XAUUSD:Go long
Based on the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below for today remains focused on the area around 3318-25, while the short-term resistance above focuses on the 3340-45 level. The key resistance above is at 3380. Overall, this range remains the main framework for our participation in the trade, with positions generally being cautious and waiting for key levels to enter. I will provide specific trading strategies during the session, so please stay tuned. Given that the current market has retraced to 3325 and then rebounded, we can go long in the 3325-30 range.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3325-30
TP:3340-45
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Xauusdanalysis
Treat it as a long-short wash-out shock, and go long on pullback📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. June retail data
3. Beware of Trump's remarks about firing Powell
📈 Technical Analysis:
Last night, the daily line closed at around 3347. The current short-term daily line range is 3355-3300. The short-term support below is still 3320. Once it falls below 3320, it will look to 3310-3300. Short-term trading is still volatile. If the intraday retracement reaches 3320-3310, consider going long, and the defense is 3300, with the target at 3340-3350. Under the current rhythm of long and short wash, don't chase the rise and sell the fall, look at it rationally, and brothers who trade independently must bring SL.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Price Reversal Setup: Breakout Retest with Bullish Targets.This 1-hour gold (XAU/USD) chart shows a potential bullish setup. Price is currently near support at 3,320.191, with possible reversal signals forming. The chart highlights a previous breakout zone around 3,354.004. If price rebounds, targets are set at TP1 (3,354.004) and TP2 (3,377.426). Key events and technical signals suggest a potential move upward.
Oolong news stirs up gold market trend analysisWe decisively prompted support and arranged long orders near 3320. While the bottom stabilized, Trump suddenly released a smoke bomb, saying that he was considering whether to fire Fed Chairman Powell. The risk aversion sentiment exploded instantly, and gold soared in the short term, hitting the target of 3340-3345 in a few minutes, and the highest rose to 3377! But then Trump denied the relevant plan, and the risk aversion sentiment quickly cooled down. The gold price immediately fell from a high level, and the market returned to a volatile pattern. At present, the risk aversion drive has been falsified. In the short term, we need to focus on the trend opportunities after the high and fall. Considering that the news is still uncertain, it is recommended to wait and see first, and wait for the situation to become clearer before entering the market.
🔍Technical observation: The 1-hour chart of gold shows an obvious high and fall pattern, accompanied by a long upper shadow line closing. If there is no new risk aversion stimulus, the short-term momentum for another attack is limited.
📉Operational suggestions: Maintain the main idea of rebound short selling, pay attention to the short-term pressure in the 3365-3370 range, and choose to arrange short orders. ⚠️It should be noted that news has a great impact on the market. Transactions need to be executed decisively, but be careful not to be led by short-term fluctuations. Strict implementation of trading plans is the key.
XAUUSD (GOLD) POTENTIAL SELL IDEAGold after hitting 3500 level, has kind of been ranging between 3200 and 3450 level. As we can say that Monday as start of the week has taken a Buyside Liquidity maybe making it high of the week which we will know as the market unfolds itself.
A FVG was formed on 1H before the Buyside was taken and after taking BSL, price sliced through FVG making it IFVG, we can expect Gold to give us a sell trade as it enters this IFVG which will be our first potential entry, placing SL slightly above Buyside Liquidity level.
If our first entry is successful, we can see a second entry when the price slices through the 4h FVG as marked, making it again an IFVG targeting the levels as highlighted on the chart.
FIRST POTENTIAL ENTRY:
Sell @ 3360-3365
Stop loss = 3385
Take Profit = 3335 (Target 1), 3310 (Target 2), 3390 (Target 3)
SECOND POTENTIAL ENTRY:
Sell @ 3340-3345
Stop loss = 3367
Take Profit = 3335 (Target 1), 3310 (Target 2), 3390 (Target 3)
Trump's five major factors! Will gold continue to rise?The past six months may have been dizzying, but a clear theme has emerged since U.S. President Donald Trump returned to the White House: It’s good news for the gold market.
Although gold prices broke through $3,500 an ounce nearly three months ago, setting a new record high, five key factors that have emerged since the start of Trump’s second term are likely to continue to support gold prices in the coming months. These factors may even prove that the precious metal is becoming a core asset class in investors’ portfolio strategies.
David Miller, co-founder and chief investment officer of Catalyst Funds, said that as the market enters the third quarter, gold remains a standout asset class that “provides both a hedge against the potential risks of geopolitical conflict and a break from the erosion of fiat currencies.”
The first key factor supporting gold is demand from central banks, which indicates that the market has weakened confidence in the U.S. dollar. Miller pointed out in emailed comments that central bank demand is surging, and the BRICS countries, especially China and India, are accelerating the accumulation of gold reserves “as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.” According to a report released by the World Gold Council on Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China’s official gold holdings have climbed for eight consecutive months.
David Russell, head of global market strategy at TradeStation, said the global tariffs threatened and implemented by Trump have accelerated the "de-dollarization process." De-dollarization refers to efforts by some countries to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency.
"Trade is becoming less dependent on the U.S. end market and less dependent on the dollar. This is more like the 19th century than the era after World War I and World War II," Russell said in emailed comments. "This trend back to the old model is creating structural demand for gold after decades of neglect. Fiat currencies are in decline," he added.
Russell also said the decline in the credit quality of developed country governments, such as the United States, is also a major concern for the market. "We have lost our AAA rating from the three major rating agencies because of growing deficits and looming pressure on unfunded liabilities such as Social Security," he said, referring in part to Moody's downgrading its top credit rating for the United States in May. "After decades of procrastination, we are running out of ways to go."
That said, trade policy is a third factor affecting gold. Russell said that "large budget deficits or increased tariffs" would reduce demand for U.S. Treasuries, supporting gold prices.
With both 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields falling so far this year and real rates under pressure from inflation, "the opportunity cost of holding gold is falling," noted Catalyst Funds' Miller. That's leading to a fourth potential support for gold -- a resurgent interest in gold exchange-traded funds and other alternatives.
In the first half of 2025, North America led the growth in global gold ETF inflows, according to the World Gold Council. Global physically-backed gold ETFs saw inflows of $38 billion in the first half of this year, marking the strongest half-year performance since the first half of 2020, according to the World Gold Council.
Finally, from a technical perspective, gold prices have held above $3,250 an ounce for much of June, Miller said. That shows signs of "a potential breakout as equity market volatility returns," he said. Gold for August delivery closed at $3,359.10 an ounce on Wednesday.
“Gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” Miller said that the current macroeconomic environment “justifies a meaningful allocation to gold and gold-related strategies.”
He said: “The combination of fragile stock market sentiment, uncertain policy direction and structural macro headwinds reinforces our view that gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors Gold 17/07 – Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors
🌍 Macro Sentiment: Uncertainty Continues
The global gold market opened Thursday with high volatility following headlines that former U.S. President Donald Trump was considering firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Though Trump later denied the claim, the initial rumor spiked fear in financial markets.
At the same time:
🇮🇱 Israel launched airstrikes on Syria, escalating regional tensions.
🇪🇺 The EU proposed new tariffs on U.S. imports, increasing global economic friction.
🏦 Inflation concerns persist as BlackRock warns about delayed price pressures from earlier tariff hikes.
📉 These factors have turned gold into a temporary safe haven, but investors should remain cautious as the market is still undecided about direction.
🔎 Technical Outlook – Key Patterns to Watch
The H1 chart reveals price action respecting a wide consolidation range with visible liquidity sweeps on both ends. The market is forming a clean structure of lower highs, hinting at bearish bias unless bulls reclaim upper resistance zones.
Sell-side liquidity has been swept around the 3,320 level.
Order Block Sell Zone remains active at 3,342 – 3,344, potentially leading to a short-term drop.
If price breaks above 3,357 – 3,363 (VPOC & OB zone), a new bullish leg may form.
🎯 Trade Plan for Today
🟩 Buy Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,312 – 3,310
Stop Loss: 3,306
Take Profits:
→ 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,324 → 3,328 → 3,335 → 3,340 → 3,350
📌 This zone has shown strong demand historically. Look for bullish candle confirmation on the lower timeframe (M15–H1).
🟥 Sell Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,362 – 3,364
Stop Loss: 3,368
Take Profits:
→ 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340
📌 This area overlaps with a VPOC level and prior order block – watch for price rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, fake breakouts).
⚠️ Risk Note
With geopolitical and monetary policy headlines dominating sentiment, price may spike erratically. Avoid overleveraging and always respect your SL/TP.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Do you think gold will break below 3,300 and head toward deeper FVG zones?
Or will bulls regain control and aim for 3,377 liquidity?
👇 Drop your analysis and let’s build the best gold trading community together!
Gold (XAU/USD) Setup based on 30-minute chartGold (XAU/USD) Setup based on 30-minute chart
**Bullish Scenario**
* **Support Held**: Price is currently testing a key horizontal support zone (\~\$3,320–\$3,327), which has held multiple times in the past.
* **Potential Reversal**: If price forms a bullish candlestick pattern here (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer), we may see a rebound.
* **Upside Target**:
* **First Resistance**: \$3,345–\$3,350 (green zone)
* **Further Target**: \$3,380–\$3,400 if momentum continues
**Confirmation Triggers**:
* Bullish price action from support zone
* Break above EMA 7 / EMA 21 (\~\$3,330–\$3,336)
* Increasing volume on green candles
**Bearish Scenario**
* **Breakdown Threat**: Price is hovering near support; if it breaks below \$3,320 with volume, downside pressure may intensify.
* **Next Support Levels**:
* \$3,310 (minor)
* \$3,285–\$3,275 (major support)
**Bearish Triggers**:
* Clear break and close below \$3,320
* EMA crossover (short-term below long-term)
* Rising red volume bars
Summary
| Direction | Conditions | Targets |
| ---------- | --------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------- |
| Bullish | Hold above \$3,320 + breakout above \$3,336 (EMA50) | \$3,350 → \$3,380–\$3,400 |
| Bearish | Break below \$3,320 support | \$3,310 → \$3,285 |
Waiting for the Break: 3375 or 3320 Will Decide the Next 1k Pips📉 Quick recap:
As you know, I've been bullish on Gold. However, as explained in yesterday’s analysis, I started to approach this view with more caution. Unfortunately, I closed my long position at break even… before the rally to the 3375 resistance. That’s trading.
📌 What now?
Despite missing that move, the market is beginning to offer more clarity. There are now two key levels that will likely define the next major swing:
________________________________________
🔹 1. Resistance at 3375 – Top of the Range / Triangle Breakout Zone
• This level marks the upper boundary of the recent range
• It’s also the resistance of a developing ascending triangle
• A clean breakout above 3375 would confirm the pattern and could trigger a strong upside acceleration
• Target: 3450 zone, with potential for more if momentum kicks in (approx. 1000 pips higher)
➡️ This is the obvious bullish scenario – in line with the broader trend and classical technical setup.
________________________________________
🔻 2. Support at 3320 – The Less Obvious, but Classic Gold
• 3320 is now a confluence support area
• Technically, a break below here is less probable – but Gold has a habit of doing the unexpected
• If 3320 breaks, bears could look for a first leg to 3280 (approx. 400 pips), and very probably 3250 (around 700 pips drop)
➡️ This bearish scenario is not the base case, but it must not be ignored. Sometimes the trap is in the obvious.
________________________________________
🧭 Trading Plan:
For now, I’m out of the market, patiently waiting for confirmation. I’ll trade the breakout – whichever side gives the signal first.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is coiling for a larger move. The levels are clear: 3375 and 3320 are the doors. One of them will open. Until then, we wait and prepare. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Ranging Between HTF Zones — Buy Setup FormingHello everybody!
Price is fluctuating between two higher timeframe supply and demand areas.
The market structure on the lower timeframes changed yesterday, and now we’re watching to see if the newly formed small demand zone will hold.
The break of the downward trendline is our signal to enter a buy position.
Gold Rejected Post-CPI – Bearish Momentum Building Below $3,365Gold is currently trading near $3,338, continuing to show signs of rejection after testing the key $3,365–$3,392 resistance zone. The market has reacted to the July 15 U.S. CPI release, and despite initial volatility, gold failed to break above its major diagonal trendline, forming a lower high, a strong technical sign of weakening bullish momentum.
If price breaks below $3,330, it could trigger a wave of selling pressure down to $3,303 and $3,248 in the coming days. Traders should monitor price behavior around these zones for short-term entry opportunities.
📌 Technical Breakdown
Resistance Zone:
- $3,365–$3,392 remains the critical ceiling where gold got rejected for the third time in recent sessions.
- This zone aligns with the top of the descending wedge, long-term black trendline.
Bearish Structure Forming:
- After multiple attempts, gold could not sustain above the resistance.
- A series of lower highs and a weakening bullish push suggest a bearish continuation is likely.
Support Levels to Watch:
- Immediate: $3,337
- Mid: $3,320
- Strong: $3,303 (0.382 Fib) and $3,293
- Final Target: $3,248 → $3,220 → $3,193
🔺 Bullish Invalidation Scenario
If gold manages a clean breakout and close above $3,392, this bearish setup will be invalidated. In that case, upside targets would include:
- $3,412
- $3,434
- $3,490 (macro trendline)
But at the moment, that seems unlikely unless driven by unexpected fundamentals.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold market price trend analysis and operation strategyGold trend analysis:
Gold reached a high of 3366 yesterday, a low of 3320, and closed at around 3325. From the daily chart, the performance of the daily cycle is high and closed negative, and it may not be able to go out of the big rise in the short term. Gold will fall into range fluctuations. The rise of gold in this cycle has not actually been completed. At least it needs to go to the high point of 3400, and then look at the adjustment space within the week, but don’t look too much at the strength of the rise. The general trend is bullish, and we must also beware of the adjustment space that may fall back at any time. Gold tried 3375 several times yesterday and failed to break through, and then fell back for adjustment, indicating that the pressure on 3375 is obvious, that is, gold needs to fall back and correct in the short term. At this time, we are cautious about chasing more and continue to buy more after falling back.
From the 4-hour chart, gold rose and fell yesterday, and the bearish trend did not continue. Gold entered a period of adjustment. From the current K-line, the downward momentum of gold is slowing down, and it tends to rebound in the short term. In the 4-hour chart, the lower track support of the Bollinger Band is near 3320, and the position of the middle track of the Bollinger Band is near 3345, which will form a short-term resistance. From the 1-hour chart, after yesterday's drop to 3320, it was strongly supported again and pulled up to above 3330. The support below is still strong. If the European session rises and breaks through 3350 today, the US session may go to the resistance of 3365-3375. Before breaking through 3350, the current market can only be regarded as a bottom adjustment and correction. Today, we will first focus on the rebound strength. If the upward momentum weakens, pay attention to the support of 3310-3300 below, and wait for the decline to be mainly low-multiple. In the short term, we will first focus on the breakthrough of the shock range. The intraday idea is to fall back to low-multiple. FX:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD
Gold rebounded and shorted in the New York market.Trump's recent remarks about "possibly firing Fed Chairman Powell" triggered risk aversion in the market, and gold once surged to $3,377, but then Trump denied the plan and gold prices fell back to fluctuate in the 3,340-3,350 range; the U.S. PPI in June was flat month-on-month, lower than expected, easing market concerns about the Fed's immediate tightening of policy, but long-term inflation expectations still support gold; Israel's air strikes on Syria have exacerbated tensions in the Middle East, and safe-haven demand has boosted gold; Trump threatens to impose tariffs on the EU, and global trade uncertainty still supports gold's safe-haven properties; gold fluctuated and fell today. After yesterday's big rise, gold gradually fell today. Today, gold fluctuated weakly, and the 4-hour moving average crossed downward. The gold price gradually moved toward the lower Bollinger band, and the Bollinger band opened downward. The trend is more bearish. In terms of operation, we recommend that gold rebound and go short. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD
Gold Rejects Resistance Again – Gold Rejects Resistance Again ?Gold is currently trading near $3,335, showing signs of exhaustion after a failed breakout above the recent consolidation range. The market attempted to push higher but lacked strong momentum, leading to a pullback and possible shift in bias. The price is forming lower highs, indicating bearish pressure building up on the 4H timeframe. Gold is showing weakness after a second breakout followed by a possible retest failure. The market structure indicates a bearish bias
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
- Two Breakouts: Price attempted two bullish breakouts recently. The first breakout gained some traction, while the second failed to hold above resistance.
- Failed Retest: Price has now returned back near the previous breakout zone (~$3,332), signaling a potential bearish reversal pattern.
- The chart structure suggests a distribution phase, with price struggling to hold gains, and sellers slowly gaining control.
🧭 Key Support and Resistance Levels:
✅ Resistance Zones:
- $3,337.54 – Immediate resistance (recent rejection zone)
- $3,348.03 – Strong resistance if price pushes above $3,337
- $3,412.76 – Major resistance from previous swing high
- $3,490.40 – Long-term psychological resistance
🔻 Support Zones:
- $3,318.94 – Immediate support (just below current price)
- $3,303.46 – Key fib retracement (0.382 level)
- $3,248.28 – Strong horizontal support (major zone)
- $3,193.11 – Fibonacci extension level (-0.382)
- $3,159.02 – Next support zone (Fibo -0.618 level)
🟠 Current Bias:
Bearish to Neutral – as long as price remains below $3,337.
If price breaks and holds above $3,337 with volume, short-term bullish reversal is possible.
Yeterday there was a fake news and gold was pumped but after clarification it was dumped. It means buyers are not much interested till fed next meeting and the high price of the gold. Sellers will short the gold on every rise while buyers will wait for low price of the gold for long term trade.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold Trading Idea: Short Opportunity on 15-Min Descending ChanneHello TradingView Community,
Following up on my Gold analysis from Monday, the price action has respected the levels I outlined (check my previous posts for the breakdown), delivering solid trade opportunities except yesterday's news-driven volatility. Today, we're eyeing a short setup on Gold based on the 15-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis:
Gold is moving within a descending channel on the 15-min chart.
I've identified equal highs and a small FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the channel's range.
This confluence zone is where I expect the price to react, potentially clearing liquidity above the channel before reversing.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Wait for the price to reach the confluence zone (equal highs + 61.8% Fib + FVG) and show a clear reaction (e.g., rejection or reversal pattern) before entering a short position.
Take Profit: Targeting 3310 level.
Risk Management: If the price fails to reach the zone and breaks lower, I'll stay out to avoid chasing trades. Patience is key here.
Stay disciplined, traders! Let the price come to our zone, and always manage your risk.
Follow for more setups, like this post if you found it helpful, and drop your thoughts in the comments below! Let’s discuss!
#Gold #XAUUSD #ShortSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
Continue to go long after bottoming outYesterday, the Trump and Powell incident caused gold to rise strongly to around 3377. The rise in gold was only short-lived. In the end, gold closed positively on the daily line, but it closed with a super long upper shadow line. In the end, the gold price quickly rose and broke through the 3377 mark, but fell back under pressure and closed in a volatile market. The daily K-line closed high and fell back in a volatile market. Although the overall gold price repeatedly fluctuated and washed out under the stimulation of news, it ultimately failed to break through the recent large box oscillation range. Today we continue to pay attention to the support line of 3318-25 below, and we will continue to go long if it falls back!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3318-25, the short-term suppression above focuses on the 3340-45 line, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
WEDGE IN XAUUSD, POSSIBLE OUTCOMESWEDGE IN XAUUSD, POSSIBLE OUTCOMES👀
Since the fundamentals didn't influence this asset (I mean yesterdays U.S. PPI report, escalation in the Middle East and Trump's hint on Powell's resignation), let's talk about technicals in gold.
XAUUSD primarily trades sideways since the beginning of June. Main support levels are 3,250.00 and 3,300.00. Main resistant levels are 3,375.00 and 3,450.00. Currently the asset trades within a range of 3,300.00 - 3,375.00. Additionally, bullion has formed a bearish wedge since the beginning of July. Right now the price is heading towards lower border of this wedge, where the SMA50 is situated and may act as an additional support here.
I see 2 main scenarios for a mid-term here:
1) Break below the wedge, rebound from 3,300.00 support, targeting 3,375.00.
2) Rebound from the wedge’s lower border, show a bearish move to 3,375.00, then drop to 3,300.00.
In both cases, I assume the price to stay sideways for a long period of time.
NordKern - XAUUSD InsightNordKern | Simplified Insight OANDA:XAUUSD Short Opportunity Ahead
Gold saw a sharp surge in price today, primarily driven by political headlines that temporarily shook market sentiment. To be specific:
📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 16:56 CET
CBS Reports: Trump asked Republican lawmakers whether he should fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This headline alone triggered an intraday spike of +$52/oz in gold as markets priced in increased macro and institutional risk.
As previously stated "Context Matters."
While the President cannot remove the Fed Chair without cause, even the suggestion introduces uncertainty and undermines confidence in the Fed’s independence especially ahead of a high-stakes election cycle.
However, further developments quickly followed: 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 17:58 CET
Trump: “Firing Powell is highly unlikely.” 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 18:06 CET
Trump: “Reports on me firing Powell are not true.” With this clarification, the initial rally appears overstretched and sentiment-driven, leaving room for a corrective pullback as the market digests the full picture.
Trade Setup - Short Bias
Parameters:
Entry: 3356.40
Stop Loss: 3690.30
Take Profit: 3322.00
Key Notes:
- The spike was headline-driven and not supported by policy shift or macro data.
- Trump’s denial removes much of the political risk premium that had been briefly priced in.
- Watch for momentum fading near resistance and confirmation via intraday structure.
This remains a tactically driven setup. Manage risk appropriately and stay alert for any renewed political developments.
False breakout? Gold reverses sharply after news surgeBecause of the news that Trump hinted at firing Powell, gold surged strongly in the short term and passed to 3377, recovering the recent decline in one fell swoop. We went long on gold near 3323 in advance, and went long on gold near 3340 again after gold retreated, hitting TP: 3345 and 3355 respectively. The two long trades successfully made a profit of 370pips, with a profit of more than $18K.
Although gold has risen sharply in the short term and effectively destroyed the downward structure, it is mainly news that drives the market. After Trump denied firing Powell, gold rose fast and fell fast. So we can't chase long gold too much. First, the sustainability of the news-driven market needs to be examined, and second, the certainty of Trump's news is still unreliable. He always denies himself the next day.
After the gold price retreated quickly, a long upper shadow appeared in the candlestick chart, indicating that the upper resistance should not be underestimated. Therefore, we should not rush to buy gold. We can still consider shorting gold in the 3355-3365 area. We should first focus on the area around 3340. If gold falls below this area during the retreat, gold will return to the short trend and test the area around 3320 again, or even fall below this area after multiple tests and continue to the 3310-3300 area.
Gold fluctuated downward. Stuck in a stalemate.Information summary:
Global investors have experienced the longest night this year. There are reports that Trump has drafted a letter to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. The incident triggered a strong reaction in the financial market. An hour later, Trump came out to clarify that "there is no plan to take any action" and denied drafting a letter to fire Powell.
Due to the impact of the incident, gold experienced a roller coaster market, soaring more than $50 at one time, hitting a three-week high of $3,377.17, and then narrowed its gains to 0.68%, and finally closed at $3,347.38. In today's Asian market, gold fell slightly and is currently hovering around $3,325.
Market analysis:
The current volatility pattern has not changed. In the short term, the market shows signs of weakness, which is also affected by CPI data, and expectations for interest rate cuts have weakened. In the current state where there is no break in the pattern, waiting and watching is still the best strategy.
The first support level is around 3,310, which is the starting point of last week's high. The second is around 3280, which is the historical low since July and also the starting point of the rise in the first week of July.