Gold is long or short at the end of the dayOn the 4-hour chart, gold has a minor support level near $3,022, which is also the neckline of the head and shoulders top pattern. Buyers are expected to intervene here and use the neckline as a risk control point, with the goal of pushing gold prices to new highs. On the contrary, sellers will focus on gold prices falling below this support to increase confidence and increase short selling, with the target of $3,006.The gold 1-hour moving average begins to flatten. If the gold 1-hour moving average turns downward, the strength of gold bulls will weaken. Now the gold 1-hour moving average has formed a head and shoulders top pattern. Gold is under pressure at the 3057 high point and continues to go short. At present, the support of the moving average needs to focus on the MA20 line, and the death cross signal of the MACD indicator should also be guarded against. The possibility of profit correction at the end of the weekly line cannot be ruled out. Therefore, it is recommended to rebound high and go short.
Xauusdanalysis
The Bear Awakens: A Perfectly Executed Short on Gold📍Over the past few days, I’ve consistently emphasized that the bear is on the verge of fully awakening, warmly inviting everyone to watch it dance. Today, gold has indeed pulled back to the 3000 level as anticipated, making our short position from the 3035-3045 range a resounding success!
📍Since gold has tested the 3000 level for the first time, a second test is highly likely. Therefore, the primary trading strategy remains focused on selling gold on rebounds. The head-and-shoulders formation continues to exert significant pressure, making a sustained breakout to the upside unlikely in the near term.
📍With this in mind, the resistance zone can be adjusted lower to 3025-3035. If gold fails to break through this region during its rebound, further downside movement is expected. In that case, gold will likely retest the 3000 level and could potentially breach it, extending losses towards the 2995-2985 range.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Sell at 3025-3035
TP:3005-2995
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
"XAU/USD Price Action Analysis: Targeting $3,063 or Reversal to Alright! Let's break down the chart analysis. 📊
🔹 Chart Overview:
Pair: XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-hour (H1)
Price Level: Current price at $3,030.44
Target Point: $3,063.97
🔥 Key Observations:
Supply and Demand Zones:
The highlighted blue zones suggest resistance (supply) where price was rejected twice (blue arrows).
The larger gray zones below indicate potential demand/support.
Double Top Formation:
The double blue arrows point to a possible double-top pattern, hinting at a bearish reversal. However, the price hasn't strongly broken below the neckline yet.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds the current demand zone and breaks above the immediate resistance, we could see a rally towards the target of $3,063.97. 💹🚀
Bearish Scenario: If it fails to hold the support zone, it may drop to the lower demand area around $3,000. 🔻
📉 Conclusion:
Entry Idea: Long above the supply zone break with a target of $3,063.97.
Stop Loss: Below the current demand zone at around $3,020.
Risk Management: Watch for strong price action before entering.
XAUUSD must watchWith all the positive news gradually materialising, the upward momentum of gold has significantly slowed down.
Judging from the current trend, the resistance area around 3060 is quite crucial and exerts strong resistance. The support range remains at 3010-3020, but it is essential to closely monitor any changes in this support level, as the price might further decline to the secondary support level of 3000.
I suggest initiating short positions near the resistance zone today, which is relatively safe.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3050 - 3060
🎁 TP 3030 3020
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
GOLD Finally Gave Bearish P.A , Short Setup Ready For You !Here is my opinion on Gold , and now the price closed below my support , and i`m waiting the price to retest it to enter a sell trade to take this 500 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
The bearish trend will continue📍Since the day before yesterday, I've been sincerely inviting everyone to watch the bear dance.Gold has decisively broken below the recent support zone at 3030-3026 and extended its decline to around 3021. Based on this price action, two key conclusions can be drawn:
1. 3057 is now confirmed as the current high.
2. Gold has successfully formed a head and shoulders pattern in the short term.
📍This indicates that bearish momentum remains strong and far from exhausted. Under the pressure of structural resistance, gold is likely to continue testing lower support levels around 3010-3000, with a possible extension toward 2995.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Sell at 3035-3045
TP:3015-3005
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
XAU/USD 21 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note how price has mitigated M15 demand zones at the extreme of strong internal low. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 19 March 2025.
Price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions, gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has mitigated M15 demand zone. Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Alternative scenario:
You will note internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold's pullback is the last chance to get on boardAccording to our previous operation strategy of short first and long later, the short position has perfectly reached our target area, and the position was closed in time to lock in the profit. Next, we will go long after the rebound and continue to look forward to the performance of the gold market.
The Bollinger Bands in the H4 chart are closing, and the golden cross of the 13-day moving average and the 21-day moving average is slowing down, suggesting that the short-term long and short competition is fierce. Focus on the strong resistance in the 3050-3055 range on the upper side during the day, and the probability of breaking through is low. The support below is at 3022-3015, forming a double insurance. The small cycle now also has the performance of high-level fluctuations, but it still lacks some certainty. For example, the Bollinger Bands in the H4 cycle are closing. Today's rise is not optimistic about setting a new high again. The upper high point is suppressed to around 3050, and the downward movement must break the Bollinger middle rail support, and the space below can see 3000. Therefore, today we should not only remind everyone to wait patiently for the decline to go long, but also remind everyone to try to go short at the high of 3050, and then look at today's adjustment space, as well as the support points and key points below. Again, gold maintains a bullish trend for the time being.
Gold's retracement to 3020-3030 is the last chance to get on board. You will regret it if you miss it. Gold operation suggestion: Buy more near 3020-3030, target: 3050
Brothers, you must keep up with the rhythm. If you are interested, you can follow me. Communicate real-time market conditions, follow up on real-time orders, read bottom signals, interpret daily market conditions, share real-time strategies, and don't blindly follow the trend.
Gold Price Analysis: Potential Bullish Reversal**Chart Description:**
This chart represents the price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe. It highlights key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and a potential bullish setup.
- The price previously declined, reaching a support zone marked in purple.
- A trendline break led to further downside movement.
- The price has now formed a consolidation near the support area and is showing signs of a potential reversal.
- A blue arrow indicates a possible bullish move towards the upper resistance zone near **$3,044.83**.
- The green box represents a possible **risk-to-reward trade setup**, with an entry around **$3,037.89** and a target near **$3,044.83**.
Has gold fallen back from its highs and peaked?The gold hourly chart is forming a head and shoulders top, and it fell back as expected. Now it has stopped falling at the neckline position of 3022 and rebounded again. However, the 4-hour chart did not close higher, and the market continues to be bearish.Operationally,It is recommended to continue to implement the strategy of increasing positions and short selling below 3037, and continue to watch for a sharp drop!.In terms of short-term gold trading, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3037-3040, stop loss at 3055, target around 3025-3015, and look at 3005 if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3003-3005, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3015-3025, and look at 3035 if it breaks;
Gold fluctuates and rises, breaks out, rebounds and goes shortAs the continuous rise of gold fully demonstrates that short-term bulls take the initiative, this will undoubtedly increase the probability of gold prices hitting the 3070-3080 area, but we also need to be prepared for a false break or a real break in the market.In the 4-hour period, since stabilizing above the 3,000 mark, gold has maintained a bullish trend and continued to hit new highs.Therefore, we continue to be bullish in the 4-hour period, but we must also be wary of the risk of a pullback.On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds.
032Opportunity Analysis and Logical Analysis for goldHello traders,
This week's Thursday tip:
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve's important interest rate decision was finalized. Focus on the situation of profit-taking in gold at high levels, looking for short-term short-selling opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart.
On the 4-hour chart, there is a clear RSI divergence, indicating that gold is oversold and there is a need for a short-term pullback.
On the 1-hour chart, wait for a reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart, then look for an entry signal on the 1-hour chart to short gold!
**TP1:** 3025
**TP2:** 3005
**TP3:** 2989
On Friday during the Asian early session, after 9:30 AM, gold experienced a pullback due to the divergence on the 4-hour chart, reaching the first target of 3025. It is currently recommended to reduce positions and continue holding.
On the 4-hour chart, consider that gold may undergo a corrective adjustment in the form of an expanding triangle. Wait for the reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart before looking for new entry opportunities on the 1-hour chart to short gold.
The targets for new positions remain unchanged:
**TP1:** 3025
**TP2:** 3005
**TP3:** 2989
On the daily chart, the closing of gold on Friday can provide direct guidance for next week's trend. If gold forms a new daily reversal signal on the daily chart, trading in the first half of next week can proceed with minimal interference, trending downward.
If gold experiences significant fluctuations during tonight's US session, it is recommended to wait until next Monday to enter, still opting for a strategy of buying high and selling low in the fluctuating market at the top of gold.
** **
**I. Three Major Drivers of Gold Fluctuations**
1. **Trump's "Face-Changing Game"**
- **Tariff Bomb:** Trump announced plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on countries like China (effective April 2), which is like throwing a bomb into the market. Concerns about a trade war resurfacing, rising business costs, and potential economic recession emerged.
- **Interest Rate Cut Talk:** Previously, Trump said, "There's no rush to cut rates," but now he has changed his tune to "We need to cut rates quickly to save the economy." The market reacted negatively: Oh no, the economy might be in big trouble! Consequently, funds shifted from the stock market to gold for safety.
2. **"Nuclear Option Expiration" in the Options Market**
- **$4.7 Trillion Bet Expiration:** This amount is equivalent to the total market value of the top 20 companies globally, and it’s settling today.
- **Market Manipulation:** Large institutions (market makers) have an incentive to push the S&P 500 index near 5800 points, as this level maximizes their options contracts' profitability. Gold and U.S. stocks often move inversely; when the stock market is manipulated, gold may suddenly surge or plummet.
3. **"Hawkish Shock" from the Federal Reserve**
- **Officials Changing Stance:** Initially, there was one dissenting voice against an interest rate cut; now it has turned into four.
- **Gold's Calculation:** A delayed rate cut → stronger dollar → temporary pressure on gold; but poor economic conditions → panic sentiment → gold benefits. These two forces are in conflict.
---
**II. How Will Gold Move Tonight?**
**Key Levels:**
- **Floor Price:** $3034 (If it falls below this, it may continue to drop)
- **Ceiling Price:** $3056 (If it breaks above this, it may surge to $3080)
**Trading Suggestions:**
1. **Watch and Wait Mode:** The period between 2 PM and 4 PM (Eastern Time) will see the most volatility, so avoid making hasty moves.
2. **Buy in Batches:** If it drops to around $3040, buy 1/3 of your position; add more if it breaks above $3060.
3. **Exit Signal:** If the U.S. stock market suddenly spikes (especially if the S&P approaches 5800), gold could drop by 2% instantly.
If you prefer not to stay up late, you can skip trading tonight, maintain a flat position, and look for opportunities on Monday!
---
**III. Grandpa Munger's Survival Guide**
- **Being Flat is a Superpower:** Just like in poker, if you find your hand is bad, fold and don’t call.
- **Wait for Clear Signals:** Gold is currently in a "Schrödinger's state" (it could rise or fall); it’s better to wait for it to break above $3056 or drop below $3034 before taking action.
- **Historical Lesson:** On the options expiration day in September 2023, gold fluctuated by $100 in one day, leading to numerous liquidations. Today may very well replicate that scenario.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
Gold price analysis March 21⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve’s forecast of only two 25 basis point (bps) rate cuts by the end of the year helped the US Dollar (USD) gain positive momentum for the third consecutive day, which, in turn, is seen as undermining the commodity. The decline could also be due to some profit-taking heading into the weekend.
However, bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue its rate-cutting cycle will limit the USD’s gains and act as a non-yielding driver for Gold prices. Moreover, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policies and their impact on the global economic outlook, coupled with geopolitical risks, deter traders from placing strong bearish bets on the safe-haven bullion.
⭐️Technical analysis
D1 candle has started to show a bearish candle after many consecutive days of increase. However, the buyers have pushed the price from the 3026 area, showing that a strong buying force is still in this area.
The European session, gold traded within the 3025 and 3038 range, the h4 structure shows this. Gold is pushing up to 3038, until the end of the European session, gold cannot break 3038, giving a SELL signal to 3025, the US breaks 3025, then it heads towards support 3008. In the opposite direction, Gold pushes back to 3025 first and does not break this area in the European session, giving a BUY signal to 3038 and heads towards ATH when the US breaks this area. Pay attention to the 2 areas of 3025 and 3038 to trade breakouts.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Head & Shoulders Breakdown & Bearish MoveOverview of the Chart & Market Context
The 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) reveals a classic Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the recent uptrend has lost momentum, and a potential downside move could be in progress.
Currently, the price is testing the neckline, which serves as a key support level. If a decisive breakdown occurs, it could confirm further bearish momentum, leading to a sharp decline toward the projected target price of $2,995.
Key Technical Analysis & Levels
🔹 Resistance Level & Reversal Zone (~$3,055–$3,060)
The price attempted to break this resistance but faced strong rejection, forming the head of the pattern.
The area was tested multiple times, confirming that sellers are in control.
This level acts as a supply zone, preventing the price from moving higher.
🔹 Support Level (Neckline of H&S Pattern at ~$3,025–$3,030)
This level represents the critical neckline, which has been tested multiple times.
If price breaks and sustains below this support, the H&S pattern will be validated, signaling a deeper drop.
A successful retest of the neckline as resistance could provide an optimal shorting opportunity.
🔹 Projected Target Price (~$2,995)
The expected downside move is calculated using the measured move technique, measuring the distance from the head to the neckline.
This target aligns with previous structure support, increasing its significance.
Detailed Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern
📍 Left Shoulder Formation
The market experienced an initial bullish push, reaching a local high, but sellers entered and pushed prices down.
This formed the first lower high, hinting at potential weakness in the bullish trend.
📍 Head Formation
After retracing from the left shoulder, buyers made another attempt to push prices higher.
The price formed a new peak, but it was unable to sustain the breakout above the resistance level (~$3,055–$3,060).
A sharp sell-off followed, reinforcing that sellers are dominant at higher levels.
📍 Right Shoulder Formation
The price attempted another rally but failed to break the left shoulder’s high, creating the right shoulder.
This failure confirmed a gradual loss of bullish strength.
After forming the right shoulder, the price began to drop toward the neckline support.
📍 Breakout Confirmation & Bearish Price Action
The price has now broken the neckline (~$3,030), indicating an early-stage breakdown of the H&S pattern.
If the breakdown holds, further downside movement toward $2,995 is likely.
A retest of the neckline as new resistance would be an ideal entry point for short positions.
Trade Setup & Risk Management
📌 Potential Short Trade Setup:
Entry: After a confirmed break and retest of the $3,030 neckline.
Stop-Loss: Above the right shoulder (~$3,045–$3,050) to minimize risk.
Take-Profit: Around $2,995, aligning with the measured move.
📌 Risk Factors & Market Conditions:
If the price fails to hold below the neckline, it could indicate a false breakdown and a possible bullish reversal.
Macroeconomic data (such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions) may impact gold prices.
Traders should watch for volume confirmation – increased selling pressure strengthens the validity of the breakdown.
Final Thoughts & Market Outlook
📉 The Head and Shoulders pattern signals that gold is losing bullish momentum, with a potential drop toward $2,995.
🔍 A break and retest of the neckline as resistance would confirm further downside movement.
⚠️ However, a failed breakdown could lead to a recovery, so traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades.
💬 What do you think about this setup? Are you going short on gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! ⬇️
XAUUSD Today's strategyThe gold price fluctuates within the range we have marked. In the short term, both long and short positions are feasible. However, you must pay attention to setting the stop-loss level and avoid taking on excessive risks
Pay attention to when the upward pressure range will be broken through. Also, keep an eye on the 3010-3020 USD range on the downside. If this range is repeatedly tested, then there might be a short-term pullback to 3000 USD
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@3010-3020
SL:3005
tp:3040-3050
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses
Gold Price Analysis March 20⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices fell slightly after hitting a record high on Thursday, ending a three-day winning streak. Profit-taking pressure from buyers, along with positive risk sentiment in the market, weakened gold. At the same time, the modest increase in the USD also put downward pressure on gold prices in the European trading session.
However, expectations of an early Fed rate cut could limit the USD's rise, supporting gold prices. In addition, concerns about former President Donald Trump's trade policy and escalating tensions in the Middle East could continue to act as factors driving gold demand. This requires investors to be cautious before making trading decisions.
⭐️Technical analysis
The D1 candle has not yet shown any signs of a reversal in GOLD. Therefore, the trading strategy has not yet shown any signs of peak detection or peak catching. BUY is still easier to win.
Yesterday's US session buy zone 3038 in today's European trading session plays an important resistance zone. Currently, gold has confirmed a break of 3045 for a SELL signal and is heading towards 3038. Before 2 hours of the end of the European session, if gold does not break through this zone, it is still possible to BUY around 3038. 3031 and 3029 play the role of resistance zones for the day when breaking through 3038. Today, waiting for a retest to BUY is the safest
Gold has short-term callback demandGold hit a high of 3057 and then fell back. The daily line closed with a negative cross star, and a correction is needed in the short term. The daily resistance is near 3050. It touched 3047 in early trading and fell back. If the market falls below 3042, continue to look at 3030-3025. The operation is the same as what I said in my previous post. First short and then long. In addition to the low point, the support below is 3020. The strong support is around 3011. You can go long if it is touched.
Operation suggestion: short at 3050-3040 above, and go long at yesterday's low or 3025-3015 below. It is still in line with expectations.
Friends must keep up with the rhythm. If you are interested, you can follow me. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, follow real-time orders, read bottom signals, interpret daily market prices, share real-time strategies, and do not blindly follow the trend.
Boldly short gold, the bear has awakened!📌Bros, as mentioned in the previous article, Marvin invites you to grab a cup of coffee and quietly watch the dancing bears.
📍As I just said, if gold cannot break through the 3040-3050 area, it will build a head and shoulders structure in the short-term structure, and gold may accelerate downward to the 3020-3010 zone.
🔎Xauusd: @3040-3050 Sell
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Gold 40-45 short, longs temporarily stopGold, after touching the 57 line, began to retrace and correct. Before the US session, it touched the lowest level near 25 and then stopped. However, the US session rebounded slightly, forming an interval shock, but did not form a second breakthrough. The high break is also likely to be the high point in the short term. After all, the European and US sessions are relatively weak, so the bulls in the short term may need to reorganize their energy and achieve a digestion correction effect. The support below is still maintained at the low point of 20 that has been generated many times in the recent period. This position is also likely to be the watershed line of the long and short positions in the recent period. Once this position continues to break down, it is likely to continue to form a retracement in the later period. The upper suppression port maintains the head and shoulders top pattern of 45 formed in the short term. The daily moving average system will continue to maintain an upward situation, but the retracement may also temporarily bring the bulls to an end. We will still operate around the short-term short position. If gold rebounds to short near 40-45 during the day, the target will be around 30-20. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Control positions, and the specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. If you are interested, you can follow us. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market conditions, and share real-time strategies. Don't blindly follow the trend.