Gold has broken below the $3,400 level.The gold price continued its steady retracement during the European session, pulling back from a two-month high to around $3,400. The positive performance of equity markets is regarded as a key factor undermining the safe-haven demand for precious metals, as gold's three-day winning streak appears to have come to an end. However, analysts believe the downside remains limited, as traders may avoid aggressive positioning ahead of Wednesday's crucial Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy decision.
Meanwhile, growing market expectations that the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates in 2025 have kept the U.S. dollar under sustained pressure after it hit a three-year low last Friday. This scenario, in turn, provides some support for non-yielding gold. Additionally, persistent trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may emerge as drivers for gold prices, keeping bearish traders cautious before any meaningful downward moves.
Although gold has broken below $3,400 and the short-term trend has shifted, the long-term direction remains unchanged with a bullish bias. There is still potential to target the $3,500 high in the future, but it is necessary to wait for the bottom to stabilize before accumulating long positions. In the current market, we can only follow the trend—adapting to market movements. Consider initiating short positions during the rebound in the coming two days.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@3420-3430
TP:3380-3390
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation?
Gold surprised many traders with a sharp spike during the Asian session, only to reverse aggressively hours later. While headlines screamed “war” and panic, the price behavior told a different story—one of strategic distribution and smart money rotation...
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Context
Geopolitical triggers: Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran) and political assassinations triggered emotional buying across safe-haven assets like gold and oil.
Institutional rotation: Major funds appear to be offloading gold positions to rebalance into equities (in correction) and oil (strong upside potential).
Market narrative: News-induced FOMO drives retail into overbought zones, allowing larger players to exit at premium prices.
📈 Technical Overview (M30 Structure)
Price Action: Gold tapped into major resistance at 3456–3458, showing an aggressive rejection shortly after.
EMA Behavior: EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening across M15 and M30—early signs of a possible bearish crossover.
Volume Drop: Declining volume after the spike suggests buyer exhaustion, reinforcing the idea of a bull trap.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): A visible liquidity void remains below the 3390 area. Price often returns to fill these zones.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
✅ Scenario A: Buy from Demand Zone (Liquidity Fill)
Entry: 3383 – 3385
Stop Loss: 3377
Targets: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+
📌 Best executed during London or NY session if price shows absorption or reversal confirmation.
❌ Scenario B: Sell from Resistance Only on Clear Rejection
Entry: 3456 – 3458
Stop Loss: 3462
Targets: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430
⚠️ Only enter shorts if clear bearish engulfing or pin-bar setup forms near resistance zone.
🧠 Market Psychology
Retail FOMO is being exploited by larger players to exit risk positions.
Liquidity engineering is likely in play—smart money drives price up on headlines, then exits into buyer momentum.
Equity & Oil rotation signals a shift in institutional preference short-term.
📌 Final Thoughts
This isn’t a time to chase breakouts. Gold is entering a volatile re-accumulation phase where news is being weaponized to induce emotional trading. The real edge lies in waiting for price to come to your level and only executing with confirmation.
🎯 Zone to Watch: 3383 – 3385
📉 Avoid chasing moves
📊 Respect your SL & manage risk like a pro
—
🧭 Stay patient. The next big move will reward those with discipline and timing.
Gold bulls may restart at any time, buy gold!Although compared with the performance of gold during the day, gold only touched 3452 and then began to retreat, and even failed to approach the previous high of 3500, gold is not strong; but based on the current fundamentals and technical structure, gold is currently in a very strong bullish structure; so I think the gold retracement is not a sign of gold weakness, but to increase liquidity, so that gold can rise better and prepare in advance for breaking through 3500! Gold bulls are ready to restart at any time after the retracement!
So for short-term trading, I don’t think the gold retracement is a reason for weakness, nor is it a certificate for chasing short gold; on the contrary, I think the gold retracement is a good time to buy on dips; first of all, the support area we have to pay attention to is the 3410-3400 area, and the second must pay attention to the 3390-3380 area support.
So in the next transaction, we might as well use these two support areas as defense and start to go long on gold in batches!
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation SetupThe chart illustrates a bullish market structure for XAU/USD, with price action currently trending upwards. Key technical observations:
Support Zone:
Price has recently bounced from a support zone around 3,399.710, indicating strong buying interest.
Bullish Projection:
A bullish continuation is expected. The chart outlines a potential scenario with a minor retracement towards 3,432.835 or 3,399.710, followed by a strong upward move.
Targets:
Immediate resistance is around 3,502.669.
If broken, price may aim for 3,550.351.
Final projected target lies near 3,680.000, which aligns with a historical supply zone.
Indicators:
The green enveloping bands suggest increasing volatility, with the price respecting the upper band, supporting bullish momentum.
Conclusion:
XAU/USD appears poised for a bullish breakout continuation. A potential pullback could offer a buy opportunity, targeting higher resistance zones as long as the structure remains intact
XAUUSD on bullish reversal H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently showing a bullish trend holding the Proper rising wedge pattern on H4,although I'm holding my trade from 3382 which is floating 150+ profits towards our Target
Bullish scanario:
I’ve identified my re-entry zones and plan to buy on every dip, focusing on scalping with buy positions only.
3380-3390 is the optimal buying area.
My target towards the $3430-3435 milestone on intraday.
However, if gold closes the H4 below the $3380 level, i will reassess my outlook towards 3355-3360.
Keep in mind market is on bullish reversal.
#XAUUSD
Iran seeks peace, Israel strikes – Gold dip, buy opportunity🌍 Iran's peace overtures sent gold prices plummeting to 3382, but Israel is unlikely to accept the olive branch lightly. With no clear signs of de-escalation in the Middle East situation, it's advisable to continue going long at lower levels 📉→📈
Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu vows military strikes will continue until Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile capabilities are fully dismantled—showing no signs of halting ⚡. While he claims regime change is not the objective, he notes that given the weakness of Iran's leadership, political upheaval could emerge as a collateral outcome of the operations 🌪️
🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3385 - 3390
🚀 TP 3410 - 3420
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East continue to escalate, with intense clashes between Israel and Iran driving gold prices higher. However, Federal Reserve officials have recently sent frequent hawkish signals, emphasizing the need to maintain interest rates to control inflation and downplaying expectations of rate cuts. Additionally, U.S. trade agreements with multiple nations are gradually being finalized, which could potentially provide bearish momentum for gold at any time. Overall, gold is trending to rise first and then fall.
Technical Analysis:
The 4-hour chart shows gold steadily advancing within an ascending channel, with strong bullish momentum. Resistance is near 3,450, while support currently stands at 3,400. However, it is important to note that after a short-term rapid rally, prices may need a pullback for correction.
Trading Recommendations:
Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near 3,400–3,410, targeting 3,450; if this level is broken, extend the target to 3,470–3,475. If prices face resistance near 3,450 during upward attempts, consider light short positions.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3400-3410
TP:3450-3470
sell@3460-3450
TP:3420-3400
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GOLD LIVE TRADE SIGNAL – June 16, 2025 (Price: $3415)🔵 Setup: BUY on Breakout — targeting continuation after corrective pullback
📉 Market Structure:
Bullish impulse completed a clear 5-wave Elliott structure
Current pullback forming a potential Wave 2 or IV
Price sitting above the breakout zone (~3391.6 support)
✅ Trade Details:
Entry: Buy @ 3422 (on bullish candle close above local resistance zone)
Stop Loss: 3408 (below consolidation low)
Target 1: 3445
Target 2: 3468
RRR: ~1:2.3
Confidence: HIGH — strong momentum wave + clean structure
🔍 Technical Confluence:
Wave (2) retracement respected
Channel breakout held (blue ascending)
Minor resistance around 3420 is being retested
Volume likely to spike in NY session
Caution: Avoid entry if price breaks below 3391.6 – would invalidate short-term structure.
gold on sell reverse#XAUUSD multiple 2 times breakout below 3408 will drop the price till 3400-3376.
Price holds bearish reversal below 3408, target 3400-3376. SL 3419.
Bullish range and reverse is at 3403.6 price can reverse from here but if drop happens first below 3399 its invalid.
H1 closure above 3425 holds longer bullish.
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD – Swing Trade and Trend FollowingXAUUSD – Swing Trade and Trend Following
Gold prices have been moving sideways, forming a consolidation range, and recently broke out to the upside last week.
Currently, the price is pulling back to retest the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG). If it can bounce from the 3400 support level, the next target would be the Range Volatile Week High around 3500.
However, if the FVG fails to hold, the price may drop to the next support levels at 3350 and 3300.
These are critical supports that should not be broken, as they also align with the ascending trendline (Up Trend Line).
That said, this move is seen as a pullback for a potential continuation to the upside.
Strategy: Buy the dip
Wait for a reversal candlestick at the key support zones.
The bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price breaks below 3250.
GOLD Best 2 Places For Sell Very Clear To Get 500 Pips !Here is my 15Mins T.F Chart On Gold and here is my fav 2 places to sell this pair , if we take a look on the chart we will see that we have avery good support @ 3431.50 and the price broke it and close below it and now i`m waiting for retest to this broken support and new res , and if i have a good bearish price action i will enter a sell trade and targeting the first support @ 3425.00 and if i have a good closure below it at least with 30 Mins Candle then i can add another contract and targeting the second support , if we have a closure above 3431.50 this idea will not be valid .
The international situation is bad. Gold fell back.Information summary:
Latest news: Israeli fighter jets "flew freely" over Tehran, and Iran lost air supremacy over the entire west. Israel's goal turned to a wider range of Iranian military and infrastructure.
Iran's counterattack, Tel Aviv, Haifa and other Israeli cities are being attacked by Iranian missiles. Both sides are currently suffering heavy losses.
But the price of gold fell back at this time; I think the biggest reason is that this week, the global "super central bank week" is about to hit, the market will usher in a very critical Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and central banks such as Japan, Switzerland and the United Kingdom will also hold monetary policy meetings one after another, and investors are on high alert. Under the influence of multiple conditions, the price of gold has a technical correction.
Technical analysis:
From a technical point of view, the impact of the conflict in the Middle East did not directly push up prices, but instead rushed up and fell back, which shows that the market has great pressure on the upward trend. Therefore, for the upward trend, it is necessary to be relatively conservative.
From the position point of view, the support below is around 3410.
From a trading perspective, most traders are waiting for the release of some data, which will change the overall trend of gold. However, according to the latest analysis of 14 Wall Street analysts, 10 analysts expect prices to continue to rise.
So I guess that this time the gold price pullback is accumulating energy for upward movement. At present, the price has started to rise after falling back to around 3410. The point of this pullback rebound is expected to stop around 3440, and then start to fluctuate at a high level.
If the price breaks through 3440 strongly and stabilizes above this position, the price may hit the upward pressure level of 3455 again.
Safe-Haven Demand Drives Gold Higher – 3500 Within ReachWishing everyone a peaceful weekend—despite turbulent times.
This weekend has been anything but calm. The escalating conflict in the Middle East continues to widen, with rising casualties. As always, war is often a pursuit of power by those at the top, while the real cost is borne by innocent civilians. Though we are mere observers from afar, it’s hard not to feel the weight of the situation.
From a geopolitical perspective, this conflict coincides with U.S.–Iran nuclear negotiations. Could this be a calculated move by certain powers to shift the balance in their favor? While it remains speculative, what’s certain is that the intensifying conflict is already shaking global financial markets.
In such a climate, safe-haven assets are clearly benefiting. Gold’s upward momentum appears firmly established, and oil’s direction hinges on the situation at the Strait of Hormuz. If the strait is closed, a surge in USOIL prices toward $100 would no longer seem unlikely.
Under the influence of such impactful news, traditional technical analysis plays a lesser role. The market direction is largely determined by sentiment, and chart patterns now serve more as entry point references rather than decisive indicators.
My trading outlook for Monday:
If gold opens with a bullish gap and rallies toward the 3480–3500 zone, this area could present a short-term selling opportunity—ideally executed with a quick in-and-out strategy;
If a pullback follows, look to build intraday long positions: aggressive traders may consider entries near 3430, while conservative ones can wait for a potential retest of the 3418 level.
One crucial reminder: News-driven markets are highly uncertain. Eventually, every war comes to an end, and when the demand for safe havens fades, so too will prices. Stay rational in your decisions, and always manage your risk appropriately.
Middle East tensions rise, gold eyes 3500 this week
🌍 Over the weekend, tensions in the Middle East escalated sharply, with geopolitical conflicts further intensifying. Multiple forces were drawn into the fray, the scope of conflict expanded continuously, and related military actions triggered widespread international concern, significantly increasing regional uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has had a profound impact on global financial markets, causing a notable decline in investors' risk appetite. Against this backdrop, gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has once again become the top choice for investors. The market expects that as the Middle East situation continues to ferment in the coming week, risk-averse sentiment will remain high, and gold is expected to continue benefiting from this trend, with a high likelihood of breaking through the key $3,500 mark 📈.
Additionally, this week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech will also be key factors influencing the trend of gold prices. Recent U.S. economic data has been mixed, and fluctuations in inflation figures as well as subtle changes in the job market have left the market full of uncertainty about the Fed's monetary policy direction. If the Fed signals a dovish stance in its interest rate decision, hinting at the possibility of future rate cuts, gold prices will undoubtedly gain further upward momentum. A lower interest rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold while weakening the appeal of the U.S. dollar, thus prompting more funds to flow into the gold market. Conversely, if the Fed adopts a hawkish stance, emphasizing the maintenance of current interest rates or even hinting at possible future rate hikes, this will exert certain pressure on gold prices ⚖️.
Equally noteworthy is that U.S. President Trump will visit Canada from June 15th to 17th to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. Trump's words and deeds in international affairs often carry significant influence and uncertainty. At this summit, his speeches and interactions with other world leaders may trigger a reassessment of the global economic and trade situation by the market, thereby causing fluctuations in gold prices 📊. For example, if Trump makes tough statements on trade policies, geopolitics, etc., it may exacerbate market concerns and push gold prices higher; if he conveys more positive signals of cooperation, market risk appetite may recover, and gold prices may face certain correction pressure. Therefore, investors need to closely monitor every move of Trump at the summit to timely grasp investment opportunities and risks in the gold market 👀
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3410 - 3415
🚀 TP 3480 - 3490
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD Long Position Gold is currently in a retracement with the potential for a further to the upside from the $3400 break-and-retest level. Last week we saw a massive rally to the upside for Gold after 2 days of indecision, during this rally, Gold broke above the $3400 resistance zone and now has the potential to use this level and platform to bounce further to the upside. On the 4 hour timeframe, Gold is comfortable trading above the 50 SMA and the $3400 potentially lays in the 45-55 zone of the RSI which is the sweet spot region indicating the need of a retracement and continuation of the the primary trend which is bullish. Will be looking to trade from $3400 with Stop loss below structure towards the $3445 resistance level.
Middle East Tensions Soar, Bulls Remain DominantBrief Update on Escalating Israel-Iran Conflict:
On June 14, Israeli forces airstruck Iran's Defense Ministry, nuclear facilities, and oil installations—causing a Tehran residential building to collapse and killing 60 civilians. 💥
Iran fired 50 ballistic missiles into Israel, damaging structures in Tel Aviv. A senior advisor to Iran's Supreme Leader died from injuries; Israel released a hit list of 9 Iranian nuclear scientists. ⚠️
Iran Nuclear Talks Developments:
Iran announced new nuclear safeguards without IAEA notice, warning NPT withdrawal if sanctioned. 🛑
June 15th U.S.-Iran talks canceled. ⏳
The Middle East situation is currently heating up 🌍💥. With the intensifying of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend, gold is likely to continue to benefit from the boost of risk-averse sentiment next week and may break through the $3,500 mark 📈. The price of gold will also be affected by the Federal Reserve's decision and Powell's speech during the week 🏛️. In addition, US President Trump will visit Canada to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit from June 15th to 17th, and his speech at that time may also affect the fluctuation of gold prices, which is worthy of attention 🇺🇸🇨🇦
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3410 - 3415
🚀 TP 3480 - 3490
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold trend analysis and operation ideasFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold goes long when it falls back to 3408-10, and goes long when it falls back to 3388-95. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
XAUUSD:Waiting to go long
For gold I am still bullish, do long, rather than blindly chase long.
Today's lowest reretreat to around 3408, from the short-term level or long willingness is stronger, the hourly level is a little pressure, trading can wait for the pullback before buying long, the important support below 3404. Short-term support looks at 3407-12
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3407-12
TP:3427-30
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↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. The short position against the trend needs to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add to long position. Stop loss at 3384. Target at 3445-3450. Continue to hold if it breaks.