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Xauusdanalysis

Tariffs and large-scale non-agricultural affairs are comingGold experienced violent fluctuations yesterday, and technical analysis faced challenges. Luck factors were prominent in extreme market conditions. However, from the perspective of multi-period technical analysis, the gold price is still above the weekly, monthly and daily support, and the long-term bullish pattern has not changed. In the future, we need to focus on the 3054 support level, and the gains and losses of this position will directly affect the future market trend. The 3115 area resistance on the four-hour chart is significant, which is a key watershed in the short-term market. If the gold 1-hour moving average forms a dead cross, the short position will be more dominant. The current upper resistance is 3105-3111, and the lower support is 3054-3046. The operation is recommended to rebound short. Operation strategy: It is recommended to rebound 3097-3105 short, stop loss 3115, target 3065-3046.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenedictLuc8
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY? In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability. Markets across the board took a hit: 📉 US, European, and Asian equities 📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red. 🔍 So, What Actually Happened? Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell. Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time? ➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos. 📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes. 🧨 The Start of Something Bigger? Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings. Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain. If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off. 📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating: ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected) Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9) New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell 👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy. 🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become. Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous. 🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire. 🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner? Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations: A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025 Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2) There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control. ⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action Right now, your best position might be… no position. "Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take." This isn’t the time to chase wild price action. It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion. 📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD 🔺 Resistance: 3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167 🔻 Support: 3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054 SL: 3050 TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150 SL: 3154 TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120 💬 Final Thoughts The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm. Gold is in the eye of that storm. Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control. 📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades. Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital. 🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD Analysis – Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Trade Setup1. Chart Overview The 15-minute XAU/USD chart shows a descending wedge pattern forming after a price rally. The wedge is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a gradual weakening of bullish momentum. After consolidating within this wedge, the price has broken down, suggesting a bearish continuation. This setup provides a high-probability short trade with clear entry, stop-loss, and multiple take-profit levels. 2. Key Technical Elements A) Chart Pattern – Descending Wedge Breakdown A descending wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern when forming at the bottom of a downtrend. However, in this case, it appears at the end of a corrective move, making it a bearish continuation setup. The upper trendline (black dashed line) acts as resistance, preventing price from breaking higher. The lower trendline (solid blue line) represents temporary support. The wedge narrows as price action contracts, leading to an eventual breakdown. 👉 Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken below the wedge’s support trendline. A minor pullback to retest the broken trendline suggests validation of the breakdown. B) Resistance & Support Levels 1️⃣ Resistance Level (Sell Zone) – $3,100 to $3,135 This area previously acted as a supply zone, rejecting bullish attempts. Price was unable to sustain above this level, leading to further downside pressure. Stop-loss should be placed above this level ($3,135.57) to protect against invalidation. 2️⃣ Support Level (Buy Zone) – $3,050 to $3,056 This was a previous reaction zone where price briefly bounced before continuing lower. Now acting as Take Profit 1 (TP1) at $3,056.58. 3️⃣ Breakout & Retest After breaking the wedge, price retested the trendline but failed to reclaim it, confirming the bearish trend. 3. Trade Setup & Execution 🔵 Entry Point: Short trade activation upon the breakdown and retest of the wedge structure. Price rejection at the trendline confirms seller strength. 🔴 Stop-Loss: Placed at $3,135.57, slightly above recent swing highs. This protects against false breakouts or sudden reversals. 🎯 Take Profit Levels: TP1 ($3,056.58): First target where buyers might step in. TP2 ($3,022.39): Midway target, acting as another strong support. TP3 ($2,985.44): Final target where price may stabilize or reverse. 4. Market Context & Confirmation Indicators 📉 Bearish Confirmation: Strong downward momentum suggests continued selling pressure. Price action is failing to make new highs, confirming lower highs and lower lows. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): The trade offers a favorable RRR, as the downside potential is significantly larger than the stop-loss range. ⚡ Additional Confirmation: A strong bearish candle confirmed the breakout, rejecting higher levels. Potential support breakouts suggest that price could reach TP3 if bearish momentum continues. 5. Conclusion – Trading Strategy Summary ✅ Pattern Identified: Descending Wedge Breakdown (Bearish) ✅ Trade Direction: Short (Sell) ✅ Entry Trigger: Breakout & Retest of the Trendline ✅ Stop-Loss: Above $3,135.57 (Wedge Resistance Zone) ✅ Take Profit Targets: TP1: $3,056.58 TP2: $3,022.39 TP3: $2,985.44 📌 Final Thoughts: This setup provides a high-probability trade with a clear breakdown structure and downside potential. If the price continues to respect the bearish trend, reaching all TP levels is likely. However, traders should monitor for reversal signals and manage risk accordingly. 🔔 Risk Warning: Always use proper risk management and adjust positions according to market conditions! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD:Wait for Nonfarm Payrolls to boost upward trendOn Thursday, the price of gold plummeted by $110 initially. Subsequently, it rebounded from $3,054 to $3,135, surging by nearly $80. This was a typical market scenario of a double whammy for both bulls and bears in a washout. Whether it was those who chased long positions at high levels or those who chased short positions expecting a pullback, they all suffered losses. The level of $3,054 witnessed a perfect conversion from a top to a bottom. Today, when it comes to the resistance levels of gold, there are two key positions to focus on. One is the morning's high point at $3,120, and the other is the high point of the pullback at $3,135. As for the support levels below, we should pay attention to $3,080 and $3,065. There will be a market movement influenced by the Nonfarm Payrolls data tonight. It is expected that before the release of the data, the price will fluctuate within a range above and below $3,100, which serves as the demarcation line. When the price surges, look for a pullback towards $3,100; when it dips, look for a rebound towards $3,100. It is recommended to mainly take long positions at low levels. Tonight, we need to pay attention to whether the Nonfarm Payrolls data will help gold prices rise again. Here, I would like to caution all traders once again to protect their accounts. Wait until the washout of both bullish and bearish forces is over before resuming trading! Trading Strategy: buy@3080 TP:3110 Sell@3135 TP:3100 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LeoBlackwood
The bearish trend is just beginning: Short Gold!Good morning, bros! With the gold price falling by LSE:100H yesterday, there is no doubt that the market is currently dominated by bears! As the gold high gradually moves down, it is difficult to hold even 3100, further weakening the bullish momentum and exacerbating panic selling to a certain extent! Obviously, as gold completes the regional conversion, the previous support has been transformed into an important resistance area in the short term, and the short-term resistance effect of the 3115-3125 zone is very obvious; and the current area near 3090 does not play a structural support role, so the area near 3090 is easy to be broken, and the short-term support below is in the 3075-3065 zone. So in terms of short-term trading, before the NFP market, we can still short gold with the resistance of the 3115-3125 zone, with the first target pointing to the 3075-3065 zone, followed by the 3055-3045 zone. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Structural analysis and operation suggestions after gold washAnalysis of gold market trend: Gold fluctuated quite a lot yesterday. It rose at the opening yesterday, rising to nearly 60 US dollars, and then fell back after being blocked at the 3167 line. However, it fell below 3100, and the lowest to the top and bottom conversion was around 3054, a drop of nearly 114 US dollars. Beyond expectations, it pulled back to 80 US dollars, and the daily line finally closed with a cross Yin line. The rapid roller coaster is too scary. The market volatility is too large, so you can only watch more and do less. If you encounter non-agricultural data, according to yesterday's trend, the market may not be so big today. After all, it has already ended yesterday. When the price fell sharply, and then there was a sharp rebound to stand firm at 3100, the market of gold yesterday was thrilling, a super roller coaster, and the difficulty of gold operation has increased a lot. However, this kind of market is rare after all. After the ups and downs of gold, it will return to normal. Although today's non-agricultural data, I personally tend to fluctuate in a large range. It is estimated that it will not break yesterday's high point or yesterday's low point. If combined with silver, gold is still oscillating and bearish. At present, it should peak in the short term, and it will choose a direction after a correction. Gold technical analysis: Therefore, gold is not as strong as before, so it is possible for gold to rise or fall in this state. Pay attention to the previous high of 3150 on the upside, and pay attention to the gains and losses of 3055 on the downside. The 4-hour cycle has cleverly entered the oscillation range. Although the market has gone out of the big drop space, the 4-hour cycle Bollinger has not opened, and the moving average system has not diverged. The effective range for the time being is within 3085/3135. Therefore, if there is no large fluctuation on Friday, you can refer to the range of the 4-hour cycle to do high-altitude and low-multiple transactions. The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern, but the gold bulls are not very strong. Of course, there is also the impact of non-agricultural data. It is expected that after the big rise and fall on Thursday, the impact of Friday's data will not be great. Before the release of non-agricultural data, we should operate in the range of 3120-3066. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3120-3125 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3054-3066 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. We must control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders. Gold operation strategy: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebound near 3120-3125, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3085, break to see 3065 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3070-3065, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3090, break to see 3110 line;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold Analysis March 4Fundamental Analysis Persistent concerns over the potential economic impact of US President Donald Trump’s tit-for-tat tariffs could act as a catalyst for the safe-haven precious metal. Meanwhile, risk-off sentiment, coupled with expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle early, has caused a sharp decline in US Treasury yields. This, in turn, has pushed the US dollar (USD) to its lowest level since October 2024 and helped limit the downside in non-yielding gold. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for a sharp sell-off to confirm that XAU/USD has topped out. Technical Analysis Today’s trading range is likely to see a fairly high probability of a drop. If it breaks 3116, gold will find its way back to 3081. In case gold breaks the downward structure as analyzed in the upward direction, pay attention to the SELL zone around 3148-3150. Wishing everyone a successful trading day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold fell into a high-level consolidation.Although the gold price briefly fell back to 3100 points, the strength was limited. The big positive line quickly broke through, showing that the short-term momentum was insufficient, the long-term was still strong, and the probability of a new high was greatly increased. On the hourly chart, the gold price maintained high fluctuations, and the strength and sustainability of the retracement were not strong. The technical form of the small-level cycle was gradually adjusted in place, and it was expected to continue to rise in the late trading. The upper resistance was concentrated in the 3127-3133 range, and the lower support was in the 3107-3103 range. Strategy: It is recommended to buy at 3105-3100, stop loss at 3093, target at 3120-3130, and break at 3140.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
When will gold's continued highs peak?In terms of the short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3128-3130 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3097 line of support. Operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near the rebound of gold around 3127-3130, stop loss 3140, target around 3115-3105, and look at the 3100 line if it breaks; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Go long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near the pullback of gold around 3100-3102, stop loss 3090, target around 3120-3128, and look at the 3140 line if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
Gold's upper resistance appears, trend analysisGold has recently shown a strong upward offensive, and the daily line has been rising continuously, showing an upward trend. What gold needs to pay attention to is that the end of the rising market is not determined by the high point, but by the breaking of the key support level. The current upper resistance is at 3148-3152, and the lower support is at 3122-3117. It is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and low and long as the auxiliary. Gold strategy: long at 3127/28, stop loss at 3120, target 3140-3145; if 3145 is not broken, short on rallies and then look back to around 3130-28.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
Is the trend of gold rising sharply or falling sharply? In the short-term 4-hour chart, the current support below is around 3100-3095, which is the key to whether a short-term short position can be formed. If it falls below, it will enter a short-term short trend. The short-term upper resistance focuses on the two positions of 3027-3038, which is the recent top and bottom conversion position, and the upper resistance is around 3150. Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend, and the main idea is to buy more after a pullback. Strategy: It is recommended to buy more at 3108/09, stop loss at 3100, and target around 3123-3127 and 3137
TVC:GOLDShort
by MarjorieMatthew
With the heavy tariff policy coming, will gold rise or fall?On the technical side of gold, the 4-hour chart shows that the short-term moving average of gold is sticking together, and the lower shadows of the K-line appear frequently. The downward momentum is weakening, which may indicate that the technical repair after the sideways shock is expected to usher in a second rise. The hourly chart shows that the price range is tightening, and the technical pattern is gradually adjusted in place. The current upper resistance is 3137-3142, and the lower support is 3111-3107. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 3135-3140 on the rebound, with a stop loss of 3146, and the target is 3115-3100. If it breaks, it will be 3080. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 3082-3077 on the pullback, with a stop loss of 3072, and the target is 3130-3160.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
Gold is trading sideways at a high level! Trend analysisGold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend, and the current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line. We should pay attention to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair. Gold has not broken through the intraday high and continues to be mainly high-altitude. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, long (buy long) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MarjorieMatthew
Gold is rising strongly, is it one step closer to 3200?Gold has risen sharply again, and the current surge has reached the 3167.5 US dollar line! Gold continues to be bullish and long, and there is still room and demand for further increases! It is not easy to operate at present. The resistance is the intraday high, and a small stop loss is needed to be short. In terms of short-term operation ideas for gold, it is recommended to mainly short on rebounds and supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3138-3140 is the focus, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3100-3110 is the focus. Strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near 3175-3178 of gold rebound, stop loss 6 points, target near 3155-3145, break to see 3140 line; Strategy 2: Long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near 3138-3140 of gold pullback, stop loss 6 points, target near 3160-3170, break to see 3180 line;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
1
The last chance for bulls to fight back after the gold crash!After gold rose rapidly, it ushered in a rapid decline. At present, the key support below has moved down to the 3057 line. This is the previous top-bottom conversion level, and it is also the support near the daily 10 moving average. If it does not break here, gold is still in a long correction. After consolidation, it will stand on the 5-day moving average. The line will rise again and hit the previous high. If the level is broken, it will enter the mid-term adjustment. The current lowest market price has touched the first line of 3062, which is closer to the previous high of 3157. We must dare to test near the key support level. Gold is near 3057, and the target is 3100-3105; Strategy: It is recommended to buy around 3057, stop loss at 3050, target at 3100-05-20;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
Analysis of the latest trend of gold surge and plungeAfter a sharp rise, gold fell sharply again, reaching a high of over 3167 and a low of around 3054, with a fluctuation of more than 110 US dollars. Judging from the current trend of gold, there is a high probability of a short-term volatile decline, but the overall trend is still bullish, and the market outlook is still mainly low-long; the upper pressures are 3134, 3145 and 3153, and the near pressure is around 3119. The lower supports are 3085, 3079 and 3060, and the near support is 3096. Suggestion: Wait for it to fall back to around 3080 or slightly below, stop loss at 3070, short-term target around 3130, target around 3140 or higher,
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MarjorieMatthew
NFP - Shorting GoldThe gold market experienced huge fluctuations on Thursday, which created very good profits for us. During the entire trading process, we seized the profits of fluctuations of more than $50. The unemployment rate and NFP data during the US trading session on Friday, as well as Powell's speech on the economic outlook, are the focus of Friday's trading. Judging from the data released in March, the unemployment rate and NFP are more likely to be bearish for gold, so when trading data, my plan is to focus on short positions. At present, in terms of technical form, the indicators show that the bulls have not ended. In this case, the transaction needs to pay attention to the 3123/3136 resistance. If it cannot break through, the price is expected to fall again to 3103 or even 3086. Overall, today's trading focus is to sell at high levels.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur
GOLD Bullish Trend Continues After FVG Test🟢 GOLD is maintaining strong bullish momentum after successfully testing a Fair Value Gap (FVG). A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms the uptrend, with higher lows forming—a clear sign of continuation. 📊 Analysis: ✅ Bullish Trend: The price structure confirms an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. ✅ Fake Reversal Break of Structure (BOS): A key level has been broken, signaling reversal but based on current momentum that follows it shows Buyers continued strength. ✅ FVG Test Success: Price respected the Fair Value Gap, reinforcing buying pressure. ✅ 🎯 Target: , aligning with . ✅ 📈 Momentum: Strong upward drive suggests further gains ahead. 🔮 Potential Scenario: The price is likely to continue climbing, forming a new higher high toward the target level. 📢 Confirmation Signals to Watch: 📌 Volume: Increasing volume on bullish moves. 📌 Candlestick Patterns: Bullish signals at key support levels. 📌 Moving Averages: Price holding above critical moving averages. 📌 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research. 🔗 Tags: #GOLD #XAUUSD #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FVG #BreakOfStructure #TrendAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Professor_Noah