XAU-USD 07-11 April 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Price continued bullish repositioning bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Price has very nearly printed a bearish which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Expectation is for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and the repricing of Gold.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD Weekly Plan (April 7–11, 2025)✨ | Smart Money Outlook
The higher timeframes have spoken loud and clear: XAUUSD is trading at extreme levels, brushing against historical highs. Here's a clean breakdown based on the monthly and weekly macrostructure for the week ahead:
🔢 Monthly Chart Overview (MN1)
Price just tapped into the premium zone and reacted from the monthly POI (around 3180).
Current candle shows a long upper wick, signaling potential exhaustion.
No clear supply mitigation above — price is exploring uncharted territory.
Weekly high now aligns with a possible reversal or liquidity grab.
🌍 Weekly Chart Structure (W1)
Massive BOS from the 2075 breakout now confirmed.
Price is forming a potential final HL before either continuation or reversal.
We are in a clear premium area, and weekly RSI is overstretched.
Strong confluences for a deeper pullback into the 2850–2920 region, which holds old unmitigated OBs and valid FVGs.
🔹 Key Weekly Levels to Watch:
⬆️ Supply Zone: 3180–3200 (tapped)
⬇️ Demand Zones:
3080–3054 (partially mitigated)
2920–2900 (clean FVG and OB zone)
2820–2780 (discount + major liquidity)
🔎 Macro Outlook
Until we get a clean break and hold above 3180, the market is in a liquidity hunting phase. Expect choppy behavior around current highs.
Any bearish reaction from here aligns with:
RSI divergence
Overextension from EMAs (price currently well above 21/50/100/200)
Imbalance-filled structure left behind
If bulls want higher, they need to hold above 3054 and reclaim 3135 with volume and conviction.
💪 This Week's Focus
No rush. We're in premium territory. Let the market show its hand.
Watch for retests of broken structures (like 3080 and 3135)
Monitor for liquidity sweeps above previous highs
Respect HTF imbalance and confluences
🤝 Let’s Trade Together!
If you found this outlook useful, don’t forget to leave a like, drop a comment, or hit follow — let’s connect with traders who value precision and patience. Stay sharp, stay kind. 🌟
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – April 2025🎯 Market Context: Gold is currently trading in uncharted territory — sitting at all-time highs, right inside a Monthly Premium zone, just above the previous BOS level from 2011. This is significant institutional terrain.
📌 Key Monthly Levels:
🧊 Major Resistance Zone: 3,135–3,168 → This is a premium zone where price is likely to face profit-taking or distribution.
🔵 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 2,750–2,900 remains unfilled.
🪙 Last CHoCH and BOS: Confirmed bullish structure. Market has broken all historical ceilings.
⚖️ Equilibrium Zone: Around 2,400–2,500 → could act as a magnet in long-term pullbacks.
💎 Unmitigated OBs and Strong Lows: Still open way below 2,000 — long-term reversion zones if a macro bearish cycle begins.
🧠 Market Psychology:
We are clearly in the euphoria/distribution stage.
Monthly RSI is likely overbought (to be confirmed on chart), making bulls cautious for the first time in months.
Smart Money might be unloading positions subtly or looking to trap late longs.
Gold continues to fall, what will happen next week?After the gold price fluctuated sharply at the high level in the past two days, gold finally broke down on Friday. In fact, the market was too active in the past two days, and the overall volatility was very large. In fact, it was still a little difficult to trade. Although the overall outlook is bearish, the rebound amplitude is actually not small each time. Now sometimes it rebounds more than 20 US dollars in a few minutes, so it may continue to fall after a loss. Now that the gold daily high is covered by dark clouds, how should we trade next week?
The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a death cross downward, so the gold shorts still have power, and the short-term gold can only rebound. After the rebound, the shorts will continue, and then the gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, the shorts will be more dominant in the short term. Unless there is a big positive news, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The resistance for gold's rebound is 3076. If it is under pressure, then gold's rebound will mainly continue to be short on highs.
XAU/USD Bullish Pennant Breakout - Trade Setup Toward Target📊 Overview:
This 4-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a clean bullish pennant breakout followed by a corrective pullback to key support, offering a high-probability trading setup for bullish continuation traders.
Gold recently surged above the psychological $3,000 level, but after testing the previous resistance zone / ATH, it retraced back into a critical confluence of support. From a technical perspective, the structure remains bullish, supported by strong trendline dynamics, clean price action, and a well-defined pennant formation.
🔍 Step-by-Step Breakdown:
1. Bullish Pennant Formation
A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that typically occurs after a strong upside rally (the "flagpole"). In this chart:
The flagpole began around March 13, with gold moving vertically from ~$2,630 to ~$2,950.
This was followed by consolidation between March 19–27, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern with converging trendlines (the pennant body).
Volume (if added) would typically decrease during this consolidation phase.
On March 27–28, price broke above the pennant, confirming the bullish bias.
📌 This breakout signals that buyers are ready to resume control after taking a breather.
2. Rally & Retest Phase
Following the breakout:
Price surged to challenge the resistance zone and all-time high (ATH) area, marked between $3,150 – $3,160.
A natural pullback occurred due to profit-taking and overbought conditions.
This retracement brought price back into the support zone at ~$3,000, intersecting perfectly with:
The rising trendline from the pennant breakout
A horizontal demand zone (former resistance turned support)
A key psychological level ($3,000)
💡 This zone acted as a confluence area, attracting buyers and creating a strong bounce — visible as a bullish engulfing candle.
3. Support & Resistance Analysis
✅ Support Level:
$2,990 – $3,010
Marked by previous highs before the breakout
Validated by the trendline and price reaction
🚫 Resistance / ATH Level:
$3,150 – $3,160
Historic resistance zone that capped the recent rally
Price must break this level for further continuation toward the target
4. Trendline Dynamics
The dotted trendline acts as a rising support structure.
Trendlines in bullish continuations are crucial as they confirm upward momentum.
As seen on the chart, price respected the trendline during the recent dip and bounced with strong momentum — a bullish signal.
5. Trade Setup & Risk Management
A trade based on this structure should follow strict risk-to-reward discipline.
🛒 Entry Zone:
Ideal re-entry lies between $3,030 – $3,040, after confirming the bounce from support.
❌ Stop Loss:
Below $2,976, which is under the support zone and trendline. If price breaches this level, the pattern is invalidated.
🎯 Target:
Measured move (height of the flagpole) projected from breakout zone gives us a target of around $3,221.
The chart also marks this clearly as the "Target" zone.
📈 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3, which is attractive for swing trades.
6. Market Psychology & Trader Sentiment
The bullish pennant represents temporary indecision, but ultimately market confidence remains strong.
The pullback to support reflects healthy profit-taking, not bearish reversal.
The bounce from support shows buy-the-dip mentality, a sign that bulls remain in control.
7. Macro & Fundamental Backdrop
While the chart is technical, it's wise to factor in macro catalysts:
🏦 Federal Reserve policy: If the Fed holds or cuts rates, gold typically rallies due to lower opportunity cost.
📉 Inflation Data: Rising inflation or expectations can push gold higher as a hedge.
🌍 Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts or economic instability drive safe-haven flows into gold.
Staying updated on these events can help validate or hedge your technical outlook.
✅ Conclusion:
This chart presents a technically sound bullish continuation setup backed by:
A breakout from a bullish pennant
A retest and bounce from a confluence support zone
A clearly defined risk (stop loss) and reward (target)
Traders looking for medium-term opportunities in XAU/USD can consider this as a high-probability setup with logical structure and strong momentum potential.
🔔 TradingView Tag Suggestions:
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishPennant #PriceAction #SwingTrade #Forex #TradingSetup #Commodities #GoldBreakout
Gold Needs a upward correctionGold price crashed over 2.8% as Powell turns hawkish on tariffs and inflation. But right now gold needs a upward correction. There is a bell curve area and market left multiple sps.
Fundamental is also on gold side. Safe heaven movement is still on because of tariff and war situation.
Perfect ending, gold trend analysis and layout for next weekEarly layout plan for gold: 3.31-4.4 Reviewing this week, a total of 20 layouts were arranged, and the overall harvest was 1245pips! This week can be called a super week. After the tariff fundamentals were implemented, the market started the callback mode, and there was a big sweep in the middle. It is unrealistic to say that we can win all the games. The number of mistakes we made this week has also increased. This is normal, but our eye-catching operations are even more dazzling, and we have gained more. Overall, I am quite satisfied. I will continue to work hard next week.
Analysis of gold market trends next Monday: Technical analysis of gold: The gold market on Thursday and Friday this week can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 100 points in two days! The gold market suddenly changed, and there was an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. After a series of big negative declines, the current short-term trend of gold is bearish. The daily line has a big negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a bearish signal of Yin engulfing Yang. In the short term, it may rely on the support of the middle track to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger band opens and extends downward. The K-line continues to decline, and the trend is bearish and downward. The callback space is larger than the rising space. Falling below the previous day's starting low of 3054 is a short-term empty point, and the lowest retracement is around 3015. The daily line is in a partial adjustment in the short term.
Combined with the falling wave space of the 4-hour chart. The 3000 integer mark is the support position of the golden section point 0.5. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The downward trend is obvious. The focus below is on the break of the 3000 mark. As long as the 3000 mark is held, the short-term bullish structure will not change. The market will continue to rise to new highs. If the 3000 mark is broken, the market will form a large-level adjustment structure. The short-term operation is mainly to buy on dips above 3000, and to sell at high altitudes. The upper resistance is around 3054-3057-3072, and the lower support is 3015-3000. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold next Monday is mainly to buy on rebounds, and to buy on callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3054-3057 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3000-3015 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set the stop loss strictly, and do not resist the single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market information ☎️, enter ✈️✈️ to follow real-time orders.
Reference for gold operation strategies on Monday:
Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3045-3055, stop loss 10 points, target near 3030-3015, break to see 3000 line.
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3015-3005, stop loss 10 points, target near 3030-3040, break to see 3050 line.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1H timeframe (3140) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 3030 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bearishness),., driven by several key factors.👇
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party”📊 XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party” 🎯💣
✅ Sniper Sell @ 3135 – Textbook Execution
The daily plan's sell scenario from 3135–3145 played out perfectly:
Premium zone + valid OB
FVG rejection + bearish PA (M5/M15 CHoCH)
Three take-profits hit: 3120 → 3086 → 3054
Structure respected, price never looked back 🔫
🔥 Post-NFP Breakdown – April 5, 2025
📉 NFP (Actual): 228K vs. 140K Expected
📈 Strong surprise to the upside – job creation smashed expectations
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (vs 4.1%)
📉 Slight increase – softens the impact of strong jobs number
💬 Market Reaction?
Gold dumped hard post-data, as strong NFP spooked the market
Algorithmic move: sweep → push down → bounce on deep FVG
Market front-ran deeper demand (below 3054), tagging 3036 briefly
🔁 What Got Mitigated:
✅ Premium supply zone @ 3135–3145
✅ 3086–3100 OB demand fully tapped
✅ 3054–3040 imbalance filled
✅ Final reaction wick @ 3036–3038 bounced right off deeper imbalance
🧲 Still in Play / Unmitigated:
🟦 3029–2985 = untouched D1 imbalance
🟡 Small rejection gap @ 3081–3085 (may act as intraday retest zone)
🔴 Possible liquidity below 3000 still untouched
🧠 Summary:
✅ Plan respected
✅ NFP added fuel
✅ Gold respected PA structure to the pip
🎯 Sniper sell from 3135 = perfect execution
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”
"Gold Approaching Key Support – Will Bulls Take Control?"🔹 Market Structure:
Gold is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish run, facing a pullback from recent highs around $3,160. The price has now approached a key horizontal support zone near $2,980 - $3,020.
🔹 Key Levels:
✅ Resistance: ~$3,160 (previous high)
✅ Horizontal Support: ~$2,980 - $3,020 (marked in blue)
✅ Target Level: ~$3,099 (potential bounce area)
🔹 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Reversal: If the price finds support in the marked zone and forms bullish confirmation (e.g., hammer candle, bullish engulfing), we could see a retest of $3,099 and potentially higher levels.
2️⃣ Breakdown Scenario: If support fails, gold may see further downside towards $2,950 or lower.
🔹 Trading Plan:
📈 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation near support (~$3,020) with a target of $3,099 - $3,120.
📉 Sell Setup: If support breaks, short positions could target $2,950 - $2,920.
🔸 Bias: Bullish above support, bearish below it.
🔸 Risk Management: Use a stop-loss below support (~$2,980) to manage risk.
Would you like me to refine this further or add any indicators like RSI, Moving Averages, etc.? 🚀
Gold market analysis, gold operation strategy and trend analysisGold early layout plan: intraday top and bottom capture is perfect! The strategy layout is truly presented, the strategy prompts shorting at 3135, accurately cashing in the high point, and falling sharply to 3070! Continue to arrange 3072 long positions to smoothly stop profit and exit at 3086.
Gold fell by 110 yesterday and rebounded by 80. Today it fell by 30 and rebounded by 50. The volatility is too big. However, the risk comes first. Strictly set a stop loss. Loss of $5-$20 makes no difference. It is not a big loss. Secondly, grasp the key points. Pay attention to a few points of non-agricultural data and cooperate with the five-minute entry on the right side. As for long and short, it is really not very important. What is important is the key position and starting point. After multiple cycles of quantification, pay attention to a few important points at night. After the operation is in place, enter the market with the resonance of one minute and five minutes. The loss is 5-6 points, and the target is 15-20 points.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3018-3025, and the loss is 3005, and the target is 3035-3045
XAU/USD potential Longs from 2990 back up to 3,100This week, I’m considering both short- and long-term opportunities on gold. We’ve recently seen a change of character to the downside, and there’s a clean 1-hour supply zone that could trigger a short-term bearish reaction.
That said, there’s also a lot of nearby liquidity resting below, which I expect price to sweep first. If that happens, I’ll be watching the 20-hour demand zone—a strong area that could spark a new bullish rally from the lows.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Price has recently cleared a new all-time high (ATH), indicating continued bullish strength.
- Market structure remains overall bullish, suggesting this move down may be a temporary correction.
- The 20-hour demand zone sits just below key liquidity and looks highly valid.
- Untouched Asia session highs remain above, which price is likely to target.
- The DXY is moving bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook on gold due to their inverse correlation.
Note: If price reacts from the current demand zone (which is also valid), we could see Scenario B play out first—a rally followed by a short move to clear liquidity before heading higher.
Stay patient and trade safe, everyone!
Gold Rebound Looms: Don’t Miss the $50 OpportunityDuring his ongoing speech, Powell mentioned that tariffs may push inflation higher in the coming quarters. While inflation is currently close to the 2% target, it still remains above it. The market has already begun to anticipate a Fed rate cut, which is a potential bullish signal for gold.
From a technical perspective, the recent drop has partially corrected the previous bearish divergence. However, the divergence on the 1D chart still requires more time to be fully resolved.
At the current level, gold appears oversold. I do not recommend chasing short positions here. A short-term rebound is very likely, with a potential upside target between 3078-3096. If you manage the trade well, there’s an opportunity to capture at least $50 in profit.
If you’re currently holding long positions that are under pressure, stay strong. Don’t give up before the dawn — yesterday was a great example of why persistence matters.
Gold’s Wild Ride: Is the Correction Over?Yesterday was an insane day for Gold—while I expected a strong drop to at least 3,080, I didn’t anticipate such a sharp reversal after the sell-off.
Now, the big question is: Has Gold finished correcting, or is more downside coming?
________________________________________
Why I Expect Another Wave of Selling
📉 Gold Still Looks Vulnerable – Despite the rebound, I don’t believe the correction is over.
📉 Key Resistance Established – The 3,135–3,140 zone has now formed a strong ceiling, limiting upside potential.
📉 Selling Rallies Remains the Plan – Even with yesterday’s bounce back above 3,100, my outlook remains unchanged.
________________________________________
Trading Plan: Selling Spikes During NFP
🔻 Looking for price spikes during the NFP report as opportunities to sell into strength.
🔻 Targeting a new leg down toward the 3,030 support zone.
The correction is likely not done yet—let’s see if the market confirms it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold's Next Big Move? Don't Miss This Trade!Hi traders!, Analyzing XAU/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential long entry:
🔹 Entry: 3,027.23
🔹 TP: 3,064.31
🔹 SL: 2,990.15
Gold is testing a key support level near 3,027, coinciding with the 200 EMA. If buyers step in, we could see a bounce toward 3,064. RSI is approaching oversold levels, suggesting a possible reversal.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader makes their own decision.
Gold’s Rally Pauses – Correction Incoming!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the upper line of the Ascending Channel . The question is, will we have a minor correction or a major correction(main)?
Gold is moving near Resistance lines and Fibonacci levels and was able to breaks the Uptrend lines . I view the upward movement of the last few hours as an upward correction , which will likely cause gold to fall again.
In terms of Elliott waves , it looks like Gold has completed a major wave 5 and I expect Gold to start a major corrective wave . In Gold's history , major impulse waves have completed precisely near the upper lines of ascending channels .
I expect Gold to decline at least to the Support zone($3,100-$3,085) , if gold can break the lower line of the ascending channel, we can be more confident that we are in the main corrective waves .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
Note: If Gold goes above $3,130, we can expect more pumps and a new All-Time High(ATH).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Has gold peaked and turned bearish? Trend analysisGold will focus on the impact of non-agricultural data. At that time, there will be large short-term fluctuations. In the 4H cycle, the weak shock will remain below the middle track. The upper pressure will remain at 3118 and 3135. The short-term weakness will also be accompanied by repeated detours. Therefore, the rebound will be mainly shorted, and the lower support will remain at 3080 and 3055.
Recommendation: Short gold near 3135, stop loss at 3143, target 3120, 3110!
#XAUSUD: Small Time Bearish Correction With Three Take Profit! After reaching a record high of $3,150, the XAUUSD currency pair has experienced a decline. Analysis conducted over the past few hours has led us to anticipate that the price may experience minor corrections within a short time frame.
Upon analysing the data and price movements, we have identified three distinct zones or targets that could serve as potential price levels for the XAUUSD pair.
For further insights into chart analysis, please consider liking and commenting on our content. We appreciate your continuous support.
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#XAUUSD: Last Sell Idea Dropped +300 Pips, Bias Changed? XAUs price behaviour has deviated from previous analysis, which had anticipated a +300 pips increase. However, we now anticipate the price to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching another record high. Our next target price range is estimated to be between 3170$ and 3200$.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. To enhance your trading outcomes, we strongly recommend employing accurate risk management techniques.
Team Setupsfx_
🚀❤️
4/4 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter yesterday’s sharp drop, gold quickly rebounded, and by the end of the session, prices had returned close to the opening level. I’m not sure if anyone is currently stuck in unfavorable positions. Under normal circumstances, if your account has sufficient margin and risk tolerance, such volatility shouldn’t cause major damage. However, for those with weak positions or who bought at the top or sold at the bottom, losses may have occurred—especially common among newer traders who are often influenced by emotions.
If you are currently holding short positions and hoping to wait for a price pullback, you'll need both time and sufficient margin. Based on current candlestick patterns, gold may attempt to test the 3128–3136 resistance zone again. Whether it moves higher will depend on the strength of the bulls.
Importantly, there are several key U.S. economic data releases during the New York session today. Based on preliminary expectations, the data appears to favor the bears, which could put additional pressure on gold prices.
📉 Today’s Trading Strategy:
Sell within the 3133–3152 zone
Buy within the 3065–3032 zone
📊 Scalping/Short-Term Trades:
Be flexible in the 3128–3088 range
NF - Will gold prices continue to fall?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) finds it difficult to build on Thursday’s late recovery from the $3,054 region—its lowest level in a week—and comes under renewed selling pressure during Friday’s Asian session. The metal has dipped back below the $3,100 threshold in recent trading; however, the broader market backdrop still suggests caution is warranted before anticipating any significant correction from the record high reached just a day earlier.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Waiting for gold price to react to decrease at trendline H1, still a downward trend, fear of trade crisis, world economy
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL 3134 - 3136 SL 3141
TP1: $3125
TP2: $3110
TP3: $3090
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3033 - $3035 SL $3028
TP1: $3045
TP2: $3060
TP3: $3075
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Price Analysis:Key Supply & Demand Zones with Potential Bkl🔥 Key Levels & Zones
🔵 Supply Zone (3,135-3,140 USD) 📉
Acts as resistance where selling pressure increases.
If price reaches here, expect a potential pullback.
🟢 Demand Zone (3,085-3,095 USD) 📈
Strong support area with buying interest.
Price has tested this zone multiple times = accumulation.
🎯 Target Point (~3,167 USD) 🚀
If price breaks out, it may rally towards this level!
❌ Stop Loss (~3,080 USD) ⛔
Marked below demand zone to limit risk.
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📊 Trend Analysis
🔹 Trend Line Break ⚡
The price broke the previous uptrend = potential reversal or deeper correction.
🔹 Market Structure 🏗️
Price consolidating inside the demand zone = possible bullish move ahead.
🔹 Double Bottom Formation (DBF) at Supply Zone 🔄
Shows failed breakout attempts = strong resistance.
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🔍 Indicators & Insights
📌 DEMA (9 close) at 3,099 USD 📈
Price hovering around this moving average = market indecision.
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🚦 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price holds the demand zone & breaks above 3,110 USD, it could rally to supply zone (~3,135 USD).
A breakout above 3,140 USD could lead to the target zone (~3,167 USD) 🚀.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 3,085 USD, it may hit stop loss (3,080 USD) and continue lower.
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🎯 Trading Plan
🟩 Long Entry ➡️ Around 3,090-3,100 USD 📊
🛑 Stop Loss ➡️ Below 3,080 USD 🚨
🎯 Target ➡️ 3,135-3,167 USD 🎉