XAUUSD 4H AnalysisBased on Ichimoku, we expect short-term uptrend toward 3348 and after that we expect rejection from these levels and starting downward movement to support levels (3228-3179).
we consider all these levels as valuable zones for our trading so be cautious about the reaction of XAUUSD.
Xauusdanalysis
The decline is not complete, beware of the low point.Last Friday, the US dollar index rose and recovered the 99 mark as the non-farm data exceeded expectations and weakened the Fed's hope of cutting interest rates this year. Spot gold continued to fall after the release of non-farm data, breaking through the 3345 and 3330 levels.
Market analysis:
First look at the 4-hour chart of gold:
It broke through the 3300 mark in the early Asian session on Monday and is currently maintained near 3310. However, from the current point of view, the decline of gold has not been completed. From the trend point of view, gold must at least test the position near 3280 and 3250 before there will be a relative chance of rebound. Once it falls below 3250, gold may not have a chance to rebound, and it will officially enter a bearish trend, and it will be greeted by a bearish trend at the daily level.
From the hourly chart, if it cannot stabilize above 3310, then gold is likely to fall, and see whether it will break through 3280 or 3250. On the contrary, if it stabilizes above 3310, it may hit the early high near 3320 again. However, as long as it cannot stabilize above 3325, gold will still fall. Now you should pay attention to where to short gold.
Operation strategy:
If the price cannot stabilize above 3310, you can short near 3310.
If it stabilizes above 3310, you can wait for short near 3320.
Gold is vulnerable under 3340-3350 zone1. What happened last week?
As expected, Gold broke below the key 3340–3350 support zone and even slipped under 3300 during the Asian session this Monday, briefly reaching new short-term lows. The bearish pressure continues to dominate.
2. Key question now:
Is the drop over?
3. Why I expect the correction to end soon:
- The recent decline totaled nearly 1100 pips – a strong impulse move.
- Price is now undergoing a typical retracement after a steep sell-off.
- The previous support zone at 3340–3350 is now acting as resistance – a textbook role reversal.
- I expect this zone to attract sellers again.
4. My trading plan:
I remain bearish and plan to sell rallies, especially if the price shows rejection signs in the 3340–3350 area. This correction could offer an ideal re-entry for shorts at better risk/reward levels.
5. Final thoughts 🚀
The trend is still bearish. I’m waiting for the market to confirm resistance around 3340–3350 before executing my next move.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 9 June 2025Good Morning Traders,
As you can see that market try to fill the previous week opening gap and in that situation we may wait for a while to fill the gap and buying zone is located at 3265-3285, once market gives us a bounce back it will may move back to 3330-3340 SBR Zone
however market try to sustain above 3300 Psychological Level but keep in mind US China Tariff Deal which is due in this week
also if market sustains below 3300 psychological level successfully then it will move towards 3245-55 zone and final destination maybe 3200 Psychological
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
H1 frame analysis for next week gold plan after NFMGold is running wave 3, planning to go down to the near resistance zone then run wave 4 to the area just broken out, continue running wave 5 to decrease to complete the short-term decrease cycle
Everyone pay attention to the transaction, I have noted the price zones for everyone to refer to. Thank you traders for reading the article.
Follow me to see my analysis and comments on Gold !!!
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
H4 swing order analysis for traders, Trade Swing H4 GoldH4 swing order analysis for traders, pay attention to wave 5 to confirm Long-term Sell
James Stanley, senior strategist at Forex.com, said: "I remain bullish on gold and will look for new support for the broader trend to continue.
Gold has made a new short-term high, with the price rising above $3,350/oz. Therefore, I do not rule out the possibility of this uptrend continuing and will look for new support, especially at $3,300/oz and $3,280/oz," he said.
Rich Checkan, Chairman and CEO of Asset Strategies International, said: "The current momentum favors gold and silver. While there may be some profit-taking, I expect gold to continue to rise next week thanks to the weakness of the US dollar, political tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, the impact of tariffs and the passage of a major bill in the US that will increase public debt, leading to consumer inflation. These factors will continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset."
Adrian Day, Chairman of Adrian Day Asset Management, shared: "There are signs that North American investors are increasing their purchases of gold, although not a strong wave, but I believe this trend is gradually changing. This is a positive signal for the gold market in the future."
Best Regards StarrOne !!!
GOLD - TIME TO DIGGING GOLDTeam, we do not often trade gold, but when we do, we kill them
I have been waiting for a few days for my entry-level setup.
Please follow the strategy and structure below
Target 1 - take 50% volume
Target 2 - take 30%
Target 3 - all your
WITH RISK management, make sure once it hits 1st target, bring stop loss to BE
I look forward to killing GOLD together.
If you see my videos, 95% of my target is always hit.
Please NOTE: i still hold my short UK100/FTSE100 and AUS200 as well.. This week, we should hit our target for both.
XAU/USD 09-13 June 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025.
Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH.
This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments.
Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Gold Market Analysis:
Despite minimal deviation between Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) release and prior figures, gold prices accelerated below the key support level of 3333 during the U.S. session after a period of bearish consolidation. Technical structure suggests further downside potential: the weekly opening gap at 3292 remains unfilled, serving as the first target for bearish continuation. A decisive break below this level could open space toward 3280–3272, with 3280 identified as a strong support zone.
Monday Focus: Prioritize rebound shorting, targeting initial support at 3304–3298.
Key Threshold: Long positions may be considered on failure to breach 3292, with a focus on gap closure dynamics.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3350-3340
TP:3300-3280
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In the new week, is gold brewing a new market?Information summary:
This week, the market continued to be affected by Trump's tariff policy and the progress of negotiations. On Thursday, the phone call between the Chinese and US heads of state boosted market sentiment. In the early stage, the precious metals market ushered in a collective rise, and the prices of silver and gold performed strongly. Silver rose to a 13-year high on Thursday, breaking through $36 for the first time since February 2012.
After gold hit the $3,400 mark during trading on Thursday, the US dollar rose as friendly talks between China and the United States stimulated the rise of the US dollar; gold fell rapidly and gave up all the gains during the day. On Friday, the US stock market closed at its highest level since February due to the boost of non-agricultural data.
Gold continued its retreat trend again, closing at around 3,310 as of Friday.
Market analysis:
From the trend of the US dollar, there is already an opportunity to bottom out, and the trend at the beginning of the week is critical.
Once the US dollar stands above 99.5 at the beginning of the week, it will continue to touch the 100.0--100.2 mark.
If it stabilizes above this position, gold will most likely fall below 3300 next week.
First, from the weekly chart:
The current moving average support below the weekly line is almost at 3250-3260. If it can hold here, gold may continue to maintain consolidation and wait for an opportunity to choose a new trend. However, if it falls below 3250, it can fall to the 3200 mark. If 3200 falls below again, it will be the low point of 3100.
It can also be seen from the daily chart that the important position of gold is at 3318-3280. If it stands above 3318, gold is in a bullish upward trend. If it falls below 3280, gold will enter a bearish trend. At present, gold has closed below 3318, so from the daily line, the next target is around 3280. If 3280 falls below again, then as the weekly analysis shows, it will test 3250-3260. However, judging from the daily chart, I think the market will not go down too easily.
Therefore, I guess that gold may follow the head and shoulders top structure of the daily chart next week. It may fall to 3250-3260 at the beginning of the week to lure short sellers into the market, and then stretch and rebound to around 3350 to form a shoulder position. Finally, it will directly dive down to around 3150.
The Asian market is about to open, and I hope my analysis can help everyone make some profits in the market. A new week is about to begin, and I wish you all good luck.
XAUUSD Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the H4/H1 timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday's OpeningGold's Price Movement on Friday (Non-Farm Payrolls Day)
During the day, gold traded in a range-bound pattern. After opening at around 3,354, it surged to a high of 3,375 but came under pressure and entered a (sideways-to-downward) trend. Despite the bearish Non-Farm Payrolls data released at night, gold did not immediately decline. Instead, it traded sideways for a period before rebounding to a high of 3,363, after which it started to drop. Gold closed the week with an inverted hammer candlestick pattern. From a technical perspective, the preferred strategy for next week is to fade rallies (sell on rebounds).
Key Levels for Next Week's Opening
Support: 3,288–3,295
Resistance: 3,338–3,345
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3290-3295
TP:3320-3330
Accurately grasp the gold trend analysis next week📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation is gradually deteriorating
2. Trump again calls on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
📈 Market analysis:
The current weekly moving average support for gold prices is roughly 3250-3260. If 3250-60 can be maintained, then gold may continue to maintain consolidation and wait for an opportunity to choose a trend. If it falls below 3250, then it can directly see the 3200 mark. If 3200 falls below again, then it will see 3100. In the short term, the first focus of the gold price below is 3315. As long as it stays above 3315, gold is still in a bullish trend. Secondly, pay attention to the 3280 line below. If it falls below 3280, the gold price will further test the support of 3260-3250. It is possible that gold will form a head and shoulders top structure on the daily chart next week. It may fall to 3250-60 at the beginning of the week to lure shorts into the market, and then stretch and rebound to around 3350 to form a shoulder position, and finally directly dive down to around 3150.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Breaking the big frame, gold price returns to accumulation✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/09/2025 - 06/13/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices declined for a second straight session on Friday, yet remain on track to close the week with a gain of over 1.30%, as traders recalibrate expectations for Federal Reserve policy easing following a stronger-than-expected U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,322, marking a 0.84% daily decline.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the labor market continues to show resilience, with the unemployment rate holding steady from April. Meanwhile, Wall Street staged a modest rebound from Thursday’s losses, despite political tensions flaring between President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, following the House's approval of a bill to raise the U.S. debt ceiling.
🔥 Identify:
Gold prices reacted lower after the release of good May employment data. Breaking the H4 uptrend line, gold prices continued to accumulate.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3348, $3400
Support: $3251, $3202
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD (XAU/USD) Imminent long opportunitiesThis week, my focus for GOLD is on potential long opportunities around the current price level. Price is sitting within a strong area of demand, so my plan is to wait for signs of accumulation and a clear slowdown in bearish momentum before considering any entries.
Ideally, I’d like to see the Asia low swept, which currently lies in the middle of the zone — that would offer even stronger confirmation for a buy setup.
If this current zone doesn’t hold, I have a well-defined 9H demand zone around the 3,220 level, which sits in a more discounted area and aligns well with the overall bullish trend on the higher timeframes.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Clean major daily demand that caused a change of character to the upside
- Plenty of liquidity above and an unmitigated supply higher up
- This is a pro-trend trade, aligning with overall higher timeframe bullishness
- DXY has been bearish over the past few weeks, supporting gold upside
P.S. If price respects this current demand and moves higher, we may see a short-term reaction from the 3H supply zones above — but we’ll monitor price action and adjust accordingly.
Have a great trading week
Gold plunges, what will be the trend next week?From the daily chart:
Since the last round of breaking the triangle convergence oscillation and breaking the trend line, gold has surged to 3400, but the upward momentum is insufficient and it has retreated. The low point of the retreat on Friday happened to be the support level of the previous triangle convergence trend line near 3300. If it falls below, the price will return to the triangle convergence oscillation range, and the gold price may fall further;
From the perspective of gold 1 hour, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages have formed a dead cross downward, so gold still has downward momentum. After the gold 1-hour high box oscillation, gold finally broke through the box downward, indicating that the gold shorts are better, so the bottom of the gold box has now formed resistance, and the gold short-term resistance to gold has been formed near 3335. If gold is 3335 at the beginning of next week, then gold can continue to be short.
Next week's operation strategy is still around the 3285-3335 range.
GOLD H4 Weekly Chart Update For 9-13 June 25Hello Trader,
As you can see that there are some crucial levels appear in the chart, right market sustain above 3300 Psychological Level if market break 3300 Psychological Level Successfully then it will might be testing 325+-60 zone
Above 3300 Psychological Level Market will move towards 3326 level or even 3345
Furthermore kindly check all mentioned zone in the chart carefully
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Geopolitical Undercurrents Support Gold as NFP LoomsTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold hovers near $3,370 after failing to hold above $3,374, where previous support has turned into resistance. Price remains trapped between TL2 and TL3, with short-term direction hinging on tonight’s U.S. NFP data (130K jobs expected, 3.7% YoY wage growth). A strong report may trigger a drop toward the $3,342–$3,325 support zone, while weaker data could spark a bullish breakout toward $3,402.
Although Trump and Xi agreed to restart trade talks, deep fractures remain over export controls, Taiwan, and rare earth supply. These unresolved issues suggest geopolitical risk is far from over, offering medium-term support for CAPITALCOM:GOLD gold despite recent risk-on flows.
Resistance : 3,374 , 3,402
Support : 3,342 , 3,325
XAUUSD – NFP STORM AHEADXAUUSD – NFP STORM AHEAD: WILL GOLD BREAK HIGHER OR FACE A DEEP CORRECTION?
Gold is entering a critical phase ahead of tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report — one of the most influential economic releases globally. With US-China trade tensions resurfacing and growing concerns over US national debt, the precious metal market is likely to experience high volatility during the US session.
🌍 MACROECONOMIC & POLITICAL OUTLOOK
Trade negotiations between the US and China have resumed, with China reaffirming its intent to defend strategic metal exports amidst ongoing tariff threats.
The US national debt is projected to reach $55 trillion by 2034, prompting central banks worldwide to continue stockpiling gold as a hedge against fiat devaluation.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell maintains his stance of “not rushing to cut rates,” but political pressure — especially from former President Trump — is escalating rapidly.
Unemployment Claims fell slightly last week, reinforcing the view of a weakening labour market. If tonight’s NFP print disappoints, gold may surge on renewed expectations of future Fed easing.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
Gold has formed a classic impulsive wave structure, with recent highs tested around the 3408 – 3410 resistance zone.
Price action is consolidating near the EMA 89 and EMA 200, suggesting indecision and building energy for a potential breakout.
A breakdown below the 3344 – 3332 support zone could trigger a move toward the FVG liquidity block near 3320, a potential institutional buy level.
🔍 STRATEGIC KEYLEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance levels: 3380 – 3392 – 3408 – 3436
Support levels: 3365 – 3350 – 3344 – 3332 – 3320
🧭 TRADE SETUPS
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3408 – 3410
Stop Loss: 3415
Take Profit: 3404 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 → 3350
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
✅ CONCLUSION
Gold is “holding its breath” before the potential NFP-triggered breakout.
If NFP disappoints → USD weakens → Gold could explode above 3410.
If NFP beats expectations → Sellers may take full control and shift the market into a correction phase.
Gold Drop Fully Expected — Now It's Bulls?This recent decline in gold was well within our expectations. Since Monday, I’ve been highlighting the following:
The 3400 zone is a strong historical resistance, with heavy supply pressure;
A gap remains open at 3289, creating downside risk.
Today's drop is a deep flush of selling pressure near the 3400 zone.
Although the 3289 gap is still unfilled, this move may trigger dip-buying activity, giving bulls some room to work with.
📌 The first rebound resistance is likely near 3343, but because the gap is still a threat, most funds remain cautious. This could result in:
Weaker-than-expected rebounds;
Even possible bull traps followed by renewed downside.
✅ Long strategy reminders:
Keep position size moderate;
Set realistic targets;
Adjust your approach in line with market development.
Stay sharp, stay flexible — profits favor the prepared.
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trend in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. The United States issues new sanctions on Iran
2. Trump continues to criticize the Federal Reserve
📈 Market analysis:
The 1H moving average of gold has shown signs of turning downward. If a death cross structure is formed subsequently, it will open up further downward space. From the market point of view, the price of gold rebounded to around 3364 after the release of non-agricultural data. This position constitutes a short-term key resistance level. If the rebound is under pressure here during the US trading session, short selling on rallies can still be considered. Although the price of gold has started to decline, it has not been able to fall below the important support of 3,300, so the long-term direction remains unchanged. At the same time, we need to pay attention to the effectiveness of the 3310 support line in the short term, and consider long trading only after the bottom is confirmed. For short-term trading, consider shorting at 3340-3350, and look to 3320-3310
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold hits 3400 againTechnically, gold seems to be fluctuating upward for the time being, and there is no room for a unilateral surge. However, this week's slow rise shows that gold is still in an absolute bullish trend. Therefore, no matter how it adjusts, the decline is an opportunity for bulls to enter the market. Gold should first remain in the range of 3332-3392 to see an increase. If it rises and breaks through 3400, the upper side will be 3440-3500. If it falls back and breaks through 3330, the lower side will be 3280. After the rise in the first three days, gold has remained above the Bollinger middle track of the daily cycle, but the Bollinger track has not opened. If we see another wave of rise on Thursday, we will see the high point of 3405. Don't be overly bullish. The rise depends on whether the daily cycle can form a unilateral moving average rising trend. The support below the moving average is near 3355. If it falls back to this point and continues to rise, breaking 3405, then the unilateral surge in the market will come. It can be clearly seen in the 4-hour chart that the Bollinger Bands are closed and the moving averages have not diverged. The current oscillating upward trend is quite obvious. It oscillates first and then moves upward. This is why I emphasize that you should not chase highs below 3400. So, today's high point is the upper rail 3405, and the lower support is near the Bollinger middle rail 3355. Even if you are bullish today, you have to wait for a decline to adjust to around 3355 to go long. If the high point 3405 is not broken, you can consider trying to go short.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go short near 3405, stop loss 3415, target 3380-3360; it is recommended to go long near 3360, stop loss 3350, target 3380-3390;