional safe-haven assets such as gold. The long-term support for gold remains intact, but in the short term, it may be affected by the strength of the US dollar and the restoration of risk appetite. For today's short-term trading of gold, the recommended strategy is to go long on pullbacks and go short on rebounds. In the short term, key resistance levels to watch are in the range of $3,405 - $3,430, and key support levels are in the range of $3,360 - $3,350. Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by VolatilityWise
XAUUSD's next trading trendPowell's meeting is over. Powell's response was very decisive. It is difficult to do it in the short term about interest rate cuts. Therefore, through the content of the meeting, we pay attention to the fact that there is still some pressure on the rise of xauusd. In terms of economic data, the foundation of the US dollar is still strong. The market is still under pressure in terms of operations. At present, we need to pay attention to whether geopolitics will give some upward momentum in the XAUUSD market. Although I don't want to see a turbulent pattern, you need to pay attention to these influencing factors when you trade. About today's idea of ​​selling xauusd. It has been announced in advance in the London market. If you don't pay attention to the core content of the band trading center. Then you will definitely miss some good transactions. This is for sure. So in order to avoid missing some good trading plans next time. You can follow me. Continue the selling trading strategy. 3382-3387 can be paid attention to as a short-term selling position. Those with larger funds can rely on the current price of 3374. Sell Remember to control risks when trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Band_analysis
XAU/USD 08 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. analysis and bias remains remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 07 May 2025. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS. Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red. Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD: Strategic Analysis on ThursdayThe interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve is in line with market expectations and does not go beyond the scope of the widespread market anticipation before. In terms of gold, the price of $3,350 serves as a crucial dividing line at present. If the gold price can successfully stop falling and stabilize near this price level, forming an effective support, it indicates that the bullish forces still dominate, and the upward market trend in the future is expected to continue. Conversely, once this price level is broken, the bearish sentiment in the market will rapidly heat up, and the price is likely to further decline, seeking a new support level below $3,320. The geopolitical situation continues to deteriorate. The most intense military conflict in nearly a decade has broken out between India and Pakistan, and the civil war in Sudan is also escalating. These conflicts not only pose a serious threat to the regional and global peace and stability but will also have a significant impact on the commodity market. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the safe-haven attribute of gold will be further stimulated, and its price is expected to receive strong support. At the same time, the war may lead to uncertainties in energy supply, thus driving up the prices of energy sources such as crude oil. XAUUSD buy@3350-3360 tp:3390-3400 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_12
Gold Market Update - XAUUSD post FOMC May 7🎤 Context: FOMC day just dropped the mic. Market’s fidgety. Fed held rates steady (no shocker), Powell said plenty (but meant little), and Gold just tap danced at resistance like it’s auditioning for Wall Street’s Got Talent. Let’s dissect it all and get sniper-precise. 🔍 MACRO CONTEXT 💣 FOMC Rate Decision: Rates unchanged. Dovish tilt in Powell’s tone – soft landing narrative holding. 💼 Market Impact: Dollar hesitant, equities flat, Gold caught in limbo near intraday premium. 🧠 Sentiment: Risk-on... cautiously. But Gold's structure says, “I still have traps to set.” 🧠 STRUCTURE INSIGHTS (H4 → M1) 🔹 H4 Bias: Bullish swing (CHoCH → BOS intact), premium territory. 🔹 H1-H4 Key Zone: 3451 = Previous HH, now resistance and first critical liquidity magnet. 🔹 Current PA: Sideways chop just under intraday premium. 🔹 Liquidity Above: Weak High around 3415–3420 ready for sniping. 🔹 Liquidity Below: HL sweep and imbalance open below 3384, with clean demand at 3366–3372. 🎯 SNIPER SELL ZONES Sell #1 – 3412–3418 (Refined rejection block) 🟪 Confluence: 5M FVG + weak high + premium OB 🎯 Entry: 3412–3418 🛑 SL: 3425 🎯 TP1: 3390 🎯 TP2: 3372 🎯 TP3: 3350 Sell #2 – 3440–3455 (Retest) 💣 Only valid if price breaks above 3420 and sweeps next liquidity. 🟩 Entry: 3440–3455 🛑 SL: 3463 🎯 TP1: 3420 🎯 TP2: 3390 🎯 TP3: 3370 🎯 SNIPER BUY ZONES Buy #1 – 3366–3372 (H1 OB + FVG confluence) 📌 Real-time unmitigated demand with strong structural confluence 🎯 Entry: 3366–3372 🛑 SL: 3355 🎯 TP1: 3395 🎯 TP2: 3415 🎯 TP3: 3440 Buy #2 – 3322–3330 (Deep liquidity sweep + H4 equilibrium zone) 💧 Only valid if full breakdown under HLs 🎯 Entry: 3322–3330 🛑 SL: 3305 🎯 TP1: 3355 🎯 TP2: 3370 🎯 TP3: 3390 ⚔ BIAS NY Session Bias: Sideways-to-bearish while under 3415 Macro Bias: Still bullish HTF, but intraday liquidity still needs clearing Risk Note: FOMC aftermath = traps galore. Sniper entries only. No hero buys or chases. Drop a 🚀 and follow us! 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold breaks through 3400, the upward trend will continue The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will keep the interest rate unchanged, which is in line with the psychological expectations of most people in the market. The current price of gold still continues to fluctuate at high levels, but in terms of the general direction, gold bulls have actually not changed, and bulls are still in a strong phase. If gold breaks through 3400 strongly in the short term, then you can go long gold on dips above 3400. If gold rebounds, focus on the pressure near 3430.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fortune-signal
Gold fluctuates and waits for interest rate decisionAfter gold quickly rose and fell in the morning today, it basically began to fluctuate sideways. Of course, this is also in preparation for the heavyweight data of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The early pullback of gold at the hourly level has double-needle support near 3360, followed by yesterday's Asian session pullback near 3350. The U.S. session mainly focuses on the range of this position. In general, the short-term idea before the interest rate decision is to focus on the high-selling and low-buying operations in the range of 3350 to 3400. If it falls below the support of 3350, it is recommended to directly chase the short position and pay attention to the key support of 3290 below. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3300 line of support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KittyBaldwin
1
Gold 100% Profit SignalThe daily level shows that the price of gold fell after a strong rebound for two consecutive days, indicating that the selling pressure from above is significant and there is a need for technical correction in the short term. The current price has retreated to the vicinity of the key psychological level of $3,400, which is the support area of ​​the previous breakthrough gap. If it fails, it may further drop to the level of $3,350. In terms of technical indicators, RSI has fallen from the overbought area, and the MACD red column has shrunk and there are signs of a dead cross, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened. In addition, the 5-day moving average shows a downward trend. If the gold price fails to re-stand on the resistance level of $3,440, it will confirm the formation of a short-term top structure. Overall, gold is in a high-level shock consolidation stage. If there is a lack of new risk aversion drivers, the adjustment cycle may continue. Although geopolitical risks continue to exist, the current financial market is more focused on the evolution of global trade sentiment, resulting in a phased weakening of the attractiveness of traditional safe-haven assets. In the long run, gold still has fundamental support, but in the short term it may be affected by the strength of the US dollar and the recovery of risk appetite. In terms of operating strategy, it is recommended to focus on low-level buying on pullbacks and high-level selling on rebounds. Pay attention to the resistance in the 3405-3430 area on the top and the support in the 3360-3350 range on the bottom. In the early Asian session, gold prices showed a rapid correction trend. The key support band below is concentrated in the 3356-3363 area, which is the long defensive fortress of the previous upward trend. The technical pattern shows that if the support is confirmed by the retracement, long orders can be arranged in this area, and the low-long idea remains unchanged. The key watershed of the short-term bullish trend is in the 3340-3345 range. The loss of this position will change the short-term strong pattern. The daily level maintains a bullish control structure, and the operation suggestion is to focus on low-long after the correction stabilizes. Operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to 3355-3365, and add more when it falls back to 3346-50, stop loss at 3338, target 3386-3395.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EuniceHarrington
2
Real-time analysis of the XAUUSD market.The current volatile trend is to give room for adjustment for the interest rate decision and the Fed's speech later. If the interest rate is expected to remain unchanged or increase, it will boost the US dollar index. This will suppress the xauusd market. It will be bearish and fall. If the interest rate is cut, it will boost XAUUSD. But I think the market will not raise interest rates at this stage. The probability of a rate cut is also very low. So maintaining the same interest rate is the first choice. In terms of trading, traders with large amounts of capital can sell at 3385 at the current price, while traders with small amounts of capital can wait until the market returns above 3400 before selling. The Swing Trading Center continuously updates new real-time trading opportunities. If you don't understand trading, or don't want to miss the next real-time trading opportunity, remember to follow me.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Band_analysis
The downside risk of gold increases!📌Fundamentals: 1. The conflict between India and Pakistan shows signs of escalation 2. US-Houthi ceasefire agreement 3. The Fed’s interest rate decision dominates this week’s market 4. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment 5. Market sentiment and capital flow 📊Technical aspects: At present, on the hourly basis, gold is still under pressure at the small range resistance of 3400, and the current tariff crisis has cooled down. The data of the Fed's interest rate decision will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is betting that there will be further trend corrections, which may cause capital outflows in the market, which will further hit gold bulls! There is actually a new round of operation opportunities in the short term. The short-term resistance should be around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no big negative factors. However, if the data layout does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive. At present, we will temporarily play at the 3360-3400 level. If it breaks, we will make new adjustments! 🎯Practical strategy: Gold: Short around 3390-3400 on the rebound, and the target is 3370-3360!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
The Fed is highly likely to keep interest rates unchangedAfter surging rapidly and then falling back in the early trading session today, gold basically started to fluctuate sideways. Of course, this is because gold is awaiting the important data of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. So, what will be the trend of gold after the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision?👉👉👉 From the perspective of the recent market situation and data, it is highly likely that the interest rate for gold will remain unchanged. Generally speaking, the price of gold will still maintain an upward oscillating trend. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross, indicating that the bullish momentum of gold persists. It is advisable to go long on gold when the price is low. The level of $3,350 for gold remains an important turning point between the bullish and bearish trends.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Grorge
Gold Rally Running Out of Steam? PRZ May Trigger Drop!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has hit the targets as I shared with you in yesterday's idae . Will this uptrend of the past 5-6 days continue? Gold seems to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and has been moving in an Ascending Channel for the past 5 days . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 . The end of the main wave 3 can be at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, expect to see a clear Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks at the Resistance zone($3,434-$3,406) . I expect Gold to start declining from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and at least to the lower line of the ascending channel . This analysis is against the main trend, so pay more attention to money management . Note: If Gold touches $3,448(Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect more pumps. Note: If Gold falls below $3,342, we can expect a deeper decline than expected. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
22
Gold 100% Profit SignalTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has fallen after rising, and there is a large room for gold to fall, from 3438 to 3360 now, with a fluctuation of nearly 78 US dollars. Under this change, we should pay attention to whether the long and short changes of gold will continue. From the perspective of cyclical performance, there is a high possibility of a wave of adjustment space after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, and the intensity of this adjustment will not be small. It is possible that the big negative line swallows the positive line and directly falls below 3300. If it comes out like this, then it can be said that it is difficult for gold to rise this week. On Thursday and Friday, it may fluctuate and fall or fluctuate at a high level. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and breaking the support of the 5- and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock and the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, it may rise again to the high point of 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced large ups and downs in this cycle, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short-term cycle, we will first focus on the support effect of 3360-3350 under the weakness of the early trading. If it is not broken, we can continue to be bullish. The upper target is 3400, and if the strength is strong, we will look at 3430. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to mainly short on rebounds and to do more on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3300 line of support. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds to around 3397-3400, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3360-3330, break the position and look at the 3300 line Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3300-3305, buy long positions in batches (buy up) with 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3330-3350, break the position and look at 3370
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EuniceHarrington
Strong support at 3360; future trend analysis belowI mentioned yesterday that gold was accumulating bullish momentum to challenge the 3400 level at that time 📈. If the challenge failed, it would drop sharply 📉, and if it succeeded, it would continue to rise. That's why I advised you not to trade at that moment, as it was easy to choose the wrong direction and have your account wiped out 💥. Currently, the international geopolitical situation has suddenly heated up 🌋, and the market's risk - aversion sentiment has once again pushed up the gold price 📈. However, tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Jerome Powell's speech will be key nodes in the battle between bulls and bears ⚔️. The sharp fluctuations in gold this morning conform to the characteristics of a washout 🌀. But be wary of a significant pullback after the continuous slow rise 🚨. In terms of operation, it is recommended that investors avoid blindly chasing the upward trend and focus on the impact of the Fed's decision on real interest rates and the US dollar 👀. Currently, the resistance above is at 3397 - 3407, and the strong support level of 3360 has been tested twice today, showing a double V bottom pattern📊. ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@3360 🚀 TP 3380 - 3390 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign-
The Fed meeting is coming. Will gold fall?Today's news focus: The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce the interest rate decision; Fed Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference. The market generally expects that this meeting will continue to maintain the previous data, because the impact of tariff policies on inflation and the economy still needs to be observed. The Fed's interest rate cut may be carried out in June. Since this interest rate decision does not update the economic forecast, the focus will be on the Fed's incidental comments on any signals of future interest rate cuts to support the economy. Since the decision to keep the interest rate unchanged has been fully digested by the market, Powell's tone at the press conference will be the key to changing the market's expectations for interest rate cuts this year. Today's gold trend analysis: At present, according to the hourly chart, gold is still under pressure at the range resistance above 3400; on the one hand, the current tariff storm has cooled down, and on the other hand, the interest rate cut has decreased; and the news data to be released will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is currently betting that the gold price will have a further trend correction, which may cause capital outflows from the market, which will further hit gold bulls. Quide believes that there is still room for operation in the short term. The resistance level of short-term upward movement is around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no major negative factors; if the news data does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive. Operation strategy: Short around 3400, stop loss at 3410, and take profit in the range of 3370-3360. Quide will always pay attention to important news and can provide professional analysis and suggestions for everyone in a timely manner. I hope to help everyone recover their losses in the gold trading market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1