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Xauusdanalysis

The short-selling idea remains unchanged, defend 3355📰 News information： 1. Powell responds to White House issues 2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs? 📈 Technical Analysis： Gold closed with a long lower shadow on the daily line yesterday and closed with a doji on the hourly line. In the short term, gold may continue to rise and is expected to touch the 3355 line. If gold cannot break through and stabilize above 3355, then gold may fall back. We can still consider shorting, and the target can be 3330. If the trend is as expected, it may form the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom. On the contrary, if the gold price breaks through 3355, stop loss on short positions and pay attention to the high resistance of 3375-3385. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3355 TP 3330-3320 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold trend analysis and latest exclusive operation suggestionsTechnical analysis of gold: After the opening yesterday, gold continued to fall slowly. The negative impact of unemployment data in the US market further suppressed the bullish momentum. The lowest price in the US market reached 3310, and the cumulative decline for the whole day exceeded 30 US dollars. But the key is that gold in the New York market rebounded again, forming a wide range of fluctuations on Thursday, which was completely in line with expectations. The 3310 bottom-picking and long-term strategy given during the session successfully captured large profits in the band. This trend once again verified the core judgment of this week: gold is in a high-level fluctuation dominated by the bullish trend, and the practical value of this view continues to highlight. After clarifying the current dual attributes of "bullish trend + oscillating trend", Friday's trading needs to focus on the effective profit space within the range. It is expected that the 3375-3310 large range will be difficult to break during the day this week, and the small range can be locked at 3355-3320. The high-selling and low-buying operations can be performed before the range is broken. The technical side shows that the daily line and the 4-hour period Bollinger band are closed simultaneously. At this time, there is no need to worry about the direction, and effective trading can be achieved by keeping a close eye on the range boundary. It is worth noting that the 4-hour moving average system has obvious upward divergence characteristics. Continuing the rebound momentum of the New York market on Thursday, gold still has room to rise today, and the upper target is 3360-3365. The small cycle support is clear: 3330 and 3320 are not broken, both are good opportunities for long positions. During the US trading period, we need to pay attention to the breaking of the 3365 and 3375 resistance levels: if they are under pressure and not broken, there will be room for a fall, and you can try short-term shorting. Overall, Charlie recommends that the short-term operation strategy for gold today is mainly to step on the low and long, supplemented by the rebound high. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3375-3385 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3345-3335 support. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Outlook Based on Price ActionGold (XAU/USD)**, showing a bullish outlook based on price action and support zones. **Chart Analysis:** * **Current Price:** \$3,359 * **EMA Signals:** * EMA 7: \$3,353 * EMA 21: \$3,345 * EMA 50: \$3,341 **Bullish EMA alignment** (short EMAs above long) signals upward momentum. * **Support Zones:** * **S1**: \~\$3,345 (strong short-term demand area) * **S2**: \~\$3,325 (deeper support zone) * **Volume:** Spikes in green bars signal strong buyer interest near support, especially during the bounce. * **Projected Move (Green Arrow):** * A potential retest of the breakout zone (\~\$3,350) could happen before gold targets the **next key resistance** near **\$3,410**. **Summary:** Gold broke above a consolidation range supported by EMA alignment and strong volume. As long as the price stays above S1 (\$3,345), the trend remains bullish with upside potential toward \$3,400–\$3,410. A pullback may occur first, offering re-entry opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Harry_Megat
Gold- Still needs to resolve the range🔸 Still Rangebound, But Not for Long In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that two scenarios are in play for Gold: 1. Bullish above 3375 2. Bearish under 3320 Throughout the session, price action leaned toward the bearish side, and I aligned with that by opening a short position. It ended with a minor loss — just 50 pips, which is negligible considering I'm looking for a potential 1,000 pip move in the bigger picture. ________________________________________ 🔍 What's Next? As the title says, Gold still needs to resolve the current range before a clear directional move unfolds. The same key levels discussed yesterday remain valid and relevant. And since it’s Friday, today’s daily and weekly candle close will be critical in shaping expectations for next week. ________________________________________ 📈 Bullish Case: Close Above 3360 • A daily/weekly close around 3360 would bring strong pressure on the 3375 resistance. • That could lead to a bullish breakout from the ascending triangle pattern. • It would also leave behind a bullish weekly pin bar (last week was a bullish pin bar too). • This scenario would bring 3450 into focus — with 3500 and even a new ATH on the table in the coming weeks. ________________________________________ 📉 Bearish Case: Close Near 3300 • A close near 3300 would signal a failed rally attempt • That would expose 3250 support short term, and 3150 medium term. ________________________________________ 🧭 Final Thoughts At the moment, I’m flat and waiting for clearer confirmation later in the day. The next move big will be defined by the weekly close — it’s as simple as that. P.S.: It’s just a hunch , but I’m still leaning toward a break under 3300 as the next major move. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Bottom-out rebound, 3338 short orders enteredYesterday, the gold market was affected by Trump's remarks about firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. After briefly falling below 3320, the price quickly rose by nearly 60 points, reaching a high of 3377. Trump later clarified that the news was false, triggering a gold sell-off, and the market rose and fell. As of Thursday's European session, gold prices fell back to around 3320. After a rapid rise and fall in the US market on Wednesday, the downward trend continued on Thursday, with the US market hitting a low of 3310 before rebounding. Judging from the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands failed to open downward, indicating that the current market lacks continuity and the overall market remains in a volatile pattern. In a volatile market, it is recommended to pay attention to key support and resistance levels for high-selling and low-buying operations. The upper resistance range is currently at 3343-3351, and the important watershed support level below is at 3310. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
Xauusd Bullish 18 July 2025 $4085 Prediction📍Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia – 18 July 2025 GOLD (XAUUSD) INSIGHT – First Accumulation Entry Begins Today marks the first leg of bullish territory for Gold (XAUUSD) as price begins its early accumulation phase ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision in 11 days. Using a refined OHLC strategy alongside my proprietary Chrono Conditioned Trading (CCT) method, I foresee a strategic retest around $3357 to $3360, which could unlock the momentum needed to approach $3400 and eventually $3500 a key psychological resistance before price makes its way to the $5000 projection. 🧠 Technical Insight: OHLC Strategy The OHLC (Open-High-Low-Close) method is vital for identifying precision entries: Open shows the market’s first reaction; High and Low define intraday volatility boundaries; Close indicates market sentiment and real direction. In today's setup, early accumulation begins near the previous daily open, and a break above yesterday's high signals that buyers are returning in strength. ⏱ CCT – Chrono Conditioned Trading Approach My CCT method focuses on timing-based entries combined with price conditioning: Entries are planned around event timelines like the upcoming FOMC rate release (FedWatch). CCT waits for the “right time and right structure” not just price but when price moves. Today fits that condition: early cycle, pre-news sentiment, and a clean OHLC break structure. 💡 Trading Tip: “Never chase gold. Let the structure and time align. When OHLC confirms and CCT conditions are met only then, you strike.” 🗓 Fed Expectations: Although rate cuts are projected for September and December 2025, it is unlikely the Fed will move in July. That uncertainty fuels speculative accumulation—making today a strategic entry point. Stay sharp. Watch for OHLC rejections or continuation signals above $3360. If bulls defend $3357 well, gold may reclaim the $3400 range soon setting the stage for the ultimate test at $3500. #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #OHLCstrategy #ChronoConditionedTrading #FedWatch #GoldAnalysis #CCTMethod Regards, Zezu Zaza 2048
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Zezu_Zaza
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late July to early August 2025. The current price is 3,390.266, with a recent decrease of 10.870 (-0.32%). Key levels include a sell price of 3,336.420 and a buy price of 3,337.020, with a resistance zone highlighted between 3,340.720 and 3,380.000, and a support zone around 3,314.186. The chart includes candlestick patterns and trading indicators.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
MOST ACCURATE XAUUSD GOLD FORECAST ANALYSIS MARKETCurrent Setup & Technical Outlook Consolidation & Pennant Formation: Gold is building a bullish pennant and trading above its 50‑day MA — a classic continuation pattern suggesting a breakout toward new highs if momentum resumes . Key Levels: Support: $3,330–3,340 — confirmed by multiple technical sources . Resistance/Breakout Zone: $3,360–3,375 — clearing this could trigger a rally toward $3,400+ . Upside Targets: $3,390, then possibly $3,500–$3,535 per weekly forecast . Alternate Bearish Scenario: A failure around the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance (~$3,374) and overbought RSI could spark a pullback to $3,356 or lower . --- 🧠 Fundamental Drivers Inflation & U.S. Macro Data: Market awaits June CPI/PPI and Fed commentary — cooler inflation could boost gold via dovish expectations, while hotter data may strengthen the USD and weigh on bullion . Geopolitical & Safe-Haven Demand: Trade tensions (e.g., tariffs) are keeping gold elevated near $3,350–$3,360 . Central Bank & Real Yields Watch: Continued gold purchases and lower real rates are supportive, although mid-term easing in risks (like global trade) could curb momentum .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
45
Gold Price Analysis July 18XAUUSD Analysis Gold has just had a deep sweep to 3310 before bouncing back within the trading range. Currently, the price is reacting at the Trendline area around 3344. This is an important level - if broken, gold can return to the uptrend, with the nearest target at 3373. 🔹 Key Levels Support: 3332 - 3312 Resistance: 3344 - 3357 - 3373 - 3389 🔹 Trading Strategy BUY trigger: when price breaks 3344 BUY DCA: when price surpasses 3353 SL: below 3332 Target: 3373 💡 Note: The 3332 area plays an important role in the bullish wave structure, suitable for placing Stop Loss for BUY orders.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Today's GOLD Analysis (MMC) – Bullish Momentum Building Ahead🔍 Market Overview: Gold is currently showing signs of a bullish reversal structure after experiencing a downward correction. Price action has reacted strongly from well-defined demand zones, suggesting institutional buying activity at key levels. The current setup highlights a clear accumulation phase transitioning into a potential markup phase, driven by buyers regaining control. 🧱 Chart Structure Breakdown: 1️⃣ Initial Channel Formation (Left Side of Chart) After a major downtrend, price began consolidating within a rising channel, indicating a retracement or correction phase. This ascending channel showed a short-term bullish effort, but eventually broke to the downside, resuming the dominant bearish flow temporarily. 2️⃣ Previous Reversal Zone ($3,312 – $3,322) This is the origin of the recent bullish move, where price strongly reversed after heavy selling. The reversal formed a long bullish wick and an engulfing candle—clear signs of buying absorption. This level has historical confluence, acting as both support and prior demand. 3️⃣ Mini SR - Interchange Zone ($3,327 – $3,335) This zone is a mini structure level where previous resistance has now become support (SR Flip). The area acted as a platform for the recent bullish reaction. This zone also aligns with the interchange of order blocks, adding more confluence to the bullish argument. 4️⃣ Bullish Pattern Formation Price formed a micro double bottom/inverse head and shoulders structure just above the Mini SR. The pattern suggests strong base-building and provides momentum for the current bullish move. Confirmation came after the neckline breakout and retest within the Central Zone. 5️⃣ Central Zone ($3,340 – $3,345) This is an intraday pivot area, acting as a decision-making zone between buyers and sellers. Price is currently testing this zone with strong bullish candles. A clean break above this level increases the probability of further upside. 6️⃣ Reversal Zone 1 ($3,345 – $3,353) – ✅ Condition 1 Price is now entering this zone, where previous price rejections occurred. If buyers can maintain momentum and break above this zone on strong volume, it will validate the bullish continuation thesis. This zone is also an ideal area to monitor for partial profit-taking or potential short-term rejection. 7️⃣ Reversal Zone 2 ($3,365 – $3,375) – ✅ Condition 2 This is the next significant resistance block. If price reaches this level, it could face heavy resistance and profit-booking from swing traders. However, a breakout above this zone could lead to a much larger bullish wave, targeting $3,390+. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Long Bias: Above $3,335 with targets at $3,353 (TP1) and $3,370 (TP2) Risk Invalidation: Break below Mini SR zone ($3,327) may invalidate bullish thesis Aggressive Entry: At retest of Mini SR after pattern breakout Conservative Entry: On breakout and close above Reversal Zone 1 with confirmation 🧠 Trader’s Mindset: The market is showing a clear shift in momentum, but buyers must sustain control above key levels. Stay patient at resistance zones; avoid chasing. Watch for rejection wicks or bearish divergence near Reversal Zone 2 if you're looking for a counter-trade. 📌 Summary: 📈 Bias: Bullish (as long as $3,335 holds) 💡 Opportunity: Breakout from Mini SR with structure support 📉 Risk: Failure to hold central zone could trigger retest of lower support 🚀 Potential: If momentum continues, gold could revisit July highs near $3,390–$3,400
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Short Term Outlook Gold has held above the Pullback Support Zone (3,335–3,305) after yesterday’s volatility, with buyers stepping in to defend the zone. Price is now trading around 3,338, caught between the 50MA and the 200MA. Despite the recent dip, the structure remains supportive as long as price holds above 3,335. A clean break and hold above 3,354 would confirm renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 3,383 and 3,400, with 3,416 as a higher‑timeframe target. If price fails to clear 3,354 and turns lower again, watch for signs of exhaustion back into the Pullback Support Zone (3,335–3,305). A decisive break below 3,305 would shift focus to the Support Zone (3,289–3,267), with further downside exposing the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208). 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,354 ‣ 3,383 ‣ 3,400 ‣ 3,416 Support: ‣ 3,335 ‣ 3,305 ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267 ‣ 3,241 🔎Fundamental Focus 📌 4:00pm: UoM Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – can spark sharp USD/gold moves. ➡️ Expect volatility around releases.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
7/18: Watch 3343 Resistance, Guard Against Break Below 3323Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold broke below the 3337 support after consolidating there, driven lower by bearish data, and eventually reached the 3323–3312 support zone. A rebound followed, and price has now returned above 3323, which also aligns with the daily MA60. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Today: Resistance: 3343 / 3352–3358 → A sustained break above 3343 opens the door for a potential move toward 3366 / 3372–3378; Support: 3323 / 3312 → If price remains capped below resistance and weekly close is under 3323, it will signal bearish structural pressure for the medium term. 📌 Trading Strategy: Trade flexibly within the range of 3358–3343–3332–3323–3312 📌 Important Reminder: If today’s closing price is below 3323, and you're planning to hold positions over the weekend, it’s safer to lean short. While we can’t predict weekend news, technically, bears have the upper hand, so risk control is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
XAU/USD 4H Bearish Continuation Setup Analysis:Price recently rejected from the key resistance zone around 3,370–3,380 (highlighted in yellow). A double top pattern is evident, indicating bearish pressure. Price broke the rising trendline support and is forming lower highs. Immediate support levels lie at: 3,291.46 3,290.79 A confirmed break below this support could send price toward the next major support at 3,250.04, which aligns with the projected move. Bearish Bias: As long as price remains below 3,344, the structure favors further downside. Watch for a break and retest of the 3,291–3,290 zone for confirmation. 📉 TP Zones: TP1: 3,291 TP2: 3,250 🛑 Invalid if price breaks above: 3,344
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DOCTOR_PIPS05
6
Gold is in danger. Could it fall?Gold started to fall slowly after the Asian market opened on Thursday, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European market. The impact of the initial data in the US market fell sharply to around 3310, then stabilized and rose. It reached a high of around 3341 and then maintained a high sideways fluctuation, and the daily line closed with a negative line. The price trend of gold this week was erratic. On Wednesday, it rose and fell, closing with a positive line, indicating that there was strong resistance above; on Thursday, it fell and rebounded, closing with a negative line, indicating that there was some support below. The current moving average system is chaotic, which further confirms that the overall situation is in a wide range of fluctuations. Connecting the highs and lows of this week can form a fluctuating downward channel, which still has an important guiding role in the market. The current channel resistance is at 3345. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it is expected to open up further upward space; and the channel support is around 3320. Once it falls below, it may trigger a new round of decline. Overall, the upward resistance levels of gold are 3345, 3350, and 3360; the downward support levels are around 3320 and 3310. Operation strategy: Short around 3350, stop loss at 3360, profit range 3330-3310. Long near 3315, stop loss 3305, profit range 3330-3350.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
Gold (XAU/USD) Premium Technical Outlook - 18 July 2024As gold continues to trade near record highs, the market’s current price action around $3,336–3,340 demands a sharp, disciplined technical view. This premium analysis combines price action, Fibonacci techniques, institutional concepts (ICT and Smart Money Concepts), and advanced supply–demand dynamics to identify actionable trade opportunities. We anchor on the 4-hour timeframe for directional bias and zoom into the 1-hour chart for precision intraday setups. 📊 4‑Hour Timeframe: Structure and Directional Bias Gold remains in a clear bullish structure on the 4-hour chart, as evidenced by sustained higher highs and higher lows. The most recent bullish Break of Structure (BOS) occurred above the $3,320–3,325 level, confirming buyers’ control for now. Currently, price hovers near equilibrium at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, testing prior resistance as potential support. This zone aligns with a small fair value gap (FVG), reinforcing it as an area of interest for smart money participants. Key 4H Levels to Watch Level Significance $3,360–3,365 Major supply zone & bearish OB $3,350–3,355 Minor resistance $3,337–3,340 61.8% Fib / equilibrium $3,330–3,333 BOS retest & key support $3,300–3,310 Strong demand zone & bullish OB $3,285–3,295 Secondary demand zone below BOS The directional bias on 4H remains neutral-to-bullish, contingent on price holding above $3,300. A clean break and close above $3,360 could open a path to $3,400–3,420, while a sustained drop below $3,300 would mark a change of character (CHOCH) and shift bias to bearish. 🪙 Institutional Concepts in Play Order Blocks (OB): Strong bullish OB sits at $3,300–3,310, while a bearish OB dominates at $3,355–3,365. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): On the bullish side, $3,300–3,315 remains unfilled; on the bearish side, $3,330–3,345 caps rallies. Liquidity Grabs: Dips toward $3,295–3,300 appear to sweep sell-side liquidity, while spikes above $3,360 tap into resting buy stops. The area around $3,330 remains a key battleground where smart money likely accumulates positions before the next impulsive move. ⏳ 1‑Hour Timeframe: Intraday Trade Setups On the 1-hour chart, the market is compressing between a bullish order block and bearish supply. Price action shows evidence of short-term liquidity sweeps and reactions to imbalances, offering two clear scenarios for intraday traders. 📈 Setup A – Bullish Zone Bounce Entry: Buy limit at $3,332–3,333 Stop-loss: Below $3,328 Take-Profit 1: $3,345 Take-Profit 2: $3,355 Rationale: Confluence of 4H demand, Fib retracement, BOS retest, and 1H bullish order block. 📉 Setup B – Supply Rejection Short Entry: Sell limit at $3,355–3,360 Stop-loss: Above $3,365 Take-Profit 1: $3,337 Take-Profit 2: $3,330 Rationale: Price into 4H bearish OB, aligning with supply and stop runs above recent highs. 🌟 The Golden Setup Among these, the Bullish Zone Bounce at $3,332–3,333 stands out as the highest-probability trade. This level represents maximum confluence: Retest of 4H BOS. Bullish OB on 1H. 61.8% Fibonacci support. Unmitigated fair value gap. This setup offers a favorable risk–reward profile with clear invalidation and multiple upside targets. 🔎 Summary Table Bias Key Support Zones Key Resistance Zones Neutral-to-bullish $3,300–3,310, $3,330–3,333 $3,350–3,355, $3,360–3,365 Intraday Setups Entry Zone Stop-Loss Take-Profit Targets Bullish Zone Bounce 🌟 $3,332–3,333 < $3,328 $3,345 / $3,355 Supply Rejection Short $3,355–3,360 > $3,365 $3,337 / $3,330 📣 Final Word Gold maintains a structurally bullish outlook above $3,300, with strong institutional footprints evident in the $3,300–3,333 demand zones. Traders should remain vigilant around $3,360, where sell-side liquidity and supply are concentrated. The Golden Setup — a bullish bounce from $3,332 — offers the best confluence and statistical edge intraday.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
USDCAD is showing signs of bullish recovery✏️ OANDA:USDCAD has broken the Trendline structure to form a corrective uptrend. The price is still above the 20 SMA, indicating that the market's bullish momentum is still strong. The bullish wave may extend to 1.385. Pay attention to the reaction at the 1.375 liquidity candle wick zone for a positive DCA strategy. 📉 Key Levels Support: 1.365 Resistance: 1.375-1.385 BUY Now: 1.365 (Strong support zone) BUY Trigger: break and close above 1.375 Target: 1.385 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Long
by VHT_Trader
2
Gold returns to Sideway range waiting for new momentumOANDA:XAUUSD A sweep of liquidity back to the 3377 zone and then back into the triangle trading range. Currently, the market will wait for new momentum for the next trend. If the 3322 zone is still holding, the uptrend to 3400 is still there. This is an important price zone in today's trading day. 📉 Key Levels BUY Trigger: rejection 3323 with bullrish confirmation Target: 3373 SELL Trigger: Break and trading Bellow support 3321 Target: 3285 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
12
Gold’s Last Stand? Major Retest at 3310–3300 Under the influence of negative news, gold today fell below the recent low of 3320 and continued to fall to around 3310. The current gold structure looks particularly obvious, the center of gravity of gold gradually moves downward, and the short trend is extremely obvious; however, as gold repeatedly probes the 3320-3310 area, we can clearly see the resistance of gold to falling, and multiple structural supports are concentrated in the 3320-3300 area. So as long as gold does not fall below this area, gold bulls still have the potential to rebound. However, for now, after experiencing discontinuous sharp rises and falls, gold needs to undergo a short-term technical repair, so it may be difficult for a unilateral trend to appear in the short term. So I have reason to believe that gold will focus on rectification and repair next. The important resistance area we have to pay attention to above is in the 3340-3350 area; and the important support below is in the 3310-3300 area. Currently, gold is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3340, and the short-term rebound momentum is sufficient, but I still believe that gold will fall back again and test the support of 3320-3300 area after consuming the bullish energy. So for short-term trading, first of all, I advocate shorting gold in the 3340-3350 area, and expect gold to retreat to the 3320-3300 area during the consolidation process.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
3340-3300: Lock in the buy high and sell low in this area!Under the influence of unemployment benefits and zero monthly sales data, gold fell sharply in the short term, but it did not effectively fall below 3310 during multiple tests, effectively curbing the further downward space of the shorts. Multiple structural supports are also concentrated in the 3310-3300 area, so as long as gold does not fall below this area, gold bulls still have the potential to rebound. However, for the current gold market, it may be difficult to see a unilateral trend in the short term. After experiencing discontinuous surges and plunges, gold may focus on consolidation and repair, and the consolidation range may be limited to the 3340-3300 area. So for short-term trading, first of all, I advocate going long on gold in the 3320-3310 area, and expect gold to rebound and reach the 3330-3340 area; If gold reaches the 3335-3345 area as expected, we can start to consider shorting gold, and expect gold to step back to the 3320-3310 area during the shock and rectification process.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Gold Analysis – Why I’m Targeting $4,085Friday July 18 2025. Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur - Gold analysis done by Zezu Zaza to see the potential upcoming upside starting today this Friday. I am using a CCT (Chrono Conditioned Trading) technique for my trading based analysis with mathematical strategy in the Xauusd pricing. We will cover the technical, fundamental and sentiment aspect as these are the three components pillars in trading before making any decision and movement trend. 1. Technical Setup (Daily Chart) Gold is currently consolidating between the $3,300 to $3,375 range after a strong rally earlier this year. The RSI sits near the neutral 50 level, while the MACD shows signs of a potential bullish crossover. A confirmed breakout above the $3,375 to $3,400 resistance zone may lead to a surge toward $3,600 to $3,650, and possibly much higher. Market structure remains bullish, with higher lows forming a solid base around $3,300. 2. Federal Reserve Outlook – 2025 Rate Cuts Expected The market is now pricing in at least two interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve by the end of 2025. A 25 basis point cut is expected in September, with another potentially coming in December. Recent CPI and PPI data indicate cooling inflation, giving the Fed more room to ease without reigniting price pressure. Labor market strength is weakening, wage growth is decelerating, and tighter credit conditions are emerging. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently stated that the risks of over-tightening are now balanced, signaling a shift to a more dovish stance. Lower interest rates reduce bond yields and weaken the dollar, which historically fuels gold’s bullish momentum. If trump fired or Powell decision to step down, this will fire the gold even higher for the catalyze. 3. Market Sentiment (Speculative Positioning) As of July 11, 2025, the latest CFTC Commitment of Traders report shows speculative net long positions on gold have surged to 203,000 contracts, the highest level in several months. This signals a strong bullish sentiment among hedge funds and large traders. In addition, gold ETFs saw over $38 billion in inflows in the first half of 2025, highlighting strong institutional demand as investors seek safety in uncertain times. The positioning supports further upside as traders bet on a softer dollar and increased market volatility. 4. Macro Fundamentals and Hedge Fund Sentiment Central banks around the world, especially in the BRICS nations, continue to increase their gold reserves in efforts to reduce reliance on the US dollar. China has been actively accumulating gold for more than eight consecutive months, with unofficial estimates suggesting holdings of up to 5,000 metric tons. Several hedge funds and institutional managers now classify gold as a core asset class due to rising fiscal uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and the deterioration of confidence in monetary policy. David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital emphasized that gold is not just about inflation but about the credibility of monetary and fiscal policies. His fund maintains a long gold position and expects higher prices as global deficits and structural imbalances persist. 5. Institutional Forecasts and Speculator Targets Goldman Sachs has raised its end-of-2025 target to the $3,700 to $3,950 range, citing rising ETF inflows and a softer Fed stance. JPMorgan expects gold to average around $3,675 in the fourth quarter of 2025. Citi, in a bull case scenario, believes gold could trade well above $3,300. The World Gold Council has outlined a high-conviction scenario in which gold could reach $4,000 within the next six to nine months, driven by stagflation and global monetary instability. Greenlight Capital is reportedly aiming for the $3,500 to $3,800 range, though David Einhorn noted that he does not want prices to rise excessively too quickly. Target Price: $4,085 first before turn the bullish sooners to $5000 price make this same year. My target of $4,085 is supported by the convergence of multiple factors: - A bullish technical structure with a potential breakout - Fed interest rate cuts reducing yields and weakening the dollar. Fed will reduce the rates for the first time this year (12 more days) after this article is published today 18 July 2025. - Strong speculative positioning and ETF demand - Aggressive central bank accumulation - Hedge fund sentiment aligned with rising gold exposure - Persistent geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty If these conditions hold, $4,085 is a realistic medium-term objective within six to nine months. Trading Plan Summary Component Strategy Entry Zone Breakout above $3,375 Stop Loss $3,300 to $3,320 (below key support) Take Profit Partial at $3,600 to $3,650, trail remainder to $4,085 Risk Triggers Dollar strength, unexpected Fed hawkish turn, resolution in geopolitics Key Catalysts CPI done, PPI done, FOMC statements, nonfarm payrolls, war developments Final Takeaway This gold analysis blends a bullish technical pattern with the macroeconomic backdrop of an approaching Fed pivot, rising speculative positioning, and ongoing central bank purchases. Hedge funds and institutions are increasingly viewing gold as an essential defensive asset, especially in the face of deteriorating fiscal credibility and geopolitical tensions. If gold breaks and holds above the $3,375 level, the path toward $4,085 becomes significantly more probable. 18 July 2025 Friday is a starter ignition trend will born today. I will place some test lots today and will accumulate after from time to time. Let me know if you what is your opinion or send email to me to reach me for the insitutional analyst or want to see live trade. Regards, Zezu Zaza 2048
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Zezu_Zaza