Gold ended this week successfully!In terms of news, first, the easing of the trade situation weakened the safe-haven property of gold. Secondly, a series of data released this week and the Fed's emphasis on not rushing to cut interest rates also suppressed the gold price. In addition, the parties involved in geopolitical conflicts also began talks. Although there are differences in negotiating positions, they still have to solve the problem when they can sit down and talk. Because of the repeated news, the closing price at the end of the week was also above 3200, so some people still believe that the gold price will go to 3500, and even think that it will exceed this position. I have mentioned this in my previous analysis. The gold price was first stimulated by multiple news and buying rushed up. Now that the risk aversion has receded, I think it is reasonable to see the gold price fall.
Let's analyze it from the technical side: the rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning around, so whether it can form a golden cross upwards is the key next time, or it will oscillate a few times and continue to diverge downward. The strength of gold on Monday is very critical. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, which was a very fast trend. However, it fell directly on Tuesday and broke through more than half, so it cannot be said that the bulls are strong. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a big negative line. There will be two key positions on Monday next week. Pay attention to 3180 on the bottom of gold. If it falls below 3180 soon after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak as a whole. Pay attention to 3215 on the top. If gold breaks through 3215, then gold will be strong as a whole. If gold opens flat on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, and it is under pressure at 3215, then you can continue to go short in the short term.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Xauusdanalysis
Gold price hidden 3200, waiting for opportunity to increase✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/19/2025 - 05/23/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices dropped over 1.5% on Friday, poised to close the week with a steep loss of more than 4%, as improved risk sentiment drove investors away from safe-haven assets and toward equities and other riskier investments. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,187, retreating from a daily peak of $3,252.
The precious metal started the week on the back foot following reports of a significant de-escalation in the US-China trade conflict, including a mutual agreement to reduce tariffs by 115%, which triggered a sharp selloff in bullion. Despite fluctuating between $3,120 and $3,265 throughout the week, gold struggled to sustain bullish momentum, with fading buyer interest becoming increasingly evident amid stronger risk appetite and encouraging US economic data.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price is still in the accumulation phase waiting for a price decrease around 3200. Will be greatly affected by tariff news and Russia - Ukraine peace negotiations
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3265, $3357
Support: $3160, $3112
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Trend Analysis for Next WeekGold continued its downward trend in yesterday's morning session, but in the evening, it experienced a long-short washout and returned to the 3,200 mark, closing with a small bearish candle on the daily chart. The question now is whether the daily chart will form consecutive declines. Looking at the daily rhythm, the high points have been declining, which means that after encountering resistance at the three-point line vertex resistance level, it is prone to forming a secondary inflection point for a downward trend. This implies that a pullback should still be expected next week.
Regarding the future direction, short-term bearish sentiment will remain the theme! Overall, the gold price is undergoing a retest during the 4-hour rebound. If the rebound fails to break through the resistance, the decline will continue, and the downward trend will persist. Since the bearish inflection point turned downward from the high, the current bearish trend is still extending downward.
Before the bears reach the key node where bulls build a bottom, rebounds remain opportunities to go short as the main rhythm.
XAU/USD
sell@3210-3220
tp:3180-3160
sl:3230
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone.
From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias.
Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas.
- There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted.
- On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move.
P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
Gold’s Make-or-Break Level: $3167 Is the Key to the Next MoveGold Spot is sitting at a critical inflection point — and if you’ve been watching the charts, you know exactly where the pressure is building: the $3167 zone.
This level has acted as a mid-term support floor, cushioning gold’s recent corrections and providing bulls with a lifeline. But that cushion is now getting thinner, and if price action breaks below this area decisively, the implications could be sharply bearish.
👀Why $3167 Matters👀
Take a look at the recent structure. Every bounce, every bullish attempt in the past week, has leaned on $3167. It's not just some random line — it’s where buyers have consistently stepped in to defend.
But now? The bounces are getting weaker. Volume’s fading. And price is consolidating right above support — never a good sign.
If gold breaks $3167 and closes below it, expect an acceleration to the downside. Momentum traders will likely pile in, and we could see a quick slide into the $3075–3052 zone, where the next real demand sits.
✨What I’m Watching✨
A clean hourly candle close below $3167 — ideally with follow-through volume.
Any retest of $3167 after a breakdown could offer a textbook entry for shorts.
🎁The Bearish Scenario
If the break happens, I’ll be targeting $3052 for the first bounce. That’s where previous accumulation kicked in — and it lines up with a cluster of reaction lows from late April. It’s also a psychological round number and a potential spot for intraday reversal plays.
Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again?
The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key.
The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line.
Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall.
If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
GOLD H4 Weekly Chart Update For 19 - 23 May 25As you can see that GOLD H4 for weekly term
First of all note all mentioned levels Carefully, right now market just close above 3200 psychological level
2 upside GAPS remains in focus for now
1st one around 3330-3340
2nd one is 3430
so keep in mind overall trend is remains bullish for now on senior timeframes
Gold still has room to fall and rebounds to continue to shortGold fell as expected in the Asian session, which was in line with our thinking and expectations. Our short position was shorted near 3237-38 and exited with profit, and then shorted near 3194 and exited with profit again, and we made good profits both times. There are many people who followed the trend and went long in today's market, or even chased the long position, and without exception, they were trapped and wailing. We have repeatedly emphasized that we should treat it with a sweeping approach, and different market rhythms should be responded to with different methods. Judging from the current market trend, the European session continues to weaken. The focus should be on the gains and losses of 3180 support. If it breaks through, it will continue to look at 3150 and 3120. In this case, the short-term will return to weakness. If it does not break, we will look at a wide sweeping range. The upper pressure will focus on 3200, 3215, and 3230. The rebound will be mainly high. The weekly line will be closed tonight, and volatility will intensify.
XAUUSD H1 CHART ANALYSIS miraninaveed337: G
Sijjad Zong: (XAUUSD, 1-hour timeframe)
Sell Setup (Bearish Continuation from Channel Breakout)
Entry (Sell): Around current price area: $3,190
Stop Loss: Just above the recent high or marked SL area: $3,263
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
1. TP1: $3,150 – conservative target based on recent support
2. TP2: $3,121 – matching the previous low
3. TP3: $3,111 – extended target (marked horizontal support)
Summary:
Sell Entry: $3,190 (approx)
Stop Loss: $3,263
TP1: $3,150
TP2: $3,121
TP3: $3,111
Make sure to adjust position sizing to manage risk properly
XAUUSD FLAG BULLISH PATTERN (HIGHER HIGH) ANLYSISThe XAUUSD Market momentum has made a flag bullish pattern showing the strong uptrend had the confirm targets at different zones.
1st Target Zone 3260
Final Target Zone 3350
resistance level: 3100
Conclusion: If the market momentum moves towards target then hold on your trades but if the market moves against to the target then there is an option of stop loss point active and all the trades should be closed.
"XAU/USD Bearish Structure Developing Below Resistance"Gold price showed a sharp upward movement but faced resistance near the 3212–3220 zone. After forming a lower high, the structure appears to be setting up for a potential downside move.
The market seems to be respecting a descending channel and if the current resistance holds, we could see further continuation toward the 3120–3122 support area. Volume spike during the drop also indicates possible seller strength.
This is an educational analysis based on price structure and market behavior.
Feel free to share your thoughts or give a boost if it aligns with your view.
🔍 Key Points:
Resistance Area: ~3212–3220
Current Price Reaction: Forming lower highs
Target Zone: 3120–3122 (support)
Pattern: Bearish flag or channel
Volume: Increased on downside move – shows selling pressure
Gold Price Analysis May 16Yesterday's D1 candle pulled back within the uptrend with a liquidity sweep to 3121. Today there is unlikely to be a sell-off and the price will continue to return in the uptrend.
Today, it is better to mainly look for retest points for BUY signals.
In the immediate future, 3198 is the first BUY zone that the Asia-Europe session can consider. When breaking this zone, buy entries may not carry long TP expectations. The Breakout zone of 3153 and the bottom zone of 3125 are two important supports to prevent the gold price from a downward slide.
In the opposite direction, the Asian session resistance zone around 3254 also acts as an immediate barrier for the gold price increase. Break 3254 should not BUY until the 3288 zone before SELL Scalping can be done. The upper barrier of the Daily Frame is at 3320.
Long orders are trapped,what should we do with the US gold marke🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Gold once fell to around 3170, which is in line with our judgment of bullish weakness. This is why we are not in a hurry to participate in long orders today. I know that many bros also listened to the outside world and went long around 3200, which led to being trapped. At present, the gold price is constantly testing the 3170 support line. If it falls below, it will look to the 3150 support line. If it does not break, it will be treated as a shock. On the top, temporarily pay attention to the 3205-3215 line of resistance. If it encounters resistance and pressure, go short. On the bottom, first pay attention to the 3170 support line, and then pay attention to the 3150-3140 support line. Hold if it breaks.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?Gold Price Volatility: Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?
💥 Market Outlook:
Today’s market is seeing unpredictable movements, with gold making significant drops and then rebounding sharply in the last two days. Are the recent news developments aligning with the price action, or is it just a major coincidence?
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Looking at the D1 and H4 charts, you can clearly see the breakdown, but gold quickly bounced back to the 325x area and reacted. The 3254–3256 zone is a key level that holds strong for sellers on both daily and H4 candles. If gold continues to hold below this level, the bearish trend remains strong, and another sharp drop could happen before the weekend.
If the 3254–3256 level is broken, the price may push toward the 327x, possibly even the 328x levels. However, this will be dependent on whether this critical support is maintained.
Trend Continuation or Reversal?
From a technical perspective, gold is still in a downtrend, and the current bounce is likely just a retracement before continuing lower. However, in terms of macro news, the USD is continuously dealing with bad inflation data, affecting the recovery of DXY (USD). The market is very sensitive to trap candles, and there may be false breakouts, so proceed cautiously.
There are also some news reports indicating that the US and China have reached a minor détente, but tensions remain around trade restrictions, imports, exports, and the use of rare earth minerals. Things are unpredictable with these two powers. Today, there are updates on tariffs, so keep an eye out!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3237
3251
3261
3276
3287
📉 Key Support Levels:
3205
3188
3170
3143
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3196 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3162 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 → 3120
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3250 → 3240
⚠️ Risk Management:
With strong volatility today, manage your risk carefully. It’s essential to adhere to your TP/SL to protect your account. Stay cautious, as there is a lot of unpredictability in the market with the upcoming news.
Conclusion:
Given the unpredictability of the market and geopolitical tensions, it’s wise to trade with caution today. Watch the critical support and resistance levels closely and stay flexible, adapting your strategy based on how the market evolves.
📣 Stay tuned for more updates and trade smart!
XAUUSD Intraday Swing Friday Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
📉 Current Price: Around 3,173.805 USD
📌 Key Zones & Structure on the Chart:
1. Order Block (OB)
Located at the top (around 3,253 – 3,231).
This is a strong supply zone that triggered a sharp sell-off.
Price previously grabbed liquidity before sharply rejecting from this zone.
2. Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) & Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
SSL: Taken out → strong indication that smart money is pushing price lower.
BSL: Also taken before the drop → confirming a false breakout and reversal to the downside.
3. Breaker + Base Area
Breaker block has been tested but failed to push price higher.
This confirms the area has flipped from support to resistance (bearish flip zone).
4. Bearish Target
Projected drop toward the next demand zone around 3,150 – 3,145 (lower gray box).
Marked by the arrow pointing down, indicating potential bearish continuation.
📊 Price Structure:
Trend: Bearish (Lower Highs – Lower Lows forming)
Strong rejection from breaker area → confirms bearish bias.
Current price is performing a minor pullback and is expected to continue dropping toward the demand zone.
✅ Summary of Analysis:
Bias: Bearish
Potential Entry: After a pullback into supply or breaker area (3,180 – 3,191)
Target: 3,150 – 3,145 (major demand zone)
Additional Confirmation: Watch for price rejection during pullback + rising volume during support break.
GOLD - At CUT N REVERSE area? holds or not??#GOLD... perfect bounced from bottom and market constant showing buying scenarios.
Buy now market at his one of the most important n expensive area that is 3237
Keep close 3237
We will go for cut n reverse below that on confirmation.
Don't holds buying below 3237
Good luck
Trade wisely
The focus of gold today is 3200!News:
The US economic data in April was weak across the board, with the producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly falling by 0.5%, retail sales growth plummeting to 0.1%, and manufacturing output falling by 0.4%, which severely hit the market's confidence in the US economy. Affected by this, the US bond market fluctuated violently, with the 10-year US bond yield plummeting by 11 basis points and the 2-year yield plummeting by 9.2 basis points; the US dollar index fell by 0.2%, and the real interest rate fell. At the same time, geopolitical risks continue to heat up. The Russia-Ukraine peace talks have reached a deadlock, Putin refused to meet with Zelensky, and the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations have not progressed smoothly. Against this background, the safe-haven attribute of gold has been highlighted, and market attention has increased significantly. Looking ahead to this trading day, a number of important US economic data will be released soon, and the progress of the Russia-Ukraine talks and Trump's dynamics are also attracting much attention. These factors will continue to affect market trends.
Technical aspect: From the perspective of the daily line, gold can no longer be regarded as a unilateral decline after yesterday's bottoming out and rebounding. It should be directly followed by the idea of oscillation! The primary focus today is still the position of the dividing line of 3200.
Trading idea: Go long if it doesn’t break around 3200, sl3190, target 3230
XAUUSD remains bearish unless it breaks 3265🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Today's opening correction is due to technical repair and adjustment, which is why I shorted. The support of 3200-3210 is of great significance to the short-term trend. If it can be supported here again, it may further promote the upward expansion space. However, after the rebound in the morning Asian session, it did not break through the 3265 line. On the contrary, the bulls began to weaken. Today is Friday, and the market is not expected to show a unilateral strong attitude. It will be treated as a shock during the day. Before breaking through 3265 above, we can short at a small level during the intraday rebound. Short-term operation suggestions, temporarily look at 3235-3240 on the upper side, and look at the support of 3210-3200 on the lower side.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has a strong deep V, 3200 support is good for longThe 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn and continue, so the momentum of gold bears begins to weaken, and gold bulls may begin to exert their strength. However, gold started to rise all the way from 3120 to 3252 yesterday. Gold rose by about 130 points, so the volatility began to increase. Therefore, we must wait patiently for gold to adjust. Because of such a large fluctuation, an adjustment will also be tens of dollars. We must wait patiently for the adjustment and stabilize before going long. After gold breaks through 3192, it is considered a strong deep V breakthrough of important resistance. Then 3192 of gold has now become an important support level. If it falls back to 3192 in the Asian session, go long on dips. If gold falls back to near the 3200 mark, you can try to go long.
Since gold has started to reverse strongly, gold bulls have begun to show their muscles. In the short term, we should not be stubbornly bearish anymore. We should be flexible and adapt to the market. The market is like this, changing rapidly. We should adapt to the market and not be too obsessed with bears or bulls. Obsession is a trap. Gold bulls are strong now, so gold is now the home of bulls. Go long when the Asian session falls back.