PMI Boosts USD but Caution Lingers Ahead of Fed DecisionOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD The recent release of stronger-than-expected S&P Global PMIs in the U.S. has offered short-term support to the dollar, pressuring gold from intraday highs. Manufacturing and services PMIs both improved to 52.3 in May, fueling speculation that the U.S. economy may still be resilient despite persistent concerns over Trump's proposed tax reforms and renewed tariffs.
Still, market sentiment remains cautious. While Wall Street recovered slightly, it continues to post weekly losses. Investors are balancing upbeat data with longer-term risks — including a potential economic slowdown triggered by aggressive fiscal tightening and global demand headwinds.
With the FOMC meeting approaching (June 17–18), gold traders are likely to remain reactive to macroeconomic signals. Any dovish shift or mention of a potential rate cut timeline could reignite demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Until then, price action around the $3,289 support and the Quasimodo pattern will be crucial for short-term direction.
Resistance : $3,319 , $3,343
Support : $3,289 , $3,239
Xauusdanalysis
Gold starts to go down? Double opportunities.Analysis of Asian market trend:
To summarize the short-term trend, "continue to step back and continue to seek key support". Gold rose and then fell in the Asian market yesterday, and the final rebound stopped at 3350. The trend is in line with our short-term bearish expectations. As for the market falling and breaking, it is a normal market. This means that the adjustment needs to continue. Today, the main focus below is still the support level of 3280. The early decline has approached this point, but it has not been completely touched; if this position is not broken, the bullish rebound is still there and it will rise at any time.
Operation adjustment, mainly low and high, supplemented by high and low, look at the shock sideways, wait for the market to break through the range and gradually look down; then the two main points of short-term focus, if the downward trend does not break 3280, then the rebound will first look at the high point of 3320. Strong breakthrough and stabilization at this position, if it does not break through yesterday's high point, it will continue to be mainly shocking; at the same time, unlike the previous consecutive rises in the past few weeks, this week's trend is slightly weak, and it is almost the weekend, so let's look at the amplitude of the range trend first.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3320, stop loss at 3328, target at 3290;
Long around 3280, stop loss at 3270, target at 3315.
Short-term trading is temporarily operated in this range, and a new layout will be made if it breaks.
Gold Hits 3360 Resistance After Breakout – Reversal Ahead?📈 Gold Breaks Out – Now Approaching Key Resistance
Two days ago, I highlighted the ascending triangle forming on Gold and warned that a breakout could lead to strong acceleration in the direction of the move.
As expected, price broke to the upside and rallied 1,000 pips, confirming the bullish breakout.
🧱 B ut now, Gold faces a major test...
Price is now approaching a critical confluence resistance zone around 3360, where I expect a possible reversal.
Given the recent pattern of strong two-way volatility, a pullback from here could send Gold back down to retest the broken 3250 zone — now acting as support.
📊 Trading Plan:
I’m watching closely for signs of weakness near 3360 to open short trades. This level is key for both bulls and bears, and price action here could define the next move.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Price Analysis May 22The recent consecutive bullish candles have brought gold close to ATH. With the current candlestick force, gold is still not strong enough to close above 3400 today and will still encounter some selling force creating a new half wave that can push it back above 3400
The immediate barrier zone is 3344 that the Asian session needs to pay attention to. If it does not break through at the end of the session, it is possible to SELL around this area, the target will not be long because the buying force is still strong according to the main trend. In case of breaking 3344, 3360 is the next price reaction zone for the European and American sessions. The resistance at 3395 will play a key role in preventing gold from a strong slide.
On the other hand, any retest is considered a good opportunity to buy. 3322 and 3290 are the targets of SELL orders and are also buying opportunities when there is confirmation of buying force around this area.
Dangers and opportunities for gold? Trend change?In early Asian trading, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,300. After rising in the first three trading days of this week, gold prices briefly hit a two-week high of $3,345 in Asian trading on Thursday, then fell sharply and finally closed around $3,294. This rapid change hides the fierce struggle between the strengthening of the US dollar, the turmoil of US bonds and geopolitical changes.
The rebound of the US dollar is the biggest pressure for the rise in gold prices.
Another major pressure on the gold market comes from the sharp fluctuations in US bond yields. The 30-year US bond yield hit a 19-month high, reflecting the market's deep concerns about the $3.8 trillion in new debt. The cold auction of $16 billion in 20-year US bonds on Wednesday further confirmed the judgment that the demand for sovereign bonds is undergoing structural changes.
The current gold market is being pulled by multiple forces. In the short term, the technical rebound of the US dollar and the selling of US bonds do pose pressure. But in-depth analysis shows that the pressure of currency depreciation brought by the $3.8 trillion fiscal expansion, the safe-haven demand caused by the damaged credit of US debt, and the risk of stagflation are three factors that are building long-term support for gold.
I think the shadow of global bond market turmoil will become a potential factor for the bullish gold market.
There are relatively few economic data during Asian trading hours. The focus should be on the annualized total number of new home sales in the United States in April after seasonal adjustment and the speeches of Federal Reserve officials, as well as news related to the geopolitical situation and the international trade situation.
I will also analyze the latest international news and its impact on gold prices for you as soon as possible.
Short-term operation strategy:
First rise: short near 3345, stop loss 3255, profit range 3280-3270.
First fall: long near 3275, stop loss 3265, profit range 3300-3310.
XAUUSD Market OutlookMy current bias on XAUUSD remains bullish, as we are targeting the lower high (LH) around the 3,438 level. However, the market is currently in a pullback phase within the LH & LL. Price has entered an OTA level within a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), ranging between 3,370 and 3,333. This presents a potential opportunity for short setups as we move towards the 3,251 level.
On the 4-hour timeframe, there's a valid FVG Breaker near our Fibonacci-based OTA level, aligning closely with the 3,251 support zone. This is a key area to watch for bullish confirmations. Any long positions should ideally be considered from this zone.
Important Note:
When trading gold, patience and discipline are essential. Only act on clear, confirmed setups that align with your strategy. Quality over quantity always wins in the long run.
Trade Idea : XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)✅ Trade Bias: Long (Buy)
⸻
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
📈 Daily Chart
• Trend: Strong uptrend with recent consolidation after an extended move higher.
• MACD: Bullish momentum cooling but still positive — histogram declining slightly.
• RSI: Neutral zone at 55.90, indicating room to the upside before overbought levels.
⏱ 15-Minute Chart
• Trend: Pullback followed by a strong bullish continuation. Price is making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD: Strong bullish crossover; histogram expanding upward.
• RSI: 62.34 — not yet overbought, signaling continuation potential.
⏱ 3-Minute Chart
• Price Action: Bullish structure holding above short-term moving average.
• MACD: Bullish crossover in early stages with histogram turning positive.
• RSI: 66.22 — nearing overbought but not signaling immediate reversal.
⸻
🌐 Fundamental Context
• Gold is supported by:
• Persisting inflation concerns.
• Geopolitical risk premium.
• Expectations of rate cuts by the Fed in the coming quarters.
There are no immediate bearish catalysts. The macro backdrop favors gold strength, especially as the USD shows some weakness.
⸻
🎯 Trade Setup: Long XAU/USD
• Entry (Buy): 3320.00
• Slight pullback toward previous resistance-turned-support and short-term MA confluence.
• Stop Loss (SL): 3295.00
• Below recent intraday swing low and support zone; protects against false breakout.
• Take Profit (TP): 3370.00
• Previous high extension zone, aligning with momentum continuation projection.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Xauusd Parallel Channel AheadTrend: The asset is in a clear short-term uptrend, staying within a rising channel.
Support Zone: Price is currently testing the lower channel support, a common place for bullish reversals if the channel remains intact.
Resistance Zone: There is a horizontal resistance area marked in gray around the $3,340–$3,360 range, which aligns with prior price reactions.
Potential Setup: If the price respects the trendline, a long position with a target near the upper channel line (around $3,370–$3,400) could be considered. A stop loss might be placed just below the channel to manage risk.
Gold hits a critical area, bulls and bears face a choice againYesterday, the market closed positively, and the market continued to rise for three consecutive days. In the short term, this wave of rise will reach the trend resistance line of 3500-3438 with great probability. We will continue to pay attention to the important pressure points of 3370-80. Due to the slow rise of yesterday, there was another wave of continuous rise this morning. The accumulated top divergence finally ushered in a downward correction. The number of such continuous divergences cannot be predicted, and sometimes it may even be forcibly reversed, but what is coming will come in the end. This is a good thing, because only after the correction can we climb higher. Of course, the bad thing is that a wave of decline in the European session will inevitably wash out a lot of bullishness, which is inevitable, because the direction of adherence is all the way up. But tonight, there is a high probability that it will bottom out and rise, because after the middle track breaks through, it will become a certain support, or pierce, but the closing should still be above, so there is a certain support in the range of 3260-3253, and there will not be too much room to go down for the time being.
The gold trend takes a sharp turn, is a bear market coming?🗞News side:
1. PMI and initial jobless claims data
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Progress of the G7 meeting
📈Technical aspects:
During the Asian session, gold prices approached a two-week high. However, as the market digests the previous positive news and European and American economic data are about to be released intensively, gold's short-term trend faces uncertainty. The key data that everyone needs to pay attention to today include the May PMI data and the number of initial jobless claims in the United States. At the same time, the international trade situation, geopolitical dynamics, the progress of the G7 meeting and the speeches of Federal Reserve officials may have an impact on the market, so it is recommended that everyone keep a close eye on the impact of the news. Judging from the 4H market trend, the US market is paying attention to the short-term support around 3280-3275. Once it stabilizes above 3280, you can arrange to go long. On the contrary, once it falls below 3280-3275, it is possible to fall to the important support area of 3260-3250.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
“Latest Strategic Positioning and Allocation for Gold Market”
The U.S. Treasury market continues its high-level consolidation, with the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield hitting 5.117% intraday, a new high since October 2023. The 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.613%, approaching the mid-February high of 4.58%, while the 20-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.126%, the highest since November 2023. Spot gold is quoted at $3,306.30 per ounce, down approximately 0.27% on the day, though it recorded three consecutive daily gains at the start of the week, supported by risk-aversion sentiment.
Fluctuations in the U.S. Treasury market reflect changes in fiscal pressures, policy uncertainties, and global capital flows, driving market sentiment. Gold rose initially but fell later today—has the upward move ended prematurely? After a daily large bullish candle, today’s breach of the low suggests the bearish trend may continue. For gold, the resistance level to watch is the U.S. session rebound high near $3,316 per ounce, which will be regarded as a key bull-bear watershed.
In summary, as gold encounters resistance at elevated levels, today’s trading strategy considers shorting on rebounds as the primary approach, complemented by tactical long positions on dips. Key resistance lies at $3,316–$3,340, while support is seen at $3,280–$3,260.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
XAUUSD Predicted winnerPrice in the box, 4 hours ago I was discussing the price action with my cousin. He opened a buy trade after seeing a long bullish candle and sent it to me. But first I need the price to determine its position with the box. If it closes above it, it will be a buy trade and if it closes below it, it will be a sell trade. 2 hours ago the price closed below the box and issued a sell signal. We are waiting to see what the outcome will be.
Seize the opportunity in the gold marketGold fell after reaching a high point during the day, reaching a high of 3345 before going out of the big drop space, and the evening star appeared in the 4H cycle. Combined with the correction of the top divergence of the indicator, the short-term will enter the adjustment stage. Pay attention to the middle track support around 3280-75 in the future market. If it does not break, you can consider going long. Pay attention to the upper pressure of 3320 and 3335. Keep the idea of shock in operation!
Operation suggestion: Go long on gold around 3280-3275, and look at 3300 and 3320. Go short if the rebound pressure of 3320 is not broken.
Gold is going down? Is the trend going to change?The previous rally continued in the early Asian session on Thursday, reaching a high of around 3345.
However, it then began to fall rapidly. So far, gold has fallen below the 3300 mark again, with the lowest point reaching around 3280.
From the daily chart:
Gold is currently at 3280, which is the moving average support position. If it falls below 3280, the market will test 3250-3260 below. This position is not only the current daily moving average support position, but also an important barrier position in the past. This is an important suppression position for the upward trend of gold this time.
Similarly, if it wants to fall, 3250-60 is also an important support position.
Secondly, let's look at the 4-hour chart:
If it really falls below the bottom of the range at 3280, then as I said above, it will test 3250-3260. However, if it fails to break the support near 3280, it is very likely to maintain consolidation in the 4-hour range.
And from the range point of view, the fluctuation range is very large. It is basically maintained in the range of 3320-3280, which is about 40 US dollars. I suggest that we should still pay attention to whether the support here at 3280 can stabilize. If it can stabilize at this position, and there is a bottom signal at 3280, then you can go long near 3280. Sell high and buy low according to the range of 3280-3320.
On the contrary, if it falls below the support of 3280, don’t go long. It is very likely to directly test the support position of 3250-60 later.
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold hit the highest point of 3345 today and started to fall back. We also directly shorted at 3341, and successfully reached the target of 3310-15. Friends who follow my articles and real traders can see that the short-term decline of gold does not change the bullish trend. Gold rose by about 100 US dollars after breaking through the box shock, so it is normal to fall back a little. The key to gold in the US market is still the support of 3295-3300. If gold continues to test the support of 3300 and the rebound is weak, then the difficulty of gold rising in the US market will increase, and gold may have to consider high altitude. For now, the advantage of gold bulls still exists
Judging from the 4-hour market trend, the short-term support below is around 3275-3280, with a focus on the 3253-60 support. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3253. If the daily level stabilizes at this position, the bullish rhythm of pulling back to lows and buying on the trend will remain unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3290-3295, add more when it falls back to 3275-80, stop loss at 3269, target at 3316-3320, break to 3340-45;
2. If gold rebounds to 3340-45 but does not break, go short with a light position, stop loss at 3353, target at 3300-3306
The latest gold operation strategyFrom a technical perspective, gold has been strong recently. Spot gold closed at $3,289.54 per ounce on Tuesday, and further broke through $3,300 in early trading on Wednesday, reaching a high of $3,304.06, a new high in more than a week. In the short term, gold prices need to break through the key resistance level of $3,370 to open up further upside space; $3,150 has formed a solid support below. If there are new variables in the geopolitical situation or economic data, gold prices may even challenge the $3,400 mark. Based on the current trend, the trading idea on Wednesday is clear: wait for the price to fall back and continue to intervene in long orders around 3,300, and maintain a bullish strategy.
Gold is recommended to go long in the 3300-3305 area, stop loss at 3292, target at 3315-3330
Gold surges and then falls back to repair the divergenceMainly due to the tense global geopolitical situation and the weak performance of the US dollar, the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset has been strengthened, and the gold price has risen driven by safe-haven buying. According to CNN reports, the United States and Iran are negotiating on the uranium enrichment plan, and Israel may be ready to attack Iran's uranium enrichment plant, which has rapidly heated up the market's risk aversion sentiment; the US sovereign rating has been downgraded to AA1, and the dollar hegemony may loosen. At the same time, Trump's tax reform bill may lead to a significant increase in the fiscal deficit in the near future. Concerns about the US fiscal situation also provide support for gold prices. On the daily chart, gold rebounded continuously, setting a new high for the week, but the gold price rose and fell during the day, and it is necessary to pay attention to the risk of short-term correction. For the support below gold, pay attention to the low point of $3285, which is the middle track position of the daily Bollinger band and the main pressure position after the gold rose on Tuesday. The second is the gold rise and breakthrough position of $3250 on Tuesday; for the pressure above gold, pay attention to the high point of gold on Wednesday at $3325, which is the upper track position of the monthly Bollinger band, and the second is the high point of gold on the day at $3345. The increase this week should not be so large, there should be short pressure. But the bullish sentiment is particularly optimistic at present. The 4-hour and 1-hour Bollinger Bands are both running upward, and the moving average is in a bullish arrangement; the daily line has risen strongly for 4 consecutive days. It should be noted that there will be a lot of short pressure near 3350, and if you want to continue to move forward, you must stabilize the 3350 mark.
Is gold going up or down?Gold is showing the characteristics of a fluctuating upward trend. In terms of support, first pay attention to the vicinity of 3290, which is the low point touched by the gold price in the early stage of yesterday. Secondly, pay attention to the support near 3270, which is the current corresponding support position of the rising channel formed by connecting high and low points since the gold started to rise at 3120. As for the upper resistance near 3350-3370, it is the area that needs to be paid attention to at present. From a technical point of view, the next wave of rise may go to the daily Bollinger upper rail suppression point near 3400, so there is still good room for rise. The technical points of the unilateral rise in the H4 cycle are quite obvious. The Bollinger opening and the moving average system diverge upwards. The upward momentum is sufficient. The upward trend does not guess the top. The support point of the decline is on the moving average support. The expected support point is 3305. In principle, a trend long order is made at this point. It is believed that as long as the 3290 position is maintained, it is still bullish. The long defense position is the 3250 mark. This position is the key watershed for the pull-up and retracement. The key point of the rise is 3350. Here we see whether there can be an effective short-term decline. Gold rose directly in the morning. It is recommended not to chase the long in the Asian and European sessions, but to go long after the decline. Pay attention to the gains and losses of the resistance of 3350-3370 during the day.
Gold surged then fell below 3300! 3255-3265 is now the bull-bear📈Today, riding the wave of its prior rally, gold skyrocketed to a high of around 3345! However, the market had a plot twist 📉—as of now, the precious metal has plunged back below the 3300 mark, bottoming out near 3285. If it breaks beneath 3280, watch out! ⚠️ It might charge towards the lower 3255-3265 range next.
The 3255-3265 zone is like a multi-functional checkpoint 🚦: it's not just the current daily moving average support, but also a crucial historical pivot point. What's even more interesting? During gold's recent upward surge, this very range acted as a tough resistance wall 🛡️, making every breakthrough attempt a nail-biter!
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@3285-3290
tp:3255-3260
buy@3255-3265
tp:3300-3310
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gold on sideways#XAUUSD have retest below 3283 which reverse back above 3314, now we expect bullish to take place from 3317.44.
Above the zone 3317.44 shows a bullish breakout which will target 3346 back. Stop loss 3307
Below 3307 have bearish formation which will continue selling till 3284 next bearish zone-3260.
5/22 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
Yesterday's trading session was a bit bumpy, but in the end, we achieved considerable profits.
Today, gold rose to around 3346 and then began to pull back. It is now approaching the 3300 support level.
🔍 From a technical perspective, the candlestick structure and several indicators suggest that bears may still attempt further downside:
Primary support area: 3288–3276 — if this holds, a rebound is expected, with resistance around 3309–3316.
Secondary support area: 3263–3248 — if it breaks lower, watch for a short-term bounce around 3276-3282.
📰 On the news front, Initial Jobless Claims and PMI data will be released today. These could trigger short-term volatility.
📌 Trading strategy for today includes two key scenarios:
If the data is bearish for the dollar and gold drops to 3253, look for buy opportunities.
If the data is bullish and gold rises to 3358, it's a good spot to sell into strength.
📈 Today’s Trading Recommendations:
📉 Sell near 3358–3372 (Resistance zone)
📈 Buy near 3263–3248 (Support zone)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels: 3253 / 3268 / 3277 / 3286 / 3298 / 3309 / 3316 / 3328 / 3348
Wishing everyone a smooth trading day. Feel free to leave a comment if you have any questions—I’ll get back to you as soon as possible.
Intraday volatility,there is still chance to go long on pullback🗞News side:
1. The situation in Israel escalates
2. Initial jobless claims data
📈Technical aspects:
Influenced by recent news, gold showed a volatile rebound trend. Gold continued to rise in the early Asian session, r OANDA:XAUUSD eaching a high of around 3345. The 3290-3300 level below has absolute support in the short term. As long as it does not fall below 3290, you can go long at 3290-3300. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening and the moving average diverge upwards. The upward momentum is sufficient, and it is not easy to guess the top. Pay attention to the 3310-3300 line of support below, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3340-3350 area above. If the gold price stabilizes at 3350, it is expected to further explore the resistance of 3360-3370. If the European session falls into volatility, maintain the range of high selling and low buying, and consider going long when it retreats to the support level of 3320-3310.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD