Trump's tariffs roiled markets; gold roseOn the U.S. trading session of May 23, Trump's tariff remarks on the EU and Apple hit the market like a storm 🌪️. He announced that a staggering 50% tariff would be imposed on EU goods starting from June 1, citing "unfair trade practices." Meanwhile, he threatened Apple with a 25% tariff if iPhones sold in the U.S. were not manufactured domestically.
This news sent gold prices soaring 🚀. As a safe-haven asset, gold surged amid investors' concerns about global economic impacts. The previously firm 3280 support level became increasingly critical in the upward trend.
If the tariff dispute remains unresolved and tensions continue between the U.S., the EU, and enterprises like Apple, the upward momentum of gold prices may persist. Analysts note that gold is likely to break through the 3500 mark 🏔️—tariffs disrupt global supply chains and raise inflation fears in the U.S., driving investors to flock to gold to hedge against economic and currency risks.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3340 - 3360
🚀 TP 3400 - 3450
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Xauusdanalysis
Going long on pullbacks remains the mainstream.Fundamentals: Risk aversion is still the mainstream in the current market; risk aversion funds and risk aversion sentiment are still dominant in the gold market; although risk aversion and bullish sentiment have weakened at the war and trade war levels; the overall global fundamentals have not returned to their original state; behind various small fundamentals, there is still the possibility of triggering various risk events
Gold continued to rise on Friday due to the rise in risk aversion caused by tariffs, and the price of gold continued to rise to around 3365, and the daily line closed with a full big positive line again. If gold can successfully break through and stabilize in the 3360-3365 range in the future, the bull market is expected to regain its dominant position.
From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the price of gold continues to rise based on the unilateral moving average. Although there is a temporary divergence in the current indicators, in terms of form, the price of gold has achieved a short-term break. Next Monday, it is necessary to focus on the support strength of the 3345-3335 position, and the upper pressure range is maintained at 3365-3375. Do not blindly chase the rise before successfully breaking through and stabilizing. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to wait for the opportunity to step back, buy on dips, and continue to be bullish on gold prices. If gold can continue its strong performance next week, it is expected to test the previous high of 3430-3440 again.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
#XAUUSD: +2000 Pips Correction US-China Trade Deal ConfirmedGold has experienced a significant decline in recent days, primarily due to fundamental market factors that have caused its price to fall from 3430 to 3209, resulting in a loss of approximately 2210 pips. Consequently, we recommend that you consider selling Gold if it aligns with your analysis and assessment. It is imperative that you implement strict risk management measures while trading Gold.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a price decline or that the market will behave as described. Therefore, we strongly advise you to conduct thorough trade planning before making any trading decisions.
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XAUUSD[GOLD]: 1 Hour View Show Extreme Seller Volume Gold in a shorter time frame shows extreme bearish volume kicking in the market, where bulls are failing to push prices higher. Additionally, if you’re someone who analyses patterns, a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern has also formed. There are three targets you can aim for.
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Gold Surges – Is 3,500 USD the Next Target?OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above the upper boundary of the descending channel. This boundary previously acted as dynamic resistance but has now been broken and could potentially become a new support zone if confirmed. Price action at this level suggests a structure consistent with a bullish flag pattern, indicating the potential for a continuation of the uptrend if buyers engage.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price may have the potential to rise toward the 3,500 USD level, which serves as a reasonable target for this setup. And if price breaks beyond this area, there are few clear obstacles above, opening up room for a broader rally within the medium-term trend.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong rejection wicks from the support zone, or rising buying volume, before considering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
Buy on retracements and trade with the trend.Based on Friday's closing price action, gold reached a late-session high of 3,366 before oscillating lower, ultimately closing at 3,356—above the critical 3,345 level. This indicates that the primary strategy for next week remains buying on retracements, with the potential for a breakout above 3,345 not ruled out. Despite signs of a pullback, the dominant trend remains bullish, with key resistance to watch at the 3,378–3,380 zone. Therefore, the plan is to continue initiating long positions on retracements next week.
Technical Analysis
Key Levels
Support: 3,345 (converted resistance-turned-support, critical for bullish continuity).
Resistance: 3,378–3,380 (multi-timeframe supply zone, requiring strong momentum to breach).
Trend Structure
The close above 3,345 reinforces the bullish trend bias, with the intraday pullback viewed as a healthy consolidation rather than a reversal.
A daily close above 3,380 would confirm a breakout, opening the door to extended gains toward 3,400+.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone,Only accurate signals can turn a losing account into a profitable one.
EURUSD week 21 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
Over the past week, the EUR/USD pair was influenced by positive economic data from the US as the PMI index showed that private sector activity expanded more than expected. This supported the USD and put downward pressure on EUR/USD in the short term. However, the USD's gains were quickly limited by concerns about the fiscal situation as the US House of Representatives passed a spending and tax cut bill that could increase the public debt by more than $3 trillion over the next decade.
On the other hand, Eurozone wage data recorded a slowdown in growth in the first quarter, reducing inflation concerns and reinforcing expectations that the ECB will soon cut interest rates. This left the Euro lacking clear upside momentum. In the context of a lack of important data over the weekend, market sentiment and macro risks continued to dominate the EUR/USD's performance.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD is still in a fairly strong uptrend and has hit the weekly resistance hook around 1.136. The next resistance level that the pair will face this week is 1.14200 with a large accumulation of sellers and when breaking out, pay attention to the weekly resistance level at 1.15000
To reverse the current trend, the pair needs to break the trendline structure around 1.12700. When breaking this area, it will wait for a retest point to SELL to the Entry Gap price of 1.116
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD 1.127-1.125 SL 1.122
SELL EURUSD 1.142-1.144 SL 1.149 (Scalping)
SELL EURUSD 1.150-1.152 SL 1.155
Gold Analysis
4-hour time frame - To start the market, I expect an increase to the desired resistance areas and after collecting liquidity levels, the internal structure will correct the price. I have two correction scenarios in mind, with important support points whose numbers are clear, and a buy trigger can be taken in these areas for the main market liquidity that is indicated on the chart.
XAU/USD Outlook: Will Gold Open with a Bullish Gap?XAU/USD Outlook: Will Gold Open with a Bullish Gap?
Date Range: 26th – 30th May 2025
Timeframe: H4 (4-hour chart)
Market Bias: Short-term bullish
🔍 Fundamental Analysis
US–China Trade Tensions:
China halting imports of US goods puts pressure on the dollar (gold tends to move inversely).
Escalating tensions support gold as a safe-haven asset.
Tariff Threats to the EU:
Trump proposes 50% tariffs on EU products → potential retaliatory measures raise global uncertainty.
Risk-averse sentiment may push capital into gold.
Physical Gold Demand:
High seasonal demand from India and China ahead of festivals.
Inflation fears globally increase gold's appeal.
🌍 Macro Overview
Monetary Policy:
The Fed may face pressure to cut rates if trade tensions weaken the economy → bearish for USD, bullish for gold.
PBOC could devalue the yuan in response to trade friction, boosting gold prices in USD terms.
Market Sentiment:
A potential rise in the VIX (fear index) may drive investors towards safe havens like gold.
Strong demand for physical gold and ETFs, particularly in Asia, continues to support price.
Key Events This Week:
US Core PCE (inflation indicator)
US Consumer Confidence
EU and China responses to recent US trade policy
📊 Technical Analysis (H4)
Trend: Clear ascending channel
Current Price: 3,407.554
Key Resistance Levels:
3,407 – 3,444 (major resistance zone)
3,444.436 = potential all-time high
Support Zones:
3,361.648 (channel midpoint)
3,325.347 (lower channel boundary)
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
FVG 1: 3,361 – 3,407
FVG 2: 3,325 – 3,340
Price Action Note:
A doji candle near resistance suggests a possible short-term pullback before continuation
🔄 Possible Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Scenario (60% probability):
Break above 3,444 with momentum could trigger a bullish gap and extend toward 3,500
Strong fundamental and technical support for upside
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
Rejection from 3,444 may lead to a pullback toward 3,361 or even 3,325 for buy setups
💡 Trade Plan
✅ Long Setup:
Entry: 3,361 – 3,370 (pullback into FVG or mid-channel support)
Take Profit: 3,444 (TP1), 3,500 (TP2)
Stop Loss: Below 3,325
❌ Short Setup (only on confirmed rejection):
Entry: On clear rejection at 3,444 (e.g. bearish engulfing or head & shoulders pattern)
Take Profit: 3,361
Stop Loss: Above 3,444
⏰ Optimal Trading Times
Monitor market open (Sunday, 26th May) for confirmation of a potential bullish gap
Best liquidity during London and New York sessions
📝 Summary:
Gold is well-positioned for a bullish move amid escalating trade tensions and USD weakness.
Watch closely for a breakout above 3,444 or a retracement to 3,361 as a strategic buy zone.
Stay updated on US inflation data and trade policy developments to adjust accordingly.
Weekly Analysis For XAUUSD (stress free trading) Weekly Analysis for Goldie (May 26–30)
From last week's analysis, we’re still on track and the move was fueled by news as expected. (just following Technical levels)
Gold broke the trendline clean and retested it, with structure still holding bullish. Price rejected around 3365, which aligns with the 4H fib (23%) and a minor supply zone. volume faded on Friday due to the early US close and the long weekend.
Powell’s speech is set for early Monday before the market opens. If he leans dovish or hints at rate cuts, gold could break above 3371 and push toward 3430 or even 3498. But if he stays hawkish, we might get another rejection at 3365 and a pullback to 3330 or even 3292 though the bullish bias remains intact unless 3244 breaks.
On the macro side, US/EU tariffs kicking in June 1 ongoing (but still unresolved) Iran talks, Trumps new tax bill adding more debt, and the Moody’s downgrade of the US credit outlook all lean toward further upside for gold. COT data also shows instiution still holding strong net long positions in gold.
⭐️ Expect low NY session volume on monday due to the US holiday. Key zones to watch 3371 for breakout continuation, 3330 and 3292 for pullback buys, and 3365 for short-term scalp rejections. Overall bias remains bullish with strong structure and macro confluence.
Opening price trend analysis and trading operationsGold technically, gold rose sharply on Friday, closing with a real big positive line on the daily line. The pressure from the 3500 high point still plays a partial role in the short term. The market may still need to focus on the upper limit pressure test of the channel in the future, and beware of the market rising again after experiencing a medium-term adjustment. At the 1-4 hour level, the short-term trend quickly reversed from the low point of 3120 and once challenged the high of 3365 US dollars before correcting. It has repeatedly tested the support of 3320 below but still failed to break, stimulating the market bulls to enter the market again. Finally, gold closed sideways at a high level, and the pressure test of 3370 and 3400 areas continued to be paid attention to above. In terms of operation, in the short term, pay attention to the two supports of 3335 and 3320 below to try to go long, and pay attention to the resistance of 3370-3400 area to go short. There are many uncertainties in the market over the weekend, which will directly lead to a gap or a high opening next week. Therefore, you can follow my real-time sharing for specific operation points!
Gold Heist Blueprint: "XAU/USD" Short Setup!?Greetings, wealth snatchers and market bandits! 🤑💸
Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, where we combine slick technicals and crafty fundamentals to pull off the ultimate XAU/USD heist. This is our plan to raid the "Gold" market with a short entry, targeting the high-stakes GREEN MA Zone. Expect a risky, oversold setup with consolidation and a potential trend reversal—a trap where bullish robbers get outplayed. 💪🎯 Stick to the chart, execute with precision, and treat yourself to the spoils! 🍾
Why This Trade? 💰
XAU/USD is showing a neutral trend with a bearish tilt as of 18 May 2025, driven by:
📊Technicals: Price is testing a key support zone (~3120) after a breakout from a consolidation pattern on the 30-minute chart. Oversold RSI signals a potential reversal, with the Pink MA (50-period) acting as dynamic resistance.
📰Fundamentals: Recent COT reports indicate reduced speculative long positions, hinting at weakening bullish momentum. Quantitative analysis suggests gold’s correlation with USD strength is tightening, supporting a bearish outlook.
😇Sentiment: Intermarket analysis shows rising Treasury yields pressuring gold, while market sentiment leans cautious ahead of upcoming economic data releases.
💡Data Point: Gold’s average daily range (ADR) over the past 5 days is ~35 points, aligning with our target and stop-loss levels for a day/scalp trade.
Entry 📈: Set your trap at 3120 post-breakout.
Option 1: Place sell stop orders below the support breakout level (~3115) for confirmation.
Option 2: For pullback entries, set sell limit orders near the swing low/high on a 15/30-minute timeframe.
Pro Tip: Set an alert to catch the breakout in real-time. Don’t miss the heist! 🚨
Stop Loss 🛑: Protect your loot!
Place your stop loss above the nearest swing high (~3270) on the 30-minute chart for day/scalp trades.
Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders.
Note: If using sell stop orders, wait for breakout confirmation before setting your stop. Risk is yours—play it sharp! 🔥
Target 🎯: 3000 (120-point move, aligning with ADR and support zones).
Trading Alert 🚨:
News Risk: Upcoming economic releases (e.g., CPI, FOMC minutes) could spike volatility. Avoid new trades during high-impact news and use trailing stops to lock in profits.
Position Management: Scale out at key levels (e.g., 50% at 3060) to secure gains.
Join the Heist! 💥
Hit the Boost Button to power up our robbery squad. With the Thief Trading Style, we make markets bleed profits daily. 🏆 Stay sharp, follow the plan, and let’s stack those wins! Another heist is coming soon—keep your eyes peeled. 🐱👤💰
Check fundamentals, COT reports, and intermarket trends for deeper insights.
check linkkss..🔗
Happy thieving! 🤝🚀
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Bearish Correction Is Happening! Gold rejected at 3350, dropping almost 600 pips to 3290. We can expect the price to drop further to around 3250, potentially reversing from there. A possible entry point is 3304, followed by a drop from there.
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GOLD outlook for the weekIn today’s analysis, I’m expecting price to continue its bullish momentum, partially influenced by recent political developments surrounding Donald Trump. This aligns well with the broader higher time frame trend, where we’ve been favouring long setups.
To capitalise, the most immediate and valid point of interest I’ve marked out is the 9H demand zone — the origin of the most recent break of structure. If price retraces, this is where I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation.
However, if price continues to climb without retracing first, we could see a temporary bearish reaction from the nearby 4H supply zone around the 3,400 level. If this happens, I may look for a short-term countertrend sell setup, but only with strong confirmation. Risk will be kept low and I won’t be overly ambitious with targets.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
Strong bullish momentum following a clear CHoCH on the higher time frame
Recent break of structure left behind a clean 9H demand zone for potential retracement
Trend remains bullish on both the lower and higher time frames
Liquidity resting above still yet to be swept
DXY is currently bearish, supporting a bullish case for gold
P.S. While we could see a minor sell opportunity down to the demand zone, patience is key.
Waiting for a solid pre-trend setup is part of the process — no need to rush entries.
Have a great trading week and stay sharp!
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trade Setup – Breakout in ProgressTrend Overview
📈 Uptrend in Progress
Price is moving within an ascending channel:
🔵 Support Line (bottom of channel)
🔺 Resistance Line (top of channel)
Key Levels
Current Price:
● 3,337.53 (📍)
Trade Idea (Long Setup):
🔵 Entry Zone
● 3,306.85 – 3,302.98
(Wait for pullback into this area)
🟦 RBS + RBR ZONE – Previous resistance, now potential support
🔴 Stop Loss
● 3,265.51
💣 Protect your capital below support zone
🎯 Target
● 3,490
🚀 Bullish target based on breakout from channel and momentum
📉 EMA 70:
● 3,282.74 (📉 Red Line)
Helps confirm trend direction. Price above EMA = Bullish bias.
Outlook Summary
✅ Wait for a dip to entry zone
✅ Stop below recent support zone
✅ Target high at 3,490 if breakout continues
Buying on pullbacks remains the main theme!Tariff turmoil resurfaces, gold price jumps!
The Trump administration once again wields the tariff stick, threatening to impose a 50% tariff on the EU from June 1, and saying that there has been no progress in the negotiations between the US and the EU. Because the timing of this threat is quite subtle. Just earlier this week, the EU just submitted a new framework proposal to the US to restart bilateral trade negotiations. This directly led to a jump in gold price tonight!
Faced with the tough stance of the US, the EU is not sitting still. It is reported that the EU has formulated a contingency plan. If the negotiations fail, it will impose additional tariffs on US exports worth 95 billion euros in response to Trump's "reciprocal" taxation and 25% tariffs on cars and some parts, which will inevitably cause further impact on the market!
The bulls are in control and are unwilling to give the bears too many opportunities to cover their losses. Therefore, the strategy of following the trend needs to be more active - strong markets usually do not experience a deep retracement, and the correction phase will not break the previous low for the second time. After the current gold price surged to 3365, the intraday bull defense position should be set at 3340. The previous low of 3320 has been effectively supported, and the bulls have taken the absolute initiative, and there will be no short-selling opportunities in the short term. Based on the current strong bullish performance, continuing to maintain a bullish mindset is the core of the transaction.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold recommends going long in the 3340-3330 area, with a target of 3350-3360.
2. Gold recommends going short in the 3365-3375 area, with a target of 3350-3340.
GOLD D1 chart update for the 26-30 May weekkindly read level carefully as market on it's way to ATH but keep in mind downside some major retracements are remains pending
Right all eyes on 3330 level if market successfully sustain below 3330 then it will definitely move towards 3300 or even 3280 and then 3250
Main levels for the week 3400 \ 3250 \ 3308
Gold operation strategyFrom the 4-hour market trend, the short-term support below is around 3275-3280, with a focus on the support at 3253-60. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3253. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the bullish rhythm of stepping back on lows and following the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3290-3295, and add more when it falls back to 3275-80, stop loss at 3269, target 3316-3320, and break to 3340-45;
2. If gold rebounds to 3340-45 but does not break, you can go short with a light position, stop loss at 3353, target 3300-3306;
Trend analysis under the interweaving of long and short factorsDuring the European session on Thursday, spot gold maintained a volatile downward trend and is now trading around $3,295/oz. During the day, everyone needs to focus on the US PMI data, which may cause significant fluctuations in the gold market. Although gold prices recorded a fourth consecutive trading day of gains on Thursday and hit a two-week high of $3,350/oz, the current rise has slowed down. The recent trend of gold is mainly supported by multiple factors: rising geopolitical risks, worsening US fiscal conditions and continued weakening of the US dollar. Specifically, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating and warned that the Trump administration's new round of tax reforms and spending plans may increase the size of US debt by 3 to 5 trillion US dollars, which significantly exacerbated market concerns about US debt risks. In addition, the increased expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the escalation of global trade tensions also supported gold prices.
During the Asian session, gold prices approached a two-week high. However, as the market digests the previous good news, coupled with the upcoming intensive release of European and American economic data, the short-term trend of gold faces uncertainty. This trading day reminds everyone to pay attention to the key data including the May PMI data of European and American countries, the change in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, and the annualized total number of existing home sales in April. At the same time, the international trade situation, geopolitical dynamics, the progress of the G7 meeting, and the speeches of Federal Reserve officials may also have an impact on the market. It is recommended that everyone keep a close eye on it.
On the 2-hour gold chart, gold rebounded continuously, setting a new high for the week, but the gold price fell back after rising during the day, and it is necessary to pay attention to the risk of short-term correction. Secondly, the intraday high point of gold is 3345 US dollars. The 5-day moving average slightly crosses, the MACD indicator crosses upward, the RSI indicator crosses downward, and the KDJ indicator crosses slightly. The short-term technical aspect shows that the downtrend is dominant, but the RSI indicator suggests that there is a need for adjustment in the short-term gold price, and it is recommended to be bearish.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to short near the current price of 3290, stop loss at 3298, target 3275-3255, and hold after breaking.
Geopolitical risks + policy games, the latest gold operationsAt present, the US fiscal policy game is fierce. The Trump administration is pushing forward a comprehensive tax cut bill with a scale of trillions of dollars, but there are serious divisions within the Republican Party. Against this background, the spot gold price has broken through the key psychological barrier of $3,300, and the technical side shows a bullish "golden cross" pattern. It should be noted that if the US Congress unexpectedly passes the fiscal bill, it may trigger short-term profit-taking. In the medium and long term, supported by the rising global geopolitical risks and the shift in monetary policy, gold still has strategic allocation value. Many investment banks have raised their year-end target prices to above $3,500.
From a technical perspective, gold has been strong recently. Spot gold closed at $3,289.54 per ounce on Tuesday, and further broke through $3,300 in the Asian market on Wednesday, reaching a high of $3,304.06, a new high in more than a week. In the short term, gold prices need to break through the key resistance level of $3,370 to open up further upside space; $3,150 has formed a solid support below. If there are new variables in the geopolitical situation or economic data, gold prices may even challenge the $3,400 mark. Based on the current trend, the trading idea on Wednesday is clear: wait for the price to fall back and continue to intervene in long orders around 3,300, and maintain a bullish strategy.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to go long in the 3300-3305 area, with a stop loss at 3292, and a target of 3315-3330. Hold if it breaks through.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, are bulls regaining confidence?The hourly moving average of gold crosses upward, and eventually diverges upward. The volume of gold bulls is opening up. The resistance of gold at 3253-60 has now turned into support. Gold continues to buy on dips when it falls back in the US market. Since gold has broken through, the decline is an opportunity to buy. We never do long or short positions. The current decline of gold is to buy with the trend. To be a steady hunter, you must have amazing patience and lonely torment, so that you can kill the prey with one blow. To do gold, you also need to be steady and patient to wait for the entry point to enter the market. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term focus is on the short-term suppression of 3290, and the important suppression of 3300. Gold still broke through the US market and rose strongly, and the gold bulls started. After the gold US market broke through the box and oscillated strongly, gold fell back and continued to be long. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Go long on gold at 3260-65, stop loss at 3250, target at 3290-3300;
Gold's strong rise continuesToday's opening fell directly, and tested 3206 yesterday's low again. The more it tests, the greater the probability of breaking. Focus on the pressure of 3222-3232 during the day, the watershed is 3240, the target is 3190-3170, and the support is 3154-3120! Before the real big drop, it may be accompanied by the rise of the five-minute K line, up and down washing, which needs to be noted.
As long as the European market is not strong, it can still be short; if the European market weakens, it will be short for the second time, but pay attention to the timing and beware of rebound.
Finally, I would like to emphasize that the current decline in gold does not affect the long-term bullish direction. The US dollar index will continue to weaken and enter a downward cycle. It is only a matter of time before the US Reserve cuts interest rates, so the bull market of gold is still there, there is no doubt about it. It's just that the abnormal surge in April will always have some corrections. The market needs to cool down and return to rationality. The price base is high and the increase is large, so the correction range must be large, so look at it rationally.