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Xauusdanalysis

XAU/USD 01 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Analysis – 01/07: Gold Sees a Rebound Amid USD WeaknessXAUUSD Analysis – 01/07: Gold Sees a Rebound Amid USD Weakness – Is a Recovery on the Cards? As we enter the new month, gold prices are showing signs of recovery after a significant drop, primarily driven by the weakening of the US Dollar. However, despite some positive momentum, the path to sustained growth remains uncertain. 💵 USD Weakness Fuels Gold's Potential Rebound Recent US economic data shows a slight decrease in consumer spending, which has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve may ease interest rate hikes in the near future. This, in turn, has contributed to a weaker USD, providing an opportunity for gold to recover slightly. ⚖️ The Federal Reserve's Role Remains Critical The markets are awaiting further clues on the Federal Reserve's next moves, especially with the ongoing debate about the potential direction of interest rates. While the recent economic data isn't weak enough to force a policy reversal, it hasn't been strong enough to give the Fed the confidence to continue its hawkish stance either. 🧠 What Does This Mean for Traders? Gold is responding to macroeconomic factors but still lacks a clear, strong trend. Volatility remains high, with sharp price fluctuations occurring after key economic and political announcements. This uncertainty suggests gold might not yet have the momentum for a definitive break-out or trend reversal. 🔶 Summary: Gold is starting to recover after a tough month but the outlook remains cautious. Buyers are hoping for a Fed rate cut, while sellers are banking on the USD's strength. Traders should stay vigilant, waiting for clear confirmation before making major moves. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 3358 – 3360 – 3364 – 3375 – 3380 Support Levels: 3300 – 3290 – 3280 – 3275 🎯 Trading Strategy: 🔵 Buy Zone: Entry: 3310 – 3315 SL: 3300 TP: 3320 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 🔴 Sell Zone: Entry: 3370 – 3375 SL: 3380 TP: 3360 – 3350 – 3340 – 3325 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: With USD weakness persisting, gold may continue its rebound, but the market remains uncertain. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data and geopolitical events, as they will likely shape gold's next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Correction or Reversal? 1. What happened yesterday As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340. ________________________________________ 2. The key question today Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal? ________________________________________ 3. Why I remain bearish • On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish • On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive • No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias • A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling • If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it. ________________________________________ 4. Trading plan My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360. However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift. ________________________________________ 5. Final thoughts 🚀 This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet. Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
14
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook — July 1, 2025In the world of financial markets, few assets capture global attention like gold. A timeless store of value, gold continues to act as both a hedge against uncertainty and a battleground for technical traders seeking high-probability setups. As of today, gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $3328, a level that places it just beneath the most recent multi-month high at $3345. The recent surge in price is underpinned by both macroeconomic factors and bullish technical structure. However, as any seasoned trader knows, trends rarely move in straight lines — and gold is now approaching a technically sensitive juncture. I. Gold’s Structural Landscape on the 4-Hour Chart The four-hour chart reveals a textbook bullish trend. Beginning with a significant impulse from the $3194 base, gold has climbed steadily, printing higher highs and higher lows. The most recent break of structure (BOS) above $3312 confirmed the continuation of bullish intent, while the market remains firmly above key swing lows — signaling that the bullish regime has not yet been invalidated. Price action shows clean, impulsive expansions followed by short consolidations, with buyers continuing to absorb supply at every retracement. Despite that strength, gold has now reached a potential exhaustion point, with the price reacting to overhead supply at $3345–3355, forming what could be an early-stage distribution zone. Key Market Structure Developments: BOS at $3312: confirms uptrend No CHoCH (Change of Character) yet — no confirmed bearish reversal Clean liquidity grab above $3345, followed by rejection — hinting at short-term profit-taking or internal bearish intent II. The Fibonacci Grid: Retracement and Extension Zones Applying Fibonacci retracement from the $3194 swing low to the $3345 high offers crucial levels of interest. The golden ratio at 61.8% ($3253) aligns perfectly with prior demand and a 4-hour bullish order block. Similarly, the 38.2% level at $3285 corresponds with a minor liquidity pool and potential reaccumulation base. Fibonacci Level Price 23.6% $3308 38.2% $3285 50.0% $3269 61.8% $3253 78.6% $3228 On the extension side, should gold resume its rally beyond $3345, projected Fibonacci targets sit at $3372 (127.2%) and $3410 (161.8%), with both acting as measured projections for trend continuation. III. Supply and Demand: Mapping Institutional Footprints Institutional activity is best observed through unmitigated supply and demand zones — areas where large orders caused rapid price displacement. Gold currently trades between two such zones: Demand Zone: $3250–$3260 — a sharp bullish rejection occurred here on the last visit, indicating strong buy-side interest and likely pending buy orders Supply Zone: $3345–$3355 — where a sell-side liquidity grab recently occurred, followed by a strong rejection candle These two zones bracket the market and serve as the highest probability areas for future reactions. IV. The Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Framework SMC theory revolves around observing the footprints of large market participants — often labeled “smart money.” In gold’s current structure, SMC tools provide a clearer roadmap than standard indicators. Current Observations: Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed at $3312 (bullish continuation) Change of Character (CHoCH): Absent (bull trend intact) Buy-Side Liquidity Grab: Above $3345 — trapped breakout buyers likely fuel for reversal Sell-Side Liquidity Pool: Uncollected beneath $3280 — probable magnet for a liquidity sweep Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between $3260 and $3280 — price inefficiency offering high-probability reentry for smart money Bullish Order Block (OB): At $3250–$3260 — final down candle before explosive up move, unmitigated All these elements point to a high-probability pullback, rather than a full-blown reversal. Until structure is broken with a CHoCH, the base case remains bullish. V. High-Probability Levels for 4-Hour-Based Opportunities From this framework, we identify the following key price levels: The highest-probability reaction is expected at $3250–$3260, where smart money is likely to re-engage if price retraces. VI. Refinement on the 1-Hour Chart: Intraday Trade Setups Zooming into the 1-hour chart allows us to fine-tune our execution strategy. Gold is consolidating just below $3330, forming what appears to be an ascending triangle — a common bullish continuation structure — but within the broader context of a possible short-term pullback. Intraday Trade Idea #1 — High-Conviction Long Entry: $3260 Stop-Loss: $3245 Take-Profit 1: $3308 Take-Profit 2: $3340 Risk–Reward: ~1:4 Rationale: Aligned with 4H demand, fair value gap, OB, and golden ratio retracement. Structure remains bullish. Intraday Trade Idea #2 — Speculative Short (Low Conviction) Entry: $3340–$3350 Stop-Loss: $3362 TP1: $3305 TP2: $3285 Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5 Rationale: Countertrend, only viable if bearish rejection candle forms. Not aligned with dominant 4H structure. VII. The Golden Setup: Long from Demand + FVG Confluence Among all technical configurations, the long setup at $3260 emerges as the most compelling. It is supported by: An unmitigated bullish order block A clear fair value gap 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Untouched sell-side liquidity below Directional alignment with trend Institutional demand pattern This setup offers both superior risk-to-reward and a technical foundation that aligns with Smart Money’s modus operandi. It represents a low-risk, high-reward opportunity for traders who wait for price to re-enter the value zone and confirm with bullish order flow (e.g., a bullish engulfing or BOS on 15m). VIII. Final Thoughts and Tactical Summary As of July 1, 2025, the gold market reflects strong bullish momentum, albeit entering a corrective phase that should not be mistaken for reversal. While intraday volatility and range compression may tempt countertrend trades, the smartest play remains to wait for a discounted reentry into a zone of value. Until structure shifts significantly, the dominant trading thesis remains: “Buy the dip into institutional zones”. Patience, not aggression, will separate the retail trader from the professional in today’s complex market structure.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold encounters resistance at 3310-3320 and is about to fallAt present, gold has reached the 3300-3320 area as expected. As I mentioned in my previous article, we can consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area; Although gold once rebounded and stood above 3300, we can clearly see that when facing the short-term resistance area of ​​3310-3320, the bullish energy of gold has converged and began to show signs of stagflation, so the short-term resistance area of ​​3310-3320 is still valid. Before gold breaks through 3310-3320, gold bears still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3310-3320 in the short term, don't be afraid of gold rebounds. Rebounds are opportunities to short gold. So I still tend to short gold at present, and have opened short gold positions according to the trading plan, hoping that gold can retreat to the target area: 3285-3275-3265. Do you think gold will fall as expected?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
XAUUSD 15MIN - Bullish Setup I Trade Plan Above 3349This chart presents a carefully planned intraday buy opportunity on XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar), focusing on short-term bullish price action. 📍 Key Levels & Setup Logic: Buy Entry Zone: 3350 A strong potential demand area based on recent market structure. The price is expected to bounce from this level if bullish pressure sustains. No Trading Zone: 3337–3349 This zone marks an area of high volatility and indecision. Traders are advised to avoid initiating trades within this range to prevent premature entries and whipsaws. TP 1 – 3374.35: First take profit level aligning with minor resistance and past consolidation. TP 2 – 3390.91: Second take profit target based on resistance zone and Fibonacci confluence. Re-Entry Point: If the price breaks and holds above 3397, a buy-side re-entry is valid at 3398, targeting continuation toward higher resistances. TP 3 – 3420 & TP 4 – 3445 (Reversal Zone): Strong resistance and potential exhaustion/reversal zone. Monitor price action closely here for signs of trend weakening. SL- Previous Swing Low. ⚠️ ZONES: 🔴 No Trading Zone: 3337–3349 (Avoid trades in this range — potential indecision zone) 🔴 Reversal Zone: Near 3445 — monitor price action for potential exhaustion. 📌 Technical Commentary: Structure favours upside as long as price sustains above the No Trading Zone. Clean higher-low formation suggests momentum shift. If price confirms break above 3397 resistance, bullish continuation toward 3445 is highly probable. 🔍 Trade Summary: Strategy: Buy on Breakout & Pullback Confirmation: Bullish bounce from 3350 or breakout above 3397 Risk Management: Avoid trades within 3337–3349; reassess if price falls below this zone Profit Targets: Laddered exits at 3374.35, 3390.91, 3420, 3445 ⚠️ Disclaimer & Important Note: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. All trading involves risk. We are not responsible for any kind of loss incurred, whether financial, emotional, or otherwise. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading involves significant risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The trade idea shared above reflects personal market interpretation and is subject to change based on new market conditions. 📍Posted by: THEPATELCRYPTO 📈 Stay safe. Trade smart. 🔔 Follow for more ideas!
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDLong
by thepatelcrypto
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we noted that gold was attempting a recovery from the Support Zone but remained below both the 50 and 200 MAs, meaning bearish pressure was still intact. Since then, price has broken and held above $3,298, and is now trading around $3,330, just beneath the 200MA. This marks a shift in short-term momentum — gold has reclaimed the 50MA and is now challenging the 200MA. If bulls manage to break and hold above the $3,327 resistance, it could open the path toward $3,352 - $3,364 and potentially higher resistance zones. However, if price rejects the 200MA and fails to hold above $3,327, we may see a pullback toward $3,298 or deeper into $3,270, where bulls could look to reload. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,327 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 Support: $3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241 🧠 Fundamental Focus: 📌 Fed Chair Powell speaks today at the ECB Forum in Portugal. Markets will closely watch for any shift in tone on inflation or rate outlook. His comments may influence USD direction and gold volatility. 📌 ISM Manufacturing PMI – a key gauge of economic activity. A strong print may pressure gold; a weak reading could support it. 📌 JOLTS Job Openings – offers insight into labor market strength. A tighter market could delay rate cuts and weigh on gold. With multiple risk events packed into today, expect increased volatility across the board.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold price analysis July 1On the D1 chart, the price has recovered positively when the candle closed above 50% of the decrease range of last Friday's session. This shows that buying power is returning and a new uptrend is forming, with the target heading towards the GAP zone around 3363. Today's trading strategy: Prioritize buying (BUY) if the price has a correction to the support zone of 3300. Sell strategy should only be implemented at important resistance zones, with short-term profit expectations because the main trend is leaning towards the uptrend. Important technical levels: Support: 3300 - 3337 - 3360 Resistance: 3334 - 3348 - 3363
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
7/1 Gold Analysis and PMI Data Trading StrategyGood afternoon, everyone! Gold has now entered a resistance zone, and on the 30-minute chart, a technical correction appears likely. This correction typically takes one of two forms: A direct pullback from current levels; A minor upward push before the pullback, intensifying the need for correction. In most cases, the second scenario doesn’t result in a large move—unless it’s accompanied by strong news. Given this setup, today’s trading idea is to: Start with a small short position near current resistance; Add to the position if price pushes slightly higher, and patiently wait for a pullback. This strategy has shown over 80% historical success rate. Key support levels to watch: If the price rises before pulling back: 3321–3316 If the price drops directly: 3313–3306 On the 4-hour chart, the rebound is not yet complete, so if the pullback finds solid support, there’s still room for buy-side setups in line with the short-term trend. ⚠️ Important: U.S. PMI data will be released during the New York session. Strategy depends on pre-release price positioning: If price remains below 3312, and the data is bullish → look for long setups. If price is above 3323, wait for a post-data rally to sell into. If the data is bearish → consider selling immediately. Stay flexible, manage your positions wisely, and trade with discipline ahead of the U.S. session.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold is rising. Second starting point?Information summary: 1. The US dollar index has experienced the longest consecutive monthly decline since 2017. The weakening of the US dollar has increased the attractiveness of gold denominated in US dollars to non-US dollar holders, becoming an important support factor for gold prices. 2. Trump's continued pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has formed a resonance effect with the weakening of the US dollar, which has jointly pushed up the short-term attractiveness of gold. Multiple factors are intertwined, and gold has risen slightly again. Market analysis: Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Monday, showing a positive closing, and above 3300. After falling sideways for 5 consecutive trading days last week, although it fell for a short time on Monday, it did not continue. In this case, whether a new high can be reached, the watershed is the 3295 line. As long as the European session breaks the high, the long position is near the starting point of 3305 in the early trading session. At present, the main focus is on the upper resistance around 3325. It opened directly upward on Tuesday, but did not break through too much space, unless it directly broke through 3325-3330; then the next resistance is around 3340. At present, the bulls are still running at a high level. The upward trend line generated after the reversal is more obvious, and the trend line has good effectiveness. Since the current market is in the first wave of rise, the high point has not been confirmed. Quaid believes that when the high point is clear and the price falls back to the support area, consider entering the market to go long based on the support level. Of course, aggressive trading can choose to buy around 3320 and choose a suitable high point to take profit. Operation strategy: Short near the rebound 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3310-3300 Long near the fall 3305, stop loss 3290, profit range 3320-3335
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
XAUUSD 15min – Bearish Setup | Short Trade Plan Below 3328Price action on Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of exhaustion near the 3,328 resistance zone, where we anticipate potential bearish rejection. A short opportunity may unfold once confirmation occurs below the key structural level of 3316. Sell Trade Setup: 🔹 Primary Entry (Sell Entry 1): 📍 Zone: Around 3,328.29 📌 Reaction expected near major supply & resistance zone. 🔹 Confirmation Entry (Sell Entry 2): 📍 Below 3,316 📌 Break below structure may trigger bearish momentum. Targets: 🎯 TP 1: 3,296.97 (Initial reaction zone) 🎯 TP 2: 3,276.64 (Mid support/EMA cross zone) 🎯 TP 3: 3,259.88 (Key structural support) 🎯 Extended TP: 3,243.94 (Re-entry confirmation level) 3,225.53 (Prior base structure) 3,202.45 (Final target if strong momentum follows) 3,159.31 (Ultimate low if sellers dominate trend) Re-Entry Plan: 🔄 If price retraces after TP 3, watch for rejection at 3,243.94 to re-enter short toward the next levels. Confluence Factors: ✔ 45° TPC angle supports bearish path ✔ Structure break expected below 3316 ✔ EMA resistance and trendline rejection from upper zone ✔ Volatility cluster observed near 3,328 – ideal for trap setup Bias: Bearish below 3,316 – Expecting a downward continuation if structure confirms breakdown. Author: 📅 1 July 2025 📊 Chart: XAUUSD – 15min 🧠 Shared by: @THEPATELCRYPTO
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by thepatelcrypto
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 1 Analysis📍 H4 Key LH Zone: 3348.500 – 3350.500 This is a major decision zone. Current market structure: 🔸 M15 is in an uptrend with confirmed ChoCh + BoS What to watch: We’re approaching the H4 LH supply zone — now we observe how price behaves here. 🔹 If price breaks above this H4 LH zone: → HTF and LTF trends align to the upside → Potential continuation of the bullish move 🔹 If price respects and stays below this LH zone: → Then this recent up-move could be a pullback → We may see a new low forming — so be cautious 📍 M15 Zones for Long Setup (if confirmed): • 3309.500 – 3312.500 (Order Block Zone) • 3302.500 – 3304.600 (Demand Zone) We will watch these levels closely. If price respects these zones and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS) — we’ll plan for long entries accordingly. 📖 Let structure guide your decisions. Let price speak first. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
The latest analysis and layout of gold in July made a good start📰 News information： 1. Geopolitical situation 2. PMI data 📈 Technical Analysis： Yesterday, we gave the idea of looking at the upper resistance of 3310-3320. The 4H pressure is still at 3327. As long as this key resistance level is not effectively broken, gold will fall again. On the contrary, if it stabilizes above 3327, the trend may reverse. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance of 3327. If it is not broken, you can short with a light position. If it falls below 3300-3290, consider going long. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3310-3320 TP 3305-3300 BUY 3300-3290 TP 3310-3320-3350 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
The limit is 3320. Rebound and still short📰 News information： 1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month 2. Impact of geopolitical situation 📈 Technical Analysis： Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3295, reaching our ideal trading area. I have given the short-selling trading idea in the previous post. At present, in the short term, we still maintain the short-selling trading idea before effectively breaking through the upper resistance. Focus on the 3325 line of resistance 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3295-3310-3320 TP 3285-3270 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
Exclusive operation suggestions for future market trends！！！Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Monday, so wait patiently for room for future gains. Technically, from the current hourly chart, the gold entity has always been above 3278, and it only pierced through 3275 and then began to rebound. If the retracement does not break the 618 position, there will inevitably be a high point in the future. So next, we should focus on the vicinity of 3280. If gold always closes above 3280, then the high point of 3297 on Monday is likely to be refreshed. Secondly, from the perspective of 123 seeking 4, if it goes up again, it is very likely to touch around 3310. 3310 is exactly around 618. And it is also the top position of this hourly chart range. Therefore, gold should be shorted above 3280 with caution, and the probability of touching above 3300 is very high. In terms of operation, it is recommended to directly enter the market to go long near 3280, and look at 3310-3320. If you want to short, you must wait at least for 3310-3320 before you can enter the market to short once.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by JoyLouise53
Short gold, it will fall again when encountering resistanceIn the short term, gold retreated to around 3274 and then rebounded again, and it is only one step away from 3300. Will gold regain its bullish trend again? I think it is difficult for gold to break through in the short term. Although gold retreated to around 3274 and successfully built a double bottom structure with the second low point and the low point of 3245, it only increased the rebound space; it is not enough for gold to regain its bullish trend. Since gold fell and broke through, the confidence of bulls has been hit hard. The previous support at the technical level has formed a strong resistance area after the top and bottom conversion, and to a certain extent helped the short force. In the short term, gold faces resistance in the 3310-3320 area. Before gold breaks through this area, the short energy still has the upper hand. Therefore, shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading. It is appropriate to consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area, and look at the target: 3385-3375-3365
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Go long on dips and short on rallies📰 News information： 1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month 2. Impact of geopolitical situation 📈 Technical Analysis： Last week we predicted that gold would rebound. Today, after gold rebounded as expected, we gave a short trading strategy. Gold fell precisely at the point we gave, 3295, and successfully hit our TP3280-3270. The result confirmed the correctness of our trading strategy. Next, we will focus on the long trading opportunities below 3270-3260. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3270-3260 TP 3290-3300 SELL 3295-3300-3310 TP 3280-3270 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold Is Set to Bottom Out and Rebound This WeekGood morning, everyone! At today’s open, gold once again dipped into the 3258–3248 buy zone, then rebounded toward 3270. From a structural perspective, gold has clearly entered a downward trend, but this decline is unlikely to be one-directional—short-term rebounds and consolidations are expected along the way. Based on my experience, below 3250 remains a favorable area for initiating long positions. Whether the price rebounds directly or continues lower before building a stronger base to challenge 3300 again, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the 3200 support holds. A bottoming reversal this week is still the more probable scenario. As such, the focus early this week should be on buying near the lows, with short opportunities on rebounds as a secondary strategy. Monitor key support levels for signs of strength. This week is also packed with important data—including PMI, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), and the unemployment rate, in addition to regular economic releases. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, significant market volatility is expected—bringing both risk and opportunity. Manage your exposure carefully and stay adaptable.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
1
Gold is trading in a narrow range, awaiting a breakout.During Monday's U.S. trading session, spot gold demonstrated certain resilience, reflecting the complex game between market risk aversion and risk appetite. This week, it will welcome the impact of the U.S. non-farm payroll report. At the beginning of Monday (June 30) trading, spot gold once fell 0.8% to $3,247.87 per ounce, a new low since May 29. However, geopolitical concerns still attracted bargain hunting to support gold prices, which have now rebounded to around $3,267.30 per ounce, as Trump said he would consider bombing Iran again and abandon the plan to lift sanctions. U.S. President Trump stated that the July 9 trade negotiation deadline is not fixed and hinted that it may be advanced or postponed. This statement injected more uncertainty into the market. Although U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin optimistically stated that the Trump administration is expected to reach agreements with multiple major trading partners before Labor Day on September 1, the uncertainty of the negotiations may still provide some support for gold prices. The progress of trade negotiations will become one of the important variables affecting gold prices in the coming weeks. In the 1-hour chart, the moving averages of gold continue to form a bearish alignment with a death cross, and there is a possibility of further downward divergence. The bearish momentum in gold remains extremely strong. After breaking below the previous low of 3,295, gold failed to stage a meaningful rebound and has been in a weak, range-bound decline under pressure. Therefore, the level of 3,295 remains a key inflection point for gold's short-term bull-bear dynamics. In the early session, with gold pressured below 3,295, shorting on rallies is recommended. Trading Strategy: sell@3300-3295 TP:3255-3260
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by MyronWilson
Gold fluctuates upward. Is the decline over?On Monday, gold opened at around 3282, and then fell back quickly to around 3247 under pressure; the downward low was blocked, and then rebounded strongly to around 3297; the market currently maintains a small upward trend. At present, we need to focus on the resistance range of the upward trend. From the 4-hour chart, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3300, followed by the suppression range of 3310-3315. The main direction of short-term operations maintains the rebound short-selling strategy. The support below is around 3255; the overall short-term operation relies on 3260-3300 to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation unchanged. Operation strategy: Short near 3305, stop loss 3320, profit range 3270-3260. A new week has just begun. I wish you all gain something from the market fluctuations.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
1
XAUUSD 4H Analysis:= Key Levels, FVG Reaction & Structure projec🔔 XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Key Levels, FVG Reaction & Structure Projections Gold is currently trading within a complex structure after breaking down from a rising parallel channel and is now testing confluence zones that could dictate the next major move. 📈 Scenarios: 🔺 Bullish Path: Clean breakout and retest above the FVG zone and descending trendline → price could re-enter the previous rising channel targeting 3,400+. 🔻 Bearish Path: Rejection from the FVG & trendline → look for lower highs to form → continuation toward 3,243 key support and possibly beyond. If support breaks below $3,246, the next level of interest lies near $3,200 psychological round number. 📌 Conclusion: We’re in a decision zone. The next move depends on how price behaves around the FVG and trendline resistance. Patience and confirmation will be key — breakout traders and mean reversion traders both have defined setups ahead. #this is not a buy sell advice. #just a view #apologies and credit if someone has already seen and posted this.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SLPHOBIA