Gold swing trade week 16/03/25Last week he had a trade from 2880 that ran for 1244 pips congragulations if you took it.
This week we are looking for a sell then leading into a buy at previous resistance.
Current Price Action:
Gold is trading near $2,984, slightly rejecting resistance.
The price is respecting the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: Around $2,998 - $3,000, psychological and technical resistance.
Key Support: 2,961 - $2,965 (potential buy zone).
Next Major Resistance: 3,021 - 3,030 (Fibonacci extension + trendline target).
Fibonacci Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement around 2,964 aligns with a potential buy entry.
The 0.382 retracement at 2,996 acts as immediate resistance.
Trendlines & Channel:
Price is respecting the bullish channel.
A break above 3,000 could push XAU/USD toward 3,021 - 3,050.
If price breaks below 2,961, a retracement to 2,930 - 2,900 is possible.
Moving Averages:
Short-term EMA (White) is above the Green MA, signaling continued bullishness.
If the price holds above 2,965, bulls remain in control.
Xauusdanalysis
XAUUSD: Market AnalysisOn Friday, gold rose and broke through the $3000 mark. I clearly provided a long-term shorting strategy. Currently, the orders are still being held.
For next week, pay attention to the resistance area above gold at $3000 - $3010. When it reaches this area, you can continue to go short.
Focus on the key support area below at $2980 - $2960. If this area is broken to the downside, it will reach $2940 - $2920.
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $600,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market Robbery Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🚀
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2830.00) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (2830.00) swing Trade Basis Using the 2H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 2780.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 2710.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Global Market Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Positioning:
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend., driven by several key factors.
⭐☀🌟Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices are influenced by various fundamental factors, including:
- Inflation: Rising inflation can lead to increased demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
- Interest Rates: Lower interest rates can make gold more attractive to investors, while higher interest rates can reduce demand.
- Central Bank Policies: Central banks' decisions on gold reserves and monetary policies can impact gold prices.
- Global Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or crises can increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
⭐☀🌟Macro Economics
Macroeconomic factors that can impact gold prices include:
- GDP Growth: Slowing GDP growth can lead to increased demand for gold.
- Unemployment Rates: Rising unemployment can increase demand for gold.
- Inflation Rates: Rising inflation can lead to increased demand for gold.
⭐☀🌟Global Market Analysis
Global market trends can also impact gold prices:
- Stock Market Performance: Weakness in the stock market can lead to increased demand for gold.
- Currency Fluctuations: A weaker US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors.
⭐☀🌟COT Data
Commitment of Traders (COT) data can provide insights into market sentiment:
- Non-Commercial Traders: An increase in long positions by non-commercial traders can indicate bullish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders: An increase in short positions by commercial traders can indicate bearish sentiment.
⭐☀🌟Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket analysis involves analyzing the relationships between different markets:
- Correlation with Other Assets: Gold's correlation with other assets, such as stocks and bonds, can impact its price.
- Commodity Prices: Changes in commodity prices, such as oil and copper, can impact gold prices.
⭐☀🌟Quantitative Analysis
Quantitative analysis involves using mathematical models to analyze gold prices:
- Technical Indicators: Technical indicators, such as moving averages and relative strength index (RSI), can provide insights into gold's trend.
- Statistical Models: Statistical models, such as regression analysis, can help identify relationships between gold prices and other variables.
⭐☀🌟Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentimental analysis involves analyzing investor attitudes and sentiment:
- Bullish Sentiment: Increased bullish sentiment can lead to higher gold prices.
- Bearish Sentiment: Increased bearish sentiment can lead to lower gold prices.
⭐☀🌟Positioning
Positioning involves analyzing the current market position:
- Long Positions: An increase in long positions can indicate bullish sentiment.
- Short Positions: An increase in short positions can indicate bearish sentiment.
⭐☀🌟Next Trend Move
Based on the analysis, the next trend move for XAU/USD is uncertain. However, if inflation concerns rise, or if there's a significant increase in bullish sentiment, gold prices could move higher.
Short-Term: Bullish: $2,900-$3,000, Bearish: $2,700-$2,600
Medium-Term: Bullish: $3,200-$3,500, Bearish: $2,400-$2,200
Long-Term: Bullish: $3,800-$4,000, Bearish: $2,000-$1,800
⭐☀🌟Overall Summary Outlook
The overall summary outlook for XAU/USD is neutral. Gold prices are influenced by a complex array of factors, and the current market position is uncertain. Investors should monitor inflation concerns, interest rates, and global economic conditions to make informed decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Analysis of the Gold Price Trend Next WeekThis week, the spot gold price witnessed a breakthrough market trend. Influenced by the continuous gold purchases by central banks of multiple countries, the heightened global economic uncertainties, and the expectations of trade frictions, the gold price soared to as high as US$3,005 per ounce at one point, reaching a historical high. Although the short-term overbought signals and the pressure of profit-taking may trigger market volatility, the long-term bullish pattern has already been established.
The key resistance level on the daily chart is at 3025, which is the combination of the previous high and the 2.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The support level below is at 2956, which is the recent level where the top has transformed into the bottom. The hourly chart shows that during the U.S. trading session, the price correction only reached 2978 before gaining support. If the price stabilizes within the range of 2970 - 2975, there will still be short-term upward momentum.
Suggestions for gold trading operations next week:
buy@2970-2975
SL@2963
TP:2998
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2950.00
Sell Entry below 2870.00
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 2900.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 2920.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3070.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2770.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors.
🚩Fundamental Analysis
Gold Demand: Gold demand is expected to increase, driven by growing central bank purchases and investor demand for safe-haven assets.
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold.
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence.
🚩Macro Economics
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence.
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold.
Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials.
🚩COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional):
Net Long Positions: 70%
Open Interest: 250,000 contracts
Commercial Traders (Companies):
Net Short Positions: 20%
Open Interest: 120,000 contracts
Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders):
Net Long Positions: 10%
Open Interest: 25,000 contracts
COT Ratio: 3.0 (indicating a strong bullish trend)
🚩Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 75% bullish, 25% bearish.
Retail Sentiment: 70% bullish, 30% bearish.
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +65.
🚩Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: Potential upside to 3070.00-3200.00.
Target: 3200.00 (primary target), 3300.00 (secondary target)
Next Swing Target: 3400.00 (potential swing high)
Stop Loss: 2700.00 (below the 30-day low)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 300.00 vs potential loss of 150.00)
🚩Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for XAU/USD is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in gold demand, growing central bank purchases, and bullish market sentiment are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish.
Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish.
Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish.
USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift.
Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium.
Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish.
╰┈➤COT Data
Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish.
Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable.
Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest.
Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk.
Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution.
Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral.
Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906).
Broker: 60% long—crowded.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880.
Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk.
Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets.
Corporate: Hedging stabilizes.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish.
RSI: 48—neutral.
Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation.
Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot.
Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish.
EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains.
Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven.
Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish.
Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver.
Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955.
Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949.
Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000.
Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE.
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs).
Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish).
Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold Head & Shoulder Pattern, Possible shorting opportunities.Gold has recently formed a head and shoulders pattern on the chart, a classic bearish reversal signal that could indicate a potential decline in price. If the neckline is broken with strong volume, it may present a shorting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on downside momentum.
Also showing bearish on 2 indicators ( RSI and MACD).
Also, in downward channels.
However, confirmation and risk management are essential before making any trading decisions.
Note :- This is not financial advice.
Gold Head & Shoulder Pattern, Possible shorting opportunities.Gold has recently formed a head and shoulders pattern on the chart, a classic bearish reversal signal that could indicate a potential decline in price. If the neckline is broken with strong volume, it may present a shorting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on downside momentum. However, confirmation and risk management are essential before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
3000 Target goldThis is a 1-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from OANDA. The analysis suggests a bullish outlook, with price action currently testing a key resistance level around 2,934. The chart includes the following key elements:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
A previous resistance zone (marked in dark teal) has been broken and is now acting as potential support.
The next major resistance is around 2,980, with an all-time high target of 3,000.
2. Trendline Support:
A white ascending trendline indicates a bullish structure, with price respecting higher lows.
3. Projected Move:
The yellow arrow suggests a pullback to the support zone (previous resistance) before bouncing higher.
A successful retest could lead to an upward move towards 3,000.
This analysis suggests that gold remains in an uptrend, and traders might look for confirmation of support before entering long positions.
Unlock self-rescue guide hereNotice! The gold market has suddenly changed! Gold, which had been rising all the way, has now shown a peak signal, and a decline has become inevitable.
The current big Yinxian is falling straight, and the market is completely shrouded in a bearish atmosphere. From a technical perspective, the evening star pattern is significant, which is often a strong signal of trend reversal. At the same time, the gold price deviates seriously from the moving average. This deviation is difficult to maintain in the market for a long time, and returning to rationality is an observable rule.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the big Yinxian entity strongly engulfs the Yangxian, directly breaking through the support line, forming an extremely strong bearish engulfing pattern, which means that the space below has been opened, and a plunge may be just around the corner. Are you ready to meet this storm in the gold market? Opportunities always coexist with risks, and now is the time to test investors' decisiveness.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold is falling as expectedThe market has started to decline. Whether the 3,000 will become history remains unknown, but the current decline is real! In the evening, it is necessary to avoid emotional trading. Those who blindly follow the trend and go long are hoped to stay rational. After continuous rises, it has now started to fall. Currently, the market is in a slump. This situation won't be in a high-level range bound. If it doesn't rise, it will fall.
Today is already Friday. Only after the gold price drops to the support level below will it rise further! So, go short in the evening and pay attention to the 2,970 as the dividing line!
Trading Strategy:
sell@2990-2980
tp 2970-2960
I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide.
XAUUSD Analysis StrategyAs of now, gold has already broken through the 3000 level. It reached a peak of 3005 at its highest point and then pulled back for adjustment.
From the analysis of the 4-hour gold trend, we should focus on the support level at 2956-2965 below, and the resistance level at 3005-3010 above. In terms of operation, we can mainly go long when there is a pullback following the trend. In the middle price range, it is advisable to observe more and act less, and be cautious when chasing orders. We should patiently wait for entry at key price levels. I will provide specific trading strategies during the trading session. Please pay attention in a timely manner.
Gold trading strategy:
buy @ 2956-2960
tp 2990-3000
If you're not satisfied with your current gold trading performance, and if you also need to get accurate trading signals every day, you can focus me. I hope I can be of some help to you.
GOLD SURGES TO RECORD HIGH – IS $3,000 JUST THE BEGINNING?📌 Market Overview
Gold has surged to a new all-time high (ATH), approaching the critical $3,000 per ounce level. The rally has been fueled by recent inflation data (CPI & PPI), which has heightened market volatility. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped to its lowest levels in recent months, further strengthening gold’s bullish momentum. As a result, investors are aggressively buying gold as a safe-haven asset amidst global economic and geopolitical uncertainty. 🚀
👉 Why is gold continuing to rise?
Investors are piling into gold, despite record-high prices, as uncertainty continues to drive demand for safe assets.
Donald Trump’s economic policies have added market instability, increasing gold's appeal.
As long as the USD remains weak, gold will continue to be a top investment choice.
📊 Will Gold Break Above $3,000?
🔹 Short-Term Outlook:
The Asian and European sessions are expected to remain bullish as investors continue accumulating gold.
The US session could bring some profit-taking, leading to temporary price swings.
Friday is historically volatile, meaning sharp pullbacks are possible before the week closes.
📉 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Levels: $3,000 - $3,019 - $3,039 - $3,052
🔻 Support Levels: $2,978 - $2,967 - $2,942 - $2,918
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🔴 SELL ZONE: $3,039 - $3,041
📍 SL: $3,045
🎯 TP: $3,035 - $3,030 - $3,025 - $3,020 - $3,015 - $3,010 - ???
🟢 SCALP BUY: $2,968 - $2,966
📍 SL: $2,962
🎯 TP: $2,972 - $2,976 - $2,980 - $2,985 - $2,990 - $3,000
🟢 BUY ZONE: $2,948 - $2,946
📍 SL: $2,942
🎯 TP: $2,952 - $2,956 - $2,960 - $2,965 - $2,970 - $2,980 - $3,000 - ???
⚡ Final Thoughts – A Correction Before the Next Move?
📌 Gold continues its strong rally, but Friday could bring volatility as traders lock in profits.
📌 Stick to TP/SL strategies to manage risks and avoid sudden market swings.
📌 Watch the US session closely – major moves could happen!
💬 Will gold break $3,000 or face a sharp correction? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
Golden milestone moment, about to fall!Gold hit a new all-time high on Friday, reaching the psychologically critical $3,000 mark, with the precious metal up nearly 15% since the start of the year, fueled by trade war fears and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Trump's tariffs have been a key driver of safe-haven buying in gold. The global trade war has roiled financial markets, sparking recession fears, and Trump threatened on Thursday to impose a 200% tariff on imported alcohol from Europe, a trade war that is escalating. But in the short term, there is absolutely no reason to chase gold higher. Reaching $3,000 today is clearly a long position in the market to pull up shipments. What happens when the longs are exhausted? That could usher in a wave of retracements, so don't chase the highs now. Gold is about to plunge.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
The battle to defend the gold price of 3,000 points has begun. BThe gold market opened at 2988 on Friday, briefly surged to 2994 at noon, and then fell back to 2981. During the European trading session, the price of gold once again set a new record high, hitting a high of $3004 and then quickly fell back. It is currently fluctuating around 2998, waiting for guidance from the US market. The current upper resistance of gold is in the 3007-3012 range. If it successfully stands firm, it is expected to challenge the 3020 level. However, the battle to defend 3000 points has already begun, and it is expected that the gold price will be adjusted back in the evening. The lower support is stable in the 2982-2978 area. Once it breaks, it may test around 2960. On the whole, the evening operation recommendation is mainly to rebound and short.
Evening operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 2998-3004 on the rebound, with a stop loss of 3013, and the target is 2985-2975, and the target is 2960 after breaking through.
Evening operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 2960-2955 on the pullback, with a stop loss of 2048, and the target is 2985-3000, and the target is 3002 after breaking through.
XAUUSD: Short positions are now generating profitsAfter gold reached the price of $3000, I started to take long-term short positions on gold. Currently, the orders have begun to make a profit. I will hold these positions for the long term with the plan of reaping substantial profits. You can follow my trading strategy and trade along with me.
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $600,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
Gold is about to fall, maybe even plummet!In the morning, gold rose above 2990 as expected and then fell back, but it stopped falling again at 2980 in the European session and rose again. The current market is rising again to test above 3000. From the current hourly chart, the pressure of 3005 is obvious. Today is the last trading day of this week. It is still optimistic about the decline in the evening, and even more optimistic about the plunge!!!
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
XAU/USD 14 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Previous analysis was not met as price printed a bullish iBOS. Support in the rise of price is largely due to the trump trade and tariff war which is causing market jitters.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has further printed a bullish BOS. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 13 March 2025
Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish.
In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Plan**Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Plan** 🏆
📌 **Key Levels:**
- **Support:** $2978
- **Resistance:** $2991
📈 **Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above $2991)**
- **Buy Entry:** After a strong breakout with confirmation.
- **Take Profits:**
- **TP1:** $2996
- **TP2:** $3001
- **TP3:** $3005
- **Indicator Confirmation:** EMA 20 for trend strength.
📉 **Bearish Scenario (Support Break at $2978)**
- **Potential Retracement or Reversal:** If price breaks below $2978, it may trigger a downtrend.
- **Risk Management:** Use stop-loss and position sizing to manage risk.
🔍 **Watch for Volume & Candle Patterns for Confirmation!** 🚀
Gold Bulls Mid Term, Long Term Trade Direction (Buy/long)Gold is trading around 2857.xx
The bullish momentum continued with trump unexpected policy shift of trade and war and technically if this momentum continued, we could see bullish continuation towards 3000 - 3085 by May 2025.
Mid to long term stance is buy on dips.
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market Money Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 1H or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (2930) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 2750 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
1. Fundamental Analysis with All Factors📌
Interest Rates: Rising Fed rates (e.g., 5.25% post-March hike) increase gold’s opportunity cost, pushing prices down from 2888.
Inflation: Cooling global inflation (e.g., U.S. CPI at 2.5%) undermines gold’s hedge appeal, signaling overvaluation.
Dollar Strength: USD rally (e.g., DXY to 102-105) suppresses gold, marking 2888 as a peak.
Global Economic Health: Improving growth (e.g., U.S. GDP above 3%) reduces safe-haven demand, favoring bears.
2. Macroeconomic Factors📌
Bearish macro conditions:
U.S. Economy: Strong jobs (e.g., unemployment below 4%) and PMI above 50 weaken gold’s case at 2888.
Eurozone: Recovery signs (e.g., GDP at 1.5%) bolster EUR, pressuring gold.
China: Industrial rebound shifts focus from safe-haven assets, softening gold.
Central Bank Policies: Fed hawkishness and ECB/BOJ tightening cap upside.
3. Geopolitical Factors📌
Bearish geopolitical shifts:
U.S.-China Trade: Tariff de-escalation reduces uncertainty, eroding gold’s premium at 2888.
Russia-Ukraine: Ceasefire talks lower risk-off flows, targeting sub-2800.
Middle East: Stabilizing oil supply (e.g., Iran deal) eases inflation fears, weakening gold.
Political Uncertainty: Resolved U.S./Europe tensions diminish volatility, favoring bears.
4. Supply and Demand Factors📌
Bearish supply/demand dynamics:
Supply: Increased production (e.g., new Canadian mines) or no disruptions flood the market, pressuring 2888.
Demand:
Physical: Western retail demand fades as prices peak.
Central Banks: Slowed buying (e.g., Russia, China pausing) removes support.
Investment: ETF outflows accelerate as investors sell at 2888.
5. Commitment of Traders (COT) Data (Latest Update)📌
Hypothetical COT data as of March 4, 2025:
Non-Commercial (Speculators): Longs at 340,000, shorts at 70,000, net position +270,000—bullish unwind from 295,000 signals profit-taking.
Commercial: Longs 65,000, shorts 400,000—heavy hedging bets on a drop.
Open Interest: 525,000 (down 5,000), showing reduced speculative interest.
Interpretation: Speculator liquidation and commercial shorts confirm bearish momentum below 2850.
6. Technical Factors📌
Bearish technicals at 2888:
Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (e.g., 2850) crossing below 200-day SMA (e.g., 2870) signals reversal.
Support/Resistance: Resistance at 2888-2900 holds; support at 2850 breaks, eyeing 2800.
RSI: 70+, overbought, triggers selling.
MACD: Bearish crossover confirms downward momentum.
7. Sentiment Factors📌
Bearish sentiment signals:
Retail: Social media posts shift to fear at 2888, citing USD strength.
Institutional: COT hedging aligns with bearish media (e.g., “Gold overbought”).
Media: “Fed hikes crush gold” headlines fuel sell-offs.
8. Seasonal Factors📌
Bearish seasonal trends with added points:
March Profit-Taking: Q1 tax season in the U.S. drives profit-taking, historically pressuring gold from peaks like 2888.
Post-Rally Fatigue: Early-year rallies (e.g., January-February) often fade in March, amplifying bearish momentum.
Lack of Festivals: Without India’s seasonal boost, global demand softens, leaving Western selling unchecked.
Historical Q1 Declines: Gold’s average March performance (ex-India) shows declines as investors rebalance, targeting sub-2850.
Central Bank Pause: Q1 often sees reduced central bank buying announcements, removing a key prop at 2888.
9. Intermarket Analysis📌
Bearish intermarket signals:
USD: DXY rallying to 105 crushes gold to 2800.
Yields: 10-year yield at 4.5% competes with gold, driving declines.
Equities: Stock rallies (e.g., MSCI World above 3100) divert capital.
Commodities: Oil at $70/barrel signals deflation, weakening gold.
10. Market Sentiment Analysis of All Types of Investors📌
Bearish investor sentiment:
Retail: Panic selling at 2888 as USD rises; X shows fear.
Institutional: Speculators trim longs (COT); hedgers pile into shorts.
Central Banks: Pause buying, letting prices slide.
Speculators: Futures traders short 2888, targeting 2800.
11. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction (Bearish Focus)📌
Short-Term (1-4 weeks):
Bearish Target: 2820-2850. Drop to 2820 as USD hits 102 and RSI confirms overbought.
Bias: Strongly bearish, driven by technicals and COT liquidation.
Medium-Term (1-3 months):
Bearish Target: 2700-2800. Decline to 2700 with Fed hikes, DXY at 105, and easing tensions.
Bias: Bearish, with macro stabilization.
Long-Term (6-12 months):
Bearish Target: 2500-2600. Fall to 2500 if growth rebounds, DXY hits 110, and inflation drops below 2%.
Bias: Bearish, as safe-haven demand fades.
12. Overall Summary Outlook📌
At 2888 on March 10, 2025, XAU/USD is set for a bearish slide. A strong USD (DXY to 105), rising yields (4.5%), Fed hawkishness, cooling geopolitics, and seasonal softness (Q1 profit-taking, post-rally fatigue) dominate. Short-term outlook is short/bearish, targeting 2820-2850 as overbought technicals (RSI 70+) and COT unwinding trigger a sell-off. Medium-term is bearish, eyeing 2700-2800 with macro improvement. Long-term is bearish, forecasting 2500-2600 as growth stabilizes.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold Price Nears $3,000 for the First Time in HistoryGold Price Nears $3,000 for the First Time in History
As shown in the XAU/USD chart today, gold is at a record high, just $5 away from the key psychological level of $3,000. Moreover, on the futures market, COMEX data indicates that gold futures have already surpassed this barrier.
Bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ Low US inflation data (released on Wednesday), which boosted gold prices due to growing expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve policy.
→ Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariffs, escalating global trade tensions. According to the latest reports, the US president has warned of a 200% tariff on European wine and other alcoholic beverages after the EU imposed a 50% tariff on American whiskey.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
In our previous post on 6 March, we identified an upward channel (marked in blue) and suggested that its lower boundary would act as support, providing bulls with an opportunity to push towards the $3,000 level.
As indicated by the arrow, this scenario played out:
→ 10–11 March: The price rebounded from the lower blue boundary.
→ The price then broke through $2,930.
The large bullish candle formed on 13 March signals strong buyer dominance, suggesting that:
→ $2,930 and $2,950, which previously acted as resistance, could now provide support for bulls.
→ This month, gold may exceed the $3,000 mark for the first time, reaching the upper boundary of the long-term channel (marked in yellow).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.