Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Next week's market strategy analysisGold fell on Friday, falling to the lowest level of 2999 and then began to rebound strongly. Overall, if we say that gold has peaked now, it is too early, because there are still many uncertainties to stimulate the increase in risk aversion, so it is possible that gold will rise again. However, the impact of the news is only one aspect of our reference. However, the impact of news is only one aspect for our reference. After all, a lot of information cannot be known in time. We can only say that we should pay attention to the existence of this risk factor, so we still start from the technical level. There is still room for gold to rebound next week. We will first focus on the short-term suppression of 3025-30.
From the hourly analysis, pay attention to the support of 3005-3000 below. If it does not break after the retracement, continue to be bullish. Pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3025-3030 above, and focus on the suppression of 3045-57 above. The operation still maintains the same rhythm of the main multi-trend. If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can pay attention to me. I will release specific signals in real time and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy for next week: Gold will go long after stepping back from 3005-3000, and the target is 3025-3030.
GOLD IDEA SWING TRADESMy idea is on Long, wait for 2980 zone. this is our area for Longs, it might break 2977.
Do only base on your own understanding on your charts. this is only my view, I change it to hourly, the idea is on daily.
wait for it or trade at short once you see this. previous high the SL.
Target on Longs is 3150. pewpew
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more.
Were the creator of new ones.
see the trades, Goodluck.
Analysis and Forecast of Gold Price Next WeekOn Friday evening, the spot gold price broke below the key support level of $3,000, which was in line with previous expectations. After reaching a phased high of $3,057, the market witnessed a rather significant downward movement.
However, the support at the $3,000 level was relatively strong. Although the price briefly fell below this level, it failed to stabilize effectively.
During the late trading session, the gold price rebounded technically and recovered to around $3,020.
Based on the current technical analysis and market sentiment, it is expected that the gold price will continue its weak downward trend next week, accompanied by certain corrective retracement.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold Falls from Peak, but Rate Cut Hopes Keep Outlook Positive● Gold prices fell after hitting a high at $3057.59 due to a stronger US dollar, making it more expensive for overseas buyers.
● Despite this, gold is set for its third consecutive weekly gain, up 0.7% this week.
● Market participants expect at least two US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, supporting gold's long-term bullish outlook.
◉ Technical Observations
● While moving through the rising parallel channel, the price has just faced resistance from the upper boundary and is expected to have a pullback towards $2,950.
● If the price slips below this level, the next strong support is expected near $2,790.
Don't miss out on this analysis of XAUUSD.On Mar 21, 2025, XAUUSD closed at 3023, with the lowest 2999.32 and the highest 3047.43. Previous support was 3000 and resistance was 3060. Now let's analyze new levels and the trend.
New Support and Resistance
Pivot Point Theory: From Huicong Finance data on Mar 21, 2025, the pivot point for XAUUSD is 3042.41, with support at 2995.85 and resistance at 3090.92.
Technical Analysis: On the 4 - hour chart, support is near 3027.26 (20 - day MA) and in 3011 - 2996.90 range. Resistance is around 3056.20 - 3057.25 (previous high) and 3070 - 3085.
Trend Analysis
Technical: The 5 - day MA (around 3030) and 20 - day MA (2950 - 2942) are in a bullish arrangement, but the price has deviated. The 4 - hour chart shows a possible completed correction, yet there are divergence signs, indicating potential profit - taking pressure.
Fundamental: Geopolitical tension in the Middle East persists, supporting gold. US economic data is weak, fueling recession concerns and safe - haven demand for gold. The market still anticipates Fed rate cuts, which would benefit gold.
In short, XAUUSD may range - trade between 3000 - 3060 in the short - term. A break above 3060 could lead to higher prices, while a break below 2995.85 may open up downward space.
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Next week's analysis has been written, please check itOn Mar 21, 2025, XAUUSD closed at 3023, with the lowest 2999.32 and the highest 3047.43. Previous support was 3000 and resistance was 3060. Now let's analyze new levels and the trend.
New Support and Resistance
Pivot Point Theory: From Huicong Finance data on Mar 21, 2025, the pivot point for XAUUSD is 3042.41, with support at 2995.85 and resistance at 3090.92.
Technical Analysis: On the 4 - hour chart, support is near 3027.26 (20 - day MA) and in 3011 - 2996.90 range. Resistance is around 3056.20 - 3057.25 (previous high) and 3070 - 3085.
Trend Analysis
Technical: The 5 - day MA (around 3030) and 20 - day MA (2950 - 2942) are in a bullish arrangement, but the price has deviated. The 4 - hour chart shows a possible completed correction, yet there are divergence signs, indicating potential profit - taking pressure.
Fundamental: Geopolitical tension in the Middle East persists, supporting gold. US economic data is weak, fueling recession concerns and safe - haven demand for gold. The market still anticipates Fed rate cuts, which would benefit gold.
In short, XAUUSD may range - trade between 3000 - 3060 in the short - term. A break above 3060 could lead to higher prices, while a break below 2995.85 may open up downward space.
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Black Friday in XAUUSD Right now, XAUUSD has reached the 3014 level. The second support level at 3000 is still holding firm.
This climb to 3014 might be spurred by several factors. Geopolitical tensions could be driving investors towards the safety of gold, which XAUUSD represents. Additionally, dovish central bank policies, like potential interest rate cuts signaled by major banks, often make non - interest - bearing assets like gold more appealing.
If the price falls below 3000 and stays there, we might expect a downward move towards the next support level. However, if it holds above 3000, an upward trend could resume. Keep an eye on economic data, such as upcoming inflation reports and employment figures. Market sentiment, especially how traders react to central bank announcements, will also be key in determining XAUUSD next move.
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
xAUUSD Structure, Sentiment & Strategic Patience📊 XAUUSD WEEKLY INSIGHT | Structure, Sentiment & Strategic Patience
As we close out a volatile trading week, let’s zoom out and assess what’s really happening with gold. The recent price action on the higher timeframes is revealing important signals — and it’s time to take a strategic pause before the next move.
🔍 WEEKLY SNAPSHOT:
Gold experienced a sharp correction of over $50, followed by a late-session recovery into the weekend. The result?
✅ Long upper wicks on both the W1 and D1 candles,
✅ Signs of rejection from all-time highs,
✅ Yet price still managed to close above the 50% candle body range — momentum is cooling, but not reversing (yet).
The big question now is:
Is this a healthy pullback within the uptrend… or the beginning of something deeper?
📐 Key Takeaways:
Structure on higher timeframes remains bullish – price is still moving within the primary ascending channel
Short-term retracement has reached the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone on H1 and H2 – a potential decision area
End-of-week buying indicates positioning by informed participants, not random volatility
No confirmation of a major reversal yet – but conditions are developing
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zones: 3025 – 3033 – 3040 – 3046 – 3056
Support Zones: 3014 – 3005 – 3000 – 2993 – 2986
🧠 Mindset Going Into Next Week:
Don’t rush it.
Let Monday’s open reveal the volume story — whether through gaps, spikes, or clean structure. The best setups form after the market shows its hand, not before.
This is where strategic patience beats emotional trading.
📣 Final Note:
Stay focused on structure. Respect your levels. Watch how price reacts — not just where it goes.
And remember: sometimes no trade is a powerful trade when the market is indecisive.
More insights coming soon on market psychology and execution discipline.
💬 Feel free to leave a comment, follow for updates, or share your own views below.
Wishing everyone a strong and clear start to the new week,
— AD | Money Market Flow
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis – Bearish Correction ExpectedGold (XAUUSD) has recently broken above a rising wedge resistance on the weekly timeframe but is now showing early signs of potential exhaustion. Price action is currently hovering around the $3,024 level after a strong bullish rally. However, historical patterns and structure suggest a possible bearish correction ahead.
📊 Key Technical Observations:
Rising Wedge Pattern: Price has been following an ascending channel with a sharp parabolic curve. The structure hints at overextension, making it vulnerable to a pullback.
Previous Corrections: Two notable corrections (-8.89% and -8.15%) provide a historical benchmark, reinforcing the possibility of a similar retracement.
Bearish Scenario :
A potential double-top formation and rejection zone is developing around the $3,050 area.
Target Zones:
TP1: $2,935.95 – first major support/resistance flip zone.
TP2: $2,782.94 – deeper retracement aligned with previous corrective structure.
🧠 Trading Bias:
Bearish bias in the short to medium term as gold may seek to correct before any continuation of the bullish trend.
Gold’s Uptrend Strong, But Is a Short-Term Drop Coming?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has increased by more than +5% over the past seven days and has managed to create new All-Time High(ATH) daily. The reasons for the increase in Gold prices include US economic statistics and the tensions in the Middle East that have increased these days.
The question is how long this bullish trend in Gold will continue. It seems that Gold needs at least a correction to continue its upward trend and I tried to find the starting zone of the correction with technical analysis tools (for the short term ).
Gold is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , this zone could be a correction zone for Gold for at least the short term .
Gold also responds well to the Pitchfork tool lines , the Pitchfork lines can be considered as support and resistance lines for gold .
From an Elliott Wave theory perspective, Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of main wave 5 (these five waves are likely to be part of main wave 3 ).
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,003 after breaking the Uptrend line , and my second target is $2,986 .
Note: The worst Stop Loss(SL) for your Short position could be $3,061.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
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Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Breakdown in Bearish Move🔍 Overview of the Chart & Market Context
This 15-minute Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart shows the formation of a classic Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This pattern often indicates that buying momentum is weakening, and a significant price decline may follow.
Gold has been in a strong uptrend before forming this structure. However, after reaching a resistance zone at an all-time high (ATH), the market has failed to sustain its bullish momentum. The rejection from this level and the break of the neckline (support level) suggest that sellers are gaining control, leading to a potential bearish breakdown toward the downside target.
This setup provides a high-probability shorting opportunity if price action follows through with the bearish structure. Let’s analyze the different elements in detail.
📊 Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern in Detail
The Head & Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern, and in this case, it forms at the top of an uptrend, indicating a shift in market sentiment. The key components of this pattern in the chart are:
1️⃣ Left Shoulder
Price made an initial rally, then faced rejection at a resistance level.
A retracement occurred, forming a swing low, which became part of the neckline support.
2️⃣ Head
Buyers attempted another push, creating a higher high.
However, the rally was unsustainable, as sellers pushed the price back down toward the neckline.
This forms the peak of the structure, marking the highest point before the reversal.
3️⃣ Right Shoulder
Another rally followed, but this time, buyers lacked strength.
The price failed to break the previous high (head level) and reversed downward.
This indicated that selling pressure was increasing, forming the right shoulder.
4️⃣ Neckline (Support Level)
This is the most critical level in this setup.
It connects the swing lows between the left shoulder and right shoulder.
Once the price breaks below this trendline support, the pattern is confirmed, triggering a bearish move.
📌 Key Technical Levels Identified
🔵 Resistance Level (+ ATH – All-Time High)
The blue box represents the strong resistance zone where gold faced rejection multiple times.
This level acted as a supply zone, preventing further bullish continuation.
📉 Neckline & Support Level
This trendline support (dotted black line) connected the lows between the left and right shoulders.
A clean break and retest of this level signal further downside movement.
🚨 Stop Loss Level ($3,048.777)
The ideal stop-loss placement is above the right shoulder to prevent getting stopped out by market noise.
If the price reclaims this level, it could invalidate the bearish thesis.
🎯 Target Level ($2,989.544)
The target is based on the measured move, calculated by taking the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
If the breakdown plays out successfully, we could see a move toward $2,989.544 or even lower.
📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Trade Setup
🔴 Short Trade Entry
Sell Entry: On the break & retest of the neckline (support turning into resistance).
Confirmation: A strong bearish candlestick (e.g., engulfing pattern) below the neckline.
🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management)
SL Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048.777) to prevent false breakouts.
Reason: If price moves above this level, the pattern gets invalidated.
🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit)
Target Level: $2,989.544, based on the measured move.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 RR ratio, ensuring a profitable setup.
📌 Confirmation Signals for Stronger Conviction
For higher probability, traders should look for additional confirmations before entering the short position:
✔ Neckline Retest: After breaking below the neckline, price retests it as resistance before dropping further.
✔ Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Engulfing candles, shooting stars, or rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure.
✔ Increased Volume on Breakdown: A spike in volume on the breakdown confirms strong market participation.
✔ RSI Divergence: A bearish divergence between price and RSI may signal trend exhaustion.
📉 Expected Price Action: What’s Next?
Based on this setup, if the bearish structure plays out as expected:
1️⃣ Price will retest the neckline as new resistance.
2️⃣ Sellers will step in, pushing the price lower.
3️⃣ Gold will continue downward toward the $2,989 support level.
4️⃣ If strong selling continues, price may drop even further beyond the target zone.
However, if price closes back above the right shoulder, the bearish setup gets invalidated, and traders should exit the short position immediately.
📌 Final Thoughts & Summary
Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal)
Market Bias: Bearish
Entry Trigger: Break & retest of the neckline
Stop-Loss Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048)
Take-Profit Target: $2,989
Risk Management: Ensure a minimum 1:2 RR ratio
📉 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bearish exhaustion after forming a Head & Shoulders pattern. A confirmed break below the neckline suggests that the price may continue its downward trajectory. Traders should wait for a proper retest before entering, use strict risk management, and monitor key technical indicators for confirmation.
Would you like me to provide an alternative trading plan if the price reverses? 🚀
"Gold Price Analysis: Key Support & Resistance Levels ### **Gold Price Analysis Chart (XAU/USD - 4H Timeframe)**
This chart illustrates the price action of Gold (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar on a 4-hour timeframe. Key technical levels are marked, indicating potential market movements:
1. **Short-Term Resistance** – This level represents a price ceiling where the market has faced selling pressure, potentially leading to a rejection or breakout.
2. **Short-Term Support** – This area acts as a temporary floor, where buyers have previously stepped in to push prices higher.
3. **Support Zone** – A significant support area that could serve as a stronger buying zone if the price drops further.
### **Potential Scenarios:**
🔹 **Bullish Case:** If the price rebounds from the short-term support and breaks the short-term resistance, it could signal a move toward higher levels, possibly exceeding $3,100.
🔹 **Bearish Case:** A break below the short-term support could lead to a decline toward the stronger support zone around $2,940-$2,950 before a potential rebound.
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XAUUSD } SELLing Scenario, Reversal pattern confirmation....📉 XAUUSD Market Breakdown
Gold (XAUUSD) has broken its ascending channel and completed a retracement near the 50 EMA, signaling a bearish move. The RSI is dropping below 40, confirming downside momentum.
On the 15-minute timeframe, a Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, indicating a potential trend reversal.
🔻 Technical Target Levels:
- 3000
- 2982
- 2928
- 2883
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Profit again, follow-up operation strategyBrothers, as I mentioned in my last opinion, gold is facing support below 3030-3020, so I still prefer to go long on gold in terms of trading. Today, we went long on gold near 3023 according to the strategy of short first and long later. Just when gold rose to around 3038, I manually closed my long position and easily made a profit of 140 pips again.
Today, Friday, gold hit the highest level of 3047 in the morning and started to fluctuate and fall. As of now, gold has hit the lowest level near 3021 and started to rebound. The 3025-15 line below is also the support position we have been talking about. Here we can find opportunities to intervene in long orders. We must be cautious in operation on Friday. All profits have been made this week. Since the announcement of the US interest rate decision, gold has been running all the way and has set a new record high again. Again, don’t chase gold at high levels, look for opportunities to go long when it falls back, and the operation is mainly to go long when it falls back. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support of 3025-3015 is concerned, and the important support of 3000-05 is focused on. If it does not break, it will continue to be bullish. The upper target is to pay attention to the upper pressure. Before the daily level does not fall below the lower support, the main long rhythm will remain unchanged. I will inform you of the specific operation strategy in time, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: Gold will go long after stepping back on the 3025-3015 first line.
The golden high diving was in line with expectations!Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3020-3022, short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3005, and look at the 3000 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 2998-3000, buy (buy up) 2/10th of the position in batches, stop loss 8 points, target around 3010-3015, and look at 3020 if it breaks;
Will the gold trend peak in the evening?After the opening today, the upward sentiment continued and broke through the high again, reaching the 3056 line.Today, the main trend of gold trading is shorting at high levels, supplemented by long positions at low levels.
Strategy: The 3055 short position given at the end of yesterday's trading has been reached. If it touches 3060 during the day, cover the position once and do not decide on defense for the time being. If it touches around 3067 during the day, short once and cover the position once at 3072, defend at 3077, and target 3052-3047, then hold if it breaks down.
Golden High DivingThe 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold may open up room for decline. The 1-hour moving average of gold has now formed a head and shoulders top structure. Gold rebounds or continues to be short. The market is weakening, and the gold price has fallen below the 3,000 mark. The market direction has turned short, so the short-biased situation has been finalized. Long positions must be put aside first, because it is a short market now. You can continue to short after the gold price rebounds and adjusts. Pay attention to the 3020 line on the upper pressure level. You can go short directly when it rebounds! Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is to short on rebounds as the main strategy, and to go long on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday:
Short order strategy: Short 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3020-3022, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3005, and look at the 3000 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy: Long 20% of the position in batches when gold pulls back to around 2998-3000, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3010-3015, and look at the 3020 line if it breaks;